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<strong>Search</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Dark</strong> <strong>Matter</strong> <strong>Captured</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sun</strong> <strong>with</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> IceCube Neutr<strong>in</strong>o Observatory<br />

Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> IceCube Collaboration<br />

The Oscar Kle<strong>in</strong> Centre <strong>for</strong> Cosmoparticle Physics, Stockholm University<br />

9th International Conference "Identification of <strong>Dark</strong> <strong>Matter</strong>, 2012"<br />

Chicago, USA on July 23-27, 2012


Results from a search<br />

<strong>Search</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Dark</strong> <strong>Matter</strong> <strong>Captured</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sun</strong> <strong>with</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> IceCube Neutr<strong>in</strong>o Observatory<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> 79-str<strong>in</strong>g configuration<br />

Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> IceCube Collaboration<br />

The Oscar Kle<strong>in</strong> Centre <strong>for</strong> Cosmoparticle Physics, Stockholm University<br />

9th International Conference "Identification of <strong>Dark</strong> <strong>Matter</strong>, 2012"<br />

Chicago, USA on July 23-27, 2012


Solar <strong>Dark</strong> <strong>Matter</strong> <strong>Search</strong> <strong>with</strong> IceCube<br />

All processes depend on WIMP mass<br />

Annihilation channel (branch<strong>in</strong>g ratios)<br />

Annihilation cross-section<br />

Capture (scatter<strong>in</strong>g)<br />

→ Scatter<strong>in</strong>g cross-sections (SI & SD)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

Proposed by:<br />

Silk, Olive & Srednicki '85<br />

Gaisser, Steigman & Tilav '86<br />

Freese '86<br />

Krauss, Srednicki & Wilzcek '86<br />

1


Solar <strong>Dark</strong> <strong>Matter</strong> <strong>Search</strong> <strong>with</strong> IceCube<br />

All processes depend on WIMP mass<br />

Annihilation channel (branch<strong>in</strong>g ratios)<br />

Annihilation cross-section<br />

Capture (scatter<strong>in</strong>g)<br />

→ Scatter<strong>in</strong>g cross-sections (SI & SD)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

1


Solar <strong>Dark</strong> <strong>Matter</strong> <strong>Search</strong> <strong>with</strong> IceCube<br />

All processes depend on WIMP mass<br />

Annihilation channel (branch<strong>in</strong>g ratios)<br />

Annihilation cross-section<br />

Capture (scatter<strong>in</strong>g)<br />

→ Scatter<strong>in</strong>g cross-sections (SI & SD)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

ma<strong>in</strong> analysis backgrounds:<br />

atm. ν∼Ο (10³ trigger<strong>in</strong>g events/day)<br />

1


Solar <strong>Dark</strong> <strong>Matter</strong> <strong>Search</strong> <strong>with</strong> IceCube<br />

All processes depend on WIMP mass<br />

Annihilation channel (branch<strong>in</strong>g ratios)<br />

Annihilation cross-section<br />

Capture (scatter<strong>in</strong>g)<br />

→ Scatter<strong>in</strong>g cross-sections (SI & SD)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

ma<strong>in</strong> analysis backgrounds:<br />

atm. ν∼Ο (10³ trigger<strong>in</strong>g events/day)<br />

atm. μ∼Ο (10⁸ trigger<strong>in</strong>g events/day)<br />

1


Solar <strong>Dark</strong> <strong>Matter</strong> <strong>Search</strong> <strong>with</strong> IceCube<br />

All processes depend on WIMP mass<br />

Annihilation channel (branch<strong>in</strong>g ratios)<br />

Annihilation cross-section<br />

Capture (scatter<strong>in</strong>g)<br />

→ Scatter<strong>in</strong>g cross-sections (SI & SD)<br />

Strik<strong>in</strong>g signature:<br />

High-E ν excess<br />

over background<br />

from <strong>Sun</strong> direction<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

ma<strong>in</strong> analysis backgrounds:<br />

atm. ν∼Ο (10³ trigger<strong>in</strong>g events/day)<br />

atm. μ∼Ο (10⁸ trigger<strong>in</strong>g events/day)<br />

1


Solar <strong>Dark</strong> <strong>Matter</strong> <strong>Search</strong> <strong>with</strong> IceCube<br />

