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EU industrial structure 2011 — Trends and Performance A non‑technology shock in the motor vehicles industry has permanent effects on employment in the rubber and 54 plastics industry, with an increase of some 2.5 %. 41 The responses of productivity are only transitory, cf. Figure II.10. FIgURE II.10: A non-technology shock has permanent effects on employment only Employment productivity 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1 13 25 Source: own calculations using Eurostat data. 37 lower upper response The results for all four industries are summarised below. The impulse response analyses indicate that a technology shock in the motor vehicles industry permanently increase productivity in the four other industries by some 1.5 % to 4 % and employment in two industries by 2 % to 2.5 %. 48 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 -2.0 1 13 lower upper response Non‑technology shocks in the motor vehicles industry have no permanent effects on productivity in the other industries but increase employment in the four industries by 2.5 % to 4.5 %, cf. Table II.7. TAbLE II.7: Percentage responses of employment and productivity in four manufacturing industries to shocks in the motor vehicles industry technology shocks non‑technology shocks Employment productivity Employment productivity rubber and plastics 2.5 1.5 2.6 0.0 Basic metals 0.0 4.1 3.5 0.0 Fabricated metal products 0.0 3.8 4.5 0.0 Electrical equipment 2.0 4.2 4.0 0.0 Source: own calculations using Eurostat data. 41 Caution is needed when interpreting the results from the shocks, especially on employment. Since the confidence intervals are relatively wide, the estimates are not as precise as one might think by only looking at the curve of the impulse response. 25 37 48
Appendix figure FIgURE II.11: Sector share in EU-27 gDP in 2009 (%) Agriculture, hunting and forestry Fishing Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Food products; beverages and tobacco Textiles and textile products Leather and leather products Wood and wood products Paper products; publishing and printing Rened petroleum products Chemicals, chemical products Rubber and plastic products Other non-metallic mineral products Basic metals and fabricated metal products Machinery and equipment n.e.c. Electrical and optical equipment Transport equipment Manufacturing n.e.c. Electricity, gas and water supply Construction Wholesale and retail trade Hotels and restaurants Transport, storage and communication Financial intermediation Real estate, renting and business activities Public administration and defence Education Health and social work Other social & personal services Activities of households Source: own calculations using Eurostat data. Chapter II — Changes in EU Industrial structure 0 5 10 15 20 25 1997 2009 55
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EU industrial structure 2011 Trends
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ENTERPRISE & INDUSTRY MAGAZINE The
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