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2007 Annual Report - Sun Life Financial

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Reaching Greater Heights<br />

Management Review and Outlook<br />

<strong>Sun</strong> <strong>Life</strong><br />

Prosperity Dollar Advantage Fund, Inc.<br />

<strong>2007</strong> PERFORMANCE REVIEW. Return on Investments (ROI) closed was 3.46%<br />

compared to the average one-year U.S. Treasury Note of 4.53 %. The simmering<br />

U.S. sub-prime housing credit crisis drove investors to dump risky assets<br />

including Emerging Market issues that caused ROP bond prices to plummet in<br />

the 2nd half.<br />

FINANCIAL MARKEtS IN <strong>2007</strong> REVIEW<br />

The year <strong>2007</strong> was a rousing period for global<br />

financial markets. The deflation of the housing<br />

bubble in the United States and the ensuing capital<br />

and funding crises threatened to throw the country<br />

into recession. Massive asset write downs, corporate<br />

downgrades and dire aversion to risky assets were<br />

the theme staples. European markets reeled from<br />

cooling housing markets and bad credit.<br />

Certainly, the Philippine financial markets were not<br />

spared from the global credit rout. The resulting sell<br />

down of Emerging Market assets indicated that these<br />

regions have not decoupled enough to be immune to<br />

the broad re-pricing of credit risk. Overall, markets<br />

remained reasonably resilient as the appreciating<br />

peso, benign inflation, robust OFW remittances and<br />

increased government spending on developmental<br />

and social services underpinned an unprecedented<br />

consumption boom.<br />

Fiscal consolidation efforts started to pay off and<br />

performance exceeded expectations in <strong>2007</strong> just as<br />

actual budget deficit numbers are expected to be way<br />

below the government’s Php63.0 billion full-year<br />

target. Notably, government finances ostensibly got<br />

a boost from the sale of privatized assets amounting<br />

to over Php100 billion and benefited from reduced<br />

borrowing costs due to a strong currency and low<br />

interest rates.<br />

12 Prosperity Funds<br />

Robust dollar remittances from overseas workers<br />

continued to propel the peso rally in <strong>2007</strong>, closing<br />

at Php41.28 at yearend. In contrast, the peso-dollar<br />

exchange rate was Php49.03 in end-2006. Credit<br />

default spreads stabilized at 153 bps at yearend<br />

despite soaring to a year high of 236 bps during the<br />

global bond and equity sell-off in August.<br />

INVEStMENt APPROACh<br />

Investment strategy remains view-driven and<br />

all bond holdings are restricted to liquid issues.<br />

Investment in corporate debt is limited to select<br />

investment grade assets. No equity investments<br />

have been made to date.<br />

LONG tERM PERFORMANCE REVIEW<br />

To be sure, the unwinding of sub-prime mortgage<br />

linked Collateral Debt Obligations (CDOs) and<br />

Structured Investment Vehicles (SIVs) would create<br />

a drag on bond markets. Also, Emerging Market<br />

currencies have been moving in correlation with<br />

global equity indices, with trends often driven by<br />

sentiment rather than fundamentals.<br />

Global financial markets will take its cue from<br />

the broader U.S. credit market and trends should<br />

continue to be negative as the full impact of exposure<br />

to illiquid structured credit products has yet to<br />

unravel. Following the massive sell-off last year, an<br />

early price recovery appears unlikely as the U.S.<br />

housing crisis is set to deteriorate further.

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