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<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong><br />

<strong>structure</strong><br />

2011<br />

Trends and Performance<br />

European Commission<br />

Enterprise and Industry<br />

ISSN 1831-3043


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong><br />

<strong>structure</strong><br />

2011<br />

Trends<br />

and Performance<br />

European Commission<br />

Enterprise and Industry


ENTERPRISE & INDUSTRY MAGAZINE<br />

The Enterprise & Industry online magazine (http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/e_i/index_en.htm) covers issues<br />

related to SMEs, innovation, entrepreneurship, the single market for goods, competitiveness and environmental<br />

protection, better regulation, <strong>industrial</strong> policies across a wide range of sectors, and more.<br />

The printed edition of the magazine is published three times a year. You can subscribe online<br />

(http//ec.europa.eu/enterprise/e_i/subscription_en.htm) to receive it – in English, French, German or Italian – free of<br />

charge by post.<br />

Cover page photo: Financial accounts © Sean Gladwell #5173872<br />

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which might be made of the following information. The views in this brochure do not necessarily reflect the views<br />

and policies of the European Commission.<br />

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This publication has been prepared by Unit B4, Economic Analysis and Impact Assessment, Enterprise and Industry DG.<br />

More information on the European Union is available on the Internet (http://europa.eu).<br />

This publication is financed under the competitiveness and innovation framework programme (CIP) which aims to<br />

encourage the competitiveness of European enterprises.<br />

Cataloguing data can be found at the end of this publication.<br />

Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 2011.<br />

ISBN 978-92-79-20733-4<br />

ISSN 1831-3043<br />

doi:10.2769/28487<br />

© European Union, 2011<br />

Reproduction is authorised provided the source is acknowledged.<br />

Printed in Luxembourg


Table of Contents<br />

ExEcutivE summary 8<br />

OvErviEw 12<br />

Chapter I<br />

thE aFtErmath OF thE crisis — a lOng and unEvEn rEcOvEry(?) 15<br />

I.1 Recession and recovery(?) ....................................................................................................................................................................15<br />

I.1.1 Manufacturing recession and recovery(?)..........................................................................................................................16<br />

I.1.2 Services recession and recovery(?) ...................................................................................................................................... 23<br />

I.2 Sector developments: the current recovery(?) ..............................................................................................................................24<br />

I.2.1 Recent developments in manufacturing industries ....................................................................................................... 24<br />

I.2.2 Recent developments in services industries ..................................................................................................................... 30<br />

I.3 Annex Figures ............................................................................................................................................................................................32<br />

Chapter II<br />

changEs in Eu <strong>industrial</strong> structurE 35<br />

II.1 The shares of industries and sectoral specialisation in the <strong>EU</strong> ................................................................................................35<br />

II.1.1 Structural change in the <strong>EU</strong> .................................................................................................................................................. 35<br />

II.1.2 Member states’ sectoral specialisation .............................................................................................................................. 39<br />

II.2 Skill and technology specialization .................................................................................................................................................. 45<br />

II.2.1 Changes in skills’ specialization .......................................................................................................................................... 45<br />

II.2.2 Changes in technology specialization ............................................................................................................................... 48<br />

II.3 Size distribution of enterprises .......................................................................................................................................................... 50<br />

II.4 Services output of manufacturing .....................................................................................................................................................51<br />

II.5 Inter‑sectoral spillovers — a case study ...........................................................................................................................................52<br />

Appendix figure ...................................................................................................................................................................................................55<br />

Chapter III<br />

drivErs OF sEctOr grOwth and cOmpEtitivEnEss 57<br />

III.1 Output growth across sectors .............................................................................................................................................................57<br />

III.2 Sectoral competitiveness indicators ................................................................................................................................................ 60<br />

III.2.1 Labour productivity ............................................................................................................................................................... 63<br />

III.2.2 Unit labour costs ..................................................................................................................................................................... 67<br />

III.3 Factors of production ............................................................................................................................................................................ 69<br />

III.3.1 Labour ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 69<br />

III.3.2 Human capital ........................................................................................................................................................................ 71<br />

III.3.3 Gross fixed capital formation ...............................................................................................................................................74<br />

III.3.4 Energy intensity ....................................................................................................................................................................... 77<br />

III.3.5 Technology ............................................................................................................................................................................... 78<br />

III.3.5.1 R&D .......................................................................................................................................................................... 80<br />

III.3.5.2 Patents ......................................................................................................................................................................81<br />

III.3.5.3 Innovation .............................................................................................................................................................. 84<br />

III.4 Demand‑side drivers: a sectoral picture ........................................................................................................................................ 86<br />

III.4.1 Private Consumption ............................................................................................................................................................. 86<br />

III.4.2 Investment demand ................................................................................................................................................................91<br />

3


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

Chapter IV<br />

intErnatiOnal cOmpEtitivEnEss OF Eu industry 95<br />

IV.1 <strong>EU</strong> importance in world trade .............................................................................................................................................................95<br />

IV.1.1 Goods .........................................................................................................................................................................................95<br />

IV.1.2 Services ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 98<br />

IV.2 <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing and services competitiveness by sector.................................................................................................. 100<br />

IV.2.1 <strong>EU</strong> trade in manufactures by destination ...................................................................................................................... 100<br />

IV.2.2 Export Market Shares ...........................................................................................................................................................103<br />

IV.2.3 Sectoral trade balance ........................................................................................................................................................ 105<br />

IV.2.4 Revealed comparative advantage ................................................................................................................................... 106<br />

IV.2.4.1 RCA in manufactures ......................................................................................................................................... 106<br />

IV.2.4.2 RCA in Services .................................................................................................................................................... 106<br />

IV.3 Intra‑industry trade ...............................................................................................................................................................................119<br />

IV.4 The role of technology in <strong>EU</strong> sectoral trade .................................................................................................................................123<br />

IV.5 Trade in intermediate goods ..............................................................................................................................................................124<br />

IV.6 International movement of factors of production .....................................................................................................................129<br />

IV.6.1 FDI .............................................................................................................................................................................................129<br />

IV.6.2 Internationalisation of R&D ................................................................................................................................................133<br />

Annexes<br />

annExEs 137<br />

A.1 Statistical nomenclature ......................................................................................................................................................................137<br />

A.2 List of abbreviations .............................................................................................................................................................................145<br />

rEFErEncEs 146<br />

4


List of Figures<br />

Figure I.1: Growth rates (T/T‑12) in manufacturing in the <strong>EU</strong>, Japan and the US from 1990<br />

Table of Contents<br />

to June 2011 (monthly data). .....................................................................................................................................................................16<br />

Figure I.2: Downturns and recoveries in <strong>EU</strong>‑27 <strong>industrial</strong> production since 1990 ......................................................................................17<br />

Figure I.3: <strong>EU</strong> Manufacturing growth rates (T/T‑12) from 1991 to 2010 (monthly data) ...........................................................................18<br />

Figure I.4: <strong>EU</strong>‑27 recessions and recoveries in the last two decades. Percentage deviations<br />

from peak and months of recovery for <strong>EU</strong>‑27 manufacturing production .............................................................................19<br />

Figure I.5: Capital, Durable and Intermediate goods were most heavily hit during the latest recession ..........................................19<br />

Figure I.6: Decline in output from Peak to Trough (%) and number of months of falling output for <strong>EU</strong>‑27<br />

industries during the latest crisis11 .........................................................................................................................................................20<br />

Figure I.7: Percentage of manufacturing industries with very low growth rates in 1991‑ 2011 ............................................................21<br />

Figure I.8: Growth in <strong>EU</strong> services industries 1996‑2011 (%) .................................................................................................................................23<br />

Figure I.9: Growth rates in <strong>EU</strong> services industries compared to the whole <strong>EU</strong> economy 1996‑2010 (%) ..........................................24<br />

Figure I.10: <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing diffusion index from January 1991 to June 2011 (monthly data) ...........................................................25<br />

Figure I.11: Increase in output from the trough to June 2011 (%) and number of months of increasing<br />

output for <strong>EU</strong>‑27 industries since the latest crisis ..............................................................................................................................26<br />

Figure I.12: <strong>EU</strong>‑27 manufacturing growth rates of production and new orders (T/T‑12) for manufacturing goods<br />

from January 2001 to June 2011 ..............................................................................................................................................................28<br />

Figure I.13: <strong>EU</strong>‑27 manufacturing order‑books levels, stocks of finished products and production expectations<br />

from January 1985 to February 2011 (monthly data) ........................................................................................................................28<br />

Figure I.14: Increasing probabilities of contraction in the end of 2011 .............................................................................................................29<br />

Figure I.15: Production and demand expectations: <strong>EU</strong> services and manufacturing industries<br />

between 1996 and 2011 (monthly data) ................................................................................................................................................31<br />

Figure I.16: Decline by country in manufacturing output from peak to trough (%) and number of months<br />

of falling output in <strong>EU</strong>‑27 during the latest crisis ...............................................................................................................................32<br />

Figure I.17: Recovery by country in manufacturing output from the trough to March 2011 (%)<br />

and number of months of increasing output in <strong>EU</strong>‑27 since the latest crisis ..........................................................................32<br />

Figure II.1: <strong>EU</strong> Structural change 1997 ‑2009 (% of GDP) .......................................................................................................................................36<br />

Figure II.2: Distribution of <strong>EU</strong> countries by GDP shares of manufacturing and market services in 2009 ...........................................36<br />

Figure II.3: <strong>EU</strong> industry shares in GDP in 1997 and 2007 % ..................................................................................................................................38<br />

Figure II.4: Change in the share of sectors in the <strong>EU</strong> in 1997‑2009 (percentage points) ...........................................................................39<br />

Figure II.5: Ranking of countries by degree of specialisation ..............................................................................................................................41<br />

Figure II.6: Large economies are less dependent on a few sectors ...................................................................................................................42<br />

Figure II.7: Distribution of value added by enterprise size in 2007 (%) ............................................................................................................51<br />

Figure II.8: Services as shares of manufacturing output in 1995 and 2005 (%) .............................................................................................52<br />

Figure II.9: A technology shock in the motor vehicle industry has permanent effects on employment<br />

and productivity in rubber and plastics ...............................................................................................................................................53<br />

Figure II.10: A non‑technology shock has permanent effects on employment only ..................................................................................54<br />

Figure II.11: Sector share in <strong>EU</strong>‑27 GDP in 2009 (%) ...................................................................................................................................................55<br />

Figure III.1: Value added — average annual growth rate in the <strong>EU</strong> in 1995 – 2009 (%) ..............................................................................58<br />

Figure III.2: <strong>EU</strong> average annual production growth rate in 1995‑2010 (%).......................................................................................................59<br />

Figure III.3: <strong>EU</strong> average annual production growth rate in 1995‑2010 (%).......................................................................................................60<br />

Figure III.4: <strong>EU</strong> value added in 1995‑2010 (1995 = 100) ...........................................................................................................................................61<br />

Figure III.5: <strong>EU</strong> labour productivity per person employed in 1995‑2009 (1995 = 100) ................................................................................61<br />

Figure III.6: <strong>EU</strong> ULC (index, 1995 = 100) .........................................................................................................................................................................62<br />

Figure III.7: <strong>EU</strong> relative prices (Industry = 100) ...........................................................................................................................................................62<br />

Figure III.8: Labour productivity growth vs changes in relative prices in 1995‑2009 ..................................................................................63<br />

Figure III.9: Annual growth in <strong>EU</strong> labour productivity per person employed 1995‑2009 (%) ..................................................................64<br />

Figure III.10: Average annual growth in labour productivity 2000‑2010 (%). Production per hours worked .......................................66<br />

Figure III.11: Average annual growth in labour productivity 1997‑2010 (%). Production per employed ...............................................67<br />

Figure III.12: Recent ULC fluctuations are driven mainly by productivity developments ............................................................................68<br />

5


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

Figure III.13: Average annual growth in unit labour costs in <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing by industry 2001‑10 (%) .............................................69<br />

Figure III.14: Average annual growth of persons employed in the <strong>EU</strong> 1995‑2009 (%) ...................................................................................70<br />

Figure III.15: Employment by educational attainment in the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 in 2009 .....................................................................................................73<br />

Figure III.16: <strong>EU</strong> GFCF growth rates based on selected countries in 1995‑2009 ..............................................................................................75<br />

Figure III.17: Annual growth rates of GFCF in manufacture of transport equipment in France, Germany, Italy<br />

6<br />

and Spain 1995‑2009 ....................................................................................................................................................................................76<br />

Figure III.18: <strong>EU</strong> and US R&D expenditure as shares of value added in sectors in 2006 (%) ........................................................................80<br />

Figure III.19: <strong>EU</strong> R&D expenditure as shares of value added in sectors in 1997 and 2006 (%) ....................................................................81<br />

Figure III.20: <strong>EU</strong>‑27 sectors by patent intensity (averages in 2005‑06 and 2006‑07) ....................................................................................83<br />

Figure III.21: <strong>EU</strong> sectors by patent performance relative to the rest of the world in 2004‑06 ....................................................................84<br />

Figure III.22: Innovative enterprises as a percentage of all enterprises in the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 in 2008 (%) ..............................................................85<br />

Figure III.23: Enterprises which introduced new or improved products to the market as a share<br />

of all enterprises engaged in innovation activity in the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 in 2008 (%) ..............................................................................86<br />

Figure III.24: Shares of goods and services in private consumption in constant and current prices<br />

in seven <strong>EU</strong> countries from 1980 to 2009 ..............................................................................................................................................87<br />

Figure III.25: Private consumption shares (current prices) in seven <strong>EU</strong> countries in 1980 and 2008 ........................................................88<br />

Figure III.26: <strong>EU</strong>‑27 sectoral shares of private consumption in 2008 % of total consumption ...................................................................89<br />

Figure III.27: Private consumption in <strong>EU</strong>‑15 and in <strong>EU</strong>‑27 in 1996 and 2008 (average annual percentage growth<br />

rates in constant prices) ...............................................................................................................................................................................90<br />

Figure III.28: <strong>EU</strong>‑27 investment breakdown in 2010 (% of total current price) .................................................................................................91<br />

Figure III.29: Investment average annual growth rate in the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 and <strong>EU</strong>‑15: 1997‑2010 (%) ...................................................................92<br />

Figure IV.1: <strong>EU</strong> accounts for almost half of world exports of services (%) ........................................................................................................99<br />

Figure IV.2: <strong>EU</strong> accounts for most of world imports of services (%) ...................................................................................................................99<br />

Figure IV.3: <strong>EU</strong>‑27 RCA index in 2009 ...........................................................................................................................................................................107<br />

Figure IV.4: <strong>EU</strong>‑27 trade in manufactured products — RCA index in 2009 .................................................................................................. 109<br />

Figure IV.5: US trade in manufactured products — RCA index in 2009 ......................................................................................................... 109<br />

Figure IV.6: Japan trade in manufactured products — RCA index in 2009 ...................................................................................................110<br />

Figure IV.7: Brazil trade in manufactured products — RCA index in 2009 ....................................................................................................110<br />

Figure IV.8: China trade in manufactured products — RCA index in 2009 ................................................................................................... 111<br />

Figure IV.9: India trade in manufactured products — RCA index in 2009 ..................................................................................................... 111<br />

Figure IV.10: Russia trade in manufactured products — RCA index in 2009...................................................................................................112<br />

Figure IV.11: <strong>EU</strong>‑27 trade in services — RCA index in 2009 ....................................................................................................................................116<br />

Figure IV.12: US trade in services — RCA index in 2009 ..........................................................................................................................................116<br />

Figure IV.13: Japan trade in services — RCA index in 2009 ...................................................................................................................................117<br />

Figure IV.14: Brazil trade in services — RCA index in 2009 ....................................................................................................................................117<br />

Figure IV.15: China trade in services — RCA index in 2009 ....................................................................................................................................118<br />

Figure IV.16: India trade in services — RCA index in 2009 .....................................................................................................................................118<br />

Figure IV.17: Russia trade in services — RCA index in 2009 ...................................................................................................................................119<br />

Figure IV.18: Grubel‑Lloyd index by income level of <strong>EU</strong>‑27 trade partner in 2009 .......................................................................................122<br />

Figure IV.19: Vertical specialisation of exports by country in 1995 and 2005 (%) ..........................................................................................125<br />

Figure IV.20: Import content of exports for 15 <strong>EU</strong> countries in 1995 and 2005 (%) .......................................................................................126<br />

Figure IV.21: Outward <strong>EU</strong> foreign direct investment stock in 2007 ....................................................................................................................129<br />

Figure IV.22: Inward <strong>EU</strong> Foreign direct investment stock in 2007 .......................................................................................................................130<br />

Figure IV.23: Share of the inward <strong>EU</strong> FDI stock owned by <strong>EU</strong> firms in 2007 .....................................................................................................130<br />

Figure IV.24: <strong>EU</strong>‑27 outward FDI stock to the rest of the world/<strong>EU</strong>‑27 inward FDI stock from the rest<br />

of the world in 2007 (ratio) ......................................................................................................................................................................131<br />

Figure IV.25: Sectoral share in FDI stock relative to share in value added <strong>EU</strong>‑27 in 2007 ..........................................................................132<br />

Figure IV.26: Share of foreign‑owned patents in <strong>EU</strong>‑27 patent applications 1990‑2007 (%) .....................................................................133<br />

Figure IV.27: Share of foreign‑owned patents in <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing industries 2003‑07 (%) ....................................................................134<br />

Figure IV.28: Share of overseas patents of total patents applications 1991‑95 and 2003‑07 (%) .............................................................134<br />

Figure IV.29: Location of overseas patents applied by the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 at EPO 1990‑2006 (%) ............................................................................135


List of Tables<br />

Table of Contents<br />

Table I.1: Descriptive statistics of the growth rates of <strong>EU</strong>, US and Japanese manufacturing industry production .....................16<br />

Table I.2: Growth and volatility in <strong>EU</strong>‑27 manufacturing industries 1990‑2011(%)...................................................................................22<br />

Table I.3: Recent developments in <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing, mining, electricity and construction .............................................................26<br />

Table I.4: <strong>EU</strong> services production, recent developments. Growth in services turnover in constant<br />

prices relative to the same month of the previous year ..................................................................................................................30<br />

Table II.1: Share in GDP in 2009 and change in shares of GDP between 1997 and 2009 ........................................................................37<br />

Table II.2: Sectoral specialisation indices 1997 and 2009 ....................................................................................................................................43<br />

Table II.3: Share of industry by labour skill in 1997 and 2007 (%) .....................................................................................................................46<br />

Table II.4: Country specialisation by labour skill in 1997 and 2007..................................................................................................................47<br />

Table II.5: Share of industry by technology categories in 1997 and 2007 (%) .............................................................................................49<br />

Table II.6: Country specialisation by technology categories in 1997 and 2007 ..........................................................................................49<br />

Table II.7: Percentage responses of employment and productivity in four manufacturing industries<br />

to shocks in the motor vehicles industry ..............................................................................................................................................54<br />

Table III.1: <strong>EU</strong> labour productivity growth 2000‑2009 (%). Production per hours worked .....................................................................65<br />

Table III.2: <strong>EU</strong> ULC annual growth in mining and manufacturing industries in 2000‑2010(%)...............................................................68<br />

Table III.3: <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing employment and hours worked — average annual growth<br />

from 2000 to 2010 .........................................................................................................................................................................................71<br />

Table III.4: <strong>EU</strong>‑22 investment ratios in 2005‑2009 ...................................................................................................................................................74<br />

Table III.5: <strong>EU</strong> investment intensity. Average 2005‑07 ...........................................................................................................................................76<br />

Table III.6: <strong>EU</strong> energy intensity. Average 2005‑07 ...................................................................................................................................................77<br />

Table III.7: Growth in investment levels, average annual growth rates: 1997‑2009 (%) ............................................................................92<br />

Table IV.1: Manufactured products — export world trade matrix in 2009. Shares of total world exports (%) ................................96<br />

Table IV.2: Manufactured products — world trade matrix, export destination in 2009 (%) ...................................................................97<br />

Table IV.3: Manufactured products — world import <strong>structure</strong>s by origin of imports in 2009 (%) .......................................................98<br />

Table IV.4: <strong>EU</strong> exports of manufactured goods in 2009 by destination (%) ................................................................................................101<br />

Table IV.5: <strong>EU</strong> imports of manufactured goods by origin (2009 in%) ............................................................................................................102<br />

Table IV.6: Share of <strong>EU</strong> and main trade partners in world markets by sectors in 2009 .......................................................................... 104<br />

Table IV.7: <strong>EU</strong> RTB indicators in manufacturing sectors from 2007 to 2009 ............................................................................................... 105<br />

Table IV.8: RCA in manufacturing in 2009: <strong>EU</strong> countries, US, Japan and Brazil, China and Russia ..................................................... 108<br />

Table IV.9: RCA in services activities in 2009: <strong>EU</strong> countries, US, Japan and Brazil, China and Russia .................................................115<br />

Table IV.10: Manufactured products ‑ World trade matrix, income level: exports in 2009 (%) ..............................................................120<br />

Table IV.11: Manufactured products ‑ World trade matrix income level: destination of exports in 2009 (%) ..................................120<br />

Table IV.12: Manufactured products ‑ World trade matrix — income level: import destination in 2009 (%) ...................................121<br />

Table IV.13: RCA by technology category in 2009: <strong>EU</strong> countries, US, Japan and Brazil, China, India and Russia .............................123<br />

Table IV.14: Indicators of RCA for manufactured goods in 2000 and 2009 ....................................................................................................127<br />

Table IV.15: Indicators of RCA for intermediate goods according to technological intensity in 2009.................................................128<br />

Table IV.16: Export and import unit values of intermediates according to technological intensity in 2009 ....................................128<br />

Table A.1.1: Sectoral nomenclature for economic activities — NACE rev 1.1 ................................................................................................137<br />

Table A.1.2: Sectoral nomenclature for economic activities — NACE rev 2 ...................................................................................................139<br />

Table A.1.3: Sectoral nomenclature for consumption activities (COICOP) .....................................................................................................141<br />

Table A.1.4: Sectoral nomenclature for trade in services activities. ..................................................................................................................142<br />

Table A.1.5: Classification of products by activities (CPA) .....................................................................................................................................143<br />

7


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

Executive summary<br />

The impact of the latest crisis on <strong>EU</strong> sectors was much<br />

stronger than previous ones since 1990.<br />

The sectoral impact of the latest financial crisis is more<br />

significant because of the larger size and scope of the<br />

downturn. The latest recession lasted 17 months before<br />

<strong>industrial</strong> production began to pick up. In comparison,<br />

the 1992‑93 recession lasted 19 months before<br />

production recovered from the trough; the millennium<br />

recession 13 months. Nonetheless, growth rates fell much<br />

more drastically in the recent crisis than in the 1992‑93 and<br />

millennium downturns.<br />

It is still too early to determine how long it will take to<br />

reach pre‑crisis production levels. But it is clear that the<br />

latest recession was much deeper than the previous ones.<br />

Manufacturing production in the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 took some two and<br />

a half years to regain its pre‑recession production level after<br />

the 1992‑93 crisis. The millennium recession was milder<br />

but the recovery process lasted longer, about four and<br />

a half years. Judging from the latest available data, it may<br />

take more than four years before the pre‑recession peak is<br />

regained.<br />

Looking more closely at the sectoral impact of the crisis,<br />

the total number of affected industries is unprecedented<br />

in comparison with previous downturns since 1990.<br />

The impact has been uneven across sectors. Capital<br />

goods, durable goods and intermediate goods were<br />

hit harder than non‑durable consumer goods. The fall<br />

in production for total industry was significantly larger<br />

than for services. Services sectors have been generally<br />

less sensitive to the crisis, displaying higher growth rates<br />

and lower volatility.<br />

In early 2011, production levels for non‑durable consumer<br />

goods’ industries were close to the pre‑recession peak<br />

while durables and intermediates still were well below<br />

the pre‑recession levels. At a more disaggregated level,<br />

the industries producing motor vehicles, basic metals and<br />

8<br />

machinery n.e.c. experienced larger declines in production<br />

than other manufacturing industries.<br />

The trough of the crisis can be identified as early 2009 in<br />

most industries in the <strong>EU</strong>, the US and Japan. The first signs<br />

of recovery seemed to have appeared in the beginning<br />

of 2011. Early 2011 business survey data (order book levels,<br />

stocks of finished products), indicated increasing growth<br />

across manufacturing. Nonetheless, growth in some <strong>EU</strong><br />

sectors still seemed more fragile in early 2011, namely<br />

furniture, mining and quarrying and tobacco.<br />

The latest developments during the summer of 2011 have<br />

increased the uncertainty of how sustainable the recovery<br />

process is. Increasing uncertainty about the sustainability<br />

of public finances which deteriorated during the recession<br />

may give rise to wealth effects and reduce consumption and<br />

investments. Measures to tackle public debt problems in<br />

the US and several Member States risk affecting directly and<br />

negatively consumption and investment as well. The latest<br />

available data (June and July 2011) on short‑term statistics<br />

shows a decrease in <strong>EU</strong>‑27 <strong>industrial</strong> production. Business<br />

surveys on production expectations, orders and inventories<br />

point in the same direction. It is still too early to judge<br />

whether the latest developments indicate a slowdown or if<br />

the economic activity will pick up again.<br />

The developing services economy<br />

Services sectors occupy increasingly larger shares in the<br />

<strong>EU</strong> Member states. Market services have grown to 50 % of<br />

the <strong>EU</strong> economy in 2009, from 46 % in 1997; non‑market<br />

services have risen to 24 % from 22 %. Over the same time<br />

period, the share of <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing dropped from 20 %<br />

to 15 %. A shrinking <strong>EU</strong> agricultural sector went down to as<br />

little as 2 % of the <strong>EU</strong> value added in 2009 from 3 % in 1997.<br />

