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UHF2 realignment study - Ofcom Licensing

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Final Report<br />

Study to review the configuration of<br />

the 450-470MHz Band in the UK<br />

December 2008<br />

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<strong>Ofcom</strong><br />

Riverside House<br />

2a Southwark Bridge Road<br />

London SE1 9HA<br />

STUDY TO REVIEW THE<br />

CONFIGURATION OF THE<br />

450-470MHZ BAND IN<br />

THE UK<br />

December 2008<br />

Issue and Revision Record<br />

Rev Date Originator<br />

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Checker<br />

Approver<br />

Description<br />

1 29 February 2008 Mark Redman Sean Kennedy Susan Sweet Final Draft<br />

2 21 July 2008 Mark Redman Sean Kennedy Susan Sweet Revision<br />

3 16 December 2008 Sean Kennedy Susan Sweet Susan Sweet Final<br />

This document has been prepared for the titled project or named part thereof and should not be relied upon or used for any other project<br />

without an independent check being carried out as to its suitability and prior written authority of Mott MacDonald being obtained. Mott<br />

MacDonald accepts no responsibility or liability for the consequences of this document being used for a purpose other than the purposes for<br />

which it was commissioned. Any person using or relying on the document for such other purpose agrees, and will by such use or reliance be<br />

taken to confirm his agreement to indemnify Mott MacDonald for all loss or damage resulting there from Mott MacDonald accepts no<br />

responsibility or liability for this document to any party other than the person by whom it was commissioned.<br />

To the extent that the report commissioned is to be based on information supplied by other parties, Mott MacDonald accepts no liability for<br />

any loss or damage suffered by the client, whether contractual or tortious, stemming from any conclusions based on data supplied by parties<br />

other than Mott MacDonald and used by Mott MacDonald in preparing this report.<br />

Mott MacDonald Ltd<br />

Information, Communications and Media<br />

Division<br />

Victory House<br />

Trafalgar Place<br />

Brighton<br />

BN1 4FY<br />

United Kingdom<br />

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About the authors<br />

Mott MacDonald prepared this report for the Office of Communications (<strong>Ofcom</strong>). Mott<br />

MacDonald, wish to thank <strong>Ofcom</strong> for their assistance and for providing expert comments on<br />

the draft. We also wish to thank the Stakeholders who participated in our interviews and<br />

questionnaires.<br />

This report represents the work of Mott MacDonald Ltd and does not necessarily represent<br />

the views of <strong>Ofcom</strong> or any other group.<br />

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Mott MacDonald is a world-class multi-disciplinary engineering,<br />

management and development company delivering solutions<br />

touching many facets of everyday life – from transport, energy,<br />

building, water and the environment to health and education,<br />

industry and communications. Further information can be found at<br />

www.mottmac.com<br />

ATDI is a radiocommunications software components solution<br />

provider providing radio networking planning and consultancy with<br />

a focus on radio and the technologies and systems that use radio<br />

spectrum. Further information can be found at www.atdi.co.uk<br />

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List of Contents Page<br />

0 Executive Summary 1<br />

0.1 Introduction 1<br />

0.2 <strong>UHF2</strong> Band in the UK 1<br />

0.3 Regulatory Environment for <strong>UHF2</strong> 2<br />

0.4 <strong>UHF2</strong> Technology and Market 3<br />

0.5 <strong>UHF2</strong> Stakeholders 3<br />

0.6 Interference in the <strong>UHF2</strong> Band 4<br />

0.7 Cost Benefit Analysis of different Options for the <strong>UHF2</strong> Band 5<br />

0.8 Recommendations 6<br />

1 Introduction 8<br />

1.1 Aims and Scope 8<br />

1.2 Background 9<br />

1.3 Catalyst for change 9<br />

1.4 Overview of this <strong>study</strong> 10<br />

2 Spectrum Management of the <strong>UHF2</strong> Band 11<br />

2.1 Introduction 11<br />

2.2 <strong>UHF2</strong> Band in the UK 11<br />

2.3 Types of service 11<br />

2.4 Licences 14<br />

2.5 Users in <strong>UHF2</strong> band 17<br />

2.6 Geographic and User Split 21<br />

2.7 Summary & Conclusions 24<br />

3 Regulatory Environment 25<br />

3.1 Introduction 25<br />

3.2 International Telecommunications Union (ITU) 25<br />

3.3 European Regulatory Framework 25<br />

3.4 Electronic Communications Committee (ECC) 26<br />

3.5 UK Regulatory Environment for <strong>UHF2</strong> 29<br />

3.6 Summary & Conclusions 31<br />

4 Technology and Market 32<br />

4.1 Introduction 32<br />

4.2 Technology and Services 32<br />

4.3 Projected Sales of PMR Terminals 38<br />

4.4 Summary & Conclusions 40<br />

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5 Reconfiguration drivers and challenges 41<br />

5.1 Introduction 41<br />

5.2 Drivers and challenges for band alignment 41<br />

5.3 Stakeholders current views on the <strong>UHF2</strong> band 42<br />

5.4 Summary & Conclusions 46<br />

6 Interference environment 47<br />

6.1 Introduction 47<br />

6.2 Interference challenges for <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum 47<br />

6.3 Analysis of the continental interference environment 48<br />

6.4 Analysis of the affects of interference in different spectrum configurations 50<br />

6.5 Economic evaluation of Interference 54<br />

6.6 Future interference environment 55<br />

6.7 Summary & Conclusions 57<br />

7 Economics, Costs, Demands and Benefits of Reconfiguring the <strong>UHF2</strong> band 58<br />

7.1 Introduction 58<br />

7.2 Measuring Costs and Benefits of <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum reconfiguration 58<br />

7.3 Methodology for measuring the costs and benefits of Band Alignment 62<br />

7.4 Review of previous research on the costs of band alignment 63<br />

7.5 Review of previous research on the benefits of band alignment 68<br />

7.6 Distribution of costs and benefits 76<br />

7.7 Summary & Conclusions 77<br />

8 Options development and CBA 80<br />

8.1 Introduction 80<br />

8.2 The options for band alignment 80<br />

8.3 The major cost and benefit categories 80<br />

8.4 Interference Costs and Benefits 87<br />

8.5 Results 89<br />

8.6 Conclusions 97<br />

9 Conclusions and Recommendations 99<br />

9.1 Introduction 99<br />

9.2 Summary of Findings 99<br />

9.3 PEST Analysis 102<br />

9.4 Summary of Conclusions 103<br />

9.5 Recommendations 104<br />

Appendix A: Stakeholder Engagement A-1<br />

Appendix B: Interference B-1<br />

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Appendix C: <strong>UHF2</strong> Interference Regulation C-1<br />

Appendix D: Modelling Interference D-1<br />

Appendix E: Narrowband Interference Modelling Results E-1<br />

Appendix F: Wideband Interference Modelling Results F-1<br />

Appendix G: Spectrum Trading and Liberalisation Modelling G-1<br />

Appendix H: Cost Benefit Analysis Assumptions H-1<br />

Appendix I: Glossary I-3<br />

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0 Executive Summary<br />

0.1 Introduction<br />

This report presents the findings of a <strong>study</strong> on the configuration of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band (450-<br />

470MHz), undertaken for <strong>Ofcom</strong> by Mott MacDonald Ltd and ATDI Ltd. The configuration of<br />

the <strong>UHF2</strong> band in the UK is not harmonised with its European neighbours, leading to<br />

challenges around continental interference and the introduction of digital technologies.<br />

The opportunity presented by the Emergency & Public Safety Services vacating most of its<br />

use from the <strong>UHF2</strong> band, recent technological and regulatory changes means that now is<br />

the right time for a policy review to ensure the highest value use of the <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum.<br />

0.2 <strong>UHF2</strong> Band in the UK<br />

The <strong>UHF2</strong> band supports a number of business and mission critical systems. The<br />

configuration of the spectrum enables the deployment of on-site systems, wide area systems<br />

and national/regional systems for use by land mobile services. The <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum in the<br />

UK is suited to narrow band systems with channel spacing ranging from 6.25 kHz to 25 kHz,<br />

due to the configuration and management of the band. The benefits of this spectrum are<br />

realised by both businesses and public safety organisations.<br />

Emergency and Public Safety Services<br />

(E&PSS);<br />

Scanning Telemetry (ST);<br />

Business Radio (BR), including Maritime<br />

radio on board ships;<br />

Programme Making and Special Events<br />

(PMSE);<br />

Short Range Devices (SRD).<br />

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E&PSS<br />

32%<br />

We concluded the following main points concerning the <strong>UHF2</strong> band:<br />

Spectrum used in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band in the UK supports the operation of multi-<br />

billion pound businesses which benefit from the use of the spectrum in its<br />

current configuration and any disruption to the full time operation of these<br />

systems could result in very costly and very complex changes to critical<br />

national infrastructure;<br />

There is high utilisation of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band with a growing number of licensees<br />

with thousands of mobiles operating in the band. This indicates the demand<br />

for use of the band and cost effectiveness as an attraction for business type<br />

use;<br />

SRD<br />

5%<br />

PMSE<br />

20%<br />

ST<br />

10%<br />

BR<br />

33%<br />

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The current configuration of the band is complex with many small fragmented<br />

0.3 Regulatory Environment for <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

portions spread throughout the band in a reverse aligned arrangement. The<br />

large number of duplex splits makes network development difficult and limits<br />

use to narrowband type systems, excluding wideband systems.<br />

The regulatory environment has moved at a fast pace and will continue to do so, with <strong>Ofcom</strong><br />

introducing liberalisation and trading policies, coupled with simplification of the licensing<br />

processes. These changes have in effect handed much of the future re-configuration of the<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> band into the hands of the market by enabling the configuration of the band to be<br />

managed by licensees within the regulatory framework set by <strong>Ofcom</strong>. In addition, we drew<br />

the following main conclusions:<br />

The 450-470MHz band will become an IMT-2000 band, where IMT2000<br />

wideband technology may be deployed in neighbouring countries in the<br />

future, which may increase interference received from the continent. The UK<br />

will need to ensure that its services in the band are protected from<br />

interference;<br />

Liberalisation and Trading will be established as a market mechanism for the<br />

market to decide how the band should be used in the future, allowing<br />

licensees the opportunity to re-configure the band as they wish;<br />

Most of the UK’s continental neighbours have adopted ECC Recommendation<br />

TR25-08, but the UK has not adopted this Recommendation, which could lead<br />

to co-ordination problems in the future, thereby necessitating the need for the<br />

UK to proceed with developing an MoU in the <strong>UHF2</strong> with its continental<br />

neighbours;<br />

The 6-month notice period set by <strong>Ofcom</strong> for Band Alignment of the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

band still remains an issue that is outstanding and would need to be<br />

addressed to give stakeholders certainty on their security of tenure in the<br />

band.<br />

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0.4 <strong>UHF2</strong> Technology and Market<br />

The market has risen to the challenge of un-harmonised spectrum by introducing either<br />

flexible digital technology in the form of DMR or indeed has altered existing TERTA products<br />

to fit the UK specific configuration. The diagram below illustrates that either DMR or TETRA<br />

will meet the demands of all market sectors for narrowband technology, where it is expected<br />

that the market will effectively churn<br />

from analogue to digital rather than a<br />

growth in overall market. However,<br />

the introduction of wideband<br />

technology will remain difficult owing<br />

to the lack of aligned contiguous<br />

spectrum with the necessary<br />

spectrum masks.<br />

We concluded the following main points on <strong>UHF2</strong> technology and markets:<br />

0.5 <strong>UHF2</strong> Stakeholders<br />

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For the introduction of narrow band digital technology, a 10MHz duplex split is<br />

no longer required;<br />

Digital PMR technology will out sell analogue over the next two years in the<br />

UHF bands;<br />

DMR will be the digital narrowband technology of choice over the next few<br />

years, which will increase capacity of networks, with users benefiting from<br />

new features;<br />

There is a market for narrowband Digital PMR technology in the UK now and<br />

in the future;<br />

CDMA450 is seen as a technology to deliver 3G services to rural areas.<br />

We conducted stakeholder interviews from a cross section of the industry on what the future<br />

policy of the <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum should be, where we drew the following conclusions:<br />

The original drivers for the alignment project are mainly irrelevant in the light<br />

of new regulation and technology development. The main drivers are now<br />

economic benefit and interference which will be reviewed in the following<br />

chapters;<br />

Market Catagories<br />

Public Safety/<br />

Mission Critical<br />

Professional/<br />

Business Critical<br />

Commercial &<br />

Light Industrial<br />

The future spectrum manager of the E&PSS will have a key role to play in the<br />

future re-configuration of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band as they will manage the largest<br />

amount of clear spectrum for potential re-assignment;<br />

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Vertical Markets<br />

Emergency Services<br />

Airports/Ports Utilities<br />

Public Transport<br />

Local Government<br />

Mining<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Petrochemical Taxi/Logistics<br />

Construction Radio Hire<br />

Private Security<br />

Retail<br />

Military<br />

Hospitality<br />

Warehousing<br />

Agriculture<br />

European<br />

Digital Radio Standards<br />

TETRA: Release 2 (TEDS)<br />

TETRA: Release 1<br />

DMR Tier 3: Licensed<br />

Trunked<br />

DMR Tier 2: Licensed<br />

Conventional<br />

DMR Tier 1: Licence<br />

Exempt<br />

European<br />

Analogue Standards<br />

MPT 1327 & Standard<br />

PMR<br />

Standard PMR (EN 300<br />

086)<br />

PMR446<br />

Other technology<br />

CDMA: PAMR<br />

TIA Project 25<br />

TETRAPOL<br />

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There is a demand for narrowband technology, which does not need to be re-<br />

configured;<br />

The introduction of wide band systems, would probably need at least 2 x<br />

5MHz and would need a review of the adjacent channel and international co-<br />

ordination measures to make it attractive to new entrants;<br />

Stakeholders would like clear guidance on the future policy of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band;<br />

Operators of mission critical services within the band would need a<br />

compelling reason and assurances for funding the re-configuration of the<br />

band and would also need to develop mitigation techniques to avoid<br />

interference risks to their services;<br />

There is little appetite for any re-configuration within the band from incumbent<br />

licensees.<br />

0.6 Interference in the <strong>UHF2</strong> Band<br />

We reviewed current and future interference scenarios that could potentially impact services<br />

in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. We also looked at the procedures that are in place to manage<br />

interference both nationally and internationally. The main element from our analysis was the<br />

geographical area covered in the UK by continental interference, this interference raises the<br />

noise floor by 3dB and gives an indication of how interference impacts coverage areas – see<br />

the diagrams below.<br />

Through our analysis of the interference environment, we concluded the following main<br />

points:<br />

There is significant interference from the continent into UK base station<br />

receivers when modelling the current realistic scenario (UK CEPT reversed<br />

with 1% time and Base station antenna is 30m agl);<br />

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The effect of interference on service area to narrowband systems is around<br />

70% of the noise for which the following coverage areas are lost due to the<br />

noise; 30% in the south of England, 0% in the Midlands and 1% in the North;<br />

The UK would benefit from a Memorandum of Understanding for the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

band over and above the procedures contained in the HCM agreement;<br />

The introduction of wide band systems into the <strong>UHF2</strong> band would have a<br />

dramatic effect on the existing narrow band users not only in the trading<br />

coordination aspect but also in the noise levels rising from 3 to 8dB<br />

depending on the separation distance between the systems. These<br />

degradations will change depending on the separation distances and<br />

geographic terrain between the various co-channel systems;<br />

There is an economic impact to the <strong>UHF2</strong> band to consider if the UK were to<br />

suffer significant continental interference;<br />

Guard bands and geographical separation would be necessary if the UK were<br />

to adopt partial alignment in some areas in the UK;<br />

Users of <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum in the UK currently do not suffer continental<br />

interference due to the low level of radio communications activity in the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

band on the continent. It is has been found that if the UK were to become<br />

CEPT aligned, any future potential interference could be greatly reduced.<br />

0.7 Cost Benefit Analysis of different Options for the <strong>UHF2</strong> Band<br />

A number of options were used to carry out our Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) for the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

band. From a case of a ‘do nothing option’ to ‘Partial alignment’. The results of this are<br />

outlined in the table below.<br />

Rank Net Benefit<br />

1 Base case (do nothing) -<br />

2 Partial alignment (narrowband) – Block C only -£2.1M<br />

3 Partial alignment (narrowband) – other blocks -£6.7M to -£22.4M<br />

4 Partial alignment (wideband) -£80M<br />

5 Full alignment – managed -£189M<br />

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The CBA was developed from previous studies commissioned by different organisations and<br />

agencies such as the Government, the Radiocommunications Agency (RA) and <strong>Ofcom</strong> and<br />

drew on information from recent auctions, information on new technology and the impact of<br />

regulatory changes.<br />

0.8 Recommendations<br />

The Band Alignment project was withdrawn by <strong>Ofcom</strong> in 2004. This project was generally a<br />

process of partial alignment steps, through which these steps are taken through the use of<br />

vacant spectrum as a result of the Emergency Services migrating out of the band, for which<br />

over a period of a few years would have resulted in full alignment. We do not believe that<br />

this process would have been suitable to either industry or indeed <strong>Ofcom</strong> due to the<br />

upheaval, uncertainty and cost over a long duration this would have had on industry. We<br />

believe that if now <strong>Ofcom</strong> were to opt for partial or full alignment of the band, then the use of<br />

an Overlay auction process would be attractive, allowing notice to be served on incumbents<br />

of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band and allowing the market the option to migrate to new services and new<br />

spectrum. However, our analysis leads us to conclude that a policy of no regulatory<br />

intervention should be maintained, due to the introduction of flexible digital technology, the<br />

CBA results and the regulatory measures currently in place should enable the market to<br />

reconfigure the spectrum should they wish.<br />

Based on the findings of the report, we concluded that <strong>Ofcom</strong> should not manage any re-<br />

alignment within the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. We also recommend the following:<br />

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<strong>Ofcom</strong> should not directly intervene in any alignment of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band and<br />

should enable the market to align through market mechanisms such as<br />

trading and liberalisation, assisting where necessary;<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> should assist the E&PSS spectrum manager (Post 2009) in working<br />

closely with <strong>UHF2</strong> stakeholders in any re-configuration of the band;<br />

MASTS should be modified or processes put in place to assess the impact of<br />

aligning a channel within unaligned spectrum and amendments to the<br />

algorithm for a guard band and geographical separation needed between co-<br />

channel users. This tool should also be used to assist in any future re-<br />

configuration of the band;<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> should proceed with developing an MOU with the its continental<br />

neighbours to avoid any future interference;<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> must decide and communicate the future policy for the <strong>UHF2</strong> band in<br />

order to remove uncertainty over the band to users;<br />

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<strong>Ofcom</strong> should continue to monitor interference that may be caused by any<br />

future deployments of wideband networks from the Continent and the impact<br />

this would have from current licensees;<br />

If <strong>Ofcom</strong> does decide to proceed with alignment, we would recommend Partial<br />

Alignment where users of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band are least impacted and further<br />

detailed analysis is carried out.<br />

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1 Introduction<br />

1.1 Aims and Scope<br />

One of <strong>Ofcom</strong>’s key statutory duties is to ensure the optimal use of the radio spectrum under<br />

its management. Radio spectrum is a major asset to the UK, contributing some £24bn to the<br />

economy each year and underlying many aspects of our lives.<br />

In line with its principal statutory duties, <strong>Ofcom</strong> seeks to further the interests of citizens in<br />

relation to communication matters and to further the interest of consumers in relevant<br />

markets, where appropriate, by promoting competition. In relation to spectrum management,<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> is required to secure the optimal use of the spectrum.<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> does not manage the entire spectrum as some bands are managed by the<br />

Government for defence and other purposes.<br />

In carrying out its spectrum management duties <strong>Ofcom</strong> has responsibility for:<br />

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Enabling the availability of spectrum;<br />

Understanding current and future demand for spectrum;<br />

Promoting efficient management and use of the spectrum;<br />

Understanding the economic and other benefits arising from its use;<br />

Facilitating the development of innovative services through the use of<br />

spectrum; and<br />

Facilitating competition in electronic communications services.<br />

This <strong>study</strong> investigates and addresses at a high level the optimum balance between the<br />

factors affecting the optimum management of the 450-470MHz (<strong>UHF2</strong>) spectrum.<br />

Objectives and considerations include:<br />

maximising the socio-economics benefit for the UK;<br />

minimising regulatory intervention;<br />

examining the impact of the adopted policy on the user community;<br />

relating the objectives to <strong>Ofcom</strong>'s market led management policy; and<br />

taking into account the needs of industry.<br />

This <strong>study</strong> builds upon previous studies and uses a methodical approach to the development<br />

of future policy options for the spectrum management of <strong>UHF2</strong>.<br />

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1.2 Background<br />

The <strong>UHF2</strong> band in the UK is occupied by two distinct communities: a wide variety of narrow<br />

band business radio users and the Emergency and Public Safety Services operating mission<br />

critical systems.<br />

Prior to 2003, a key part of the UK’s spectrum strategy was alignment of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band with<br />

the rest of Europe 1 and the Radiocommunications Agency (RA) initiated a project to align the<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> band by 2006. This alignment would have significantly reduced the interference from<br />

the continent into the UK, in particular in the coastal regions and on occasion in London and<br />

the Midlands. Additionally it would have created the potential for the existing systems to grow<br />

and enabled the introduction of new digital systems to facilitate more technical and<br />

economically efficient use of the band.<br />

In 2003, the RA, now part of the new communications regulator, <strong>Ofcom</strong>, was lobbied by the<br />

industry to re-consider the <strong>UHF2</strong> alignment project. Although the stakeholders understood<br />

continental interference was a potential risk to the stakeholders operations, the cost and<br />

disruption of alignment was seen as complex and prohibitive.<br />

The alignment project was withdrawn in July 2004, due to industries’ concerns and the<br />

approach not being in-line with <strong>Ofcom</strong>’s market approach to the management of spectrum 2 .<br />

1.3 Catalyst for change<br />

Since 2004, regulation and technology have moved on considerably, with <strong>Ofcom</strong> introducing<br />

spectrum trading and liberalisation and the industry developing new innovative digital<br />

technologies. In addition, the interference environment and how <strong>Ofcom</strong> quantifies this<br />

through Spectrum Quality Benchmarking, the use of spectrum masks and latterly Spectrum<br />

Usage Rights has now moved forward.<br />

The <strong>UHF2</strong> band currently has approximately 7MHz of spectrum allocated for Emergency and<br />

Public Safety Services (E&PSS) use. Within the next 2 years, a significant portion of this part<br />

of the spectrum will become unassigned owing to the majority of the current <strong>UHF2</strong> E&PSS<br />

users migrating onto the Airwave service. This migration of E&PSS to Airwave will leave a<br />

considerable amount of <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum potentially available which could be re-assigned,<br />

used as an aid to re-configuration through partial alignment or could assist any migration of<br />

services through temporary assignment.<br />

The opportunities presented by potential availability of E&PSS spectrum, technological<br />

progress and regulatory change mean that now is the right time for a policy review of the<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> band to ensure the highest value use of the spectrum.<br />

1 CEPT Spectrum configuration as defined in ECC Recommendation TR25-08: www.ero.dk<br />

2 Withdrawal of the Band Re-alignment Project: www.ofcom.org.uk/radiocomms/ifi/glines/pbr_cg/450_470_band_<strong>realignment</strong><br />

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1.4 Overview of this <strong>study</strong><br />

This project draws upon studies previously undertaken on the subject of band <strong>realignment</strong><br />

and supports the creation of a progressive approach to reviewing any reconfiguration of the<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> band. The main challenges are explored and a method of assessing the Cost and<br />

Benefits of chosen policy directions have been developed, taking into account concerns of<br />

key stakeholders in this era of liberalisation and spectrum trading.<br />

The <strong>study</strong> takes a three stage approach where we:<br />

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Understand the environment – Review the use of the <strong>UHF2</strong> Band, the<br />

regulatory environment, technical developments and assess the demand. In<br />

addition, through key stakeholder engagement gain an understanding of any<br />

challenges for re-configuration and explore any benefits. Stakeholders,<br />

consulted or interviewed are listed at Appendix A.<br />

Model the interference and Economics of <strong>UHF2</strong> – The main challenges for<br />

policy of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band is the debate between interference and the<br />

economics of policy decisions.<br />

Draw conclusions and make recommendations - From the modelling and<br />

understand and develop conclusions and recommendations for the future<br />

policy of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

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2 Spectrum Management of the <strong>UHF2</strong> Band<br />

2.1 Introduction<br />

This chapter outlines how the 450-470MHz (<strong>UHF2</strong> band) spectrum is used and services are<br />

supported. We address key aspects of the licence regime used in the UK and the<br />

complexities that exist due to the configuration of the spectrum. We also identify the main<br />

industry sectors and stakeholders and discuss how they use the spectrum.<br />

2.2 <strong>UHF2</strong> Band in the UK<br />

The <strong>UHF2</strong> band supports a number of business and mission critical systems. The<br />

configuration of the spectrum enables the deployment of on-site systems, wide area systems<br />

and national/regional systems for use by land mobile services. The <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum in the<br />

UK is suited to narrow band systems with channel spacing ranging from 6.25 kHz to 25 kHz,<br />

due to the configuration and management of the band. The benefits of this spectrum are<br />

realised by both businesses and public safety organisations.<br />

2.3 Types of service<br />

In the UK the <strong>UHF2</strong> band contains many types of services that are categorised as follows:<br />

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Emergency and Public Safety Services (E&PSS);<br />

Scanning Telemetry (ST);<br />

Business Radio (BR), including Maritime radio on board ships;<br />

Programme Making and Special Events (PMSE);<br />

Short Range Devices (SRD).<br />

Each service has its own spectrum allocation, within the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. Figure 1 below, shows<br />

the approximate percentage allocation by service.<br />

E&PSS<br />

32%<br />

Source: Mott MacDonald<br />

Figure 1 <strong>UHF2</strong> Band Allocations<br />

SRD<br />

5%<br />

PMSE<br />

20%<br />

Page 11<br />

ST<br />

10%<br />

BR<br />

33%<br />

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2.3.1 Spectrum allocation and configuration<br />

The <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum allocations are made up of different size blocks of spectrum for each<br />

service. Each block is fragmented throughout the band as can be seen on the next page at<br />

Figure 2, which shows the <strong>UHF2</strong> band frequency allocations by service.<br />

Figure 2 illustrates that the <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum configuration in the UK makes provision for<br />

using dual frequencies and single frequencies. Dual frequency operation requires the use of<br />

a duplex split (the frequency separation of a base station transmit frequency and a mobile<br />

transmit frequency). The <strong>UHF2</strong> band in the UK makes use of many duplex splits, however,<br />

most of the <strong>UHF2</strong> dual frequency channels are on 5.5 MHz and 6.5 MHz duplex splits.<br />

The configuration of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band in the UK is mainly the reverse of the European <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

allocation. This means the UK band is not in accordance with ECC recommendation T/R 25-<br />

08 which recommends that the <strong>UHF2</strong> band is formed of 1x10 MHz (450-460MHz) allocated<br />

for Base Station Receive, and 1x10 MHz (460-470MHz) allocated for Base Station Transmit.<br />

The European configuration of a single 10 MHz duplex split throughout the <strong>UHF2</strong> band<br />

makes efficient use of the spectrum and benefits from harmonisation throughout continental<br />

Europe thereby limiting the probability of interference.<br />

There are currently 48 different frequency duplex splits used within the band in the UK which<br />

allows for a variety of different deployments, however we have found:<br />

Excluding E&PSS:<br />

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Approximately 16,500 assignments (including E&PSS) are duplex and would<br />

have to retune to a 10 MHz duplex split if the UK were to move to the<br />

European band plan.<br />

10,250 assignments are duplex; of which,<br />

2200 are the right way round (99% are 6.5 MHz, range 6.5 MHz – 17.8<br />

MHz); and<br />

Approximately 8100 are the wrong way round (range 5.3 – 10 MHz).<br />

7400 assignments are simplex<br />

4 base stations have 10 MHz duplex split but are the wrong way round.<br />

The diagram in Figure 2 and the statistics given above are indicative of the complexity and<br />

high utilisation of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. If demand for use of this band increases, making<br />

assignments and finding new frequencies will become increasingly difficult.<br />

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Source: Mott MacDonald<br />

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Figure 2 <strong>UHF2</strong> High Level UK Band Plan<br />

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2.3.2 Spectrum management<br />

The historical deployment of services in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band with the many duplex splits has<br />

helped enable the Business Radio community to meet the particular needs of businesses.<br />

However, this has led to a complex <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum arrangement and the need for guard<br />

bands. The guard bands aid the management of the spectrum and enable the different<br />

services to co-exist. The guard bands provide sufficient protection between channels and<br />

create a non-utilised, reserved set of spectrum allocating enough empty space so that users<br />

either side of the guard band can operate without affecting each other. This spectrum<br />

management technique is essential for making assignments to avoid harmful interference.<br />

However, demand for spectrum will increase in the future and there will be a limit to how<br />

much more spectrum will be available in the current configuration.<br />

The fragmented allocations and variety of duplex splits in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band make it extremely<br />

difficult to deploy wide-band systems. This means that currently narrow band systems are<br />

the only technologies accessing this spectrum. The variety of different services and<br />

assignment types, discussed in Section 2.5, add another level of complexity for efficient<br />

spectrum management.<br />

2.4 Licences<br />

Most business radio users requiring a licence must currently apply through <strong>Ofcom</strong> who<br />

conducts the technical analysis and makes the frequency assignment. Recently <strong>Ofcom</strong> has<br />

developed a licensing tool that enables new and existing licensees to apply for their licence<br />

online. This facility eases the process of making new frequency assignments in the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

band. In addition to <strong>Ofcom</strong>, spectrum is managed by other ‘Spectrum Managers’ that<br />

provide the technical analysis to enable frequency assignments to be made. The <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

band has several band managers, the Joint Frequency Management Group (JFMG) for the<br />

PMSE sector and the Joint Radio Company (JRC) and CSS Spectrum Management<br />

Services for the Utilities sector. Spectrum Managers are expected to increase over the next<br />

few years, with the next Spectrum Manger in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band likely to manage the E&PSS<br />

spectrum.<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> publishes licence statistics to provide knowledge and an understanding of the amount<br />

of spectrum that is occupied from year to year. The last set of published licence statistics for<br />

Business Radio use within the UK was for 2006 3 . This report provides an overview of the<br />

latest business radio licence figures and spectrum availability. Key licence figures are<br />

summarised in the following five tables.<br />

3 Business radio licence class report for 2006:<br />

www.ofcom.org.uk/radiocomms/ifi/licensing/classes/business_radio/information/brls06.pdf<br />

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Table 1 provides information on the number of licences and mobiles for wide area Business<br />

Radio licences operating in the UK.<br />

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Table 1 Business Radio Wide Area Licences 2005<br />

Business Category Number of licences No of Mobiles<br />

Ambulance & General Medical 260 5,657<br />

Bus & Coach operators 97 25,213<br />

Gas, electricity, coal & Nuclear 45 10,712<br />

General (Wide Area Shared) 3,145 52,550<br />

Local & Central Government 883 66,291<br />

Motor/Pedal Cycle Despatch 126 7,810<br />

Taxis & Private Car Hire 6,121 154,060<br />

Water Industry 12 2,466<br />

TOTAL 10,689 324,759<br />

Table 2 shows the number of licences and mobiles for on-site Business Radio up to the end<br />

of 2005 for Business Radio frequencies licensed to operate between 26 – 466 MHz.<br />

Table 2 Business Radio On-site Licences 2005<br />

Business Category Number of licences No of Mobiles<br />

Ambulance & General Medical 955 10,274<br />

Gas, electricity, coal & Nuclear 342 9,300<br />

General (Single & Dual Frequency) 21,247 302,958<br />

Local & Central Government 1,426 20,408<br />

Water Industry 138 979<br />

Table 1 and Table 2 show that for Business Radio:<br />

TOTAL 24,108 343,919<br />

Almost 60% of wide area mobiles are used by taxis and private car hire. This<br />

represents about 40% to the total number of mobiles deployed in the UK.<br />

Table 3 shows the number of mobiles deployed by the end of 2005 for wide area and on-site<br />

licences. These numbers represent over 60% of the total number of mobiles deployed in the<br />

