ÇAĞRILI KONUŞMALAR / KEYNOTES Invited Speeches ... - TPJD
ÇAĞRILI KONUŞMALAR / KEYNOTES Invited Speeches ... - TPJD ÇAĞRILI KONUŞMALAR / KEYNOTES Invited Speeches ... - TPJD
Quantification and Analysis of Uncertainties in Reservoir Modeling Using Multiple-Point Geostatistics Mohamed M. Fadlelmula F., Serhat Akın, H. Şebnem Düzgün Middle East Technical University, Ankara Recent research has revealed that the two-point based traditional geostatistical simulation technique is ineffective in capturing complex geological structures while modeling subsurface heterogeneities. On the other hand, it has proven that the newly developed Multiple-Point Geostatistics (MPG) based simulation is a powerful technique to model such complex structures. This simulation is dependent on conceptual geological models called Training Images (TI). This study as its name implies, is aiming at quantifying and analyzing the uncertainties of reservoir models which are generated by MPG method. The uncertainties to be quantified are either model related or parameter related. The former which is related to the model structure (i.e. TI structure) will be modeled utilizing the Stanford Geostatistical Modeling Software (SGeMS). The latter is related to the input parameters such as porosity and permeability and will be modeled utilizing the “Advanced First Order Second Moment (AFOSM)” reliability method. Accordingly, this study is divided to three main parts. First of all, the impact of training images on predicted reservoir model will be investigated. Next, other sources of uncertainties in the model are going to be examined. Finally, a sensitivity analysis of the uncertainty sources found will be conducted. Keywords : Multiple-point geostatistics, training image, reservoir modeling, uncertainty quantification, SGeMS, AFOSM 47
JEOKİMYA VE HAVZA MODELLEMESİ 1 Geochemistry and Basin Modeling 1 49
- Page 1 and 2: ÇAĞRILI KONUŞMALAR / KEYNOTES In
- Page 3 and 4: present situation looks like this:
- Page 5 and 6: Search of a Sustainable Solution to
- Page 7 and 8: Seismic Geomorphology and Seismic S
- Page 9 and 10: The Impact of Global Energy Policie
- Page 11 and 12: From Petroleum Era to Where? Cahit
- Page 13 and 14: New Data and Interpretation on the
- Page 15 and 16: Çevre, İşsağlığı ve Güvenli
- Page 17 and 18: Jeotermal Kaynak Aramalarında Yap
- Page 19 and 20: Seferihisar-Kavakdere (İzmir) Alan
- Page 21 and 22: Garzan, Dodan, Silivanka, Çamurlu
- Page 23 and 24: Batı Karadeniz Bölgesi’nde Yer
- Page 25 and 26: Blind Shear Ram Blowout Preventer
- Page 27 and 28: Çaldağ Formasyonu’nun Hazne Kay
- Page 29 and 30: Üst Triyas Yaşlı Denizli-Kızıl
- Page 31 and 32: HİDROKARBON (PETROL / BİTÜM) SIZ
- Page 33 and 34: Petrographic Examination of the Sou
- Page 35 and 36: Chemistry of Oilfield Water and Hyd
- Page 37 and 38: Gas Seepage and Oil Resources and T
- Page 39 and 40: Co-Combustion Performance of Oil Sh
- Page 41 and 42: The Element Enrichments of the Rock
- Page 43 and 44: Kümeli Kalman Filtresi Yöntemi il
- Page 45 and 46: Batı Kozluca Ağır Petrol Sahası
- Page 47 and 48: Bozova Petrol Sahası 3B Rezervuar
- Page 49 and 50: Bozova Petrol Sahası için Yapıla
- Page 51: Rezervuar Modellemesindeki Belirsiz
- Page 55 and 56: Surface Geochemical Evaluation of M
- Page 57 and 58: Hydrocarbon Exploration with GORE S
- Page 59 and 60: Detection and Utilization of Volati
- Page 61 and 62: Modeling Petroleum System: Case Stu
- Page 63 and 64: The Use of Gas Chimneys for Risk Mi
- Page 65 and 66: Orta Anadolu’da Orta Eosen İklim
- Page 67 and 68: Güncel Işıklı Gölü’nün (De
- Page 69 and 70: Türkiye Göllerindeki Depolanma H
- Page 71 and 72: Çubuk Gölü’nün (Göynük, Bol
- Page 73 and 74: SONDAJ MÜHENDİSLİĞİ 1 Drilling
- Page 75 and 76: Macondo: Anatomy of an Oil Disaster
- Page 77 and 78: Black Sea Ultra Deepwater Drilling
- Page 79 and 80: Applications of Fuzzy Set Theory fo
- Page 81 and 82: Pore Pressure Trends in Deepwater O
- Page 83 and 84: Managerial Performance in Ultra Dee
- Page 85 and 86: Şeyl Gaz Arama ve Üretimi Sun Jay
- Page 87 and 88: Organik Şeyl: Yeni Bir Enerji Kayn
- Page 89 and 90: Unconventional Enerji Kaynağı Pot
- Page 91 and 92: “Unconventional Reservoir” Olar
- Page 93 and 94: Şeyl Gaz ve Dünya Piyasalarina Ol
- Page 95 and 96: YERALTI GAZ DEPOLAMA Underground Ga
- Page 97 and 98: Reitbrook, a Successful Conversıon
- Page 99 and 100: 3D Geostatistical Model of the Soğ
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JEOKİMYA VE HAVZA MODELLEMESİ 1<br />
Geochemistry and Basin Modeling 1<br />
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