2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...
2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...
2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...
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to <strong>in</strong>corporate future climate projections.<br />
Product: Pa<strong>in</strong>ter, TH, JS Deems, J Belnap, AF Hamlet, CC<br />
Landry, B Udall (2010), Response of Colorado River runoff<br />
to dust radiative <strong>for</strong>c<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> snow, Proceed<strong>in</strong>gs of the National<br />
Academy of <strong>Sciences</strong>, 107(40), 17125-17130.<br />
Milestone 3. WWA proposes to <strong>in</strong>crease availability and use<br />
of paleohydrologic data <strong>in</strong> Utah dur<strong>in</strong>g the next three to<br />
five years by coord<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g methods proven successful elsewhere,<br />
beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g with scop<strong>in</strong>g of Utah stakeholder needs<br />
<strong>for</strong> new paleohydrologies (gauge reconstructions) with<br />
one or two workshops <strong>in</strong> 2010, followed by an assessment<br />
of exist<strong>in</strong>g tree-r<strong>in</strong>g data network <strong>for</strong> reconstruct<strong>in</strong>g those<br />
gauges, and development of new gauge reconstructions.<br />
In summer 2010, WWA began engag<strong>in</strong>g with a newly<br />
established group of researchers at Utah State University<br />
(USU), Brigham Young University and the Bureau of Reclamation,<br />
whose <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> us<strong>in</strong>g tree r<strong>in</strong>gs to reconstruct<br />
streamflow <strong>in</strong> the Wasatch Front and elsewhere <strong>in</strong> Utah<br />
co<strong>in</strong>cided with the objectives of this milestone. Because<br />
of the emergence of this USU/BYU/Reclamation group,<br />
WWA’s role shifted to one of technical advisor, help<strong>in</strong>g<br />
that group establish an effective stakeholder-oriented research<br />
program modeled along the paleohydrology work<br />
conducted by WWA <strong>in</strong> Colorado between 2003 and 2009.<br />
WWA Team member Jeff Lukas assisted the USU group<br />
with grant applications to Reclamation research fund<strong>in</strong>g<br />
programs, participated <strong>in</strong> two project workshops held at<br />
USU <strong>in</strong> September 2010 and March <strong>2011</strong> and provided <strong>in</strong>put<br />
on strategies <strong>for</strong> study design, fieldwork, analysis and<br />
stakeholder outreach. The USU-led group is conduct<strong>in</strong>g<br />
fieldwork and analyses <strong>in</strong> summer <strong>2011</strong>, and should be<br />
develop<strong>in</strong>g new gauge reconstructions <strong>for</strong> northern Utah<br />
<strong>in</strong> fall and w<strong>in</strong>ter, with cont<strong>in</strong>ued guidance from WWA.<br />
Also, WWA has advanced two related paleohydrology<br />
ef<strong>for</strong>ts dur<strong>in</strong>g the past year. First, a WWA-led project to reconstruct<br />
paleo-flows <strong>for</strong> the Lower Colorado River Bas<strong>in</strong><br />
commenced <strong>in</strong> September 2010. The scope of the project<br />
<strong>in</strong>cludes a portion of southwestern Utah with<strong>in</strong> the Virg<strong>in</strong><br />
River and Kanab Creek bas<strong>in</strong>s. Second, WWA cont<strong>in</strong>ued<br />
to lead the updat<strong>in</strong>g and ma<strong>in</strong>tenance of the TreeFlow<br />
web resource <strong>for</strong> tree-r<strong>in</strong>g paleohydrology (http://treeflow.<strong>in</strong>fo),<br />
which will ultimately archive the Utah data<br />
produced by the USU group and by the Lower Colorado<br />
River Bas<strong>in</strong> paleohydrology project.<br />
WWA-02ClimateProducts<br />
FEDERAL LEAD: ROBIN WEBB<br />
CIRES LEADS: KRISTEN AVERYT, ERIC GORDON<br />
AND BRADLEY UDALL<br />
NOAA Goal 2: Climate<br />
Project Goal: Develop <strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>mation, products and processes<br />
to assist water-resource decision makers throughout the<br />
Intermounta<strong>in</strong> West.<br />
Milestone 1. WWA will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to publish the Intermounta<strong>in</strong><br />
West Climate Summary (IWCS), a compact Web-based<br />
package that <strong>in</strong>cludes the latest climate observations and<br />
<strong>for</strong>ecasts <strong>for</strong> Colorado, Wyom<strong>in</strong>g and Utah. This package<br />
will be produced seven to eight times each year.<br />
In the past year, Western Water Assessment (WWA)<br />
cont<strong>in</strong>ued on its schedule of produc<strong>in</strong>g six web-based<br />
issues of the IWCS, whose release is announced to a list<br />
of 400 stakeholders. All of the Feature and Focus articles<br />
<strong>in</strong> the past year were written expressly <strong>for</strong> the IWCS,<br />
with the Feature articles highlight<strong>in</strong>g WWA research on<br />
hydrologic impacts of dust-on-snow and El Niño/Southern<br />
Oscillation-based streamflow <strong>for</strong>ecasts; the WWA-led<br />
Colorado Climate Preparedness Project; WWA workshops<br />
on the water impacts of bark beetle <strong>in</strong>festation; and the<br />
National Integrated Drought In<strong>for</strong>mation System (NIDIS)<br />
Upper Colorado River Pilot. The release of each issue of<br />
the IWCS cont<strong>in</strong>ues to be announced on the homepages of<br />
NOAA National Weather Service <strong>for</strong>ecast offices throughout<br />
the region and other partner organizations.<br />
Product: Wolter, K, and J Lukas (2010), ENSO and<br />
<strong>in</strong>termounta<strong>in</strong> west water supply: A review of WY<br />
2010 and outlook <strong>for</strong> WY <strong>2011</strong>, Intermounta<strong>in</strong> West<br />
Climate Summary, 6 (User <strong>in</strong>put status: Published ).<br />
WWA-03 Climate and Water Affairs<br />
FEDERAL LEAD: ROBIN WEBB<br />
CIRES LEADS: KRISTEN AVERYT, ERIC GORDON<br />
AND BRADLEY UDALL<br />
NOAA Goal 2: Climate<br />
Project Goal: Increase decision makers’ level of knowledge<br />
about climate science so they can become better consumers<br />
and demanders of climate products and assessments,<br />
which will assist WWA <strong>in</strong> sett<strong>in</strong>g its research agenda.<br />
Milestone 1. WWA research is positioned to <strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>m<br />
decision-mak<strong>in</strong>g. WWA will cont<strong>in</strong>ue facilitat<strong>in</strong>g conversations,<br />
discussions and <strong>in</strong>teractions with<strong>in</strong> the<br />
WWA stakeholder network of 100 organizations and<br />
250 <strong>in</strong>dividuals, while assess<strong>in</strong>g the impacts of such<br />
outreach activities.<br />
Western Water Assessment (WWA) cont<strong>in</strong>ued<br />
to bolster its longstand<strong>in</strong>g reputation with<br />
CIRES Annual Report <strong>2011</strong> 135