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Information and liaison bulletin - Institut kurde de Paris

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66<br />

ERBIL<br />

Revue <strong>de</strong> Presse-Press Review-Berhevoka Çapê-Rivista Stampa-Dentro <strong>de</strong> la Prensa-Basin Ùzeti<br />

Iraqi Kurdistan<br />

Iraq's Kurdish lea<strong>de</strong>r<br />

in a bind<br />

What can Masoud Barzani, the Iraqi Kurds' lea<strong>de</strong>r, actually do?<br />

IRAQ'S Kurdish lea<strong>de</strong>rs are <strong>de</strong>sperate to with its lea<strong>de</strong>rs for stoking the crisis. But he<br />

forestall-or at least to minimise-TUr- refuses to send his own Peshmerga fighters<br />

key's threatened assault against the guer¬ to drive the pkk out of its strongholds; they<br />

rillas of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (pkk) tried <strong>and</strong> failed to do that several times in<br />

who have been attacking the Turkish army the 1990s, sometimes in co-operation with<br />

in Turkey while using the rugged moun¬ the TUrks, <strong>and</strong> got a bloody nose. The days<br />

tains of northern Iraq as a haven. In the of Kurd fighting Kurd are over, says Mr Bar¬<br />

past week, the regional government of zani, mindful of the civil war among Iraqi<br />

Iraqi Kurdistan, un<strong>de</strong>r the presi<strong>de</strong>ncy of Kurds in the 1990s. Instead, he suggests<br />

Masoud Barzani, has used its good offices sending a multinational force into the re¬<br />

to facilitate the release of eight Turkish sol¬ gion to corral the pkk. It is unclear which<br />

diers whom the pkk had recently captured countries would contribute to such a force.<br />

in Turkey. But the Turks say that Mr Barzani Mr Barzani anyway rejects the charge<br />

<strong>and</strong> his American allies must do more if that the attacks on Turkish troops have<br />

Turkey is to put off a full-scale attack. been launched from Iraq, claiming that Re¬<br />

Exactly what? Mr Barzani says he is cep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey's prime minis¬<br />

ready to help solve the pkk problem- ter, just before Turkey's general election in<br />

peacefully. He insists that he is a friend of the summer, said himself that there were<br />

TUrkey <strong>and</strong> the Turks but will not co-oper¬ 5,000-odd pkk fighters insi<strong>de</strong> Turkey com¬<br />

ate "un<strong>de</strong>r threats <strong>and</strong> blackmail". He has pared with only 500 or so over the bor<strong>de</strong>r<br />

repeated calls for the pkk to stick to its uni¬ in northern Iraq. Mr Barzani also points<br />

lateral ceasefire (proclaimed a year ago) out that the heaviest fighting between the<br />

<strong>and</strong> not to use its bases in the remote pkk <strong>and</strong> Turkish troops has been in Tunceli<br />

mountains of Iraqi Kurdistan to launch at¬ province, more than 100 miles (161km)<br />

tacks' across the bor<strong>de</strong>r into Turkey (see west of Turkey's bor<strong>de</strong>r with Iraq.<br />

map on next page). Mr Barzani's govern¬ Mr Barzani's nephew Nechirvan, the re¬<br />

ment has closed the offices of the Kurdis¬ gion's prime minister, wrote in the Wash¬<br />

tan Democratic Solution Party, which ington Post this week: "We have con¬<br />

praises the pkk, in Iraqi Kurdistan's two <strong>de</strong>mned <strong>and</strong> will continue.to con<strong>de</strong>mn the<br />

biggest towns, Erbil, its capital, <strong>and</strong> Sulay- pkk for its unwarranted attacks in TUrkey.<br />

maniyah. Mr Barzani also says that check¬ We insist that its members lay down their<br />

points between the main part of his region arms immediately. We do not allow them<br />

<strong>and</strong> the pkk zone have been revived, to to operate freely, contrary to what some<br />

squeeze the guerrillas by staunching the have suggested." Both Barzanis, presi<strong>de</strong>nt<br />

flow of supplies.<br />

<strong>and</strong> prime minister, said the Turks <strong>and</strong> the<br />