UK.<br />

Table 3 Number of mobiles in <strong>UHF2</strong> band Licences 2005<br />

Number of mobiles in <strong>UHF2</strong> band<br />

WIDE AREA LICENCE 24,712<br />

ON-SITE LICENCE 184,082<br />

TOTAL 208,794<br />

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Table 4 below, shows for each type of use, the number of single and dual channels in the<br />

453-462 block of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. It shows that the majority of single channels are available<br />

for on-site shared systems, which typically includes single frequency data services such as<br />

paging. Table 4 also shows that National channels account for almost 25% of all dual<br />

channels available in 2005.<br />

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Table 4 Number of single and dual channels available in <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

UHF 2 453.00625-462.49375 MHz Single Dual<br />

Wide area shared 0 15<br />

On-site shared 57 30<br />

National Public Mobile Data operators 0 14<br />

National Channel users 1 41<br />

Exclusive channel users 1 6<br />

UK General 3 0<br />

Short Term Hire 1 9<br />

Parking and Demonstration 0 1<br />

Short Term Hire/Parking and Demonstration 0 1<br />

Limited availability channels 0 32<br />

Split dual frequency channels 0 23<br />

No assignments at present 8 36<br />

TOTAL CHANNELS 71 208<br />

Table 5 below shows the number of single and dual channels assigned for <strong>UHF2</strong> licences at<br />

the end of 2005. The majority of assignments were made for on-site licences which make up<br />

over 80% of channels assigned in the UK.<br />

Table 5 Number of single and dual channels for <strong>UHF2</strong> Licences 2006<br />

Band Dual Frequency<br />

channels<br />

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Single frequency<br />

channels<br />

Total Channels<br />

WIDE AREA LICENCE ASSIGNMENTS 78 1,169 1,247<br />

ON-SITE LICENCE ASSIGNMENTS 8,174 5,915 14,089<br />

NATIONAL & REGIONAL LICENCE<br />

ASSIGNMENTS<br />

849 1,183 2,032<br />

TOTAL CHANNELS 9,101 7,197 17,368<br />

BAND Dual frequency<br />

channels<br />

Single frequency<br />

channels<br />

Total spectrum available<br />

(MHz)<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> AVAILABLE CHANNELS 207 71 5.3250<br />

The tables above demonstrate that due to the limited amount of spectrum allocated for<br />

Business Radio, many licences and frequency assignments have been made which include<br />

many hundreds of mobiles deployed. This suggests that there has been very intense use of<br />

the <strong>UHF2</strong> band corresponding with high demand, which can be seen from the number of<br />

channels that are available in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band for both wide area and on-site. The limit in<br />

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spectrum will continue to make awarding licences very challenging and therefore careful<br />

planning is required when making future assignments.<br />

It is clear from tables 1 – 5 that the <strong>UHF2</strong> band has been highly utilised and sought after for<br />

business radio use, which could be a concern for the future. Should demand increase for use<br />

of the band, channels will become scarcer and users may have to move to a less optimum<br />

spectrum solution both in terms of cost and network requirements.<br />

Previous land Mobile statistics suggest that licensing in PMR has reached a plateau. There<br />

has been no noticeable increase in sales of PMR equipment or significant developments in<br />

PMR equipment in the last few years. However, it is anticipated that these numbers will<br />

decline with cellular networks attracting users of business radio using wide area networks<br />

due to lower cost bundled minutes offering a more cost effective solution than a private<br />

mobile network.<br />

It is likely in the future that PMR users in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band will remain using on-site networks<br />

as a provision for their local communications rather than for wide area systems. On-site<br />

networks for users in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band are economical as minimal operational expenditure and<br />

smaller capital outlay is required compared to wide area networks. Therefore, we believe<br />

that wide area users of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band business radio will begin to move to public mobile<br />

networks, where their needs are met (i.e. balance of resilience/Facilities (group call)/Costs)),<br />

with on-site users predominantly remaining with their service.<br />

2.5 Users in <strong>UHF2</strong> band<br />

This section discusses the main industry sectors that use the <strong>UHF2</strong> band and explains in<br />

more detail how they use the <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum, why they have chosen to use the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

spectrum and where they use <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum in the UK. We examine the following sector<br />

users:<br />

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Emergency and Public Safety Services (E&PSS);<br />

Scanning Telemetry (ST);<br />

Business Radio (BR), including Maritime radio on board ships;<br />

Programme Making and Special Events (PMSE);<br />

Short Range Devices (SRD).<br />

2.5.1 Emergency and Public Safety Services (E&PSS)<br />

The Public Safety Spectrum Policy Group (PSSPG) currently dictates policy for the use of<br />

the <strong>UHF2</strong> band, and other bands, for the emergency and public safety services. The PSSPG<br />

manages the spectrum policy for the spectrum assigned within the UK3 footnote included in<br />

the UK Frequency Allocation Table (UKFAT) 4 .<br />

4 UKFAT 2007: http://www.ofcom.org.uk/radiocomms/isu/ukfat/<br />

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The E&PSS make extensive use of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. The 81 channel assignments for the<br />

E&PSS make up approximately 30% of the allocated spectrum. The use of the spectrum by<br />

the E&PSS varies between voice only wide area systems and on-site voice and data<br />

systems.<br />

The Fire and Rescue Services (FRS) use six incident ground communication channels and<br />

one national inter-agency channel within the band. This use is for critical communications at<br />

an incident where fire fighters can communicate with each other via their self-provided peer-<br />

to-peer radios. Individual FRS’s hold their own licence enabling them to manage their own<br />

communications effectively.<br />

The Police use 49 channels nationwide in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band for their variety of different<br />

communications needs, such as emergency, events, inter-agency and training. The<br />

migration of all these services onto Airwave in 2008/9 will result in the return of these<br />

channels to the PSSPG. The Police and National Policing Improvement Agency (NPIA) are<br />

planning the replacement or augmentation of the Airwave network for 2016 to include<br />

wideband services, where <strong>UHF2</strong> is under consideration for a band that could support such a<br />

service.<br />

The majority of E&PSS will be migrating their mobile communications provision in <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

band to the Airwave service in 2008/9. However, there are a number of users within the<br />

E&PSS, for example the prison service and HM Customs and Excise, who are not moving on<br />

to the Airwave network and will remain using the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. Access to the spectrum for<br />

these other non-emergency users will need to be maintained and consideration given to their<br />

requirements for any re-configuration in the future.<br />

2.5.2 Scanning Telemetry<br />

The service provided by Scanning Telemetry allows the monitoring of critical national fuel<br />

and power, water and non-utility services. The spectrum licensed for the operation of these<br />

national networks is essential to maintain a safe, reliable and resilient service to the<br />

businesses that use them and ultimately to the customers. Certain users of Scanning<br />

Telemetry systems are integrated into the Critical National Infrastructure to ensure the<br />

highest-level priority is given in case of major catastrophic events severely disrupting the<br />

network.<br />

The fuel and power services use 38 channels. Operating on a 24/7 basis there are<br />

approximately 500 base stations deployed in the UK for the fuel and power network with<br />

thousands of outstations which report their status every 2 minutes to the central control<br />

room. This level of management is crucial should an incident occur in the network and allows<br />

for a swift analysis and response to any incident. The network infrastructure has been<br />

developed over many years to ensure national coverage is maintained and a reliable,<br />

resilient service guaranteed.<br />

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The water industry use 24 national core channels and the non-utilities use 8 channels. These<br />

channels are available 24/7 for the safe and reliable operation of the national network. Using<br />

approximately 500 base stations and over 10,000 outstations, this critical network monitors<br />

and controls the operation of the water industries services to its customers. The current<br />

spectrum configuration is suited to this type of narrow band use where high packing<br />

densities are utilised to make the most use out of the spectrum.<br />

The duplex split for Scanning Telemetry provides a suitable arrangement for the deployment<br />

of services on a national basis.<br />

The mission critical nature of the utility companies means that any future national spectrum<br />

management policy decisions must be sensitive to these radio systems.<br />

2.5.3 Business Radio (BR)<br />

There are a large number of different users and types of usage within the <strong>UHF2</strong> band for<br />

Business Radio (BR). BR extends into many areas of business use, such as:<br />

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Logistics and services industry;<br />

Power and Fuel industry;<br />

Private Security services;<br />

Transport services - private and public;<br />

Media, Sport and Recreation.<br />

BR systems are deployed across the UK and there are some national channel allocations<br />

available to large organisations that require them. An example of a large organisation is<br />

Network Rail, which has a national requirement for a secure, private communications<br />

network. An organisation like this uses several narrowband channels on a national basis to<br />

enable the safe and dedicated operation that is required.<br />

The spectrum allocated for BR services is 5.325 MHz of <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum. The current<br />

configuration in the UK is the reverse alignment with ERC Recommendation T/R 25-08. The<br />

current consequences of this are minimal due to limited activity in Europe in the lower part of<br />

the band, 450-460 MHz, and there is no significant impact to users at the moment. The<br />

situation in Europe could potentially change and could in the future cause interference to<br />

these services in the UK.<br />

There are over 17,000 assignments operating BR within the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. The implication of<br />

this in relation to any re-configuration of the band has meant in the past that many users<br />

would need to retune equipment, buy new equipment and possibly obtain new licences at<br />

significant cost. However, selective partial re-configuration, which is planned effectively, may<br />

now be practicable owing to technology advancement.<br />

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2.5.4 Programming and Special Event (PMSE)<br />

The Joint Frequency Management Group on behalf of <strong>Ofcom</strong> licenses Programme Making<br />

and Special Events (PMSE) users in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. The main applications used within the<br />

band are talkback systems together with some audio links, wireless cameras and airborne<br />

systems.<br />

The current configuration of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band offers a flexible and robust spectrum<br />

management arrangement to make efficient assignments. The duplex split in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band<br />

for PMSE enables many users to operate in the same vicinity on a time-shared basis, which<br />

is the main attraction for PMSE users. PMSE users require spectrum on an ad-hoc basis, for<br />

example for outside broadcasts.<br />

PMSE spectrum is used on a nationwide basis and the requirement for immediate availability<br />

underpins the need for a continued allocation in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

2.5.5 Short Range Devices (SRDs)<br />

The SRDs that operate in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band do not impact other licensed users and are exempt<br />

from requiring a licence to operate. The minimum requirements to operate a Short Range<br />

device can be found in the UK Interface Requirement 2030 document.<br />

Table 6 below shows the technical parameters implemented by short-range device<br />

equipment in accordance with the ETSI harmonised standard EN 300 220.<br />

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Table 6 Short Range Devices in <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

Application Frequency<br />

Telemetry and Tele-<br />

command<br />

Medical and Biological<br />

Applications<br />

Mobile, Transportable<br />

and Lone Safety Alarms<br />

Range<br />

458.5 -<br />

458.95MHz<br />

458.9625 -<br />

459.1MHz<br />

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ERP Channel<br />

widths<br />

500mW 12.5kHz,<br />

10mW,<br />

500mW<br />

25kHz<br />

12.5kHz,<br />

25kHz<br />

458.8375MHz 100mw 12.5kHz<br />

Fixed Alarms 458.825MHz 100mW 12.5kHz<br />

Model Control 458.5 -<br />

459.5MHz<br />

100mW 25kHz<br />

Reference<br />

Standard<br />

EN300 220<br />

Currently it is estimated by the European Commission that the short-range devices market<br />

will be valued at around £15 billion by 2009 and SRDs operating in the UK in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band<br />

make up a significant proportion of that figure. This indicates further the intense use of the<br />

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and for this type of service. Some users rely on SRDs for operation of non-critical<br />

component parts of their business in the knowledge the spectrum and equipment are readily<br />

available and they can purchase a device and use it immediately. It is this type of<br />

deployment that is attractive to businesses and consumers alike and hence the large number<br />

of devices in operation.<br />

Licence exempt spectrum is identified as an attractive option for users in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band and<br />

in future, it is possible more applications will become licence exempt based on<br />

recommendations made in a report from <strong>Ofcom</strong> on the economic value of licence exempt<br />

spectrum 5 .<br />

2.6 Geographic and User Split<br />

Frequency planning and how the spectrum is assigned, ensures that spectrum is re-used<br />

geographically, distributing licensees, often for the same type of services nationwide.<br />

Stakeholders and <strong>Ofcom</strong> have both considered a possible alignment of the spectrum within<br />

the UK borders, providing a geographical split between aligned and un-aligned spectrum.<br />

We have provided a high-level view of the geographical distribution of licensed base-stations<br />

that allows the identification of a significant geographical split between licensees to enable a<br />

UK border of aligned/non-aligned spectrum.<br />

The criteria that would enable a geographical user split are:<br />

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Identify areas of white space;<br />

Minimum density of users affected;<br />

Minimum population effect.<br />

To introduce a geographical split certain mitigation requirements would need to be<br />

considered, such as a 50 - 60km exclusion zone around the dividing line and the<br />

consideration of any potential effects with the Fylingdales Radar system.<br />

5 The economic value of licence exempt spectrum – Aegis, Ovum and Indepen December 2006<br />

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Figure 3 and Figure 4 demonstrate the vast geographical distribution of data systems across<br />

the UK. There is no large single area that could be geographically separated for alignment<br />

for this type of use. Figure 3 shows both simplex and duplex operation for on-site and Figure<br />

4 shows mainly duplex operation for wide area systems.<br />

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Figure 3 On-site speech<br />

and data systems<br />

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Figure 4 Wide Area speech<br />

and data systems<br />

Figure 5 and Figure 6 show the usage distribution of wide area PBR and national and<br />

regional PBR. Figure 5 illustrates the geographical distribution of wide area PBR licensees<br />

are mainly used near or within the major conurbations. Most of Wales and the majority of<br />

South West England do not use wide area PBR. National and regional PBR use is mainly<br />

located in the South East with a high concentration of frequency paired use. Simplex use is<br />

quite wide spread throughout the UK for regional and national PBR licences.<br />

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Figure 5 Wide Area PBR<br />

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Figure 6 National and<br />

Regional PBR<br />

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Figure 7 Public Mobile Data<br />

Figure 7 shows the geographical separation between licensees using the public mobile data<br />

service. There is a distinct natural geographical separation between users throughout the<br />

UK, which is based on terrain shielding and a lack of assignments around this identified<br />

boundary, show below at Figure 8.<br />

Figure 8 Natural geographical boundary<br />

Figure 8 shows a predicted geographical boundary based on the distribution of <strong>UHF2</strong> users<br />

in the UK that could separate the country for CEPT aligned and CEPT non-aligned use.<br />

Analysis of the geographical boundary found that areas 60km either side of the boundary<br />

line sterilises use of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band and would mean including an exclusion zone that<br />

extends south as far as Manchester and north as far as Glasgow. This level of exclusion of<br />

use would not be an attractive option for separating the country for CEPT aligned and CEPT<br />

non-aligned use and has been discounted as an option.<br />

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2.7 Summary & Conclusions<br />

This chapter has discussed the key aspects of <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum configuration and its use<br />

within the UK. It can be concluded that:<br />

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Spectrum used in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band in the UK supports the operation of multi-<br />

billion pound businesses that benefit from the use of the spectrum in its<br />

current configuration.<br />

Disruption to the full time operation of these systems could result in very<br />

costly and very complex changes to critical national infrastructure.<br />

There is high utilisation of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band with a growing number of licensees<br />

with thousands of mobiles operating in the band. This indicates the demand<br />

for use of the band and cost effectiveness as an attraction for business type<br />

use.<br />

It is likely that on-site services will remain in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band whilst wide area<br />

services not necessarily need to be a private network will diminish as they<br />

move to cellular services for communication provision.<br />

The current configuration of the band is complex with many small fragmented<br />

portions spread throughout the band in a reverse aligned arrangement. The<br />

large number of duplex splits makes network development difficult and limits<br />

use to narrowband type systems, excluding wideband systems.<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> licensees are geographically distributed across the UK utilising the<br />

spectrum in different ways. This would make introducing a natural<br />

geographical user split across the UK difficult, which was further confirmed by<br />

our analysis.<br />

The benefits in using the band in its current configuration are that secure,<br />

reliable and resilient networks can be deployed creating the ability to make<br />

many assignments as the <strong>UHF2</strong> band is suited to narrowband systems.<br />

It is possible a user split could be found in some areas of the UK for wideband<br />

systems. However, further investigation would be necessary to determine if<br />

any area would satisfy all the criteria for a user split and is beyond the scope<br />

of this <strong>study</strong>.<br />

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3 Regulatory Environment<br />

3.1 Introduction<br />

In this chapter, we review the current regulatory environment with a particular focus on the<br />

following issues:<br />

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Actions at an international level including the ITU, European Commission and<br />

the Electronic Communications Committee (ECC).<br />

The development of the UK <strong>UHF2</strong> regulatory environment.<br />

3.2 International Telecommunications Union (ITU)<br />

At the recent ITU World Radio Conference 2007, it was agreed that the 450-470MHz (<strong>UHF2</strong>)<br />

band would be a recognised IMT-2000 band from early 2009. However, it is understood that<br />

Western European regulators would be unlikely to entertain the use of IMT-2000<br />

technologies in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band in the near term owing to the incumbent narrowband use<br />

within the band.<br />

However, in all cases, allocations must comply with internationally agreed allocations defined<br />

under the auspices of the International Telecommunications Union (ITU) and detailed in<br />

Article 5 of the ITU Radio Regulations, if the service concerned is to be protected from<br />

interference from other services in neighbouring countries. This effectively means that from<br />

2009, the UK would need to protect IMT2000 services, either in the UK or internationally<br />

from harmful interference.<br />

3.3 European Regulatory Framework<br />

The last decade has seen a series of regulatory measures resulting in progressive changes<br />

in radio spectrum management and policy in the European Union (EU) through a series of<br />

regulatory measures. These measures enabled decisions to be taken on the availability of<br />

radio spectrum for relevant EU policies, providing legal confidence, mechanisms for radio<br />

spectrum policy development, transparency on spectrum usage and a consolidated<br />

European position in international radio spectrum fora.<br />

The key objective of EU radio spectrum policy is to optimise the use of spectrum, to<br />

maximise its value for society and to avoid harmful interference. 6 Since February 2005, the<br />

Commission has issued a number of policy statements aimed at promoting more flexible use<br />

of spectrum and greater use of market approaches to spectrum management. The<br />

Commission has emphasised the need for “a gradual but systematic liberalisation of radio<br />

spectrum use”. As part of the i2010 initiative the Commission has presented a strategy for<br />

advancing a single market for radio spectrum use in Europe. Recently, as part of the 2006<br />

6 The Radio Spectrum Decision also refers to economic, safety, health, public interest, freedom of expression, cultural,<br />

scientific, social and technical aspects of Community policies.<br />

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eview of the Regulatory Framework for Electronic Communications, the Commission has<br />

signalled its intention to adopt legally binding instruments to:<br />

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Achieve the introduction of technology and service neutral spectrum use as a<br />

default position (through the WAPECs concept);<br />

Establish a committee process to identify selected bands for use under<br />

general authorisation;<br />

Develop a common framework for spectrum trading in the EU.<br />

This strategy is aimed at ensuring a common approach within the EU to managing spectrum<br />

resources that will allow innovators to place new technologies on the EU single market<br />

quickly and with legal certainty. By putting in place a common framework across the EU the<br />

costs to organisations of acquiring and using spectrum in Europe on a multi-national and<br />

possibly a pan-European basis are expected to be reduced.<br />

More recently, following two years of consultations with stakeholders, with national<br />

regulators and with users of telecoms services, the Commission has proposed a review of<br />

the telecoms framework 7 . The proposals are due to be debated in the European Parliament,<br />

and by Member State governments in the Council. Once adopted by the EU the revised rules<br />

have to be incorporated into national law before taking effect. The Commission expects the<br />

new framework to be in place from 2010 onwards. The most pertinent part of the telecoms<br />

framework proposals to this <strong>study</strong> is the ‘new deal for Radio spectrum’, where the<br />

commission wish to drive a common approach to radio spectrum management, particularly<br />

for the Digital Dividend. Although the proposals may be a radical change for some European<br />

regulators, the proposals are in the main in line with the UK.<br />

3.4 Electronic Communications Committee (ECC)<br />

Historically, the approach to harmonising spectrum use in Europe has been predominantly<br />

on the basis of Recommendations or Decisions issued by the ECC within CEPT. There are<br />

certain exceptions, such as the spectrum allocated to DECT cordless phones, which is<br />

mandated by an EC Directive. ECC Recommendations are limited in the extent to which they<br />

can support harmonisation, as they are voluntary in nature and there is no obligation on<br />

individual Member States to implement them. ECC Decisions carry greater weight, in that<br />

once Member States have committed to implement the Decision they are obliged to<br />

implement them, usually by means of transposition into national legislation or incorporation<br />

into the national frequency allocation table. However, there is no obligation on Member<br />

States to commit to ECC Decisions.<br />

The ECC Recommendation T/R 25-08: ‘Planning criteria and coordination of frequencies in<br />

the Land Mobile services in the range 29.7 – 960 MHz’ describes the <strong>UHF2</strong> frequency band<br />

7 Proposals for reform of the EU telecoms rules 13 November 2007:<br />

http://ec.europa.eu/information_society/newsroom/cf/itemlongdetail.cfm?item_id=3701<br />

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arrangement with a 10 MHz duplex split between base transmit and mobile transmit. This<br />

can be seen at Figure 9 below.<br />

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Figure 9: <strong>UHF2</strong> ECC Recommended Band Plan<br />

This is the frequency arrangement to which the UK has been attempting to realign. The<br />

contiguous nature of this European band plan has enabled the harmonisation of radio<br />

equipment standards resulting in benefits to consumers in continental Europe. It is important<br />

to note that the UK is not a signatory to this recommendation; however, the UK’s continental<br />

neighbours, the Netherlands, Belgium and France are signatories, whilst Ireland is under<br />

consideration. Twenty-five European Radiocommunications Office (ERO) members have<br />

implemented this recommendation, while 21 members have not. However, four of these<br />

members have either partially implemented or are planning to implement the<br />

recommendation. These statistics demonstrate that most ERO members are signatories or<br />

will be, but most importantly, our near continental neighbours are signatories, except Ireland.<br />

This in effect means that whilst the UK is not necessarily co-ordinating according to the ECC<br />

recommendation its neighbours are.<br />

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Table 7 below is from ERO Frequency Information System (EFIS), which outlines the<br />

frequency band, the type of allocations and associated applications for use within Europe.<br />

Table 7: Frequency table from EFIS of 450 – 470 MHz band allocations and applications<br />

3.4.1 FM38<br />

FREQUENCY BAND ALLOCATIONS APPLICATIONS<br />

450.0 - 455.0 MHz MOBILE On-site paging (440.0 - 470.0 MHz)<br />

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PMR/PAMR (440.0 - 470.0 MHz)<br />

Analogue cellular (450.0 - 460.0 MHz)<br />

455.0 - 456.0 MHz MOBILE On-site paging (440.0 - 470.0 MHz)<br />

PMR/PAMR (440.0 - 470.0 MHz)<br />

Analogue cellular (450.0 - 460.0 MHz)<br />

456.0 - 459.0 MHz MOBILE On-site paging (440.0 - 470.0 MHz)<br />

PMR/PAMR (440.0 - 470.0 MHz)<br />

Analogue cellular (450.0 - 460.0 MHz)<br />

On-board communications (457.525 - 457.575 MHz)<br />

459.0 - 460.0 MHz MOBILE On-site paging (440.0 – 470.0 MHz)<br />

PMR/PAMR (440.0 - 470.0 MHz)<br />

Analogue cellular (450.0 - 460.0 MHz)<br />

460.0 - 470.0 MHz MOBILE On-site paging (440.0 – 470.0 MHz)<br />

PMR/PAMR (440.0 - 470.0 MHz)<br />

Analogue cellular (460.0-470.0MHz)<br />

On-board communications (467.525 - 467.575 MHz)<br />

A review of this table tells us that, PMR/PAMR and paging are consistent with the allocations<br />

in the UK, whilst analogue cellular is probably historic, back to the NMT450 standard and is<br />

therefore not an issue.<br />

ECC working group FM38 has the remit of developing and reviewing ECC Decisions,<br />

Recommendations, Reports and other deliverables on PMR/PAMR, Public Protection,<br />

Disaster Relief and cross-border coordination issues based on the requests from Working<br />

Group Frequency Management (WGFM).<br />

FM38 are currently engaged in developing a new draft ECC Decision on the "harmonisation<br />

of frequency bands for the implementation of digital Public Protection and Disaster Relief<br />

(PPDR) radio applications in the 400 MHz bands". This draft ECC Decision covers frequency<br />

bands for narrow band as well as for wide band PPDR radio applications.<br />

Similar to ECC Decision (04)06 on Wide Band Digital PMR/PAMR this Decision will allow<br />

flexibility and technology neutrality. It is important to note that the UK has not adopted this<br />

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decision, but Ireland and the Netherlands have, with a commitment from France that they will<br />

also adopt the decision.<br />

Once this new ECC Decision on PPDR at 400 MHz frequency range is adopted, it is<br />

expected that it will replace ERC Decision (96)01 on narrow band emergency services.<br />

3.5 UK Regulatory Environment for <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

The status of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band remains uncertain, as no decision has been made whether the<br />

undertakings of the alignment project remain active:<br />

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Radiocommunications Agency, 450-470MHz Band Alignment Project<br />

Information Sheet: “The alignment of frequencies will require the majority of<br />

licensees to adjust or replace their existing equipment. Licensees will be<br />

responsible for arranging replacement or re-tuning of their own equipment.<br />

Service providers should be able to provide the expertise necessary for this<br />

task. The Agency will notify all licensees individually of their new frequency or<br />

frequencies and the date upon which this change will be implemented. The<br />

intention will be to give six months notice of the date when the change is to be<br />

given effect.”; and latterly<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong>, Withdrawal of the Band Re-alignment Project, Update on the<br />

450-470MHz (<strong>UHF2</strong>) Band Alignment project: “Until further decisions are<br />

made and communicated to stakeholders, the relevant licences should be<br />

considered as remaining subject to the notices of re-alignment previously<br />

issued by the RA/<strong>Ofcom</strong>.”<br />

This last statement above effectively means that current <strong>UHF2</strong> licensees could still be given<br />

6 months notice to move from their frequencies even though the band alignment project was<br />

withdrawn in July 2004.<br />

The Spectrum Framework Review (SFR) Implementation plan 8 amalgamated <strong>Ofcom</strong>’s<br />

polices for Spectrum Trading and Liberalisation for the future spectrum management, with a<br />

plan relating to specific sectors and spectrum bands. This document, together with the<br />

statement on measures to liberalise and simplify business radio licensing in January 2007 9<br />

(to be introduced after Q1 2008), will result in the reduction of the current twenty-one<br />

business radio licence products to five. This exercise will result in a simpler licence product<br />

structure enabling easier trading of rights and liberalisation by removal of service<br />

segmentation of spectrum. One of the most significant changes is the introduction of a 5<br />

year revocation notice period for licences, providing security of licence tenure. Table 8<br />

8 Spectrum Frame work Implementation Plan: http://www.ofcom.org.uk/radiocomms/sfr/<br />

9 A statement on measures to liberalise and simplify Business Radio licensing (including measures to extend trading):<br />

http://www.ofcom.org.uk/consult/condocs/brtrading/statement/<br />

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depicts the timetable for introduction of spectrum trading and the simplification of business<br />

radio licenses.<br />

Table 8 Timetable for the introduction of spectrum trading and licence simplification in<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> 10<br />

Onsite PBR(1) includes Onsite Speech and Data Systems and On site Hospital Paging and Emergencies Speech<br />

Systems, Onsite PBR(2) includes On-site One-Way Paging<br />

Source: Mott MacDonald<br />

Although the SFR refers to spectrum trading being enabled for the E&PSS in 2006, it is<br />

understood that this has subsequently changed to 2008 11 . This new date is likely to coincide<br />

with the proposal for the introduction of Crown Recognised Spectrum Access (CRSA), which<br />

is mentioned in the Independent Audit of Spectrum Holdings and the subsequent<br />

Governments Response 12 .<br />

To date, with the licence products that have been made tradable, only one trade has<br />

happened in <strong>UHF2</strong>, which was a simple ‘take-over’ of a licence. As a result, spectrum trading<br />

and liberalisation have not had any significant impact on Business Radio in <strong>UHF2</strong> to date.<br />

However, the impact of these new liberalisation and simplification measures should further<br />

remove regulatory barriers for self-configuration, by providing the license holder more<br />

coherent rights, enabling the market to take the most appropriate action. It is therefore<br />

considered that the impact of trading and liberalisation will become more significant in the<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> band post 2008.<br />

10 This table refers to published timescales and documents as of November 2007, which is subject to change.<br />

11 Confirmed by PSSPG members<br />

12 Independent Audit of Spectrum Holdings: http://www.spectrumaudit.org.uk<br />

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3.6 Summary & Conclusions<br />

This chapter has reviewed spectrum regulation at a high level from both an international<br />

perspective (the ITU), through to national implementation (the UK). We make four main<br />

points:<br />

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The 450-470MHz band will become an IMT-2000 band, which may in the<br />

future ensure that the UK must protect these services from interference as<br />

they could be deployed in neighbouring countries;<br />

Liberalisation and Trading will become the norm with the market deciding the<br />

future use of the bands, enabling the <strong>UHF2</strong> licensees to reconfigure there<br />

spectrum should they need to;<br />

Most of the UK’s continental neighbours have adopted ECC Recommendation<br />

TR25-08, which enables international co-ordination, but the UK has not<br />

adopted this Recommendation, this could in time cause co-ordination<br />

problems;<br />

The UK regulation surrounding the <strong>UHF2</strong> band, regarding the 6 month notice<br />

period, remains an issue of uncertainty on security of tenure for stakeholders.<br />

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4 Technology and Market<br />

4.1 Introduction<br />

In this chapter, we examine three issues with regard to technologies and services available<br />

with <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum and provide potential market demand statistics. Understanding the<br />

possible technology and service developments and future market demand will inform any<br />

further policy recommendations. The issues covered are:<br />

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Technologies available for <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum including Digital Mobile Radio<br />

(DMR), Tetra, Professional Mobile Radio (PRM) and associated services<br />

such as mobile TV;<br />

Market demand review of projected sales;<br />

Future options for technology and service development.<br />

We summarise our findings and provide conclusions at the end of the chapter.<br />

4.2 Technology and Services<br />

The technology available for the <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum falls into two high level categories;<br />

Narrowband (=100 kHz) and high data rates (>100kbps) providing short range<br />

(


from Airwave (380-400MHz). Potential non-civil adopters of TETRA (e.g. Airports) have been<br />

limited to either using the Airwave service (if on the sharers list) or negotiating with Arqiva to<br />

use the only non-civil UK spectrum within the tuning range of TETRA with a 10MHz duplex<br />

split, and aligned with TR25/08. This recently awarded spectrum is 412-414MHz, paired with<br />

422-424MHz. There is a further civil allocation of 10MHz duplex split spectrum found at 410-<br />

412, paired with 420-422MHz, which is managed by the Public Safety Spectrum Policy<br />

Group (PSSPG).<br />

Historically digital PMR/PAMR technology that requires duplex split has generally been<br />

10MHz in the CEPT TR25-08 configuration. However, we now have exceptions in Digital<br />

Mobile Radio (DMR), a digital standard that can have varying duplex split and a few<br />

manufacturers have recently started to provide TETRA at various duplex split (non-<br />

standard). The technology currently used within <strong>UHF2</strong> is predominantly PMR and paging<br />

type services, which are spectrally very similar, at either 12.5 or 25 kHz channel split.<br />

The introduction of the new DMR standard, with its three tiers (discussed in more detail in<br />

Section 4.2.1), now offers the market a real distinct digital alternative to standard analogue<br />

