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2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...

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T<strong>in</strong>gjun Zhang<br />

Degrad<strong>in</strong>g Permafrost on the<br />

Q<strong>in</strong>ghai-Xizang (Tibet) Plateau<br />

The Q<strong>in</strong>ghai-Xizang<br />

(Tibet) Plateau has an<br />

average elevation of<br />

greater than 4,000 m above<br />

sea level (a.s.l.) and is<br />

known as “The Roof of<br />

The World.” As a result,<br />

permafrost is well-developed<br />

over the majority of<br />

the plateau’s area. Due<br />

to the impacts of climate<br />

warm<strong>in</strong>g and human activities,<br />

such as the newly<br />

constructed Q<strong>in</strong>ghai-Tibet<br />

Railroad, permafrost on<br />

the plateau is experienc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

significant warm<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

degradation dur<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

past few decades. Changes<br />

<strong>in</strong> permafrost conditions<br />

would have dramatic impact on local and regional ecosystems,<br />

hydrological and carbon cycles, landscape and, more<br />

importantly, eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>frastructure. In collaboration<br />

with Prof. Q<strong>in</strong>gbai Wu and his colleagues from the Cold and<br />

Arid Regions <strong>Environmental</strong> and Eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Research</strong> <strong>Institute</strong>,<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>ese Academy of <strong>Sciences</strong>, we established <strong>in</strong> the<br />

past few years a long-term permafrost-monitor<strong>in</strong>g network,<br />

which is still expand<strong>in</strong>g, along the Q<strong>in</strong>ghai-Xizang (Tibet)<br />

Railroad (Figure 1).<br />

The prelim<strong>in</strong>ary results <strong>in</strong>dicate that among the 28<br />

monitor<strong>in</strong>g sites along the network, average active-layer<br />

thickness is about 3.1 m with a range from about 1.2 m to 4.9<br />

m (Figure 2). From 2006 through 2010, active-layer thickness<br />

has <strong>in</strong>creased at a rate of about 6.3 cm/year. Permafrost<br />

temperature at the depth of zero amplitude (i.e., mean annual<br />

ground temperature, MAGT) ranges from about -3.0°C<br />

to -0.1°C (Figure 2). Although permafrost along the network<br />

is relatively warm, permafrost temperature at the depth of<br />

zero amplitude is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a rate of about 0.01°C per<br />

year over the past five years. The magnitude of permafrosttemperature<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease is greater <strong>for</strong> relatively colder permafrost<br />

(MAGT of less than -1.0°C) than <strong>for</strong> relatively warm<br />

permafrost (MAGT less than -1.0°C). This is consistent with<br />

observations <strong>in</strong> the Arctic, primarily due to the effect of<br />

latent heat as unfrozen water content <strong>in</strong>creases with permafrost<br />

temperature <strong>in</strong>crease. This permafrost monitor<strong>in</strong>g will<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ue <strong>for</strong> the next 10 years.<br />

!<br />

!<br />

Figure 1:<br />

(a) Site elevation;<br />

(b) mean annual<br />

ground temperature<br />

(MAGT) at<br />

depth of zero<br />

amplitude;<br />

and (c) active<br />

layer thickness<br />

(ALT) along the<br />

Q<strong>in</strong>ghai-Xizang<br />

(Tibet) Railroad.<br />

CIRES Annual Report <strong>2011</strong> 59

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