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Information and liaison bulletin - Institut kurde de Paris

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Revue <strong>de</strong> Presse-Press Review-Berhevoka Çapê-Rivista Stampa-Dentro <strong>de</strong> la Prensa-Basin Ôzeti<br />

Clic&osumiPlobe<br />

November November 7, 2007<br />

Turkey set to attack, but limits seen<br />

By Selcan Hacaoqlu <strong>and</strong> David Rising Associated Press /<br />

ANKARA, Turkey - Tens of thous<strong>and</strong>s of<br />

have been evacuating their camps <strong>and</strong> melting<br />

Turkish troops were poised yesterday on the away into cities <strong>and</strong> other regions.<br />

bor<strong>de</strong>r with Iraq awaiting the or<strong>de</strong>r to attack Kurdish<br />

fighters, <strong>and</strong> Presi<strong>de</strong>nt Abdullah Gul said the coun¬<br />

try will do "what it believes to be right" to tame the<br />

rebels,<br />

more stories like this<br />

But with winter rapidly approaching in the moun¬<br />

tainous region, <strong>and</strong> pressure from the United States<br />

to avoid an all-out cross-bor<strong>de</strong>r incursion, officials<br />

<strong>and</strong> analysts said Turkey will probably be looking<br />

toward a limited offensive involving raids <strong>and</strong> aerial<br />

assaults.<br />

Several possibilities are being discussed, including<br />

F-1 6 strikes on rebel positions, helicopter raids, <strong>and</strong><br />

special forces missions, according to a government<br />

official familiar with the planning.<br />

"The area is heavily mined <strong>and</strong> a big incursion with<br />

tens of thous<strong>and</strong>s of troops is out of the question,"<br />

he said, speaking on condition of anonymity be¬<br />

cause he was not authorized to speak to the press.<br />

With the Turkish government talking openly for<br />

weeks about the likelihood of an attack, the official<br />

said intelligence information shows the guerrillas<br />

A high-ranking retired military officer who partici¬<br />

pated in the planning of previous incursions into<br />

northern Iraq in the mid-1990s said he had received<br />

the same information.<br />

"They are apparently evacuating camps along the<br />

bor<strong>de</strong>r ahead of a Turkish operation, as usual," said<br />

the officer, also on condition of anonymity.<br />

The United States <strong>and</strong> Iraq have been pressing<br />

Turkey to avoid a major cross-bor<strong>de</strong>r attack on<br />

Kurdistan Workers' Party, or PKK, rebel bases in<br />

northern Iraq out of fear such an incursion would<br />

bring instability to what has been one of the calmest<br />

areas in Iraq.<br />

In northern Iraq, a spokesman for one of the two<br />

parties that governs the semiautonomous region<br />

urged Turkey to refrain from any attack, but sug¬<br />

gested scaled-down raids would not be as <strong>de</strong>stabi¬<br />

lizing.<br />

Turkish Daily News November 7. 2007<br />

"We reject any kind of Turkish military strike,<br />

whether limited or not," Azad Jindyany, spokesman<br />

for the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, said in Sulaimaniyah.<br />

"A limited one would cause a limited<br />

problem, but an unlimited strike would <strong>de</strong>stroy the<br />

whole situation."<br />

The former military officer said Turkey was planning<br />

for air strikes from planes <strong>and</strong> helicopter gunships,<br />

as well as special forces comm<strong>and</strong>o raids.<br />

But scaled-down assaults wouldn't necessarily rule<br />

out the use of large numbers of troops, he said.<br />

"A few thous<strong>and</strong> troops could still penetrate the<br />

Iraqi bor<strong>de</strong>r to block escape routes of the rebels<br />

during a pinpoint raid," he said.<br />

PKK rebels have killed more than 40 Turks in hit-<br />

<strong>and</strong>-run attacks over the past month, mainly sol¬<br />

diers, raising the public pressure on Turkish Prime<br />

Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan to retaliate.<br />

Gul said yesterday that Turkey had ma<strong>de</strong> its <strong>de</strong>ci¬<br />

sion on what to do about the PKK rebels.<br />

"Turkey will carry out what it believes to be right<br />

with <strong>de</strong>termination," state-run Anatolia news agency<br />

quoted Gul as saying.<br />

While he did not specify what the <strong>de</strong>cision was, the<br />

presi<strong>de</strong>nt ma<strong>de</strong> it clear that Turkey feels the PKK is<br />

leading to instability in the region.<br />

The comments were ma<strong>de</strong> a day after Presi<strong>de</strong>nt<br />

Bush met in Washington with Erdogan <strong>and</strong> prom¬<br />

ised him the United States would share military<br />

intelligence in the hunt for PKK rebels.<br />

Following that meeting, Erdogan strongly suggested<br />

an attack was imminent.<br />

US to provi<strong>de</strong> intelligence aid for 'limited1 operation<br />

US mulls providing Turkey intelligence to help 'limited, targeted' anti-PKK operations, White House says<br />