With the exception of Malta, all <strong>EU</strong> countries have seen the<br />

share of market services activities increase since 1997. But<br />

these <strong>EU</strong>‑wide developments hide large differences among


countries. Luxembourg stands out with a very large services<br />

sector along with Cyprus, Latvia and the UK. Conversely,<br />

Czech Republic, Hungary, Ireland and Romania still have<br />

relatively large manufacturing sectors. In Romania, Slovakia<br />

and Spain, the share of the construction sector exceeds by<br />

far the <strong>EU</strong> average of 6 %.<br />

Changes do not only take place between industries.<br />

Technological development, increased globalisation and<br />

more competition force firms and industries to adapt<br />

their business models. Some of these changes within<br />

industries increasingly blur the distinction between<br />

manufacturing and services activities. An increasing<br />

number of manufacturing firms offer services along with<br />

their traditional physical goods. This ‘convergence process’<br />

between manufacturing and services takes place on<br />

a global scale. Services as shares of total manufacturing<br />

output have increased in almost all <strong>EU</strong> economies.<br />

Larger countries tend to have more potential for<br />

diversification as their larger markets can harbour more<br />

industries than small ones. The most diversified are,<br />

naturally, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK. But<br />

smaller countries like Austria, Belgium, the Netherlands, and<br />

Sweden also exhibit diversified <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong>s. Natural<br />

resources, relative factor endowments of labour, human<br />

capital, and physical capital largely explain specialisation<br />

patterns. Baltic countries, for instance, are very highly<br />

specialised in wood. Cyprus, Ireland, Luxembourg and the<br />

UK and have focused most on financial intermediation.<br />

The <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> of an economy, i.e. the shares of the<br />

various sectors, is the result of long term changes. Changes<br />

tend to be slow. A country dominated by low technology<br />

and low skills will not, overnight, move to purely high<br />

technology and high skill industries. Nonetheless, it is<br />

found that the transition is quite remarkable in certain<br />

cases. Finland, for instance, became the country with the<br />

highest <strong>EU</strong> specialisation in high technology industries<br />

in only a decade (1997‑2007); this is to a high extent<br />

explained by the increasing predominance of Nokia. Latvia,<br />

from 1997 to 2007 made a remarkable shift, compared to<br />

other <strong>EU</strong> countries, towards a higher specialisation in higher<br />

skilled industries.<br />

The role and importance of the <strong>EU</strong><br />

manufacturing sector<br />

The crisis has impacted on the growth potential of <strong>EU</strong><br />

manufacturing sectors. Nonetheless, large drops in<br />

shares of value added and employment in manufacturing<br />

Executive summary<br />

sectors does not mean that manufacturing industries have<br />

become less important. From a long‑term perspective,<br />

manufacturing sectors have remained among the most<br />

productive in the <strong>EU</strong> economy. Labour productivity<br />

growth per person employed in <strong>industrial</strong> sectors,<br />

from 1995 to 2010, was higher than in the most productive<br />

services activities, such as wholesale, retail and financial<br />

intermediation.<br />

R&D intensity is one of the factors driving higher<br />

labour productivity growth in manufacturing. Among<br />

all sectors in the economy, the most R&D intensive<br />

in 2006 were manufacturing: radio, TV and communication<br />

equipment, followed by pharmaceuticals, other transport<br />

equipment and motor vehicles. As a result, patenting in<br />

manufacturing sectors is also higher, with industries such<br />

as office machinery, telecommunication equipment and<br />

pharmaceuticals surpassing all others. According to the<br />

community innovation survey, these sectors also exhibited<br />

relatively high shares of innovative enterprises of all<br />

enterprises in 2008.<br />

Manufacturing sectors also have the highest multiplier<br />

effects; inter‑linkages can generate positive, but also<br />

negative, changes in terms of production or employment<br />

in other sectors. A case study on the German automotive<br />

sector illustrates this phenomenon. It analyses how<br />

the demand for motor vehicles had an impact on other<br />

industries and whether this impact is sustained.<br />

Firms, sectors or economies try to increase their<br />

competitiveness by lowering costs, increasing productivity<br />

and innovation. In the aftermath of the latest crisis, <strong>EU</strong><br />

manufacturing has managed to reduce labour costs and<br />

increase productivity.<br />

The <strong>EU</strong> plays a central role in trade<br />

of high value added goods and<br />

services<br />

The <strong>EU</strong>, Asia and North America account for about 84 %<br />

of total world export flows in 2009. Trade among <strong>EU</strong><br />

countries (i.e. single market trade) represented more than<br />

a quarter of world trade of manufactured goods in 2009. In<br />

comparison, intra‑regional trade in Asia and North America<br />

accounted for 15% and 4% respectively of world trade with<br />

manufactured goods.<br />

World trade flows mostly take place among developed<br />

countries. Most high income countries’ trade takes place<br />

with other high income countries. In all manufacturing<br />

9


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

sectors except textiles, paper, machinery n.e.c, electrical<br />

equipment and basic metals, half or more of <strong>EU</strong>‑27 exports<br />

are destined for high income countries.<br />

Part of international trade consists of cross‑border flows<br />

of products of different industries (inter‑industry trade)<br />

reflecting relative different factor (labour and capital)<br />

endowments and technology. Countries which are relatively<br />

endowed with capital tend to trade capital intensive goods<br />

in exchange for labour intensive goods from countries<br />

which are relatively well endowed with labour: for example,<br />

pharmaceuticals for textiles or motor cars for food.<br />

However, there is a high share of exchange of similar goods<br />

between countries, with comparable levels of income. High<br />

income countries tend for example to trade different brands<br />

of cars with each other and low income countries different<br />

types of clothes for each other. This intra‑industry trade<br />

(IIT) is explained by factors such as economies of scale and<br />

demand for differentiated products, rather than by relative<br />

factor endowments. As demand for differentiated products,<br />

and varieties of different qualities, tend to rise with income,<br />

per capita incomes of countries play an important role in<br />

determining trade patterns.<br />

Almost 54 % of world trade occurs between countries in<br />

the groups composed of the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 and other high‑income<br />

countries. If upper‑medium countries are included, this<br />

share rises to 70 %.<br />

China stands out in the group of BRIC countries (Brazil,<br />

Russia, India, China). More than 40 % of <strong>EU</strong> imports<br />

in furniture, leather and footwear, clothing, electrical<br />

equipment, non‑metallic mineral products, and metal<br />

products come from China. Brazil captures 14 % and 12 % of<br />

<strong>EU</strong> imports of paper and food products.<br />

Competitiveness on world markets is measured by indices<br />

of revealed comparative advantages. The measurements<br />

of revealed comparative advantages for manufacturing<br />

in 2009 show that the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 had comparative advantages<br />

in industries such as printing, beverages, tobacco products,<br />

motor vehicles and pharmaceuticals. In contrast, the<br />

<strong>EU</strong>‑27 did not have any comparative advantages in<br />

the production of computers, electronic and optical<br />

products, textiles, other manufacturing, clothing and<br />

refined petroleum. The measure of revealed comparative<br />

advantages has some weaknesses which should be<br />

taken into account. It is sensitive for the level of sectoral<br />

aggregation, which may mask differing performance in<br />

various categories of goods within the same group of<br />

products. This is particularly relevant for industries which<br />

10<br />

have a large variety of brands and quality levels for the<br />

same type of goods. Another consideration is country<br />

heterogeneity within the <strong>EU</strong>, as the performance of the <strong>EU</strong><br />

as a whole is explained in some cases by the performance<br />

of a few <strong>EU</strong> countries. Finally, the weight of each sector and<br />

country in the export <strong>structure</strong> of the <strong>EU</strong> should be borne<br />

in mind to get to a balanced assessment of the <strong>EU</strong>’s sectoral<br />

performance in external trade.<br />

Analysing comparative advantages for individual Member<br />

States reveals that many <strong>EU</strong> countries, in 2009, have<br />

comparative advantages in the production of wood and<br />

wood products. The high revealed comparative advantages<br />

for Austria, Estonia, Finland, Latvia and Portugal are in line<br />

with the specialisation patterns that could be observed in<br />

the analyses of <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong>. Belgium, Cyprus and<br />

Ireland appear to have comparative advantages in basic<br />

pharmaceutical products. Bulgaria, Greece, Portugal and<br />

Romania have comparative advantages in clothing and<br />

Italy, Portugal and Romania have comparative advantages<br />

in leather and footwear.<br />

US manufacturing industries have comparative advantages<br />

in chemicals, pharmaceuticals, machinery and other<br />

manufacturing goods. Japanese manufacturing industries<br />

have comparative advantages in motor vehicles, other<br />

transport equipment, machinery, computers, electronic<br />

and optical products. Analyses of the BRIC countries show<br />

that the Brazilian, Indian and Russian manufacturing<br />

industries have comparative advantages in the production<br />

of labour intensive goods or products which are based on<br />

endowments of natural resources. Chinese manufacturing<br />

industries display a different pattern. It may seem as if China<br />

has become one of the most important trade partners<br />

in high technology goods but the high comparative<br />

advantage of China in this type of trade should be<br />

taken with a pinch of salt. China exports proportionally<br />

more technology‑intensive goods, but a large share of<br />

the content is imported from developed countries. As<br />

confirmed by data on trade in intermediate goods, China is<br />

still more an ‘assembler’ than a producer of high technology<br />

goods. While the Chinese import of intermediate goods<br />

consists of high quality goods, their exports seem to be of<br />

a lower quality.<br />

The analyses of trade in service show that the <strong>EU</strong>,<br />

in 2009, has comparative advantages in almost all sectors<br />

except personal, cultural and recreational, construction<br />

services and travel. 1 Cyprus, Luxembourg and the<br />

UK has comparative advantages in financial services.<br />

1 See Chapter IV for a definition of these types of services.


Ireland also has a high RCA in computer and information<br />

services, together with Finland. US service industries<br />

have comparative advantage in financial services and in<br />

trade with personal, cultural and recreational services.<br />

Japanese service industries have comparative advantages<br />

in construction services, as do China and Russia. India is<br />

highly specialised in computer and information services.<br />

China differs from India in this respect. While China has<br />

strong comparative advantages in manufacturing radios,<br />

televisions and telecommunication equipment, it does<br />

not have any advantage in the services related to those<br />

manufacturing goods. Brazil has comparative advantages<br />

in other business services.<br />

Increased internationalisation of <strong>EU</strong><br />

industries<br />

The globalisation of economic activity shows itself not<br />

only in increased trade but also in increased foreign direct<br />

investment (FDI) which has displayed higher growth<br />

than trade for at least the last 15 years. The stocks of<br />

both inward and outward <strong>EU</strong> FDI are concentrated in the<br />

financial and real estate sectors. In absolute terms, financial<br />

Executive summary<br />

intermediation, real estate and business activities represent<br />

almost two thirds of the overall outward <strong>EU</strong> FDI stock and<br />

more than two thirds of the inward <strong>EU</strong> stock of foreign<br />

direct investment<br />

Globalisation also has an impact on corporate research,<br />

development and innovation (R&D&I). Internationalisation<br />

of R&D has increased considerably in the <strong>EU</strong>. The share of<br />

foreign owned patent applications in the <strong>EU</strong> increased from<br />

some 10 % in 1990 to 17 % in 2007. The largest increase<br />

has been recorded by intra‑<strong>EU</strong> patent applications. The<br />

most internationalised manufacturing industries in terms<br />

of foreign‑owned patents in the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 are manufacture of<br />

radio, TV and communication equipment, food and drink,<br />

office machinery and chemicals. Outward patenting and<br />

R&D outside the own country is still relatively modest.<br />

On average, only 10 % of all <strong>EU</strong>‑27 patents were granted<br />

abroad between 2003 and 2007 at the same level as US<br />

patents while BRIC countries had a larger share of outward<br />

patenting. The US is the most important location for <strong>EU</strong><br />

outward R&D. The US accounts for 60 % of overseas patents<br />

applied by <strong>EU</strong> entities at the EPO. The BRIC share is still small<br />

but rising fast and is now larger than the Japanese share of<br />

<strong>EU</strong> outward patenting.<br />

11


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

Overview<br />

12<br />

This publication aims to satisfy the increasing<br />

need for analysis of the competitiveness of the <strong>EU</strong><br />

economy from a sectoral perspective. Analyses of<br />

this kind provide evidence of the <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong><br />

in the different Member States, differences in<br />

performance of different sectors within the <strong>EU</strong>, and<br />

differences in sector performance across Member<br />

States. They yield insight into the competitiveness<br />

of different sectors and how they are affected by<br />

business fluctuations. The <strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> is<br />

one of the few publications that present this view.<br />

Together with the publications of Eurostat, 2 it is<br />

unique in this respect. Throughout the publication,<br />

the term ‘sectors’ is used interchangeably with<br />

‘industries’ unless otherwise specified.<br />

This publication can be used by economists and<br />

policy makers in the <strong>EU</strong> and Member States or<br />

anyone outside the <strong>EU</strong> interested in the <strong>structure</strong><br />

and performance of <strong>EU</strong> industries. Academics,<br />

journalists, organisations and citizens who are<br />

interested in different aspects of the <strong>EU</strong> economy<br />

from a sectoral perspective may also find useful<br />

information in this publication.<br />

Chapter I contain analyses of short run fluctuations<br />

impacting on <strong>EU</strong> sectors. The impacts of the latest<br />

recession are compared across sectors. The latest<br />

recession is compared to the previous two, since 1990, in<br />

terms of size, duration and diffusion of the crisis. As most<br />

industries seem to have moved out from the trough of the<br />

recession, the recovery process is also compared across<br />

sectors. It should be noted that since the analyses in the<br />

chapter are based on short term indicators; the results<br />

2 See for example ‘Eurostatistics. Data for short term economic<br />

analysis.’ and ‘European Business: Facts and figures.’<br />

are based on data that were available at the time of the<br />

drafting of the report. Chapter II analyses the <strong>industrial</strong><br />

<strong>structure</strong> of the <strong>EU</strong>. The focus is on the sectoral <strong>structure</strong><br />

and specialisation. Some of the analyses use sectoral<br />

taxonomies to aid comparison between sectors and<br />

countries with respect to, for example, the technology<br />

intensity of sectors. The chapter also provides a breakdown<br />

of enterprises in size categories in terms of value added.<br />

The last section of the chapter consists of case studies<br />

analysing sectoral inter‑relations over time. Chapter III<br />

aims to analyse <strong>industrial</strong> growth and competitiveness<br />

within the <strong>EU</strong> from different perspectives. Assessments<br />

of competitiveness are made from labour productivity<br />

and unit labour costs developments in the <strong>EU</strong>. The use of<br />

growth factors — labour, human capital, investments, and<br />

technology — in the sectors is analysed using indicators.<br />

Also, some results in terms of innovation are presented.<br />

The last section of chapter III analyses developments<br />

on the demand side, with special attention to product<br />

composition and developments in private consumption<br />

and investments. The analyses in chapter IV are devoted<br />

to the external competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry. A set of<br />

indicators are presented aiming to show the performances<br />

of <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing and services. Along with indicators<br />

of export shares in world markets, relative trade balance,<br />

revealed comparative advantage (RCA) and intra‑industry<br />

trade (IIT), foreign direct investments is presented as an<br />

indicator of the international movement of factors, and<br />

patent data as indicators of the internationalisation of R&D.<br />

The chapter also contains a section presenting indicators<br />

showing the importance of trade in intermediate products<br />

in different respects. These indicators aim to offer insight<br />

into the significance of global value chains for <strong>EU</strong> sectors.<br />

Finally, Annex A1 presents the statistical nomenclatures<br />

used in the report and includes the abridged names of the<br />

categories used in throughout.<br />

The analyses of <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> and economic<br />

developments are based on a set of indicators. The use of


indicators for sectors varies depending on the availability<br />

of data for different sectors and countries; data availability<br />

determines the level of aggregation on which sectors<br />

are analysed. Availability also restricts some sectors and<br />

indicators to being analysed only on a quarterly basis, while<br />

others can be analysed monthly. This mainly affects services<br />

sectors which, to a lesser extent than manufacturing,<br />

can be analysed with the aid of monthly indicators. The<br />

update of the statistical classification to NACE Rev. 2 has<br />

had consequences for this publication. The introduction<br />

of NACE 2 has brought about changes in the way data are<br />

collected, grouped and reported. Not all data has been<br />

revised backwards in time, which affects the possibility to<br />

Overview<br />

analyse developments over time for sectors according to<br />

NACE 2. This has placed some limitations on the analyses.<br />

The focus of the analyses and descriptions in this<br />

publication is market economy sectors: all sectors from<br />

mining to market services are included. When considered<br />

necessary, the whole economy, including primary services<br />

and non‑market services, are analysed. The data do not<br />

always allow for comparison of the same set of indicators<br />

for sectors at the same level of aggregation. This is<br />

a consequence of variation in detail between different<br />

sectors such as manufacturing and services and also<br />

between different topics such as trade and R&D.<br />

13


Chapter I<br />

The aftermath of the crisis —<br />

a long and uneven recovery(?)<br />

The purpose of this chapter is to describe and analyse<br />

short‑term developments in <strong>EU</strong> industries. 3 The analyses<br />

in the other chapters are more focused on long‑term<br />

developments and refer to conditions of a more structural<br />

nature. The <strong>structure</strong> of <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing and services<br />

industries changes slowly over time and the analyses in the<br />

following chapters only partly reflect recent fluctuations<br />

caused by the financial crisis. 4 This chapter focuses on the<br />

most recent developments in 2009 and 2010, which are<br />

analysed with the aid of monthly indicators of production<br />

and turnover to measure growth in manufacturing and<br />

services industries. Also, information on new orders<br />

and business surveys results are used to assess future<br />

developments. Indicators for services measuring<br />

developments in real terms are however only available on<br />

a quarterly basis.<br />

A few words on the statistical nomenclatures for sectors<br />

which are used in this chapter are in order here. The<br />

presentation of monthly indicators of production and new<br />

orders is based on the nomenclature NACE Rev. 2. The<br />

information provided by the business surveys is based on<br />

NACE Rev. 1. Data on services activities are not available<br />

to the same extent as data on manufacturing activities.<br />

3 DG Enterprise and Industry is regularly updating a monthly<br />

note, which quantifies and analyses the economic recovery in<br />

manufacturing, construction and services industries. http://<br />

ec.europa.eu/enterprise/policies/<strong>industrial</strong>-competitiveness/<br />

documents/index_en.htm#monthly_notes<br />

4 This is also a consequence of a lag in the collection of annual<br />

data, which is mostly used in those chapters. Annual data on<br />

value-added and employment are available with a time lag of<br />

several months Most of the annual data available when drafting<br />

this report referred to 2008 when the effect of the financial crisis<br />

had not manifested itself in the statistics.<br />

Analyses of services industries, therefore, require data of<br />

a different kind and from different sources. Box I.1. discusses<br />

data issues concerning the service industry analyses.<br />

I.1 Recession and recovery(?)<br />

This section examines the impacts of the last recession in<br />

terms of its effects on growth rates and cyclical fluctuations.<br />

Even though the focus is on short‑term developments, the<br />

dramatic falls in production that occurred during a relatively<br />

short period of time may have had adverse effects on the<br />

<strong>EU</strong> economy’s growth and level of output in the long‑term.<br />

The last crisis can affect long‑term growth and output in at<br />

least three ways: through employment, investments and<br />

technology. 5 Analyses of short‑term developments can<br />

provide insights for future long‑term growth.<br />

The effects of the recession were felt on a global scale.<br />

The next section begins with a comparison of <strong>EU</strong>‑27<br />

manufacturing growth rates and cyclical fluctuations with<br />

US and Japanese manufacturing growth rates and cyclical<br />

fluctuations.<br />

The latest recession was the most severe recession for a long<br />

period of time. Its effects on <strong>industrial</strong> production and<br />

employment were much harder than previous recessions<br />

during since 1990. The latest recession is compared with the<br />

two previous since 1990. The comparisons are made in terms<br />

of sizes and durations of the recessions. The analyses thereafter<br />

5 For a more detailed discussion see Directorate General for<br />

Economic Affairs (2009. ECFIN Economic Brief, Issue 3 2009.<br />

15


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

focus on how the recession has affected <strong>EU</strong>‑27 manufacturing<br />

and services industries. The latest recession did not affect all<br />

industries in the same way: some industries are more sensitive<br />

to cyclical fluctuations and were therefore hit harder. The<br />

impact of the recession on different <strong>EU</strong> industries will be<br />

analysed in terms of size, duration and diffusion.<br />

i11 manufacturing recession and<br />

recovery(?)<br />

Manufacturing growth rates in the <strong>EU</strong>, Japan and the<br />

US are presented below. The Japanese growth rate is<br />

16<br />

considerably more variable than those of the <strong>EU</strong> and<br />

US. The greater volatility of Japanese growth rates is<br />

probably due to a high specialisation in capital goods<br />

which are more sensitive to business fluctuations. The fall<br />

in Japanese manufacturing production was significantly<br />

larger than for the <strong>EU</strong> and the US. Following the trough<br />

in early 2009, Japanese manufacturing went through<br />

an impressive recovery in 2010. The sharp decline in the<br />

first half of 2011 can to a large extent be explained by<br />

the impacts of the earthquake. 6 Judging from the latest<br />

available data, growth rates seem to return to average<br />

levels, cf. Figure I.1.<br />

FIgURE I.1: growth rates (T/T-12) in manufacturing in the <strong>EU</strong>, Japan and the US from 1990<br />

to June 2011 (monthly data)<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

-30<br />

-40<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

Japanese <strong>industrial</strong> production fluctuates much more<br />

than the <strong>EU</strong> and US <strong>industrial</strong> production: peaks are higher<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

<strong>EU</strong> growth<br />

Japan growth<br />

US growth<br />

TAbLE I.1: Descriptive statistics of the growth rates of <strong>EU</strong>, US and Japanese manufacturing industry<br />

production<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

mean standard deviation max min<br />

Eu growth 1.26 5.11 9.23 ‑19.75<br />

Japan growth 0.01 8.50 33.38 ‑35.24<br />

us growth 2.19 5.24 10.27 ‑17.64<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

and troughs are lower. US <strong>industrial</strong> production grows on<br />

average faster than in the <strong>EU</strong> and Japan, cf. Table I.1.<br />

6 The full extent of the impact of the earthquake in Japan on<br />

Japanese manufacturing is not known at the time of drafting.


The impact of the last downturn in the <strong>EU</strong> was unprecedented<br />

in size but did not last longer when compared to two<br />

other large recessions since 1990. 7 The 1992‑93 recession<br />

7 It did not last longer in the sense that the number of months<br />

with falling <strong>industrial</strong> production relative to the previous<br />

month was not greater than for the 1992-93 recession. Another<br />

measure of the duration would be the number of months with<br />

decreasing 12-month growth rates. Measuring the duration of the<br />

recession this way yields 18 months of falling 12-month growth<br />

rates for both the 1992-93 and the latest recession.<br />

Chapter I — The aftermath of the crisis — a long and uneven recovery(?)<br />

lasted 19 months and the millennium recession<br />

only 13 months. The latest recession lasted 17 months before<br />

<strong>industrial</strong> production began to pick up again, cf. Figure I.2.<br />

FIgURE I.2: Downturns and recoveries in <strong>EU</strong>-27 <strong>industrial</strong> production since 1990<br />

120<br />

115<br />

110<br />

105<br />

100<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

80<br />

75<br />

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

The size of the effects of the financial crisis for<br />

<strong>EU</strong>‑27 manufacturing was larger than the previous<br />

recessions since 1990. This is illustrated below where <strong>EU</strong><br />

manufacturing growth between 1991 and June 2011 has<br />

been plotted with the mean of growth and the mean plus<br />

and minus the standard deviation of the growth. While<br />

<strong>EU</strong> Manufacturing<br />

2010 2011<br />

the downturns in 1992‑93 and in the beginning of the<br />

millennium caused growth rates below the mean minus one<br />

standard deviation, the financial crisis caused growth rates<br />

to fall significantly below the mean minus two standard<br />

deviations, cf. Figure I.3.<br />

1<br />

0.9<br />

0.8<br />

0.7<br />

0.6<br />

0.5<br />

0.4<br />

0.3<br />

0.2<br />

0.1<br />

0<br />

17


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE I.3: <strong>EU</strong> Manufacturing growth rates (T/T-12) from 1991 to 2010 (monthly data)<br />

Figure I.2 showed that the latest recession was not<br />

significantly longer than previous recessions since the 1990.<br />

This conclusion was made on the basis of the number of<br />

months with negative growth rates. Below, the analysis<br />

will focus on the duration of recovery, i.e, the number of<br />

months it takes manufacturing production to reach the<br />

pre‑recession peak. The latest recession is compared with<br />

the two previous since 1990. The size of the recession is<br />

measured as percentage deviations from the peak preceding<br />

the recession. While it is still too early to determine how<br />

long it will take to regain the peak of January 2008, it is<br />

clear that the latest recession was much deeper than the<br />

previous ones since 1990. Following the 1992‑93 recession<br />

it took some two and a half years for <strong>EU</strong>‑27 manufacturing<br />

<strong>industrial</strong> production to regain its pre‑recession production<br />

level. The trough of <strong>industrial</strong> production was seven percent<br />

lower than the peak in February 1992. The recession during<br />

the millennium was milder but the recovery lasted longer:<br />

the pre‑recession level of <strong>industrial</strong> production was not<br />

reached again for four and a half years. Judging from the<br />

latest available data, it may take four years before the<br />

pre‑recession peak is regained<br />

18<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

-15<br />

-20<br />

Mean - 2stdev<br />

Mean + 2stdev<br />

Mean - stdev<br />

Mean + stdev<br />

Mean<br />

Growth<br />

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Comparing the growth rates during the recoveries of<br />

the last three recessions it seems that they are higher<br />

the deeper the trough during recessions. The trough in<br />

the 1992‑93 recession was lower than in the millennium<br />

recession. Growth after the trough was significantly<br />

higher following the 1992‑93 recession compared to the<br />

millennium recession. This seems to be the case also for<br />

the latest recession as the pace of recovery after it is higher<br />

than after the two previous. Nonetheless, the current<br />

recovery is likely to last longer than the previous since 1990,<br />

cf. Figure I.4. 8<br />

8 The choice of number of months for the comparison of<br />

post-trough growth rates is determined by the number of<br />

months it took manufacturing production to regain pre-peak<br />

recession level after the trough during the1992-93 recession.


