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BY ORDER OF THE AIR FORCE PAMPHLET 91-215 SECRETARY ...

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8.2. Identified Risk is risk that has been determined through various analysis tools. The first task in the<br />

risk assessment process is to make identified risk as large a piece of the overall pie as practical. The time<br />

and costs of analysis efforts, the quality of the risk management program, and the state of technology<br />

impact the amount of risk identified.<br />

8.3. Acceptable Risk is the part of Identified Risk that is allowed to persist without further controls. It is<br />

accepted by the appropriate decision maker because further efforts at risk control would cause greater<br />

offsetting degradation in other aspects of the mission.<br />

8.4. Unacceptable Risk is the risk that cannot be tolerated. It is a subset of Identified Risk that is either<br />

eliminated or controlled.<br />

8.5. Unidentified Risk is the risk that hasn’t yet been determined. It’s real. It’s important. But it’s not<br />

known or measurable. Some risks are never known.<br />

8.6. Residual Risk is the risk that remains after risk management efforts have been employed. It is often<br />

erroneously thought of as being Acceptable Risk. Actually, Residual Risk is the sum of Acceptable Risk<br />

and Unidentified Risk. Mishap investigations may uncover some previously unknown risks.<br />

Figure 3. Types of Risk.<br />

Unacceptable/Eliminate<br />

Unacceptable/Control<br />

Residual<br />

9<br />

Acceptable<br />

Total Risk Residual Risk<br />

Unidentified<br />

9. Benefits. Risk management is a logical process of weighing potential costs of risks versus anticipated<br />

benefits. Benefits are not limited to reduced mishap rates or decreased injuries, but may be actual increases<br />

in efficiency or mission effectiveness. Examples of potential benefits include:<br />

9.1. Audacity through prudent risk taking. Bold and even risky actions may be undertaken when the<br />

benefits have been carefully weighed against the probability and severity of loss.<br />

9.2. Improved ability to protect the force with minimal losses. Analysis of current practices may reduce<br />

risks we currently accept.

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