All processes depend on WIMP mass<br />

Annihilation channel (branch<strong>in</strong>g ratios)<br />

Annihilation cross-section<br />

Capture (scatter<strong>in</strong>g)<br />

→ Scatter<strong>in</strong>g cross-sections (SI & SD)<br />

± 23˚<br />

Strik<strong>in</strong>g signature:<br />

High-E ν excess<br />

over background<br />

from <strong>Sun</strong> direction<br />

*Bl<strong>in</strong>d analysis <strong>with</strong> respect to true <strong>Sun</strong> azimuth<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

ma<strong>in</strong> analysis backgrounds:<br />

atm. ν∼Ο (10³ trigger<strong>in</strong>g events/day)<br />

atm. μ∼Ο (10⁸ trigger<strong>in</strong>g events/day)<br />

1


IceCube 86-str<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

✗ 1.5 km ‐ 2.5 km deep<br />

✗ typically 125 m spac<strong>in</strong>g between str<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

IceCube detector<br />

(~70 m <strong>in</strong> DeepCore,10x higher DOM density)<br />

✗ 60 Modules per str<strong>in</strong>g<br />

✗ 1 km ‐‐ 1 Gton <strong>in</strong>strumented volume<br />

✗ O(km) muon tracks from νμ CC<br />

✗ O(10m) cascades from νe CC,<br />

low energy ντ CC, and νx NC<br />

✗ Cherenkov radiation detected by<br />

3D array of optical sensors (DOMs)<br />

*More details <strong>in</strong> plenary talk by C. Rott<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

ν<br />

μ<br />

DeepCore<br />

8 add. densely<br />

<strong>in</strong>strumented str<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

2


IceCube-79 str<strong>in</strong>g analysis details<br />

● Analysis <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> whole year! Used 317 days livetime<br />

ν<br />

(151 days austral w<strong>in</strong>ter & 166 days austral summer)<br />

● more than 60 billion recorded events<br />

● Up-go<strong>in</strong>g<br />

IceCube<br />

DC<br />

1<br />

● No conta<strong>in</strong>ment<br />

μ<br />

● Up-go<strong>in</strong>g<br />

IceCube<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

ν<br />

DC<br />

2<br />

● strong conta<strong>in</strong>ment<br />

μ<br />

*new*<br />

● At f<strong>in</strong>al level ~25000 signal-like events selected <strong>in</strong> 3 <strong>in</strong>dependent samples<br />

● With DeepCore, analysis reaches neutr<strong>in</strong>o energies as low as 10-20GeV<br />

ν<br />

● Down-go<strong>in</strong>g<br />

IceCube<br />

DC<br />

μ<br />

3<br />

*new*<br />

● strong conta<strong>in</strong>ment<br />

3


IceCube-79 str<strong>in</strong>g analysis details<br />

Dedicated onl<strong>in</strong>e filters<br />

target<strong>in</strong>g:<br />

● muon events<br />

● Low energy muon<br />

events (IceCube)<br />

● DeepCore events<br />

● DeepCore events<br />

(summer)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

● By compar<strong>in</strong>g signal simulation & data, cuts are<br />

placed that reduces <strong>the</strong> content of atmospheric<br />

muon events<br />

● Early analysis cuts:<br />

dedicated onl<strong>in</strong>e-filter → offl<strong>in</strong>e high-level<br />

reconstructions → first modest cuts<br />

(track quality/direction + conta<strong>in</strong>ment)<br />

Summer<br />

4


IceCube-79 str<strong>in</strong>g analysis details<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