The impacts of the latest recession varied across<br />

manufacturing industries. The different manufacturing<br />

aggregates are compared below with respect to the size<br />

and duration of the latest recession. The mildest effect<br />

was felt in the industries producing non‑durable consumer<br />

goods while industries producing durable consumer goods<br />

were hit much harder. Capital goods and intermediate<br />

Chapter I — The aftermath of the crisis — a long and uneven recovery(?)<br />

FIgURE I.4: <strong>EU</strong>-27 recessions and recoveries in the last two decades. Percentage deviations from peak<br />

and months of recovery for <strong>EU</strong>-27 manufacturing production<br />

Percent<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

-15<br />

-20<br />

-25<br />

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Months<br />

The nancial crisis<br />

The millenium recession<br />

The 1992-1993 recession<br />

goods suffered most, with production losses of 26 % relative<br />

to the pre‑recession peak levels, while the total consumer<br />

goods and non‑durable consumer goods faired relatively<br />

well with production losses amounting to between 65%<br />

and 7 % at the troughs. Production levels for industries<br />

producing non‑durable consumer goods are close to the<br />

pre‑recession peak cf. Figure I.5. 9<br />

FIgURE I.5: Capital, Durable and Intermediate goods were most heavily hit during the latest recession<br />

Percent<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

-15<br />

-20<br />

-25<br />

-30<br />

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Months<br />

Non-durables<br />

Intermediates<br />

Durables<br />

Consumer<br />

Capital<br />

9 In order to facilitate comparison of the duration of the recession<br />

for the different manufacturing aggregates, the peak levels for<br />

all sub-sectors in figure II.3 have been set to the peak level for<br />

capital and intermediate goods which occurred in January 2008.<br />

In reality, the decline for durable consumer goods began in<br />

August 2007 while the peak for non-durable consumer goods<br />

and total consumer goods occurred in October 2007.<br />

19


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

The largest decline occurred in the motor vehicle industries,<br />

where output fell by 45 % from peak to trough during the<br />

crisis. The industry recovered relatively fast and the trough<br />

was reached after only 10 months. Other industries also hit<br />

relatively hard, and which recovered relatively fast, were<br />

basic metals and machinery n.e.c. industries. Industries<br />

producing non‑durable consumer goods were not hit as<br />

hard, even though the decline in output in some cases<br />

20<br />

lasted quite some time. Some industries, such as tobacco,<br />

textiles and clothing, have been in decline for quite some<br />

time and experience a downward trend. Production in the<br />

pharmaceuticals industry was hardly affected. Production<br />

only fell by 2% from February to March 2008. Production of<br />

pharmaceuticals thereafter continued to increase and the<br />

pre‑recession peak was surpassed in August the same year,<br />

cf. Figure I.6. 10<br />

FIgURE I.6: Decline in output from Peak to Trough (%) and number of months of falling output for<br />

<strong>EU</strong>-27 industries during the latest crisis 11<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Basic metals<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Fabricated metal<br />

Textiles<br />

Tobacco<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Non-metallic minerals<br />

Intermediate goods<br />

Capital goods<br />

Wood<br />

Furniture<br />

Rubber and plastics<br />

Leather<br />

Chemicals<br />

Durables<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Construction<br />

Computers<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Clothing<br />

Paper<br />

Other transport<br />

Repair and installation<br />

Coke and rened petroleum<br />

Printing and publishing<br />

Beverages<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Consumer goods<br />

P-T<br />

Months<br />

Note: Decline in output and number of months are both measured on the left axis. The calculations have been made for data between<br />

January 2008 and December 2010. Some industries have been in decline for a long time and the calculation of decline between peak and<br />

trough has not taken this into account.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

The analyses so far concern the size and duration of the<br />

crisis. The analyses below focus on the diffusion of the<br />

crisis and recovery across <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing industries. 12<br />

The diffusion of the financial crisis is illustrated by the<br />

percentage of manufacturing industries which, each<br />

month, exhibit very low growth rates. Very low growth<br />

rates are defined as growth rates lower than average<br />

growth rates minus two standard deviations before the<br />

latest financial crisis. 13 75% of manufacturing industries<br />

displayed very low growth rates in March 2009. More<br />

than half of the manufacturing industries experienced<br />

very low growth rates between November 2008 and<br />

September 2009. 14 The recovery can be seen by the rapid<br />

decline of manufacturing industries with very low growth<br />

rates at the end of 2009 and the beginning of 2010. In<br />

June 2011, no manufacturing industries had had growth<br />

rates below the average minus two standard deviations<br />

since January 2010, cf. Figure I.7.<br />

10 The choice of selecting the first and last months is somewhat arbitrary and affects the appearance of the figure. Also production in the food,<br />

computers and other manufacturing industries has surpassed prerecession peaks.<br />

11 See the annex to chapter II for a graph illustrating the development of manufacturing output from peaks to troughs in the individual Member<br />

States. See also European Commission (2009). Statistics in focus — 97/2009. Eurostat.<br />

12 The analysis is performed for two-digit manufacturing industries.<br />

13 See also European Commission (2009). Product Market Review 2009. Microeconomic consequences of the crisis and implications for the<br />

recovery. European Economy 11. Directorate Economic and Financial Affairs.<br />

14 The mean and standard deviations used correspond to the period prior to the 2008-2009 crisis. For more discussion, see European<br />

Commission (2009).<br />

Non-durables<br />

Food<br />

Pharmaceuticals


The previous figures imply that there is a great deal of variety<br />

in growth and cyclical behaviour across the manufacturing<br />

industries. The industries are therefore compared using<br />

measures of the cyclical fluctuation and monthly growth<br />

rates in constant prices between 1990 and January 2011. The<br />

effect of the financial crisis in terms of production loss is also<br />

compared across manufacturing industries in the table below.<br />

The columns below the heading ‘cycle’ present the<br />

maximum, minimum and the cyclical intensity of the<br />

cycle components for each industry. Cyclical fluctuations<br />

are measured as deviations of actual output from<br />

trend output. 15 The cycle fluctuation for each industry<br />

is compared to the total manufacturing industry by<br />

dividing the standard deviation for each industry’s<br />

cyclical component with the standard deviation for the<br />

total manufacturing industry’s cyclical component. 16<br />

A cyclical intensity around 1.0 indicates that an industry<br />

faces the same cyclical fluctuations as the aggregate<br />

manufacturing.<br />

15 The gaps and trend output are estimated with the<br />

Christiano-Fitzgerald band-pass filter, see Christiano, L. J. and<br />

Fitzgerald, T. J. (1996).<br />

16 It should be noted that the calculations of the cyclical fluctuations<br />

are subject to uncertainty. The uncertainty stems from the fact<br />

that trend (or potential) output is not observable and has to be<br />

estimated by some method. Thus, cyclical fluctuations, which are<br />

measured as deviations of trend output from actual output, are<br />

also uncertain.<br />

Chapter I — The aftermath of the crisis — a long and uneven recovery(?)<br />

FIgURE I.7: Percentage of manufacturing industries with very low growth rates in 1991-2011<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

1991<br />

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Industries producing repair of machinery, motor vehicles,<br />

electrical equipment, machinery n.e.c. and computers,<br />

electronic and optical products are subject to larger cyclical<br />

fluctuations than other industries. On the lower range of<br />

the scale are industries which produce goods which are<br />

less sensitive to fluctuations in income, and hence are less<br />

sensitive to fluctuations in demand. These industries consist<br />

of enterprises producing necessity goods such as the food<br />

and beverage industries and also pharmaceutical industries.<br />

The columns below the heading ‘growth’ present the<br />

maximum, minimum and average twelve month growth<br />

rates. The growth rates are calculated as the monthly<br />

growth rates relative to the same month of the previous<br />

years. The pharmaceutical industry displays average growth<br />

rates which are significantly higher than any other. Also,<br />

the industry producing electronic and optical products has<br />

relatively high average growth rates. The lowest average<br />

growth rates are found in industries producing textiles,<br />

leather and footwear, tobacco and clothing.<br />

21


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

The last column presents production loss during the crises.<br />

Production loss is calculated as production during the<br />

trough relative to production during the peak before the<br />

crisis. The largest production losses during the latest crisis<br />

22<br />

were experienced by industries producing motor vehicles<br />

and basic metals. These industries are also subject to large<br />

fluctuations as indicated by the high cyclical intensities for<br />

these industries, cf. Table I.2.<br />

TAbLE I.2: growth and volatility in <strong>EU</strong>-27 manufacturing industries 1990-2011 (%)<br />

nacE rev 2<br />

codes<br />

industry max min<br />

cycle growth crisis<br />

cyclical<br />

intensity<br />

max min average<br />

production<br />

loss<br />

Capital 12.5 ‑15.9 1.3 16.2 ‑25.3 1.5 ‑25.3<br />

Consumer 3.1 ‑4.2 0.4 5.1 ‑6.7 0.6 ‑6.7<br />

Consumer dur 8.7 ‑11.1 1.1 9.8 ‑20.3 0.0 ‑20.3<br />

Consumer non dur 2.4 ‑3.1 0.3 4.7 ‑4.4 0.7 ‑4.4<br />

Intermediate 10.5 ‑14.6 1.2 13.8 ‑25.7 1.1 ‑25.7<br />

B Mining and quarrying 6.2 ‑5.6 0.7 17.2 ‑16.5 ‑1.1 ‑16.5<br />

c Manufacturing 8.8 ‑11.8 1.0 9.2 ‑19.8 1.2 ‑19.8<br />

c10 Food 1.7 ‑1.9 0.2 5.9 ‑3.4 1.3 ‑3.4<br />

c11 Beverages 3.8 ‑3.3 0.5 15.2 ‑9.4 0.8 ‑7.3<br />

c12 Tobacco 8.7 ‑6.9 0.9 18.5 ‑22.9 ‑3.5 ‑22.9<br />

c13 Textiles 6.7 ‑12.0 1.0 14.5 ‑25.3 ‑2.7 ‑25.3<br />

c14 Clothing 5.8 ‑7.6 1.0 11.4 ‑17.7 ‑4.5 ‑17.7<br />

c15 Leather and footwear 6.3 ‑9.7 1.2 8.3 ‑22.5 ‑4.0 ‑22.5<br />

c16<br />

Wood and wood<br />

products<br />

8.0 ‑9.8 1.1 13.6 ‑22.1 0.3 ‑22.1<br />

c17 Paper 5.7 ‑8.1 0.7 10.8 ‑15.1 1.2 ‑15.1<br />

c18 Printing 3.3 ‑5.0 0.6 13.5 ‑8.2 0.3 ‑8.2<br />

c19 Refined petroleum 4.2 ‑3.9 0.5 14.3 ‑11.2 0.2 ‑11.2<br />

c20 Chemicals 7.4 ‑12.1 0.9 17.1 ‑22.2 1.7 ‑22.2<br />

c21 Pharmaceuticals 2.1 ‑4.2 0.4 16.8 ‑8.7 5.1 ‑2.7<br />

c22 Rubber & plastics 9.4 ‑12.3 1.1 17.7 ‑22.0 1.4 ‑22.0<br />

c23<br />

Non‑metallic mineral<br />

products<br />

8.6 ‑11.8 1.1 13.4 ‑24.0 ‑0.2 ‑24.0<br />

c24 Basic metals 13.7 ‑21.8 1.6 36.2 ‑40.3 0.5 ‑40.3<br />

c25 Metal products 12.6 ‑15.8 1.4 13.3 ‑27.9 0.7 ‑27.9<br />

c26<br />

Computers, electronic<br />

& optical<br />

14.5 ‑16.0 1.6 23.2 ‑19.6 3.4 ‑19.6<br />

c27 Electrical equipment 12.7 ‑17.3 1.5 16.5 ‑27.5 1.2 ‑27.5<br />

c28 Machinery n.e.c. 16.0 ‑21.3 1.8 20.4 ‑30.6 1.0 ‑30.6<br />

c29 Motor vehicles 17.1 ‑22.9 1.8 34.9 ‑44.6 2.8 ‑44.6<br />

c30 Other transport eq. 5.2 ‑4.8 0.7 16.7 ‑14.4 0.5 ‑14.4<br />

c31 Furniture 6.1 ‑6.9 0.8 12.1 ‑23.3 0.7 ‑9.3<br />

c32 Other manufacturing 8.8 ‑9.5 1.0 10.7 ‑21.5 ‑0.8 ‑21.5<br />

c33 Repair of machinery 20.9 ‑19.3 2.0 20.0 ‑31.8 ‑1.1 ‑15.3<br />

d Electricity & gas 3.4 ‑3.6 0.4 15.4 ‑13.1 1.4 ‑13.1<br />

F Construction 5.1 ‑4.2 0.7 10.7 ‑13.7 0.5 ‑10.7<br />

F41 Buildings 5.6 ‑5.6 0.8 12.2 ‑13.0 0.8 ‑13.0<br />

F42 Civil engineering 3.8 ‑5.0 0.6 12.5 ‑20.2 ‑0.4 ‑18.3<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.


i12 services recession and recovery(?)<br />

Service industries have grown faster and have been<br />

exposed to fewer cyclical fluctuations than total industry<br />

since 1996. Inspection of quarterly data on value added<br />

in constant prices over the period confirms that the<br />

service sector generally shows higher growth rates and<br />

less volatility than total industry. 17 Due to limited data<br />

availability, the latest crisis can only be compared to the<br />

recession at the turn of the millennium. Developments in<br />

FIgURE I.8: growth in <strong>EU</strong> services industries 1996-2011 (%)<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

-15<br />

-20<br />

1996<br />

1996Q4<br />

1997Q3<br />

1998Q2<br />

1999<br />

17 Since there is no data on production in constant prices, value<br />

added is used to calculate growth rates for services.<br />

1999Q4<br />

2000Q3<br />

2001Q2<br />

2001Q2<br />

Chapter I — The aftermath of the crisis — a long and uneven recovery(?)<br />

2002<br />

2002Q4<br />

both recessions, however, show that the fall in production<br />

for total industry was significantly larger than for services. 18<br />

In fact, negative growth rates for the service industries did<br />

not appear before the latest recession. Data availability<br />

only allows for comparison of large aggregates of services<br />

industries. Fluctuations for trade, hotels and restaurants are<br />

relatively larger than for the other aggregates of service<br />

industries. Non‑market services show considerably less<br />

volatility, cf. Figure I.8.<br />

Non-market services<br />

Financial intermediation and business services<br />

Trade, hotels and restaurants<br />

Total industry (excluding construction)<br />

Note: Growth rates in <strong>EU</strong> services industries and total industry value added in constant prices relative to the same quarter of the previous<br />

year in 1996:1‑2011:1 (%).<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Below, two groups of market services are compared to GDP.<br />

The relatively large sensitivity to fluctuations for the group<br />

‘trade, hotels and restaurants is obvious and fluctuations in<br />

production for these service industries are larger than for<br />

GDP as a whole. Also the growth in value added for this<br />

group of service industries exceeds that of GDP for the<br />

period 1996‑2009.<br />

2003Q3<br />

2004Q2<br />

2005<br />

2005Q4<br />

2006Q3<br />

2007Q2<br />

Growth rates for ‘Financial intermediation and business<br />

services’ are higher and fluctuate less than growth rates for<br />

‘trade, hotels and restaurants. The fall in production was<br />

also less than half of that for GDP. The figure indicates that<br />

developments in the sector lag behind that of GDP. The<br />

decline begins later, the trough appears later and finally the<br />

recovery begins a quarter later than the recovery of GDP,<br />

cf. Figure I.9.<br />

18 Total industry consists of mining and quarrying, manufacturing<br />

and industries producing electricity, gas and water.<br />

2008<br />

2008Q4<br />

2009Q3<br />

2010Q2<br />

2011<br />

23


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE I.9: growth rates in <strong>EU</strong> services industries compared to the whole <strong>EU</strong> economy 1996-2010 (%)<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

-2<br />

-4<br />

-6<br />

-8<br />

I.2 Sector developments: the<br />

current recovery(?)<br />

The previous section has shown the size, duration and<br />

diffusion of the latest crisis according to the information<br />

that was available at the time of drafting this text. It is<br />

not yet possible to have a full assessment of the duration<br />

of the recovery since available data show that production<br />

has yet to reach pre‑crisis levels. The focus of this section<br />

is on more recent developments and the objective is to<br />

assess the pace of the recovery, to what extent it has spread<br />

across manufacturing and service industries, and also what<br />

it implies for future developments. The section begins with<br />

an overview of the manufacturing industries, followed<br />

by a state of play in services sectors. The two parts are<br />

<strong>structure</strong>d in a similar way. Monthly indicators of production<br />

are used for analyses of the most recent developments and<br />

an indicator is constructed to assess the intensity of the<br />

recovery and the speed of diffusion across industries. Data<br />

availability only allows construction of this indicator for<br />

manufacturing industries. Developments in the near future<br />

are assessed with the aid of information on expectations<br />

of future demand. The indicators for manufacturing and<br />

services activities are not always similar and comparisons<br />

should be made with caution.<br />

24<br />

1996<br />

1996Q4<br />

1997Q3<br />

1998Q2<br />

1999<br />

1999Q4<br />

2000Q3<br />

2001Q2<br />

2001Q2<br />

2002<br />

Financial intermediation and business services<br />

Trade, hotels and restaurants<br />

All branches - Total<br />

2002Q4<br />

Note: Growth rates in <strong>EU</strong> services industries and total industry value added in constant prices relative to the same quarter of the previous<br />

year in 1996:1‑2011:1 (%).<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

2003Q3<br />

2004Q2<br />

2005<br />

2005Q4<br />

2006Q3<br />

2007Q2<br />

i21 recent developments in<br />

manufacturing industries<br />

An indicator which measures how fluctuations spread<br />

across manufacturing industries is used to illustrate<br />

diffusion. The diffusion index is defined as the difference<br />

between the percentage of manufacturing industries that<br />

are expanding and of those that are declining. The index<br />

ranges from ‑100 to 100. ‘Expanding’ and ‘declining’ mean<br />

positive and negative growth rates respectively. The total<br />

number of industries used in the calculations is 93 (defined<br />

in terms of the 3‑digit level of NACE Rev. 2). ‘Expansion’ is<br />

defined as no negative or zero growth. The lowest value of<br />

the index, ‑90.5, corresponds to January 2009 when only<br />

four manufacturing industries displayed positive growth<br />

rates. The latest available data show that the recovery<br />

process that was on the way in the beginning of 2011 is<br />

fragile. The diffusion index of 14 in June 2011 means<br />

that 57 % of manufacturing industries display positive<br />

growth rates. It remains to be seen whether this fall of the<br />

diffusion index is temporary, cf. Figure I.10.<br />

2008<br />

2008Q4<br />

2009Q3<br />

2010Q2<br />

2011


Chapter I — The aftermath of the crisis — a long and uneven recovery(?)<br />

FIgURE I.10: <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing diffusion index from January 1991 to June 2011 (monthly data)<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

-80<br />

-100<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

As noted in Figure I.7 above, the recovery process, although<br />

fragile, seems to be underway in the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 manufacturing<br />

2000<br />

industries. There are even three manufacturing industries<br />

which have reached their pre‑crisis levels; food,<br />

pharmaceuticals and other manufacturing. The three<br />

manufacturing industries which were hit hardest, motor<br />

vehicles, basic metals and machinery n.e.c., have also<br />

recorded the largest percentage increases since their<br />

troughs. the recovery seems to be fragile in furniture,<br />

mining and quarrying and tobacco where very modest<br />

increases are recorded only lasting recent months,<br />

cf. Figure I.11. 19<br />

19 See the annex to chapter II for a graph illustrating the<br />

development of manufacturing output since the troughs in the<br />

individual Member States.<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Diusion index<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

The most recent development for the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 manufacturing<br />

industries together with mining, electricity & water and<br />

construction, are summarised in the table below. The<br />

first four columns present annual average growth rates<br />

in 2009 and 2010, the growth rate in 2010 compared<br />

with 2009, and the last six months (January to June 2011). The<br />

fifth column presents, for each industry, the growth since<br />

the trough at the crisis; the last column, ‘spread’, presents<br />

the growth difference in percentage points for each industry<br />

relative manufacturing for the last six months. 20<br />

20 The spread is the difference between growth of industry<br />

i and manufacturing the last six months minus the difference<br />

between the average growth difference between industry i and<br />

manufacturing for the whole period.<br />

25


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE I.11: Increase in output from the trough to June 2011 (%) and number of months of increasing<br />

output for <strong>EU</strong>-27 industries since the latest crisis<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Starting with aggregates, consumer goods were not hit as<br />

hard by the crisis as capital and intermediate goods. Among<br />

consumer goods, non‑durable consumer goods such as<br />

food and pharmaceuticals have also fared better, confirmed<br />

by their lower cyclical intensity shown in Table II.2 above.<br />

The lowest growth rates in 2009 were recorded by capital<br />

26<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Basic metals<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Computers<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Chemicals<br />

Capital goods<br />

Intermediate goods<br />

Fabricated metal<br />

Rubber and plastics<br />

Pharmaceuticals<br />

Leather<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Textiles<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Paper<br />

Note: Increase in output and number of months are both measured on the left axis. The calculations have been made for data between<br />

January 2008 and March 2011. N in ‘T‑N’ stands for ‘now’ which in this case means latest available data.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Repair and installation<br />

Coke and rened petroleum<br />

Non-metallic minerals<br />

Other transport<br />

Wood<br />

Durables<br />

Food<br />

Consumer goods<br />

Non-durables<br />

and intermediate goods, produced in, for example,<br />

industries producing machinery n.e.c. and basic metals.<br />

Growth rates in industries producing motor vehicles,<br />

computers and machinery n.e.c. are particularly high during<br />

the last six months, cf. Table I.3.<br />

TAbLE I.3: Recent developments in <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing, mining, electricity and construction<br />

nacE<br />

rev 2<br />

growth<br />

2009<br />

growth<br />

2010<br />

2010/2009<br />

last six<br />

months<br />

Construction<br />

Beverages<br />

Printing and publishing<br />

post trough<br />

growth<br />

Clothing<br />

Furniture<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Tobacco<br />

spread last<br />

six months<br />

Capital ‑19.4 9.3 28.7 11.2 18.7 4.3<br />

Consumer ‑4.3 3.3 7.6 1.8 5.3 ‑4.1<br />

Durable consumer ‑15.0 4.5 19.5 0.4 5.3 ‑4.9<br />

Nondurable consumer ‑2.6 3.0 5.6 2.0 5.0 ‑4.0<br />

Intermediate ‑17.6 9.6 27.2 6.5 18.3 0.2<br />

B Mining & quarrying ‑10.9 ‑0.7 10.2 ‑7.4 ‑5.6 ‑11.4<br />

c Manufacturing ‑14.5 7.5 22.0 6.5 13.3 ‑<br />

c10 Food ‑1.0 2.2 3.2 1.9 5.3 ‑4.7<br />

c11 Beverages ‑2.6 ‑1.3 1.3 2.3 2.1 ‑3.9<br />

>>>


nacE<br />

rev 2<br />

growth<br />

2009<br />

Chapter I — The aftermath of the crisis — a long and uneven recovery(?)<br />

growth<br />

2010<br />

2010/2009<br />

last six<br />

months<br />

post trough<br />

growth<br />

spread last<br />

six months<br />

c12 Tobacco ‑2.8 ‑6.2 ‑3.4 ‑8.3 ‑7.5 ‑10.0<br />

c13 Textiles ‑16.6 8.4 25.0 1.3 11.0 ‑1.3<br />

c14 Clothing ‑10.8 0.6 11.3 ‑2.4 3.9 ‑3.2<br />

c15 Leather and footwear ‑12.5 3.3 15.8 7.3 14.1 5.8<br />

c16 Wood ‑13.7 3.8 17.5 1.7 5.0 ‑3.9<br />

c17 Paper ‑8.9 6.1 15.0 0.8 8.5 ‑5.6<br />

c18 Printing ‑7.2 1.6 8.9 1.4 3.8 ‑4.3<br />

c19 Refined petroleum ‑7.8 0.1 7.9 1.5 6.3 ‑3.9<br />

c20 Chemicals ‑10.4 10.1 20.5 3.4 19.9 ‑3.6<br />

c21 Pharmaceuticals 3.3 5.8 2.5 3.6 14.2 ‑6.8<br />

c22 Rubber & plastics ‑12.8 7.9 20.7 6.5 15.9 ‑0.2<br />

c23 Non metallic mineral products ‑18.5 2.6 21.1 5.9 6.6 0.7<br />

c24 Basic metals ‑25.6 19.6 45.1 8.5 46.2 2.7<br />

c25 Metal products ‑21.8 7.4 29.1 9.1 16.0 3.0<br />

c26 Computers, electronic & optical ‑15.2 11.3 26.5 9.4 23.7 0.7<br />

c27 Electrical eq. ‑20.3 11.2 31.5 8.6 20.7 2.1<br />

c28 Machinery n.e.c. ‑26.1 10.5 36.5 14.9 26.3 8.5<br />

c29 Motor vehicles ‑21.9 21.8 43.7 16.6 62.1 8.4<br />

c30 Other transport eq. ‑6.1 ‑2.7 3.4 2.6 5.8 ‑3.2<br />

c31 Furniture ‑16.3 ‑0.9 15.4 2.6 2.8 ‑1.9<br />

c32 Other manufacturing ‑5.9 7.9 13.7 2.9 9.6 ‑3.1<br />

c33 Repair of machinery ‑8.7 3.4 12.1 3.0 8.7 ‑1.2<br />

d Electricity & gas ‑4.9 4.2 9.1 ‑3.7 3.4 ‑10.2<br />

F Construction ‑8.6 ‑3.9 4.7 ‑1.3 4.0 ‑7.1<br />

F41 Buildings ‑10.8 ‑3.2 7.6 ‑1.7 3.5 ‑7.7<br />

F42 Civil engineering 2.2 ‑7.0 ‑9.3 0.9 3.5 ‑4.0<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