PMR; this can be seen below in Table 9. Prior to the introduction of DMR, only TETRA and<br />

Project 25 narrowband digital technology was available. This was designed to serve the<br />

E&PSS market and required the 10MHz duplex split, which is in short supply to non-civil<br />

users. However, now the majority of the non-civil markets needs for digital PMR/PAMR can<br />

be met by the DMR technology.<br />

Source: Mott MacDonald<br />

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Table 9 Radio Technology and Addressable Markets<br />

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The benefits of digital PMR over analogue PMR have, until recently, centred on the cost of<br />

the equipment as analogue technology has been more cost effective. This was mainly due to<br />

TETRA, TETRAPOL and Project 25 being the only realistic narrowband deployable<br />

technologies. However, these technologies have focused on the Public Safety/Mission<br />

Critical Markets and are usually not cost effective for Professional/Business Critical markets.<br />

The price gap between digital and analogue PMR, and the lack of available 10MHz duplex<br />

spaced spectrum in the UK, have until recently meant sales of digital PMR to the E&PSS<br />

market only, as this market has access to the correctly configured spectrum.<br />

The availability of UHF spectrum configured with a 10MHz duplex split as CEPT TR 25/08 is<br />

as follows:<br />

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380-400MHz and 410-12 paired with 420-422MHz managed by the PSSPG<br />

for use by the E&PSS;<br />

412-414 paired with 422-424MHz, licensed to Arqiva 16 .<br />

However, recently manufacturers have produced TETRA standard equipment in the UK on<br />

10MHz, reversed ERC Recommendation TR 25-08 (10MHz duplex spaced but the BS Tx is<br />

opposite to TR 25-08) and 7MHz duplex split, allowing for on-site TETRA systems to be<br />

deployed (e.g. Heathrow T5).<br />

DMR has recently changed the paradigm from an inability to deploy digital services in <strong>UHF2</strong>,<br />

to one that allows cost-effective digital radios, which have programmable duplex splits<br />

allowing them to operate on the same channels as Analogue PMR. The DMR standard was<br />

developed to replace Analogue PMR. This is a simple form-fit replacement as the two<br />

technologies are spectrally the same, conforming to the same ETSI spectral requirements.<br />

In effect, licensees of Analogue PMR can replace the equipment directly, employing the<br />

same feeders, antenna systems and radio spectrum licence with DMR and benefit<br />

immediately from the added features that digital technology brings.<br />

The main benefit of both TETRA and DMR digital technology is a doubling of spectrum<br />

efficiency using TDMA, allowing four voice channels on a 25 kHz channel for TETRA and<br />

two voice channels on a 12.5 kHz channel for DMR.<br />

The benefits of digital technology include:<br />

Cost effective virtual-duplex operation, by using TDMA for forward and<br />

reverse channels<br />

Battery saving techniques, inherent within the protocol. (e.g. DMR has<br />

approximately a 40% increase in battery life over analogue 17 )<br />

16 No permanent systems have been deployed yet in 412 MHz but they have numerous bids out to current and potential<br />

customers that will result in systems being deployed in 2008.<br />

17 According to a leading manufacturer<br />

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4.2.1 DMR<br />

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Call interruption.<br />

See ETSI TR 102 398 18 and TR 300-4 for a complete list of DMR and TETRA features.<br />

The DMR standard covers three tiers of products:<br />

Tier I – 6.25 kHz Channel split, which is PMR446 equivalent, is now legal in<br />

the UK, for latest news see <strong>Ofcom</strong> web-updates 19<br />

Tier II – 12.5 kHz Channel split, employing 2 slot-TDMA, which is the<br />

conventional PMR equivalent, peer-to-peer and through a repeater.<br />

Tier III – 12.5 kHz Channel Split, employing 2 Slot-TDMA, which is the<br />

trunked and quasi-synchronous/simulcast variant.<br />

A leading manufacturer currently offers Tier II products, with a frequency tuning range of<br />

403-470MHz and duplex split of 3.5, 5 and 10MHz. The duplex split(s) have been through<br />

the approval process, but the duplex split is fully programmable, enabling most duplex splits,<br />

particularly splits that currently exist within <strong>UHF2</strong>. In addition, the price gap between<br />

analogue and digital radios has narrowed with DMR, with a typical terminal price being 20%<br />

more expensive for DMR over analogue.<br />

DMR Tier III, trunked products are expected to become available in 2008 and like Tier II<br />

products will be available in any practicable duplex split.<br />

4.2.2 PMR Technology Evolution to Higher Data Rates<br />

Mobile Radio network design requires a balance between coverage capability and data<br />

rates. Law’s of Physics determine the maximum data rate of a given channel and states that<br />

the channel bandwidth will affect the data rate, amongst other factors. Therefore, for higher<br />

data rates additional spectrum is required and/or new, innovative modulation and coding<br />

schemes.<br />

The two most prevalent PMR/PAMR technologies capable of providing higher bandwidths to<br />

meet the operational requirements for a self-provided, or potential out-sourced operator<br />

provided network are TETRA release 2 and CDMA450.<br />

i. TETRA Evolution<br />

TETRA Release 1 is a digital trunked mobile radio standard developed by ETSI. The TETRA<br />

standard was developed to meet the needs of traditional PMR user organisations, in<br />

particular the E&PSS feature requirements and specific security issues. The TETRA<br />

standard has been developed over a number of years and continues to evolve.<br />

18 Digital Mobile Radio (DMR) General System Design ETSI TR 102 398, available from www.etsi.org<br />

19 DMR446 update http://www.ofcom.org.uk/consult/condocs/wireless_exemption/statement/<br />

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The significant developments in TETRA Release 2 consists of the following:<br />

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Trunked Mode Operation (TMO) Range Extension;<br />

Adaptive Multiple Rate (AMR) Voice Codec ;<br />

Mixed Excitation Liner Predictive, enhanced (MELPe) Voice Codec;<br />

TETRA Enhanced Data Service (TEDS).<br />

The most significant development, in terms of the emerging requirement for greater<br />

bandwidth, is TETRA Enhanced Data Service (TEDS). This is a High Speed Data (HSD)<br />

service dynamically using multiple RF channel bandwidths and data rates for flexible use of<br />

PMR frequency bands. TEDS is fully compatible with TETRA Release 1 and allows for ease<br />

of migration. The RF channel bandwidths supported in TEDS are 25, 50, 100 and 150 kHz<br />

and when using the 4 TDMA slots in the channel, the maximum data rates in Table 10 can<br />

be achieved.<br />

Table 10 TEDS Packet Data Throughput (Kbps)<br />

Modulation<br />

π/4 DQPSK 15.6<br />

π/8 D8PSK 24.3<br />

Channel Widths<br />

25kHz 50kHz 100kHz 150kHz<br />

4-QAM 11 27 58 90<br />

16-QAM 22 54 116 179<br />

64-QAM 33 80 175 269<br />

64-QAM 44 107 233 359<br />

64-QAM 66 160 349 538<br />

The perception in the communications industry is that the first major users of TETRA TEDS<br />

will be the E&PSS networks, which in the UK is a managed service through Airwave using<br />

TETRA Release 1, utilising spectrum at 380-385, 390-395MHz. However, this band does not<br />

have any capacity for implementation of additional TEDS channels. If TEDS was to be<br />

implemented in the UK for the E&PSS, the spectrum configuration would need to be CEPT<br />

TR25/08 aligned and an estimated 2x10MHz of spectrum would be required to meet the<br />

capacity requirements.<br />

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Assuming that an E&PSS network operator enters the market for TEDS products, they will<br />

be available during the next 2 years, according to the TETRA MOU. The real market uptake<br />

will depend on whether governments allocate budgets to TEDS, particularly having just<br />

invested in narrowband TETRA networks. Market uptake could also be promoted if new<br />

E&PSS communication network projects invest in TETRA TEDS right from the start (and<br />

have the right spectrum assigned soon).<br />

ii. CDMA – PAMR<br />

The air interface used in CDMA-PAMR 20 is known as CDMA 2000 1x. This is specified in the<br />

relevant parts of the TIA standards IS-2000.1 to IS-2000.5, and the radio performance is<br />

specified in IS-97 and IS-98. CDMA-PAMR is designed for use in the frequency bands 410-<br />

430 MHz, 450-470MHz, and 870-876/915-921 MHz. A separation of 1.25MHz is employed<br />

between centre frequency carriers of adjacent CDMA-PAMR carriers, with a minimum of 1<br />

channel required for a network, but typically a minimum of two channels (2 x 2.5MHz) are<br />

required. This standard is capable of 307kbps from the Base to mobile (downlink) and<br />

153kbps in the uplink. This is achieved by adding multiple channels (9.6 or 14.4kbps)<br />

together to achieve higher data rates. There is an upgrade path as 3G services evolve to<br />

higher data rates (2.4Mbps) and more importantly, CDMA-PAMR is deemed more spectrally<br />

efficient and therefore has greater capacity per MHz than TETRA TAPS and GSM-R<br />

according to ECC Report 42 21 .<br />

From a European perspective 19 CDMA450 networks have already been deployed with a<br />

further 8 others planned (source www.450world.org, Oct 2007).<br />

The majority of these networks operate in "Block A", which covers 452.5 - 457.5 / 462.5 -<br />

467.5 MHz (with standard CEPT 10MHz duplex split). The planned Irish CDMA450 network<br />

will not be deployed in <strong>UHF2</strong>, but in UHF1 410-430MHz, so should not cause continental<br />

interference into the UK at <strong>UHF2</strong>. It is understood the licensee of the potential CDMA450<br />

network in Ireland wishes to obtain spectrum in Northern Ireland to provide a seamless<br />

network, with <strong>UHF2</strong> being a candidate band.<br />

CDMA450 technology now offers a dual band scheme, 450MHz and 2100MHz to provide an<br />

upgrade to 3G services to extend coverage into rural areas.<br />

4.2.3 Mobile Television<br />

Mobile Television is a service in the UK, which is in need of appropriate spectrum. The<br />

Digital Dividend may provide access to the appropriate spectrum, but spectrum is unlikely to<br />

be made available until 2012.<br />

The main frequency bands for Mobile Television are:<br />

20 CDMA PAMR – Code Division Multiple Access – Public Access Mobile Radio: for details see the ETSI SRDoc submitted to<br />

FM38 at: http://www.nodnett.no/FILES/FM38(2002)81-SRDoc_for_CDMA-PAMR_V0.1.1.pdf<br />

21 Spectrum Efficiency of CDMA-PAMR and other Wideband systems for PMR/PAMR, Granada, February 2004<br />

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VHF (170-230 MHz, or a portion of it);<br />

UHF-IV/V (470-862 MHz, or a portion of it);<br />

L (1.452-1.492 GHz).<br />

The three most prominent technologies, DVB-H, DMB and MediaFLO, require dedicated<br />

spectrum. DVB-H is available in all three bands, DMB is available in VHF-III and L Band, and<br />

MediaFLO is available from 450MHz - 3GHz.<br />

Therefore the most likely candidate technologies for use in the 450-470MHz band, for<br />

supplying Mobile Television, are DVB-H and MediaFLO, which each have a channel split of<br />

5, 6, 7 or 8MHz. However, none of these technologies have been manufactured for the 450-<br />

470MHz band and are unlikely to be deployed in this band owing to global economies of<br />

scale. Therefore, it is unlikely that Mobile television technologies will be deployed within the<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

4.3 Projected Sales of PMR Terminals<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> commissioned a bespoke market research report in November 2007, which focused<br />

on the market for <strong>UHF2</strong> terminals. The objective of the report was to provide evidence from<br />

the market as to whether Digital PMR is seen as a replacement for analogue PMR. We<br />

summarise the results in this section.<br />

4.3.1 European Market<br />

The PMR industry is predicted to ship 33% more Digital UHF terminals in Europe, over the<br />

period 2006 – 2010. Analogue shipments will decrease over the same period by 6%.<br />

Therefore in 2008, digital shipments of UHF PMR terminals will eclipse analogue shipments<br />

for the first time.<br />

The shipment of Digital <strong>UHF2</strong> PMR terminals in Europe is predicted to rise by 42% over the<br />

period 2006-2010, whilst analogue shipments will decrease over the same period by 5%.<br />

This means that during 2009, digital shipments will eclipse analogue in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

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4.3.2 UK Market<br />

The UK market for terminals in the rest of UHF can be seen below at Figure 10, where digital<br />

terminals will see an increase of 16% over the period, with analogue terminals will decrease<br />

over the period by 5%.<br />

Units Shipped<br />

140,000<br />

120,000<br />

100,000<br />

80,000<br />

60,000<br />

40,000<br />

20,000<br />

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0<br />

Source: IMS Research<br />

Figure 10 UK Market for UHF terminals<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Analogue Digital<br />

The UK market for terminals in <strong>UHF2</strong> can be seen below Figure 11, where digital terminals<br />

will see a rapid increase over the next 4 years, with analogue terminals decreasing over the<br />

period by 5%.<br />

Units Shipped<br />

16,000<br />

14,000<br />

12,000<br />

10,000<br />

8,000<br />

6,000<br />

4,000<br />

2,000<br />

0<br />

Source: IMS Research<br />

Figure 11 UK <strong>UHF2</strong> Terminals<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Analogue Digital<br />

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4.3.3 UK Market Analysis<br />

This market review includes Analogue and Digital (Tetra, Tetrapol, P25, Iden, DMR) and<br />

excludes PMR446 or dPMR446.<br />

The forecasts for the <strong>UHF2</strong> band have assumed no frequency band will be allocated for<br />

TETRA in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band (if not on a limited/local basis) and that people will therefore opt<br />

for a DMR Tier 2 (or Tier 3) solution for the band.<br />

It is IMS Research's opinion that as much as 80 -90% of the growth in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band will be<br />

DMR (starting end 2007). This assumes that no nationwide <strong>UHF2</strong> band is allocated to<br />

TETRA for civil/commercial use.<br />

4.4 Summary & Conclusions<br />

This chapter has covered the current wide and narrow band technologies that could be<br />

potentially used in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. Also by looking at market forecasts, we have determined<br />

the likely uptake of Digital vs Analogue PMR terminals over the next 3 years in <strong>UHF2</strong>.<br />

We have the concluded the following:<br />

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For the introduction of narrow band digital technology, a 10MHz duplex split is<br />

no longer required;<br />

Digital PMR technology will out sell analogue over the next two years in the<br />

UHF bands;<br />

DMR will be the digital narrowband technology of choice over the next few<br />

years, which will increase capacity of networks, with users benefiting from<br />

new features;<br />

There is a market for narrowband Digital PMR technology in the UK now and<br />

in the future;<br />

CDMA450 is being used elsewhere in Europe or is planned, with particular<br />

mention to Ireland, where a CDMA450 network is planned for use in the 410-<br />

430MHz band;<br />

CDMA450 is seen as a technology to deliver 3G services to rural areas.<br />

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5 Reconfiguration drivers and challenges<br />

5.1 Introduction<br />

This chapter discusses the overarching drivers and challenges for the reconfiguration of the<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> band and includes a summary of previous studies in this area together with<br />

stakeholder views and considerations.<br />

5.2 Drivers and challenges for band alignment<br />

The challenges facing any re-configuration will be similar to the challenges that faced the<br />

industry during the proposed band alignment project in 2004. The conclusions from an open<br />

forum hosted by the Spectrum Management Advisory Group (SMAG) in 2003 22 can be<br />

summarised as follows:<br />

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Economics: The economics <strong>study</strong> concluded that the value to the UK<br />

economy of the spectrum that could be released was over £200 million<br />

Interference: By aligning the spectrum with Europe, a 32dB improvement of<br />

isolation from continental interference would be achieved.<br />

Spectrum Scarcity: The impact of co-ordination with RAF Fylingdales on<br />

UHF1 (410-430MHz), will reduce the usability of UHF1 for additional systems,<br />

particularly high sites and power. This alternate band for UHF Business<br />

Radio services, makes <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum scarce and therefore more valuable.<br />

New Technology & Harmonisation: The introduction of new technology and<br />

the additional benefits that it can bring is dependent on aligned, harmonised<br />

CEPT TR 25/08 spectrum.<br />

Yield of Spectrum: Band alignment was expected to yield an additional 2 to<br />

3 MHz of paired spectrum (in addition to spectrum returned by the E&PSS).<br />

The benefits to the UK GDP of between £247m and £430m NPV were greater<br />

than the costs.<br />

Competitive Environment: Alignment would assist the Business Radio<br />

sector to compete with operator provided services such as GSM.<br />

In 2003 the stakeholders had three main points concerning the band alignment project,<br />

namely:<br />

The cost of alignment would be expensive compared to the benefits,<br />

considering there were 17,000 licensees, with very few suffering interference;<br />

22 450-470 MHz Band Realignment Open Forum, hosted by the Spectrum Management Advisory Group (SMAG),24 October<br />

2003: http://www.ofcom.org.uk/static/archive/ra/smag/bandalignforum/450summaryfinal.doc<br />

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There were mission critical systems, that can not be shut down during a re-<br />

alignment process and interference from the process would not be an<br />

acceptable risk;<br />

There was a shortage of skilled engineers to undertake the actual alignment<br />

process of physically re-tuning and deploying new systems.<br />

In summary, there was concern that the alignment was not achievable or cost effective and<br />

presented too many risks. The alignment would have serious consequences for all current<br />

stakeholders, except the E&PSS. However, the industry accepted that the main benefit for<br />

alignment would be for future protection from continental interference; but protection from<br />

interference for some users does not necessarily mean that all users should be disrupted.<br />

The stakeholders suggested that a more palatable way forward would be, rather than align<br />

the spectrum with Europe, to remedy only those services affected by continental interference<br />

in the South East.<br />

Therefore, the industry saw no immediate need to align and that interference was a problem<br />

only to <strong>UHF2</strong> services in the South East of England.<br />

5.3 Stakeholders current views on the <strong>UHF2</strong> band<br />

Mott MacDonald interviewed Key Stakeholders of the <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum, on the current and<br />

future issues of <strong>UHF2</strong> policy. The interviewees selected were identified as a representative<br />

view of the industry (See Appendix A for a list of the key stakeholders interviewed as part of<br />

this <strong>study</strong>.)<br />

5.3.1 Representative view of <strong>UHF2</strong> Spectrum Managers<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> Spectrum Managers account for >30% of the <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum use.<br />

Spectrum managers in this band manage the spectrum for national infrastructure networks.<br />

These provide mission critical services, in addition to supporting broadcast services. The<br />

following summarises their position on reconfiguration of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band:<br />

Any change in configuration would cause a number of detrimental effects to<br />

networks;<br />

There is a large financial implication of replacing equipment and running a costly<br />

parallel network (24/7) so that operation and services are not interrupted;<br />

Industry would need to be satisfied that all business risks were mitigated;<br />

The cost benefit of any re-configuration would need to be clearly identified and<br />

costed to include opportunity cost and parallel networks;<br />

There is some interest based on guaranteed access to spectrum at the same<br />

market rate but only if <strong>Ofcom</strong> was to underwrite the full business cost;<br />

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There is an interest in how the development of technology proceeds in the future to<br />

help make the most efficient use from the spectrum.<br />

5.3.2 Representative view of Trade Associations<br />

The Trade Associations represent users of the business radio spectrum (>30% of <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

spectrum) and manufactures of communications equipment. The following points summarise<br />

their position on reconfiguration of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band:<br />

As businesses demand more security and insurance there is an increased<br />

requirement for more of the same spectrum;<br />

There is strong support for continued licensing of the spectrum in its current<br />

configuration;<br />

Generally there is little support for re-configuration owing to the costs involved<br />

and the disruption to many of its mission critical services;<br />

It is believed that there is not enough demand for wideband systems in the<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> band, where concentration should be on spectrum offerings higher up<br />

the band;<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> are to be discouraged from:<br />

setting up a third party band manager due to the increased<br />

complexities that would be involved in accessing the spectrum;<br />

creating large blocks of contiguous spectrum that could potentially<br />

be auctioned off;<br />

A swift decision on <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum policy is needed as industry and business<br />

cannot develop their business plans with this current climate of uncertainty;<br />

A new digital narrow band technology, DMR can enable reconfiguration of the<br />

band over the air, according to a leading manufacturer.<br />

Administered Incentive Pricing (AIP) should be the incentive for moving<br />

forward in spectrum management and users involved in a trading and<br />

liberalisation environment to assist the development of sensible systems;<br />

New technology is likely to remain of a narrowband nature due to the current<br />

fragmentation of the band. However, should contiguous blocks of spectrum<br />

become available it will allow for development of networks and increase the<br />

availability of products.<br />

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5.3.3 Representative view of the E&PSS<br />

The Emergency and Public Safety Services (E&PSS) are allocated >30% of the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

spectrum. The migration to the Airwave service will leave the majority of the spectrum<br />

available for re-assignment by the Public Safety Spectrum Policy Group (PSSPG).<br />

The PSSPG are planning to appoint a spectrum manager, by the end of 2008, whose role<br />

will be to understand and assess the needs within the E&PSS environment and engage the<br />

market on a commercial basis. The following points summarises the position of the PSSPG<br />

on reconfiguration of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band:<br />

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Provided the same numbers of frequencies were assigned in a known,<br />

interference-free environment some of the E&PSS services within <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

could be re-programmed to use alternate frequencies within the band. This<br />

reprogramming could aid the availability of contiguous spectrum within the<br />

band.<br />

The impact on individual Fire and Rescue Services (FRS) would be significant<br />

capital cost and a need for a 3-year lead-time.<br />

E&PSS will be able to acquire spectrum in CEPT TR 25/08 configuration for<br />

the Future Radio Network (FRN), providing wideband services, which could<br />

be a key role of the future E&PSS spectrum manager. The FRN will either<br />

complement or replace Airwave which is expected to start deployment around<br />

2015, where it is currently estimated that at least 2 x 10 MHz of aligned<br />

spectrum will be required.<br />

Most of the use of the E&PSS 7MHz of spectrum is reducing as services<br />

migrate to Airwave. However, use by the prison services and other services<br />

will remain with no current plans to move, meaning that spectrum will not<br />

necessarily be contiguously clear of use.<br />

Temporary use could be made of the E&PSS part of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band ensuring<br />

that the E&PSS had a sufficient level of protection from interference.<br />

5.3.4 Representative view of Potential New Entrants of aligned <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum<br />

Potential new entrants of aligned <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum would be interested in acquiring spectrum<br />

under particular circumstances in relation to type of configuration and duplex split. The<br />

following points summarise their position on reconfiguration to the <strong>UHF2</strong> band:<br />

Spectrum should be made available in a ‘useable, contiguous configuration’ of<br />

at least 2 x 3MHz with a preference for 2 x 5MHz (in the configuration of the<br />

latest technology (CEPT Aligned)) or 1 x 10MHz as a minimum.<br />

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New entrants would look to deploy technologies such as CDMA450 (452.5 -<br />

457.5 (uplink) / 462.5 - 467.5 MHz (downlink) (standard CEPT 10MHz duplex<br />

split) TETRA TEDS, TD CDMA( 3G) to satisfy its customer base.<br />

For a wideband national network to be deployed in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band in the UK,<br />

regulations would be needed to support technology neutrality, spectrum<br />

masks and guard bands allowing an operator to rollout a viable network.<br />

Cross-border co-ordination would be required to enable a viable national<br />

network (around 200 to 300W max ERP). New entrants would prefer a normal<br />

network-to-network interference model used for cross-border coordination to<br />

allow for coverage in border areas, rather than the recent no interference / no<br />

coverage policy adopted by <strong>Ofcom</strong>.<br />

New entrants see demand emerging from the Emergency services, for<br />

deployment of a wideband network.<br />

New entrants believe that the spectrum would be worthless if awarded as it<br />

stands. The options either are seen as an overlay auction or vacated E&PSS<br />

spectrum thereby enabling swift reconfiguration for the introduction of<br />

wideband services.<br />

Preference would be for national licences.<br />

5.3.5 Representative view of Licensees<br />

The licensees that were interviewed use both on-site voice and data systems throughout the<br />

UK and national wide area voice and data systems. The following points summarise their<br />

position on reconfiguration of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band:<br />

Licensees generally support the use of <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum in its current<br />

configuration and do not believe that any change in configuration would<br />

necessarily increase the value use of spectrum. Also licensees believe re-<br />

configuration would have a huge commercial risk and cost to customers;<br />

Some licensees would be interested in deploying TETRA systems;<br />

Some licensees have already deployed TETRA systems through the use of<br />

recent changes in the technology that allow a reverse aligned configuration<br />

and non standard duplex split e.g. 7MHz;<br />

Some licensees could potentially realign some channels with Europe as and<br />

when reconfiguration takes place. However, it would be necessary to create<br />

some temporary frequencies to aid migration to a new vacant piece of<br />

spectrum allocated for the particular service migrating;<br />

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5.4 Summary & Conclusions<br />

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Licensees identified that it would allow them to maximise benefit and minimise<br />

cost if a migration plan over the next 5-10 years was developed.<br />

This chapter has reviewed drivers for band alignment, previous studies and stakeholders’<br />

views in 2004 during the band alignment project and now, 2007. This review highlights the<br />

concerns of the industry, should reconfiguration of the band be mandated. In addition, it is<br />

noted that the industry wish to only address the interference cases, if needed rather than a<br />

mandated re-configuration of the band.<br />

In the light of the findings of this chapter, we conclude the following:<br />

The original drivers for the alignment project are mainly irrelevant in the light<br />

of new regulation and technology development. The main drivers are now<br />

economic benefit and interference which will be reviewed in the following<br />

chapters;<br />

The future spectrum manager of the E&PSS will have a key role to play in the<br />

future re-configuration of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band as they will manage the largest<br />

amount of clear spectrum for potential re-assignment;<br />

There is a demand for narrowband technology, which does not need to be re-<br />

configured;<br />

The introduction of wide band systems, would probably need at least 2 x<br />

5MHz and would need a review of the adjacent channel and international co-<br />

ordination measures to make it attractive to new entrants;<br />

The stakeholders want clear guidance as to the future policy of the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

band;<br />

Operators of mission critical services within the band would need a<br />

compelling reason, funding and assurances that any risk to outage of services<br />

was mitigated to consider any re-configuration;<br />

There is little appetite for any re-configuration with the band from incumbent<br />

licensees.<br />

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6 Interference environment<br />

6.1 Introduction<br />

In this chapter, we explore the interference environment within which <strong>UHF2</strong> services are<br />

affected by other UK services and interference from continental Europe. We also cover the<br />

following interference issues:<br />

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the international coordination process for the <strong>UHF2</strong> band;<br />

the level of potential interference for aligned and un-aligned spectrum;<br />

the different interference scenarios with either narrowband or wideband<br />

technology.<br />

Supporting material and detailed results can be found in Appendices E to I at the end of this<br />

report.<br />

6.2 Interference challenges for <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum<br />

Interference is a technically complex subject, which limits the amount of users that can be<br />

assigned spectrum and therefore its value. If the interference is too high then<br />

communications systems become unusable and, conversely, if interference is extremely low<br />

then spectrum use is inefficient. It is therefore the task of the regulator to achieve the<br />

optimum balance between acceptable levels of interference and efficient use of the<br />

spectrum, in an assigned spectrum band by the regulator. 23<br />

To aid in the understanding of interference, Appendix B provides a summary of the different<br />

types of interference that are to be considered when making assignments in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

Also, Appendix C discusses how <strong>Ofcom</strong> currently manages interference, the instruments<br />

used and the future tools and policies.<br />

In summary, the main interference challenges are:<br />

Due to the UK’s unaligned spectrum with the continent, the UK suffers from<br />

interference, which degrades services particularly in the South East of<br />

England;<br />

The UK has a coordination method with continental neighbours that is based<br />

23 The term used by <strong>Ofcom</strong> is ‘Command and Control’.<br />

on aligned spectrum, but has no formal international agreement (e.g. HCM<br />

Agreement). The fact that there is no formal agreement could lead to harmful<br />

interference to services in the UK from the Continent, but this is not currently<br />

the case owing to the low use of the spectrum..<br />

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With the <strong>UHF2</strong> band having been identified as an IMT2000 band it is likely<br />

that IMT2000 systems will be deployed in the longer term, which could<br />

severely impact the licensees within this band with a likelihood of greater<br />

continental interference than is experienced now. However, it is understood<br />

that Western European National Regulatory Authorities (NRAs) are not<br />

currently considering assigning wideband systems in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band owing to<br />

the current use of narrowband services.<br />

6.3 Analysis of the continental interference environment<br />

To understand the impact of the possible <strong>UHF2</strong> band continental interference we have<br />

modelled the environment based on the current requirements of the accepted baseline co-<br />

ordination agreement for this band (CEPT TR25-08).<br />

Our analysis is based on the following criteria, parameters and assumptions:<br />

the continental interference environment has been modelled as zero;<br />

Ireland is also not aligned (same as the UK) and as a result has not been<br />

taken into account for modelling of continental interference in this <strong>study</strong>;<br />

the results present the scenario of base stations from the continent<br />

transmitting to the maximum coordination parameters from CEPT TR25-08.<br />

The interference plot in Figure 12 shows interference from transmissions generated from the<br />

coast of France, Belgium and Holland to the coastline of the UK. The interference plot shows<br />

the threshold levels for 1% (Blue), 5% (Yellow) and 10% (Red) time into a base station<br />

receive antenna at 10m above ground level. This plot is the interference that the UK would<br />

see, if the continental base stations were meeting the coordination requirements in the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

band, and the UK <strong>UHF2</strong> band was aligned.<br />

Figure 12 Interference plot of<br />

continental stations into UK to<br />

mobiles at 10m<br />

Source: Mott MacDonald/ATDI<br />

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Figure 13 Interference plot from<br />

continental Europe to typical base<br />

station at 30m agl<br />

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This scenario would be valid if the band was aligned and interference was into mobile<br />

receivers but because there is a band reversal 24 between the UK and the continent in most<br />

cases, the interference is base station to base station. Therefore the parameters used in co-<br />

ordination of a 10m above ground level (agl) coordination height and 10% of the time are<br />

pessimistic.<br />

The issue is that with band reversal the interference is base station transmit (continent) to<br />

base station receiver (UK) and unlike mobile units, base stations are stationary and hence<br />

need to be protected for a lesser percentage (much less than 10%) of time. In addition, the<br />

base station receive antenna heights tend to be greater than 10m agl (using the data<br />

supplied by <strong>Ofcom</strong> the average antenna height in south eastern UK is around 15m with a<br />

maximum of 160m.<br />

Figure 13 shows the interference from the continent to a typical base station at 30m agl.<br />

Where the mobile can cope with 10% time interference, the base station usually requires 1%<br />

time interference or better. Although the blue plot represents 1% of time which is<br />

approximately 3.5 days per year, for some critical systems this amount of interference<br />

cannot be tolerated due to their high availability requirements (some as high as 99.99% of<br />

time). As an indication of the severity of the impact on licensees, the area where the<br />

interference is present for 1% time or greater is around 27,500km 2 and encompasses around<br />

8000 of the records supplied by <strong>Ofcom</strong> (>30%). This is mainly due to the concentration of<br />

radio use in the South East, particularly London.<br />

The international coordination level of 20dBµV/m for 10% time at 10m agl will cause<br />

significant interference into UK base station receivers. The area over which a reversed<br />

aligned UK base station receiver would be degraded for 1% of time is in fact much larger<br />

than the co-ordination limit suggests. The interference of the continental network to a level<br />

where the interfering signal is 3dB greater than the typical receiver noise floor (-129dBm)<br />

from any single continental base station is shown in the Figure 14 below.<br />

24 Band Reversal – The <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum band in the UK base station transmitters are on the same frequency as base<br />

station receivers in the Continent<br />

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Figure 14 Area of UK where base station receiver at 30m agl will have a<br />

cumulative signal 3dB above the noise floor for 1% of time<br />

Source: Mott MacDonald/ATDI<br />

This is an area of some 78,000km 2 and covers around 16,000 of the records supplied by<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> (>60%). The cumulative interference effect of multiple continental interferers could be<br />

even larger.<br />

6.4 Analysis of the affects of interference in different spectrum configurations<br />

In order to consider future implications of <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum configuration, a high level<br />

representative view of the impact of narrowband and wideband services in the UK and on<br />

the continent were modelled. The following three modelling scenarios were undertaken to<br />

determine the effects of continental interference on the representative modelling areas of<br />

