JP 3-50 National Search and Rescue Manual Vol I - US Navy

JP 3-50 National Search and Rescue Manual Vol I - US Navy JP 3-50 National Search and Rescue Manual Vol I - US Navy

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C. Computer-Aided Search Planning (CASP) is a computer program available at Coast Guard RCCs. It can be used in most search planning and is most useful in cases too complex for the manual method. Maritime cases with more than 24 hours of target drift and cases, inland or maritime, with two or more successive searches can benefit significantly from CASP. 1. Advantages offered by CASP are that the program: a. Accepts more available case data than is possible in a manual solution. The SMC can evaluate many possible scenarios with a range of incident times, positions, targets, situations, and environmental factors. The manual method averages data to estimate target location. b. Uses computer simulation to graphically depict the range of possible target locations, and areas most likely to contain the target. When more than one search is needed, CASP can use previous search results in estimating the probable target location for the next search. c. Calculates the Probability of Success (POS), a measure of search effectiveness, for each search and for cumulative searches. POS is the probability the search object is in the search area and that it will be located. It is always less than or equal to Probability of Detection (POD), discussed later in this chapter, and is often significantly lower than POD, particularly in complex cases involving several days of searching. Used primarily in computer search planning, POS is seldom calculated in a manual solution. CASP uses POS with SRU information to determine optimal allocation of search effort, enabling the SMC to decide where to deploy SRUs for maximum effectiveness. 2. For drift calculations CASP uses average historical and forecast environmental data or on scene data. Actual on scene data should always be used when available, because relatively minor differences in information can greatly affect predicted datum. Even well-established currents can vary in location, direction, and intensity, and weather forecasts are sometimes inaccurate. OSCs should report observed drift and wind data to the SMC to update CASP inputs. 3. To improve CASP reliability and accuracy, successful and unsuccessful SAR missions are compared with CASP predictions. Copies of SITREPs, planning worksheets, and other information potentially useful in validating CASP should be sent to: Commandant (G-NRS) U.S. Coast Guard 2100 2nd Street, S.W. Washington, DC 20593-0001

D. Other SAR planning models, such as the Navy's NAVSAR package, are available for determining search area and resource allocation. Before use is made of such tools, their limitations and proper application should be determined. 510 DATUM The most probable location of the search object, corrected for movement over time, is known as datum. Determining datum begins with the reported position of the incident. Unless a distressed craft or individual is immobilized, as in a boat grounding or debilitating physical injury, the actual position of target during the search may be substantially different from the initial position. Therefore, possible movement of the search object should be counted for when calculating datum. Datum should be recomputed periodically as drift forces continue to affect the position of the target. Recomputed datums are usually labeled sequentially (e.g., Datum1, Datum2, Datum3), with time of calculation noted. 511 Initial Position The location where the distress occurred is called the initial position. To compute datum, the time and location of the search object's last reliable position are first considered. This will determine the type of datum to be computed. One of three situations usually exists, based on the initial information obtained: A. Position Known. The incident is witnessed or reported by radar net, DF net, another craft, or the distressed craft itself, or position is computed from a previously reliable position. If the position of the incident is known, drift is determined and datum computed. B. Track Known. The intended track is known but the position along the track is unknown, or a single line of position, such as a DF bearing, is obtained. If only the proposed track is known, a datum line, a known proposed track corrected for drift, can be 5-2

C. Computer-Aided <strong>Search</strong> Planning (CASP) is a computer program<br />

available at Coast Guard RCCs. It can be used in most search planning<br />

<strong>and</strong> is most useful in cases too complex for the manual method. Maritime<br />

cases with more than 24 hours of target drift <strong>and</strong> cases, inl<strong>and</strong> or<br />

maritime, with two or more successive searches can benefit significantly<br />

from CASP.<br />

1. Advantages offered by CASP are that the program:<br />

a. Accepts more available case data than is possible in<br />

a manual solution. The SMC can evaluate many possible<br />

scenarios with a range of incident times, positions, targets,<br />

situations, <strong>and</strong> environmental factors. The manual method<br />

averages data to estimate target location.<br />

b. Uses computer simulation to graphically depict the<br />

range of possible target locations, <strong>and</strong> areas most likely to<br />

contain the target. When more than one search is needed, CASP<br />

can use previous search results in estimating the probable<br />

target location for the next search.<br />

c. Calculates the Probability of Success (POS), a<br />

measure of search effectiveness, for each search <strong>and</strong> for<br />

cumulative searches. POS is the probability the search object<br />

is in the search area <strong>and</strong> that it will be located. It is<br />

always less than or equal to Probability of Detection (POD),<br />

discussed later in this chapter, <strong>and</strong> is often significantly<br />

lower than POD, particularly in complex cases involving<br />

several days of searching. Used primarily in computer search<br />

planning, POS is seldom calculated in a manual solution. CASP<br />

uses POS with SRU information to determine optimal allocation<br />

of search effort, enabling the SMC to decide where to deploy<br />

SRUs for maximum effectiveness.<br />

2. For drift calculations CASP uses average historical <strong>and</strong><br />

forecast environmental data or on scene data. Actual on scene<br />

data should always be used when available, because relatively<br />

minor differences in information can greatly affect predicted<br />

datum. Even well-established currents can vary in location,<br />

direction, <strong>and</strong> intensity, <strong>and</strong> weather forecasts are sometimes<br />

inaccurate. OSCs should report observed drift <strong>and</strong> wind data<br />

to the SMC to update CASP inputs.<br />

3. To improve CASP reliability <strong>and</strong> accuracy, successful <strong>and</strong><br />

unsuccessful SAR missions are compared with CASP predictions.<br />

Copies of SITREPs, planning worksheets, <strong>and</strong> other information<br />

potentially useful in validating CASP should be sent to:<br />

Comm<strong>and</strong>ant (G-NRS)<br />

U.S. Coast Guard<br />

2100 2nd Street, S.W.<br />

Washington, DC 20593-0001

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