The remainder of this section aims to assess future<br />

developments for the manufacturing industries. The<br />

analyses below are undertaken using information on new<br />

orders and other leading indicators: order‑book levels,<br />

stocks of finished products and production expectations.<br />

The discussion will shed light on expectations for the near<br />

future and on the extent to which the recovery will be felt<br />

across the manufacturing industries in the months to come.<br />

Monthly real21 growth rates, relative to the same month of<br />

the previous year, of production and new orders for total<br />

21 New orders have been deflated with the corresponding producer<br />

price indices for the aggregates.<br />

manufacturing are used in the first step of the assessment<br />

of future developments. New orders recorded its lowest<br />

level in February 2009. The decline, although modest<br />

in the beginning, started in early 2007. The recovery of<br />

new orders, during the recent recession, preceded the<br />

recovery of production with one month. Production<br />

growth hit bottom in March 2009. Positive growth rates<br />

of new orders occurred again in November 2009, two<br />

months before production growth rates became positive.<br />

Twelve‑month growth rates of new orders and production<br />

increased steadily until the second quarter of 2010. After<br />

having levelled out during the last quarter of 2010 and the<br />

first two months of 2011, growth rates are declining again,<br />

cf. Figure I.12.<br />

27


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE I.12: <strong>EU</strong>-27 manufacturing growth rates of production and new orders (T/T-12) for<br />

manufacturing goods from January 2001 to June 2011<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

-15<br />

-20<br />

-25<br />

-30<br />

-35<br />

The main aggregates of manufactured goods show similar<br />

developments Declines in new orders were particularly<br />

dramatic for capital goods, intermediate goods and, to<br />

a lesser extent, consumer durable goods.<br />

The second step in the analyses is carried out with indicators<br />

from <strong>EU</strong> business surveys. 22 Three indicators, assessment<br />

of order‑book levels, of stocks of finished products, and<br />

expectations of future demand, confirm the picture of<br />

recovery and its fragility that has taken place during recent<br />

28<br />

months. Order‑book levels and production expectation<br />

reached their lowest levels in the middle of 2009. These<br />

two indicators provide information on developments in<br />

production in the near future. Stocks of finished products act<br />

as a buffer and allow production to continue at a higher than<br />

actual demand during recessions. Stocks of finished products<br />

started to increase in mid‑2007 and reached its highest level<br />

in April 2009. The stocks kept declining until April 2011 but<br />

began to rise in May 2011. The rise since May mirrors the<br />

declines of the other two indicators, cf. Figure I.13.<br />

FIgURE I.13: <strong>EU</strong>-27 manufacturing order-books levels, stocks of finished products and production<br />

expectations from January 1985 to February 2011 (monthly data)<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

-30<br />

-40<br />

-50<br />

-60<br />

-70<br />

Jan-85<br />

Manufacturing production<br />

Manufacturing new orders<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Jan-86<br />

Jan-87<br />

Jan-88<br />

Jan-89<br />

Jan-90<br />

Jan-91<br />

Jan-92<br />

Jan-93<br />

Jan-94<br />

Jan-95<br />

Jan-96<br />

Jan-97<br />

Jan-98<br />

Production expectations for the months ahead<br />

Assessment of stocks of nished products<br />

Assessment of order-book levels<br />

Note: There is a break in the time series due to a change in the classification of economic activities. Data until April 2010 are collected<br />

according to NACE Rev. 1.1. Data from May 2010 according to NACE Rev. 2. 23<br />

Source: Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs.<br />

22 Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs business surveys.<br />

23 The change of classification to NACE Rev. 2 entails a change in the identification and grouping of similar economic activities in the business<br />

surveys. This gave rise to a break in the time series. Analyses of consequences of the change indicate that the changeover has affected the<br />

level but did not, on the whole, affect the direction of the change, only its magnitude. See DG ECFIN, http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/<br />

db_indicators/surveys/nace2/index_en.htm for further discussion. 23<br />

Jan-99<br />

Jan-00<br />

Jan-01<br />

Jan-02<br />

Jan-03<br />

Jan-04<br />

Jan-05<br />

Jan-06<br />

Jan-07<br />

Jan-08<br />

Jan-09<br />

Jan-10<br />

Jan-11


The third step in assessing future developments<br />

involves an attempt to predict future developments of<br />

<strong>EU</strong> manufacturing production. The development of <strong>EU</strong><br />

manufacturing production displays significant changes<br />

over time, with some marked breaks in the series. One<br />

way to characterise such a series is to think of it in terms<br />

of being in different regimes or states. Two such states can<br />

be expansion and contraction. Provided that the economy<br />

is in expansion, there is a probability that it will be in<br />

contraction the next period. 24 The assessment of future<br />

developments is performed by an econometric analysis<br />

of the probability of contraction of <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing<br />

production between 1990 and June 2011. 25 The three large<br />

recessions during the time period were associated with<br />

large probabilities of contraction. In the latest recession,<br />

FIgURE I.14: Increasing probabilities of contraction in the end of 2011<br />

115<br />

110<br />

105<br />

100<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

80<br />

75<br />

Chapter I — The aftermath of the crisis — a long and uneven recovery(?)<br />

probabilities fell significantly during the end of 2009. The<br />

probabilities of contraction remain low as manufacturing<br />

picks up again after the trough.<br />

The assessment also includes a forecast of manufacturing<br />

production between July 2011 and June 2012, with the<br />

associated probabilities for a contraction during this period<br />

of time. The vertical blue line at the right of the figure divides<br />

the sample into actual and predicted production. The forecast<br />

is based on the latest available data for manufacturing<br />

production and manufacturing new orders. 26 According to<br />

the forecast, manufacturing production growth slows down<br />

in the end of 2011 but picks up slowly again in the beginning<br />

of 2012. The probabilities of contraction during the forecast<br />

period are rising but still below 0.2, cf. Figure I.14.<br />

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Manufacturing production<br />

Probability of contraction<br />

Forecast<br />

There is a high degree of uncertainty associated with the<br />

analysis above. The forecast of <strong>EU</strong>27 <strong>industrial</strong> production<br />

and predicted probabilities should therefore not be taken<br />

literally. It is very difficult to assess how the developments in<br />

the financial markets that occur at the drafting of this report<br />

will impact on <strong>industrial</strong> production. Also other forecasts<br />

24 If the economy is expanding in the current time period, the<br />

probability that the economy will be expanding also in the next<br />

time period is p. The probability that the economy instead will be<br />

contracting in the next period is then 1-p.<br />

25 See Hamilton, J. D. (1989) for a discussion of the method.<br />

and business cycle indicators indicate that economic<br />

activity will slow down in the <strong>EU</strong>. DG ECFIN’s Economic<br />

Sentiment Indicator declined in July 2011 both for the <strong>EU</strong> and<br />

the Euro area. Also, the Flash Consumer Confidence Indicator<br />

declined in July. 27<br />

26 A bivariate VAR model including three lags of growth rates<br />

of manufacturing production and new orders is used for the<br />

forecast. New orders is deflated by manufacturing producer<br />

prices.<br />

27 http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/db_indicators/surveys/<br />

index_en.htm<br />

1.0<br />

0.9<br />

0.8<br />

0.7<br />

0.6<br />

0.5<br />

0.4<br />

0.3<br />

0.2<br />

0.1<br />

0.0<br />

29


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

i22 recent developments in services<br />

industries<br />

The quarterly data presented in section I.1.2 presented<br />

highly aggregated service sectors; the analyses below offer<br />

more detail on developments in various service sectors<br />

for the last months for which data are available. From the<br />

last month for which data are available for all sectors, one<br />

30<br />

can see that only four service industries; water transport,<br />

warehousing and support services for transportation,<br />

computer services and R&D and technical activities still<br />

display negative growth. Wholesale trade have recovered<br />

remarkable well and display very high growth rates. Looking<br />

at aggregates, total services display positive growth rates<br />

for the whole period, cf. Table I.4.<br />

TAbLE I.4: <strong>EU</strong> services production, recent developments. growth in services turnover in constant<br />

prices relative to the same month of the previous year<br />

nacE 2<br />

codes<br />

2010:08 2010:09 2010:10 2010:11 2010:12 2011:01 2011:02 2011:03<br />

g45 Motor vehicles trade 2.1 0.6 0.5 3.9 2.3 4.6 5.2 1.8<br />

g46 Wholesale trade 7.9 7.2 7.3 6.9 5.7 4.8 9.9 7.1<br />

g47 Retail trade 1.5 1.6 1.6 2.8 3.2 4.7 5.1 5.4<br />

i Accommodation & Food 5.0 4.6 3.1 4.3 4.8 4.1 3.5 4.0<br />

h49 Land transport 4.6 3.7 2.9 3.6 3.5 4.1 3.2 2.3<br />

h50 Water transport ‑2.1 2.6 3.5 6.9 0.6 ‑1.3 2.1 ‑1.7<br />

h51 Air transport 13.3 15.8 13.9 15.5 10.1 14.5 8.9 6.5<br />

h52<br />

Warehousing and support<br />

activities for transportation<br />

0.2 0.6 0.3 ‑1.1 ‑1.1 0.4 ‑1.5 ‑1.7<br />

h53 Postal and courier 13.2 10.4 8.3 9.1 7.3 6.7 5.5 4.5<br />

J61 Tele‑ communications 3.3 2.7 2.5 2.1 2.5 2.1 2.1 1.9<br />

J62 Computer services ‑0.4 ‑1.7 ‑1.6 ‑1.8 ‑2.2 ‑1.9 ‑2.0 ‑2.3<br />

m72 R&D and technical activities 5.5 4.2 5.2 0.9 1.1 ‑1.9 ‑1.1 ‑1.8<br />

n<br />

Administrative and support<br />

activities<br />

1.3 0.4 0.0 ‑0.4 0.3 3.7 6.4 5.3<br />

g‑n Total services 4.6 4.0 3.6 4.2 3.0 3.9 6.1 4.0<br />

c Manufacturing 9.2 7.2 8.3 8.4 9.2 8.4 9.1 6.2<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

box I.1: Data issues in measuring services activities<br />

The closest item in the consumer prices index has been used for each service industry. When such an item is<br />

unavailable, the index for all services has been used to deflate the turnover series, as follows. Retail trade is presented<br />

in constant prices in the original series. For hotels and restaurants, postal activities, and transport services, the<br />

corresponding consumer price indices for these industries have been used. Supporting activities for transportation<br />

are deflated by the price index for all transport services. Information and communication and telecommunications<br />

are deflated by the price index for communications. All other services industries are deflated by the consumer price<br />

index for all services.


The business survey indicator used for services industries<br />

is calculated as the difference between the percentages<br />

of total answers to the survey that consider that demand<br />

(turnover) for the firm’s services will increase in the next<br />

quarter and the percentage that consider that it will<br />

decrease. The indicator is compared with an indicator<br />

for manufacturing. The indicator for manufacturing is<br />

defined in the same way, although it applies to production<br />

expectations for the next quarter. The results for all<br />

Chapter I — The aftermath of the crisis — a long and uneven recovery(?)<br />

services relative to manufacturing between April 1996 and<br />

July 2011 are presented below. The balance for services is in<br />

general more positive than the balance for manufacturing<br />

until November 2009. Demand expectations declined<br />

sharply in the second half of 2008. The decline continues<br />

until March 2009 where the opinion balance became less<br />

negative and in October 2009, the balances are positive<br />

again and rose sharply until the first quarter of 2011 after<br />

which they have decreased, cf. Figure I.15.<br />

FIgURE I.15: Production and demand expectations: <strong>EU</strong> services and manufacturing industries<br />

between 1996 and 2011 (monthly data)<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

-30<br />

-40<br />

Apr-96<br />

Apr-97<br />

Apr-98<br />

Apr-99<br />

Apr-00<br />

Apr-01<br />

Apr-02<br />

Apr-03<br />

Apr-04<br />

Apr-05<br />

Apr-06<br />

Apr-07<br />

Apr-08<br />

Services<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Apr-09<br />

Apr-10<br />

Note: There is a break in the time series due to a change in the classification of economic activities. Data until April 2010 are collected<br />

according to NACE Rev. 1.1. Data from May 2010 according to NACE Rev. 2. 28<br />

Source: Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs business surveys.<br />

28 See footnote 14 for how the change of classification from NACE Rev. 1.1 to NACE Rev. 2 has affected the time series for the variables.<br />

Apr-11<br />

31


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

I.3 Annex Figures<br />

FIgURE I.16: Decline by country in manufacturing output from peak to trough (%) and number of<br />

months of falling output in <strong>EU</strong>-27 during the latest crisis<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

32<br />

5<br />

0<br />

EE<br />

BG<br />

SK<br />

LU<br />

FI<br />

LV<br />

SI<br />

HU<br />

IT<br />

DK<br />

ES<br />

LT<br />

SE<br />

DE<br />

EL<br />

CZ<br />

MT<br />

IE<br />

BE <strong>EU</strong>27 <strong>EU</strong>15<br />

FR<br />

PT<br />

AT<br />

PL<br />

CY<br />

Months<br />

P-T<br />

Note: Decline in output and number of months are both measured on the left axis. The calculations have been made for data between<br />

January 2008 and December 2010.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

FIgURE I.17: Recovery by country in manufacturing output from the trough to March 2011 (%) and<br />

number of months of increasing output in <strong>EU</strong>-27 since the latest crisis<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

EE<br />

SK<br />

LV<br />

BE<br />

LT<br />

DE<br />

BG<br />

CZ<br />

LU<br />

PL<br />

FI<br />

IE<br />

HU<br />

SE<br />

AT<br />

SI<br />

RO<br />

DK <strong>EU</strong>27 <strong>EU</strong>15<br />

IT<br />

NL<br />

MT<br />

FR<br />

PT<br />

UK<br />

RO<br />

ES<br />

NL<br />

Months<br />

T-N<br />

Note: Increase in output and number of months are both measured on the left axis. The calculations have been made for data between<br />

January 2008 and March 2011. N in ‘T‑N’ stands for ‘now’ which in this case means latest available data.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

CY<br />

UK<br />

EL


Chapter II<br />

Changes in <strong>EU</strong> Industrial<br />

<strong>structure</strong><br />

The objective of this chapter is to describe the industry<br />

<strong>structure</strong> in the <strong>EU</strong> as a whole and also in individual <strong>EU</strong> member<br />

states. The description is made in terms of value added and<br />

employment for the different sectors. It includes descriptive<br />

statistics covering the breakdown of the economies by sectors<br />

in Section II.1. Section II.2 then introduces two different<br />

taxonomies based on skills and technology. In Section II.3,<br />

descriptive statistics on the size distribution of firms, in terms<br />

of employees, in the various sectors are introduced. Section<br />

II.4 contains a brief discussion of the increased tendency of<br />

manufacturing firms also to supply services. The chapter ends<br />

with an analysis of how developments in one sector spill over<br />

to other sectors in the economy, Section II.5.<br />

II.1 The shares of industries and<br />

sectoral specialisation in the <strong>EU</strong><br />

The <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> of the economy is the result of<br />

long‑term trends in sectoral growth where each sector’s share<br />

of employment and value added is determined by productivity<br />

growth, the <strong>structure</strong> of demand and international trade.<br />

Chapter III analyses the growth of sectors from a long‑term<br />

perspective and Chapter I focuses on the most recent<br />

developments. This section outlines the distribution across<br />

sectors of total value added in the <strong>EU</strong>. This approach reflects<br />

the relative importance of the industries and provides a basis<br />

for analysing the specialisation of Member States.<br />

The sectors analysed in this report are determined by the<br />

statistical nomenclatures used, by the different levels of<br />

aggregation chosen for the analysis, and by the availability<br />

of data. Analyses of <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> at a certain level of<br />

aggregation imply that some sectors will be only partially,<br />

or not at all, recognisable in this report, either because no<br />

data are available at detailed level or because the statistical<br />

classification does not reflect the reality of the sector. One<br />

example is manufacture of computers, electronic and<br />

optical products, for which some data are not available for<br />

manufacturing of optical products and manufacturing of<br />

computers separately. Other cases are economic activities<br />

which encompass manufacturing and repair activities under<br />

the same heading. Examples of these are building and<br />

repairing of ships and boats and manufacturing of aircraft<br />

and spacecraft. While NACE Rev. 2 brought a higher level of<br />

disaggregation in certain sectors compared to NACE Rev. 1,<br />

many economic activities cannot be split into detail. This<br />

means that different trends and performances of sub‑sectors<br />

are hidden behind larger aggregates.<br />

ii11 structural change in the Eu<br />

The <strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> develops according to the<br />

long‑term trend of an increased services sector at the expense<br />

of the manufacturing sector. Market services have grown to<br />

represent 50 % of the <strong>EU</strong> economy in 2009 from 46 % of <strong>EU</strong><br />

GDP in 1997. The share of non‑market services also increased<br />

from 22 % in 1996 to reach 24 % in 2009. Construction, as<br />

well as mining and quarrying, roughly remained stable<br />

at 6 % and 1 % respectively. The shares of manufacturing<br />

decreased from 20 % to 15 % between 1997 and 2009 while<br />

the shares of agriculture dropped more moderately from<br />

and 3 % to 2 %. Market services and manufacturing generally<br />

evolved in opposite directions: the former increased its<br />

overall share by 4 percentage points while the latter lost<br />

symmetrically 5 percentage points, cf. Figure II.1.<br />

35


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE II.1: <strong>EU</strong> Structural change 1997-2009 (% of gDP)<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

36<br />

Agriculture<br />

forestry<br />

and shing<br />

Mining and<br />

quarrying<br />

Source: own calculation using Eurostat data.<br />

Manufacturing<br />

The overall <strong>EU</strong> trends observed in Figure II.1 hide large<br />

variations among member states, with very different<br />

patterns of industry <strong>structure</strong>. Luxembourg stands out as the<br />

country with a very large market services sector and a very<br />

small manufacturing sector. Cyprus, Latvia and the UK also<br />

have large market services sectors. Conversely, the Czech<br />

Republic, Hungary, Ireland and Romania have small market<br />

services sectors but relatively large manufacturing sectors.<br />

Electricity,<br />

gas and<br />

water supply<br />

Construction<br />

Market<br />

services<br />

2009<br />

1997<br />

Non-market<br />

services<br />

FIgURE II.2: Distribution of <strong>EU</strong> countries by gDP shares of manufacturing and market services in 2009<br />

75<br />

70<br />

65<br />

60<br />

55<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

LU<br />

CY<br />

LV<br />

GR<br />

FR<br />

UK<br />

BE<br />

EE<br />

NL MT<br />

ES<br />

DK<br />

<strong>EU</strong>27<br />

PT SE<br />

LT<br />

PL<br />

BG SI<br />

AT<br />

FI SK<br />

HU<br />

35<br />

5 10 15 20 25<br />

Source: own calculation using Eurostat data.<br />

The latter are examples of countries that have received<br />

considerable foreign direct investment in manufacturing in<br />

the period under consideration. Hence, it is not necessarily<br />

the case that there is any catch‑up pending in services in the<br />

short‑term. In terms of future growth, it is likely that services<br />

will increase in weight and presumably lower growth rates<br />

because of the lower productivity growth of services relative<br />

to manufacturing, cf. Figure II.2.<br />

IT<br />

RO<br />

DE<br />

IE<br />

CZ


While there is some variety in the overall <strong>industrial</strong><br />

<strong>structure</strong>, common trends emerge. market services<br />

shares have grown by an average of 38 percentage<br />

points from 1997 to 2009 while manufacturing<br />

and agricultural activities shares are diminishing<br />

in almost all countries With the exception of Malta,<br />

all countries have seen their share of market services<br />

activities increase since 1997. The countries where<br />

the gains in shares over time of market services were<br />

the most spectacular were Bulgaria, Latvia, Lithuania,<br />

and Luxembourg, where market services increased<br />

by between 8.5 percentage points and 10 percentage<br />

Chapter II — Changes in <strong>EU</strong> Industrial <strong>structure</strong><br />

points. In Latvia and Luxembourg, these gains were<br />

coupled with large drops in shares of manufacturing<br />

by between 7 and 10 percentage points. The countries<br />

that have the lowest shares of market services in the<br />

<strong>EU</strong> are catching up and have all seen robust expansion<br />

in market services shares since 1997; increases<br />

between 3 and 5.5 percentage points were recorded in<br />

Czech Republic, Finland, Hungary and Romania. A few<br />

countries, Romania, Slovakia and Spain, stand out as far as<br />

the construction sector is concerned. In these countries,<br />

the share of the construction sector is around 10 %, much<br />

higher than the <strong>EU</strong> average of 6.3 %, cf. Table II.1.<br />

TAbLE II.1: Share in gDP in 2009 and change in shares of gDP between 1997 and 2009 29<br />

sectors<br />

country<br />

(y1‑y2)<br />

agriculture,<br />

fishing and<br />

mining<br />

manufacturing<br />

Electricity,<br />

gas and water<br />

supply<br />

construction market services<br />

non‑market<br />

services 29<br />

change share change share change share change share change share change share<br />

at (97‑07) ‑0.5 2.2 0.2 20.1 0.2 2.9 ‑0.9 7.1 2.3 47.3 ‑1.4 20.4<br />

BE (97‑09) ‑1.0 0.8 ‑6.3 14.0 ‑0.8 2.2 0.5 5.4 4.5 52.2 3.1 25.4<br />

Bg (97‑06) ‑16.8 11.5 0.2 18.6 ‑0.4 4.0 3.1 5.9 8.9 44.9 6.7 15.1<br />

cy (97‑09) ‑1.7 2.6 ‑4.2 6.8 0.0 2.0 0.3 8.2 2.3 54.7 3.4 25.6<br />

cZ (97‑09) ‑2.7 3.4 ‑3.7 23.6 1.8 5.7 ‑0.2 7.4 3.0 42.5 1.8 17.6<br />

dE (97‑08) ‑0.4 1.2 0.2 22.7 0.3 2.7 ‑1.9 4.0 2.2 47.3 ‑0.4 22.2<br />

dK (97‑09) ‑1.1 3.5 ‑3.8 13.2 ‑0.6 1.9 0.2 4.9 2.4 46.8 3.0 29.8<br />

EE (97‑09) ‑3.0 3.9 ‑5.7 14.3 0.8 3.9 0.9 7.0 3.1 50.2 3.9 20.8<br />

Es (97‑09) ‑2.6 2.8 ‑6.4 12.7 ‑0.3 2.5 3.7 10.8 3.5 48.2 2.1 23.0<br />

Fi (97‑09) ‑1.3 3.1 ‑6.6 18.2 0.3 2.7 1.6 7.0 4.0 44.3 2.1 24.7<br />

Fr (99‑09) ‑1.3 1.9 ‑5.5 10.6 ‑0.1 1.6 1.4 6.4 4.0 52.7 1.5 26.7<br />

gr (00‑09) ‑3.6 3.5 ‑0.8 10.3 0.4 2.6 ‑2.6 4.5 2.1 52.8 4.6 26.3<br />

hu (97‑09) ‑3.8 3.6 ‑1.5 21.3 ‑0.3 3.4 0.0 4.4 4.4 44.5 1.3 22.7<br />

iE (97‑09) ‑4.5 1.5 ‑6.6 24.2 0.2 1.6 0.0 5.6 7.1 44.4 3.8 22.8<br />

it (97‑09) ‑1.6 2.2 ‑5.6 16.1 0.1 2.3 1.2 6.3 4.3 51.0 1.5 22.1<br />

lt (97‑09) ‑7.5 3.7 ‑2.2 16.4 ‑0.3 3.9 ‑1.1 6.4 10.3 48.6 0.8 21.1<br />

lu (97‑09) ‑0.6 0.4 ‑6.7 6.5 ‑0.2 1.2 ‑0.9 5.3 9.0 69.9 ‑0.6 16.7<br />

lv (97‑09) ‑1.5 3.8 ‑10.3 9.9 ‑1.3 3.6 2.4 6.6 8.6 54.1 2.1 22.0<br />

mt (97‑09) ‑0.7 2.4 ‑6.6 13.3 0.0 2.1 ‑0.5 3.9 ‑1.5 47.5 9.4 30.9<br />

nl (97‑09) ‑1.5 4.7 ‑3.7 12.6 0.7 2.3 0.7 6.0 0.2 48.5 3.5 25.9<br />

pl (97‑05) ‑2.7 7.1 ‑1.3 18.5 0.5 3.6 ‑1.2 6.0 3.7 45.5 1.0 19.2<br />

pt (97‑07) ‑2.1 3.0 ‑4.3 14.6 0.3 3.0 ‑0.2 6.8 4.6 48.4 1.8 24.2<br />

rO (97‑08) ‑13.0 8.6 ‑3.4 22.4 ‑1.4 2.3 6.1 11.9 5.4 40.0 6.3 14.8<br />

sE (97‑09) ‑0.6 2.4 ‑6.1 15.5 0.3 3.3 1.0 5.2 2.5 46.7 2.8 26.9<br />

si (97‑09) ‑2.1 2.9 ‑6.3 19.6 0.8 3.2 1.2 7.9 4.8 45.3 1.7 21.2<br />

sK (97‑09) ‑1.7 4.5 ‑3.4 19.6 1.5 5.5 2.2 9.5 0.2 43.5 1.2 17.4<br />

uK (97‑05) ‑0.7 3.1 ‑7.3 13.0 0.1 2.2 0.7 5.8 5.8 53.3 1.3 22.6<br />

Eu‑27 (97‑09) ‑1.3 2.4 ‑4.9 14.9 ‑0.2 2.4 0.7 6.3 3.8 49.9 1.9 24.1<br />

Note: the time period covered varies with countries (as indicated in parentheses).<br />

