2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...
2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...
2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...
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Earth Science and<br />
Observation Center<br />
CIRES’ Earth Science and Observation Center (ESOC)<br />
provides a focus <strong>for</strong> the development and application of<br />
modern remote-sens<strong>in</strong>g techniques used <strong>in</strong> the research<br />
of all aspects of Earth sciences at CU-Boulder. Our aim is<br />
to work on all scales of problems, from technique development<br />
<strong>in</strong> small test sites to understand<strong>in</strong>g pattern and<br />
process on regional and global scales. A long-term goal of<br />
ESOC research is to <strong>in</strong>vestigate problems <strong>in</strong> global geosciences—questions<br />
of global change, <strong>in</strong> particular—through<br />
remote-sens<strong>in</strong>g observations. ESOC had seven faculty<br />
associates dur<strong>in</strong>g FY11, 26 graduate students, eight post<br />
docs and two visit<strong>in</strong>g fellows. Below, ESOC accomplishments<br />
and activities are summarized by topic.<br />
Cryospheric Change<br />
We cont<strong>in</strong>ued to monitor the climate on the Greenland Ice<br />
Sheet us<strong>in</strong>g 18 automatic weather stations and two permanent<br />
research sites (Swiss Camp at the equilibrium l<strong>in</strong>e altitude<br />
and Summit Station close to the highest po<strong>in</strong>t on the ice<br />
sheet). This data set, <strong>in</strong>itiated dur<strong>in</strong>g the Program <strong>for</strong> Arctic<br />
Regional Climate Assessment (PARCA) <strong>in</strong> 1995, is the longest<br />
<strong>in</strong> situ meteorological time series captur<strong>in</strong>g the recent climate<br />
warm<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the ice sheet. Decadal temperature <strong>in</strong>creases<br />
of 1.0°C <strong>in</strong> the fall; between 1.5 and 2.0°C <strong>in</strong> the summer<br />
and spr<strong>in</strong>g; and up to 3°C <strong>in</strong> w<strong>in</strong>ter were measured on the<br />
western slope of the ice sheet at Swiss Camp between 1995<br />
and 2009. Other activities with<strong>in</strong> ESOC’s cryospheric-change<br />
research group <strong>in</strong>clude the development of an ice model to<br />
study the englacial effect of meltwater, the development of a<br />
glacio-hydrological model and the study of a moul<strong>in</strong> system<br />
<strong>in</strong> the ablation region close to Swiss Camp. In the Southern<br />
Hemisphere, we completed our second successful field<br />
campaign on the Larsen C Ice Shelf <strong>in</strong> the Antarctic Pen<strong>in</strong>sula<br />
by monitor<strong>in</strong>g the shelf-ice thickness us<strong>in</strong>g surface-based<br />
ground-penetrat<strong>in</strong>g radar along a total of 500 km. We established<br />
an advanced monitor<strong>in</strong>g station at Summit Camp <strong>in</strong><br />
Greenland to l<strong>in</strong>k the isotopic composition, used to develop<br />
long ice cores, to snow-<strong>for</strong>mation processes and the surface<br />
energy balance. This work uses state-of-the-art laser-imag<strong>in</strong>g<br />
spectrometers to measure the shape fall<strong>in</strong>g snow crystals<br />
alongside the measurements of isotopic composition of vapor<br />
to better understand the orig<strong>in</strong> of the isotopic signals <strong>in</strong> ice<br />
cores and, thereby, improve our understand<strong>in</strong>g of the climate<br />
history of the Greenland Ice Sheet.<br />
Land Surface Effects on Climate<br />
We cont<strong>in</strong>ue to exam<strong>in</strong>e the impact of surface hydrology<br />
on climate, particularly <strong>in</strong> the massively irrigated<br />
regions of Asia, and have found evidence of substantial<br />
impacts both <strong>in</strong> observational and model-simulation<br />
studies. We have cont<strong>in</strong>ued exam<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g m<strong>in</strong>imum tem-<br />
66 CIRES Annual Report <strong>2011</strong><br />
The southern lights at McMurdo, Antarctica.<br />
ZHIBIN YU/CIRES<br />
perature regulation by convection at high latitudes and<br />
are propos<strong>in</strong>g to extend this to maximum temperatures<br />
<strong>in</strong> future work. We also have been look<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to low-level<br />
<strong>in</strong>versions <strong>in</strong> the western United States, which we found<br />
to have substantially decreased over the period of record<br />
<strong>in</strong> six Western cities. This is of <strong>in</strong>terest because air quality<br />
<strong>in</strong> the U.S. West is a function of <strong>in</strong>version frequency and<br />
strength, and because climate models have predicted that<br />
<strong>in</strong>versions would be more frequent <strong>in</strong> a warm<strong>in</strong>g climate.<br />
Ecology<br />
Future disturbances to <strong>for</strong>est ecosystems are expected to<br />
be of greater frequency, extent, <strong>in</strong>tensity and variety as a result<br />
of a chang<strong>in</strong>g climate. In addition, human-<strong>for</strong>est <strong>in</strong>teractions<br />
(e.g., <strong>for</strong>est management and wildland-urban <strong>in</strong>terface)<br />
will <strong>in</strong>crease the complexity of disturbance impacts and <strong>for</strong>est<br />
recovery. Our ongo<strong>in</strong>g study of several catastrophic disturbances<br />
<strong>in</strong> a northern Colorado subalp<strong>in</strong>e <strong>for</strong>est is yield<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>sights <strong>in</strong>to disturbance <strong>in</strong>teractions and their<br />
<strong>in</strong>fluence on the current and future landscape mosaic. Our<br />
analyses of conifer seedl<strong>in</strong>g establishment patterns follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />
a stand-replac<strong>in</strong>g fire <strong>in</strong> 2002 show a strong <strong>in</strong>fluence of prefire<br />
disturbances (such as 1997 catastrophic blowdown and<br />
salvage logg<strong>in</strong>g) on <strong>for</strong>est recovery rates. MODIS (Moderate-<br />
Resolution Imag<strong>in</strong>g Spectrometer) Normalized Difference<br />
Vegetation Index time-series data <strong>in</strong>dicate that these different<br />
recovery patterns are evident at landscape scales. Importantly,<br />
our recent studies suggest that satellite data can provide<br />
regional <strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>mation on <strong>for</strong>est response to disturbance, thus<br />
assist<strong>in</strong>g larger-scale ef<strong>for</strong>ts such as <strong>for</strong>est management and<br />
regional-to-global ecological model<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
Hydrology<br />
A core hypothesis <strong>in</strong> a newly develop<strong>in</strong>g nonl<strong>in</strong>ear geophysical<br />
theory of floods says that solutions of conservation<br />
equations <strong>in</strong> self-similar river networks exhibit spatial scal<strong>in</strong>g<br />
(power laws). Our analysis of 26 medium-size river bas<strong>in</strong>s<br />
(about 3,000 km 2 ) confirmed the presence of self-similarity<br />
<strong>in</strong> networks, thus support<strong>in</strong>g the hypothesis. This is the first<br />
time the theory has been put to the test on medium-size