● By compar<strong>in</strong>g signal simulation & data, cuts are<br />

placed that reduces <strong>the</strong> content of atmospheric<br />

muon events<br />

● Early analysis cuts:<br />

dedicated onl<strong>in</strong>e-filter → offl<strong>in</strong>e high-level<br />

reconstructions → first modest cuts<br />

(track quality/direction + conta<strong>in</strong>ment)<br />

● Signal event topology very different <strong>for</strong><br />

low & high WIMP mass<br />

→ f<strong>in</strong>d geometrical cut to split dataset<br />

<strong>in</strong>to 2 non-overlap<strong>in</strong>g datasets<br />

5


Multivariate analysis step (BDT variable)<br />

event selection 1 (w<strong>in</strong>ter, high energy) event selection 3 (summer, low energy)<br />

data<br />

atm. ν atm. μ<br />

signal (scaled)<br />

“ mis” -reconstructed atm. μ background “ well” -reconstructed atm. μ background<br />

→ 1 separate BDT <strong>for</strong> each event selection<br />

→ tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g on off-source exp. data + separate signal simulation<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

6


atm. ν<br />

atm. μ<br />

Multivariate analysis step (f<strong>in</strong>al cut applied)<br />

event selection 1 (w<strong>in</strong>ter, high energy) event selection 3 (summer, low energy)<br />

Total Bg<br />

data<br />

→ 1 separate BDT <strong>for</strong> each event selection<br />

→ tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g on off-source exp. data + separate signal simulation<br />

→ Optimized f<strong>in</strong>al cut on BDT-output: run llh-analysis <strong>for</strong> various BDT cuts, to<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>e cut value <strong>with</strong> best sensitivity (MRF & MDP)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

7


Reconstructed zenith (f<strong>in</strong>al analysis level)<br />

event selection 1 (w<strong>in</strong>ter, high energy) event selection 3 (summer, low energy)<br />

atm. ν<br />

atm. μ<br />

Total Bg<br />

data<br />

→ 1 separate BDT <strong>for</strong> each event selection<br />

→ tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g on off-source exp. data + separate signal simulation<br />

→ Optimized f<strong>in</strong>al cut on BDT-output: run llh-analysis <strong>for</strong> various BDT cuts, to<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>e cut value <strong>with</strong> best sensitivity (MRF & MDP)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

8


The observed angle to <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>Sun</strong> is fitted <strong>with</strong> signal and<br />

background pdf:s<br />

Maximum llh-analysis<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

background expectation from data<br />

signal simulation (e.g. 1000 GeV)<br />

Angle between event track and direction<br />

from <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sun</strong><br />

10


The observed angle to <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>Sun</strong> is fitted <strong>with</strong> signal and<br />

background pdf:s<br />

Maximum llh-analysis<br />

How many signal events can be<br />

consistent <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong> observation?<br />

Evaluate shape fit <strong>with</strong> log−<br />

likelihood rank (Feldman-Cous<strong>in</strong>s)<br />

to construct confidence regions<br />

<strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> number of signal events μs<br />

where L is <strong>the</strong> pdf product over <strong>the</strong><br />

f<strong>in</strong>al sample<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

background expectation from data<br />

Angle between event track and direction<br />

from <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sun</strong><br />

observation<br />

signal simulation (e.g. 1000 GeV)<br />

10


The observed angle to <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>Sun</strong> is fitted <strong>with</strong> signal and<br />

background pdf:s<br />

Maximum llh-analysis<br />

How many signal events can be<br />

consistent <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong> observation?<br />

Evaluate shape fit <strong>with</strong> log−<br />

likelihood rank (Feldman-Cous<strong>in</strong>s)<br />

to construct confidence regions<br />

<strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> number of signal events μs<br />

where L is <strong>the</strong> pdf product over <strong>the</strong><br />

f<strong>in</strong>al sample<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

background expectation from data<br />

Angle between event track and direction<br />

from <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sun</strong><br />

observation<br />

signal simulation (e.g. 1000 GeV)<br />

Scale to multiple datasets<br />

10


Unbl<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g results (expected sensitivity)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