UK 25 :<br />

1) Interference levels determined between UK only assignments, excluding<br />

continental interference. This provides the base-line interference case.<br />

2) Interference considering UK (CEPT reversed) and Europe CEPT aligned<br />

and the base-line case (1). This is the current situation.<br />

3) Interference considering UK (CEPT reversed) and Europe CEPT reversed<br />

25 Modelling areas defined in Appendix E and Appendix F<br />

and the base-line case (1). Although the continent is changed to match the<br />

UK, the effect is that same as aligning the UK to Europe.<br />

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6.4.1 Interference to narrowband systems in the UK<br />

The detailed results of the modelling of interference to narrowband systems are at Appendix<br />

E: which are summarised below in Table 11, where the “Average Noise Level”, is the power<br />

sum of all the stations that are co-channel and do not block 26 the receiver for all the stations<br />

within the modelling area in dBm.<br />

Table 11 Noise levels at UK base stations at 1% time for base-base interference<br />

Base Stations<br />

Modelling area<br />

No Continental<br />

Interference<br />

CEPT aligned<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

CEPT reversed<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

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Average Noise Level<br />

(dBm)<br />

Average Noise Level<br />

(dBm)<br />

Average Noise Level<br />

(dBm)<br />

Source: Mott MacDonald/ATDI<br />

Thames Gateway Birmingham Bradford<br />

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The table shows us that the difference of impact for continental interference for 1% of time<br />

(base station to base station) is around an average of 11dB for the Thames Gateway, 5dB<br />

for Birmingham and 0.8dB in Bradford. Therefore, there is significant interference reduction<br />

in the South East but upon moving North into Bradford the impact becomes negligible.<br />

If UK systems were CEPT aligned there would be an average of 2.2dB more noise in the<br />

Thames Gateway than if there was no continental interference. This increases to an average<br />

of nearly 14dB when the UK is CEPT reversed. This effect is demonstrated in the<br />

Birmingham area to a lesser extent; however, in the Bradford area continental interference is<br />

negligible either CEPT aligned or reversed. This is mostly likely down to the density of<br />

assignments in each region.<br />

26 ‘Block the receiver’- in Business Radio terms, this equates to co-channel sharing, where licensees ‘politely’ share the radio<br />

channel.<br />

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6.4.2 Interference environment when introducing wideband systems in the UK<br />

The detailed results of the modelling of interference to wideband systems are at Appendix F:<br />

and are summarised below in Table 12.<br />

Table 12 Results for isolated Wideband systems deployed in the areas of interest<br />

Base Stations<br />

Modelling area<br />

No Continental<br />

Interference<br />

CEPT aligned<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

CEPT reversed<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

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Average Noise Level<br />

(dBm)<br />

Average Noise Level<br />

(dBm)<br />

Average Noise Level<br />

(dBm)<br />

Source: Mott MacDonald/ATDI<br />

Thames Gateway Birmingham Bradford<br />

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We conclude the following based on the results from Table 12 and Appendix H:<br />

Continental stations will have some effect on the wideband systems in the<br />

Thames Gateway area in terms of increased noise level and number of<br />

blockers but this would drop if the wideband network was CEPT aligned. This<br />

continental interference effect is also seen in Birmingham to a less extent and<br />

is negligible in Bradford;<br />

UK narrowband stations under the current trading rules have a catastrophic<br />

effect on wideband systems. The effect of narrowband systems in the UK is to<br />

increase the noise levels in the wideband systems by 13 -14dB under the<br />

current trading rules;<br />

In the cases where the continental interferers are either aligned or reversed<br />

shows that, similar to the narrowband situation, continental interference has<br />

significant effect in the Thames Gateway area. The results also show that if<br />

the wideband system becomes CEPT aligned there is an improvement;<br />

In all cases narrowband users who are co-channel to wideband users suffer<br />

greater noise and blocking unless there is a very large separation distance<br />

between the two systems. In general the degradation of the narrowband<br />

systems is in the range 5 to 8dB extra noise and doubling / tripling of the<br />

blocking numbers. As additional wide band systems are implemented, the<br />

modelling tends to indicate that the noise levels on the existing narrowband<br />

systems will drop;<br />

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Like narrowband systems, wideband systems in the south eastern UK would<br />

benefit with being aligned with Europe but this benefit has all but disappeared<br />

by the Midlands. The effect of narrowband systems on the wideband<br />

system(s) with the current trading rules is catastrophic decreasing the<br />

available service areas by around 75% and increasing blocking levels from 2<br />

times to 10 times as much. Considering these degradations the overall all<br />

conclusion is that the current trading rules would not allow a practical<br />

wideband system to be deployed;<br />

As more wideband systems are deployed so the noise in the wideband<br />

channel drops and the number of blockers also drops. This is because the<br />

spectral density of the narrowband systems is much higher than the<br />

equivalent wideband systems. This tends to indicate that wideband systems<br />

are possible but only if the majority of narrowband users are removed from<br />

the band and those narrowband users that are left are sufficiently far away as<br />

to produce little or no interference.<br />

Note: In the modelling exercise, we only considered narrowband users being co-channel<br />

with wideband users and have not considered adjacent channel effect of the wideband<br />

systems, which could be significant.<br />

i. Interference effects of Trading and Liberalisation<br />

To implement wideband systems in the current narrowband use of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band the<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> trading rules would need to be met. To understand the likely impact of a wideband<br />

system being introduced into the <strong>UHF2</strong> band, a scenario has been modelled, pictured in<br />

Figure 15 below. This is based on a wideband network (CDMA450) being deployed in the<br />

Thames Gateway, conforming to the <strong>Ofcom</strong> trading rules. All the narrowband transmitters<br />

outside the 50km trading zones that exceed the trading zone level would need to have there<br />

ERP reduced so that the field strength at the trading zone boundary is less than -116dBm<br />

(12dBuV/m). The technical rules and method of modelling are summarised at Appendix G.<br />

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Figure 15 Narrow band existing base stations meeting trading limits for Thames Gateway<br />

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In this particular scenario, 460 stations would need adjustment to their ERP levels. In fact a<br />

further 114 stations would require at least 29dB attenuation to their ERP level, e.g. from 25W<br />

to 30mW. This modelling only looked at co-channel and did not consider guard bands or out<br />

of band emissions, which would have an even greater impact on the number of assignments<br />

affected.<br />

Note: the above trading limit coordination only applies to the base stations. The mobile<br />

stations are assumed to transmit at their normal levels since there is no power control used<br />

by the PMR systems.<br />

6.5 Economic evaluation of Interference<br />

The impact of interference can be related to a cost in terms of additional site engineering<br />

required, but at a high level, the main impact is a loss of coverage area due to the noise floor<br />

at the base station receiver being degraded. To perform an economic evaluation of this<br />

effect, we need to understand the impact of the noise floor on coverage area.<br />

Figure 16 shows the percentage of the service area lost per dB of receiver noise degradation<br />

for both narrowband and wideband systems. This graph coupled with the figures from Table<br />

11 show the impact of band reversal. For example, in the Thames Gateway the average<br />

difference between CEPT aligned and CEPT reversed is a loss in coverage of over 60%<br />

without any mitigation techniques. Alternatively, this can be viewed as an increase in<br />

coverage area of 60% if the spectrum were to be aligned.<br />

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Figure 16 Base station receiver noise degradation against percentage of coverage lost<br />

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Source: Mott MacDonald/ATDI<br />

This graph coupled with the average noise degradation provides an indicative measure of<br />

the impact to services, which is used in the economic evaluation of interference in Chapters<br />

7 and 8.<br />

6.6 Future interference environment<br />

The future of the interference environment for the <strong>UHF2</strong> band could result in a number of<br />

different scenarios based on the configuration of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

As spectrum regulations adopt liberalisation and spectrum trading becomes a common way<br />

of accessing spectrum the future interference environment will be less predictable. Careful<br />

frequency assignment planning will need to be considered under a market driven framework<br />

so as not to cause interference to incumbent users from a new service or technology.<br />

For <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum where trading has already taken place, users will need to take<br />

responsibility in terms of how they occupy the spectrum for their services and take the<br />

necessary actions to ensure they comply with the current and future regulations. The<br />

regulator has the responsibility to ensure a suitable framework is in place that protects users<br />

from harmful interference from each other and from the continent. Therefore, future interface<br />

requirements and TFAC should include the provision for adopting new technology in the<br />

future without impairing the use of incumbent services. <strong>Ofcom</strong> will need provision for<br />

assigning wideband digital systems and narrowband systems at 6.25kHz in <strong>UHF2</strong> which<br />

would need to be determined and incorporated in future interference modelling tools and<br />

processes.<br />

The future assignment and protection of services from interference will probably be based<br />

around the concept of Spectrum Usage Rights (SUR), which has its origin in the Spectrum<br />

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Framework Review (SFR). The SFR proposed that market forces are a more effective way to<br />

manage the valuable, yet limited resources of the radio spectrum than the current centrally<br />

managed approach. It is recognised that the value of the spectrum is in part derived from its<br />

quality, hence the focus on Interference management through appropriate Spectrum Usage<br />

Rights.<br />

Users of the spectrum in <strong>UHF2</strong> have varying degrees of protection requirements to use their<br />

service. As explained in Chapter 2 some of the services require a very high level of<br />

availability and the level of interference protection required would need to be sufficient<br />

enough to support those requirements.<br />

In future, it will be necessary for the market to understand their own protection requirements<br />

in order to deploy a quality of service relative to the type of use and expectation to the end<br />

user. In the case for <strong>UHF2</strong>, users of mission critical systems and emergency and public<br />

safety will inevitably need to define its spectrum user rights to include the extra level of<br />

protection required as to reduce the likelihood of interference. However, interference is<br />

directly linked to the value of the use of that spectrum, where it is likely that licensees will<br />

need to pay more for spectrum that has less interference or procure guard bands.<br />

Development of new services and new technology could improve the interference<br />

environment as filter technology improves and spectrum management moves to a market<br />

driven approach where key drivers would be for both availability of high value spectrum and<br />

the reduction in harmful interference.<br />

6.6.1 Considerations when aligning spectrum<br />

When considering aligning spectrum within the <strong>UHF2</strong> band through partial alignment of the<br />

band or on a channel-by-channel basis, which could be through trading and liberalisation, an<br />

important factor is guard bands.<br />

In the UK aligning spectrum piece-meal would mean existing base transmit (CEPT reversed)<br />

would become base receive and be adjacent to other base station transmitters. Current<br />

equipment standards specify that the adjacent channel power should be 60 dB below the<br />

unwanted channel carrier power. However, in practice systems in the UK operating in the<br />

newly CEPT aligned spectrum would need to conform to the current business radio licence<br />

products which could be a 100W base station. Therefore, a geographical separation<br />

distance or guard band would need to be specified according to the type of use. Using<br />

minimum coupling loss calculations, the geographical separation would need to be in the<br />

region of 16km or at least one channel guard band for a 12.5kHz channel.<br />

Therefore what must be considered when aligning spectrum is the efficiency of only aligning<br />

one channel at a time as the ratio of useable spectrum will by 1:2 in a given service area.<br />

The guard bands would of course remain the same if more channels were contiguously<br />

aligned, providing greater efficiency.<br />

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6.7 Summary & Conclusions<br />

This chapter has covered the current and future interference scenarios that could potentially<br />

impact services in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. This chapter also looked at the procedures that are in<br />

place to manage interference both nationally and internationally. We have concluded the<br />

following:<br />

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There is significant interference from the continent into UK base station<br />

receivers when modelling the current realistic scenario (UK CEPT reversed<br />

with 1% time and Base station antenna is 30m agl);<br />

The effect of interference on service area to narrowband systems is around<br />

70% of the noise limited potential service area is lost in the south of England<br />

decreasing to 30% in the Midlands and 0% in the North for 1% of the time;<br />

The UK would benefit from a Memorandum of Understanding for the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

band over and above the procedures contained in the HCM agreement;<br />

The introduction of wide band systems into the 450 to 470MHz band would<br />

have a dramatic effect on the existing narrow band user not only in the trading<br />

coordination aspect but also in the noise levels rising from 3 to 8dB<br />

depending on the separation distance between the systems. These<br />

degradations will change depending on the separation distances and<br />

geographic terrain between the various co-channel systems;<br />

There is an economic impact to consider if the UK were to suffer significant<br />

continental interference;<br />

Guard bands and geographical separation would be necessary if the UK were<br />

to adopt partial alignment in some areas in the UK;<br />

Users of <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum in the UK currently do not suffer continental<br />

interference due to the low level of radio communications activity in the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

band on the continent. It is has been found that if the UK were to become<br />

CEPT aligned any future potential interference could be greatly reduced.<br />

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7 Economics, Costs, Demands and Benefits of Reconfiguring the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

band<br />

7.1 Introduction<br />

This chapter covers the following topics:<br />

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a discussion in broad terms of the key economic concepts used when<br />

analysing the economics of spectrum;<br />

a summary of the theory of measuring economic costs and benefits;<br />

an outline of the methodology to be used to estimate the costs and benefits of<br />

band alignment;<br />

an outline of the key costs and benefits identified by previous studies when<br />

reviewing the potential reconfiguration of the <strong>UHF2</strong> frequency band;<br />

a review of previous research into the likely demand for <strong>UHF2</strong> frequency<br />

spectrum if it was reconfigured;<br />

a review of <strong>Ofcom</strong>’s current plans for future spectrum allocations in the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

frequency band; and<br />

a summary of the key assumptions to be used in the cost benefit <strong>study</strong>.<br />

With all the relevant topics discussed, we then develop a methodology for the Cost Benefit<br />

Analysis (CBA).<br />

7.2 Measuring Costs and Benefits of <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum reconfiguration<br />

One of the key analytical tools employed when reviewing any future policy changes for the<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> band is to undertake a cost benefit analysis. In this section, we discuss the concept of<br />

cost-benefit analysis and its relevance to policymaking prior to applying the concept to the<br />

challenge of <strong>UHF2</strong> re-configuration.<br />

7.2.1 The Theory<br />

Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) is an economic tool to aid decision-making. It is typically used<br />

by governments to evaluate the desirability of a given market intervention. The aim is to<br />

assess the efficiency of the intervention relative to doing nothing.<br />

The costs and benefits of the impacts of an intervention are evaluated in terms of:<br />

the public's (consumers and producers) willingness to pay for the benefits of<br />

the intervention; or<br />

the willingness to pay to avoid the costs.<br />

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The costs in a cost-benefit analysis should be measured in terms of opportunity costs,<br />

which are the values in their best alternative use. The guiding principle is to list all of the<br />

parties affected by an intervention, and place a monetary value of the effect the intervention<br />

would have on their welfare as it would be valued by them.<br />

The benefits in a cost-benefit analysis typically attempt to measure the impact of various<br />

options on the value of ‘social welfare’. Economists measure social welfare as the sum of<br />

the total benefits to consumers beyond the price they pay (the consumers surplus), plus the<br />

profit to producers above a normal return (the producers surplus).<br />

In Figure 17 “consumer surplus” is the area below the demand curve, sometimes referred to<br />

as consumers willingness to pay, and above the price (P*), what they have to pay. Producer<br />

surplus is the area above the supply curve and below the market price (P*). The equilibrium<br />

price is where the supply of the service equals the demand for the service. The concept of a<br />

surplus arises for consumers because there are some consumers, as indicated by the<br />

demand curve, who would be prepared to pay a higher price that P* for the service. These<br />

consumers receive a ‘surplus’ as they actually pay a lower price (P*) than they would be<br />

willing to pay for the service. Similarly, there are some producers (as indicated by the supply<br />

curve) that would be prepared to provide the service to consumers at a lower price than they<br />

actually received (that is, P*). Hence, these producers gain a ‘surplus’ above the price that<br />

they were prepared to offer for the service.<br />

The sum of the area of consumer and producer surplus equal the total amount of social<br />

welfare that exists for the supply of a service (Q*) at a given price (P*).<br />

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Figure 17 Consumer and Producer Surplus<br />

i. What factors can result in changes in net social welfare?<br />

Changes in net social welfare occur as a result of changes in the demand and supply of<br />

services offered.<br />

price<br />

consumer<br />

surplus<br />

P* producer<br />

surplus<br />

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Q*<br />

supply<br />

demand<br />

quantity<br />

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In order to illustrate the range of factors that can influence net welfare due to band re-<br />

alignment, we review the impact of band alignment where spectrum is used as an input to<br />

production. In reality, there are a range of goods and services that make use of spectrum in<br />

the production of final products and services. In addition, band alignment may free up<br />

spectrum to allow completely new services to be provided that are not provided now.<br />

However, the simplified scenarios discussed below show in broad terms the impact that<br />

band alignment can have on net social welfare.<br />

An increase in the demand curve in Figure 17 will lead to an unambiguous increase in<br />

producer surplus. A number of factors could drive the rise in demand. Band alignment may<br />

allow for a range of enhancements (such as international roaming) to the existing service to<br />

be offered, which will in turn increase the demand for the service at every level of supply.<br />

This assumes that before band alignment, continental interference issues prevented the<br />

service from being used in other countries in Europe. This increase in the ‘value’ of the<br />

service leads to an outward shift in demand.<br />

A downward shift in the supply curve in Figure 17 will lead to an increase in the size of the<br />

consumer surplus. Band alignment may reduce production costs because of greater<br />

economies of scale of manufacture (due to greater harmonisation with European Standards).<br />

In addition, the supply curve could flatten as a result of band alignment due to more efficient<br />

use of the existing spectrum. For example, a flattening of the supply curve may occur if, as a<br />

result of band alignment, new digital technologies can be introduced that use the same<br />

spectrum in a more efficient way. This may in turn, allow firms to offer a greater amount or<br />

range of services that could be offered before band alignment.<br />

The costs of band alignment may cause the supply curve in Figure 17 to shift upwards<br />

(increase) and the demand curve to shift to the left (decrease). Band alignment will mean<br />

that many existing users of spectrum will bear additional costs (such as retuning equipment<br />

to new frequencies). This will increase the average costs of production across the entire<br />

supply curve, moving the supply curve upwards and lead to increased prices and reduced<br />

consumer surplus.<br />

Band alignment may also cause the demand curve to shift to the left (decrease). This may<br />

be due to consumers during the band alignment transition phase shifting to other providers<br />

offering similar services (such as cellular services). Consumers may decide to shift away<br />

from these services because of the disruption to their services during the transition phase.<br />

Consumers may make this decision based, for example, on the potential for actual downtime<br />

to their service because of the band alignment. The level of producer surplus reduces as a<br />

result of the reduction in demand.<br />

Hence, there are a range of potential impacts that may occur as a result of band alignment.<br />

The role of cost benefit analysis is to weigh up the size of each of these effects on supply<br />

and demand to arrive at an overall estimate of the net impacts.<br />

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7.2.2 Practical issues in assessing the costs and benefits of band alignment<br />

In practice, the process of conducting a cost-benefit analysis of various band alignment<br />

options involves estimating the monetary value of initial and ongoing expenses (costs)<br />

caused by the market intervention. These costs are then weighed against the expected<br />

return (benefits) of the market intervention to derive the net-benefits. The total net benefits<br />

are then compared against the ‘do nothing’ scenario (the base case), as well as to the net-<br />

benefits that result from other market interventions.<br />

Constructing robust measures of the costs and benefits of specific actions is often difficult.<br />

This is because the size of many of the costs and benefits can depend crucially on a number<br />

of future unknowns, or involve making judgements on the consumers ‘willingness to pay’ or<br />

the producers ‘willingness to supply’.<br />

Methods to try to estimate total benefits include using survey methods such as asking<br />

consumers how much they would be willing to pay for a certain service or by drawing<br />

inferences from market behaviour, such as revealed preference techniques.<br />

In order to simplify the calculations, many cost-benefit studies assume that the supply curve<br />

is relatively flat. With a relatively flat – or horizontal – supply curve, there are only marginal<br />

changes in the size of producer surplus (or none if the supply curve is horizontal) which<br />

allows the analysis to focus solely on estimating the size of changes in consumer surplus as<br />

it can provide a reasonable measure of the total change in social welfare.<br />

In addition, we note that band alignment may lead to the freeing up of additional spectrum<br />

that will facilitate the provision of new services. In this case, we are then interested in<br />

estimating the entire value of the consumer and producer surplus (rather than change in<br />

surplus measured for existing services). The value producers are willing to pay for spectrum<br />

is a proxy of the magnitude of the social welfare benefits that accrues as a result of band<br />

alignment.<br />

Another practical issue to consider is to ensure that all relevant costs and benefits are<br />

assessed on a comparable basis. To do this, a discount rate is used to compute all relevant<br />

future costs and benefits in present-value terms. This is because the costs and benefits may<br />

accrue both now and into the future. Our analysis will use the UK Treasury discount rate<br />

estimates.<br />

i. How accurate is cost-benefit analysis?<br />

The accuracy of cost-benefit analysis studies are only as good as the quality of the data<br />

used in the analysis. Many of the drivers of benefits and costs are based on estimates of<br />

future unknown events, such as the potential number of consumers willing to purchase the<br />

service once the intervention has been implemented. Hence, there are inherent dangers in<br />

predicting finite net benefits or costs. Usually, sensitivity analysis is deployed to check the<br />

impact of particular factors. As a result, it is normal to present a range of potential outcomes.<br />

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Another challenge comes from determining which costs should be included in the analysis.<br />

This is often controversial as organisations or interest groups may have considerable<br />

debates on which costs should be included or excluded from a <strong>study</strong>.<br />

ii. Defining Costs<br />

It is important when conducting and reviewing cost-benefit studies to be aware of the way<br />

that economists define costs. The true cost of something is what you give up to get it. In<br />

terms of spectrum band alignment, costs are not only the resources needed to effect the<br />

alignment but also the benefits that were forgone as a result of the decision to re-align the<br />

band. These ‘opportunity costs’ are relevant for cost-benefit analysis.<br />

In assessing which costs to include in the analysis, the key is to consider only the costs that<br />

will vary as a result of the decision to align the band.<br />

7.3 Methodology for measuring the costs and benefits of Band Alignment<br />

We will use the following approach to estimate the costs and benefits of band alignment:<br />

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Firstly, we will review previous studies on the costs and benefits of band<br />

alignment – and summarise the results. Given primary level research is<br />

beyond the scope of this project, we will rely heavily on the research that has<br />

already been carried out on the costs and benefits of band alignment.<br />

Previous research and analysis will be critically assessed, taking into account<br />

any modifications needed given recent policy and market changes.<br />

Secondly, we will outline the major options for band alignment. We will outline<br />

the assumptions made in respect of the future use of the band. In particular,<br />

how the spectrum is used once the band is aligned will have a key impact on<br />

the results (for instance, the value of the spectrum that may be available for<br />

re-allocation as a result of greater spectrum efficiency). Our assumptions on<br />

the future use of the band are critical for the analysis. We will do this based<br />

on providing three broad options for band alignment, which are discussed in<br />

more detail in Chapter 8.<br />

Thirdly, we will identify and discuss each of the high-level costs and benefits<br />

that may accrue for each of the options. These will be based on relevant<br />

previous work as well as our own analysis, assessments and assumptions.<br />

Fourthly, we will review the three options in more detail and identify for each<br />

option the detailed factors to be taken into account and measured in Net<br />

Present Value (NPV) terms, based on a 15-year assessment period. Again,<br />

we will draw on previous analysis of the costs and benefits of band alignment.<br />

These will be assessed in light of the recent policy and market changes. We<br />

will also carry out a sensitivity analysis to review how sensitive the results are<br />

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to changes in the values of key variables. We will also discuss the distribution<br />

of the costs and benefits across users for each of the options as this has been<br />

highlighted in previous studies as an important factor to consider when<br />

assessing the costs and benefits of specific options.<br />

7.3.1 Adjusting the value of costs and benefits to present day<br />

The valuation of costs or benefits are expressed in ‘real terms’ or ‘constant prices’ (i.e. at<br />

‘today’s’ general price level), as opposed to ‘nominal terms’ or ‘current prices’. Given that we<br />

intend to draw on estimates of costs and benefits from studies in the past, there is a need to<br />

adjust the value so that they reflect current values. To do this, we have adjusted values by<br />

the average annual inflation rate for all goods between 2003 and 2007, as produced by the<br />

UK Office of National Statistics.<br />

7.3.2 Discounting for Costs and Benefits that occur in the future<br />

Some of the costs and benefits of band alignment will occur in different time periods. For<br />

example, some of the value to spectrum users of a reduction in continental interference as a<br />

result of band alignment will only be realised when current equipment is replaced. At this<br />

point in the future spectrum users will be able to build a more efficient network (for example,<br />

fewer base stations) given reduced interference risks. Hence, the value to users of this future<br />

benefit needs to be discounted back to present day.<br />

For our analysis, the discount rate of 3.5% is used. This is the rate recommended by the<br />

HM-Treasury for the assessment of the costs and benefits that occur in different time<br />

periods. 27<br />

7.3.3 Sensitivity Analysis<br />

In order to test the results produced, it is sensible to apply tests on the sensitivity of the<br />

results to changes in key variables (such as the cost of alignment, or the value of spectrum).<br />

In terms of the costs of band-alignment, PA Consulting have carried out extensive sensitivity<br />

testing of their estimates – and since we are relying on their estimates for our analysis, there<br />

is no need to replicate this work. As a result, our sensitivity tests will focus on the size of the<br />

benefits – and we will analyse the impact on the overall results when the value of key<br />

variables are changed.<br />

The results of this analysis are detailed in Chapter 8.<br />

7.4 Review of previous research on the costs of band alignment<br />

The first stage of our cost-benefit analysis is to review previous work on the costs of band<br />

alignment.<br />

27 See : http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/media/3/F/green_book_260907.pdf<br />

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There has been considerable research carried out on the costs of reconfiguring the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

spectrum band. Much of this work took place between 2000 and 2004 and was focused on<br />

providing estimates of the potential costs and benefits of harmonising the <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum<br />

band with European standards. In this section, we examine two types of costs:<br />

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The direct costs of band alignment<br />

Additional potential costs of band alignment.<br />

7.4.1 The costs of band <strong>realignment</strong><br />

Figure 19 on the next page provides a summary of the estimates of direct costs of band<br />

<strong>realignment</strong> of the 450-470 MHz band.<br />

As a result, we focus the rest of our analysis on the most recent and comprehensive <strong>study</strong><br />

on the costs of band alignment, which was completed by PA Consulting in 2004. This <strong>study</strong><br />

estimated that the total costs of alignment were between £260m and £310m.<br />

Costs were disaggregated to provide analysis on the specific costs faced by different users<br />

of spectrum impacted by band alignment. See Figure 18 for a summary of this cost break<br />

breakdown.<br />

Figure 18 Estimates of the cost of alignment by user segment 28<br />

Segment/User Total Costs<br />

(£)<br />

Average<br />

Licensee Cost (£)<br />

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Average<br />

Terminal Cost (£)<br />

PBR 67 378 434 14 606 189<br />

Paging 8 800 359 38 940 144<br />

PMSE 13 019 319 32 794 368<br />

Telemetry 22 722 600 295 099 1 193<br />

Network<br />

Operators<br />

94 022 695 47 011 348 1 274<br />

Site Engineering 71 157 980 n/a n/a<br />

Contingency 55 420 396* n/a n/a<br />

Total 277 101 387 n/a n/a<br />

*20% Contingency distributed evenly across segments<br />

These cost estimates were based on the assumption that the alignment of each user will<br />

take place with a single frequency change.<br />

28 Typical user cost for 450-470Mhz band Alignment, PA Consulting (2004)<br />

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Study Methodology Cost estimates<br />

PA Consulting<br />

(2004)<br />

Radio Agency<br />

(2003) 29<br />

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Review of direct costs of band<br />

<strong>realignment</strong>. Review of databases<br />

combined with stakeholder interviews<br />

Unknown £125m<br />

Figure 19 Selection of cost estimates of 450-470 Band <strong>realignment</strong><br />

Between £260m and £310m if a one-step frequency change is performed.<br />

SD-SCICON (1991) 30 Unknown Engineering costs of <strong>realignment</strong> estimated at £55.7m.<br />

Department of Trade<br />

and Industry (2002) 31<br />

PMR Group<br />

Members of the<br />

Federation of<br />

Communication<br />

Services (2004)<br />

Indepen and AEGIS<br />

(2004)<br />

Based on 2055 responses to a Postal<br />

survey to 6 separate user segments<br />

that make use of spectrum in the 450-<br />

470 MHz band.<br />

If ‘parking’ frequencies are used in a totally different band for all users to allow for continuity of service then costs would<br />

increase to over £500m.<br />

Significant duplication of costs would also occur if ‘parking frequencies’ within <strong>UHF2</strong> were used, estimated to add between<br />

£180-200m to the costs.<br />

Loss of revenues due to down time estimated at £22m.<br />

Average lifetime of equipment was 10.8 years. Average remaining lifetime was 5.1 years. Average cost of existing<br />

equipment was £1700. Percentage of existing units able to be reconfigured was 78% on average.<br />

Average loss of revenue as a result of <strong>realignment</strong> (excluding equipment costs) was £26,000 on average (or a reduction of<br />

32% of revenues over 7 days).<br />

Average increase in staff costs was £2100 (a 29% increase over an average of 13 days).<br />

A quarter of respondents said they would consider moving to another band. One off costs of moving to another band was<br />

estimated at £704,132 (or £8563 excluding Railtrack). Ongoing costs of moving to another band were estimated at £744,366<br />

(or £5374 excluding Railtrack).<br />

Unknown Band <strong>realignment</strong> would reduce interference for an estimated 340 licences – but that 17,285 licences would incur costs in<br />

realigning the band.<br />

Case <strong>study</strong> of Telemetry/Telecommand<br />

services in the 450-470 MHz band. NPV<br />

estimated over a 10 year period<br />

Costs caused by the disruption to UK electrical and gas supplies, the threat to airport operation etc. estimated at ‘hundreds<br />

of millions of pounds’<br />

Net Costs of harmonisation (which include NPV $5m benefits) calculated at £4200m. Costs were calculated as those<br />

involved in using alternative bands and technologies to deliver equivalent services<br />

Indepen and AEGIS Case Study of PMR at 450-470 Earlier harmonisation results in a larger positive NPV. (Difference in NPVs is around £70-100m).<br />

29<br />

This cost estimate was quoted in a 2004 report by the Federation of Communications (The UHF Band 2 Re-Alignment Controversy). Mott MacDonald has been unable to find the original<br />

Radio Agency report that produced these estimates.<br />

30<br />

This cost estimate was quoted in a 2004 report by the Federation of Communications (The UHF Band 2 Re-Alignment Controversy). Mott MacDonald has been unable to find the original SD-<br />

SCICON report that produced these estimates.<br />

31 White and Stilwell, Department of Trade and Industry (2002) 450-470 Band Alignment Project Report.<br />

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The <strong>study</strong> was based on consultation with industry and this was combined with a flexible<br />

cost model that allowed for the testing of sensitivity of each of the cost drivers. The <strong>study</strong><br />

made use of existing databases on equipment quantities cross referenced with interviews of<br />

key stakeholders.<br />

In reviewing the costs, the report listed the following critical issues generic to all the users of<br />

the 450-470 MHz spectrum band:<br />

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Equipment re-tuning or replacement;<br />

Coordinating multi-user sites;<br />

Maintaining continuity of service;<br />

Logistics of the equipment changes;<br />

Reducing business uncertainty.<br />

In addition, the report reviewed specific issues that would be faced by each of the following<br />

450-470 MHz user categories as a result of the band alignment. The report noted that the<br />

costs fell unevenly across the sector (as indicated in Figure 18 above).<br />

We will be using these cost estimates (adjusted to reflect 2008 costs) as the basis for our<br />

cost estimates for each of the options proposed in Chapter 8. In our opinion, there has been<br />

no fundamental change in the make up of these costs since they were estimated (apart from<br />

the need to adjust the values to reflect the impact of inflation). Our approach is consistent<br />

with the views of the stakeholders that were interviewed as part of this <strong>study</strong>.<br />