There is no love lost between Mr Bar¬ pkk must negotiate rather than fight. The<br />

zani <strong>and</strong> the pkk. He is privately furious uncle noted that Turkey had tried for 23<br />

years to crush the pkk militarily-in vain.<br />

In any event, the numbers of pkk guer¬<br />

rillas, in or out of TUrkey, are disputed. In a<br />

recent interview, Osman Ocalan, brother<br />

of the pick's lea<strong>de</strong>r Abdullah Ocalan, who<br />

is injail on the isl<strong>and</strong> ofImrali in the Sea of<br />

Marmara, said there were 2,750 pkk guer¬<br />

rillas in TUrkey, 2,500 in Iraq's bor<strong>de</strong>rl<strong>and</strong>s<br />

<strong>and</strong> 1,500 in Iran. The last-mentioned lot<br />

belong to the Party of Free Life of Kurdis¬<br />

tan, better known as pjak, generally reck¬<br />

oned to be the pkk's Iranian Kurdish<br />

branch. Many pkk guerrillas are thought<br />

to have moved across the bor<strong>de</strong>r into Iran,<br />

which the Turks are unlikely to encroach<br />

upon. Some in<strong>de</strong>pen<strong>de</strong>nt watchers put the<br />

pkk numbers in Iraq at fewer than 500.<br />

The pick says it wants to negotiate <strong>and</strong><br />

that its violence is in response to Turkish<br />

attacks-a claim that enrages the Turks;<br />

35,000-plus people in Turkey (most of<br />

Eyeing the Turks<br />

them Kurds) have been killed since the pkk<br />

Black<br />

JstanbuL-<br />

The<br />

Economist November lOtb 2007<br />

*\ ^Ankara TUNCtt<br />

Srtvf ° ,<br />

Ma'imra - ;<br />

began fighting in the 1980s. The pkk also<br />

insists that, unlike its cousins in Iraq <strong>and</strong><br />

Iran, it no longer seeks autonomy or fe<strong>de</strong>r¬<br />

alism, but just wants Kurdish cultural <strong>and</strong><br />

political rights enshrined in Turkey's con¬<br />

stitution. It also wants Mr Ocalan freed<br />

<strong>and</strong> better conditions while he is in prison.<br />

Mr Barzani's mollifying gestures have<br />

cut little ice in TUrkey, where he is wi<strong>de</strong>ly<br />

cast as a villain in the thick of a plot to dis¬<br />

member Turkey by egging on the pkk.<br />

Nationalist Turkish commentators call him<br />

"insolent" <strong>and</strong> "treacherous". Turkish<br />

weapons should be "turned on Barzani,"<br />

says the editor of Hurrùj et, one of Turkey's<br />

biggest daily newspapers. Mr Erdogan has<br />

joined the fray, accusing Mr Barzani of aid¬<br />

ing <strong>and</strong> abetting the pkk.<br />

Please don't throttle us<br />

The Kurdish Iraqis are already suffering<br />

from <strong>de</strong> facto economic sanctions im¬<br />

posed by TUrkey, which has been their<br />

economic lifeline. The Turks are threaten¬<br />

ing to close the one bor<strong>de</strong>r crossing for<br />

heavy lorries, through which vital sup¬<br />

plies of food <strong>and</strong> equipment reach Iraqi<br />

Kurdistan. Flights between Istanbul <strong>and</strong><br />

Erbil, the Kurds' capital, have been sus¬<br />

pen<strong>de</strong>d. There has been talk of shutting off<br />

electricity from TUrkey, which would hurt<br />

the flourishing city of Dohuk. Several Turk¬<br />

ish companies that have been doing good<br />

business in Iraqi Kurdistan (such as buildingErbil's<br />

airport) have packed up <strong>and</strong>-for<br />

the time being-gone. The Barzanis sorely<br />

need them back. But how?<br />

This week George Bush welcomed Mr<br />

Erdogan to the White House <strong>and</strong> assured<br />

him that the United States <strong>de</strong>ems the pkk a<br />

terrorist group <strong>and</strong> is as keen as TUrkey to<br />

squelch it. The administration apparently<br />

endorsed limited Turkish military action<br />

against the guerrillas <strong>and</strong> has offered to<br />

give as much intelligence as it can so that<br />

the Turks can i<strong>de</strong>ntify pkk targets. But it<br />

has begged the TUrks to refrain from a big¬<br />

ger-scale attack that could drag the Iraqi<br />

Kurds into the fray-<strong>and</strong> <strong>de</strong>stabilise the<br />

only bit of Iraq that has been peaceful <strong>and</strong><br />

increasingly prosperous. So far, Mr Erdo¬<br />

gan <strong>and</strong> his generals have held back. But<br />

no one is sure they will do so for long.

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