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"Telecommunications Technologies for the 1990s" Horst Ohnsorge, Director, Research and Technology Alcatel Already the 29 biggest cities in Germany have been linked \yith 500,000 kilometers of fiber-optic cable for a broadband communications system. Fiber-optic technology is also prevalent in other countries: Fiber-to-the-home is the goal in the United States, with trials in 11 cities; France has the Biarritz network; the United Kingdom has the Milton Keynes network; Canada has the Elie Manitoba net; and Japan has the Hi Ovis network. Technical advances that are required to service broadband communications equipment include the following: • 1-million-plus transistor ASICs with less than 50ps gate delays • 32-Mbit memories with 1 ns access time costing 10 ECUs • 500-mips, 32-bit microprocessors with 100-MHz clock rates costing 50 ECU "Eastern Europe and Perestroika" Yuri Levine, Senior Research Fellow Institute of World Economy and International Relations, USSR Academy of Sciences Having a nonconvertible currency, an inefficient bureaucracy, and a state monopoly on foreign trade have contributed to slow economic growth in Russia. However, since December 1988, every Russian company has had the right to trade abroad and find partners. By the end of 1988, 200 joint ventures—representing Western investment of $441 million—had been registered. So far, in 1989, 300 more have been added. There is no limit on the percentage share that foreign companies can hold. Nonconvertibility of the ruble poses problems for foreign companies that want to repatriate profits. Either the Commerce Ministry could find ways around that problem, or Western companies could either purchase Russian goods and export them or export the products of the joint venture. "Consumer Europe" Jacques Noels, President and CEO Nokia Consumer Electronics A revolution is taking place in Europe on several fronts. First, a revival of interest in consumer electronics with big investments in HDTV, in satellite broadcasting, and DSP is taking place. Second, the technical revolution that has changed the computer world has not yet affected consumer electronics, but it will—TVs in the 1990s will have 50 Mbytes of RAM. Third, personal electronics will become big business, especially with home-integrated systems. Fourth, what effect will 1992 have? And, last but not least, are the effects of deregulation. European governments should support the industry that is fighting not only the Japanese but the developing countries as well. ESAM Newsletter © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated July
"The European Renaissance" Jurgen Knorr, Senior Vice President, Components Division Siemens If a renaissance in Europe's electronics industry is to occur, the industry will need to catch up in microelectronics technology. Siemens believes that it is only six months behind the Japanese with the 4-Mbit generation of DRAMs and will catch up with 16 Mbit technology. It will cost $3.7 billion to reach the stage of producing 10 million 16-Mbit DRAMs a month. The R&D cost for the 16-Mbit DRAMs will be $500 million. It is an expensive and risky business, but dependency could result if only one member of the triad has DRAM manufacturing capability. JESSI, funded 50 percent by participating companies and 25 percent by the EEC, will ensure that Europe maintains its position in DRAMs. "So we see a green light for the European semiconductor industry." NEW DIRECTORY OF DATAQUEST PUBLICATIONS Byron Harding A new directory describing 30 Dataquest Research Publications is now available from Dataquest's Direct Marketing Group. The directory includes information on the following: • Monthly newsletters on global semiconductor, information systems, and office equipment markets • SpecCheck specification guides for hundreds of facsimile machines, copiers, personal computers, and printers • In-depth reports on current high-technology topics, from intellectual property issues to high-definition video technology For a free copy of the directory, call the Direct Marketing Group toll-free at 1-800-624-3282 or write: Direct Marketing Group Dataquest Incorporated 1290 Ridder Park Drive San Jose, CA 95131 Source Code: K4 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated July ESAM Newsletter
Page 1: European Semiconductor Application
Page 4 and 5: Dataquest a company of The Dun& Bra
Page 6 and 7: i EUROPEAN SEMICONDUCTOR PROCUREMEN
Page 8 and 9: Europe-based manufacturers were con
Page 10 and 11: Table 2 (Continued) Major Semicondu
Page 12 and 13: Page Printers Page printers are com
Page 14 and 15: PRINTER INDUSTRY DEFINITIONS APPEND
Page 16 and 17: TABLE 1 Benefits from Electronic Fu
Page 18 and 19: TABLE 3 Key Electronic Electricity
Page 20 and 21: DataQuest aaMTipanyof ThcDunSTBrads
Page 22 and 23: ESAM 0002383 Parcemoea 100% f Figur
Page 24 and 25: Which Computer? The computers purch
Page 26 and 27: Atari, which became the number one
Page 28 and 29: However, although there can be litt
Page 30 and 31: DATAQUEST CONCLUSIONS The assertion
Page 32 and 33: 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0004613
Page 34 and 35: COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT IN THE UNIT
Page 36 and 37: However, having overcome the techni
Page 38 and 39: 0004614-1 Figure 1 Cell-Repeat Patt
Page 40 and 41: Registration Within the system, a n
Page 42 and 43: i^M$M:M DataQuest accmipanyof ihe D
Page 44 and 45: 30 minutes to 600 minutes by 1995.