We note that the PA Consulting cost estimates focused on the direct costs of realigning the<br />

band. The report included a 20 per cent contingency to account for ‘factors such as<br />

uncertainty in database information, wasted engineering effort in cases where vehicles or<br />

terminals are not available for conversion or there are problems with site access, the cost of<br />

delays arising due to technical problems at sites and increased labour costs due to the<br />

market demand for engineers’. 32<br />

The report also indicated that the total costs of band alignment would increase if the use of<br />

parking frequencies was needed as part of the alignment process. The report estimated that<br />

the costs would increase by between £180-200m if parking frequencies within <strong>UHF2</strong> were<br />

used. The report indicated that the costs would increase to over £500m if parking<br />

frequencies outside of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band were used.<br />

Notwithstanding the potential for additional costs highlighted in the report, some other costs<br />

were not included in the <strong>study</strong>. These costs may or may not be relevant, depending on the<br />

management of the band alignment process. They include the cost impact of down-time and<br />

32 PA Consulting (2004), p. 1.4.<br />

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potential complications/interference as a result of the alignment which may impact on the<br />

operations of essential services such as airports, electrical and gas supplies. 33<br />

7.4.2 Summary<br />

A range of costs needs to be considered when completing a cost-benefit analysis of band<br />

alignment. We intend to draw heavily from the 2004 PA Consulting report on the direct costs<br />

of band alignment. It provides relatively recent estimates of a range of relevant costs that<br />

would be incurred during the band alignment process. These estimates need to be adjusted<br />

to reflect 2008 values. The logical complexity of aligning the band cannot be discounted. In<br />

particular, if the alignment of the band cannot be completed through a one step process, the<br />

actually costs of band alignment almost double.<br />

The types of costs identified in these studies included:<br />

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The costs of modifying or replacing base stations and mobile equipment;<br />

The cost of site engineering – re-tuning or replacement of filters and<br />

combiners that are specific to the current frequency arrangements;<br />

The cost of providing temporary parallel infrastructure to enable continuity of<br />

service or long-term migration of a large pool of end-user equipment;<br />

The user project management needed to plan and co-ordinate the<br />

changeover;<br />

Potential re-training where new equipment is deployed;<br />

Any costs associated with hiring equipment or services to maintain service<br />

during equipment downtime;<br />

The cost of providing additional staff to cover temporary outages of critical<br />

systems and to perform the re-configuration of central network control<br />

systems;<br />

Cost of replacing stock or spares that become obsolete as a result of the<br />

band alignment process and must be replaced to ensure continuity of<br />

maintenance provision;<br />

(For public network operators) Any loss of revenue from customers who move<br />

to an alternative either during the changeover, or permanently;<br />

The administrative costs associated with making the allocations and any on-<br />

going administrative costs associated with managing the band;<br />

The costs of reversing the allocation decision should it turn out to be wrong;<br />

33 See, for example, a discussion of the costs of this in relation of Heathrow Airport in the PMR Group members of the<br />

Federation of Communication Services (2004) The UHF Band 2 Re-alignment controversy, p. 8.<br />

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The costs of dealing with any increase in congestion in licensed and licence-<br />

exempt bands caused by the denial of licensed and licence-exempt use<br />

respectively. For example, installing additional infrastructure or using more<br />

interference resistant handsets;<br />

The potential for band re-alignment to constrain the potential for spectrum<br />

trading;<br />

That loss of potential revenue from Administrated Incentive Pricing (AIP) as a<br />

result of band re-alignment.<br />

7.5 Review of previous research on the benefits of band alignment<br />

A review of previous research on the benefits of band alignment suggests benefits accrue in<br />

the following broad areas:<br />

Benefits due to the harmonisation of the spectrum band with European<br />

standards. This includes reductions/removal of radio interference between UK<br />

users on the East coast of the country and other users of the spectrum in<br />

other parts of Europe (namely, France);<br />

Benefits due to standardisation of equipment between the UK and Europe.<br />

These benefits include the ability of UK users to take advantage of Economics<br />

of Scale of production, as well as the potential to offering additional services<br />

(such as European roaming);<br />

Benefits of more efficient spectrum use, which potentially frees up<br />

additional spectrum that can be allocated to the market. These benefits<br />

accrue in a number of ways including the extra funds available to the UK<br />

Treasury because of the allocation of spectrum, as well as the lower costs of<br />

supply that may result for greater spectrum being available. New services<br />

may also be possible as a result of the extra spectrum that is available that<br />

was not possible under existing arrangements.<br />

The magnitude of these potential benefits depends on a range of factors, including:<br />

The characteristics (service, quality, and price) of the new applications and<br />

the extent of competition from substitute products and services, which in turn<br />

will affect the benefits users enjoy and take-up rates;<br />

The differential impact of the licensing arrangements on service/application<br />

innovation and the timing of investment to deliver the service/application;<br />

The timescales over which benefits are to be enjoyed and the discount rate<br />

applied to future benefits;<br />

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The size of the potential market addressed by the spectrum allocation<br />

decision;<br />

In the case of an occupied licensed band, whether incumbent licensed users<br />

are displaced or not by the designation of the band for licence-exempt use;<br />

The wider impact of the new applications on competition and, assuming this is<br />

positive, the consumer benefits from enhanced productivity and lower prices,<br />

improved service quality in other services;<br />

Externalities generated by the services or the spectrum use. This includes<br />

interference effects and any positive or negative environmental, economic or<br />

social externalities. Possible examples of the latter include any<br />

inclusion/democracy benefits from wider broadband deployment and changes<br />

in road congestion, accidents and pollution caused by automotive radar;<br />

The ability to achieve these benefits through alternative means. For there may<br />

be a number of alternative methods to band alignment of reducing radio<br />

interference (such as spectrum trading between existing users or the use of<br />

intelligent antenna techniques in areas of the country where interference<br />

occurs.<br />

We note that it is likely to be challenging to estimate the likely benefits of band alignment, as<br />

many of the key variables are unknown. This is in contrast to the costs of band alignment, for<br />

which costs are more readily obtained or estimated.<br />

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Despite these challenges, a number of studies have attempted to estimate the benefits of<br />

band alignment. These estimates are presented below in Figure 20.<br />

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Figure 20 Estimates of the benefits of alignment of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band<br />

Study Methodology Estimates of financial benefits<br />

Radio Agency<br />

(2003) 34<br />

Radio Agency<br />

(2003) 35<br />

Department of Trade<br />

and Industry (2002) 36<br />

Indepen and AEGIS<br />

(2004)<br />

7.5.1 Benefits of Standardisation<br />

Unknown Up to £555m<br />

Unknown Band alignment expected to yield an<br />

additional 2-3MHz of spectrum – with a Net<br />

Present Value of £247-£430m<br />

Based on 2055 responses to a<br />

Postal survey to 6 separate user<br />

segments that make use of the<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

Detailed case studies of PMR and<br />

Telemetry/ Telecommand<br />

services in the 450-470 MHz band.<br />

Case studies drew upon previous<br />

studies on estimates of the<br />

consumer surplus of PMR<br />

spectrum and the 2003<br />

Radiocommunications Agency<br />

Study of Costs and Benefits of<br />

Band re-alignment. NPV approach<br />

was applied.<br />

Case <strong>study</strong> on NPV net-benefits<br />

of band alignment for PMR users<br />

based on a scenario that band<br />

alignment took place in 1980.<br />

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Estimates of the existing cost of interference<br />

were around £150 per day for the users that<br />

experienced interference. Only 10 users out of<br />

2055 provided an estimate of the costs of<br />

interference. Alignment of the spectrum band<br />

would assumedly mean that these costs would<br />

not be incurred.<br />

7% of Users stated that there would be a<br />

benefit to band <strong>realignment</strong>. These users<br />

estimated that their business revenues would<br />

increase by 9% (or £5200). Averaged across all<br />

users the revenue increase was 4% (or £2400).<br />

PMR users: NPV net benefits of re-alignment<br />

range from £4m-£16m to £78m-£124m,<br />

(depending on assumptions made about the<br />

amount of spectrum released because of <strong>realignment</strong><br />

and the potential value of that<br />

spectrum).<br />

Telemetry and Telecommand devices: impact<br />

of band re-alignment would free up 1MHz of<br />

spectrum available for PMR and other mobile<br />

radio use in the 450-470 MHz band. NPV of<br />

benefits equal to £5m (although costs of<br />

<strong>realignment</strong> significantly overshadowed the<br />

benefits)<br />

Indepen and AEGIS state the following types of benefits that result from standardisation: 37<br />

Compatibility/interface standards: These standards promote network effects<br />

(or network externalities) that derive from being part of a large network of<br />

34<br />

This estimate of the financial benefits of alignment was quoted in a 2004 report by the Federation of Communications (The<br />

UHF Band 2 Re-Alignment Controversy). Mott MacDonald has been unable to find the original Radio Agency report that<br />

produced these estimates<br />

35<br />

Presentation to the Royal Society by Paul Jarvis, Head of Private Business Systems (2003) Can be found here<br />

www.ofcom.org.uk/static/archive/ra/smag/bandalignforum/pauljarvis.ppt<br />

36<br />

White and Stilwell, Department of Trade and Industry (2002) 450-470 Band Alignment Project Report.<br />

37 Indepen and AEGIS, p. 20.<br />

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users (e.g. international mobility, ability to communicate with many others, low<br />

cost ancillary and support services). These standards reduce the costs to<br />

consumers and producers of switching between different interfaces and<br />

thereby promote competition;<br />

Minimum quality/safety standards: These standards are valuable in<br />

circumstances where consumers cannot easily discriminate between low and<br />

high quality goods (as may often be the case with equipment which uses<br />

radio access). The standards reduce consumers’ search and transaction<br />

costs and ensure low quality producers do not drive out high quality<br />

producers. Technical barriers to trade may be reduced by providing reference<br />

points for quality;<br />

Variety reduction/focussing standards: Standards that reduce the variety of<br />

technologies developed allow economies of scale in equipment manufacture<br />

and service provision to be exploited and so lead to lower costs to<br />

consumers. Producers’ risks of sponsoring an unsuccessful variant are also<br />

reduced as the likelihood the market will achieve critical mass is increased<br />

(compared with the situation where there is no standard), even if there may<br />

be increased competition between producers of the standardised product or<br />

service;<br />

Information/measurement standards: Standards of information and product<br />

description give consumers assurance of compatibility between<br />

complementary products reduce producer and consumer transaction costs<br />

and thereby promote trade and accelerate the take-up or diffusion of new<br />

technologies;<br />

Promotion of First Mover Advantages. The adoption of standards can also<br />

provide an incentive to innovate by helping secure a first mover advantage in<br />

the marketplace. However, the flipside of this is that there may be costs due<br />

to the ability of the ‘first mover’ to lock-in consumers to certain technologies,<br />

and through that reduce potential competition from competitors.<br />

However, the authors point out that many of the benefits (and costs) of standardisation are<br />

not dependent on the adoption of European standards. However, the adoption of European<br />

wide standards can have the additional benefits of reducing radio interference, promoting<br />

international mobility and creating a larger market.<br />

7.5.2 Benefits of Harmonisation of the spectrum band with European standards<br />

The main benefits of Harmonisation as identified by Indepen and AEGIS (2004) include:<br />

A reduction in the likelihood of harmful interference between services<br />

operating in different countries, particularly in border areas, and thereby<br />

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increase the available spectrum for each country. The scale of this benefit<br />

will depend in part on whether spectrum in the bands in question is scarce or<br />

not;<br />

the creation of a European-wide market for equipment and services thereby<br />

reducing manufacturers’ risks and allowing them to take advantage of scale<br />

economies; 38<br />

a reduction in equipment costs through Economies of Scale in equipment<br />

manufacture by limiting the number of frequency bands for which equipment<br />

must be made;<br />

the creation of new services (such as international roaming)<br />

Benefits of regulatory certainty (protection) to users of spectrum that the<br />

spectrum will not be reallocated to other potential uses.<br />

However, the size of the benefits of harmonisation depended crucially on current and future<br />

use. Where spectrum was expected to remain un-congested, the <strong>study</strong> report argued there<br />

was little or no benefit of band alignment. In addition, the <strong>study</strong> highlighted that technological<br />

change was allowing many of the benefits of harmonisation to occur without the need for<br />

band alignment. We note that this has now happened in the field of narrowband technology,<br />

where DMR and TETRA offer flexibility in the spectrum configuration, enabling the UK to<br />

benefit from digital services, whilst not harmonising the spectrum. However, the case for<br />

introducing wideband technology at this moment still requires harmonised spectrum. Even if<br />

the technology was to be more flexible and be able to adopt different duplex splits, the<br />

technology would still need approximately 2 x 5MHz of spectrum, which would not be<br />

achievable in the 450MHz band current allocation.<br />

The report offers a number of conclusions on the benefits of standardisation and<br />

harmonisation, both historically and if implemented now. See Table 13 for details. The report<br />

argues that net benefits only occur for some spectrum user segments in the 450-470 MHz<br />

band. The conclusions suggest that a partial band alignment is preferred to the full band<br />

alignment.<br />

38 In this regard, there are thought to be significant benefits from trading with “nearby” countries, where distance is measured in<br />

cultural, administrative, geographic and economic terms. See Distance Still Matters, P Ghemawat, Harvard Business Review,<br />

79(8), September 2001.<br />

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Table 13 Conclusions on the impact of standardisation and harmonisation caused by band<br />

alignment<br />

Segment (case studies) Key conclusions<br />

PMR at 450-470 MHz –<br />

historic<br />

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Harmonisation would have yielded greater benefits if undertaken<br />

earlier.<br />

PMR at 450-470 MHz – future Benefits from allowing users to chose whether to use wideband<br />

or narrowband<br />

Radio car keys Appears to be a good case for harmonisation<br />

Telemetry and telecommand<br />

systems<br />

Harmonisation would have a substantial negative impact.<br />

PMSE – historic Harmonisation could have a negative impact because it would<br />

reduce the available spectrum, not lead to lower equipment costs<br />

and the benefits of mobility are small. Against this users might<br />

gain more security of tenure, though this seems unlikely in<br />

practice.<br />

PMSE – future Standardisation per se does not offer benefits.<br />

7.5.3 Benefits of greater spectrum efficiency<br />

One major benefit of band alignment is the potential for greater spectrum efficiency, which<br />

allows the same amount of services to be provided with less spectrum. The ‘freed up’<br />

spectrum can then be allocated to new uses that were not available before the band<br />

alignment process. Studies have estimated that there is the potential to free up between 2-3<br />

MHz of spectrum in the 450-470 frequency band. The value of this spectrum (which can be<br />

used to proxy the size of the benefits to consumers and producers) depends crucially on how<br />

it will be used in the future. Previous estimates range to over £400m. However, to gain an<br />

accurate estimate of the current value of spectrum that may be freed up through band<br />

alignment it is important to estimate the current value of the spectrum available. This<br />

requires an assessment of the future demand for the spectrum. Information about the value<br />

of spectrum can also be obtained from a review of the recent spectrum auctions for similar<br />

spectrum frequencies.<br />

Since 2004, <strong>Ofcom</strong> has introduced spectrum trading and liberalisation, which has had a<br />

significant impact on the spectrum management of <strong>UHF2</strong>. These reforms increased the<br />

influence of market mechanisms in spectrum allocation and have removed many of the<br />

licence restrictions that prevented a change of use. See Chapter 3, for more details on the<br />

spectrum management reforms, particularly the new reforms to Business Radio in 2008.<br />

The influence of these liberalisation measures means that the previous argued benefits of<br />

band alignment must be reassessed. In particular, one of the reasons argued in favour of<br />

band <strong>realignment</strong> was to allow for greater harmonisation of spectrum use, and through that<br />

greater take up of services (for instance, it is often argued that harmonisation with European<br />

standards would allow for greater economies of scale for equipment manufacture). However,<br />

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the proposed benefits of band alignment will be reduced if liberalisation of spectrum policy<br />

allows these services to be delivered through alternative means.<br />

In addition to a liberalised spectrum trading market offering a means to gain access to the<br />

required spectrum, spectrum is available piece-meal from <strong>Ofcom</strong> 39 and it s being awarded<br />

en-block by <strong>Ofcom</strong> in a variety of bands over the coming years. <strong>Ofcom</strong> has laid out its plans<br />

for future spectrum awards, which we have summarised below in Table 14. The table<br />

illustrates the likely alternate spectrum bands for services currently in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

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Table 14: <strong>Ofcom</strong> Spectrum Awards related to <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

Band Status Opinion<br />

412-414 MHz/422-<br />

424 MHz<br />

Awarded to Arqiva, who are<br />

acting as a spectrum<br />

manager with no services<br />

currently operating in the<br />

band.<br />

470-854 MHz Addressed as part of the<br />

Digital Dividend Review.<br />

Due for award around 2009.<br />

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This band is CEPT aligned and can<br />

accommodate a variety of Digital<br />

PMR technologies. However the<br />

constraints within the band are<br />

such that a national network would<br />

be difficult to deploy. It is expected<br />

that discrete local networks will be<br />

deployed and managed by Arqiva<br />

for operators to PMR type users.<br />

It is likely that mobile services will<br />

be accommodated within this band,<br />

which may cater for the wideband<br />

requirements of the emergency<br />

services, such as the 700MHz<br />

E&PSS allocation in the US.<br />

Spectrum will also become available from the UK Civil Sector, as proposed in the October<br />

2007 consultation 40 on proposals to extend market mechanisms to public sector spectrum<br />

holdings in line with the implementation plan. The Government has already committed in the<br />

Forward Look 41 to releasing a ‘significant proportion’ of the MOD’s spectrum holding<br />

between 2008 and 2010. The MOD expects to publish its Military Spectrum Implementation<br />

Plan, which will identify opportunities to share or release spectrum and how its spectrum<br />

holdings will be shared or released to the market, in spring 2008.<br />

39 Referred to as command and control by <strong>Ofcom</strong>, which is based on a first come-first served approach to the award of<br />

spectrum, where spectrum demand exceeds supply in some areas, whilst in other areas spectrum is available.<br />

40 Spectrum Framework Review: the public sector: http://www.ofcom.org.uk/consult/condocs/sfrps<br />

41 Forward Look: A strategy for management of major of public sector spectrum holdings:<br />

http://www.spectrumaudit.org.uk/pdf/Forward_Look_2007.pdf<br />

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It is understood that the Public Safety Spectrum Policy Group (PSSPG) is currently<br />

considering options for the future management of E&PSS spectrum holdings involving the<br />

use of market mechanisms to secure the best possible use of the spectrum and to maximise<br />

opportunities for band sharing while safeguarding the continuing operational effectiveness of<br />

E&PSS. It is expected that this will result in a single entity managing the spectrum on behalf<br />

of PSSPG from the end of 2008.<br />

It is therefore understood that spectrum will become widely available for those that need<br />

spectrum from sources other than <strong>Ofcom</strong> for the current type of users of <strong>UHF2</strong>, through<br />

secondary trading of currently vacant spectrum in 2008. In addition, these new awards and<br />

spectrum managers could facilitate the spectrum provision for future wideband services.<br />

Specifically, <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum will become available through the E&PSS spectrum manager,<br />

with a predicted 6MHz (not aligned or necessarily contiguous) of spectrum being made<br />

available from 2009. Additional spectrum will also be available though normal command and<br />

control licensing from <strong>Ofcom</strong> as spectrum is available in most areas except London and the<br />

surround areas.<br />

Alternatively <strong>UHF2</strong> type users can also source spectrum from UHF1, through command and<br />

control licensing via <strong>Ofcom</strong>, secondary trading or through the spectrum manager of the 412-<br />

414 and 422-424MHz spectrum, which as of January 2008 remains vacant.<br />

The efficiencies of digital technology and the introduction of new vacated spectrum to the<br />

market, will meet the needs of the <strong>UHF2</strong> type of users for the near future without any need<br />

for regulatory intervention above and beyond what is currently happening, with spectrum<br />

available either within the <strong>UHF2</strong> band or in alternate bands. Any demand for wideband<br />

services within the <strong>UHF2</strong> band, would probably need to be met with regulatory intervention<br />

for provision for in the near term, as at least 2 x 5MHz of contiguous spectrum would be<br />

required in the current fragmented band.<br />

7.5.4 Benefits of reduction in continental interference<br />

Interference within the <strong>UHF2</strong> band was discussed in detail in Chapter 6. Interference<br />

ultimately results in the loss of coverage area, which is shown at Figure 16 on page 55. The<br />

benefits of reducing interference are therefore an increase in coverage area. Alternatively,<br />

this can be viewed as less infrastructure required to cover the same area, therefore a<br />

reduction in costs. In addition, the services in <strong>UHF2</strong> rely on communications, with services<br />

such as logistics companies using cellular services when outside of the ‘business radio<br />

coverage area’. Therefore as a proxy, a company’s reliance on cellular services to<br />

supplement coverage and therefore ‘call costs’ would reduce if interference was reduced.<br />

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7.5.5 Summary of the benefits<br />

Previous estimates of benefits of band alignment need to be re-assessed given the<br />

significant changes that have occurred in both the policy and market environment since<br />

many of the studies were completed.<br />

The introduction of spectrum trading means that many of the benefits of band alignment can<br />

now be achieved without direct intervention by the regulator. In addition, technological<br />

advances have meant that the costs of managing continental interference for existing<br />

spectrum users in the 450-470 MHz frequency band have been significantly reduced. This, in<br />

turn, has reduced the size of benefits that would accrue by aligning the band. For more<br />

details on these changes, see Chapters 3 and 4.<br />

As a result of theses developments we have significantly discounted previous research on<br />

the benefits of band alignment. Instead, we have carried out our own analysis on the likely<br />

use of the spectrum that is freed up as a result of band alignment. We have also examined<br />

the value of that spectrum based on our expectations of the likely revenues that will accrue<br />

to Government through allocating the spectrum to the market and the associated AIP pricing<br />

that would result. In terms of the benefits from reduced interference, our modelling has<br />

provided an estimate of the actual net impact of band alignment, taking into account the<br />

impact of current technologies that can manage continental inference without the need for<br />

band alignment. Chapter 8 discusses this in more detail and provides our estimate of the<br />

size of these benefits.<br />

7.6 Distribution of costs and benefits<br />

Cost-benefit analysis is typically not concerned about how the cost or benefits are distributed<br />

among consumers or producers. However, as highlighted by a number of previous studies<br />

into the costs and benefits of band alignment, the issue of how the benefits and costs are<br />

distributed is of critical importance for public policy.<br />

Earlier studies indicated that the benefits of band alignment tended to be concentrated on<br />

those spectrum users on the South East coast of the UK (where continental interference<br />

risks exist), while costs are shared across all users in the band. Hence, many spectrum<br />

users receive no benefit from band alignment – but may face considerable costs. This is<br />

demonstrated in the continental interference differences between the Thames Gateway and<br />

Bradford in Chapter 6.<br />

In defining the options to be studied as part of the cost-benefit <strong>study</strong>, we have tried to be<br />

cognisant of the impact of each of the options on spectrum users. As well as reviewing the<br />

size of net-benefits for each of the options, we also review the net-impact on spectrum users.<br />

Minimising the impact of band alignment on spectrum users will be one of the factors to be<br />

considered when making our recommendations on the preferred route for achieving the<br />

policy aims of band alignment.<br />

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7.7 Summary & Conclusions<br />

In this chapter, we have discussed in broad terms the key economic methods for assessing<br />

the costs and benefits of spectrum band alignment. We have also reviewed the work carried<br />

out in identifying and assessing the main types of costs and benefits of band re-alignment<br />

and provided a summary of the main results. We have concluded that:<br />

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Estimating the change in net social welfare lies at the heart of cost benefit<br />

analysis. This involves estimating the aggregate change in producer and<br />

consumer surplus as a result of the band alignment process;<br />

An assessment of the costs and benefits require careful review to identify<br />

which factors are solely due to the band alignment process;<br />

An assessment on a Net Present Value basis of the relevant costs and<br />

benefits is complicated and has produced a range of results. It requires a<br />

range of subjective assumptions as many of the costs and benefits are based<br />

on estimates of future uncertain outcomes.<br />

The main costs as a result of band alignment found in previous work included:<br />

Costs to existing operators being moved to a new ‘harmonised’<br />

spectrum band;<br />

The loss of revenues if current consumers of services move to<br />

alternative providers (such as GSM operators) as a consequence of<br />

the band alignment;<br />

Administrative costs;<br />

The potential for band alignment to restrict spectrum trading and<br />

reduce the value of the spectrum.<br />

The key benefits that were found in previous cost-benefit studies focused on<br />

three main areas:<br />

Benefits due to more efficient spectrum use (including the freeing up<br />

of additional spectrum for further allocation);<br />

Benefits due to the harmonisation of the spectrum band;<br />

Benefits due to standardisation of equipment.<br />

Since most of the studies reviewed were produced between 2000 and 2004,<br />

an assessment of today’s costs and benefits will require taking into account<br />

the following key changes in the industry:<br />

changes in the industry demand for spectrum in the 450-470 MHz<br />

band;<br />

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technological change (such as developments that enable radio<br />

interference issues to be addressed without the need for band<br />

alignment);<br />

Regulatory reforms (such as the recent moves to liberalise of spectrum<br />

allocation and use). This includes recent announcements by <strong>Ofcom</strong> to<br />

for future spectrum awards which can be considered the likely future<br />

alternative spectrum bands for 450-470 MHz users.<br />

The largest single contributor to the benefits was the value that was created<br />

through the freeing up of spectrum;<br />

Studies have shown that the costs of band alignment are unevenly distributed<br />

amongst existing spectrum users.<br />

Based on our review of previous work – as well as our assessment of the impact of changes<br />

in the policy and market environment since these studies were completed, we outline in<br />

Table 15 our proposed approach to estimating the value of each of the cost and benefit<br />

categories for band alignment.<br />

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Table 15 Cost and Benefit Categories<br />

Cost/Benefit Category Method used to estimate value<br />

Direct costs of aligning the band Use PA Consulting 2004 report estimates, adjusted for<br />

inflation.<br />

Increased risk of service down-time<br />

during alignment<br />

Reduced customer demand during<br />

alignment as customers move to<br />

alternative suppliers<br />

Reduction in Continental Interference<br />

Management costs<br />

Increase in network efficiency as a<br />

result of less interference (i.e. Less base<br />

stations needed)<br />

Greater spectrum efficiency allowing:<br />

• Higher Govt revenues through<br />

further allocations of spare<br />

spectrum<br />

• New/improved services<br />

Standardisation and Harmonisation<br />

benefits<br />

• Lower equipment costs<br />

• New services available (such<br />

as European-wide roaming)<br />

• Adjust PA estimates by UK RPI for 2004-2007<br />

Use PA Consulting 2004 report methodology (adjusted for<br />

inflation)<br />

Use PA Consulting 2004 report methodology (adjusted for<br />

inflation)<br />

The reduction in interference will result in less expenditure in<br />

interference mitigation costs, which will be included in the<br />

network efficiency costs (below).<br />

ADTI/Mott MacDonald modelling of continental inference see<br />

Chapter 6. Account for infrastructure reduction and less<br />

reliance on alternative operator provided services. The<br />

assignments only affected by interference will be considered.<br />

Benefits over 15 years discounted to Net Present Value (based<br />

on a discount rate of 3.5%)<br />

Review of recent spectrum auctions in other markets (where<br />

appropriate) combined with using the equivalent value of<br />

spectrum based on Administrative Incentive Pricing rates..<br />

Estimate revenue per MHz for two service scenarios:<br />

• Narrowband services<br />

• Wideband services<br />

Assume that the value of additional spectrum freed up<br />

through band alignment is a proxy for the total producer and<br />

consumer benefits as a result of spectrum efficiency. No<br />

additional values are estimated for the impact of<br />

new/improved services.<br />

The value of efficiency benefits due to band alignment should<br />

be discounted to take account of the degree of spectrum<br />

efficiency that may occur in any case as a result of spectrum<br />

trading<br />

We assume the key benefits of standardisation and<br />

harmonisation are a 5% reduction in the average cost of a<br />

handset in the case of full band alignment. This is due to<br />

economies of scale of production as a result of full band<br />

alignment. This on the basis that (1) stakeholder interviews<br />

suggested little, if any, demand for services that leveraged<br />

spectrum harmonised with the rest of Europe and (2)<br />

technological progress means non-harmonised/standardised<br />

equipment no longer a major barrier to mass production etc.<br />

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8 Options development and CBA<br />

8.1 Introduction<br />

This chapter provides details on the options chosen for band alignment and the costs and<br />

benefits used in assessing each option as part of the Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA). It also<br />

outlines the sensitivity analysis carried out as part of the CBA and the results of the CBA for<br />

each of the options. Finally, we have provided conclusions on the CBA.<br />

8.2 The options for band alignment<br />

In order to complete a robust CBA, it is crucial to identify the range of options that could<br />

potentially be introduced to achieve band alignment. As discussed earlier in this report (in<br />

particular in Chapter 7), there are a range of options available. There is also the option of no<br />

regulatory intervention. In order to review costs and benefits in a manageable way, we have<br />

identified three broad options for band alignment. Our view is that these options broadly<br />

summarise the practical scenarios available. The options that we will review in terms of the<br />

cost benefit analysis are:<br />

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Option 1: Full band alignment through direct <strong>Ofcom</strong> intervention;<br />

Option 2: Partial band alignment, with spectrum yield used for narrowband<br />

services;<br />

Option 3: Partial band alignment, with a spectrum yield used for wideband<br />

services.<br />

These options are discussed in more detail below, with the assumptions used for each<br />

option summarised in Appendix H. Details on why these options were chosen and their<br />

impact on the overall results are discussed in the following sections.<br />

8.3 The major cost and benefit categories<br />

In Chapter 7, we reviewed previous related studies in order to calculate the costs and<br />

benefits of various band alignment scenarios. Since these studies were completed, there<br />

have been some considerable changes in the policy, the market environment and<br />

technology. These changes combined have had significant regulatory impacts on the<br />

spectrum value of the costs and benefits of the spectrum (when compared to costs estimates<br />

from earlier studies). In addition, we consider that some of the benefits of band alignment<br />

that were included in earlier studies can now largely be discounted as a direct result of policy<br />

and technological changes that have occurred since 2004.<br />

Our conclusions on the relevant costs and benefits of Band Alignment that can be included<br />

and an assessment of their relevance to the band are discussed below.<br />

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8.3.1 The Direct costs of Band Alignment<br />

As discussed earlier, we have used the total full costs calculated by PA Consulting for each<br />

of the options. The PA report indicated that one of the major costs of alignment was<br />

engineering costs. These full costs were calculated as PA Consulting considered that it was<br />

too complex to allocate these costs to individual licence categories, given the large degree of<br />

shared costs to the user. For the purposes of our analysis, we have chosen to distribute<br />

these costs evenly across the user licence categories.<br />

We have adjusted the total full costs for Band Alignment for inflation (based on the Statistics<br />

UK Real Price Index price for all individual categories) so that they reflect 2007 values. 42<br />

8.3.2 Measuring the benefits of reduced interference<br />

During stakeholder interviews, a number of stakeholders indicated that the costs of<br />

managing interference have greatly reduced for a number of reasons. One main reason<br />

being that the capital costs for site engineering to mitigate interference was invested a<br />

number of years ago and they continue to benefit from this. In addition, interference has<br />

significantly reduced from the continent in recent times, thereby reducing any related costs.<br />

We have attempted to measure the benefits of band alignment using the following two<br />

methods:<br />

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A reduction in continental interference as a result of band alignment means<br />

that current users can provide equivalent services with a reduced network<br />

size. Current networks have been deployed with additional site engineering<br />

+costs in order to manage existing continental interference. With this<br />

interference removed, users can, over a period of time as they replace<br />

equipment, optimise their network size and save in capital and operating<br />

costs.<br />

A reduction in continental interference will increase the reach of the existing<br />

network. This will reduce the costs of using alternative commercial services<br />