11


Unbl<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g results (events observed)<br />

event selection 1 (w<strong>in</strong>ter, high energy) event selection 2 (w<strong>in</strong>ter, low energy)<br />

event selection 3 (summer, low energy)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

observed events<br />

background expectation<br />

Upper limit on number of<br />

signal events (example)<br />

12


Unbl<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g results (observed results)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

13


Systematic uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties<br />

Prelim<strong>in</strong>ary evaluation of systematic uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties<br />

Source of uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty Estimated effect<br />

Neutr<strong>in</strong>o oscillations pend<strong>in</strong>g<br />

DOM sensetivity spread*<br />

pend<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Interaction cross-section 3.6 – 7.1 %<br />

Muon propagation <strong>in</strong> ice < 1 %<br />

Ice model*<br />

Absolute DOM efficiency*<br />

1 – 20 %<br />

14 – 51 %<br />

time/position callibration < 3 – 5 %<br />

Statistical error on signal < 2 %<br />

* Full analysis per<strong>for</strong>med <strong>with</strong> an alternative signal simulation,<br />

<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g maximum llh-analysis (change <strong>in</strong> acceptance + PSF)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

14


Unbl<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g results (muon flux limit)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

15


Unbl<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g results (SI-cross-section limit)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

16


Unbl<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g results (SD-cross-section limit)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

17


Summary<br />

✗ New results from 79-str<strong>in</strong>g data (~1y livetime)<br />

✗ First <strong>Dark</strong> <strong>Matter</strong> analysis <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g DeepCore<br />

✗ First full year-round IceCube solar <strong>Dark</strong> <strong>Matter</strong> search<br />

✗ No excess of events from <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sun</strong> over expected backgrounds<br />

✗ New very competitive SD-cross-section limits<br />

→ most str<strong>in</strong>gent limits <strong>in</strong> large parts of WIMP mass range<br />

→ new LKP limits <strong>with</strong> same search (not discussed <strong>in</strong> talk)<br />

✗ The near future ..........<br />

IceCube already took data <strong>for</strong> more than 1 year <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> full<br />

86-str<strong>in</strong>g configuration<br />

→ 2 more DeepCore str<strong>in</strong>gs (even lower energy threshold)<br />

→ many many years of data to come....<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

18


Additional slides<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012


Multivariate analysis step (BDT variable)<br />

event selection 2 (w<strong>in</strong>ter, low energy)<br />

data<br />

atm. ν<br />

atm. μ<br />

signal<br />

→ 1 separate BDT <strong>for</strong> each event selection<br />

→ tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g on off-source exp. data + separate signal simulation<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

6


Reconstructed zenith & BDT output<br />

(f<strong>in</strong>al analysis level)<br />

event selection 2 (w<strong>in</strong>ter, low energy) event selection 2 (w<strong>in</strong>ter, low energy)<br />

Total Bg<br />

data<br />

atm. ν<br />

atm. μ<br />

→ 1 separate BDT <strong>for</strong> each event selection<br />

→ tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g on off-source exp. data + separate signal simulation<br />

→ Optimized f<strong>in</strong>al cut on BDT-output: run llh-analysis <strong>for</strong> various BDT cuts, to<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>e cut value <strong>with</strong> best sensitivity (MRF & MDP)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

8


Analysis: f<strong>in</strong>al cut on BDT-output<br />

1000 GeV hard<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

Optimized f<strong>in</strong>al cut on BDT-output:<br />

run full llh-analysis <strong>for</strong> various BDT cuts, to<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> cut value <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong> best sensitivity:<br />

● each dataset <strong>in</strong>dividually<br />

● calculate MRF<br />

● calculate MDP (Punzi)<br />

● check <strong>for</strong> many mass/channel comb<strong>in</strong>ations<br />

