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National Voter Survey in Egypt - Danish Institute for Parties and ...

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Summary of Key F<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs (<strong>Survey</strong> 2400 respondents, Sep. 16-27)<br />

Parliamentary Elections:<br />

• There are a higher proportion of decided voters <strong>for</strong> the upcom<strong>in</strong>g elections <strong>in</strong> September compared to August. 62% of the voters that<br />

<strong>in</strong>tend to vote <strong>in</strong> elections have decided which party to vote <strong>for</strong>. In august there were 43% decided voters.<br />

• Stability/security is high on the voters’ agenda. In September 40 % of <strong>Egypt</strong>ians state that security/stability is the most important issue<br />

that the needs to addressed. This is an <strong>in</strong>crease from 27% <strong>in</strong> August. The other two issues that are high on the agenda are ”reduc<strong>in</strong>g daily<br />

liv<strong>in</strong>g expenses” (23%) <strong>and</strong> ”unemployment” (21%).<br />

• The Freedom <strong>and</strong> Justice Party (Muslim Brotherhood) <strong>in</strong>creases their popular support <strong>for</strong> the upcom<strong>in</strong>g parliamentary elections. The<br />

party enjoys support from 39% of the decided voters <strong>in</strong> September up from 31,5% <strong>in</strong> August.<br />

• The liberal Al Wafd party <strong>and</strong> Freedom <strong>and</strong> Justice party coalition partner also <strong>in</strong>creases their support. Al Wafd st<strong>and</strong>s to ga<strong>in</strong> 20% of<br />

the votes <strong>in</strong> September up from 14,8% <strong>in</strong> August.<br />

• The political parties are viewed more favorably. As the elections day is gett<strong>in</strong>g nearer <strong>and</strong> awareness about the political parties <strong>in</strong>creases<br />

the population views the party more favorably. The Freedom <strong>and</strong> Justice Party <strong>and</strong> the Al Wafd party also have the best<br />

favorables/unfavorables.<br />

Current Affairs:<br />

• <strong>Egypt</strong>ians view bully<strong>in</strong>g, illegal drugs, robbery <strong>and</strong> illegal weapons as serious problems <strong>in</strong> their neighborhood. Around 40% of the<br />

<strong>Egypt</strong>ian views these four issues as serious problems.<br />

• <strong>Egypt</strong>ians favor martial law over civil law to address the security concerns <strong>in</strong> their neighborhood. A clear majority of 65% wants martial<br />

law imposed to address problems <strong>in</strong> their neighborhood. Only 34% favors civil law.<br />

• Protesters should be prevented from us<strong>in</strong>g the Tahrir Square. 65% of the <strong>Egypt</strong>ian either agrees or strongly agrees that protesters should<br />

be prevented from us<strong>in</strong>g the Tahrir Square.<br />

• <strong>Egypt</strong>ians favor a measured response to the crisis with Israel us<strong>in</strong>g diplomatic channels. The population wants to keep the peace treaty<br />

with Israel, but favor a renegotiation. Follow<strong>in</strong>g the kill<strong>in</strong>g of <strong>Egypt</strong>ian soldiers on the Israeli-<strong>Egypt</strong>ian border, the stance is that the response<br />

should be an apology from Israel. The people morever want to put pressure on Israel <strong>in</strong> relation to the question of Palest<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

• <strong>Egypt</strong>ians trust the judicial system to properly deal with the trail of <strong>for</strong>mer President Mubarak. A clear majority of 67% agree that the<br />

trail of Former President Mubarak should be completed no matter what <strong>and</strong> 78% are will<strong>in</strong>g to accept whatever the outcome of the trail is.<br />

Presidential Elections:<br />

• Amr Moussa still has a comm<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g lead <strong>in</strong> the presidential race. There has been little development <strong>in</strong> the support <strong>for</strong> the presidential<br />

c<strong>and</strong>idates <strong>and</strong> <strong>for</strong>mer Secretary General of the Arab League <strong>and</strong> <strong>Egypt</strong>ian Foreign M<strong>in</strong>ister Amr Moussa still has a comm<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g lead <strong>in</strong> the<br />

presidential race as he gets support from 45% of decided voters. Ahmed Shafiq (<strong>for</strong>mer <strong>in</strong>terim prime m<strong>in</strong>ister) is second with 13% of the<br />

decided voters.<br />

Source: Two surveys from Sep. 16-27 <strong>and</strong> Aug. 5-17 with representative samples each with 2400 respondents of <strong>Egypt</strong>ian <strong>National</strong>ity above 18 years of<br />

age across 22 governorates<br />

5

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