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EU industrial structure - EU Bookshop - Europa

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The impacts of the latest recession varied across<br />

manufacturing industries. The different manufacturing<br />

aggregates are compared below with respect to the size<br />

and duration of the latest recession. The mildest effect<br />

was felt in the industries producing non‑durable consumer<br />

goods while industries producing durable consumer goods<br />

were hit much harder. Capital goods and intermediate<br />

Chapter I — The aftermath of the crisis — a long and uneven recovery(?)<br />

FIgURE I.4: <strong>EU</strong>-27 recessions and recoveries in the last two decades. Percentage deviations from peak<br />

and months of recovery for <strong>EU</strong>-27 manufacturing production<br />

Percent<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

-15<br />

-20<br />

-25<br />

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Months<br />

The nancial crisis<br />

The millenium recession<br />

The 1992-1993 recession<br />

goods suffered most, with production losses of 26 % relative<br />

to the pre‑recession peak levels, while the total consumer<br />

goods and non‑durable consumer goods faired relatively<br />

well with production losses amounting to between 65%<br />

and 7 % at the troughs. Production levels for industries<br />

producing non‑durable consumer goods are close to the<br />

pre‑recession peak cf. Figure I.5. 9<br />

FIgURE I.5: Capital, Durable and Intermediate goods were most heavily hit during the latest recession<br />

Percent<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

-15<br />

-20<br />

-25<br />

-30<br />

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Months<br />

Non-durables<br />

Intermediates<br />

Durables<br />

Consumer<br />

Capital<br />

9 In order to facilitate comparison of the duration of the recession<br />

for the different manufacturing aggregates, the peak levels for<br />

all sub-sectors in figure II.3 have been set to the peak level for<br />

capital and intermediate goods which occurred in January 2008.<br />

In reality, the decline for durable consumer goods began in<br />

August 2007 while the peak for non-durable consumer goods<br />

and total consumer goods occurred in October 2007.<br />

19

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