Logical Decisions - Classweb

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"<strong>Logical</strong> <strong>Decisions</strong>". This program group will contain the icon for the LDW program. To start LDW, just double click on the icon. When you first start LDW, you will see a dialog box telling you that this is an evaluation copy. To activate your LDW copy, Click the “Enter Key” button and enter the name and key provided to you when you bought the product. LDW will start up without the dialog box thereafter. 2-2 Section 2 -- Installation
S E C T I O N Quick Start 3
Page 1 and 2: Logical Decisions Decision Support
Page 3 and 4: Table of Contents Table of Contents
Page 5 and 6: Assessing Weights with Weight Ratio
Page 7: Assessing Interactions Between Meas
Page 11 and 12: Introduction Real decisions aren't
Page 13: S E C T I O N Requirements and Inst
Page 19 and 20: Quick Start Introduction This secti
Page 21 and 22: Defining goals and measures. In LDW
Page 23 and 24: Figure 3-1. The SUF for "Years of E
Page 25 and 26: weights of the measures. All of the
Page 27: S E C T I O N Basic Tutorial 4
Page 30 and 31: Figure 4-1. Tutorial overview. 4-2
Page 32 and 33: Now lets make sure the alternatives
Page 34 and 35: Assume you have decided that you wi
Page 36 and 37: Next we will enter the measures for
Page 38 and 39: Defining Preferences The alternativ
Page 40 and 41: 1. Select the Assess::Common Units
Page 42 and 43: almost equally unacceptable, while
Page 44 and 45: 1. Select the Assess::Common Units
Page 46 and 47: When you do this, the tradeoff grap
Page 48 and 49: 1. Select "Performance" and "Price"
Page 50 and 51: 8. Click on the "Equal" button to t
Page 52 and 53: Figure 4-11. Display generated by R
Page 54 and 55: Figure 4-13. Overall ranking for tr
Page 56 and 57: Figure 4-15. Graph showing sensitiv
Page 58 and 59: You can see the completed introduct
Page 61 and 62: Advanced Tutorial This tutorial sec
Page 63 and 64: Probabilities There is a problem wi
Page 65 and 66: This information indicates that the
Page 67 and 68:
A uniform distribution is defined b
Page 69 and 70:
On the left is a list of the possib
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Figure 5-2. Example of Results::Unc
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screen a large database for the alt
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9. LDW will ask if you want to appe
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commit to buying their truck before
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see that the rankings for all the a
Page 81:
S E C T I O N Using LDW 1: Structur
Page 84 and 85:
The Edit::Insert option. The Insert
Page 86 and 87:
! Summary -- view a dialog box that
Page 88 and 89:
structure like an organization char
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If you check the Show Assessment St
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saves it for later pasting. When yo
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You can create a new Matrix view by
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The quick entry view shows the alte
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Structuring Goals The goals in an L
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these two fields to describe each m
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the hierarchy. In the Matrix view,
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! Point Estimate -- use a single nu
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Figure 6-12. Example of a measure l
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Figure 6-14. Example of a measure l
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pass, LDW replaces each probabilist
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Figure 6-17. Dialog box for definin
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Figure 6-18. Measure Category Dialo
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S E C T I O N Using LDW 2: Assessin
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measure utility functions for the g
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information as possible when you ch
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measures with categories require mu
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The "Reset" button deletes any asse
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You can change the shape of the cur
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Figure 7-4. Utility Assessment Scre
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very different from the average of
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Figure 7-6. Assessment matrix for A
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You can, however, leave the assessm
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properties dialog box can be select
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the same level. LDW provides a grap
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options in the Hierarchy menu to ad
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The check box labeled "Allow Repres
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Next you will see a tradeoff assess
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The Tradeoff::Use Alternatives to S
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Figure 7-13. Example of Direct Entr
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You can think of the importance num
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Figure 7-15. Assessment Screen for
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When you have selected two members
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("importance strength") that best d
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clicking on the "Initialize" button
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Set a Small k. The Enter Small k op
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select the tradeoff you would like
Page 166 and 167:
Figure 7-18. Effects of consistency
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Using LDW 3: Reviewing Results Intr
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The curve shows how the utility fun
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The tradeoff graph has one measure
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When you select the option, you are
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the relative weights of the "Price"
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epresents a computer alternative wi
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Figure 8-11. Example of Review::Ass
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e true even if the measure has a ve
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an analysis are included in exactly
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Graph Weights The Graph Weights dis
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Figure 8-16. Results::Rank Alternat
