2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...
2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...
2011 - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ...
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GMD-05OzoneDepletion<br />
FEDERAL LEADS: JAMES ELKINS, STEPHEN MONTZKA<br />
AND SAM OLTMANS<br />
CIRES LEAD: FRED MOORE<br />
NOAA Goal 2: Climate<br />
Project Goal: Understand<strong>in</strong>g the production and fate of ozone<br />
and the compounds that deplete it is a focal po<strong>in</strong>t of collaborative<br />
CIRES research with ESRL’s Global Monitor<strong>in</strong>g and Chemical<br />
<strong>Sciences</strong> divisions. Stratospheric Ozone Measurements: Measure<br />
ozone decl<strong>in</strong>es dur<strong>in</strong>g the past two decades at northern<br />
hemispheric midlatitudes and the tropics, and characterize<br />
dramatic ozone depletions over Antarctica. Ozone-Deplet<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Gases: Conduct research <strong>in</strong> the troposphere, stratosphere,<br />
oceans, polar snowpack and terrestrial ecosystems <strong>in</strong> an ef<strong>for</strong>t<br />
to characterize, understand and predict the atmospheric<br />
behavior of gases that cause ozone depletion. Stratospheric<br />
Aerosols: Conduct experiments and measurements on aerosols<br />
to determ<strong>in</strong>e their impacts on solar <strong>in</strong>solation. Stratospheric<br />
Water Vapor: Conduct measurements to determ<strong>in</strong>e the change<br />
<strong>in</strong> water vapor and its coupl<strong>in</strong>g with aerosols.<br />
Milestone 1. From flask and <strong>in</strong> situ measurements of<br />
ozone-deplet<strong>in</strong>g substances around the globe, update the<br />
Ozone Deplet<strong>in</strong>g Gas Index <strong>for</strong> 2009 and 2010.<br />
Measurements of long-lived substances that cause stratospheric<br />
ozone depletion were cont<strong>in</strong>ued at remote sites dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />
July 2010 through June <strong>2011</strong>. A statistical technique was<br />
developed to comb<strong>in</strong>e measurements from flask and <strong>in</strong> situ<br />
programs spann<strong>in</strong>g four decades <strong>for</strong> several gases (Figure 1).<br />
Figure 1: Global mean mix<strong>in</strong>g ratios of CFC-11 and CFC-12 from 1978<br />
to <strong>2011</strong>. NOAA Ozone Deplet<strong>in</strong>g Gas Index<br />
ODGI<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
85<br />
80<br />
75<br />
70<br />
65<br />
60<br />
Antarctic<br />
Mid-Latitude<br />
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010<br />
Figure 2: NOAA annual “Ozone Deplet<strong>in</strong>g Gas Index” <strong>for</strong> Antarctic and<br />
mid-latitude regions from 1992 to 2010.<br />
116 CIRES Annual Report <strong>2011</strong><br />
These measurement data are used to update the Ozone-Deplet<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Gas Index (Figure 2). The <strong>in</strong>dex represents tropospheric<br />
trace-gas abundances weighted by different factors relevant<br />
<strong>for</strong> different regions of the stratosphere. Actual changes <strong>in</strong> the<br />
stratospheric abundance of ozone-deplet<strong>in</strong>g halogen will be<br />
less than the decl<strong>in</strong>es shown <strong>in</strong> this figure, ow<strong>in</strong>g to transportrelated<br />
time lags. The <strong>in</strong>dex shows a cont<strong>in</strong>ued overall decl<strong>in</strong>e<br />
<strong>in</strong> the tropospheric abundance of ozone-deplet<strong>in</strong>g substances.<br />
Trace-gas measurement data collected <strong>in</strong> this program were<br />
also used to draw conclusions about the <strong>in</strong>terannual variability<br />
of certa<strong>in</strong> loss processes. Results <strong>for</strong> methyl chloro<strong>for</strong>m, <strong>in</strong><br />
particular, suggest only small changes <strong>in</strong> global mean atmospheric<br />
hydroxyl radical (OH) concentrations (Montzka et al.,<br />
<strong>2011</strong>), <strong>in</strong> contrast to results from some earlier observational<br />
studies. Data <strong>for</strong> a number of other gases also suggest small<br />
<strong>in</strong>terannual variability <strong>in</strong> global mean OH concentrations.<br />
Given the central role the atmospheric hydroxyl radical plays<br />
<strong>in</strong> global atmospheric chemistry, these results suggest that<br />
the atmosphere’s ability to cleanse itself of many pollutants is<br />
fairly robust.<br />
Product: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/hats/<br />
comb<strong>in</strong>ed/CFC11.html<br />
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/hats/comb<strong>in</strong>ed/CFC12.<br />
html<br />
Milestone 2. Report on the vertical profiles of ozonedeplet<strong>in</strong>g<br />
substances from the first three campaigns of<br />
the HIAPER Pole-to-Pole Observations of Greenhouse<br />
Gases mission (HIPPO) <strong>in</strong> 2010. Submit data to the HIPPO<br />
archive and report on the results at a scientific meet<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
HIAPER (High-per<strong>for</strong>mance Instrumented Airborne<br />
Plat<strong>for</strong>m <strong>for</strong> <strong>Environmental</strong> <strong>Research</strong>) Pole-to-Pole Observations—also<br />
known as HIPPO—<strong>in</strong>volves the study of carbon<br />
dioxide and other greenhouse gases, aerosols and black<br />
carbon (soot) <strong>in</strong> the troposphere us<strong>in</strong>g the National Science<br />
Foundation (NSF)/National Center <strong>for</strong> Atmospheric <strong>Research</strong><br />
(NCAR) Gulfstream V (GV) research aircraft. The flight path<br />
starts <strong>in</strong> Broomfield, Colo.; travels as far to the North Pole as<br />
possible from Anchorage, Alaska; and proceeds south across<br />
the Pacific to as far south as the South Pole from Christchurch,<br />
New Zealand, and back to Colorado. There will be five complete<br />
circuits dur<strong>in</strong>g four seasons. As of June <strong>2011</strong>, HIPPO/1,<br />
HIPPO/2, HIPPO/3 and HIPPO/4 have been completed.<br />
More than 120 profiles were taken of the whole troposphere