(such as cellular) when users are out of network coverage.<br />

i. Number of base stations impacted by interference<br />

In order to estimate the benefits of reduced continental inference it has been necessary to<br />

make assumptions on the number of base stations that are actually impacted by<br />

interference. We have assumed that 60% of the total number of base stations in the country<br />

are within the geographic region where continental interference is present, see Figure 14. Of<br />

these base stations, we assume that only 33% are actually impacted by interference, which<br />

takes account of the on-site systems for in-building coverage, which are not necessarily<br />

impacted by continental interference.<br />

42 More information on the Inflation adjustment data used can be found here<br />

http://www.statistics.gov.uk/StatBase/tsdataset.asp?vlnk=7172&More=N&All=Y<br />

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ii. Impact on network size of reduced interference<br />

Using our modelling results, we calculated that a typical spectrum user would be able to<br />

provide an equivalent service with 45 per cent less network coverage if there was no<br />

continental interference. This is based on an average interference level of 7dB, inferred from<br />

the modelling in Chapter 6.<br />

Spectrum users will be unable to benefit from the reduced capital and operating costs of a<br />

smaller network size immediately. Over time, as base stations are replaced, spectrum users<br />

will be able to slowly reduce network size to take advantage of reduced interference. We<br />

assume that the average life of a base station is 5 years, so 20 per cent of the network is<br />

replaced each year.<br />

iii. Impact on GSM costs of reduced interference<br />

We assume reduced interference increases existing network coverage and leads to a<br />

reduction in call costs for cellular mobiles. We assume that call costs are reduced by £5 per<br />

month per mobile. Other key assumptions include:<br />

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Average cellular costs (before band alignment) are £20 per month per mobile;<br />

An average of 30 Mobile phones used per base station.<br />

8.3.3 Reduced handset costs as a result of band alignment<br />

We assume that the costs of full band alignment enable economies of scale in the<br />

manufacture of handsets and leads to a 5 per cent reduction in the average cost of a<br />

handset.<br />

We have assumed that the benefits of band alignment mean that the average costs of<br />

handsets (whether they be DMR, TETRA or CDMA450) are reduced because of economies<br />

of scale in manufacture. We have made assumptions on the number of handsets per base<br />

station and the average costs of handsets to calculate the size of benefits for each of the<br />

options. These are included in the CBA calculations for each of the options.<br />

8.3.4 Spectrum efficiency<br />

Increased spectrum efficiency is a key benefit of band alignment. Band Alignment allows for<br />

these efficiencies to be recovered. The outcome of this is that existing users will be able to<br />

provide equivalent services using less spectrum. The spectrum that is freed up as a result of<br />

band alignment is then available for re-allocation back to the market, which provides<br />

opportunities for existing as well as new operators to purchase spectrum and use it to offer<br />

services. There are a number of benefits to purchasing spectrum as a result of greater<br />

spectrum efficiency, these include revenues to the Government obtained through re-<br />

allocation of spectrum to the market, increased competition (and lower priced and/or higher<br />

quality services) or the means to provide new services that cannot be provided under the<br />

existing spectrum configuration. For example, the 450MHz band is used in some other<br />

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European markets to provide mobile services. The propagation properties of the 450MHz<br />

band have made it particularly cost effective to roll out a network in rural areas, where there<br />

are low population densities.<br />

As outlined in Chapter 7, previous studies on the benefits of band alignment calculated that<br />

the release of spectrum as part of the alignment process would deliver significant benefits.<br />

We consider that since those studies were completed, the value of spectrum has declined<br />

significantly due to technological advances allowing efficient management of interference<br />

without the need for alignment.<br />

The options that we considered as part of the Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) included a<br />

number of scenarios for the average size of the spectrum yield for Partial Alignment.<br />

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For Option 1 (Full alignment), we assume that 2-3 MHz of spectrum is freed<br />

up with the alignment process. Taking the mid-point of 2.5MHz, we calculated<br />

the value of the spectrum at that point using Administrative Incentive Pricing<br />

(AIP) rates.;<br />

For Option 2 (partial alignment, with spectrum used for narrowband services),<br />

we assume that no spectrum is freed up with partial alignment... We assume<br />

that any spectrum freed up will not be useable for alternative narrowband<br />

services due to the complexity of the alignment process under this option;<br />

For Option 3 (partial alignment, with spectrum used for wideband services),<br />

we assume that 4.5 MHz of paired spectrum is made available for wideband<br />

services.. The estimated value of this spectrum is based on spectrum<br />

auctions of similar spectrum and compared to the value that would be<br />

obtained through the AIP process.<br />

When previous studies on the benefits of spectrum efficiency through band alignment were<br />

conducted, there were no recommendations other than direct regulatory action to producing<br />

higher spectrum efficiency. However, the introduction of spectrum trading is an alternative<br />

method to achieving greater spectrum efficiency.<br />

Through spectrum trading, there may be the potential for spectrum efficiency benefits<br />

equivalent to those that would occur under direct regulatory action. It could be the case that<br />

band alignment could potentially occur under a spectrum trading scenario as an alternative<br />

to direct regulatory action. In comparison to direct regulatory action, it is unclear the exact<br />

amount of spectrum that will be freed up through spectrum trading and over what period of<br />

time this would occur.<br />

We have considered whether spectrum can be yielded through spectrum trading only and<br />

have concluded that this may not be the case. We have based this on the views of<br />

stakeholders and in our view the configuration of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band is very complex and will<br />

involve a mixture of commercial trading with a number of different organisations for some<br />

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form of alignment to occur. Additionally, even if there is some spectrum yield, it is unclear<br />

whether spectrum users would actually return the spectrum freed up through the spectrum<br />

trading process back to <strong>Ofcom</strong> to allow for future allocations of assignments. Another point<br />

to consider is the option of auctions in which spectrum will be more likely to remain for a<br />

considerable period in the hands of the users or organisations who value it.<br />

In order to evaluate any potential net benefits as viewed through the options analysed for<br />

Full Alignment and Partial Alignment, the spectrum fee at AIP rate would need to be<br />

evaluated. The value of this <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum, is complex to calculate if awarded by auction<br />

given the number of different users allocated in the spectrum.<br />

We consider that there are likely to be two scenarios:<br />

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the first scenario being in which sufficient spectrum is made available with an<br />

appropriate spectrum mask to enable wideband or IMT2000 services;<br />

the second scenario whereby spectrum is auctioned to enable the provision of<br />

narrow band services.<br />

We discuss these two scenarios in the next two sections. We draw on observations,<br />

assumptions and analysis from previous studies and then provide our assessment of the<br />

relative value of <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum under both scenarios if it was awarded through an auction<br />

process.<br />

i. <strong>UHF2</strong> Narrow Band and Wide Band Spectrum Valuation<br />

AIP rates are used for narrowband and wideband spectrum to value the spectrum freed up<br />

as a result of the band alignment process. In our view, AIP rates are the best method of<br />

estimating the value of the spectrum.<br />

We have also considered how the results of the Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) would change if<br />

the value of the freed up spectrum was based on the auction values in the 5 October 2006<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> UHF1 spectrum auction of 412-414MHz paired with 422-424MHz. 43<br />

Using current AIP values the CBA was calculated for the freed up spectrum as a result of the<br />

band alignment process. A lower CBA value was calculated using AIP and was closer in<br />

value to the auction values in the 5 October 2006 <strong>Ofcom</strong> UHF1 spectrum auction of 412-<br />

414MHz paired with 422-424MHz. This resulted in the CBA being more negative.<br />

ii. <strong>UHF2</strong> Wideband Spectrum Valuation<br />

The <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum as mentioned in Chapter 3 will be recognised as an IMT2000 band,<br />

although CDMA 450 networks have already been deployed in a number of European<br />

countries. According to potential suitors for providing a wideband network in the UK, a<br />

minimum of 4.5MHz with appropriate spectrum masks would be required. The 3G auction in<br />

43 http://www.ofcom.org.uk/media/news/2006/10/nr_20061009<br />

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the UK has skewed the market valuation of spectrum, so for this band we will look at the<br />

following:<br />

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2.6GHz European auctions; and<br />

450MHz European awards.<br />

The Norwegian auction of the 2.6GHz band in November 2007 provided a fair index of future<br />

pricing of 2.6GHz, with an index of US$0.047 per MHz per Pop 44 , which equates to<br />

approximately £1.44m per MHz for the UK valuation. This figure provides a guide as to the<br />

value of IMT2000 spectrum, where fees have been in decline since the ‘3G Auctions’. We<br />

note the propagation characteristics are very different for the 2GHz band, but the technology<br />

for broadband wireless services could operate in both bands.<br />

Table 16 below summaries three recent auctions, which resulted in CDMA450 technology<br />

being deployed.<br />

Table 16 450MHz Selected European Valuations<br />

Auction Spectrum Index<br />

$/MHz/Population<br />

Norway,<br />

2004<br />

Sweden,<br />

2005<br />

Denmark,<br />

2006<br />

453-457.5 / 463-467.5 MHz<br />

(9MHz)<br />

453-458MHz/463-448.8MHz<br />

(3.6MHz)<br />

453.0-457.5 MHz and 463.0-<br />

467.5 MHz (9 MHz licence)<br />

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UK equivalent<br />

Value per MHz<br />

0.0046 £143k<br />

0.412 £12.6m<br />

0.08 £2.45m<br />

In order to estimate the value of any UK future wideband spectrum in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band, we<br />

have taken the index from the Norwegian 2.6GHz auction and the Swedish and Danish<br />

auctions of 450MHz and have taken the mid point as a fair representation as the start range<br />

(US$0.17/MHz/Pop). This assumption is based on the recent introduction of multi-band 3G<br />

handsets in Sweden (including 450MHz Band), but taking into account that in the UK we<br />

have excellent cellular coverage with low levels of population in rural areas. We have<br />

discounted using the Norwegian auction valuation, as the technology was immature at that<br />

time. We therefore predict the value of <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum in the UK to be between £5.2m and<br />

£12.6m per MHz for spectrum available to wideband services.<br />

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iii. <strong>UHF2</strong> Spectrum Valuation<br />

Table 17 below summarises our conclusions on the approximate value of aligned <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

spectrum.<br />

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Table 17 Summary of <strong>UHF2</strong> Spectrum Valuation<br />

Spectrum allocation Value<br />

Contiguous <strong>UHF2</strong> CEPT aligned paired<br />

spectrum, for 0 – 4.5 MHz, with spectrum<br />

masks that support deployment of<br />

narrow band technologies<br />

Contiguous <strong>UHF2</strong> CEPT aligned paired<br />

spectrum for 4.5 – 10MHz, with spectrum<br />

masks that support the deployment of<br />

wide band technologies (IMT2000)<br />

iv. Consumer and Producer Surplus<br />

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£690k, per MHz (excluding NI) for a<br />

15 year period (based on AIP rates).<br />

£5.2m (PAMR) and £12.6m (Cellular)<br />

per MHz (excluding NI) for a 15 year<br />

period.<br />

One fundamental measure of economic benefits is provided by consumer and producer<br />

surplus. A 2002 Radiocommunications Agency <strong>study</strong> of consumer surplus used survey<br />

results to calculate residential and business average consumer surplus per month of £16<br />

and £44 for public cellular systems. 45<br />

Based on these figures and using a range of methods accounting for number of mobile<br />

subscribers and inflation, Europe Economics calculated an average value of consumer<br />

surplus for 2006 at approximately £18bn. 46 This figure provides some idea of the possible<br />

magnitude of consumer surplus associated with the provision of wide-band cellular services<br />

in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

It may be reasonable to assume producer surplus for wide-band cellular service is fairly<br />

small. This would reflect a high degree of competition between existing mobile operators in<br />

the UK now and into the future. Concentrating on consumer surplus only, a very broad idea<br />

of its size can be gleaned from the same <strong>study</strong> carried out by Europe Economics. Based on<br />

company accounts, consumer surplus for cellular mobile was calculated at approximately £2-<br />

£3bn.<br />

From these estimates, we have calculated the total amount of consumer surplus for<br />

wideband cellular services. We have based this on the Europe Economics report and<br />

adjusted the value of benefits to reflect the amount of spectrum available for wideband<br />

cellular services (4.5MHz paired spectrum).<br />

45 http://www.ofcom.org.uk/static/archive/ra/topics/economic/economicisreport_final.pdf<br />

46 http://www1.bsc.org.uk/research/radiocomms/reports/economic_spectrum_use/economic_impact.pdf<br />

abc


We assume that the 4.5MHz paired spectrum would be used either for cellular services or for<br />

PAMR services. We have included estimates of consumer surplus for both these scenarios.<br />

We note that European Economics did not calculate consumer surplus estimates for PAMR.<br />

The original consumer surplus of £19Bn for the cellular mobile was converted to a per MHz<br />

figure, to arrive at the equivalent for 2 x 4.5MHz cellular spectrum. This is an overestimate<br />

given the type of service that will be offered using the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. In particular, we expect<br />

the take-up to be in rural areas (special multi-band phone, more expensive, larger) which will<br />

reduce the size of the market. Hence, we have discounted the equivalent 4.5MHz value by<br />

90%, which represents the rural market split in the UK (22% of population (ONS), with 50%<br />

of that market (estimated) with limited 3G coverage. A summary of the consumer surplus<br />

used for this <strong>study</strong> can be seen below in Table 18.<br />

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Table 18 Consumer Surplus<br />

Page 87<br />

Consumer surplus<br />

(£m 2006)<br />

Cellular Mobile (total market) 18964<br />

Wide-band Cellular services in <strong>UHF2</strong> (2 x<br />

4.5MHz)<br />

8.3.5 Value of increased Standardisation and Harmonisation<br />

We consider that the standardisation and harmonisation benefits argued in previous studies<br />

and discussed earlier in this chapter are less important than they used to be. This is due to<br />

the introduction of equipment and technologies that provide more flexibility in the spectrum<br />

configuration that it uses, meaning that a rigid duplex split is not necessarily needed. In<br />

addition, new technology such as DMR also has the capability of over the air re-tuning which<br />

provides a relatively quick and simple method of moving a network to a different spectrum<br />

configuration. In particular, the availability of different spectrum bands for the same service is<br />

no longer the barrier that it once was as more spectrum is made available to economies of<br />

scale in production.<br />

However, we consider that full band alignment will deliver some economies of scale in<br />

production of handsets. We have included an estimate of these benefits in the results. More<br />

details on our assumptions are included in Appendix H.<br />

8.4 Interference Costs and Benefits<br />

In Chapter 6, we discussed the amount of interference due to aligned or reversed aligned<br />

and the impact this would have on service area. In this section, we discuss the benefits of<br />

reducing interference through the alignment of the spectrum.<br />

50<br />

abc


8.4.1 High level cost of interference<br />

Firstly, we consider at a macro-economic level the impact of interference, based on the<br />

amount of coverage reduction at each base station. Although the costs are spread over the<br />

whole assigned community, which isn’t representative of reality, the headline figures provide<br />

a measure of the impact of interference.<br />

We have assumed the following:<br />

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On-site, E&PSS (post 2009) and peer-to-peer services are not affected by<br />

interference - all other assignments are impacted and taken into account;<br />

From the interference analysis conducted in Chapter 6, we have taken<br />

account of assignments that in the worst case would have >3dB interference<br />

at the base station receiver;<br />

The number of assignments affected ranges from 3500 to 4500.<br />

The average interference ranges from 6 to 9dB, in the area seen at Figure 14<br />

The average capital cost of a base station is assumed to be £3k<br />

Figure 21 shows the range of costs attributed to a loss of coverage of interference. Since<br />

the interference level is modelled at a maximum co-ordination level, this range should be<br />

read as a near-maximum cost attributable to the loss of coverage by continental interference<br />

whilst the UK is reversed-aligned. The range of these costs is from £4.2m to £7.4m.<br />

£ Million<br />

£8.0<br />

£7.5<br />

£7.0<br />

£6.5<br />

£6.0<br />

£5.5<br />

£5.0<br />

£4.5<br />

£4.0<br />

Figure 21 Costs of reverse-aligned spectrum in terms of loss of coverage<br />

6 7 8 9<br />

Average Interference Across Assignments in area upto 3dB loss at the base station Receiver (dB)<br />

Page 88<br />

Number of Assignments<br />

There are further costs associated with further base stations required, which are attributed to<br />

site rental, maintenance and new equipment provision. This is assumed to be on average<br />

4500<br />

4000<br />

3500<br />

abc


£2k per annum per assignment. These costs plus the equipment costs amortised over a 5-<br />

year replacement cycle provide an annum cost in the range of £3.6m - £6.4m.<br />

8.4.2 Detailed look at Interference costs<br />

Let’s consider the cost to a logistics service within a town, which used PMR to manage a<br />

fleet in an ideal situation with aligned spectrum covered the desired service area, but with<br />

reversed aligned supplemented the coverage with GSM calls. In this particular scenario, the<br />

costs of GSM could be taken as the cost-benefit of alignment.<br />

Assuming that the most popular monthly tariff of £15- £25 per month will cover the number of<br />

calls when out of area due to interference, the cost is directly a proportion of the number of<br />

mobiles. This would be the most likely scenario and therefore if a fleet of 30 mobiles is taken<br />

as an average, the direct costs would be in the range £5.4k- £18.75k per annum. This cost is<br />

dependent on the amount of interference and the tariffs arranged by the company.<br />

If we assume the first scenario is typical and like the further base stations scenario in the<br />

previous paragraph is examined between 3500 – 4500 assignments, then the cost ranges<br />

between £18.9m and £84.375m. Table 19 below summaries the high level benefits of<br />

aligned spectrum.<br />

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Table 19 Summary of high level Benefits of Aligned spectrum<br />

Additional Costs of base stations<br />

owing to loss of coverage<br />

area/interference through<br />

reversed aligned spectrum<br />

Additional costs of alternative<br />

communications owing to loss of<br />

coverage/interference through<br />

reversed aligned spectrum<br />

8.5 Results<br />

Min Annual<br />

(£m)<br />

Page 89<br />

Max Annual<br />

(£m)<br />

Average Annual<br />

(£m)<br />

£3.6 £6.4 £5<br />

£18.9 £84.5 £51<br />

The options that we will review in terms of the cost benefit analysis are:<br />

Option 1: Full band alignment by <strong>Ofcom</strong> intervention;<br />

Option 2: Partial band alignment, with spectrum yield used for narrowband<br />

services;<br />

Option 3: Partial band alignment, with spectrum yield used for wideband<br />

services.<br />

abc


8.5.1 Option 1 – Full Alignment<br />

Details on the assumptions used for Full Alignment are in Appendix H. The estimates of the<br />

costs are based on the PA Consulting report with the benefits calculated taking into account<br />

the following areas:<br />

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Reduced continental interference reduces network costs and/or reduces<br />

cellular costs used at the edge of the network;<br />

Spectrum yield benefits calculated to be 2-3MHz (we take a mid-point of<br />

equivalent AIP values and our own assessment of spectrum value of<br />

equivalent spectrum at recent auctions);<br />

Reductions in handset costs due to economies of scale;<br />

Introduction of digital technologies such as TETRA equipment that requires a<br />

10MHz duplex split;<br />

The <strong>UHF2</strong> band in the UK will be in the same configuration as Europe in line<br />

with the ERC Recommendation TR25-08;<br />

Reduced interference impact on the network due to a 7dB reduction in<br />

interference from the Continent.<br />

Table 20 below summarises the net benefits for full alignment.<br />

Managed Band<br />

Alignment<br />

Table 20 Summary on Full alignment Net Benefits<br />

Costs NPV Benefits NPV Net<br />

Benefits<br />

NPV<br />

£286m £77.7m (reduced interference and<br />

handset prices)<br />

+ £19.5m (spectrum value)<br />

Page 90<br />

-£189m<br />

8.5.2 Options 2 and 3 – Partial Alignment, with different uses for the spectrum yield<br />

(narrowband versus wideband)<br />

For the partial alignment options, we have chosen two scenarios; for narrowband services<br />

and the other for wideband services. In both cases partial alignment on a mainland UK<br />

basis 47 is only considered as the interference of aligned and unaligned within the borders of<br />

the UK would prove to be inefficient.<br />

The benefits are similar to the benefits that occur for Full band alignment, but the size of the<br />

benefit is proportional to the number of base stations impacted for each of the band<br />

47 Excludes Channel Islands and Northern Ireland<br />

abc


alignment options. However, there are no benefits to handset price reductions due to<br />

economies of scale, as we assume that these will only occur with full band alignment.<br />

The value of the spectrum yield will differ according to its use, which is discussed below.<br />

8.5.3 Narrowband Partial Alignment<br />

Firstly narrow band partial alignment would need to focus on a particular area of spectrum,<br />

where costs for alignment are at a minimum, the services are not of significant national<br />

importance and could be disrupted for a short duration and the community would benefit.<br />

Our high level analysis demonstrates that the Business Radio (BR) spectrum with a 10MHz<br />

duplex split adjacent to the E&PSS spectrum, which will be vacated by 2009, offers the most<br />

attractive option for narrow band partial alignment for the following reasons:<br />

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The PSSPG have indicated that they would support re-configuration activities<br />

and the spectrum to be vacated would provide a good starting point since one<br />

of the frequency legs of the pair will not involve alignment costs or disruption.<br />

Business Radio services are often able to re-tune within the band and most<br />

services would not require a parallel network to manage any disruption as<br />

most are not concerned with critical national infrastructure.<br />

Figure 22 below shows four areas depicted as Blocks A-D for consideration for partial<br />

alignment.<br />

Figure 22 Areas for Potential Partial Alignment of Narrowband Spectrum<br />

Page 91<br />

abc


Block Frequency<br />

Range<br />

(Amount)<br />

(MHz)<br />

A 460.0 -<br />

462.475<br />

(2.475)<br />

B 454.025 -<br />

454.85625<br />

(0.83125)<br />

C 455.5 -456.05<br />

(0.55)<br />

D 456.0625 -<br />

456.975<br />

(0.9125)<br />

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Table 21 Narrowband Alignment Analysis<br />

Single<br />

Frequency<br />

Assignments<br />

Dual<br />

Frequency<br />

Assignments<br />

Page 92<br />

Density<br />

(Assignments<br />

Per MHz)<br />

Notes<br />

5299 5548 4383 2893 of the dual<br />

frequencies in Block<br />

D<br />

1732 1511 3901 476 of the dual<br />

frequencies fall within<br />

block A<br />

27 1009 1883 461 of the dual<br />

frequencies fall within<br />

block A<br />

602 2893 3830 2893 of the dual<br />

frequencies in Block<br />

A<br />

The relative blocks of spectrum for analysis from Figure 22 have been analysed, with the<br />

summary in Table 21.<br />

The metric of assignment density shows that block C would require the least amount of<br />

assignments to be removed for a given return on spectrum, even though the spectrum<br />

aligned would be the least at 0.55MHz.<br />

Since all the partial alignment options are concerning Business Radio (BR) and with each<br />

option concerning a different number of assignments, at a high level the cost per Business<br />

radio assignment will provide a general cost metric to provide a proxy cost. Using the PA<br />

report of costs to align all BR users and distributing the site engineering costs, the proxy cost<br />

to align a BR assignment is £4997.<br />

abc


We assume that there is no spectrum yield for any of these partial alignments, neither were<br />

there benefits due to lower handset prices (as is the case of the Full alignment option). The<br />

benefits that were included were associated with lower continental interference.<br />

The results are summarised below in Table 22.<br />

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Table 22 High level Net Benefits of selected Partial Alignment<br />

Block No of assignments<br />

benefiting from<br />

alignment<br />

Cost in<br />

2008<br />

Benefit (Mean)<br />

NPV over 15<br />

years<br />

Page 93<br />

Net Benefit NPV over 15<br />

years<br />

A 2148 £54.2M £31.7M -£22.5M<br />

B 642 £16.2M £9.4M -£6.8M<br />

C 205 £5.2M £3.0M -£2.2M<br />

D 692 £17.5M £10.2M -£7.3M<br />

To simplify the analysis, we have only reviewed the CBA for each of the spectrum blocks<br />

identified. There may be a large range of other band alignment options that involve the<br />

impact of the residual release of spectrum to other blocks when aligned, see note column in<br />

Table 21.<br />

The residual release of spectrum as a benefit has not been calculated owing to the added<br />

complexity, but would need to be considered in any detailed analysis if this were an option<br />

that was likely to be considered.<br />

All of the partial alignment options result in a negative CBA, with Block C having the lowest<br />

negative result.<br />

8.5.4 Wideband Partial Alignment<br />

In the Wideband Partial Alignment, the Extended Block B (453.0125 - 454.85625MHz) aligns<br />

with Block A, from Figure 22, also Blocks C and D are considered for Partial Alignment.<br />

Blocks E in Figure 23 along with other blocks mentioned above has been considered for<br />

Partial Alignment. We have assumed that 2 x 4.5MHz would be required for wideband<br />

services as a minimum in the range 452.5-457.6MHz paired with 462.5-467.5MHz, which<br />

does not consider guard bands. In this band Programme Making and Special Events<br />

(PMSE), Scanning Telemetry (ST) and Business Radio services would be impacted, making<br />

this band difficult to align due to multiple stakeholders, however, if wideband CDMA services<br />

were to be provided stakeholders have informed us that this is the preferred band.<br />

The costs for moving equipment outside of <strong>UHF2</strong> double as a result compared to moving<br />

within the band, based on the analysis of the PA Consulting report.<br />

abc


Figure 23 below illustrates four areas depicted as Block E for consideration for partial<br />

alignment for the introduction of wideband services.<br />

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Figure 23 Area for potential alignment of Wideband Spectrum<br />

The key assumptions used for the partial alignment options are:<br />

PMSE has 4MHz of spectrum in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band, 2x1.25MHz is considered for<br />

Partial Alignment. This equates to 27.8 per cent of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band under<br />

consideration for Alignment;<br />

The total costs figures derived from the PA report for full alignment for PMSE is<br />

£29.5M, this figure has been adjusted for inflation from the total costs figures<br />

derived from the PA report for full alignment, so for 27.8 per cent of the PMSE<br />

band for Partial Alignment, the total cost calculated is £8.2M;<br />

The total cost figure derived from the PA report for full alignment for Scanning<br />

Telemetry is £23M, this figure gave a full total for Partial Alignment for Scanning<br />

Telemetry of £23M;<br />

Page 94<br />

Block E<br />

Sufficient information on the producer surplus of equipment is not available, but<br />

it can be assumed that this number is low given the uncompetitive nature of the<br />

market as digital equipment such as TETRA cannot be allocated in the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

abc


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band in the UK, as the configuration of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band is the other way around<br />

to Europe and is not in accordance with ERC Recommendation TR 25-08;<br />

Consumer surplus figures on mobile services (e.g. CDMA 450) is not needed to<br />

be taken into account into the cost calculations for Partial Alignment as it is<br />

assumed that this figure is low. This low figure was derived from a <strong>study</strong><br />

conducted by Europe Economics on the average size of the market for mobile<br />

services;<br />

No reduction in handset prices as a result of undergoing Partial alignment.<br />

The results of our CBA modelling of partial alignment of block E are shown below at Table<br />

23.<br />

Block Frequency<br />

Range<br />

(Amount)<br />

(MHz)<br />

B<br />

Extended<br />

453.0125 –<br />

454.85625<br />

(1.84375)<br />

A 460.0 –<br />

462.475<br />

(2.475)<br />

C 455.5 –<br />

456.05 (0.55)<br />

D 456.0625 –<br />

456.975<br />

(0.9125)<br />

Table 23 Summary of Partial Alignment (Wideband) CBA results<br />

Single<br />

Frequency<br />

Assignments<br />

Dual<br />

Frequency<br />

Assignments<br />

Page 95<br />

No of<br />

Assignments<br />

benefiting<br />

from<br />

alignment<br />

Cost in<br />

2008<br />

Benefit<br />

(Mean)<br />

NPV over<br />

15 years<br />

2690 4860 1495 £37.7M Between<br />

£10.7M &<br />

£17.9M<br />

over 15<br />

years<br />

(£14.3M)<br />

5299 5548 2148 £54.2M Between<br />

£27.2M &<br />

£36.2M<br />

over 15<br />

years<br />

(£31.7M)<br />

27 1009 205 £10.4M<br />

[costs<br />

double]<br />

602 2893 692 £35M<br />

[costs<br />

double]<br />

Between<br />

£2.6M &<br />

£3.5M over<br />

15 years<br />

(£3.05M)<br />

Between<br />

£8.8M &<br />

£11.7M<br />

over 15<br />

years<br />

(£10.2M)<br />

Net<br />

Benefit<br />

NPV<br />

over 15<br />

years<br />

-£23.4M<br />

-£22.5M<br />

-£7.4M<br />

-£24.8M<br />

PMSE (1.25MHz x 2) £8.2M Marginal -£8.2M<br />

ST All £80M Marginal -£80M<br />

Spectrum Yield for Wideband (assuming value based on mid-point of Auction and AIP value) £36M +£36M<br />

Consumer Surplus £50M +£50M<br />

Total for Block E -£80M<br />

abc


8.5.5 Sensitivity analysis<br />

It is important to review the impact of key variables as part of any CBA. These key variables<br />

are used to test what impact they would make on the Options used for both narrowband and<br />

wideband services in the UK to the CBA results.<br />

i. Sensitivity on the costs of alignment<br />

For calculating the costs of band alignment, we have relied upon the results of the PA<br />

Consulting report on the cost for full band alignment. The results of that report included a<br />

detailed sensitivity analysis which was used in our analysis. Our sensitivity analysis has<br />

focused on the sensitivity of the assumption that we have made on the benefits received for<br />

each of the options.<br />

ii. Methodology used<br />

There are a number of techniques available for testing the sensitivity of the results. For the<br />

purposes of our analysis, we have used a simplified approach and reviewed the impact on<br />

the overall results realising marginal changes of 10 per cent benefits in key assumptions<br />

used.<br />

iii. Results and conclusions<br />

Table 24 presents the results of the sensitivity analysis for a number of factors used to<br />

assess the CBA for full band alignment, which tests the individual impact of each parameter<br />

in isolation. This provides a broad assessment of the impact of the changes on the key<br />

assumptions by varying the baseline assumption used in the modelling with an upper and<br />

lower bound. It can be seen that individually the impact of varying the key parameters is<br />

negligible and when applied to our CBA models, the impact on the overall results realised<br />

marginal changes of ±10 per cent net benefits.<br />

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Page 96<br />

abc


Table 24 Sensitivity analysis of key factors on size of benefits for Full Band Alignment<br />

Parameter Lower<br />

Limit<br />

Cellular Cost savings due to reduced<br />

interference (average Cellular cost<br />

saving per month)<br />

Number of base stations at risk of<br />

interference – impact on network cost<br />

savings<br />

Number of base stations at risk of<br />

interference – impact on Cellular cost<br />

savings<br />

Average number of mobile phones per<br />

base station<br />

Average level of continental<br />

interference (impact on total network<br />

cost savings)<br />

Average life of a base station – impact<br />

on network cost savings<br />

8.6 Conclusions<br />

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£4.50<br />

-£8.5M<br />

4500<br />

-£5.1M<br />

4500<br />

-£8.5M<br />

27<br />

-£8.5M<br />

6dB<br />

-£5.7M<br />

6 years<br />

-£2.0M<br />

Page 97<br />

Baseline<br />

assumption<br />

£5 per month<br />

[£84.4M]<br />

5000<br />

[£58.6M]<br />

5000<br />

[£84.5M]<br />

30<br />

[£84.5M]<br />

7dB<br />

[£58.6M]<br />

5 years<br />

[£58.6M]<br />

Upper<br />

Limit<br />

£5.50<br />

£8.5M<br />

5500<br />

£5.1M<br />

5500<br />

£8.5M<br />

33<br />

£8.5M<br />

8dB<br />

£5.7M<br />

4 years<br />

£1.7M<br />

% impact on<br />

overall CBA<br />

± 4.2 %<br />

± 2.6%<br />

± 4.2%<br />

± 4.2%<br />

± 2.9%<br />

± 1.0%<br />

The CBA provides a high-level assessment of the key costs and benefits and to assess the<br />

impact of changes in these costs and benefits as a result of broad regulatory intervention<br />

options. The results have been based on a number of assumptions about future unknowns.<br />