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Figure 8-18. Dialog box for Results
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You can use the measure equivalents
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simulation for each alternative usi
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Sensitivity Graphs Sensitivity grap
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You can view a sensitivity table by
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Figure 8-28. Example of Results::Sc
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Figure 8-30. Example of Results::Sc
Page 205 and 206:
In the dialog box, you are asked to
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Figure 8-34. Dialog box for Results
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Graph an Alternative The graph an a
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Figure 8-38. Example of Results::Gr
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Finally, the two radio buttons on t
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Figure 8-43. Example of Results::Co
Page 217 and 218:
Printing and Saving Windows You can
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The dialog box will show you the fi
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Figure 8-45. Dialog box for Edit::C
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Changing the range for utility. You
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Figure 8-50. Dialog box for Prefere
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the current color for that type of
Page 229 and 230:
copies the selected objects to the
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analysis with the skeleton analysis
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Figure 8-55. Dialog box for File::I
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the other measures. The measure nam
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The idea of the Import Structure op
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Next, LDW asks you if it should app
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Other Options utility function for
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In addition, the Window menu contai
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In Depth Introduction This section
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A third example is a portfolio deci
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Each alternative has a raw score (c
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into more specific goals continues
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Measures in LDW You define measures
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computed measure levels to common u
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Converting the Measures to Common U
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Figure 9-2. Example of linear (stra
Page 263 and 264:
For an example of the mid-level spl
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Since U(L0) = U(80) = 0 and U(L1) =
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Figure 9-5. Summary of SUF assessme
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describe two alternatives: A, which
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with equal chances of 40 and 70 per
Page 273 and 274:
In the original formulation of the
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1 Equal Importance Two activities c
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You begin the process by selecting
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Figure 9-7. Effects of goals with a
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0.5. Then the weight assigned to "P
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! You can use the "Smarter Method"
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allocates this weight before comput
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nth root of the product of the rati
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Figure 9-8. Summary of estimating t
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on the decision maker's response, L
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Figure 9-10. MUF assessment figure
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Now think of adjusting P so that th
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Another approach is to use the rang
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Figure 9-12. Quantitative range vs.
Page 301 and 302:
If a measure’s range changes, LDW
Page 303 and 304:
Figure 9-14 is an example of the ov
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Similarly, a single member can have
Page 307 and 308:
chance having 160 hp (the most pref
Page 309 and 310:
A probability of less than 0.5 for
Page 311 and 312:
Interpreting the Ranking Results LD
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S E C T I O N Examples 10
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the idea that other manufactures an
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The completed goals hierarchy is sh
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Buying a House The ranking results
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Figure 10-5. Goals hierarchy for bu
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Overall goal Quality goal Costs goa
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The preference assessments were don
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Figure 10-9. Goals hierarchy for re
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! Noise, ! Agricultural Impacts, an
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S E C T I O N Commands Summary 11
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Assess Menu Edit Menu The Assess me
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File Menu Edit::Insert Lets you add
Page 340 and 341:
utility function” if the active g
Page 342 and 343:
Matrix Menu ! Hierarchy -- options
Page 344 and 345:
Results::Dynamic Sensitivity See th
Page 346 and 347:
Review::Compute Utilities Compute t
Page 348 and 349:
Tradeoff Menu View Menu LDW display
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S E C T I O N Glossary 12
Page 354 and 355:
Common Units Certainty Equivalent C
Page 356 and 357:
LDW File Level Lottery Measure assi
Page 358 and 359:
MUF MUF Formula See also: Alternati
Page 360 and 361:
Preference Set Probabilistic Level
Page 362 and 363:
Tradeoff Trial program decides whic
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Bibliography B
Page 368 and 369:
The classic reference on multiple m
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Appendix This appendix describes th
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= .125 Thus the weight for cost is
Page 377 and 378:
Index adjusted AHP ................
Page 379:
computing ................8 - 3 int
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