Source: own calculation using Eurostat data.<br />

29 Non-market services are those supplied predominantly by the public sector: codes L to O of NACE Rev. 1.1 (public administration and<br />

defence, education; health, social services) and household activities.<br />

37


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

A narrower breakdown is provided below. 30 The<br />

sectors are represented at the 2‑digit level of the NACE<br />

classification. real estate, renting and business<br />

activities stand out as the largest activity, reaching<br />

about 23 % of the total <strong>EU</strong> economy in 2009 compared<br />

to 20 % in 1997, cf. Figure II.3.<br />

FIgURE II.3: <strong>EU</strong> industry shares in gDP in 1997 and 2007 %<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Real estate, renting and business activities is not only<br />

the largest sector, it is also the one that increased most,<br />

by 3.4 %. In comparison, while manufacturing had a share<br />

higher than ‘Real estate, renting and business activities’<br />

in 1996, it is also the sector that was most affected by the<br />

financial crisis. The manufacturing sector witnessed the<br />

largest decline of 4.9 percentage points from 1996 to 2009.<br />

These figures, however, have to be interpreted with care.<br />

The period 1997‑2007 is also the period that witnessed<br />

the accumulation of imbalances that caused the recession<br />

30 A more detailed picture is provided by Table II.8 in the Appendix,<br />

which presents the share of sectors in 1997 and 2009.<br />

38<br />

Agriculture, hunting and forestry<br />

Fishing<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Food products; beverages and tobacco<br />

Textiles and textile products<br />

Leather and leather products<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Paper products; publishing and printing<br />

Source: own calculation using Eurostat data.<br />

Rened petroleum products<br />

Chemicals, chemical products<br />

Rubber and plastic products<br />

Other non-metallic mineral products<br />

Basic metals and fabricated metal products<br />

Machinery and equipment n.e.c.<br />

of 2008‑2010. Among these imbalances, the housing bubble<br />

stands out as one of the main distortions recorded in that<br />

period. Hence, the remarkable increase of the real estate<br />

services and construction sectors can be directly attributed<br />

to mispriced assets. 31 The inflation of these sectors was later<br />

partially reversed during the recession; by mid‑2011 the<br />

Electrical and optical equipment<br />

Transport equipment<br />

Manufacturing n.e.c.<br />

Electricity, gas and water supply<br />

Construction<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Hotels and restaurants<br />

Transport, storage and communication<br />

2009<br />

1997<br />

correction was still ongoing with the construction sector<br />

still contracting. While the raise of the housing‑related<br />

sectors can be attributed to growing imbalances, the<br />

drop in the share of manufacturing is probably reflecting<br />

a well‑understood long‑term trend explained by its<br />

high productivity growth relative to services in general.<br />

This is interesting because it means that we can rule<br />

out trade specialization as the driving force behind the<br />

31 This has been discussed in detail in chapter 1 in the European<br />

Competitiveness Report 2010. Although anecdotical, figure 1.4 in<br />

European Competitiveness Report 2011 is quite compelling about<br />

the size of the distortions: it shows how the construction sector<br />

in Spain ended up employing more workers than in Germany in<br />

absolute terms.<br />

Financial intermediation<br />

Real estate, renting and business activities<br />

Public administration and defence<br />

Education<br />

Health and social work<br />

Other social & personal services<br />

Activities of households


developments. This is confirmed by the poor relation<br />

between the bubble (and growth of the construction<br />

sector) and the behaviour of international market shares<br />

of manufacturing. 32 In short, the developments reflect the<br />

typical landscape of an economy with fast productivity<br />

32 See section 1.3 in the European Competitiveness Report 2010.<br />

Chapter II — Changes in <strong>EU</strong> Industrial <strong>structure</strong><br />

growth in manufacturing and increasing weight of services<br />

with one or two anomalies like the real estate services and<br />

construction due to the imbalances accumulated over the<br />

period under consideration cf. Figure II.4. 33<br />

FIgURE II.4: Change in the share of sectors in the <strong>EU</strong> in 1997-2009 (percentage points)<br />

Real estate, renting and business activities<br />

Health and social work<br />

Construction<br />

Financial intermediation<br />

Education<br />

Other social & personal services<br />

Hotels and restaurants<br />

Activities of households<br />

Transport, storage and communication<br />

Fishing<br />

Leather and leather products<br />

Rened petroleum products<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Manufacturing n.e.c.<br />

Electricity, gas and water supply<br />

Rubber and plastic products<br />

Other non-metallic mineral products<br />

Chemicals, chemical products<br />

Machinery and equipment n.e.c.<br />

Public administration and defence<br />

Food products; beverages and tobacco<br />

Textiles and textile products<br />

Transport equipment<br />

Basic metals and fabricated metal products<br />

Paper products; publishing and printing<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Electrical and optical equipment<br />

Agriculture, hunting and forestry<br />

Manufacturing<br />

-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

ii12 member states’ sectoral<br />

specialisation<br />

Sectoral specialisation is a concept which adds<br />

a comparative dimension to the breakdown by shares that<br />

was presented in the previous section. The breakdown<br />

of industries by shares in each country is compared to<br />

the average share in the <strong>EU</strong> and used as an indicator of<br />

specialisation. The two indicators, shares and specialisation,<br />

complement each other: a country can be specialised<br />

in sectors that represent only a small share of the overall<br />

economy, cf. Box II.1.<br />

33 Figure II.11 in the Appendix breaks down manufacturing and<br />

market services into further sectors.<br />

39


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

40<br />

box II.1: Indicator of a country’s sectoral specialisation<br />

The indicator of a country’s sectoral specialisation compares the share of a given sector in one country with the<br />

share of the same sector in the <strong>EU</strong> as a whole. A value of 1 for a sector indicates the same share for that sector in the<br />

country and in the <strong>EU</strong>. Values above (below) 1 indicate specialisation (lack of specialisation) of the country in that<br />

sector and, the higher the value of the indicator, the higher the country’s specialisation compared to the <strong>EU</strong> average.<br />

The index is calculated, for country ‘i’ and industry ‘j’, as follows:<br />

where VA is value added and <strong>EU</strong> refers to <strong>EU</strong>‑27.<br />

When interpreting the coefficient there are at least three caveats.<br />

1) Large countries mostly determine the sectoral profile of the <strong>EU</strong>, in which they are included. It is, therefore, less likely to<br />

find significant differences between large countries and the <strong>EU</strong> as a whole. For the same reason it is more likely to find<br />

a substantially different profile in small countries from that of the <strong>EU</strong>. This arithmetic property of the indicator affects the<br />

value of the index but not the specialisation profile of the country. However, the 2009 edition of <strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong><br />

(See Figure II.7 p. 61) showed that the results are not substantially affected by the method of calculation since changing<br />

the area of reference by excluding the country under analysis does not substantially alter those indicators. Nevertheless,<br />

other factors, as well as the way the indicator is calculated, explain the fact that small countries tend to show a sectoral<br />

profile different from the average. Large countries are in a naturally favourable position to initiate a larger number of<br />

activities successfully. Conversely, the obvious constraints that prevent small countries from developing a large range<br />

of economic activities lead these countries to specialise on the basis of, among other things, their own comparative<br />

advantages, their degree of development, the availability of specific resources, historical reasons, geographical and<br />

location advantages, and technical characteristics of the sectors (e.g. economies of scale).<br />

2) The level of sectoral aggregation also affects the results, as aggregation may mask the level of specialisation or lack<br />

of specialisation of a country in a given sector. This applies to the results presented in Section II.2, as the taxonomies<br />

for which the indicator is calculated are the result of aggregating sectors as defined in the NACE Rev. 1 nomenclature.<br />

3) Specialisation and size of the sector are not necessarily related. The fact that a country is specialised in a sector<br />

does not necessarily imply that the share of this sector in the economy of the country is large.<br />

degree of specialisation in a country<br />

While the indicator of sectoral specialisation provides a value for each sector in a given country, the degree of<br />

specialisation in a country is measured as the Euclidean distance between the country’s vector of specialisation and<br />

the vector corresponding to the non‑specialisation hypothetical case of non‑specialisation in which the coefficient<br />

of specialisation would take the value 1 for each sector. For country ‘i’ and ‘n’ sectors the coefficient that measures<br />

the degree of specialisation is calculated as follows.


Looking at the overall specialisation of a country, the<br />

countries with the most specialised <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong>s are,<br />

FIgURE II.5: Ranking of countries by degree of specialisation<br />

HU<br />

BG<br />

EE<br />

BG<br />

RO<br />

LV<br />

GR<br />

PT<br />

LU<br />

LT<br />

MT<br />

SK<br />

CZ<br />

CY<br />

IT<br />

DK<br />

NL<br />

PL<br />

DE<br />

FI<br />

ES<br />

SI<br />

BE<br />

UK<br />

SE<br />

AT<br />

FR<br />

Chapter II — Changes in <strong>EU</strong> Industrial <strong>structure</strong><br />

presented in decreasing order, Hungary, Bulgaria, Estonia,<br />

Ireland, Romania, Latvia and Greece, cf. Figure II.5.<br />

0 2 4 6 8 10<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

The larger the country is, the higher is its potential for<br />

diversification. The sectors that drive this high specialisation<br />

can be deduced from Table II.2. The five countries most<br />

diversified in the <strong>EU</strong> are Germany, France, the UK, Italy and<br />

Spain. Interestingly, smaller countries like the Netherlands,<br />

Belgium, Austria and Sweden also have diversified <strong>industrial</strong><br />

<strong>structure</strong>s, cf. Figure II.6.<br />

41


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE II.6: Large economies are less dependent on a few sectors<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

0 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500<br />

42<br />

LU<br />

BG<br />

GR<br />

RO<br />

LV<br />

PT<br />

EE HU<br />

LT<br />

MT IE<br />

DK<br />

CY<br />

SK CZ<br />

SI<br />

FI<br />

SE<br />

AT<br />

BE<br />

NL<br />

PL<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

As explained in Box II.1, being highly specialised in a sector<br />

does not mean that the sector in question represents<br />

a large share in the economy. A sector in which a country<br />

is specialised represents, in proportion, more than in other<br />

countries. In certain countries, sectoral indexes reach<br />

very high values. The indices should be interpreted with<br />

caution. As indicated in the headings below every country<br />

abbreviation, data availability for the countries differs<br />

substantially in some cases. The latest data available for<br />

UK and Poland refer to 2005 and 2006 for Bulgaria. For the<br />

countries where data is available for 2009, the recent crisis<br />

may have affected the specialisation indices significantly<br />

compared to 2008: manufacturing of refined petroleum<br />

products illustrates this. The industry only accounted for 1.7 %<br />

and 1.9 % of Hungarian GDP in 2008 and 2009 respectively.<br />

The corresponding <strong>EU</strong>‑27 shares were 0.3 % and 0.2 %. Even<br />

though the industry declined in absolute terms in Hungary,<br />

the specialisation index increased from 5.5 to 8.5 since it<br />

declined less than the whole economy while the opposite<br />

occurred for the whole <strong>EU</strong>‑27.<br />

ES<br />

IT<br />

UK<br />

FR<br />

The highest sectoral level of specialisation is in Hungary,<br />

with a specialisation of 8.5 in refined petroleum products.<br />

Another high level of sectoral specialisation is found in<br />

Ireland with a specialisation of 6.0 in chemicals. Bulgaria<br />

and Romania show high specialisation in agriculture. These<br />

findings reflect the trend according to which the more<br />

developed a country is, the less important the primary<br />

sector becomes. For mining and quarrying, Bulgaria,<br />

Denmark and the Netherlands are the most specialised.<br />

The lowest specialisation in manufacturing can be found in<br />

Cyprus, Greece, Latvia and Luxembourg, with specialisation<br />

indices between 0.4 and 0.7. Luxembourg stands out as<br />

highly specialised in financial intermediation. Looking<br />

more closely at manufacturing sectors, a few facts are<br />

worth highlighting. The Baltic countries Estonia, Latvia and<br />

Lithuania are highly specialised in the wood industry with<br />

specialisation indices between 3 and 6. Italy still has a very<br />

high specialisation in leather, cf. Table II.2.<br />

DE


TAbLE II.2: Sectoral specialisation indices 1997 and 2009<br />

Chapter II — Changes in <strong>EU</strong> Industrial <strong>structure</strong><br />

at BE Bg cy cZ dE dK EE Es Fi Fr El hu<br />

code sector 1997 2007 1997 2009 1998 2006 1997 2009 1997 2009 1997 2009 1997 2009 1997 2009 1997 2009 1997 2009 1999 2009 2000 2009 1997 2009<br />

a agriculture, hunting and forestry 0.86 1.01 0.57 0.41 7.35 4.99 1.40 1.30 1.54 1.42 0.48 0.56 1.08 0.50 1.72 1.46 1.74 1.55 1.48 1.66 1.22 1.05 2.66 1.79 2.57 2.06<br />

B Fishing 0.04 0.06 0.31 0.26 0.46 0.54 2.57 3.13 0.45 0.11 0.11 0.17 2.54 1.92 5.73 4.19 3.21 2.79 1.08 1.01 1.18 1.05 5.75 4.73 0.19 0.25<br />

c mining and quarrying 0.43 0.53 0.19 0.15 2.38 3.30 0.28 0.46 2.08 1.52 0.34 0.39 1.55 3.46 1.83 1.76 0.44 0.25 0.35 0.51 0.21 0.20 0.60 0.54 0.48 0.34<br />

d manufacturing 1.01 1.17 1.03 0.94 0.97 1.08 0.56 0.46 1.38 1.59 1.13 1.53 0.86 0.89 1.01 0.96 0.96 0.85 1.25 1.22 0.82 0.71 0.57 0.69 1.16 1.44<br />

da Food products; beverages and 0.91 0.98 1.11 1.06 2.25 1.45 1.59 1.06 1.67 1.49 0.84 0.84 1.24 1.23 1.95 1.15 1.21 1.11 0.95 0.92 0.91 0.77 1.22 1.82 1.42 1.14<br />

tobacco<br />

dB textiles and textile products 0.84 0.78 1.14 1.05 2.59 4.81 1.14 0.33 1.45 1.24 0.53 0.63 0.47 0.32 2.28 1.94 1.16 0.79 0.56 0.46 0.75 0.61 1.62 1.76 1.48 0.72<br />

dc leather and leather products 0.64 0.53 0.25 0.23 3.08 1.72 1.26 0.21 1.05 0.60 0.32 0.36 0.24 0.03 1.47 0.68 1.73 1.00 0.47 0.40 0.69 0.65 0.63 0.61 1.61 1.03<br />

dd wood and wood products 2.17 2.37 0.64 0.70 0.89 0.96 1.54 1.61 1.86 2.62 1.05 0.95 1.10 0.88 4.61 5.56 1.01 0.76 3.21 2.08 0.64 0.56 0.67 0.46 1.08 0.85<br />

dE paper products; publishing and 0.96 1.07 0.89 0.89 0.63 0.57 0.49 0.55 0.84 1.07 1.00 1.19 1.04 0.83 0.86 0.99 0.88 0.97 2.99 2.36 0.74 0.70 0.42 0.65 0.75 0.84<br />

printing<br />

dF refined petroleum products 1.24 0.80 1.90 2.69 5.52 3.41 0.41 0.02 1.38 0.21 0.53 0.54 0.13 0.62 0.09 2.23 1.53 1.01 0.83 1.77 1.13 0.66 2.07 3.41 6.58 8.45<br />

dg chemicals, chemical products 0.58 0.87 1.98 1.72 0.67 0.68 0.26 0.27 0.98 0.69 1.15 1.49 0.90 1.17 0.71 0.46 0.87 0.87 0.77 0.96 0.81 0.73 0.39 0.37 1.17 1.26<br />

dh rubber and plastic products 0.89 1.07 0.82 0.81 0.43 0.69 0.40 0.39 1.09 2.51 1.22 1.58 0.91 0.90 0.49 0.65 0.93 0.84 0.89 0.96 0.91 0.78 0.42 0.50 0.93 1.64<br />

di Other non‑metallic mineral 1.47 1.47 1.16 1.29 0.59 1.87 1.23 1.59 2.21 2.04 1.02 1.03 0.88 0.73 1.17 1.22 1.51 1.36 0.81 0.93 0.72 0.76 1.06 0.82 1.09 1.19<br />

products<br />

dJ Basic metals and fabricated 1.24 1.47 1.12 1.02 0.79 1.32 0.33 0.41 1.99 1.62 1.11 1.58 0.70 0.64 0.54 0.74 0.96 0.99 1.07 1.13 0.90 0.78 0.43 0.57 0.78 0.91<br />

metal products<br />

dK machinery and equipment nec 1.05 1.45 0.58 0.54 0.74 0.78 0.13 0.11 1.38 1.57 1.53 2.21 1.23 1.10 0.35 0.41 0.58 0.54 1.44 1.57 0.68 0.61 0.19 0.18 0.79 0.94<br />

dl Electrical and optical equipment 1.07 1.18 0.76 0.61 0.30 0.57 0.07 0.10 1.10 1.81 1.35 2.07 0.72 1.50 0.63 1.16 0.59 0.44 1.81 2.01 0.82 0.57 0.17 0.19 1.46 2.87<br />

dm transport equipment 0.59 0.87 0.88 0.60 0.31 0.23 0.05 0.06 1.13 2.36 1.58 2.31 0.29 0.12 0.55 0.34 1.13 0.77 0.52 0.39 0.94 0.88 0.23 0.25 0.96 1.93<br />

dn manufacturing nec 1.61 1.36 0.74 0.63 0.18 1.12 1.02 0.63 1.33 1.64 0.87 1.03 1.30 1.05 2.01 1.49 1.06 0.99 0.77 0.69 0.74 0.70 0.79 0.76 0.64 0.69<br />

E Electricity, gas and water supply 1.01 1.32 1.15 0.91 2.19 1.84 0.76 0.83 1.47 2.35 0.88 1.10 0.95 0.78 1.18 1.61 1.03 1.02 0.91 1.11 0.82 0.68 1.16 1.09 1.39 1.41<br />

F construction 1.42 1.11 0.88 0.86 0.87 0.94 1.42 1.30 1.34 1.17 1.06 0.64 0.85 0.78 1.09 1.10 1.27 1.71 0.97 1.11 0.91 1.02 1.25 0.71 0.79 0.70<br />

g wholesale and retail trade 1.13 1.09 1.02 1.08 0.54 0.81 1.10 1.10 0.98 1.06 0.92 0.94 1.10 1.03 1.09 1.16 0.97 0.93 0.87 0.89 0.90 0.90 1.26 1.47 0.92 1.04<br />

h hotels and restaurants 1.48 1.52 0.58 0.56 0.78 0.86 3.28 2.00 1.01 0.63 0.54 0.55 0.59 0.51 0.56 0.48 2.71 2.50 0.51 0.55 0.81 0.80 2.60 2.39 0.76 0.52<br />

i transport, storage and<br />

1.10 0.92 1.16 1.16 1.23 1.79 1.20 1.09 1.54 1.54 0.81 0.85 1.17 0.92 1.80 1.62 1.14 0.99 1.34 1.17 0.91 0.97 1.13 1.39 1.23 1.16<br />

communication<br />

J Financial intermediation 1.11 0.97 1.20 1.04 0.51 0.92 1.23 1.41 0.58 0.67 0.97 0.62 0.98 1.17 0.54 0.59 0.96 1.14 0.70 0.52 0.94 0.87 1.13 0.93 0.76 0.78<br />

K real estate, renting and 0.74 0.83 1.02 1.06 0.84 0.70 0.82 0.90 0.60 0.62 1.13 1.12 0.85 0.89 0.90 0.92 0.68 0.73 0.81 0.94 1.20 1.24 0.72 0.62 0.76 0.82<br />

business activities<br />

l public administration and 0.97 0.92 0.99 1.16 0.87 1.10 1.30 1.56 0.76 0.87 0.94 0.86 0.98 1.02 0.77 1.17 1.92 1.00 0.76 0.81 1.16 1.18 1.31 1.46 1.13 1.35<br />

defence<br />

m Education 1.15 1.03 1.37 1.32 0.69 0.73 1.07 1.19 0.82 0.83 0.92 0.82 1.13 1.17 1.09 1.03 0.30 0.98 1.05 1.00 1.18 1.03 1.01 1.30 0.99 0.93<br />

n health and social work 0.86 0.83 1.00 1.03 0.40 0.34 0.58 0.54 0.57 0.56 1.06 0.95 1.65 1.59 0.52 0.55 0.35 0.85 1.36 1.31 1.25 1.21 0.58 0.60 0.70 0.56<br />

O Other social & personal services 1.11 1.00 0.63 0.67 0.38 0.55 1.06 0.94 0.80 0.78 1.27 1.13 1.14 1.14 0.79 0.83 0.76 0.97 1.02 1.00 0.84 0.91 1.03 1.07 1.20 1.15<br />

p activities of households 0.08 0.07 0.48 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.96 2.02 0.03 0.04 0.65 0.61 0.28 0.31 0.10 0.06 2.14 1.52 0.10 0.19 1.06 1.12 1.30 1.68 0.00 0.00<br />

Note: Specialisation index for refined petroleum products in Denmark are based on 2008 data.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

43


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

TAbLE II.2 (continued): Sectoral specialisation indices 1997 and 2009<br />

44<br />

iE it lt lu lv mt nl pl pt rO sE si sK uK<br />

code sector 1997 2009 1997 2009 1997 2009 1997 2009 2000 2009 1997 2009 1997 2009 1997 2005 1997 2007 1997 2008 1997 2009 1997 2009 1997 2009 1997 2005<br />

a agriculture, hunting and forestry 1.77 0.56 1.13 1.09 3.96 2.06 0.31 0.19 1.84 2.00 0.96 1.14 1.25 1.06 2.43 2.50 1.58 1.24 6.95 4.30 0.95 1.09 1.54 1.53 1.96 2.46 0.49 0.48<br />

