2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...

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WESTERN WATER ASSESSMENT n Impacts of Climate Change and Dust Deposition on Water Resources in the Colorado River Basin n Climate Adaptation on Western National Forests n Colorado Climate Preparedness Project n Ongoing Stakeholder Engagement and Collaborations The Western Water Assessment (WWA) is one of 11 NOAA-funded Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessments (RISA) programs across the country. Using multidisciplinary teams of experts in climate, water, law and economics, the WWA team works with decision makers across the Intermountain West to produce policy-relevant information about climate variability and change. By building relationships and networks of decision makers, WWA is able to develop practical research programs and useful information products. In FY11, the WWA research team continued to expand its research and decision-support products into three major thematic categories: 1) Decision Support for the Colorado River Basin and Headwaters; 2) Ecological Vulnerabilities, Impacts and Adaptation, and 3) Emerging Initiatives and Adaptation Strategies to Inform Climate Services. WWA’s ongoing projects and newer initiatives were well-received by the broad community of federal, state, local and private stakeholders with whom we work, and several major endeavors emerged as particularly important efforts. Impacts of Climate Change and Dust Deposition on Water Resources in the Colorado River Basin Specific WWA research activities in FY11 included a significant effort to understand a question on the minds of numerous stakeholders in the region: To what extent does the deposition of dust from the Colorado Plateau region on high-elevation snowpack in the Colorado River headwaters affect runoff timing and volume? Using the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrologic model, WWA researchers were able to show that dust deposition is not only causing early spring runoff, but also may be responsible for evaporative losses equivalent to 800,000 acre-feet per year, or nearly 5 percent of the average total annual flow in the river. These results were published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences and communicated directly to decision makers at the Department of Interior, the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy and other agencies. Ongoing and future work will incorporate future climate projections into the model. Climate Adaptation on Western National Forests As part of a broader U.S. Forest Service effort entitled “A Toolkit for Adapting to Climate Change on Western National Forests: Incorporating Climate into Resource Management and Planning,” WWA is working with Forest Service researchers at the Rocky Mountain Research Station on a pilot project for the Shoshone National Forest in Wyoming. As part of this project, a WWA researcher worked directly with management and planning staff at the Shoshone Forest to understand specific parameters of interest. She then developed a climate-vulnerability 70 CIRES Annual Report 2011 Modeled change in date of 90% snow depletion due to dust loading. From Painter, T, J Deems, J Belnap, A Hamlet, C Landry, and B Udall (2010), Response of Colorado River runoff to dust radiative forcing in snow, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107(40), 17125–17130. Colorado Climate Preparedness Project data base, screenshot. assessment for the forest, focusing on shifts in available range for whitebark pine and aspen, along with changes in streamflow that could impact Yellowstone cutthroat trout and water supplies. Colorado Climate Preparedness Project At the request of the State of Colorado, WWA researchers completed the Colorado Climate Preparedness Project (CCPP), a survey of climate impacts and adaptation
Gannett Peak in Shoshone National Forest (Wyoming), with Dinwoody Creek in the foreground. options in five sectors: water; electricity; wildlife, ecosystems and forests; agriculture; and outdoor recreation. This effort followed up on the 2008 Climate Change in Colorado report authored by WWA and responded directly to a call in Governor Bill Ritter’s 2007 Colorado Climate Action Plan to “prepare the state to adapt to those climate changes that cannot be avoided.” The CCPP includes a database (http://www.coloadaptationprofile.org) and a final report (http://wwa.colorado.edu/CCPP_report.pdf), both of which have been presented to the new governor’s administration. The database and report are intended to facilitate future vulnerability-assessment and adaptationplanning efforts across the state. SCOTT COPELAND Ongoing Stakeholder Engagement and Collaborations WWA also continued its longstanding reputation with stakeholders and decision makers as a trusted source of climate information. Collectively, WWA researchers gave more than 35 public talks and seminars; published 16 articles and book chapters; were cited, quoted or interviewed by the media numerous times; served as members of many committees and organizations; and sponsored many workshops across the Intermountain West. CIRES Annual Report 2011 71
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COOPERATIVE INSTITUTE FOR RESEARCH
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2 CIRES Annual Report 2011 From the