Want to f<strong>in</strong>d 1 s<strong>in</strong>gle cut per dataset<br />

→ (robustness ra<strong>the</strong>r than f<strong>in</strong>e-tun<strong>in</strong>g)<br />

Still very<br />

efficient


Sensitivity extends to<br />

WIMP masses of 20 GeV<br />

Only 1 year of data<br />

Data unbl<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g soon!<br />

also search <strong>for</strong> UED<br />

models (not shown here)<br />

IceCube 79 str<strong>in</strong>g sensitivity<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

prelim<strong>in</strong>ary


New model <strong>in</strong>dependent method <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>ories of new physics<br />

(Solar <strong>Dark</strong> <strong>Matter</strong> searches)<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012


New SUSY analysis <strong>with</strong> IceCube<br />

What can <strong>the</strong> muon signal tell me?<br />

Roughly:<br />

✗ Number – how much annihilation is go<strong>in</strong>g on <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sun</strong><br />

⇒ <strong>in</strong>fo on σSD , σSI and <br />

✗ Spectrum – sensitive to WIMP mass mχ and branch<strong>in</strong>g<br />

fractions BF <strong>in</strong>to different annihilation channels χ<br />

✗ Direction – how likely it is that <strong>the</strong>y come from <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sun</strong><br />

In model-<strong>in</strong>dependent analyses a lot of this <strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>mation is ei<strong>the</strong>r discarded or not<br />

given <strong>with</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al limits<br />

Goal:<br />

Use as much of this <strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>mation on σSD , σSI , , mχ and BF (χ ) as possible to<br />

directly constra<strong>in</strong> specific po<strong>in</strong>ts and regions <strong>in</strong> WIMP model parameter spaces<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012<br />

More details: P.Scott, C.Savage, J. Edsjö<br />

& <strong>the</strong> IceCube Collaboration, arXiv:1207.0810


Include IceCube event level data <strong>in</strong> a global statistical fit.<br />

→ parameter estimation ra<strong>the</strong>r than model exclusion<br />

Composite likelihood made up of observations from all over:<br />

<strong>Dark</strong> matter relic density from WMAP<br />

Precision electroweak tests at LEP & LEP limits on sparticle masses<br />

B-factory data (rare decays, b → sγ)<br />

Muon anomalous magnetic moment<br />

LHC searches, direct detection (not yet <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> examples)<br />

+ IceCube<br />

Global SUSY analysis <strong>with</strong> IceCube<br />

More details: P.Scott, C.Savage, J. Edsjö & <strong>the</strong> IceCube Collaboration, arXiv:1207.0810<br />

unb<strong>in</strong>ned likelihood<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012


Global SUSY analysis <strong>with</strong> IceCube<br />

More details: P.Scott, C.Savage, J. Edsjö & <strong>the</strong> IceCube Collaboration, arXiv:1207.0810<br />

CMSSM, IceCube-22<br />

✗ Contours <strong>in</strong>dicate 1σ and 2σ credible regions<br />

✗ Grey contours correspond to fit <strong>with</strong>out IceCube data<br />

✗ Shad<strong>in</strong>g+contours <strong>in</strong>dicate relative probability only, not overall goodness of fit<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012


Global SUSY analysis <strong>with</strong> IceCube<br />

More details: P.Scott, C.Savage, J. Edsjö & <strong>the</strong> IceCube Collaboration, arXiv:1207.0810<br />

CMSSM, IceCube-22 <strong>with</strong> 100x boosted effective area<br />

(<strong>in</strong>dication <strong>for</strong> IceCube-79 and 86-str<strong>in</strong>g prospects)<br />

✗ Contours <strong>in</strong>dicate 1σ and 2σ credible regions<br />

✗ Grey contours correspond to fit <strong>with</strong>out IceCube data<br />

✗ Shad<strong>in</strong>g+contours <strong>in</strong>dicate relative probability only, not overall goodness of fit<br />

23/07/12 Matthias Dann<strong>in</strong>ger IDM 2012

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