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2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...

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Richard Armstrong<br />

The Glaciers and Seasonal Snow Cover of the<br />

Himalaya-Karakoram-H<strong>in</strong>du Kush Region<br />

FUNDING: NASA EARTH SCIENCE, WORLD BANK, USAID<br />

Snow and ice constitute<br />

a significant component of<br />

the hydrologic regime of<br />

the high alp<strong>in</strong>e catchments<br />

of the world such as the<br />

Himalaya-Karakoram-<br />

H<strong>in</strong>du Kush (HKH) region.<br />

The tim<strong>in</strong>g and spatial patterns<br />

of snow- and ice-melt<br />

play key roles <strong>in</strong> provid<strong>in</strong>g<br />

water sources <strong>for</strong> irrigation,<br />

hydropower generation<br />

and general consumption.<br />

Hydrologic processes <strong>in</strong><br />

the high-altitude regions of<br />

the world are particularly<br />

sensitive to climate change<br />

because of the predom<strong>in</strong>ant<br />

role of snow and glaciers.<br />

The overall objective<br />

of this study is to develop an accurate, comprehensive assessment<br />

of the snow and glacier contribution to the water<br />

resources orig<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g across the greater HKH region. Approximately<br />

one-third of the world’s human population depends<br />

to some degree on fresh water availability with<strong>in</strong> the HKH<br />

hydrologic system, and plann<strong>in</strong>g <strong>for</strong> future changes is a high<br />

priority. However, realistic, accurate and comprehensive assessments<br />

of the current and future availability and vulnerability<br />

of the water resources <strong>in</strong> these regions are not possible<br />

until the exist<strong>in</strong>g hydrologic regime of these mounta<strong>in</strong>s is<br />

better def<strong>in</strong>ed; the relationship between<br />

snow, glaciers and streamflow is evaluated<br />

<strong>in</strong> quantitative terms; and the contribution<br />

from other sources of streamflow<br />

is exam<strong>in</strong>ed. To date, this comprehensive<br />

goal has not been addressed <strong>in</strong> a coord<strong>in</strong>ated<br />

and systematic manner, and<br />

conclusions reached by other <strong>in</strong>vestigations<br />

have often been based on anecdotal<br />

evidence that is typically not spatially<br />

representative. Specifically, our project<br />

objectives are be<strong>in</strong>g accomplished<br />

through the application of a comprehensive<br />

suite of satellite remote sens<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

ground-based data as <strong>in</strong>put to appropriate<br />

snow- and ice-melt models. A series of<br />

distributed process models, <strong>in</strong> conjunction<br />

with area-altitude relationships <strong>for</strong><br />

snow, ice and temperature data, is be<strong>in</strong>g<br />

used to assess the general hydrometeorological<br />

environment of these mounta<strong>in</strong>catchment<br />

bas<strong>in</strong>s<br />

Although often considered as a<br />

s<strong>in</strong>gle region, the HKH represents a<br />

wide range of climate conditions where<br />

precipitation and bas<strong>in</strong> runoff decrease<br />

24 CIRES Annual Report <strong>2011</strong><br />

considerably from the east to west as a direct result of the<br />

weaken<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>fluence of the summer monsoon. The glacier<br />

accumulation and ablation patterns are dist<strong>in</strong>ctly different,<br />

seasonally and spatially, across the region. In the east, the<br />

summer season comb<strong>in</strong>es both accumulation at the highest<br />

elevations with melt below, while <strong>in</strong> the west, there is a<br />

clear pattern of summer melt and w<strong>in</strong>ter accumulation,<br />

similar to North America and Europe. Earlier results have<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicated that only about 5 percent or less of the river flow<br />

<strong>in</strong> the eastern Himalaya is the result of glacier melt (Al<strong>for</strong>d<br />

et al., 2010). Outside the monsoon-dom<strong>in</strong>ated eastern<br />

Himalaya, the contribution from melt<strong>in</strong>g glacier ice has<br />

been estimated to be as much as 30 percent or more, but<br />

no accurate quantitative assessments have been undertaken.<br />

There<strong>for</strong>e, the current phase of our project focuses<br />

on quantify<strong>in</strong>g the contribution of melt<strong>in</strong>g glacier ice,<br />

melt<strong>in</strong>g seasonal snow, ra<strong>in</strong>fall and groundwater to total<br />

streamflow <strong>in</strong> the western Himalaya, and extend<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to<br />

the Pamir mounta<strong>in</strong> range of Central Asia, based on melt<br />

models and stream geochemistry.<br />

Graduate student Ad<strong>in</strong>a Racoviteanu us<strong>in</strong>g a GPS to establish ground<br />

control po<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>in</strong> support of accurate glacier mapp<strong>in</strong>g from satellite<br />

data, Khumbu region, Nepal.<br />

Mounta<strong>in</strong> ranges, river systems and glaciers of the Himalayan-Karakoram-H<strong>in</strong>du Kush region.

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