BY ORDER OF THE AIR FORCE PAMPHLET 91-215 SECRETARY ...

A2.B.16.6. RESOURCES. The opportunity assessment depends on a detailed understanding of mission
processes so that barriers can be identified. An effective opportunity assessment will necessarily involve the
input of operations experts.
A2.B.16.7. COMMENTS. Properly implemented, at least half the value of ORM should be realized in the
form of expanded mission capabilities. The opportunity assessment is a process by which that benefit is
achieved.
A2.B.16.8. EXAMPLES. An example of the opportunity assessment in action is provided at Figure
A2.35.
Figure A2.35. Example Opportunity Analysis.
Target: Crew endurance
Objective: Extend crew endurance by 15% as a contingency capability. Current
capabilities are restricted by the progressively increasing risk of human error as operations
are extended.
Potential operational benefit. A surge capability of 15% over and above that currently
recognized could represent a decisive capability when confronted with a critical
operational need.
Risk issues to be targeted:
1. Benchmark all available research and operational sources for background
on the fatigue issue.
2. Determine the differential endurance capabilities of individual personnel
and effective ways to measure this differential in a combat environment.
3. Assess the full potential of medicinal options (particularly recent
developments) for performance enhancement.
4. Evaluate the increased use of automated flight to reduce pilot fatigue and
evaluate fully the impact of progress made to date.
5. Enhance the quality of rest opportunities for crews through application of
technology.
6. Exploit research on the impact of fatigue and the critical risk issues it creates.
7. Establish fatigue-connected risk assessments for major operational activities
and use these as guides for use on specific operations. For example, use time
multipliers for high task activities or missions.
8. Refine understanding of the types of fatigue (e.g. physical, mental, jet lag,
etc.) and the varying risk implications of each.
9. Develop easy-to-use job aids, tools, and model programs to guide field
personnel in the full scope of fatigue management issues.
10. Develop programmatic matrices that effectively assess in an ongoing way
the impact of all fatigue management initiatives.
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