2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...
2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...
2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...
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Richard Armstrong<br />
The Glaciers and Seasonal Snow Cover of the<br />
Himalaya-Karakoram-H<strong>in</strong>du Kush Region<br />
FUNDING: NASA EARTH SCIENCE, WORLD BANK, USAID<br />
Snow and ice constitute<br />
a significant component of<br />
the hydrologic regime of<br />
the high alp<strong>in</strong>e catchments<br />
of the world such as the<br />
Himalaya-Karakoram-<br />
H<strong>in</strong>du Kush (HKH) region.<br />
The tim<strong>in</strong>g and spatial patterns<br />
of snow- and ice-melt<br />
play key roles <strong>in</strong> provid<strong>in</strong>g<br />
water sources <strong>for</strong> irrigation,<br />
hydropower generation<br />
and general consumption.<br />
Hydrologic processes <strong>in</strong><br />
the high-altitude regions of<br />
the world are particularly<br />
sensitive to climate change<br />
because of the predom<strong>in</strong>ant<br />
role of snow and glaciers.<br />
The overall objective<br />
of this study is to develop an accurate, comprehensive assessment<br />
of the snow and glacier contribution to the water<br />
resources orig<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g across the greater HKH region. Approximately<br />
one-third of the world’s human population depends<br />
to some degree on fresh water availability with<strong>in</strong> the HKH<br />
hydrologic system, and plann<strong>in</strong>g <strong>for</strong> future changes is a high<br />
priority. However, realistic, accurate and comprehensive assessments<br />
of the current and future availability and vulnerability<br />
of the water resources <strong>in</strong> these regions are not possible<br />
until the exist<strong>in</strong>g hydrologic regime of these mounta<strong>in</strong>s is<br />
better def<strong>in</strong>ed; the relationship between<br />
snow, glaciers and streamflow is evaluated<br />
<strong>in</strong> quantitative terms; and the contribution<br />
from other sources of streamflow<br />
is exam<strong>in</strong>ed. To date, this comprehensive<br />
goal has not been addressed <strong>in</strong> a coord<strong>in</strong>ated<br />
and systematic manner, and<br />
conclusions reached by other <strong>in</strong>vestigations<br />
have often been based on anecdotal<br />
evidence that is typically not spatially<br />
representative. Specifically, our project<br />
objectives are be<strong>in</strong>g accomplished<br />
through the application of a comprehensive<br />
suite of satellite remote sens<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
ground-based data as <strong>in</strong>put to appropriate<br />
snow- and ice-melt models. A series of<br />
distributed process models, <strong>in</strong> conjunction<br />
with area-altitude relationships <strong>for</strong><br />
snow, ice and temperature data, is be<strong>in</strong>g<br />
used to assess the general hydrometeorological<br />
environment of these mounta<strong>in</strong>catchment<br />
bas<strong>in</strong>s<br />
Although often considered as a<br />
s<strong>in</strong>gle region, the HKH represents a<br />
wide range of climate conditions where<br />
precipitation and bas<strong>in</strong> runoff decrease<br />
24 CIRES Annual Report <strong>2011</strong><br />
considerably from the east to west as a direct result of the<br />
weaken<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>fluence of the summer monsoon. The glacier<br />
accumulation and ablation patterns are dist<strong>in</strong>ctly different,<br />
seasonally and spatially, across the region. In the east, the<br />
summer season comb<strong>in</strong>es both accumulation at the highest<br />
elevations with melt below, while <strong>in</strong> the west, there is a<br />
clear pattern of summer melt and w<strong>in</strong>ter accumulation,<br />
similar to North America and Europe. Earlier results have<br />
<strong>in</strong>dicated that only about 5 percent or less of the river flow<br />
<strong>in</strong> the eastern Himalaya is the result of glacier melt (Al<strong>for</strong>d<br />
et al., 2010). Outside the monsoon-dom<strong>in</strong>ated eastern<br />
Himalaya, the contribution from melt<strong>in</strong>g glacier ice has<br />
been estimated to be as much as 30 percent or more, but<br />
no accurate quantitative assessments have been undertaken.<br />
There<strong>for</strong>e, the current phase of our project focuses<br />
on quantify<strong>in</strong>g the contribution of melt<strong>in</strong>g glacier ice,<br />
melt<strong>in</strong>g seasonal snow, ra<strong>in</strong>fall and groundwater to total<br />
streamflow <strong>in</strong> the western Himalaya, and extend<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to<br />
the Pamir mounta<strong>in</strong> range of Central Asia, based on melt<br />
models and stream geochemistry.<br />
Graduate student Ad<strong>in</strong>a Racoviteanu us<strong>in</strong>g a GPS to establish ground<br />
control po<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>in</strong> support of accurate glacier mapp<strong>in</strong>g from satellite<br />
data, Khumbu region, Nepal.<br />
Mounta<strong>in</strong> ranges, river systems and glaciers of the Himalayan-Karakoram-H<strong>in</strong>du Kush region.