UMÏT ENGJIMSOY<br />

WASHINGTON Presid ent George W. Bush<br />

has told Prime Minister Recep Tayyip<br />

Erdogan that the United States will boost intelli¬<br />

gence help to Turkey in its fight against the northern<br />

Iraq-based outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK)<br />

terrorists, but the Turks want to make sure that<br />

Washington keeps its promise this time. "It is time<br />

for concrete action, not rhetoric," Erdogan said at<br />

the Center for Strategic <strong>and</strong> International Studies<br />

(CSIS), a think tank here, hours after a 90-minute<br />

meeting with Bush at the White House Mon¬<br />

day." Step one is to make sure that our intelligence<br />

sharing is good," Bush told reporters at the end of<br />

talks wi th Erdogan. "Good, sound intelligence<br />

<strong>de</strong>livered on a real-time basis using mo<strong>de</strong>rn tech¬<br />

nology will make it much easier to <strong>de</strong>al effectively<br />

with people who are using mur<strong>de</strong>r as a weapon to<br />

achieve political objectives," Bush said. Bush's<br />

spokesman, Dana Perino, provi<strong>de</strong>d some <strong>de</strong>tails on<br />

the nature of Washington's pledge for intelligence<br />

support. Recent U.S.-Turkish anti-PKK cooperation<br />

talks have inclu<strong>de</strong>d "intelligence information that we<br />

can give to the Turks as they carry out limited <strong>and</strong><br />

targeted exercises against the PKK," she said.<br />

New military <strong>liaison</strong>:<br />

Qualifying the PKK as a common enemy of both<br />

Turkey <strong>and</strong> the United States, Bush also announced<br />

the creation of a new anti-PKK <strong>liaison</strong> between top<br />

60<br />

military officials from the two NATO nations."We<br />

talked about the need for our military to stay in<br />

constant contact. To this end, the prime minister <strong>and</strong><br />

I have set up a tripartite arrangement for his number<br />

two man in the military to stay in touch with our<br />

number two man <strong>and</strong> General Petraeus," he<br />

said.With "number two men," he was referring to<br />

Deputy Chief of General Staff Gen. Ergin Saygun<br />

<strong>and</strong> Gen. James Cartwright, Vice Chairman of the<br />

U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, who were both present at<br />

the White House talks. Gen. David Petraeus is the<br />

top comm<strong>and</strong>er of U.S. <strong>and</strong> coalition forces in<br />

lraq."This was nice talk, but we really urge the<br />

United States to abi<strong>de</strong> by its pledge this time <strong>and</strong> let<br />

this intelligence apparatus work," one Turkish official<br />

said. "Otherwise they will lose all their credibil¬<br />

ity." Increased PKK attacks from bases in northern<br />

Iraq on Turkish targets last month prompted Parlia¬<br />

ment to authorize the government to or<strong>de</strong>r a military<br />

incursion into Iraq to fight the PKK there. Turkey<br />

repeated calls on Washington <strong>and</strong> Baghdad to put<br />

an end to the PKK's presence in northern Iraq have<br />

so far produced no concrete outcome. While the<br />

United States says that Turkey has the right to<br />

<strong>de</strong>fend itself against terrorists, it staunchly opposes<br />

unilateral Turkish military intervention, fearing that it<br />

will further <strong>de</strong>stabilize the war-torn country. Erdogan<br />

said that international law had provi<strong>de</strong>d Turkey with<br />

the right to take cross-bor<strong>de</strong>r measures against<br />

terrorism. "The process for an operation has already<br />

started," he told Turkish reporters here after his talks<br />

with Bush.<br />

Timing not clear:<br />

But he also hinted that such military action was not<br />

imminent. "We will fulfill our responsibility at the<br />

necessary time <strong>and</strong> on the necessary basis <strong>and</strong><br />

when the conditions become ripe," he said at the<br />

CSIS. But Bush dismissed as "hypothetical" a ques¬<br />

tion about the potential impact of a Turkish incursion.<br />

At a separate appearance at the National Press<br />

Club, Erdogan said he was "happy" with the talks he<br />

had with Bush. Pointing to some European nations,<br />

Erdogan said Turkey did not receive the interna¬<br />

tional support it <strong>de</strong>served in fighting against the<br />

PKK. In a related <strong>de</strong>velopment, Nechirvan Barzani,<br />

"prime minister" of the semi-autonomous Kurdish<br />

regional government in northern Iraq, an entity not<br />

recognized by Turkey, has proposed the creation of<br />

a four-way mechanism between Turkey, the United<br />

States, Iraq <strong>and</strong> Iraqi Kurds to jointly <strong>de</strong>al with the<br />

PKK problem. In an article published by the Washing¬<br />

ton Post Monday, Barzani said the problem caused<br />

by the PKK's presence in northern Iraq cannot be<br />

resolved without Iraqi Kurdish involvement. Erdogan<br />

left here late Monday for an official visit to Italy.

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