Prescient presentation - Petmin
Prescient presentation - Petmin
Prescient presentation - Petmin
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Urbanisation has a double effect on steel demand, with<br />
more people AND greater steel usage per person<br />
Sources: Peabody Energy, ‘Barclays CEO Energy-Power Conference’, Sep<br />
2010; Central Intelligence Agency, ‘The World Factbook’, 2011; US<br />
Census Bureau, ‘International Database’, 2011; United Nations,<br />
‘2009 Revision Population Database’, 2011; IMF, ‘World Economic<br />
Outlook’, 2011<br />
15<br />
Country<br />
Population:<br />
million (percentage)<br />
2010 2015 2020<br />
Urbanisation:<br />
million (percentage)<br />
Urbanisation:<br />
million (percentage)<br />
Urbanisation:<br />
million (percentage)<br />
Japan 127 85 (67%) 86 (68%) 86 (69%)<br />
China 1 398 636 (47%) 713 (51%) 787 (55%)<br />
India 1 215 365 (30%) 411 (32%) 463 (34%)<br />
Brazil 195 169 (87%) 179 (88%) 187 (90%)<br />
Korea 48 40 (83%) 42 (84%) 42 (86%)<br />
Rest of world 3 921 2192 (55%) 2394 (57%) 2610 (58%)<br />
World total 6 904 3 486 (51%) 3 824 (52%) 4 176 (54%)<br />
World total population 6904 7298 7 677<br />
% urban<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
Global urbanisation growth 2010-2050<br />
2010 2050<br />
India and China total<br />
urbanised growth<br />
2010-2020<br />
= 250 million people<br />
~ 700 million to cities<br />
~ 800 million ‘new’<br />
people<br />
…turning …Committed development to projects growth, …exceeding into dedicated cash generative to expectations<br />
value assets
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