B Fishing 3.87 1.34 1.31 1.48 0.47 1.25 0.00 0.00 4.37 1.77 2.24 3.86 0.84 0.45 0.35 0.29 3.63 4.11 0.08 0.16 0.33 0.39 0.13 0.21 0.04 0.11 0.56 0.43<br />

c mining and quarrying 0.92 0.68 0.62 0.48 0.48 0.42 0.16 0.12 0.13 0.65 0.32 0.45 3.09 4.06 3.56 3.17 0.53 0.63 3.11 1.22 0.36 0.81 0.94 0.61 1.04 0.78 2.70 2.79<br />

d manufacturing 1.56 1.63 1.10 1.09 0.94 1.10 0.66 0.43 0.70 0.67 1.01 0.90 0.82 0.85 1.00 1.07 0.95 0.85 1.31 1.36 1.09 1.05 1.31 1.32 1.16 1.32 1.03 0.75<br />

da Food products; beverages and 2.23 2.16 0.92 0.98 2.24 2.06 0.51 0.35 1.67 1.22 1.21 0.97 1.23 1.51 1.55 1.60 1.02 0.95 3.41 3.03 0.78 0.71 1.27 0.86 1.13 0.92 1.14 0.94<br />

tobacco<br />

dB textiles and textile products 0.65 0.29 2.30 2.68 3.08 2.32 1.15 0.59 1.78 1.00 2.44 1.01 0.36 0.35 1.58 1.32 3.23 3.18 2.64 2.81 0.23 0.28 2.29 1.33 1.32 1.27 1.02 0.53<br />

dc leather and leather products 0.28 0.24 3.38 3.96 1.73 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.13 1.71 0.08 0.20 0.18 1.43 0.86 4.82 3.70 2.29 2.82 0.16 0.00 2.78 1.80 1.45 1.71 0.55 0.22<br />

dd wood and wood products 0.81 0.59 1.19 1.08 1.86 3.73 0.42 0.32 5.98 5.91 0.18 0.20 0.52 0.66 1.71 1.82 1.49 1.83 1.95 2.37 1.86 1.96 2.20 2.02 1.82 3.92 0.65 0.69<br />

dE paper products; publishing and 2.60 2.46 0.72 0.81 0.69 0.86 0.47 0.40 0.64 0.74 0.75 1.18 1.16 1.14 0.73 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.44 0.81 1.70 1.59 1.30 1.19 1.08 1.01 1.36 1.15<br />

printing<br />

dF refined petroleum products 0.13 0.10 1.45 0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.05 0.01 0.81 1.27 1.45 1.88 0.25 1.23 2.54 3.25 0.68 1.04 0.23 0.03 5.08 1.40 0.96 0.66<br />

dg chemicals, chemical products 4.47 6.03 0.85 0.76 0.66 1.06 0.50 0.16 0.21 0.39 0.47 1.09 1.35 1.09 0.76 0.73 0.64 0.49 0.66 0.54 1.10 1.38 1.45 1.85 0.91 0.46 1.02 0.82<br />

dh rubber and plastic products 0.67 0.58 1.05 0.89 0.28 1.20 2.23 1.09 0.25 0.43 1.25 0.90 0.60 0.63 1.02 1.44 0.65 0.77 0.58 1.22 0.74 0.69 1.56 2.00 0.94 1.66 1.16 0.91<br />

di Other non‑metallic mineral 1.24 0.70 1.26 1.19 0.86 0.83 1.21 0.79 0.45 0.73 0.86 0.87 0.66 0.72 1.37 1.50 2.12 1.55 1.44 1.63 0.47 0.62 1.33 1.18 1.47 1.70 0.77 0.66<br />

products<br />

dJ Basic metals and fabricated 0.40 0.32 1.32 1.27 0.18 0.36 1.44 1.13 0.52 0.47 0.35 0.23 0.74 0.71 0.94 0.95 0.67 0.63 1.14 0.91 1.21 0.99 1.33 1.58 1.67 1.88 0.89 0.59<br />

metal products<br />

dK machinery and equipment nec 0.50 0.28 1.22 1.30 0.37 0.29 0.51 0.29 0.25 0.16 0.23 0.10 0.63 0.68 0.78 0.76 0.41 0.45 0.78 0.53 1.29 1.11 1.09 1.29 1.07 0.76 0.84 0.59<br />

dl Electrical and optical equipment 2.55 2.56 0.89 0.96 0.51 0.50 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.39 2.02 1.96 0.56 0.45 0.66 0.71 0.61 0.62 0.63 0.81 1.31 1.42 1.30 1.27 0.82 1.64 1.13 0.64<br />

dm transport equipment 0.27 0.23 0.65 0.62 0.25 0.58 0.04 0.06 0.23 0.25 0.59 0.70 0.40 0.34 0.62 0.90 0.59 0.45 0.75 1.63 1.32 0.91 0.43 0.86 0.55 1.58 1.05 0.76<br />

dn manufacturing nec 0.77 0.58 1.37 1.46 0.98 2.62 0.33 0.15 0.94 0.94 3.39 2.47 1.46 1.62 1.45 1.48 1.04 1.08 1.82 1.46 0.73 0.70 1.88 1.45 0.92 1.40 1.01 0.85<br />

E Electricity, gas and water supply 0.53 0.66 0.81 0.95 1.58 1.60 0.54 0.51 1.85 1.50 0.79 0.85 0.59 0.95 1.19 1.71 1.02 1.35 1.38 0.98 1.13 1.38 0.90 1.32 1.51 2.29 0.81 1.03<br />

F construction 0.99 0.89 0.91 1.00 1.34 1.02 1.11 0.85 1.10 1.05 0.77 0.61 0.94 0.96 1.29 1.00 1.26 1.06 1.04 1.85 0.76 0.83 1.19 1.25 1.30 1.50 0.90 0.96<br />

g wholesale and retail trade 0.89 0.85 1.14 0.98 1.37 1.52 0.91 1.02 1.42 1.36 1.26 0.97 1.13 1.10 1.63 1.65 1.18 1.20 0.81 1.05 0.89 1.03 1.04 1.12 1.20 1.43 0.98 1.01<br />

h hotels and restaurants 0.87 0.75 1.32 1.32 0.64 0.47 0.92 0.50 0.40 0.46 2.54 1.46 0.71 0.58 0.38 0.42 1.41 1.65 1.04 0.65 0.49 0.50 0.89 0.78 0.60 0.46 1.01 0.98<br />

i transport, storage and 0.86 0.80 1.03 1.07 1.39 2.02 1.47 1.28 2.03 1.67 1.47 1.21 1.04 0.93 0.91 1.03 0.96 1.02 1.25 1.63 1.17 1.07 1.04 1.06 1.55 1.04 1.12 1.02<br />

communication<br />

J Financial intermediation 1.29 1.70 0.81 0.93 0.28 0.39 3.93 4.49 1.00 1.06 1.00 0.95 1.22 1.29 0.76 0.78 1.22 1.39 0.64 0.46 1.11 0.77 0.89 0.87 0.73 0.70 1.20 1.48<br />

K real estate, renting and business 0.61 0.75 0.94 1.01 0.49 0.62 0.90 0.96 0.67 0.86 0.62 0.80 1.00 0.89 0.58 0.63 0.68 0.68 0.53 0.55 0.95 0.94 0.72 0.79 0.67 0.65 0.98 1.07<br />

activities<br />

l public administration and 0.73 0.84 0.87 1.03 1.27 1.13 0.85 0.79 1.30 1.26 1.04 1.05 1.05 1.12 0.91 0.98 1.17 1.40 0.41 0.78 0.80 0.75 0.81 0.96 0.78 1.08 0.76 0.76<br />

defence<br />

m Education 0.96 1.11 1.07 0.94 1.03 1.20 0.85 0.75 1.04 1.04 1.13 1.10 0.90 0.95 0.93 0.99 1.33 1.30 0.40 0.76 1.10 1.09 1.09 1.07 0.68 0.64 1.09 1.06<br />

n health and social work 0.96 1.08 0.85 0.81 0.57 0.54 0.72 0.66 0.52 0.44 0.73 0.88 1.18 1.30 0.54 0.52 0.80 0.86 0.23 0.43 1.55 1.54 0.80 0.75 0.72 0.44 1.00 1.01<br />

O Other social & personal services 0.85 0.73 0.86 0.76 0.78 0.75 0.62 0.50 1.06 1.20 1.12 2.76 0.81 0.78 0.91 0.95 0.57 0.62 0.63 0.82 0.97 1.09 0.96 0.84 0.81 0.87 1.10 1.20<br />

p activities of households 0.26 0.20 1.91 2.08 0.09 0.18 1.03 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.59 0.82 0.82 1.26 1.16 1.63 1.80 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.08 0.18 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.94 0.93<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.


For countries as a whole, it should be noted that, in<br />

principle, specialization is not necessarily a good or<br />

bad thing per se. On one hand, specialization may<br />

reflect a natural focus on what the country does better<br />

relative to trade partners (comparative advantage), and<br />

hence a gain of overall productivity. On the other hand,<br />

diversification will always render a society more resilient<br />

to external shocks; a downturn in a specific sector can be<br />

compensated by other sectors still doing well and feeding<br />

public finances that eventually help cushion the negative<br />

impact of the shock (e.g., paying unemployment insurance).<br />

Nevertheless, diversification can also be seen as reflecting<br />

a society with a wider choice for its citizens; a high degree<br />

of diversification is very likely reflecting a strong and<br />

diverse human capital base that makes it possible to have<br />

from artists to engineers producing from haut couture<br />

to satellites. Given that by nature larger countries tend to<br />

be more diversified, countries below the line in figure II.6<br />

can be seen as reaping the benefits from having a more<br />

diversified economy than the average country given its size.<br />

In that reading, Belgium is a highly diversified country for<br />

its size whereas Italy, despite its large size, is less diversified<br />

and, in principle, more vulnerable to sectoral shocks or<br />

to competition from emerging economies due to high<br />

specialisation in low skill industries such as textiles and<br />

leather products.<br />

box II.2: Labour skills taxonomy<br />

Chapter II — Changes in <strong>EU</strong> Industrial <strong>structure</strong><br />

The taxonomy of labour skills is presented and discussed in Chapter II of O’Mahony and van Ark (2003),<br />

<strong>EU</strong> productivity and competitiveness — An industry perspective, European Commission. A measure of educational<br />

attainment is the metric that has been used to reflect skill intensity. The sectors from the NACE Rev1. classification<br />

were broken down in the following way:<br />

II.2 Skill and technology<br />

specialization<br />

The sectors analysed are classified according to the statistical<br />

nomenclature (NACE Rev. 2) presenting data on economic<br />

activities. It is sometimes useful to use other ways to classify<br />

sectors according to economic and technological criteria.<br />

Such classification can be used to illustrate similarities<br />

and differences between countries and sectors. Industry<br />

taxonomies are used for this purpose to group industries<br />

that have common characteristics. Once the taxonomies<br />

are applied to <strong>EU</strong> member states, it is possible to compare<br />

patterns across countries. The focus below is on two different<br />

taxonomies: one on skills and one on technology. It is not<br />

only the quantity of these inputs that matters for sectoral<br />

performance but also their qualities. As in the previous<br />

section, two different types of indicators are available:<br />

a breakdown by value added share and specialisation.<br />

ii21 changes in skills’ specialization<br />

The types of education and training that contribute to<br />

making a sector competitive can be very sector‑specific.<br />

Similarly, different levels of skills are needed across sectors.<br />

The measure of skill intensity, represented by the levels34 of education attainment that dominate in a sector, reflects<br />

this heterogeneity. The sectors in which people reached<br />

a similar level of educational attainment are classified<br />

according to different levels of skills. This led to four<br />

different categories, cf. Box II.2.<br />

low skill: A Agriculture, hunting and forestry, B Fishing, C Mining and quarrying, DA15 Manufacture of food<br />

products and beverages, DA16 Manufacture of tobacco products, DB Manufacture of textiles and textile products,<br />

DC Manufacture of leather and leather products, DH Manufacture of rubber and plastic products, DI Manufacture<br />

of other non‑metallic mineral products, DJ27 Manufacture of basic metals, DM34 Manufacture of motor vehicles,<br />

trailers and semi‑trailers, DN36 Manufacture of furniture; manufacturing n.e.c., DN37 Recycling, H Hotels and<br />

restaurants, O Other community, social, personal service activities.<br />

34 A common measure is the one provided by International<br />

Standard classification ISCED. The classification can be found on:<br />

http://www.uis.unesco.org/Pages/default.aspx<br />

45


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

Belgium, Cyprus, France, Luxembourg and the United<br />

Kingdom have the highest shares of high skilled labour,<br />

above the <strong>EU</strong>‑25 average of 43 %, in the economy in 2007.<br />

Those countries also display the highest specialisations,<br />

above 1, in high skill sectors in 2007. The Czech Republic,<br />

Greece, Malta, Poland, Slovakia and Spain have the highest<br />

shares of low skilled labour, well above the <strong>EU</strong>‑25 average<br />

of 21 %, in the economy in 2007. They also display the highest<br />

specialisation indexes in low labour skill sectors. There were<br />

very few significant structural changes from 1997 to 2007.<br />

The most remarkable move towards high skilled labour<br />

46<br />

low intermediate skill: DD Manufacture of wood and wood products, DE Manufacture of pulp, paper and<br />

paper products; publishing and printing, DJ28 Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and<br />

equipment, DK Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c., DL31 Manufacture of electrical machinery and<br />

apparatus n.e.c., F Construction, G Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles, motorcycles and personal<br />

and household goods, I60 Land transport; transport via pipelines, I61 Water transport.<br />

high intermediate skill: DL33 Manufacture of medical, precision and optical instruments, watches and clocks,<br />

DM35 Manufacture of other transport equipment, E Electricity, gas and water supply, I62 Air transport, I63 Supporting<br />

and auxiliary transport activities; activities of travel agencies, I64 Post and telecommunications, K71Renting of<br />

machinery and equipment without operator and of personal and household goods, N Health and social work.<br />

high skill: DF Manufacture of coke, refined petroleum products and nuclear fuel, DG Manufacture of chemicals,<br />

chemical products and man‑made fibres, DL30 Manufacture of office machinery and computers, DL32 Manufacture<br />

of radio, television and communication equipment and apparatus, J Financial intermediation, K70 Real estate<br />

activities, K72 Computer and related activities, K73 Research and development, K74 Other business activities, L Public<br />

administration and defence; compulsory social security, M Education.<br />

To obtain a sufficiently detailed sectoral skill intensity data set, the Eurostat and <strong>EU</strong>‑KLEMS databases were<br />

combined.<br />

TAbLE II.3: Share of industry by labour skill in 1997 and 2007 (%)<br />

industries can be observed in Latvia: both the shares<br />

of these industries and the specialisation indexes have<br />

significantly increased. The low‑intermediary skill sectors in<br />

Latvia have also seen their shares and specialisation index<br />

improve. The change has taken place at the expense of the<br />

high‑intermediary skill and low skill sectors. Lithuania, the<br />

neighbour country, has not made as impressive progress<br />

towards high skill sectors, but the size of low skill sectors in<br />

the economy has shrunk considerably. Malta and Portugal<br />

both increased their shares and specialisation in high and<br />

intermediary‑high skill sectors, cf. Tables II.3 and II.4.<br />

hs his lis ls<br />

1997 2007 1997 2007 1997 2007 1997 2007<br />

austria 34.6 35.9 13.5 14.4 32.6 31.0 19.3 18.7<br />

Belgium 44.8 46.1 15.5 16.3 24.9 25.5 14.8 12.1<br />

cyprus 36.5 43.2 12.7 12.4 26.4 26.5 24.5 17.9<br />

czech republic 26.8 29.0 14.4 15.0 33.0 33.5 25.7 22.5<br />

denmark 36.1 37.6 18.0 17.9 28.8 28.4 17.1 16.2<br />

Estonia 32.2 34.2 14.6 14.0 31.0 35.0 22.2 16.7<br />

Finland 34.0 36.7 18.2 17.8 31.9 31.1 16.0 14.4<br />

France 44.8 47.3 15.5 14.1 24.0 25.1 15.8 13.5<br />

germany 40.1 41.2 15.4 16.6 27.9 25.4 16.7 16.8<br />

greece 34.8 35.0 11.8 13.2 25.9 29.6 27.4 22.2<br />

hungary 36.3 40.6 13.3 13.2 26.3 26.8 24.2 19.5<br />

>>>


Chapter II — Changes in <strong>EU</strong> Industrial <strong>structure</strong><br />

hs his lis ls<br />

1997 2007 1997 2007 1997 2007 1997 2007<br />

ireland 39.5 42.6 12.8 14.9 26.4 28.2 21.2 14.3<br />

italy 37.0 40.7 11.9 12.7 30.4 29.4 20.7 17.2<br />

latvia 27.2 33.8 17.3 13.1 33.7 37.9 21.8 15.3<br />

lithuania 26.7 28.3 13.4 14.1 32.6 38.6 27.3 19.0<br />

luxembourg n.a. 55.5 n.a 13.3 n.a 21.1 n.a 10.1<br />

malta 32.0 37.6 13.7 16.1 28.7 21.4 25.6 24.9<br />

netherlands 40.1 41.5 14.9 16.8 26.9 25.9 18.1 15.7<br />

poland 28.4 30.8 11.1 13.0 35.6 34.6 24.9 21.7<br />

portugal 35.9 39.3 12.8 15.9 28.9 25.9 22.4 18.9<br />

slovakia 29.2 29.0 14.5 13.8 35.6 36.7 20.6 20.5<br />

slovenia 33.7 37.7 12.5 13.6 31.3 30.7 22.5 18.1<br />

spain 32.6 34.1 13.0 12.7 27.7 31.5 26.8 21.7<br />

sweden 37.5 37.1 19.3 19.9 28.3 28.7 14.9 14.3<br />

united Kingdom 37.8 43.1 15.5 15.6 27.5 25.4 19.3 15.9<br />

Eu‑25 41.2 42.6 14.9 15.2 26.6 26.5 17.2 15.7<br />

Note: Bulgaria and Romania not available for lack of data.<br />

Source: own calculations using <strong>EU</strong> KLEMS and Eurostat data.<br />

TAbLE II.4: Country specialisation by labour skill in 1997 and 2007<br />

hs his lis ls<br />

1997 2007 1997 2007 1997 2007 1997 2007<br />

austria 0.84 0.84 0.90 0.94 1.23 1.17 1.12 1.19<br />

Belgium 1.09 1.08 1.03 1.07 0.94 0.96 0.86 0.77<br />

cyprus 0.88 1.01 0.85 0.81 0.99 1.00 1.42 1.14<br />

czech republic 0.65 0.68 0.97 0.99 1.24 1.26 1.50 1.44<br />

denmark 0.88 0.88 1.20 1.18 1.08 1.07 1.00 1.03<br />

Estonia 0.78 0.80 0.98 0.92 1.16 1.32 1.29 1.07<br />

Finland 0.82 0.86 1.22 1.17 1.20 1.17 0.93 0.92<br />

France 1.09 1.11 1.04 0.92 0.90 0.95 0.92 0.86<br />

germany 0.97 0.97 1.03 1.09 1.05 0.96 0.97 1.07<br />

greece 0.84 0.82 0.79 0.87 0.97 1.12 1.60 1.41<br />

hungary 0.88 0.95 0.89 0.87 0.99 1.01 1.41 1.24<br />

ireland 0.96 1.00 0.86 0.98 0.99 1.06 1.24 0.91<br />

italy 0.90 0.96 0.80 0.83 1.14 1.11 1.21 1.10<br />

latvia 0.66 0.79 1.16 0.86 1.26 1.43 1.27 0.98<br />

lithuania 0.65 0.66 0.90 0.92 1.22 1.46 1.59 1.21<br />

luxembourg n.a. 1.30 n.a. 0.87 n.a. 0.80 n.a. 0.64<br />

malta 0.78 0.88 0.92 1.06 1.08 0.81 1.49 1.59<br />

netherlands 0.97 0.97 0.99 1.11 1.01 0.98 1.05 1.00<br />

poland 0.69 0.72 0.74 0.85 1.33 1.30 1.45 1.38<br />

portugal 0.87 0.92 0.86 1.05 1.08 0.98 1.30 1.21<br />

slovakia 0.71 0.68 0.97 0.91 1.34 1.38 1.20 1.31<br />

slovenia 0.82 0.88 0.84 0.89 1.17 1.16 1.31 1.15<br />

spain 0.79 0.80 0.87 0.84 1.04 1.19 1.56 1.38<br />

sweden 0.91 0.87 1.29 1.31 1.06 1.08 0.87 0.91<br />

united<br />

Kingdom<br />

0.92 1.01 1.04 1.03 1.03 0.96 1.12 1.01<br />

Note: Bulgaria and Romania not available for lack of data.<br />

Source: own calculations using <strong>EU</strong> KLEMS and Eurostat data.<br />

47


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

ii22 changes in technology specialization<br />

The technology taxonomy provides insight concerning<br />

the technology shares and specialisation across <strong>EU</strong><br />

48<br />

box II.3: Technology taxonomy<br />

manufacturing sectors. The sectors in which the R&D<br />

intensity reached similar levels were regrouped. This led to<br />

four different categories, cf. Box II.3.<br />

The OECD (1997) classification of industries based on technological intensity was used as a reference. According to<br />

this classification, R&D intensity, expenditures on R&D relative to value added, is the main criterion for evaluating<br />

the technological content of an industry. As a result, manufacturing industries (following NACE rev. 1) are broken<br />

down in four groups.<br />

low tech: DA Manufacture of food products, beverages and tobacco, DB Manufacture of textiles and textile<br />

products, DC Manufacture of leather and leather products, DD Manufacture of wood and wood products, DE<br />

Manufacture of pulp, paper and paper products; publishing and printing.<br />

low intermediate tech: DF Manufacture of coke, refined petroleum products and nuclear fuel, DH251 Manufacture<br />

of rubber products, DH252 Manufacture of plastic products, DI Manufacture of other non‑metallic mineral products,<br />

DJ27 Manufacture of basic metals, DJ28 Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and<br />

equipment, DM351 Building and repairing of ships and boats, DN Manufacturing n.e.c.<br />

high intermediate tech: DG241Manufacture of basic chemicals, DG242 Manufacture of pesticides and other<br />

agro‑chemical products, DG247 Manufacture of man‑made fibres, DG243 Manufacture of paints, varnishes<br />

and similar coatings, printing ink and mastics, DG245 Manufacture of soap and detergents, cleaning and<br />

polishing preparations, perfumes and toilet preparations, DG246 Manufacture of other chemical products,<br />

DK291 Manufacture of machinery for the production and use of mechanical power, except aircraft, vehicle and<br />

cycle engines, DK293 Manufacture of agricultural and forestry machinery, DK294 Manufacture of machine‑tools,<br />

DK295 Manufacture of other special purpose machinery, DK292 Manufacture of other general purpose machinery,<br />

DL31 Manufacture of electrical machinery and apparatus n.e.c., DK297 Manufacture of domestic appliances<br />

n.e.c., DM352 Manufacture of railway and tramway locomotives and rolling stock, DM34 Manufacture of motor<br />

vehicles, trailers and semi‑trailers, DM354 Manufacture of motorcycles and bicycles, DM355 Manufacture of other<br />

transport equipment n.e.c., DL33 Manufacture of medical, precision and optical instruments, watches and clocks,<br />

DK296 Manufacture of weapons and ammunition.<br />

high tech: DG244 Manufacture of pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemicals and botanical products, DL30 Manufacture<br />

of office machinery and computers, DL32 Manufacture of radio, television and communication equipment and<br />

apparatus, DM353 Manufacture of aircraft and spacecraft.<br />

As with all indicators, interpretations should be cautious.<br />

The base of the calculation of the indicators is the<br />

manufacturing aggregates in all countries, so some<br />

countries with a relatively small manufacturing base<br />

can obtain high values in a certain category of skill and<br />

technology. The overall <strong>EU</strong>‑25 is characterised by high<br />

shares in the medium low technology and medium high<br />

technology sectors. Those represent almost two thirds<br />

of the <strong>EU</strong>‑25 in 2007. Finland, Hungary, Ireland, Malta,<br />

Sweden, and the United Kingdom have had the highest<br />

shares of high technology sectors, above 13 %, in 2007.<br />

Those are also the countries with the highest specialisation<br />

indices, above 1.3, in high technology sectors in 2007.<br />

Cyprus, Estonia, Greece, Latvia, Lithuania and Portugal<br />

have the highest shares of low technology, above 40 %,<br />

in 2007 and also have the highest specialisation indexes<br />

in low technology sectors, above 1.6. There were very few<br />

significant structural changes from 1997 to 2007. With the<br />

exception of Portugal, all the countries with high shares<br />

and specialisation in low technology are moving up the


technology scale. They are less and less specialised in<br />

low technology industries. Latvia’s low technology sector<br />

share in the economy decreased from 69 % to 54 %, Cyprus<br />

from 58 % to 45 %, Lithuania from 59 % to 44 % and Greece<br />

and Estonia from 55 % to 43 % and 42 % respectively. On<br />

the other side of the spectrum, Finland has reinforced<br />

its high technology specialisation. Finland, which was<br />

still behind Sweden in Ireland in 1997 in terms of overall<br />

share of high technology sectors, has the highest share<br />

TAbLE II.5: Share of industry by technology categories in 1997 and 2007 (%)<br />

