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CORDLESS STANDARDS CT2 cordless technology developments have been most prolific in the United Kingdom, with six different applications for standards submitted to the United Kingdom's Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) by early 1988. To overcome these conflicts, a single CAI specification since has been developed by seven UK companies—British Telecom, Ferranti, OPT, Mercury, Orbitel, Shaye, and STC—under the guidance of the DTI. After three public consultative meetings attended by manufacturers and operators from most European countries, the DTI now has frozen the CAI to make it the basis of a memorandum of understanding (MOU) between several countries for a roaming telepoint service in Europe. These countries are likely to include Finland, France, Spain, the United Kingdom, and West Germany, and may also include others such as Ireland, Italy, and Portugal if consumers accept the telepoint system. The CAI standard outlines the minimum specifications necessary to permit handsets to interwork on a public telepoint or private network, yet afford manufacturers the maximum opportunity to differentiate and enhance their products with special functions. The following key features may be deduced from the CAI document: • High call density—CAI provides for dynamic allocation of 40 100-kHz channels that span 864 to 868 MHz, compared with a fixed allocation of 8 channels for CTl. With its low transmit power levels (ImW and lOmW), CAI is expected to permit an active call density of at least 2,000 calls/km^, • Compactness and lightness—CAI handsets will consume less power than CTl or cellular handsets and consequently will require smaller batteries. Use of the UHF radio frequency band will allow the handset to enclose the antenna, making it easy to hold in a hand or stow in a pocket. • Bidirectional call capability—The CAI standard allows handsets to both receive calls from and send calls to nearby base stations. However, the United Kingdom's telepoint operators are licensed only to provide their subscribers with outgoing call capability. • Digital transmission—In either direction, the CAI provides an average usable rate of 32 kbps for speech coding according to the Consultative Committee on International Telephony and Telegraphy (CCITT) G.721 Adaptive Differential Pulse Code Modulation (ADPCM) recommendation. Cordless technology will remain in a state of continual change for some time. Like CTl, the CAI is not destined to become a European cordless standard.. However, it may become an Interim European Telecommunications Standard (lETS) while the European Telecommunications Standards Institute (ETSI) works on the more advanced DECT standard. DECT uses a different method to transmit data and is expected to provide at least five-times-greater call density than CT2, but it will not be finalized until mid-1991—after CT2 has received consumer exposure in Europe. No compatibility is foreseen between CT2 and DECT equipment. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated July ESAM Newsletter
APPLICATIONS CT2's new features will lead to many new products not technically or commercially feasible using current CTl or cellular radio technologies. Table 1 shows new applications envisaged for CT2 in the four main operating environments: home, office, public places, and mobile. CTl CT2 DECT Cellular Table 1 Suitability of CT2 Compared with Other Technologies by Application and Environment Home Single base station Single base station Single base station tr T Office Multiple base stations Multiple nested base stations Cordless PBX extension U Public Places T Telepoint handset Telepoint handset Portable handset T T T Mobile Mobile handset Note: T = technically not feasible; U s economically not feasible; CTl s first-generation analog cordless telephones, as used in the home today; CT2 s second-generation digital cordless telephones, to reach the market after mid-1989; DECT = third-generation DECT standards currently being developed by ETSI. Handsets are expected to reach the market after 1992. Source! Dataguest July 1989 The first CT2 handsets (Shaye Communications' Forum and Ferranti's Zonephone) will go on sale in the United Kingdom this summer for use with the new telepoint services. These early handsets will use different and mutually incompatible standards, but will be superseded by handsets using the CAI standard after mid-1990. ESAM Newsletter © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated July
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European Semiconductor Application
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Dataquest a company of The Dun& Bra
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i EUROPEAN SEMICONDUCTOR PROCUREMEN
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Europe-based manufacturers were con
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Table 2 (Continued) Major Semicondu
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Page Printers Page printers are com
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PRINTER INDUSTRY DEFINITIONS APPEND
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TABLE 1 Benefits from Electronic Fu
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TABLE 3 Key Electronic Electricity
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DataQuest aaMTipanyof ThcDunSTBrads
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Page 24 and 25: Which Computer? The computers purch
Page 26 and 27: Atari, which became the number one
Page 28 and 29: However, although there can be litt
Page 30 and 31: DATAQUEST CONCLUSIONS The assertion
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Page 34 and 35: COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT IN THE UNIT
Page 36 and 37: However, having overcome the techni
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Page 44 and 45: 30 minutes to 600 minutes by 1995.
