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City Corporate & Business Plan - Municipal

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Chapter ñ 14 Final Report: Ambur <strong>Municipal</strong>ity<br />

The FOP is a cash flow stream of the ULB based on the regular <strong>Municipal</strong>ity<br />

revenues, expenditures and applicability of surplus funds to support project<br />

sustainability. The FOP horizon is determined to assess the impact of full debt<br />

servicing liability resulting from the borrowings to meet the identified interventions.<br />

The proposed capital investments are phased over 5 years investment from FY 2009-<br />

10 to FY 2013-14.<br />

The full project investment scenario is based on all the proposed investments<br />

identified for Thirupathur <strong>Municipal</strong>ity and the requirement for upgrading the townís<br />

infrastructure is estimated and phased based on the construction activity.<br />

Implications of this investment in terms of external borrowings required, resultant<br />

debt service commitment and additional operation and maintenance expenditure<br />

are worked out to ascertain sub-project cash flows. Revenue surpluses of the<br />

existing operations are applied to the sub-project cash flows emerging from full<br />

project investments ñ the <strong>Municipal</strong>ity fund net surpluses indicates the ULBís ability to<br />

sustain full investments.<br />

FY 2009-10 is taken as the base year and FY 2028-29 is assumed as the reference<br />

year (20 years) to determine the net surpluses and whether the <strong>Municipal</strong>ity<br />

maintains a debt / revenue surplus ratio as an indication of the ULBís ability to<br />

sustain investments.<br />

14.5 BASIC ASSUMPTIONS FOR PROJECTIONS :<br />

The FOP is based on a whole range of assumptions related to income and<br />

expenditure. These are critical to ascertain the investment sustenance and would<br />

also provide a tool to test certain specific policy decisions regarding revenue and<br />

expenditure drivers on the overall <strong>Municipal</strong>ity fiscal situation. This section<br />

elucidated the key assumptions adopted for the FOP scenario.<br />

The growth rates for the various heads of income and expenditure have been<br />

arrived based on the past growth rates and the future estimated population growth.<br />

Improvements to the existing current and arrears collection percentages have been<br />

assumed for the various revenues directly collected by the <strong>Municipal</strong>ity, which<br />

implies that the <strong>Municipal</strong>ity would have to improve its collection mechanism to<br />

sustain full investments.<br />

Given below are the various assumptions forming part of the FOP workings :<br />

14.5.1 Property Tax<br />

The population of Ambur <strong>Municipal</strong>ity is estimated to grow at around 1.35% p.a.<br />

Based on the same Property Tax Revenue are assumed to increase @ 1.35% per<br />

annum. The last revision of Property Tax was carried out on 1-10-98 and it is assumed<br />

- 149 -<br />

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