Chapter II — Changes in <strong>EU</strong> Industrial <strong>structure</strong><br />

of high technology industries in 2007. High technology<br />

manufacturing industries represented more than 20 %<br />

of Finish manufacturing. The importance of Nokia in<br />

the Finnish economy explains a large part of this. The<br />

relationship between technology and skill intensities is<br />

weak for some countries. Cyprus, which exhibited large<br />

shares and large specialisation in high skill sectors according<br />

to the two previous tables, is specialised in low technology<br />

and medium‑technology sectors, cf. Tables II.5 and II.6.<br />

ht mht mlt lt<br />

1997 2007 1997 2007 1997 2007 1997 2007<br />

austria 8.1 6.0 27.0 33.8 35.1 34.7 29.8 25.5<br />

Belgium 8.9 12.1 33.7 28.6 29.3 33.4 28.1 26.0<br />

cyprus 1.6 3.1 8.5 10.3 32.0 41.4 57.9 45.3<br />

czech republic 6.6 4.9 27.6 37.3 36.6 36.5 29.2 21.4<br />

denmark 9.8 9.3 27.6 32.5 28.2 28.9 34.4 29.4<br />

Estonia 5.2 3.9 17.0 18.4 23.0 35.8 54.8 41.9<br />

Finland 12.5 20.7 24.8 24.6 23.4 26.2 39.3 28.5<br />

France 11.1 10.6 29.2 29.6 30.2 32.7 29.5 27.0<br />

germany 9.8 8.3 40.6 49.7 28.0 25.2 21.6 16.8<br />

greece 3.3 4.9 12.8 11.9 29.2 40.2 54.6 43.0<br />

hungary 9.0 13.0 29.4 39.8 29.5 27.2 32.1 20.0<br />

ireland 18.0 18.8 35.1 37.0 11.1 9.5 35.8 34.7<br />

italy 6.5 5.6 28.4 30.0 32.9 36.3 32.2 28.2<br />

latvia 4.5 3.0 11.0 12.0 16.2 31.2 68.3 53.8<br />

lithuania 6.1 2.2 13.2 18.1 22.4 36.2 58.3 43.5<br />

luxembourg 0.6 1.1 19.7 16.6 54.1 60.6 25.7 21.6<br />

malta 11.0 14.4 24.8 31.1 28.7 26.9 35.4 27.6<br />

netherlands 7.7 4.6 28.8 31.3 28.7 31.0 34.8 33.1<br />

poland 4.2 3.8 24.3 26.9 33.0 35.5 38.5 33.9<br />

portugal 5.6 2.3 18.8 17.1 28.2 33.0 47.4 47.5<br />

slovakia 4.8 6.0 25.4 27.7 39.1 40.6 30.7 25.7<br />

slovenia 9.4 7.7 25.7 34.5 29.5 34.1 35.4 23.7<br />

spain 6.0 4.7 28.0 28.6 33.3 38.3 32.8 28.4<br />

sweden 15.0 14.7 33.6 34.5 23.6 26.2 27.8 24.6<br />

united Kingdom 12.0 13.2 29.3 27.6 26.2 26.6 32.4 32.6<br />

Eu‑25 8.5 9.5 32.2 35.7 30.5 29.6 28.8 25.2<br />

Note: Bulgaria and Romania not available for lack of data.<br />

Source: own calculations using <strong>EU</strong> KLEMS and Eurostat data.<br />

TAbLE II.6: Country specialisation by technology categories in 1997 and 2007<br />

ht mht mlt lt<br />

1997 2007 1997 2007 1997 2007 1997 2007<br />

austria 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0<br />

Belgium 1.0 1.3 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0<br />

cyprus 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.4 2.0 1.8<br />

czech republic 0.8 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.8<br />

denmark 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2<br />

>>><br />

49


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

50<br />

ht mht mlt lt<br />

1997 2007 1997 2007 1997 2007 1997 2007<br />

Estonia 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.9 1.7<br />

Finland 1.5 2.2 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.1<br />

France 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.1<br />

germany 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7<br />

greece 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.9 1.7<br />

hungary 1.1 1.4 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.8<br />

ireland 2.1 2.0 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.3 1.2 1.4<br />

italy 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1<br />

latvia 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.4 2.1<br />

lithuania 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 2.0 1.7<br />

luxembourg 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 1.8 2.0 0.9 0.9<br />

malta 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.1<br />

netherlands 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3<br />

poland 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3<br />

portugal 0.7 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.6 1.9<br />

slovakia 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.1 1.0<br />

slovenia 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 0.9<br />

spain 0.7 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.1 1.1<br />

sweden 1.8 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0<br />

united Kingdom 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3<br />

Note: Bulgaria and Romania not available for lack of data.<br />

Source: own calculations using <strong>EU</strong> KLEMS and Eurostat data.<br />

II.3 Size distribution of enterprises<br />

The distribution of economic activity according to the size of the<br />

enterprises provides a measure of the degree of concentration<br />

and of the share of large and small enterprises in the economy.<br />

This is of interest in understanding sectoral performance, in<br />

analysing competitiveness, and for policy. The distribution<br />

reflects certain characteristics of sectors and, simultaneously,<br />

influences performance and competitiveness. Sectoral<br />

technology (e.g. economies of scale) and market size are some<br />

of the factors explaining the enterprise‑size <strong>structure</strong> of the<br />

sector, which, in turn, determines market power and sectoral<br />

performance and competitiveness. It is clear that the resilience or<br />

vulnerability of sectors and enterprises to certain market shocks<br />

is affected by the size of enterprises, which also plays a crucial<br />

role in innovation and the development of new activities and<br />

products. For these reasons, it is important to bear in mind the<br />

size of enterprises in the sectoral analysis, and to incorporate it<br />

into formulation of <strong>industrial</strong> policy.<br />

It is often argued that small and medium‑sized enterprises<br />

(SMEs) constitute the backbone of the <strong>EU</strong> economy. However,<br />

the share of SMEs varies significantly among industries. The<br />

figure below presents, in a decreasing order, the sectors<br />

where large enterprises dominate: large enterprises are those<br />

with 250 or more employees. The units underlying these<br />

distributions are enterprises. The concentration of value added<br />

in large enterprises that characterises some of the sectors does<br />

not necessarily imply economies of scale since enterprises, and<br />

more particularly the largest ones, may own several small plants.<br />

Large enterprises represent more than 80 % of value added<br />

in the industries producing tobacco, the communications<br />

sector, mineral oil refining and nuclear fuel, motor vehicles,<br />

air transport and other transport equipment. The first<br />

impression is that manufacturing sectors are generally formed<br />

by larger enterprises than services sectors. Indeed, 55 %<br />

on average of enterprises of the manufacturing sector are<br />

above 250 employees against 36 % on average in the services<br />

sectors. The sectors with more than 80 % of SMEs are real estate<br />

activities, recycling and construction. But, contrary to common<br />

belief that manufacturing enterprises are supposed to be large,<br />

decomposition of firm size distribution by sector reveals a more<br />

nuanced picture. Many manufacturing sectors are dominated<br />

by small firms, especially the industries producing leather and<br />

footwear, fabricated metal products, wood products, textiles,<br />

clothing, and furniture where between 72 % and 79 % of the<br />

firms have fewer than 250 employees, cf. Figure II.7. 35<br />

35 According to the official <strong>EU</strong> definition of an SME, the number of<br />

employees is not the only criterion that matters. The definition also<br />

takes into consideration thresholds related to turnovers of balance<br />

sheet totals. Size distribution according to employment bands<br />

rather than turnover or balance sheet total was favoured because<br />

for data availability reasons.


ox II.4: SME definition<br />

FIgURE II.7: Distribution of value added by enterprise size in 2007 (%)<br />

Tobacco<br />

Communications<br />

Mineral oil rening and nuclear fuel<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Air transport<br />

Other transport equipment<br />

Electricity, gas and water supply<br />

Radio and TV equipment; electronic components<br />

Basic metals<br />

Chemicals<br />

Oce machinery<br />

Electrical machinery<br />

Pulp, paper and paper products<br />

Research and development<br />

Supporting transport activities<br />

Food and drink<br />

Machinery and equipment n.e.c.<br />

Scientic and other instruments<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Retail trade<br />

Rubber and plastics<br />

Computer and related activities<br />

Inland transport<br />

Printing and publishing<br />

Water transport<br />

Other business activities<br />

Furniture; other manufacturing<br />

Clothing<br />

Textiles<br />

Renting of machinery and equipment<br />

Hotels and restaurants<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Wholesale trade<br />

Fabricated metal products<br />

Sale and repair of motor vehicles<br />

Leather and footwear<br />

Construction<br />

Recycling<br />

Real estate activities<br />

MANUFACTURING<br />

SERVICES<br />

TOTAL ECONOMY<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

II.4 Services output of<br />

manufacturing<br />

An increasing number of manufacturing firms offer services<br />

along with their traditional physical goods. This tendency<br />

is coined ‘convergence process’ in the literature. 36 By<br />

offering complementary services manufacturing, firms<br />

can differentiate their products from the competitors’ and<br />

reduce price elasticities for their goods. Complementary<br />

services may also be a way to increase the qualities of the<br />

36 European Commission, DG Enterprise and Industries (2011)<br />

forthcoming. European Competitiveness Report 2011.<br />

Chapter II — Changes in <strong>EU</strong> Industrial <strong>structure</strong><br />

Enterprises qualify as SMEs if they meet certain employee ceilings (10, 50, and 250 employees) and one of the two<br />

financial ceilings (turnover or balance sheets).<br />

Eurostat currently collects data regarding the three employee ceilings but not data concerning the financial ceilings.<br />

1–9<br />

10–19<br />

20–49<br />

50–249 250 or more<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110<br />

goods and build long term relationship with customers<br />

which also might reduce the price elasticities the firms are<br />

facing. Opening up additional sources of revenue could be<br />

another motive. 37<br />

Services as shares of total manufacturing output increased<br />

in all but three <strong>EU</strong> countries between 1995 and 2005. Largest<br />

shares are found in the Finnish and Dutch manufacturing<br />

industries where services constitute around 8 % of total<br />

output, cf. Figure II. 8.<br />

37 Ibid.<br />

51


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE II.8: Services as shares of manufacturing output in 1995 and 2005 (%)<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

52<br />

2005<br />

1995<br />

FR<br />

PO<br />

CZ<br />

GR<br />

EE<br />

SI<br />

HU<br />

DK<br />

PL<br />

SK<br />

ES<br />

Note: Wholesale and retail trade are excluded. Data for France only includes services products CPA 75 to 92. The values for all service<br />

products include CPA 50 to 95 for <strong>EU</strong> Member States and NAICS 42 to 92 for the US. The values for services excluding wholesale and retail<br />

trade cover CPA 55 to 95 for <strong>EU</strong> Member States and NAICS 48 to 92 for the US. Data for France covers only service products CPA 72 to 95.<br />

Source: European Commission, DG Enterprise and Industries (2011), forthcoming European Competitiveness Report 2011. Author’s<br />

calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

II.5 Inter-sectoral spillovers —<br />

a case study<br />

The data presented in the previous chapter showed how the<br />

crisis spread to all sectors of the economy. It also provided<br />

evidence on the extent of the recovery for the sectors. While<br />

some sectors already exhibit strong growth rates at the<br />

beginning of 2010, others lag behind. The fact that some<br />

sectors are affected early in the business cycle and that the<br />

development in some sectors lags behind implies that there<br />

are interlinkages between some sectors which give rise to<br />

joint movement of production and employment. Previous<br />

editions of the <strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> have examined these<br />

interlinkages. 38 By using output multipliers it was shown how<br />

an increase in demand for a sector was translated into that<br />

sector’s demand for intermediate goods from other sectors.<br />

A case study is provided below which provides more<br />

insight into these relationships. The case study provides<br />

analysis of how shocks originating in the German motor<br />

vehicles industry impact on productivity and employment<br />

38 European Commission, DG Enterprise and Industries (2009), <strong>EU</strong><br />

Industrial Structure 2009. Performance and competitiveness.<br />

BE<br />

IT<br />

LI<br />

DE<br />

IE<br />

AT<br />

in four other German manufacturing industries: basic<br />

metals, fabricated metal products, rubber and plastics, and<br />

electrical equipment. Some words on the choice of industry<br />

for the analysis are in order. Lack of data did not allow<br />

for analysis of the whole <strong>EU</strong>‑27 manufacturing industry.<br />

The motor vehicle industry was chosen since it is one of<br />

the most important industries in the <strong>EU</strong>. The four other<br />

industries were chosen on the basis of German input‑output<br />

tables which indicated that these industries are the most<br />

affected by increase in demand for motor vehicles.<br />

The case study is undertaken with econometric analyses. 39<br />

The relationships between industries are analysed with<br />

vector autoregressive (VAR) models. The analyses are<br />

conducted within an empirical framework inspired by<br />

the works of Blanchard & Quah (1989) and Galí (1999)<br />

who analysed the importance of technology and<br />

non‑technology shocks for aggregate fluctuations in<br />

productivity and employment. There is no consistent<br />

39 The analyses are carried out with monthly data on production,<br />

employment and hours worked for the period January 1990 to<br />

August 2009. All series are indices and collected from Eurostat’s<br />

short term business statistics database. Productivity is calculated<br />

as production per hours worked.<br />

UK<br />

SE<br />

LU<br />

NL<br />

FI


definition of shocks. Shocks, or disturbances, are often<br />

defined as significant changes in variables from underlying<br />

trends. The magnitude of changes is in general determined<br />

using measures of dispersion such as standard deviations.<br />

Shocks could also be defined as unexpected events beyond<br />

the control of industries or the entity in question. See for<br />

example the discussion in Varangis et al. (2004).<br />

Four two‑industry VAR‑models were estimated, consisting<br />

of four variables: labour productivity and employment for<br />

the motor vehicles industry and for one of the other four<br />

industries respectively. 40<br />

Impulse response functions were calculated in order to see<br />

the responses of technology and non‑technology shocks<br />

40 The models are estimated in first differences of the variables since<br />

unit root tests indicated that they were non-stationary. See http://<br />

ec.europa.eu/enterprise/newsroom/cf/_getdocument.cfm?doc_<br />

id=6003 for a detailed description of the methodology and results.<br />

Chapter II — Changes in <strong>EU</strong> Industrial <strong>structure</strong><br />

on employment and productivity growth. The impulse<br />

response functions show how, for example, employment<br />

in the rubber and plastics industries responds to<br />

a one‑percentage technology shock in the motor vehicles<br />

industry. The responses are presented for a time period of<br />

four years (48) months. The responses are shown together<br />

with 90 percent confidence intervals.<br />

The analyses show that a one‑percentage technology shock<br />

originating in the motor vehicles industry has significant<br />

positive and permanent effects on employment in the<br />

rubber and plastics industry, which increases by some 2.5 %.<br />

Productivity in the rubber and plastics industry increases<br />

permanently by some 1.5 % after a technology shock in the<br />

motor vehicles industry, cf. Figure II. 9.<br />

FIgURE II.9: A technology shock in the motor vehicle industry has permanent effects on employment<br />

and productivity in rubber and plastics<br />

Employment productivity<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

-0.5<br />

-1.0<br />

lower<br />

upper<br />

response<br />

1<br />

13<br />

25<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

37<br />

48<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

lower<br />

upper<br />

response<br />

1<br />

13<br />

25<br />

37<br />

48<br />

53


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

A non‑technology shock in the motor vehicles industry<br />

has permanent effects on employment in the rubber and<br />

54<br />

plastics industry, with an increase of some 2.5 %. 41 The<br />

responses of productivity are only transitory, cf. Figure II.10.<br />

FIgURE II.10: A non-technology shock has permanent effects on employment only<br />

Employment productivity<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

1<br />

13<br />

25<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

37<br />

lower<br />

upper<br />

response<br />

The results for all four industries are summarised below.<br />

The impulse response analyses indicate that a technology<br />

shock in the motor vehicles industry permanently increase<br />

productivity in the four other industries by some 1.5 %<br />

to 4 % and employment in two industries by 2 % to 2.5 %.<br />

48<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

-0.5<br />

-1.0<br />

-1.5<br />

-2.0<br />

1<br />

13<br />

lower<br />

upper<br />

response<br />

Non‑technology shocks in the motor vehicles industry<br />

have no permanent effects on productivity in the other<br />

industries but increase employment in the four industries<br />

by 2.5 % to 4.5 %, cf. Table II.7.<br />

TAbLE II.7: Percentage responses of employment and productivity in four manufacturing industries<br />

to shocks in the motor vehicles industry<br />

technology shocks non‑technology shocks<br />

Employment productivity Employment productivity<br />

rubber and plastics 2.5 1.5 2.6 0.0<br />

Basic metals 0.0 4.1 3.5 0.0<br />

Fabricated metal products 0.0 3.8 4.5 0.0<br />

Electrical equipment 2.0 4.2 4.0 0.0<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

41 Caution is needed when interpreting the results from the shocks,<br />

especially on employment. Since the confidence intervals are<br />

relatively wide, the estimates are not as precise as one might<br />

think by only looking at the curve of the impulse response.<br />

25<br />

37<br />

48


Appendix figure<br />

FIgURE II.11: Sector share in <strong>EU</strong>-27 gDP in 2009 (%)<br />

Agriculture, hunting and forestry<br />

Fishing<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Food products; beverages and tobacco<br />

Textiles and textile products<br />

Leather and leather products<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Paper products; publishing and printing<br />

Rened petroleum products<br />

Chemicals, chemical products<br />

Rubber and plastic products<br />

Other non-metallic mineral products<br />

Basic metals and fabricated metal products<br />

Machinery and equipment n.e.c.<br />

Electrical and optical equipment<br />

Transport equipment<br />

Manufacturing n.e.c.<br />

Electricity, gas and water supply<br />

Construction<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Hotels and restaurants<br />

Transport, storage and communication<br />

Financial intermediation<br />

Real estate, renting and business activities<br />

Public administration and defence<br />

Education<br />

Health and social work<br />

Other social & personal services<br />

Activities of households<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Chapter II — Changes in <strong>EU</strong> Industrial <strong>structure</strong><br />

0 5 10 15 20 25<br />

1997<br />

2009<br />

55


Chapter III<br />

Drivers of Sector Growth<br />

and Competitiveness<br />

This chapter analyses economic growth in the <strong>EU</strong> from<br />

a sectoral perspective. Section III.1 focuses on growth in output<br />

by sectors. Industrial performance is analysed from a long‑term<br />

perspective aiming at capturing main trends in sectoral<br />

developments. Section III.2 presents indicators of sectoral<br />

competitiveness using: labour productivity and unit labour<br />

costs (ULC). These indicators are used to make comparisons<br />

across sectors in the <strong>EU</strong>. The focus in Section III.3 shifts to<br />

indicators for various factors of production: labour inputs,<br />

human capital, capital formation, energy and technology.<br />

Finally, Section III.4 examines sectoral growth from the demand<br />

side, by analysing private consumption and investment.<br />

III.1 Output growth across sectors<br />

Growth varies considerably across <strong>EU</strong> sectors. Value<br />

added in <strong>EU</strong> sectors grew on average by 2.4 % during<br />

1995‑2009. Services activities were among the fastest<br />

growing, confirming the dynamism of market services<br />

highlighted in Section II.1. Transport, storage and<br />

communication increased on average by 3.9 %, financial<br />

intermediation by 3.6 %, real estate, renting and business<br />

activities by 3.3 % and wholesale and retail trade<br />

by 2.6 %. Nonetheless, the sector that outpaced all others<br />

was a manufacturing sector; manufacture of electrical<br />

and optical equipment which, on average, rose by 6%<br />

during 1995‑2009. While the manufacturing sectors<br />

on average grew slightly less than the <strong>EU</strong> economy<br />

as a whole, 2.2 % annual growth against 2.4 % annual<br />

growth on average, the manufacturing sectors chemicals,<br />

transport equipment, rubber and plastics, and machinery<br />

and equipment n.e.c. performed better than <strong>EU</strong> economy<br />

as a whole. Value added declined in the following sectors:<br />

fishing, mining and quarrying sectors, textiles, and<br />

leather, cf. Figure III.1.<br />

57


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE III.1: Value added — average annual growth rate in the <strong>EU</strong> in 1995 – 2009 (%)<br />

58<br />

Electrical and optical equipment<br />

Transport and communication<br />

Health and social work<br />

Financial intermediation<br />

Chemicals<br />

Real estate and business activities<br />

Education<br />

Rubber and plastics<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Transport equipment<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Other services<br />

Total<br />

Basic metals and metal products<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Hotels and restaurants<br />

Activities of households<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Other mining<br />

Pulp, paper and publishing<br />

Construction<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Agriculture, hunting and forestry<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Electricity, gas and water supply<br />

Food, drinks and tobacco<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Fishing<br />

Textiles and clothing<br />

Public administration<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Mining of energy products<br />

Leather and footwear<br />

Note: Growth rates refer to value added in constant prices.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

In analyses of growth in terms of production it should<br />

be taken into account that production differs from value<br />

added since intermediate consumption is included.<br />

Production measurements in real terms are only available<br />

for manufacturing sectors in the data sources used in this<br />

publication. <strong>EU</strong> average annual production growth rates<br />

in 1995‑2010 are very different across sectors. Growth<br />

in the more ‘traditional’ and labour‑intensive sectors<br />

declined more than in other sectors. Declining annual<br />

-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

production growth rates in 1995‑2010 can be witnessed in<br />

leather and footwear, clothing, tobacco and textiles where<br />

growth declined on average by between 2.5 % and 5 %<br />

in 1995‑2009. Conversely, the highest growing sectors<br />

tend to be more capital‑intensive. Average production<br />

growth in 1995‑2010 was the highest in pharmaceuticals,<br />

computer, electronic and optical products and in motor<br />

vehicles where growth increased by between 3 %<br />

and 5.4 %, cf. Figure III.2.


FIgURE III.2: <strong>EU</strong> average annual production growth rate in 1995-2010 (%)<br />

Pharmaceuticals<br />

Computer, electronic and optical products<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Chemicals<br />

Other transport eqpt.<br />

Food<br />

Machinery and equipment n.e.c.<br />

Rubber and plastic products<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Paper and paper products<br />

Beverages<br />

Fabricated metals<br />

Repair and installation<br />

Basic metals<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Coke and rened petroleum<br />

Printing and publishing<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Furniture<br />

Textiles<br />

Tobacco<br />

Clothing<br />

Leather and footwear<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

-6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6<br />

box III.1: Output measurements: Value added v. production<br />

Value added presents the advantage of being available for all types of activities: ranging from agriculture to<br />

non‑business services while production is only available for manufacturing activities. The Eurostat Manual of<br />

Business Statistics identifies two possible meanings for the concept of ‘production’: 1. activity of manufacturing, i.e.<br />

the transforming of goods; or 2. result of this activity, i.e. the output of manufactured goods in a fixed period. In both<br />

definitions of production, Eurostat excludes the services sectors. The other main difference is that value‑added is<br />

a measure of output that subtracts intermediate consumption made by an individual producer, industry or sector<br />

while production includes intermediate consumption.<br />

Source: European System of Accounts (ESA) 1995, and NACE Rev. 1, Introduction, P. 21, OECD.<br />

The developments in individual sub‑sectors in figure III.1 above<br />

are hidden by the level of aggregation. Studying production<br />

growth rates at the 3‑digit NACE level offers a more refined<br />

picture of the various <strong>EU</strong> sectors in 1995‑2010. Concerning the<br />

highest growing aggregated sector ‘Computer, electronic and<br />

optical products’ in Figure III.1, the underlying sub‑sectors are<br />

irradiation, electromedical and electrotherapeutic equipment,<br />

installation of <strong>industrial</strong> machinery and equipment, medical<br />

and dental instruments and supplies, optical instruments<br />

and photographic equipment, instruments and appliances<br />

for measuring, testing and navigation, electricity distribution<br />

and control apparatus. Growth rates in these sectors varied<br />

between 2.2 % and 4.5 %. Similarly, the two sub‑sectors of<br />

motor vehicles, ‘parts and accessories for motor vehicles’<br />

and ‘motor vehicles’, grew on average by 2.4 % in 1995‑2010.<br />

Many sub‑sectors of the machinery and equipment industry<br />

also grew considerably, by between 2 % and 4 % in 1995‑<br />

2009: air and spacecraft and related machinery, agricultural<br />

and forestry machinery, general‑purpose machinery, and<br />

other general‑purpose machinery. On the other side of the<br />

spectrum, most of the declining sub‑sectors are associated<br />

with the textile industry, cf. Figure III.3.<br />

59


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE III.3: <strong>EU</strong> average annual production growth rate in 1995-2010 (%)<br />

Optical instruments and photographic eq.<br />

Air and spacecraft and related machinery<br />

Irradiation, electromedical and electrotherapeutic equipment<br />

Medical and dental instruments<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Forging, pressing, stamping and roll<br />

Installation of <strong>industrial</strong> machinery and equipment<br />

Parts and accessories for motor vehicles<br />

Instruments and appliances for measuring<br />

General purpose machinery<br />

Processing and preserving of sh<br />

Soap and detergents<br />

Agricultural and forestry machinery<br />

Basic chemicals<br />

Pulp, paper and paperboard<br />

Bakery and farinaceous products<br />

Processing and preserving of meat<br />

Electric motors<br />

Vegetable and animal oils<br />

Grain mill products<br />

Wiring<br />

Other chemical products<br />

Processing and preserving of fruit<br />

Treatment and coating of metals<br />

Other food products<br />

Batteries and accumulators<br />

Sawmilling<br />

Other electrical equipment<br />

Cement, lime and plaster<br />

Concrete, cement and plaster<br />

Refractory products<br />

Wood, cork, straw and plaiting materials<br />

Tanning and dressing of leather<br />

Tanks, reservoirs and containers of metal<br />

Domestic appliances<br />

Ships and boats<br />

Other textiles<br />

Transport equipment n.e.c.<br />

Man-made bres<br />

Clay building materials<br />

Computers and peripheral equipment<br />

Other porcelain and ceramic products<br />

Finishing of textiles<br />

Weaving of textiles<br />

Clothing<br />

Knitted and crocheted clothing<br />

Preparation and spinning of textile<br />

Musical instruments<br />

Footwear<br />

Magnetic and optical media<br />

-10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6<br />

Note: The figure only shows the 25 high and low (negative) growth sextors.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

