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World Development Report 1984

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of rapid and painful adjustment for some-has account deficit. Nevertheless, in 1982 oil-importing<br />

continued since then (see Box 2.5). developing countries did manage to borrow more<br />

than they were paying their creditors in capital and<br />

The pressures of international debt interest, notwithstanding the capital flight occurring<br />

in some of them. In 1983, however, the flow<br />

From the beginning of the 1980-83 recession, oil- was reversed, at least with respect to commercial<br />

importing developing countries as a group were finance.<br />

forced to start curbing the volume of their imports. For oil exporters the experience in the early part<br />

Nevertheless, their combined current account defi- of the recession was markedly different from that<br />

cits did grow-from $29 billion in 1978 to $70 bil- of oil-importing developing countries, although<br />

lion in 1980 and $82 billion at their peak in 1981 the denouement turned out to be similar. In 1980<br />

(see Table 2.10). One reason for these increases oil exporters ran current account surpluses and<br />

was the rapid rise in interest payments. In 1982, increased the volume of their imports. The higher<br />

for example, interest due from all developing oil prices were not sustained, however, and the<br />

countries, including that on short-term debt, was volume of their oil exports fell. In 1981 they, too,<br />

$66 billion-more than half of their total current slipped into deficit-of $26 billion followed by $32<br />

TABLE 2.10<br />

Current account balance and its financing, 1970-83<br />

(billionis of current dollars)<br />

Countrygroupanditem 1970 1980 1981 1982 1983'<br />

Developing cou ntries<br />

Net exports of goods and nonfactor services -9.8 -55.2 -80.5 -57.1 -10.9<br />

Net factor income -3.6 -16.4 - 30.0 -43.2 -48.3<br />

Interest payments on medium- and<br />

long-term loans -2.7 -32.7 -41.2 -48.4 -49.0<br />

Current account (excludes official transfers)' -12.7 -69.6 -107.8 -97.6 -56.2<br />

Financing<br />

Official transfers 2.4 11.6 11.7 10.8 11.1<br />

Medium- and long-term loans<br />

Official 3.7 21.5 21.2 21.4 17.6<br />

Private 4.6 35.7 49.6 33.5 39.9<br />

Oii importers<br />

Net exports of goods and nonfactor services -8.9 -69.3 -70.5 -46.9 -26.0<br />

Net factor income -1.5 -4.3 -14.4 -21.8 -23.0<br />

Interest payments on medium- and<br />

long-term loans -2.0 -21.3 -26.7 -31.7 -32.3<br />

Current account (excludes official transfers) -9.8 -70.3 -81.8 -65.6 -46.1<br />

Financing<br />

Official transfers 1.8 9.6 9.4 9.0 8.9<br />

Medium- and long-term loans<br />

Official 2.9 16.9 16.5 15.9 13.9<br />

Private 3.7 24.6 30.8 22.0 11.1<br />

0i2 exporters<br />

Net exports of goods and nonfactor services -0.9 14.2 -10.0 -10.1 15.1<br />

Net factor income -2.1 -12.1 -15.6 -21.4 -25.3<br />

Interest payments on medium- and<br />

long-term loans -0.7 -11.5 - 14.5 - 16.7 - 16.7<br />

Current account (excludes official transfers) -2.9 1.7 -26.1 -32.1 -10.0<br />

Financing<br />

Official transfers 0.6 2.2 2.3 1.8 2.2<br />

Medium- and long-term loans<br />

Official 0.8 4.6 4.7 5.5 3.6<br />

Private 0.9 11.1 18.8 11.6 28.9<br />

Notc: Calculations are based on a sample of ninety developing countries.<br />

a. Estimated.<br />

b. Current account does not equal net exports plus net factor income due to omission of private transfers. Financing does not equal<br />

current account because of omission of direct foreign investment, other capital, and changes in reserves.<br />

30

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