While every effort has been made to produce accurate results, the CBA should only be used<br />

to provide information at a broad level on the scale of costs and benefits for each of the<br />

options. If any of the options were to be explored further, then we would recommend that<br />

further detailed work be carried out on the costs and benefits.<br />

The CBA figures in tables Table 20 to Table 23, provide guidance, based on previous<br />

research and our assessment of the likely magnitude of net benefits for each option. These<br />

results show that all options to a greater or lesser extent have a negative CBA. The options<br />

can be ranked as follows:<br />

Base case (do nothing);<br />

Partial alignment (narrowband) – Block C only;<br />

Partial alignment (narrowband) – other blocks;<br />

Partial alignment (wideband);<br />

Full alignment – managed.<br />

In addition, we have drawn the following conclusions:<br />

There is no net benefit in partial or full alignment of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

Partial alignment to enable the introduction of wideband services in <strong>UHF2</strong>, would<br />

lead to the disruption of many services and has a large negative net benefit.<br />

abc


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The sensitivity analysis results concluded that the impact on the overall results<br />

of key assumptions realised marginal changes of 10% net benefits in the CBA<br />

results, providing confidence that the assumptions made in the model are stable<br />

and has provided relatively sensible results.<br />

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abc


9 Conclusions and Recommendations<br />

9.1 Introduction<br />

In this final chapter, we pull together the conclusions of the previous chapters with a brief<br />

discussion and analysis, and then provide our recommendations to <strong>Ofcom</strong> on the future<br />

policy suggested for the <strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

9.2 Summary of Findings<br />

To aid in the understanding of the conclusions and recommendations and to summarise our<br />

conclusions, we have posed the following key questions and provided our recommendation<br />

based on the findings of the report.<br />

9.2.1 Is there an appetite for spectrum re-configuration in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band?<br />

The main feature of most communication services in <strong>UHF2</strong> is that they are generally self-<br />

owned, self provided, and that the resilience of the service fits the need of the business and<br />

most importantly, there are no airtime charges. The provision of self-provided services has<br />

been a trade-off against functionality, resilience, capital and operational costs. It is clear that<br />

many of these services have needed to consider this business case of spectrum re-<br />

configuration in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band over many years, particularly since the advent of GSM<br />

technology, which has in the past removed users from the ‘business radio community’. The<br />

amount of assignments within this band have remained quite steady over the past 5 years,<br />

which suggests that a plateau has been reached for these niche services requiring<br />

communications that cannot be provided by an operator. The stakeholders within this band<br />

have confirmed they do not want any regulatory intervention to align the spectrum, unless<br />

they are fully financially compensated and in some cases, that continuation of service is<br />

guaranteed during any transition.<br />

9.2.2 Will the current services continue to be allocated in <strong>UHF2</strong> over the next 10 years ?<br />

It is anticipated that over the course of the next few years, if operator services introduce<br />

group calling and reduce airtime costs significantly, the majority of logistic services using<br />

wide area (i.e. Taxi), which use a mix of voice and data, would move from <strong>UHF2</strong> to operator<br />

provided services such as GSM/UMTS. However, on-site services are expected to maintain<br />

the same user base in <strong>UHF2</strong> or indeed grow slightly, even with on-site mobile services being<br />

offered through DECT, licensed exempt PMR446 and mobile technology in ISM bands.<br />

We believe that digital technology, mainly in the form of DMR will become prominent in this<br />

band, where there will be significant churn from analogue technology over the next 5-10<br />

years. While digital technology increases voice capacity through TDD, we believe that<br />

spectrum would not be significantly re-assigned to new use (through trading or return to<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong>) as users propensity to fill the capacity through more calls or additional services such<br />

as data messaging will diminish this theoretical yield.<br />

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We believe the user base will slowly diminish in <strong>UHF2</strong> over the next 10 years as equipment<br />

is replaced in wide area type services by as much as 50%, with these services being<br />

replaced by different type operators which will make the market more competitive. Much of<br />

this decline is predicated on the operators’ reduced airtime costs and the market’s<br />

communications costs appraisal, leading to a change to operator provider services.<br />

Therefore, if the spectrum yield from the reduction in the user base were aggregated then 2<br />

x 0.1MHz (1% of the <strong>UHF2</strong> Band) would be available for reassignment on a national basis.<br />

The impact of this potential yield of spectrum is minimal, even though 50% of a market<br />

sector (e.g. taxis) would no longer use this spectrum. Any further yield of spectrum, without<br />

regulatory intervention will be wholly dependent on the intentions of the PSSPG, with<br />

approximately 30% of the band available for re-assignment.<br />

9.2.3 Is interference a key driver within the <strong>UHF2</strong> band for spectrum re-configuration?<br />

Interference is an issue for some people in particular and it is most troublesome when the<br />

interference is not constant. However, interference can be mitigated and users accept that<br />

radio use is sometimes unreliable. Therefore, to justify an interference solution through re-<br />

configuration, a compelling business case would need to be shown. Our research shows<br />

that even at a macro-economic level there is no economic benefit.<br />

The only time that a business would possibly move out of a band is when the communication<br />

system becomes so unreliable that the system needs to be changed and is costing the<br />

company financial resources. The choices, which a business would then have, would be to<br />

look at alternative means outside of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band or possibly operator provided services.<br />

Recently businesses have not relocated systems within or outside of the band because of<br />

interference, mainly because very few cases have been reported and there is little use on<br />

the continent to cause interference. However, if the situation were to change significantly<br />

with the introduction of IMT2000 services in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band on the continent, then it is<br />

possible that systems would become un-useable on the South East Coast of the UK due to<br />

interference.<br />

The problem remains that in a market led approach with interference, where only a small<br />

portion of the market is disadvantaged, in this case, the South East of the UK, some areas of<br />

the UK will continue to be disadvantaged until the whole of the UK is aligned. This is due to<br />

the ripple effect whereby if the South East is aligned then the Midlands receive interference<br />

etc, so the interference just moves as systems are aligned. Therefore, the rest of the<br />

country has no particular reason to align, as there would be little benefit, unless the ripple<br />

effect is managed.<br />

9.2.4 What is likely to happen within the <strong>UHF2</strong> band if there is no direct regulatory<br />

intervention?<br />

We believe most stakeholders would be satisfied with no direct regulatory intervention.<br />

Indeed a statement to this effect would provide security of tenure in the band rather than the<br />

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egulatory uncertainty, which has left businesses in uncertainty for of the past few years. It is<br />

likely that systems will continue to be replaced and maintained and over a number of years,<br />

with some services over-time moving out of the band. For those services that are in the<br />

South East it is likely that increased interference will either force a move outside of the band<br />

or indeed, force an alignment of ‘pockets’ of spectrum. <strong>Ofcom</strong> and the E&PSS spectrum<br />

manager, through the market mechanisms such as trading and liberalisation, could facilitate<br />

alignment. However, the ‘ripple effect’ and guard bands required to manage interference<br />

would need to be managed, leading to difficulties in assigning spectrum.<br />

i. Guard Bands when aligning spectrum<br />

An important element of any partial band alignment or stepped full alignment is providing a<br />

measure of protection to protect each service where there is aligned and unaligned<br />

spectrum. This protection would in effect require allocating a guard band of the size of a<br />

channel and also geographical separation in the order of kilometres between adjacent<br />

channel users without additional site engineering being needed. Therefore, as alignment<br />

takes place on particular channels a ‘ripple effect’ occurs where assignments need to have a<br />

geographical separation. If alignment were to begin on the south coast, the effect of this<br />

would be larger geographical separations within the UK, creating a ‘ripple effect’ of<br />

interference. Managing interference for assignments would be complex to manage as the<br />

interference would have an effect on adjacent assignments. Therefore, co-ordinating and<br />

managing such an exercise is extremely labour intensive when having to consider a total of<br />

17,000 assignments in the bands, can lead to a question of practicality.<br />

9.2.5 If direct regulatory intervention was the way forward in the band, what would be the<br />

main challenges?<br />

It is likely that stakeholders would prevent any attempt of direct regulatory intervention<br />

without any assurances on costs and mitigating risks. Managing the costs and practical<br />

implementation of a managed partial or full alignment project would be complex due to a lack<br />

of resources such as skilled labour and high costs, which as identified in this report return no<br />

net benefit.<br />

It is our opinion that the only possible practical method of aligning spectrum in a co-ordinated<br />

and efficient manner would be to use an ‘Overlay auction’, which is described in more detail<br />

below. This method would be in our opinion the most appropriate method to introduce future<br />

wideband services within the <strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

i. Regulatory Intervention in a fragmented band<br />

One option for re-configuration of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band is an ‘overlay licence’ or ‘overlay auction’,<br />

which has been used successfully in other countries. There are two main circumstances in<br />

which a spectrum band may need to be cleared of existing users:<br />

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where a band needs to be re-farmed.<br />

Overlay licences have been awarded for a block of spectrum which is occupied by existing<br />

licensees where more efficient use would result by bringing together fragmented use.<br />

An overlay licence gives the holder the right to do two things:<br />

use any unencumbered spectrum immediately (provided there is such<br />

spectrum), and;<br />

use encumbered spectrum as and when it is cleared by the incumbent<br />

licensees. The regulator would provide a period of notice to the incumbent<br />

licences to vacate the use of spectrum.<br />

Overlay licences have been used when there is a need to clear spectrum of existing users<br />

(as was the case in the USA and Canada), and when it is regarded as useful to create<br />

alternative arrangements for managing spectrum (as was the case in New Zealand).<br />

Overlay licences provide mechanisms for accelerating the reassignment of spectrum. This is<br />

achieved by the following:<br />

the overlay licensee is awarded rights to a block of spectrum which includes<br />

unencumbered and encumbered spectrum;<br />

the overlay licensee is permitted to start using any available unencumbered<br />

spectrum immediately;<br />

the regulator serves revocation notice on incumbents; and<br />

the overlay licensee is empowered to negotiate with incumbents on relocation<br />

or revocation before their revocation notice period terminates.<br />

In the case of <strong>UHF2</strong>, where the band is fragmented between a large number of small users,<br />

overlay licences could be issued to one or more overlay licensees with incumbent users<br />

either relocated to another band, or having their requirements met in some other way (e.g.<br />

by a service provider). However, the use of Overlay licensing needs to be balanced by a<br />

cost-benefit analysis, socio-economic and political impact of undertaking such an option.<br />

9.3 PEST Analysis<br />

We conducted a Political Economic Social and Technical (PEST) analysis to aid us in<br />

making recommendations for this complex topic. The PEST analysis is a standard tool used<br />

by management consultants when faced with analysing complex subjects on a variety of<br />

levels. We have produced a summary of the results, shown below at Figure 24, based on<br />

the three main options: no intervention, partial or full alignment.<br />

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Technological: New Services<br />

Technological: Technology Access<br />

Technological: Interference<br />

Social: Rural acccess to IMT2000<br />

Figure 24 PEST Analysis<br />

Political: Current Legislation/Home Market<br />

1<br />

0.9<br />

0.8<br />

0.7<br />

0.6<br />

0.5<br />

0.4<br />

0.3<br />

0.2<br />

0.1<br />

0<br />

Social: Consumer choice<br />

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Political: European Legislation<br />

Economic: CBA<br />

Political: Government Policies<br />

No Intervention<br />

Full Intervention<br />

Partial Intervention<br />

Political: Lobbying/Pressure Groups<br />

As can be seen from Figure 24 there is strong Political and Economic motivation for not<br />

intervening and allowing the market mechanism of spectrum trading and liberalisation to<br />

enable the part of the market that may wish to align. Full intervention has strong social and<br />

technological benefits but would have little political or economic incentive. However, partial<br />

alignment seems to sit in between the two extremes, with lesser technological and social<br />

benefits than full alignment but greater political and economic reasoning.<br />

9.4 Summary of Conclusions<br />

We have provided detailed conclusions at the end of each chapter, but have summarised<br />

these into the following main points:<br />

Stakeholders see little benefit in alignment and we believe that any forced<br />

alignment without funding would be blocked politically;<br />

The <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum within the UK for the South East of the UK is at a<br />

disadvantage due to the possibility of interference from the Continental<br />

Europe disadvantages the South East UK mainly in terms of interference.<br />

This disadvantage can manifest itself through loss of coverage area and<br />

temporary denial of service. The current interference situation is manageable<br />

owing to little use of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band on the continent;<br />

The <strong>UHF2</strong> band will be an IMT2000 band, which may mean that in the future<br />

Western Europe will change its use from Narrowband to Wideband services<br />

within this band, which could potentially lead to increased interference;<br />

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The Cost Benefit Analysis indicates that ‘forced’ alignment within the band<br />

produces no net benefits. The costs of alignment outweigh the potential<br />

benefits;<br />

There are now regulatory measures in place coupled with the appointment of<br />

a future Spectrum Manager for the E&PSS that would aid the market to<br />

proceed with any future alignment of spectrum within the <strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

The CBA results below for Table 25 indicates that other than proceeding with the ‘do nothing<br />

option, the case for partial alignment is marginal.<br />

Table 25 Ranked CBA<br />

Rank Net Benefit<br />

1 Base case (do nothing) -<br />

2 Partial alignment (narrowband) – Block C only -£2.1m<br />

3 Partial alignment (narrowband) – other blocks -£6.7m to -£22.4m<br />

4 Partial alignment (wideband) -£80m<br />

5 Full alignment – managed -£189m<br />

The Band Alignment project was withdrawn by <strong>Ofcom</strong> in 2004. This project was generally a<br />

process of partial alignment steps, through which these steps are taken through the use of<br />

vacant spectrum as a result of the Emergency Services migrating out of the band, for which<br />

over a period of a few years would have resulted in full alignment. We do not believe that<br />

this process would have been suitable to either industry or indeed <strong>Ofcom</strong> due to the<br />

upheaval, uncertainty and cost over a long duration this would have had on industry. We<br />

believe that if now <strong>Ofcom</strong> were to opt for partial or full alignment of the band, then the use of<br />

an Overlay auction process would be attractive, allowing notice to be served on incumbents<br />

of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band and allowing the market the option to migrate to new services and new<br />

spectrum. However, our analysis leads us to conclude that a policy of no regulatory<br />

intervention should be maintained, due to the introduction of flexible digital technology, the<br />

CBA results and the regulatory measures currently in place should enable the market to<br />

reconfigure the spectrum should they wish.<br />

9.5 Recommendations<br />

Following on from our conclusion that <strong>Ofcom</strong> should not force any re-alignment with <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

we have the following recommendations:<br />

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<strong>Ofcom</strong> should not directly intervene in any alignment of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band and<br />

should enable the market to align through market mechanisms such as<br />

trading and liberalisation, assisting where necessary;<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> should assist the E&PSS spectrum manager (Post 2009) in working<br />

closely with <strong>UHF2</strong> stakeholders in any re-configuration of the band;<br />

MASTS should be modified or processes put in place to assess the impact of<br />

aligning a channel within unaligned spectrum and amendments to the<br />

algorithm for a guard band and geographical separation needed between co-<br />

channel users. This tool should also be used to assist in any future re-<br />

configuration of the band;<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> should proceed with developing an MOU with the its continental<br />

neighbours to avoid any future interference;<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> must decide and communicate the future policy for the <strong>UHF2</strong> band in<br />

order to remove uncertainty over the band to users;<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> should continue to monitor interference that may be caused by any<br />

future deployments of wideband networks from the Continent and the impact<br />

this would have from current licensees;<br />

If <strong>Ofcom</strong> does decide to proceed with alignment, we would recommend Partial<br />

Alignment where users of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band are least impacted and further<br />

detailed analysis is carried out.<br />

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Appendix A: Stakeholder Engagement<br />

Air Radio<br />

Arqiva<br />

Communities and Local Government (CLG)<br />

CSS Spectrum Management Services<br />

EADS<br />

Federation of Communication Services (FCS)<br />

Intellect<br />

Joint Frequency Management Group (JFMG)<br />

Motorola<br />

National Police Improvement Agency (NPIA)<br />

Network Rail<br />

Office of Communications (<strong>Ofcom</strong>)<br />

On site Communications Association (OSCA)<br />

Zapp Holdings (formerly Inquam)<br />

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Appendix B: Interference<br />

B.1 Types of interference<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> manages spectrum to avoid harmful interference 48 primarily 49 on two levels; co-<br />

channel and adjacent channel interference, which we discuss in the following sections of<br />

this appendix.<br />

The consequences of co-channel or adjacent channel interference in voice schemes<br />

manifests itself to the users as poor audio quality or other audio signals breaking through<br />

into the system. For data systems, the effects are data errors, or no data received at all.<br />

Interference in its worst case can cause systems to be blocked, which in effect makes them<br />

unusable.<br />

B.2 Co-Channel Interference (CCI)<br />

To avoid harmful interference no two assignments should normally be assigned the same<br />

frequency (co-channel) in the same geographical area. Planning criteria is used to<br />

determine the frequency re-use. For co-channel use in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band it is essential to<br />

understand both the technical criteria that determine the re-use distance and also where<br />

the terrain forms a natural obstacle between different co-channel users. As spectrum is<br />

becoming increasingly more utilised and the availability of usable frequencies becomes<br />

scarce, natural obstacles can play an important role. The efficient use of spectrum is the<br />

balance between avoiding harmful interference and the potential to assign as many<br />

channels as close together as possible.<br />

The mitigation techniques that are used to reduce the levels of CCI in <strong>UHF2</strong> include<br />

CTCSS (Continuous Tone Code Squelch System) which transmits encoded tones onto the<br />

channel which is then detected by the receiver to filter the wanted signal. This type of<br />

mitigation technique enables the users to share a radio channel resource, which is blocked<br />

from use by other users during transmission. This orderly use of the channel enables many<br />

users to share a channel in a manner that provides polite access. Other CCI mitigation<br />

techniques include cross-polar discrimination, this can be in the order of 12 dB protection,<br />

where one service uses horizontally polarised antennas against another co-channel service<br />

operating vertically polarised antennas.<br />

Many different applications and services are used in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band across the UK. Many<br />

channels that are occupied are used by mobile systems on a national basis. However,<br />

48 where “harmful interference” is defined by ITU as that which “…endangers the functioning of a radionavigation service or of<br />

other safety services or seriously degrades, obstructs or repeatedly interrupts a radiocommunication service operating in<br />

accordance with Radio Regulations.”<br />

49 There are others not covered by this report such as inter-modulation and 3 rd order harmonics<br />

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considering the vast and diverse use of the <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum, CCI does not occur very often.<br />

This is due to the careful planning of frequency assignments, the application of standard<br />

channel protection requirements such as system protection ratios and the use of standard<br />

equipment whose radiated emissions are limited by specifically designed spectrum masks.<br />

The benefit of this high level spectrum management means that more usable channels are<br />

available for assignment and the optimum use can be gained from the spectrum.<br />

B.3 Adjacent Channel Interference (ACI) and Out Of Band Emissions<br />

(OOBE)<br />

Spectrum planning and the process of assigning new frequencies must consider the impact<br />

of adjacent channel interference (ACI) and Out-of Band Emissions (OOBE).<br />

ACI can occur when two services are located in close proximity with their assigned<br />

frequencies are on adjacent channels. ACI can cause those channels to become unusable<br />

due to the high level of unwanted emissions radiating into adjacent services.<br />

The diagram shows the desired<br />

(wanted) signal in the frequency<br />

domain and where the relative<br />

interference can occur. Out of band<br />

interference occurs adjacent to the<br />

wanted signal where some of the out<br />

of band signal spills over into the<br />

wanted signal which causes the<br />

interference.<br />

To mitigate against this type of interference, channel protection ratios are used in the<br />

interference calculations to determine the acceptable level of signal into the wanted<br />

system. The level of protection ratio is dependent on whether the unwanted system is co-<br />

channel, adjacent channel or 2 nd adjacent and so on. It is often the case for spectrum<br />

planning that to make the most efficient use of the spectrum to determine if a new service<br />

can use the adjacent channel near to the existing service. In order to introduce a new<br />

service geographically close to an existing service stringent limits must be applied to the<br />

out of band emissions of the adjacent service so as not to cause harmful interference.<br />

Out of band emissions are the unwanted emissions that are transmitted outside the<br />

necessary bandwidth of the system. This is managed using spectrum emission masks that<br />

are put in place to reduce/remove the out of band emissions of radio equipment. However<br />

if the incorrect limits are put in place this mechanism can cause adjacent channel<br />

interference to a system.<br />

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In Europe harmonised radio equipment standards are developed in accordance with the<br />

relevant EC directives that enable equipment manufacturers and national regulatory bodies<br />

to specify the radiated limits of out of band emission masks. The radiated emission limits<br />

that are chosen must provide adequate protection in the out of band domain, therefore<br />

ensuring no harmful interference to frequencies operating in the adjacent channel. The<br />

adjacent channel power for land mobile systems is:<br />

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60 dB for 12.5 kHz separation<br />

70 dB for 20/25 kHz separation<br />

Equipment deployed in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band in the UK must be products from technically<br />

compliant manufacturers which must be in accordance with The Radio Equipment and<br />

Telecommunications Terminal Directive 99/5/EC (R&TTE). It is illegal to sell and bring in to<br />

service equipment that is not compliant to the relevant equipment standard or meets the<br />

national interface requirements.<br />

B.4 Potential Sources of Interference<br />

Radio equipment operating within the <strong>UHF2</strong> band could potentially suffer interference from<br />

a number of interference sources across the UK. Systems operating near or within the 450-<br />

470 MHz band include the Fylingdales radar. There is also the potential for users in the<br />

<strong>UHF2</strong> band to suffer interference from wideband digital systems in the future. Wideband<br />

systems introduced into the <strong>UHF2</strong> band could interfere with the incumbent narrowband<br />

systems that currently operate in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

B.4.1 Fylingdales<br />

The Fylingdales Radar operates in the frequency band 420-450MHz, with the vast majority<br />

of energy directed upwards, for the detection of potential missiles and aircraft. The main<br />

beam cannot be aimed lower than an elevation of 3° above the horizontal, with the first side<br />

lobe at an angle of 2.9° to the main beam, which is considered the main source of potential<br />

interference. In theory, the radar can only interfere with base stations at a height of 30m for<br />

distances less than 150km away from the radar site.<br />

Business Radio shares the UHF 1 band with the MoD and all business assignments in the<br />

UHF1 band must be co-ordinated with RAF Fylingdales, ensuring that a set power-sum<br />

interference base-line is not exceeded. <strong>Ofcom</strong> has developed a tool to undertake this co-<br />

ordination, to validate any amendments or applications within the UHF1 band.<br />

The impact to the users in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band from Fylingdales is not significant enough to<br />

require formal coordination. However, it is understood that operation near the Fylingdales<br />

site require processes for setting up an exclusion zone for users operating near the radar.<br />

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In addition, it is unclear whether the OOBE from Fylingdales would affect any services<br />

around 450MHz, and business radio services wishing to use UHF spectrum may have to<br />

use <strong>UHF2</strong>.<br />

B.4.2 Wideband Digital Services<br />

It is possible that in future Wideband Digital Services could be used in the 450-470 MHz<br />

band. These wideband digital services have a bandwidth that is greater than 25 kHz. In<br />

practice services that could potentially be deployed in <strong>UHF2</strong> which use bandwidths greater<br />

than 25 kHz are TETRA and CDMA systems. The latest release of TETRA systems specify<br />

bandwidth up to maximum of 150 kHz for TETRA TEDS. For CDMA 450 the bandwidth<br />

specified is 1.25 MHz.<br />

The operation of TETRA TEDS in the 450-470 MHz band would require guard bands to be<br />

equal to or greater than half the bandwidth of operation in order to prevent interference to<br />

the incumbent narrowband systems. The effect of wideband systems into narrowband<br />

systems is the overall level of the noise floor increase across the wider bandwidth can<br />

cause increased interference to narrowband systems. This can be significant enough to<br />

cause narrowband systems to be unusable. This could be due to blocking effects in the<br />

receiver front end.<br />

With appropriate guard bands CDMA technology should be able to co-exist with other<br />

narrow-band technologies such as DMR and TETRA, with the following mitigations:<br />

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Introduction of filters, guard bands or frequency separation around the duplex<br />

transition frequency.<br />

A guard band of 200kHz in the uplink-uplink (MS-BS) and Downlink-downlink<br />

(BS-MS) interference paths.<br />

A frequency separation of 125kHz at the duplex transition frequency between<br />

the uplink and downlink bands (MS-MS) interference path.<br />

A frequency separation of 1875kHz between the uplink and downlink bands<br />

(BS-BS) interference path.<br />

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Appendix C: <strong>UHF2</strong> Interference Regulation<br />

C.1 Introduction to interference regulation<br />

International radio communications regulations are negotiated, agreed and mandated<br />

between member states through the activities of the International Telecommunications<br />

Union (ITU). Regulations concerning the use of the radio spectrum consider the affects of<br />

interference and the ITU outlines the regulations that members states must adopt to ensure<br />

the proper procedures are in place to reduce or prevent interference from occurring<br />

between users and member states.<br />

The UK, through its legislation The Wireless Telegraphy Act 2006, specifies its own<br />

regulations for managing interference through powers granted by the Government to<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong>. It is these regulations that define the nature of interference in the context of using<br />

the radio spectrum and how it is managed in the UK.<br />

Interference becomes harmful if the operation of wireless telegraphy apparatus creates<br />

dangers or risk of danger to services providing safety of life but also if it degrades,<br />

obstructs or repeatedly interrupts anything that is being broadcast or otherwise transmitted:<br />

(i) by means of wireless telegraphy; and<br />

(ii) in accordance with a wireless telegraphy licence, regulations under section 8(3) or a<br />

grant of recognised spectrum access or otherwise lawfully.<br />

The description of harmful interference given above can also be regarded as undue<br />

interference, since the Wireless Telegraphy Act states:<br />

“Interference with any wireless telegraphy is not to be regarded as undue for the purposes<br />

of this Act unless it is also harmful.”<br />

It is <strong>Ofcom</strong>’s responsibility to maintain a high level of spectrum quality and reduce or where<br />

possible prevent the occurrence of interference. To aid the understanding of the types of<br />

interference that users may suffer, two high level definitions are given below:<br />

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Legal transmissions, where authorised users have been incorrectly<br />

assigned frequencies or are operating outside of the permitted criteria.<br />

Illegal transmissions operating on the same or adjacent frequencies as<br />

authorised users.<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> have an obligation under the Wireless Telegraphy Act 2006 to control both of these<br />

types of interference in order to maintain clean and efficient spectrum. Regulations set out<br />

in the Act enable <strong>Ofcom</strong> to define guidelines for mitigating interference and if necessary<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> will intervene to remove the source of interference. The adverse consequences of<br />

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interference affect users, operators, suppliers and manufacturers who all rely on the safe,<br />

reliable and available operation of the spectrum.<br />

Legal transmissions are managed by adopting clear spectrum policy guidelines and<br />

creating technical frequency criteria and technical parameters that can be easily<br />

implemented when assigning spectrum.<br />

Illegal transmissions are controlled either through monitoring by <strong>Ofcom</strong> or by users<br />

reporting interference to <strong>Ofcom</strong>, who would then investigate the matter further.<br />

C.2 Interference environment for <strong>UHF2</strong> band<br />

Users of <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum currently benefit from the planning and management of<br />

interference by <strong>Ofcom</strong>. Assignments in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band are made based on technical<br />

criteria defined by <strong>Ofcom</strong> and knowledge of the interference environment and incumbent<br />

use. To enable the appropriate planning of frequency assignments in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band the<br />

following spectrum management instruments are used:<br />

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Interface Requirements considering the emission masks and equipment<br />

standards;<br />

Technical frequency assignment criteria (TFAC);<br />

Mobile Assignments Technical Systems (MASTS)<br />

International coordination agreements e.g. Berlin Agreement, Memorandum<br />

of Understanding (MoU);<br />

Spectrum usage rights (SUR’s).<br />

These instruments aid the management of interference and define the service area, out of<br />

band and spurious emission limits and transmission rights of licensees. In conjunction with<br />

these instruments, <strong>Ofcom</strong> is able to issue a variety of different licence classes that meet<br />

the specific needs of users, such as shared or exclusive use of an assignment or a mixture<br />

of both.<br />

The management of frequencies is conducted using known propagation characteristics,<br />

system losses and antenna systems for calculations to determine usable and interference<br />

limited service areas to ensure safe and reliable operation of the radio spectrum.<br />

In the following sub sections, we describe each of the instruments that are used to aid the<br />

management of spectrum to fully understand the complex process for making frequency<br />

assignments in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. Each sub section describes a particular policy, guideline or<br />

requirement that applies to licensees and users of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band.<br />

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C.2.1 Interface Requirement (IR)<br />

Interface requirements specify the minimum technical requirements of a particular<br />

technology or service. Licensees operating in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band are required to adhere to the<br />

minimum requirements of IR2044 for Land Mobile Services or IR2030 for Short Range<br />

Devices.<br />

The particular requirements that would affect the use of equipment in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band are<br />

the equipment parameters specified in the IR and the requirements applied to achieve the<br />

desired level of compatibility within the channel spacing for land mobile services, this<br />

currently includes 12.5 kHz and 25 kHz. <strong>Ofcom</strong> has recently announced that IR2044 will be<br />

updated to include 6.25 kHz channel spacing for use in the UK.<br />

C.2.2 Technical Frequency Assignment Criteria (TFAC)<br />

The Technical Frequency Assignment Criteria (Ofw164) describes the technical<br />

parameters and the processes for frequency assignments for Business Radio services.<br />

The TFAC applies to all frequencies used for Business Radio services.<br />

A new TFAC for business radio is currently under development by <strong>Ofcom</strong> and provides the<br />

technical parameters for the newly developed licence products discussed in Chapter 2.<br />

The new TFAC contains the details of the new MASTS software tool giving a description of<br />

the process of how MASTS will be used to make assignments. This new process for<br />

making assignments will benefit users operating in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band due to increased<br />

flexibility of use of the spectrum. Users will be able to increase the volume of their mobile<br />

network more easily and without reference to <strong>Ofcom</strong>. Furthermore, there will be no<br />

restriction on the type of technology used, as long as it does not exceed the limit of<br />

causing interference to neighbouring users.<br />

The TFAC for scanning telemetry (Ofw 49) contains the frequency criteria specifically for<br />

fixed terrestrial point to point and point to multipoint services in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. This<br />

document describes the particular criteria networks must adhere to for successful<br />

frequency assignment. The criteria can include calculations for EIRP of transmitters, co<br />

channel protection requirements and specifications of particular antenna design.<br />

C.2.3 Mobile Assignments Technical System (MASTS)<br />

MASTS, an automated frequency assignment tool, has been in development for a number<br />

of years and will be in service by the end of 2008. The MASTS tool will be used for making<br />

assignments for all areas of business radio including <strong>UHF2</strong>.<br />

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The benefits of using MASTS in particular for <strong>UHF2</strong> assignments is the ability to quantify<br />

the spectrum quality in terms of interference, and determine the amount of available<br />

spectrum for use in the band. Ultimately, MASTS will be used to make more effective<br />

assignments due to the predictive nature of analysis of the interference environment. This<br />

will result in either more channels available for assignment in the same frequency band or<br />

being able to ‘squeeze’ more geographical users from the existing channels. Using the<br />