Page 46 and 47: "Think Global—Act Global" Jose Me
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Page 50 and 51: Mv^-y5t5;fsi ^ci Research DataQuest
Page 52 and 53: Figure 2 Difference between Semicon
Page 60 and 61: Dataquest anticipates an era of gre
Page 62 and 63: fflOH GROWTH RATE ATTRACTS MANY NEW
Page 64 and 65: * Average selling prices (ASPs) wil
Page 66 and 67: DATAQUEST CONCLUSIONS The rapid ini
Page 68 and 69: Experienced disk drive producers we
Page 70 and 71: The Japanese may well make further
Page 74 and 75: CT2's strengths reside in its appli
Page 76 and 77: The Upside Scenario Figure 1 shows
Page 78 and 79: Table 2 Estimated Semiconductor Con
Page 80 and 81: DATAQUEST CONCLUSIONS CT2's main ap
Page 82 and 83: The present ISA, or AT bus, is not
Page 84 and 85: MCA MCA Delivery Time IBM has been
Page 86 and 87: EISA Consortium Dataquest believes
Page 88 and 89: Dataquest Conference Schedule 1989
Page 90 and 91: Background The UNIX penetration int
Page 92 and 93: Figure 3 European UNIX Computer Shi
Page 94 and 95: 1987 Total $22.4 Billion Figure 5 U
Page 96 and 97: DATAQUEST ANALYSIS The issue of UNI
Page 98 and 99: • Small department computers (SDC
Page 100 and 101: DataQuest Conference Schedule 1989
Page 102 and 103: 8086/88 286 386 Non-compatible NA =
Page 104 and 105: ANALYSIS OF SEMICONDUCTOR CONTENT T
Page 106 and 107: FUTURE TRENDS The advent of markets
Page 108 and 109: Benelux France Italy Scandinavia U.
Page 110 and 111: Italy The Italian market exhibited
Page 112 and 113: The Rest of Europe market is expect
Page 114 and 115: Intel and National Semiconductor ha
Page 116 and 117: Dataquest believes that continuing
Page 118 and 119: Table 2 Estimated Semiconductor Con
Page 120 and 121: Production in Europe Dataquest esti
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Dataquest Conference Schedule 1989
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THE STANDARDS: MAC VERSUS MUSE Euro
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DATAQUEST ANALYSIS Evolution of MAC
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Year Table 1 Estimated IC Value by
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In addition to the $217 million mar
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TOO MANY HURDLES? The promise that
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Millions of Dollars 150 140 120 100
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Dataqyesl I aoHTiparTvof The Di in
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Figure 1 shows how the ISDN fits to
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ISDN IC FUNCTIONS Table 1 Bus Forma
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Figure 3 ISDN Semiconductor Demand
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PTT (P
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fe- Dataoyest OMporatnn Research Ne
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Air Conditioners Microwave Ovens Wa
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Bosch-Siemens has four plants in Ge
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DataQuest t acompAiwcf The E^inK^sd
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What, I hear you ask, gives me the
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The 1980s have brought us to Phase
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What I would like to do now is to e
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(Slide 22) This necessary adjustmen
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procurement, to eventual export of
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(Slide 1) (Slide 2) 1992: HAS EUROP
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(Slide 5) (Slide 6) 1992 IMPACT •
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(Slide 9) (Slide 10) EUROPEAN SEMIC
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(Slide 13) (Slide 14) EUROPEAN COMP
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(Slide 17) EUROPEAN END-USE VENDOR
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(Slide 21) (Slide 22) Europe Other
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(Slide 25) (Slide 26) rtnu stack ST
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(Slide 29) (Slide 30) SUPPLIER/CUST
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(Slide 33) (Slide 34) EUROPEAN ELEC
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(Slide 37) THE 1992 CHALLENGE HIGH
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Millions of Units 12- 10- 8- 6- 4-
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Most of the Japanese firms are quit
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Western Europe North America Rest o
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Local Content In June 1987, the EEC
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Activity Factory Set Up Change Expo
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All this activity is of great inter
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Table 2 European Facsimile Market S
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Color Facsimile Machines The Japane
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Productivity Race The facsimile out
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mm Dataoyest aconwanyof The Diin& B
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Figure 2 Geographic Distributi
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Table 3 Semiconductor Inventories R
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heavily used over their European co
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Dataqyest acomranyof ihcDSnlTBradsb
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DATAQUEST ANALYSIS Prior to the int
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NOKIA As shown in Figure 1, the Nok
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Net sales from this division for th
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^m DataQuest a company of TneDun& B
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Country West Germany France United
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• Road map directories in automob
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Table 1 EUROPEAN COM^aJNICATIONS EQ
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Application Telex Teletex Videotex
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Dataquest a company of The Dun & Br
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Research Depth of research includes
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Table 3 EUROPEAN INPUT/OUTPUT RATIO
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Dataoyest k^ i m a company of ^ W D
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for mag stripe technology were adop
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financial community today, without
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•'95% Figure 1 MANUFACTURING AUT(
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standards to serve the Italian mark
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In an alliance with EMUG, 30 French
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In spite of these bright spots, Dat
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m^m Dataquesl T^^Suj-iA^^'-fT'i^v f
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Figure 2 Revenue by Region Source:
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Strategic Changes Figure 4 Worldwid
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Terminals Figure 5 Pyramid of Produ
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The Nixdorf 8850 Figure 6 Communica
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The Nixdorf 8870 The 8870 product f
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Figure 7 PHOTO OF PWS-X Source: Nix
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Communication between Nixdorf produ
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The business orientation continues
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Nixdorf intends to exploit the stre
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s^^^s-^f ^^^li^^^^^ DataQuest acomp
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Type of Deflktoo DevicB Display Ter
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INSTALLED BASE OF DESKTOP TERMINALS
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Word Processors Shipments of standa
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:oo« 80% 60% - 40% 20% Figures Eur
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Dataquest expects that by 1991, the
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Appendix A DEFINITIONS OF KEYBOARD
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Appendix B CONNECTION TECHNOLOGIES
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Manufacturer APD Apple Apricot Bull
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of computer graphics and storage su
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