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Executive Summary and Research High
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which is a learning community and m
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and community preparedness and disa
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10 CIRES Annual Report 2011 Year in
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Council of Fellows n Waleed Abdalat
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Organization The Cooperative Instit
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CREATING A DYNAMIC RESEARCH ENVIRON
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DAVID OONK/CIRES CIRES Director Kon
Page 22 and 23: CIRES Communications It has long be
Page 24 and 25: 22 CIRES Annual Report 2011 People&
Page 26 and 27: Richard Armstrong The Glaciers and
Page 28 and 29: Roger Bilham Block Bounding Bookshe
Page 30 and 31: John Cassano Polar Climate and Mete
Page 32 and 33: Xinzhao Chu LIDAR Research Campaign
Page 34 and 35: Joost de Gouw Sources and Chemistry
Page 36 and 37: Lang Farmer Development of a Microi
Page 38 and 39: Baylor Fox-Kemper Improving Subgrid
Page 40 and 41: Craig Jones Understanding the Origi
Page 42 and 43: Peter Molnar Tibet and the Asian Mo
Page 44 and 45: David Noone A Modern Approach to Pa
Page 46 and 47: Judith Perlwitz Exploring Mechanism
Page 48 and 49: Balaji Rajagopalan with graduate st
Page 50 and 51: Mark C. Serreze Rapid Arctic Change
Page 52 and 53: Robert Sievers Innovative Vaccine D
Page 54 and 55: Margaret Tolbert Laboratory Studies
Page 56 and 57: Greg Tucker Is Climate Change Etche
Page 58 and 59: Rainer Volkamer Simulation Chamber
Page 60 and 61: Carol Wessman with graduate student
Page 62 and 63: SCIENTIFIC CENTERS n Center for Lim
Page 64 and 65: Center for Science and Technology P
Page 66 and 67: Climate Diagnostics Center The miss
Page 68 and 69: Earth Science and Observation Cente
Page 70 and 71: National Snow and Ice Data Center T
Page 74 and 75: EDUCATION AND OUTREACH n Climate Sc
Page 76 and 77: VISITING FELLOWS With partial spons
Page 78 and 79: Faezeh Nick Sabbatical Ph.D., Insti
Page 80 and 81: INNOVATIVE RESEARCH PROGRAM The CIR
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Page 84 and 85: CSD-01 083 CSD-02 093 CSD-03 108 CS
Page 86 and 87: Figure 1: Simplified schematic show
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Page 94 and 95: The SEAESRT (Space, Environmental E
Page 96 and 97: 1. The spatial Figure distribution
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Page 102 and 103: workflows that make use of SPIDR’
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Page 116 and 117: Milestone 4. Analyze balloon-borne
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Milestone 1. Add additional glacier
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Several climate-monitoring products
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atmospheric removal of methylglyoxa
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Figure 1: Global image of the Radia
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profiling radars with radio acousti
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RP-04 Intercontinental Transport an
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ates can be understood by productio
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Milestone 3. Maintain a constituent
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stakeholders and decision makers as
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Milestone 3. Explore the expanding
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140 CIRES Annual Report 2011 Measur
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Refereed Publications, 2010 Abdalat
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Brunt, KM, HA Fricker, L Padman, TA
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Phys., 10(10), 4795-4807, doi: 10.5
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of Arapaho Glacier, Front Range, Co
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to nutrients in streams and rivers
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Moritz, MA, TJ Moody, MA Krawchuk,
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with a first-guess approach, J. Geo
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stable water isotopes in climate mo
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G Keppel-Aleks, EA Kort, R Macatang
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Non-Refereed Publications, 2010 Ale
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and DZ Friday (2010), Digital eleva
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Refereed Journals in which CIRES Sc
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Honors and Awards, 2010 Abdalati, W
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Conferences, Workshops, Events, Pre
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170 CIRES Annual Report 2011 Append
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Acronyms 20CR Twentieth Century Rea
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ESRL Earth System Research Laborato
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MERRA Modern Era Retrospective-Anal
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SXI Solar X-ray Imager TES Total Em
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