MASTS algorithm a ‘Band Alignment tool’ was developed and in 2004 it was calculated that<br />

if the assignments were re-packed in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band then <strong>Ofcom</strong> could have had a<br />

spectrum yield of between 2-3MHz 50 .<br />

This tool will assign spectrum based on a set of rules and technical criteria (introduced in<br />

the new (TFAC)) that will determine the spectrum quality and protection requirements. The<br />

tool is also able to take account of terrain and other assignments thereby defining which<br />

frequencies can be used in a particular location. This is a change to the current primary<br />

practice of establishing a generic protection distance between base stations for particular<br />

licence classes.<br />

When the MAST tool is used to assign channels in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band, in its current unaligned<br />

state, it is likely that a few more assignments may be made in spectrum otherwise thought<br />

as full. This packing of assignments may lead to incumbents being subjected to more<br />

interference than previously experienced. However it should be noted that all assignments<br />

suffer from interference; the difference with MASTS is that the level of interference will be<br />

planned and part of the licence conditions.<br />

The MASTS process is underpinned by the Technically Assigned licence product for<br />

shared and exclusive use. An assignment can be identified for an activity factor, which is a<br />

measure of what percentage of time an assignment is transmitting. For example, a shared<br />

assignment is an assignment that transmits no more than 50% of the time in its busiest<br />

hour. An exclusive assignment is one that either transmits up to 100% of the time, more<br />

than 50% of the time in its busiest hour or requires extra protection because of either<br />

business or safety critical reasons. The activity factor determines the amount of time that<br />

an assignment may block another assignment from transmitting at that point in time.<br />

With the nature of Business Radio in a shared environment, there may be instances when<br />

a user exceeds the activity factor (as defined by their assignment type) over a short period.<br />

If there are continual breaches of the guideline criteria then it may be necessary to liaise<br />

with the users concerned and move them to Exclusive status or move them to a different<br />

channel (where possible).<br />

MASTS will benefit users of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band as it can be used to help reduce the likelihood<br />

of interference by way of more carefully assigning spectrum. MASTS will have the ability to<br />

coordinate aligned and non-aligned <strong>UHF2</strong> frequencies that should there be alignment of<br />

the band there are tools in place to aid the development of new systems helping prevent<br />

50 According to the Radiocommunications Agency/<strong>Ofcom</strong><br />

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the likelihood of increased interference. In addition, there is scope for the tool to assist in<br />

the market aligning the spectrum, assignment by assignment.<br />

C.2.4 International coordination and Memorandum of Understanding<br />

(MoU)<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> has a duty to co-ordinate all assignments with neighbouring countries to manage<br />

the risk of international interference. Either this is achieved through ITU regional<br />

agreement treaties such as Geneva 06, or an agreed Memorandum of Understanding<br />

(MoU), or in the absence of a formal agreement, the Harmonised Coordination Method<br />

(HCM) Agreement (formerly the Berlin Agreement) is used (adhering to the general<br />

principals of CEPT Recommendation T/R 25-08 for <strong>UHF2</strong>).<br />

If a proposed assignment is in breach of the requirements in place then it is the<br />

responsibility of the country wishing to use the assignment to send a request for<br />

International Co-ordination to the countries affected. Assignment will often depend on<br />

whether a specified concession can be agreed upon. Such concessions are usually agreed<br />

upon in the form of an MOU, where usually, preferential channels to each party are defined<br />

where the normal co-ordination level can be exceeded to a specified level. The UK does<br />

not have an MoU for the <strong>UHF2</strong> band and therefore by default complies with the procedures<br />

in accordance with the HCM Agreement. The necessity for adopting these coordination<br />

procedures is bound by the ITU Radio Regulations that state that national administration<br />

must notify the ITU of any frequency assignment likely to cause harmful interference into a<br />

neighbouring administration.<br />

A possible consequence of continental interference to licensees operating in the <strong>UHF2</strong><br />

band in the UK could be that their service becomes unusable. In the case of mission critical<br />

systems and E&PSS this is unacceptable and is not an option that would be tolerated by<br />

users and licensees. Currently, the low level activity in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band in continental<br />

Europe is not posing an immediate threat to UK licensees, so currently there is no cause<br />

for concern.<br />

The procedure in place, the HCM, is specified for co-ordinating CEPT harmonised<br />

spectrum, which the UK is not harmonised to. The problem of not being harmonised, but<br />

having a default co-ordination procedure is illustrated in the figure below.<br />

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The figure above illustrates <strong>UHF2</strong> continental interference between Europe and the UK.<br />

As the UK is non-CEPT aligned the base transmitter frequency in Europe is on the same<br />

frequency (f2) as the UK base station receive. The implications of this are the base station<br />

transmitter in Europe generates co-channel interference to base stations receivers<br />

operating in the UK. It is conceivable a mobile in the UK trying to communicate with a base<br />

station in the UK is unable to do so due to interference from Europe. Chapter 6 investigates<br />

the interference scenario between mobile networks deployed in the UK suffering<br />

interference from networks deployed in continental Europe. The modelling includes the<br />

impact to narrowband and wideband systems.<br />

C.2.5 Spectrum Usage Rights (SUR)<br />

Spectrum usage rights are currently being debated with <strong>Ofcom</strong> and the industry to<br />

determine how usage rights of spectrum would affect users and licensees. Users of<br />

spectrum will have as a main priority the availability of services using that spectrum. This<br />

implies a strictly controlled interference environment where service availability is assured.<br />

SUR are in direct support of providing technology neutrality, where currently spectrum<br />

masks and TFACs make assumptions on the technology used.<br />

Currently the use of spectrum is managed by the knowledge and understanding of the<br />

technologies and systems being deployed so the amount of interference is controlled<br />

indirectly. In future, the rights of licensees will be defined in terms of the maximum Power<br />

Spectrum Density that can be received at a boundary. Therefore, where there is inflexibility<br />

of use, SURs could provide a solution where a user could introduce a new service or<br />

technology that can use the geographical or spectrum mask more efficiently.<br />

Users of spectrum in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band could make particular use from SURs especially for<br />

users of mission critical systems and emergency and public safety services. It is vital these<br />

services do not suffer harmful interference that could affect safety of life services such as<br />

the Fire and Rescue Services radio network as the consequences could potentially be<br />

disastrous. SURs would provide the type of solution to these problems by specifying the<br />

maximum interference that can be tolerated by these critical systems thus enabling the<br />

development of networks and technology around them without further disruption.<br />

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SURs could also benefit other business radio users in the <strong>UHF2</strong> band. SURs offer the<br />

flexibility to change use, which could be a change in technology or increase in power levels<br />

or deployment density. This type of flexibility would enable development of networks, or the<br />

introduction of a new technology benefiting the industry as a whole.<br />

The most recent statement released from <strong>Ofcom</strong> (Dec 07) on controlling interference using<br />

Spectrum Usage Rights specifies the transition arrangements of SURs from development<br />

to implementation. It specifically examines the format of SURs and the definition and<br />

change process to licenses. This will have a positive impact for users of the <strong>UHF2</strong> band<br />

and will be realised as licensees continue to develop their networks and wish to introduce<br />

new technologies and systems in order to meet demand of the end users. However, the<br />

complexity of working within SURs is above and beyond the capabilities of most of the<br />

industry, where it is either anticipated that the industry will push back the introduction of<br />

SURs on the grounds of complexity or a new advisory industry will be created based<br />

around SURs.<br />

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Appendix D: Modelling Interference<br />

D.1 Modelling of Stations<br />

To undertake the modelling, fictitious interfering networks have be defined in Europe and<br />

live networks in the UK modelling for both the narrowband and wideband scenarios<br />

required to demonstrate interference scenarios. It is important to note that the modelling<br />

demonstrates the scenario of the maximum permitted interference from the continent in<br />

terms of the co-ordination recommendation TR25-08.<br />

D.2 Interfering Stations in Europe<br />

To model interference from the continent a fictitious network consisting of a transmitter<br />

every 10km along the North and East coasts of France, Belgium and Holland was<br />

modelled. The transmitters have a defined antenna height of 30m above ground level with<br />

a maximum ERP of 25W and an activity factor of 1, meaning that they are permanently<br />

transmitting (active). The ERP was then modified where necessary so that the power<br />

incident at the coast of the UK meets TR25-08 recommendations of 20dBuV/m for 10% of<br />

the time at 10m above ground level for a single transmitter, see the figure below.<br />

This fictitious network has two variants, the first meets the CEPT frequency plan in that it<br />

will transmit in the 460 to 470 MHz band and receive on the 450 to 460MHz band (Transmit<br />

on from mobile users) and the second will be CEPT reversed so that the effects of UK<br />

becoming CEPT aligned can be examined. These systems are also on the same co-<br />

channel as the narrowband and wideband modelling in UK.<br />

Co-located with the base stations is a mobile station that is also implemented with the<br />

same antenna pattern as the base station (omni) but with an antenna height of 1.5m agl<br />

and with 25W transmit power with an activity factor of 0.5. The transmit and receive<br />

frequencies are exchanged for the mobile station. The mobile station is not coordinated<br />

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with the UK and hence may not meet the TR25-08 recommendation for exported<br />

interference.<br />

D.3 UK Narrow Band Stations<br />

To be able to determine if changes in the spectrum usage have an effect on the current<br />

state of affairs, major users of the spectrum were selected for inclusion in the modelling.<br />

The frequencies were mapped on to a consistent raster assignment with a 10MHz duplex<br />

split. This was undertaken to simplify the interference calculations and to remove frequency<br />

channel effects from the modelling.<br />

The following mobile parameters were applied:<br />

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Product Code Description Mobile TX power<br />

(Watts)<br />

401060 On site PBR speech and data 5W<br />

407010 Wide-area PBR speech and data 25W<br />

407020 Wide area PBR (one way paging and<br />

speech)<br />

409010 National & Regional PBR 25W<br />

502020 Public mobile data 10W<br />

Police Police Service 25W<br />

Fire Fire Service 5W<br />

Antenna height 1.5m above ground level<br />

Antenna gain 0dBd<br />

Transmit and Receive frequencies exchanged<br />

To allow the model to be exercised<br />

with other systems without having to<br />

take into account the real channel<br />

frequencies, all the selected records<br />

have had their frequencies modified<br />

so that all the users are 2 channels<br />

apart (so that adjacent channel<br />

effects will not be seen) in the<br />

middle of the band with a consistent<br />

10MHz duplex spacing.<br />

The following figure shows both the<br />

Page D-2<br />

NA<br />

The green dots<br />

indicate stations<br />

with frequency<br />

duplex<br />

assignments and<br />

the blue dots<br />

indicate single<br />

frequency<br />

operation.<br />

base stations and mobile stations (approx. 4350 records) were used in the modelling.<br />

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D.4 UK wide band stations<br />

We assumed an IMT-2000 network, with assumed traffic model characteristics for a mature<br />

network, a 10km cell radius in rural areas and 1km cell radius in urban areas. The following<br />

parameters were used:<br />

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Base station parameters Mobile station<br />

parameters<br />

Transmit Power 40 dBm 20 dBm<br />

Antenna Gain 17 dBi 0<br />

Antenna height 30 m 1.5 m<br />

Receive thermal noise -129 dBm -104 dBm<br />

Duplexing FDD FDD<br />

CEPT Alignment CEPT Reversed CEPT Reversed<br />

Bandwidth 1.25 MHz 1,25 MHz<br />

The coverage from the wideband systems were calculated and the power in a 12.5KHz<br />

bandwidth was checked at the edge of the trading area. The limits at the edge of the 50km<br />

trading squares (32dBµV/m in 1.25MHz, which is equivalent to 12dBµV/m into 12.5kHz)<br />

were met, so the configuration would represent a potential realistic future scenario.<br />

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D.5 Modelling areas of UK base stations<br />

The modelling uses all of the stations described earlier in the modelling area but the<br />

receiving interference and blocking effects are only taken in three areas of interest:<br />

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Thames Gateway - this area is Urban,<br />

suburban and rural and will have severe<br />

interference for the continent and<br />

interference from other users in UK.<br />

Coventry & Birmingham - this area will<br />

have little interference from the continent but<br />

will influence interference in the London<br />

area. The area will be interfered with by<br />

stations in the London area and the rest of<br />

UK.<br />

Bradford & Blackburn & Preston – this area will not have interference<br />

form the continent but will suffer interference from mainly Coventry &<br />

Birmingham area and to a less extent the Thames gateway and the rest of<br />

the UK.<br />

When the model is exercised, changes in the user parameters in the areas of interest will<br />

allow the interference effects on any users to be seen. This <strong>study</strong> only shows interference<br />

in the areas of interest to provide a base-line view of interference changes. The other<br />

stations outside of the areas of interest will contribute to the degradations in the areas of<br />

interest but are not considered as receivers.<br />

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51 See B.2<br />

Appendix E: Narrowband Interference Modelling Results<br />

The following two tables show a summary of the results obtained from the modelling,<br />

showing the levels of interference for base stations and mobiles.<br />

No<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

CEPT<br />

aligned<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

CEPT<br />

reversed<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

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Effect of continental interference on Base Station receivers in UK<br />

Base stations<br />

Modelling area<br />

Average Noise Level<br />

(dBm)<br />

Thames Gateway Birmingham Bradford<br />

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-113.8 -118.34 -125.8<br />

Number of Blockers 3.69 0.78 0.06<br />

Standard deviation of<br />

noise level<br />

Average Noise Level<br />

(dBm)<br />

6.8 5.01 9.67<br />

-111.17 -118.12 -125.8<br />

Number of Blockers 3.69 0.78 0.06<br />

Standard deviation of<br />

noise level<br />

Average Noise Level<br />

(dBm)<br />

6.19 4.96 9.67<br />

-111.6 -118.2 -125.79<br />

Number of Blockers 3.89 0.78 0.06<br />

Standard deviation of<br />

noise level<br />

6.12 4.98 9.67<br />

Where the “Average Noise Level” is the power sum of all the stations that are co-channel<br />

(continental and UK based) and do not block the receiver for all the stations within the<br />

modelling area in dBm. This data can be used with knowledge of the receiver’s noise floor<br />

to determine the degradation in receiver performance in each area. This can then be<br />

equated to loss of service area using the graphs in Section 6.5.<br />

The “Number of Blockers” is the average number of blocking signal levels into each<br />

station within the modelling area. This shows how many users are in effect sharing any<br />

given channel and as a consequence the availability of the channel for any user. The<br />

blocking level used is -112dBm and this level is used for both narrowband and wideband<br />

systems. Although the term blocking denotes no entry, in reality this means that the radio<br />

channel is actually shared, which is common place in PMR, where users wait until the<br />

channel is not busy before transmitting through the aid of CTCSS 51 .<br />

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The “Standard deviation of noise level” is the standard deviation of the noise levels<br />

incident at the test receivers in the modelling areas.<br />

No<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

CEPT<br />

aligned<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

CEPT<br />

reversed<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

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Effect of continental interference on Mobile receivers in UK<br />

Mobiles<br />

Modelling area<br />

Thames Gateway Birmingham Bradford<br />

Average Noise Level -119.42 -136.09 -141.19<br />

Number of Blockers 2.38 0.25 0<br />

Standard deviation of<br />

noise level<br />

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6.7 4.04 4.38<br />

Average Noise Level -119.07 -136.00 -141.19<br />

Number of Blockers 2.38 0.25 0<br />

Standard deviation of<br />

noise level<br />

6.32 3.98 4.38<br />

Average Noise Level -118.95 -135.95 -141.18<br />

Number of Blockers 2.38 0.25 0<br />

Standard deviation of<br />

noise level<br />

6.21 3.94 4.38<br />

Note: the areas highlighted in Yellow are where the external interference from the<br />

Continent is below the typical noise floor of the receiver.<br />

Product Type<br />

Contribution from Continental base stations for % time<br />

AVERAGE Noise Level (dBm) % time<br />

Thames Gateway Birmingham Bradford<br />

10% Time 1% Time 10% Time 1% Time 10% Time 1% Time<br />

401060 -124.8 -110.9 -146.0 -135.4 -157.9 -143.1<br />

407010 -130.0 -116.5 -125.4 -114.9 -156.4 -142.5<br />

407020 -123.1 -111.2 -134.5 -123.9 -144.7 -129.5<br />

409010 -118.1 -106.6<br />

502020 -108.0 -101.5 -126.3 -115.7 -156.7 -144.6<br />

Police -117.7 -106.5 -152.0 -137.7<br />

Fire -140.8 -130.2<br />

Total -120.3 -108.9 -134.6 -124.0 -153.6 -139.5<br />

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Appendix F: Wideband Interference Modelling Results<br />

Wideband systems were modelled in each of the areas of interest as described in<br />

Appendix E. These wideband systems also meet the current trading rules described in<br />

Appendix G.<br />

When considering the effects of narrow band systems on the wideband systems the<br />

modelling considered 20 channels worth of narrowband users (4350 stations) and not 100+<br />

channels (20,000+ stations), owing to modelling time constraints. Therefore a fifth of the<br />

wideband systems spectrum is interfered with by the narrowband systems. Scaling up the<br />

narrowband contribution by 7.5dB provides an estimate of the narrowband interference that<br />

can be obtained in the full wideband channel.<br />

Initially, single wideband networks were deployed in the areas of interest with all the other<br />

areas keeping their existing narrowband systems and modelled to produce the results<br />

below.<br />

Results for isolated Wideband systems deployed in the areas of interest<br />

WIDEBAND BASE STATIONS Modelling areas Single Wide Band Systems<br />

No Continental<br />

Interference or<br />

Narrowband local<br />

UK interferers<br />

Wide band systems<br />

in isolation<br />

CEPT aligned<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

CEPT reversed<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

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Average Noise Level -97.1 -96.1 -100.68<br />

Number of Blockers 160 156.5 93.1<br />

Standard deviation<br />

of noise level<br />

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1.74 1.16 2.54<br />

Average Noise Level -84.1 -82.95 -87.98<br />

Number of Blockers 1781 470 202<br />

Standard deviation<br />

of noise level<br />

0.46 0.91 2.6<br />

Average Noise Level -84.03 -82.94 -87.97<br />

Number of Blockers 1099 470 202<br />

Standard deviation<br />

of noise level<br />

0.46 0.88 2.6<br />

These results show that UK narrowband stations under the current trading rules have a<br />

catastrophic effect on wideband systems. The effect of narrow band systems in the UK is<br />

to increase the noise levels in the wideband systems by 13 -14dB under the current trading<br />

abc


ules. The number of blocking transmitters also increases significantly (2 to 10 times)<br />

depending on the density of narrowband uses in the surrounding areas.<br />

The effects of continental interference are minimal though if the same levels are used for<br />

narrowband systems when considering base station into base station interference,<br />

however the interference would have more of a significant impact.<br />

The table below shows the results of modelling multiple wideband systems:<br />

WIDEBAND BASE STATIONS<br />

CEPT aligned<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

CEPT reversed<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

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Modelling areas multiple Wide Band Systems<br />

Thames Gateway &<br />

Birmingham<br />

Thames<br />

Gateway<br />

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Birmingham & Bradford<br />

Birmingham Birmingham Bradford<br />

Average Noise Level -87.4 -84.4 -83.7 -89.7<br />

Number of Blockers 1329 422 416 143<br />

Standard deviation<br />

of noise level<br />

2.62 0.59 1.19 2.62<br />

Average Noise Level -84,4 -84.4 -83.8 -89.8<br />

Number of Blockers 1045 432 411 143<br />

Standard deviation<br />

of noise level<br />

0.44 0.55 1.19 2.61<br />

The noise and the number of blockers into the wideband systems decrease as other<br />

wideband systems are deployed and the number of potential narrowband users decrease.<br />

The narrowband users seem to have a disproportionate effect. This is because the spectral<br />

density of the narrowband systems is much greater and as existing narrowband systems<br />

are replaced with wideband systems hence the number of narrowband systems causing<br />

blocking levels and high interference levels drop. The overall result is that the current<br />

trading rules do not allow for a mixture of wide and narrowband systems to be deployed.<br />

This can be seen further, when all three modelling areas have wideband systems as shown<br />

in the table below.<br />

abc


WIDEBAND BASE STATIONS<br />

No Continental<br />

Interference but all<br />

Wideband Systems<br />

modelled<br />

CEPT aligned<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

CEPT reversed<br />

Continental<br />

Interference<br />

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Average Noise<br />

Level<br />

Number of<br />

Blockers<br />

Standard deviation<br />

of noise level<br />

Average Noise<br />

Level<br />

Number of<br />

Blockers<br />

Standard deviation<br />

of noise level<br />

Average Noise<br />

Level<br />

Number of<br />

Blockers<br />

Standard deviation<br />

of noise level<br />

Modelling areas multiple Wide Band Systems<br />

Thames Gateway Birmingham Bradford<br />

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-90.97 -91.63 -95.90<br />

316.93 198.06 103.13<br />

0.53 0.76 2.24<br />

-84.4 -85.5 -90.0<br />

1054 368 143<br />

0.43 0.88 2.57<br />

-84.4 -85.5 -90.0<br />

1047 377 143<br />

0.44 0.82 2.58<br />

Comparing the rows without continental interference with the cases where there are<br />

continental interferers, shows for either aligned or reversed that as in the narrowband<br />

situation continental interference has significant effect in the Thames Gateway area. In<br />

addition, it also shows that if the wideband system were to be CEPT aligned there would<br />

be an improvement.<br />

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Appendix G: Spectrum Trading and Liberalisation Modelling<br />

G.1 Method<br />

All co-channel users within grid referenced 50km squares were removed. No users outside<br />

the 50km squares exceeded -116dBm (This is equivalent to 12dBuV/m assuming a 0dBd<br />

antenna) in a 12.5 KHz band at 1.5m agl for 50% time at the 50km square border.<br />

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Area of interest with 50 x 50km square trading areas<br />

The picture above shows the Thames Gateway modelling area with its associated 50km<br />

trading squares. The broadband system was modelled to cover only the selected Thames<br />

Gateway area (pink area). In addition the wide band systems were modelled to be within<br />

the 50km trading zone and meet the criteria at the trading zone border. As shown below.<br />

Wide band system deployed in the Bradford area-showing limit of interference to 12dBuV/m<br />

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Appendix H: Cost Benefit Analysis Assumptions<br />

H.1 Option 1: Full Band Alignment<br />

Key assumptions used for this option include:<br />

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Alignment takes place over 3 years. In year 4 the band is fully aligned;<br />

Benefits and costs staggered - (20% accrue in Year 1, 30% accrue in Year<br />

2, 50% accrue in Year 3, from Year 4 onwards, all costs have occurred and<br />

100% of benefits are achieved each year);<br />

Alignment does not occur until E&PSS has vacated the band;<br />

Assume a 2 step alignment with existing <strong>UHF2</strong> spectrum (probably the<br />

E&PSS) used for parking or parallel networks;<br />

There will be a spectrum yield of 2-3 MHz;<br />

Interference reduced from an average of 7dB across the impacted area –<br />

benefits lead to mixture of:<br />

Lower GSM costs of £5 per mobile (assume 30 mobiles per base<br />

station with 5000 base stations subject to interference);<br />

Allows for a 45% reduction in network size (taking 5 years to<br />

reconfigure network) (ie. The network coverage of each base station<br />

increases by 45 per cent allowing for a reconfiguration of the network<br />

over time and a reduction in the number of base stations needed for a<br />

given level of coverage). Assume 5000 base stations subject to<br />

interference;<br />

Costs based on PA Report – site engineering evenly distributed across<br />

segments;<br />

A 5% reduction in the average cost of handsets occurs as a result of full<br />

band alignment. The average cost of a handset is £65, the average number<br />

of handsets per base station is 30, and the total number of base stations in<br />

the UK is 14,790 (as per PA Consulting Report). For simplicity, we assume<br />

that the number of handsets does not change over the period of analysis.<br />

H.2 Option 2: Partial Band Alignment, with spectrum yield used for<br />

narrowband use<br />

Key assumptions used for this option include:<br />

Focus on 4 spectrum bands;<br />

Least impact on existing users, no impact on critical infrastructure;<br />

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Alignment does not occur until E&PSS has vacated the band;<br />

One step alignment due to spectrum available from E&PSS vacating band;<br />

No spectrum yield benefits;<br />

Reduction in interference leads to a mixture of reduced network size or the<br />

choice of the user to increase the size of the network and reduction in GSM<br />

and other narrowband equipment costs(as per Option 1);<br />

Costs based on PA Report – site engineering evenly distributed across<br />

segments.<br />

H.3 Option 3: Partial Band Alignment, with spectrum yield used for<br />

wideband use<br />

Key assumptions used for this option include:<br />

A targeted amount of spectrum (consistent with European CDMA-450) is<br />

aligned;<br />

A mixture of one-step and two-step alignment of spectrum;<br />

Some spectrum alignment involves moving some existing spectrum users<br />

permanently outside the band. We assume that this doubles the costs of<br />

alignment (based on findings of PA cost report). We assume that these<br />

users are provided with equivalent spectrum outside of the band at no extra<br />

cost to them – and that they are able to provide equivalent service to what<br />

they had provided in the 450-470 MHz band;<br />

Costs based on PA Report - Assume site engineering costs evenly<br />

distributed across segments;<br />

Reduction in interference leads to a mixture of reduced network size or the<br />

choice of the user to increase the size of the network and reduction in GSM<br />

and other wideband equipment costs(as per Option 1);<br />

Alignment results in a yield of 4.5 MHz paired spectrum, which is allocated<br />

to wideband use.<br />

H.4 Base Case – no intervention<br />

We assume the following if no action is taken to align the band:<br />

Spectrum trading does not lead to significant spectrum yield (existing<br />

allocations too complex for spectrum trading to make significant impact);<br />

Technology allows for interference to be managed at current levels;<br />

Any changes in continental interference can be managed without significant<br />

cost (more digital equipment allows for easier re-tuning using Over the Air<br />

retuning (OTAR technology) );<br />

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3G<br />

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Assume that continental neighbours do not introduce Wideband cellular at<br />

450MHz.<br />

Appendix I: Glossary<br />

ACI or Adjacent<br />

channel interference<br />

AIP<br />

Allocation<br />

Assignment<br />

CBA Cost Benefit Analysis<br />

Common Base<br />

Station (CBS)<br />

CDMA<br />

The third generation cellular phone system, currently being deployed, which<br />

offers higher data rates than previous systems allowing services such as<br />

videophones<br />

Interference occurring in the adjacent channel. Also, see Interference.<br />

Administered incentive pricing – setting charges for spectrum holdings to<br />

reflect the value of the spectrum in order to promote efficient use of the<br />

spectrum<br />

Used of a frequency band. Entry in the table of frequency allocations of a<br />

given frequency band for the purpose of its use by one or more terrestrial or<br />

space radio communications services or the radio astronomy service under<br />

specified conditions. This term is also applied to the frequency band<br />

concerned.<br />

Used of a radio frequency or radio frequency channel. Authorisation given by<br />

an administration for a radio station to use a radio frequency or radio<br />

frequency channel under specified conditions.<br />

A base station for PBR shared by users (also known as a community<br />

repeater) or a PBR installation giving wide area coverage under the control<br />

of one or more operators offering mobile communications on a commercial<br />

basis to a number of independent (usually business) users.<br />

Code Division Multiple Access: A radio transmission method where individual<br />

traffic transmissions use the same frequency, but where users’ traffic is<br />

separated by means of different codes.<br />

CEPT European Conference of Post and Telecommunications Administrations<br />

CTCSS Continuous Tone Code Squelch System<br />

DECT Digital Enhanced Cordless Telephone<br />

DMB Digital Multimedia Broadcasting<br />

DMR Digital Mobile Radio – a new PMR standard from ETSI<br />

Duplex Split<br />

Where sensitive receivers are separated from potentially hostile transmitters<br />

by a significant amount of spectrum<br />

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DVB-H Digital Video Broadcasting - Handheld<br />

E&PSS Emergency and Public Safety Spectrum<br />

ECC European Communications Committee<br />

EFIS European Frequency Information System<br />

EIRP Effective Isotropically-Radiated Power<br />

ETSI<br />

EU European Union<br />

FDD<br />

GHz<br />

GSM<br />

Guard Band<br />

Harmful interference<br />

IMT 2000<br />

Interference<br />

ISM<br />

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European Telecommunications Standards Institute: a European based<br />

industry group that addresses equipment standards for telecommunications<br />

equipment.<br />

Frequency Division Duplex: A transmission method where the<br />

downlink/downstream path and the uplink/upstream path are separated by<br />

frequency.<br />

Gigahertz: a unit of frequency equal to 1000 million (1 x 109) Hz or cycles<br />

per second.<br />

Global System for Mobile communications: a 2G mobile phone technology.<br />

This is the technology behind the vast majority of 2G mobile phones used<br />

across Europe and is used by approximately 80% of 2G operators<br />

worldwide. Also sometimes referred to under its original meaning of “Groupe<br />

Spécial Mobile".<br />

Frequency range deliberately kept vacant between assignments to give a<br />

level of protection to users on either side from interference from each other.<br />

Interference with any wireless telegraphy is not to be regarded as undue for<br />

the purposes of this Act unless it is also harmful – WT Act<br />

International Mobile Telephony 2000: a family of global standards for mobile<br />

phone networks proposed by the ITU Also referred to as 3G.<br />

The effect of unwanted signals upon the reception of a wanted signal in a<br />

radio system, resulting in degradation of performance, misinterpretation or<br />

loss of information compared with that which would have been received in<br />

the absence of the unwanted signal.<br />

Industrial Scientific and Medical spectrum band, usually referring to the<br />

2.4GHz band with WiFi being one of the well known services<br />

ITU International Telecommunications Union<br />

KHz Kilohertz (frequency of one thousand Hertz)<br />

MHz Megahertz (frequency of one million Hertz)<br />

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Paired Spectrum<br />

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Used by FDD systems where two frequency bands are used together, one<br />

for transmission in the forward or downlink direction (e.g. base station to<br />

handset) and another for transmission in the reverse or uplink direction<br />

(e.g.handset to base station).<br />

PBR Private Business Radio<br />

PMR Private or Professional Mobile Radio<br />

PMSE<br />

Programme Making and Special Events – a class of radio application that<br />

supports a wide range of activities in entertainment, broadcasting, news<br />

gathering and community events<br />

PPDR Public Protection and Disaster Relief<br />

PSSPG Public Safety Spectrum Policy Group<br />

RA Radiocommunications Agency<br />

Scanning Telemetry<br />

Spectrum<br />

Framework Review<br />

(SFR)<br />

Spectrum<br />

liberalisation<br />

Spectrum Mask<br />

Spectrum trading<br />

Radio Frequencies that are licensed to the water, electricity and gas<br />

companies for the purposes of data collection and telecommand.<br />

<strong>Ofcom</strong> consultation on how spectrum will be managed in the future published<br />

in November 2004.<br />

Removal of restrictions from WT licences and RSA to allow holders greater<br />

flexibility to change how they use spectrum<br />

A way of specifying the amount of power that a transmitter is allowed to<br />

transmit into neighbouring frequency channels.<br />

Ability of spectrum users to transfer rights and obligations under WT licences<br />

to another person in accordance with regulations made by <strong>Ofcom</strong>. Trades<br />

may be total, partial, outright or concurrent<br />

SUR Spectrum Usage Rights<br />

TDD<br />

TETRA<br />

TFAC<br />

Time Division Duplex: A transmission method where the<br />

downlink/downstream path and the uplink/upstream path are separated by<br />

time.<br />

Terrestrial enhanced Trunked Radio Access: An ETSI standard for digital<br />

mobile radio utilised by fleets of vehicles such as emergency services,<br />

courier companies etc.<br />

Technical Frequency Assignment Criteria – a document produced by <strong>Ofcom</strong><br />

detailing how the licensees are assigned on a technical basis<br />

UHF Ultra High Frequency (300 MHz – 3 GHz)<br />

UHF I UHF frequency band from 410 – 450 MHz.<br />

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UHF II UHF frequency band from 450 – 470 MHz.<br />

UKSSC<br />

Unpaired Spectrum<br />

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Cabinet Office committee that discusses matters relating to the use of the<br />

radio spectrum, including by government departments and other public<br />

sector bodies<br />

Used by TDD systems where only one frequency band is used for<br />

transmitting in both the forward or downlink direction (e.g. basestation to<br />

handset) and the reverse or uplink direction (e.g. handset to basestation).<br />

WAPECS Wireless Access Platforms for Electronic Communications Services<br />

WRC World Radio Conference<br />

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www.mottmac.com<br />

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