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Logical Decisions - Classweb

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You can see the simulation results in the Results::Rank<br />

Alternatives option:<br />

1. Select the option.<br />

2. Choose the "Best Truck Goal" from the list.<br />

3. Click on the "Show Uncertainties" check box.<br />

4. Click “OK.”<br />

You will see a display like the one in Figure 5-1.<br />

Figure 5-1. Results::Rank Alternatives display showing uncertainty<br />

ranges.<br />

In the figure, the thin black bars represent the range of<br />

uncertainty for each alternative, based on the Monte Carlo<br />

simulation. From this you can see that for certain outcomes the<br />

"Mountain Lion" could rank higher than the "Coyote", but that the<br />

"Wolf" ranks lower under all scenarios.<br />

To see more details about the uncertainties, use the<br />

Results::Uncertainty Summary option.<br />

1. Select the option.<br />

2. Choose the "Best Truck Goal" from the list.<br />

3. Click “OK.”<br />

You will see a table like the one in Figure 5-2.<br />

5-10 Section 5 -- Advanced Tutorial

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