Page 46 and 47: "Think Global—Act Global" Jose Me
Page 50 and 51: Mv^-y5t5;fsi ^ci Research DataQuest
Page 52 and 53: Figure 2 Difference between Semicon
Page 60 and 61: Dataquest anticipates an era of gre
Page 62 and 63: fflOH GROWTH RATE ATTRACTS MANY NEW
Page 64 and 65: * Average selling prices (ASPs) wil
Page 66 and 67: DATAQUEST CONCLUSIONS The rapid ini
Page 68 and 69: Experienced disk drive producers we
Page 70 and 71: The Japanese may well make further
Page 72 and 73: CORDLESS STANDARDS CT2 cordless tec
Page 74 and 75: CT2's strengths reside in its appli
Page 76 and 77: The Upside Scenario Figure 1 shows
Page 78 and 79: Table 2 Estimated Semiconductor Con
Page 80 and 81: DATAQUEST CONCLUSIONS CT2's main ap
Page 82 and 83: The present ISA, or AT bus, is not
Page 84 and 85: MCA MCA Delivery Time IBM has been
Page 86 and 87: EISA Consortium Dataquest believes
Page 88 and 89: Dataquest Conference Schedule 1989
Page 90 and 91: Background The UNIX penetration int
Page 92 and 93: Figure 3 European UNIX Computer Shi
Page 94 and 95: 1987 Total $22.4 Billion Figure 5 U
Page 96 and 97: DATAQUEST ANALYSIS The issue of UNI
Page 98 and 99:
• Small department computers (SDC
Page 100 and 101:
DataQuest Conference Schedule 1989
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8086/88 286 386 Non-compatible NA =
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ANALYSIS OF SEMICONDUCTOR CONTENT T
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FUTURE TRENDS The advent of markets
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Benelux France Italy Scandinavia U.
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Italy The Italian market exhibited
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The Rest of Europe market is expect
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Intel and National Semiconductor ha
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Dataquest believes that continuing
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Table 2 Estimated Semiconductor Con
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Production in Europe Dataquest esti
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Dataquest Conference Schedule 1989
Page 124 and 125:
THE STANDARDS: MAC VERSUS MUSE Euro
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DATAQUEST ANALYSIS Evolution of MAC
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Year Table 1 Estimated IC Value by
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In addition to the $217 million mar
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TOO MANY HURDLES? The promise that
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Millions of Dollars 150 140 120 100
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Dataqyesl I aoHTiparTvof The Di in
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Figure 1 shows how the ISDN fits to
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ISDN IC FUNCTIONS Table 1 Bus Forma
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Figure 3 ISDN Semiconductor Demand
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PTT (P
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fe- Dataoyest OMporatnn Research Ne
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Air Conditioners Microwave Ovens Wa
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Bosch-Siemens has four plants in Ge
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DataQuest t acompAiwcf The E^inK^sd
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What, I hear you ask, gives me the
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The 1980s have brought us to Phase
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What I would like to do now is to e
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(Slide 22) This necessary adjustmen
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procurement, to eventual export of
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(Slide 1) (Slide 2) 1992: HAS EUROP
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(Slide 5) (Slide 6) 1992 IMPACT •
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(Slide 9) (Slide 10) EUROPEAN SEMIC
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(Slide 13) (Slide 14) EUROPEAN COMP
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(Slide 17) EUROPEAN END-USE VENDOR
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(Slide 21) (Slide 22) Europe Other
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(Slide 25) (Slide 26) rtnu stack ST
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(Slide 29) (Slide 30) SUPPLIER/CUST
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(Slide 33) (Slide 34) EUROPEAN ELEC
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(Slide 37) THE 1992 CHALLENGE HIGH
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Millions of Units 12- 10- 8- 6- 4-
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Most of the Japanese firms are quit
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Western Europe North America Rest o
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Local Content In June 1987, the EEC
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Activity Factory Set Up Change Expo
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All this activity is of great inter
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Table 2 European Facsimile Market S
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Color Facsimile Machines The Japane
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Productivity Race The facsimile out
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mm Dataoyest aconwanyof The Diin& B
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Figure 2 Geographic Distributi
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Table 3 Semiconductor Inventories R
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heavily used over their European co
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Dataqyest acomranyof ihcDSnlTBradsb
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DATAQUEST ANALYSIS Prior to the int
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NOKIA As shown in Figure 1, the Nok
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Net sales from this division for th
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^m DataQuest a company of TneDun& B
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Country West Germany France United
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• Road map directories in automob
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Table 1 EUROPEAN COM^aJNICATIONS EQ
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Application Telex Teletex Videotex
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Dataquest a company of The Dun & Br
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Research Depth of research includes
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Table 3 EUROPEAN INPUT/OUTPUT RATIO
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Dataoyest k^ i m a company of ^ W D
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for mag stripe technology were adop
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financial community today, without
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•'95% Figure 1 MANUFACTURING AUT(
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standards to serve the Italian mark
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In an alliance with EMUG, 30 French
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In spite of these bright spots, Dat
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m^m Dataquesl T^^Suj-iA^^'-fT'i^v f
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Figure 2 Revenue by Region Source:
Page 253 and 254:
Strategic Changes Figure 4 Worldwid
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Terminals Figure 5 Pyramid of Produ
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The Nixdorf 8850 Figure 6 Communica
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The Nixdorf 8870 The 8870 product f
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Figure 7 PHOTO OF PWS-X Source: Nix
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Communication between Nixdorf produ
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The business orientation continues
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Nixdorf intends to exploit the stre
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s^^^s-^f ^^^li^^^^^ DataQuest acomp
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Type of Deflktoo DevicB Display Ter
Page 273 and 274:
INSTALLED BASE OF DESKTOP TERMINALS
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Word Processors Shipments of standa
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:oo« 80% 60% - 40% 20% Figures Eur
Page 279 and 280:
Dataquest expects that by 1991, the
Page 281 and 282:
Appendix A DEFINITIONS OF KEYBOARD
Page 283 and 284:
Appendix B CONNECTION TECHNOLOGIES
Page 285 and 286:
Manufacturer APD Apple Apricot Bull
Page 287 and 288:
of computer graphics and storage su
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