World Development Report 1984

Table 1. Population projections
Rate of natural Total fertility
Projected population (millions) increase, 2000 rate, 2000
Population Standard Rapid fertility Rapid fertility and Rapid Rapid
(millions) projection decline only mortality decline Standard fertility Standard fertility
mid-1982 2000 2050 2000 2050 2000 2050 projection decline projection decline
Low-income economies 2,276 t 3,107 t 5,092 t 2,917 t 4,021 t 2,931 t 4,225 t 1.6 w 1.1 w 3.0 w 2.3 w
China 1,008 1,196 1,450 1,196 1,450 1,185 1,462 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0
Other low-income 1,268 t 1,911 t 3,642 t 1,721 t 2,571 t 1,746 t 2,763 t 2.0 w 1.2 w 3.9 w 2.6 w
1 .Chad 5 7 17 6 8 6 9 2.4 1.0 5.6 2.7
2. Bangladesh 93 157 357 136 212 139 230 2.6 1.3 5.1 2.8
3. Ethiopia 33 57 164 48 77 50 84 3.0 1.3 6.1 2.9
4. Nepal 15 24 54 21 31 22 35 2.4 1.1 5.3 2.8
5. Mali 7 12 31 10 16 10 17 3.0 1.3 6.0 2.9
6. Burma 35 53 99 48 73 48 77 2.0 1.2 3.6 2.3
7. Zaire 31 55 136 45 73 46 79 3.1 1.4 5.8 2.7
8. Malawi 7 12 35 10 17 10 19 3.3 1.9 7.1 4.0
9. UpperVolta 7 10 25 8 13 9 15 2.9 1.3 6.0 2.9
10. Uganda 14 25 67 21 35 21 39 3.3 1.7 6.4 3.2
11. India 717 994 1,513 927 1,313 938 1.406 1.5 1.1 2.9 2.4
12. Rwanda 6 11 34 9 17 9 19 3.8 2.2 7.6 4.5
13. Burundi 4 7 20 6 10 6 11 3.0 1.3 6.0 2.9
14. Tanzania 20 36 93 31 51 31 55 3.2 1.5 5.8 2.8
15. Somalia 5 7 16 6 8 6 10 2.5 1.1 6.1 3.1
16. Haiti 5 7 13 7 10 7 10 1.9 1.4 3.4 2.4
17. Benin 4 7 18 6 9 6 10 3.1 1.5 5.9 2.9
18. Central African Rep. 2 4 10 3 5 3 5 2.7 1.1 5.6 2.5
19. China 1,008 1,196 1,450 1,196 1.450 1,185 1,462 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0
20. Guinea 6 9 20 7 11 8 12 2.4 1.0 6.1 3.1
21. Niger 6 11 29 9 15 9 16 3.1 1.5 6.4 3.2
22. Madagascar 9 16 42 14 22 14 24 3.0 1.4 5.9 2.8
23. Sri Lanka 15 21 31 20 28 20 28 1.4 1.3 2.3 2.1
24. Togo 3 5 13 4 7 4 7 3.1 1.4 5.9 2.9
25. Ghana 12 24 66 20 36 21 39 3.5 1.9 6.3 3.2
26. Pakistan 87 140 302 120 181 122 197 2.5 1.2 4.8 2.5
27. Kenya 18 40 120 34 69 35 73 4.1 2.7 7.1 4.2
28. Sierra Leone 3 5 11 4 6 4 7 2.4 1.0 6.1 3.1
29. Afghanistan 17 25 55 24 38 25 42 2.1 1.5 5.6 4.2
30. Bhutan 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 2.0 0.9 5.1 2.9
31. Kampuchea, Dem. 7 10 17 9 12 9 13 1.4 0.7 3.9 2.7
32. Lao PDR 4 6 14 5 8 5 8 2.9 1.3 5.9 2.9
33. Mozambique 13 24 63 20 33 20 35 3.1 1.5 5.9 2.8
34. Viet Nam 57 88 154 81 125 81 130 2.0 1.4 3.1 2.1
Mliddle-income economie, 1.120 t 1,o45 r 3.144 1 1.542 t 2.321 r 1. 35 t 2!43' l 2.0 & 1 4 ; 3 5 2.4 ;
Lot%er-middle-income ,73 1 1,023, r 1Mt 4'- t 1.40h. t 93- , j,49 1 ) t 2.1 . 1.4 3. ;. 2.;
35. Sudan 20 34 86 29 46 30 50 3.0 1.3 6.0 2.9
36. Mauritania 2 3 6 2 3 2 3 2.8 1.1 5.9 2.7
37. Yemen, PDR 2 3 9 3 5 3 5 3.2 1.5 6.3 3.1
38. Liberia 2 4 10 3 5 3 6 3.2 1.6 6.2 3.1
39. Senegal 6 10 26 9 14 9 15 2.8 1.3 6.0 2.9
40. Yemen Arab Rep. 8 12 32 11 17 11 19 3.0 1.4 6.2 3.1
41. Lesotho 1 2 5 2 3 2 3 2.7 1.2 5.2 2.4
42. Bolivia 6 9 18 8 13 9 14 2.2 1.4 4.2 2.7
43. Indonesia 153 212 330 197 285 198 298 1.5 1.2 2.8 2.3
44. Zambia 6 11 29 10 16 10 18 3.3 1.6 6.1 3.0
45. Honduras 4 7 14 6 11 6 12 2.6 1.7 4.1 2.7
46. Egypt, Arab Rep. 44 63 102 58 84 58 88 1.7 1.2 3.0 2.3
47. El Salvador 5 8 15 8 12 8 13 2.2 1.5 3.3 2.2
192