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EU industrial structure - EU Bookshop - Europa

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Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

FIgURE III.24: Shares of goods and services in private consumption in constant and current prices in<br />

seven <strong>EU</strong> countries from 1980 to 2009<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

1980<br />

1981<br />

1982<br />

1983<br />

1984<br />

1985<br />

1986<br />

1987<br />

1988<br />

1989<br />

1990<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

Services (Constant)<br />

Services (Current)<br />

Goods (Constant)<br />

Goods (Current)<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

Note: The seven countries presented are Austria, Denmark, Finland, France, Italy, Netherlands and United Kingdom. Goods sectors include<br />

food and non‑alcoholic beverages, alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics, clothing and footwear, furnishings, household equipment<br />

and routine maintenance of the house. Services sectors include health, transport, communications, recreation and culture, education,<br />

restaurants and hotels, miscellaneous goods and services, housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels.<br />

Source: calculated using Eurostat data.<br />

A substitution of consumption of goods for services has<br />

taken place between 1980 and 2008. Breaking down<br />

private consumption into large categories in seven<br />

countries shows that food and non‑alcoholic beverages<br />

have fallen to a much lower share of total consumption,<br />

from 19 % to 12 %, while the share of housing and<br />

utilities in total private consumption has risen from 17 %<br />

to 24 % between 1980 and 2009. Changes in the shares of<br />

consumption expenditures across categories may reflect<br />

changes in the level of income (income effects), changes<br />

in relative prices (substitution effects) or government<br />

interventions. First, over long periods of time income<br />

typically increases significantly so that the preference over<br />

different categories changes because households tend to<br />

shift consumption from basic to luxury categories. As an<br />

example, the increase in the share of expenditures in health<br />

services or housing is very likely reflecting an increasing<br />

consumption of services that can be seen as relatively<br />

luxurious; the kind of commodities households tend to<br />

consume more of the richer they are. Second, relative<br />

changes in technology and/or trade patterns can change<br />

relative prices, rendering some commodities cheaper than<br />

others. What will happen with the share in consumption<br />

expenditures will depend on whether the induce changes<br />

in quantities are more or less than proportional to the<br />

price change. For example, the increase in the share<br />

communication services is probably to a large extent<br />

reflecting a drop in the price of communications driving<br />

a more than proportional increase in consumption. In<br />

contrast, large increases in productivity are probably behind<br />

the drop in the relative price of food, and hence the drop<br />

in its share in consumption expenditures compared to, say,<br />

services where productivity grows more slowly. Similarly,<br />

trade probably explains the drop in the relative price of<br />

clothes and its subsequent drop in the share of expenditures<br />

because the eventual increase in consumption does not<br />

compensate for the drop in prices. Finally, cultural changes<br />

due to public awareness campaigns, legal constraints and<br />

taxes may explain other changes like the drop in the share of<br />

alcoholic beverages and tobacco cf. Figure III.25.<br />

87

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