III.2 Sectoral competitiveness<br />

indicators<br />

Competitiveness is a multidimensional concept, which<br />

is studied from two perspectives in this report. The first<br />

perspective looks at means for industries to improve their<br />

competitiveness by lowering their costs, increasing their<br />

productivity, employing skilled labour, renewing their<br />

capital stock and increasing their spending on R&D and<br />

innovation to upgrade their products. Different indicators<br />

which measure aspects of an industry’s competitiveness,<br />

such as labour productivity and unit labour costs (ULC),<br />

are the subject of the remainder of this chapter. The<br />

second perspective studies how effective industries<br />

have been in improving their competitiveness in the<br />

international markets. This perspective is analysed in<br />

Chapter V.<br />

60<br />

This section presents a set of indicators on <strong>EU</strong> sectoral<br />

growth, productivity, unit labour costs and relative prices.<br />

The objective is to present stylised facts across the main<br />

sectors of the economy and to show the role of labour<br />

productivity in sectoral competitiveness. More precisely,<br />

market services are sub‑divided into two groups. The<br />

first consists of wholesale and retail trade, repair of<br />

motor vehicles, motorcycles and personal and household<br />

goods, hotels and restaurants, transport, storage and<br />

communication (NACE Rev. 1 categories G to I) and the<br />

second comprises financial intermediation, real estate,<br />

renting and business activities (NACE Rev. 1 categories J<br />

and K). Non‑market services encompass public<br />

administration and defence, compulsory social security;<br />

education; health and social work; other community, social<br />

and personal service activities; private households with<br />

employed persons (NACE Rev. 1 categories L to P). Industry


encompasses mining, manufacturing and electricity, gas<br />

and water supply.<br />

Value added in constant (1995) prices grew steadily,<br />

although at different rates, in all sectors but agriculture<br />

until 2008. All sectors except non‑market services and<br />

FIgURE III.4: <strong>EU</strong> value added in 1995-2010 (1995 = 100)<br />

160<br />

150<br />

140<br />

130<br />

120<br />

110<br />

100<br />

90<br />

Agriculture, hunting, forestry and shing<br />

Total industry<br />

Financial intermediation and business services Non-market services<br />

Construction<br />

Total<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

But while value added grew substantially in financial<br />

intermediation and wholesale and retail, employment<br />

also rose quickly. Labour productivity growth per person<br />

employed since 1995 was higher in the <strong>industrial</strong> sectors<br />

than in wholesale, retail and financial intermediation. The<br />

agriculture have seen their value added decrease during<br />

the latest crisis. Financial services and wholesale and trade<br />

displayed higher growth rates than other activities over the<br />

whole time period. The largest declines during the crisis<br />

occurred in total industry and the construction sector,<br />

cf. Figure III.4.<br />

fall in labour productivity during the crisis and the upward<br />

movement during the recovery reflects the pro‑cyclical<br />

pattern due to labour hoarding in industry when demand<br />

and production decreases, cf. Figure III.5.<br />

FIgURE III.5: <strong>EU</strong> labour productivity per person employed in 1995-2009 (1995 = 100)<br />

150<br />

140<br />

130<br />

120<br />

110<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

Total industry<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Financial intermediation and business services<br />

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

61


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

Developments in ULC are caused by changes in labour costs<br />

per employee relative to labour productivity growth. High<br />

labour productivity growth generated more favourable unit<br />

FIgURE III.6: <strong>EU</strong> ULC (index, 1995 = 100)<br />

160<br />

150<br />

140<br />

130<br />

120<br />

110<br />

100<br />

90<br />

FIgURE III.7: <strong>EU</strong> relative prices (Industry = 100)<br />

115<br />

110<br />

105<br />

100<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

62<br />

Industry<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Financial intermediation and business services<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Financial intermediation and business services<br />

labour costs in industry. <strong>EU</strong> ULC grew more in services than<br />

in industry due to lower productivity growth, cf. Figure III.6.<br />

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Taking the developments in Figure III.5 into account, relative<br />

prices increased more in services sectors and relatively more<br />

in financial intermediation than in wholesale and retail<br />

relative to manufacturing. The relative price is the ratio of<br />

two price indices, the value added deflator (2000 = 100) of<br />

industry divided by the value added deflator (2000 = 100)<br />

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

of market services. Between 1995 and 2007 the relative price<br />

of <strong>industrial</strong> goods declined relative to the price of market<br />

services. These evolutions may also reflect the higher level<br />

of technical change and higher degree of competition in<br />

industry including openness to trade compared to services<br />

sectors in the <strong>EU</strong>, cf. Figure III.7.


The relationship between productivity growth and<br />

changes over time in prices is shown below. There is<br />

a negative relationship, implying that relatively high rates<br />

of productivity growth are negatively related to changes<br />

in relative prices. The high rate of labour productivity<br />

growth experienced in the <strong>industrial</strong> sector has resulted<br />

Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

in moderate evolution of the relative price of industry<br />

output via, among other channels, its impact on ULC. These<br />

developments suggest that the industry sector has been<br />

able to provide the economy with relatively cheap (and<br />

high quality) inputs, thus contributing to overall economic<br />

growth and competitiveness, cf. Figure III.8.<br />

FIgURE III.8: Labour productivity growth vs changes in relative prices in 1995-2009<br />

Change in relative prices<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

Construction<br />

Non-market services<br />

2.0 Financial intermediation and business services<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Industry<br />

-0.5<br />

Agriculture, forestry<br />

and fishing<br />

-1.0<br />

-0.4 -0.2 -0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8<br />

Note: Annual average percentage changes.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

iii21 labour productivity<br />

Labour productivity is analysed at different levels of<br />

aggregation in this section, beginning with an overall view<br />

of labour productivity growth for the main sectors of the<br />

economy in 1995‑2009. Value added and employment<br />

is used in the calculation of labour productivity growth<br />

for all sectors in the economy. A more detailed sectoral<br />

classification, but limited to manufacturing, is used later to<br />

study labour productivity growth which is calculated using<br />

Labour productivity growth<br />

production. This part will be used as basis for calculating<br />

unit labour costs in the next section.<br />

The effects of the latest crisis show in moderate growth<br />

rates across sectors. <strong>EU</strong> labour productivity growth in 1995‑<br />

2009 was higher than 3 % in only a few sectors. It grew by<br />

between 3.2 % and 5.2 % in the sectors producing electrical<br />

and optical equipment, chemicals and agriculture, hunting<br />

and forestry, cf. Figure III.9.<br />

63


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE III.9: Annual growth in <strong>EU</strong> labour productivity per person employed 1995-2009 (%)<br />

Electrical and optical equipment<br />

Chemicals<br />

Agriculture, hunting and forestry<br />

Transport and communication<br />

Financial intermediation<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Pulp, paper and publishing<br />

Health and social work<br />

Education<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Basic metals and metal products<br />

Textiles and clothing<br />

Rubber and plastics<br />

TOTAL<br />

Electricity, gas and water supply<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Transport equipment<br />

Other mining<br />

Fishing<br />

Mining of energy products<br />

Food, drinks and tobacco<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Other services<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Hotels and restaurants<br />

Construction<br />

Leather and footwear<br />

Real estate and business activities<br />

Public administration<br />

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

64<br />

box III. 2: The interpretation and measurement of labour productivity<br />

Labour productivity is a measure of the amount of final goods and services produced by a unit of labour input in the<br />

course of a given period of time. Excluding intermediates, labour productivity also measures the ability of workers<br />

to generate income given the state of technology and other inputs.<br />

Even if technology is the key determinant, changes in labour productivity cannot be automatically identified with<br />

technical change because it depends also on other inputs like capital or intermediates. For example, increasing<br />

capital per worker (capital deepening), everything else equal, will increase labour productivity even if technology<br />

is the same. In the longer term, however, technical change in a broad sense will be the only source of labour<br />

productivity growth. In turn, labour productivity growth is the only source of economic growth: the sustained<br />

growth of income per capita that has transformed so deeply our societies since the inception of the <strong>industrial</strong><br />

revolution. This is the reason why aggregate labour productivity attracts so much attention.<br />

Inspecting sectoral labour productivity changes will also reveal important trends in our economies. For instance, the<br />

faster productivity growth of manufacturing relative to services explains why workers are increasingly employed in<br />

the services’ sector. Productivity differentials with other countries will also explain comparative advantages and, in<br />

the end, observed specialization patterns.<br />

Labour productivity is measured by the ratio of value added to hours worked. The use of value added (production<br />

minus intermediates) ensures that intermediates are not inputed more than once. When hours are not available, it is<br />

common to use value added per person in employment (employees plus the self‑employed).<br />

At the sectoral level, the estimate of value added is more difficult and takes longer to be published than that of<br />

production. This is the reason why in practice production is often used instead of value added when estimating<br />

productivity; particularly in short‑term assessments of latest developments (before the figure for value added is


42<br />

A more detailed picture based on production and not<br />

on value added brings further evidence concerning the<br />

dynamics of <strong>EU</strong> labour productivity growth. As explained<br />

in boxes III.1 and III.2, there is a difference in measuring<br />

labour productivity in terms of value added compared to<br />

measuring productivity in terms of production. Overall<br />

productivity growth, measured as production per hours<br />

worked, for total manufacturing was positive for 2000‑<br />

2010 at 2.3 %. It was higher in 2000‑2005 when it grew<br />

by 2.6 % than in 2006‑10 when the growth rate was 1.9 %.<br />

The latest year for which data are available, 2010, shows<br />

42 See J. Durán, ‘A digression on the notions of production and<br />

value added and the measurement of productivity,’ Economic<br />

Note 2011-01, DG Enterprise and Industry, European Commission.<br />

Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

available). Including intermediates, however, induce serious measurement errors that have to be kept in mind when<br />

interpreting production per unit of labour input (so‑called productivity ‘based on gross output’). 42<br />

a very strong productivity growth improvement. 43<br />

Significant productivity gains 2006‑10 compared to 2000‑05<br />

in only were achieved in five sectors: beverages, clothing,<br />

leather, computer, electronic and optical products and<br />

other transport equipment. Developments for 2010 are<br />

especially strong in industries producing basic metals,<br />

computer, electronic and optical products, motor vehicles<br />

and machinery n.e.c., cf. Table III.1.<br />

TAbLE III.1: <strong>EU</strong> labour productivity growth 2000-2009 (%). Production per hours worked<br />

code sector 2000‑2010 2000‑2005 2006‑2010 2010<br />

B Mining and quarrying 0.4 1.6 ‑0.8 1.9<br />

c Manufacturing 2.3 2.6 1.9 8.5<br />

c10 Food 2.1 2.9 1.4 2.3<br />

c11 Beverages 3.0 2.9 3.1 2.7<br />

c12 Tobacco ‑0.7 ‑0.7 ‑0.7 ‑4.2<br />

c13 Textiles 0.9 0.9 1.0 8.4<br />

c14 Clothing 1.5 ‑3.4 6.3 10.9<br />

c15 Leather and footwear ‑2.6 ‑5.5 0.4 5.3<br />

c16 Wood and wood products 1.5 2.3 0.7 3.9<br />

c17 Paper 3.0 3.1 2.9 7.3<br />

c18 Printing 1.7 2.8 0.6 5.0<br />

c19 Refined petroleum 2.1 2.6 1.6 3.5<br />

c20 Chemicals 2.9 3.5 2.3 10.8<br />

c21 Pharmaceuticals 5.5 6.0 4.9 8.4<br />

c22 Rubber and plastics 1.1 1.7 0.4 5.8<br />

c23 Non‑metallic mineral products 0.9 2.4 ‑0.6 4.0<br />

c24 Basic metals 2.3 3.3 1.4 18.8<br />

c25 Metal products 0.6 2.0 ‑0.8 7.6<br />

c26<br />

Computer, electronic and<br />

optical<br />

4.7 2.6 6.8 14.3<br />

c27 Electrical equipment 1.8 2.0 1.5 9.7<br />

43 Available at the time of the drafting of the report.<br />

>>><br />

65


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

The sectors that achieved the highest annual growth<br />

rates 2000‑2010 were pharmaceuticals, computer, electronic<br />

and optical products, pulp and paper and beverages where<br />

66<br />

code sector 2000‑2010 2000‑2005 2006‑2010 2010<br />

c28 Machinery n.e.c. 2.1 2.9 1.4 12.0<br />

c29 Motor vehicles 2.2 2.7 1.7 16.6<br />

c30 Other transport eq. 2.3 1.8 2.8 3.8<br />

c31 Furniture 0.2 0.7 ‑0.3 1.4<br />

c32 Other manufacturing 2.5 2.9 2.1 7.5<br />

c33 Repair of machinery 2.7 3.2 2.3 8.1<br />

Note: Own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

labour productivity on average grew by 3 % or more.<br />

Productivity growth in the sectors producing tobacco and<br />

leather was negative, cf. Figure III.10.<br />

FIgURE III.10: Average annual growth in labour productivity 2000-2010 (%). Production per hours worked<br />

Pharmaceuticals<br />

Computer, electronic and optical products<br />

Pulp and paper<br />

Beverages<br />

Chemicals<br />

Repair and installation of mach and equipment<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Basic metals<br />

Other transport equipment<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Machinery and equipment n.e.c.<br />

Food products<br />

Coke and rened petroleum<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Printing and publishing<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Clothing<br />

Rubber and plastic products<br />

Textiles<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Fabricated metals<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Furniture<br />

Tobacco<br />

Leather<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

The evolution of <strong>EU</strong> and US average annual growth rates in<br />

labour productivity, in terms of production per employed,<br />

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6<br />

varies considerably. Labour productivity drops are distinctly<br />

more marked in the <strong>EU</strong> than in the US, cf. Figure III.11.


Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

FIgURE III.11: Average annual growth in labour productivity 1997-2010 (%). Production per employed<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

-15<br />

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat and OECD data.<br />

iii22 unit labour costs<br />

Unit labour costs (ULC) are defined as the ratio of labour<br />

costs per employee to value added per employee. Since<br />

developments in ULC show if nominal wages increase in line<br />

with productivity, it can be regarded as a measure of cost<br />

competitiveness. Cost competitiveness across <strong>EU</strong> sectors<br />

appears to be very variable. High <strong>EU</strong> ULC growth rates<br />

during 2009 are explained by production decreasing more<br />

than employment at given labour costs. This occurred in many<br />

manufacturing industries. Box III.3 provides more insight into<br />

the methodology and interpretation of unit labour costs.<br />

The performance of manufacturing industries, together<br />

with mining and quarrying, in terms of ULC growth rates<br />

is compared below. The comparison aims to show which<br />

industries perform particularly well relative to aggregate<br />

manufacturing. The comparison is made for different time<br />

periods since 2000 to facilitate a comparison of ULC growth<br />

rates before and during the latest crisis. The period 2000‑<br />

2005 was clearly influenced by relatively high labour<br />

productivity developments and characterised by low<br />

ULC growth. Manufacturing as a whole witnessed almost<br />

stable ULC at +0.6 %. Almost all sectors, with the particular<br />

exception of leather and footwear, tobacco, clothing<br />

and other transport equipment, were characterised by<br />

increasing ULC. during the period 2005‑10 the situation<br />

deteriorated for mining and aggregate manufacturing,<br />

and for almost all manufacturing subsectors This is the<br />

normal situation during recessions when production falls<br />

rapidly while adjustments of labour are more sluggish<br />

The same developments also explain why labour productivity<br />

growth decreases during recessions. Both ULC and labour<br />

productivity move pro‑cyclical.<br />

Computer, electronic and optical products, pharmaceuticals,<br />

and clothing did not see their ULC increase. A word of<br />

caution is necessary when interpreting the figures. The<br />

results in the table are strongly dependent on the chosen<br />

time period. The recovery during 2010 has increased<br />

productivity growth while, at the same time, wage<br />

increases have been modest. That lowers ULC growth rates<br />

substantially in industries such as basic metals and motor<br />

vehicles. Choosing 2000‑2009 yields higher ULC growth<br />

rates than 2000‑2010 since production, and consequently<br />

productivity growth, fell heavily during 2009, cf. Table III.2.<br />

67


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

TAbLE III.2: <strong>EU</strong> ULC annual growth in mining and manufacturing industries in 2000-2010 (%)<br />

code sector 2000‑2005 2005‑2010 2000‑2009 2000‑2010 2010<br />

B Mining and quarrying 4.0 7.9 6.2 5.9 3.4<br />

c Manufacturing 0.6 1.4 1.8 1.0 ‑6.5<br />

c10 Food 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.2 ‑0.4<br />

c11 Beverages 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.2<br />

c12 Tobacco 6.3 5.1 6.1 5.7 2.2<br />

c13 Textiles 1.8 0.8 2.4 1.3 ‑8.5<br />

c14 Clothing 4.0 ‑0.7 2.4 1.6 ‑5.5<br />

c15 Leather and footwear 7.3 4.4 6.7 5.9 ‑1.8<br />

c16 Wood and wood products 0.6 3.5 2.8 2.0 ‑4.7<br />

c17 Paper 0.0 ‑0.3 0.5 ‑0.1 ‑5.4<br />

c18 Printing 0.5 0.4 1.0 0.5 ‑4.4<br />

c19 Refined petroleum 1.0 3.5 2.4 2.3 1.2<br />

c20 Chemicals 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.2 ‑9.5<br />

c21 Pharmaceuticals ‑2.3 ‑1.8 ‑1.6 ‑2.1 ‑6.3<br />

c22 Rubber and plastics 1.1 1.4 2.0 1.3 ‑5.3<br />

c23 Non‑metallic mineral products 1.0 3.8 3.0 2.4 ‑3.7<br />

c24 Basic metals ‑0.1 3.3 3.4 1.6 ‑14.6<br />

c25 Metal products 1.1 3.8 3.4 2.4 ‑6.3<br />

c26 Computer, electronic and optical 0.1 ‑2.3 ‑0.2 ‑1.1 ‑9.3<br />

c27 Electrical eq. 0.5 1.2 1.9 0.9 ‑8.3<br />

c28 Machinery n.e.c. 0.6 3.6 3.3 2.1 ‑8.4<br />

c29 Motor vehicles ‑0.1 1.0 2.2 0.5 ‑15.2<br />

c30 Other transport eq. 2.5 1.8 2.3 2.1 0.9<br />

c31 Furniture 1.8 3.3 3.1 2.6 ‑2.7<br />

c32 Other manufacturing 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.4 ‑5.2<br />

c33 Repair of machinery 1.3 0.5 1.4 0.9 ‑3.3<br />

Note: Labour compensation data for 2009 in national accounts not available yet. The table above is based on quarterly data from<br />

short‑term statistics. Indices of production, gross wages and salaries have been used.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

The different developments in ULC caused by large<br />

swings in labour productivity growth are evident when<br />

comparing 2009 with 2010. since movements in labour<br />

costs per employee are relatively small during the whole<br />

period, movements in labour productivity growth explain<br />

68<br />

the major part of the fluctuations in ulc Decomposing<br />

further, changes in production cause most of the fluctuations<br />

in labour productivity growth. Production fell by some 18 %<br />

between the first quarters of 2008 and 2009 while<br />

employment fell by around 5 %, cf. Figure III.12.<br />

FIgURE III.12: Recent ULC fluctuations are driven mainly by productivity developments<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

-15<br />

-20<br />

ULC<br />

Wages per employee<br />

Production per employee<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Note: Average annual growth in unit labour costs, wages per employee and productivity in the <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing industry in 2001‑2010 (%)<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.


ox III.3: Unit labour costs<br />

Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

As presented in Figure III.12., unit labour cost growth is expressed in terms of growth rates of the ratio of labour<br />

compensation (gross wages 44 ) per employee to labour productivity growth (production by employee). Unit labour<br />

costs are to be interpreted cautiously. Unit labour costs are not an exhaustive measure of cost competitiveness, as<br />

only labour costs are taken into account. In sectors where capital expenditure costs play a large role, unit labour<br />

costs levels and changes over time play a lesser role than in industries largely driven by labour costs.<br />

Mining, tobacco and leather and footwear displayed very<br />

high growth rates of ULC for the whole period 2000‑2010. 45<br />

At the other extreme, unit labour costs declined in<br />

44 Total labour compensation usually includes not only gross wages<br />

and salaries of employees, but also other costs of labour that are<br />

paid by employers, including employers’ contributions to social<br />

security and pension schemes. Here only gross wages are taken<br />

into account.<br />

45 An analysis at macroeconomic level, with data for the European<br />

Union, the United States and Japan, is presented regularly in the<br />

series of quarterly reports ‘Price and cost competitiveness’ by the<br />

European Commission, Directorate-General for Economic and<br />

Financial Affairs.<br />

computer, electronic and optical products, pharmaceuticals<br />

and pulp and paper, cf. Figure III.13.<br />

FIgURE III.13: Average annual growth in unit labour costs in <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing by industry 2001-10 (%)<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Leather and footwear<br />

Tobacco<br />

Furniture<br />

Metal products<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Clothing<br />

Basic metals<br />

Textiles<br />

Rubber and plastics<br />

Food<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Repair of machinery<br />

Electrical eq.<br />

Beverages<br />

Printing<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Chemicals<br />

Pulp and paper<br />

Computer, electronic and optical products<br />

Pharmaceuticals<br />

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

III.3 Factors of production<br />

Improving productivity can be achieved through the mix<br />

of different factors of production. The combination of<br />

factors of production with the production technology<br />

can significantly improve the performance of firms and<br />

industries. This section looks at the inputs of labour, human<br />

capital, investment, energy and technology.<br />

iii31 labour<br />

In the manufacturing sectors, increases in outputs have not<br />

been mirrored by equivalent increases in employment. While<br />

this has triggered higher productivity growth, it has also<br />

meant that manufacturing growth was not labour intensive.<br />

Most jobs have come from the services industries, illustrating<br />

the move from primary and secondary sectors to the tertiary<br />

69


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

economy. While the average annual growth in persons<br />

employed in the <strong>EU</strong> in 1995‑2009 was 2 %, it decreased on<br />

average by 1 % in manufacturing industries. Manufacturing<br />

employment only grew in transport equipment, rubber and<br />

plastics and other manufacturing. Strongest employment<br />

FIgURE III.14: Average annual growth of persons employed in the <strong>EU</strong> 1995-2009 (%)<br />

Real estate and business activities<br />

Agriculture, hunting and forestry<br />

70<br />

Hotels and restaurants<br />

Other services<br />

TOTAL<br />

Health and social work<br />

Construction<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Education<br />

Transport and communication<br />

Financial intermediation<br />

Public administration<br />

Rubber and plastics<br />

Transport equipment<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Other mining<br />

Food, drinks and tobacco<br />

Basic metals and metal products<br />

Electrical and optical equipment<br />

Electricity, gas and water supply<br />

Machines n.e.c.<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Chemicals<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Pulp, paper and publishing<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Fishing<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Mining of energy products<br />

Leather and footwear<br />

Textiles and clothing<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5<br />

A more detailed and updated picture of the evolution<br />

of labour input in manufacturing can be provided by<br />

studying sectors at the 2‑digit level. 46 Hours worked is<br />

closely correlated with the number of persons employed.<br />

In the 2009 edition of <strong>EU</strong> Industrial Structure, the data ended<br />

46 Due to the change from NACE Rev. 1 to NACE Rev. 2, Table III.5 and<br />

Table III.6 are not completely comparable with each others.<br />

growth in service industries was seen in real estate and<br />

business activities, hotels and restaurants and other services.<br />

In these sectors employment on average grew more than in<br />

the total <strong>EU</strong> economy, cf. Figure III.14.<br />

in September 2008 and the slump had not yet materialised<br />

in all manufacturing sectors. This illustrates a lag in how the<br />

crisis has affected the <strong>EU</strong> labour market. While production<br />

was hurt first, labour hoarding prevented a strong fall in<br />

employment. In a second stage, the fall in demand has hit<br />

employment in sectors. The most impacted manufacturing<br />

industries (until the last quarter of 2010) were clothing,<br />

textiles, leather and tobacco, cf. Table III.3.


Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

TAbLE III.3: <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing employment and hours worked — average annual growth<br />

from 2000 to 2010<br />

code<br />

Employment hours worked<br />

sector 2000‑2010 2000‑2010<br />

c Manufacturing ‑1.9 ‑1.9<br />

c10 Food ‑0.9 ‑0.6<br />

c11 Beverages ‑2.3 ‑1.9<br />

c12 Tobacco ‑4.4 ‑4.5<br />

c13 Textiles ‑5.2 ‑6.2<br />

c14 Clothing ‑5.8 ‑6.5<br />

c15 Leather ‑3.7 ‑4.6<br />

c16 Wood and wood products ‑2.6 ‑2.5<br />

c17 Paper ‑2.4 ‑2.5<br />

c18 Printing ‑2.5 ‑2.7<br />

c19 Refined petroleum ‑2.0 ‑2.3<br />

c20 Chemicals ‑2.1 ‑2.2<br />

c21 Pharmaceuticals ‑0.6 ‑0.4<br />

c22 Rubber and plastics ‑0.9 ‑0.7<br />

c23 Non‑metallic mineral products ‑2.6 ‑2.6<br />

c24 Basic metals ‑2.9 ‑2.8<br />

c25 Metal products ‑0.8 ‑0.7<br />

c26 Computer, electronic and optical ‑2.7 ‑2.7<br />

c27 Electrical eq. ‑1.7 ‑1.6<br />

c28 Machinery n.e.c. ‑1.3 ‑1.1<br />

c29 Motor vehicles ‑1.2 ‑1.2<br />

c30 Other transport eq. ‑1.3 ‑1.0<br />

c31 Furniture ‑2.6 ‑2.6<br />

c32 Other manufacturing ‑1.0 ‑0.8<br />

c33 Repair of machinery ‑1.1 ‑0.8<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

iii32 human capital<br />

The labour force is not homogenous but consists of<br />

individuals with different types of skills and levels of<br />

educational attainment. This heterogeneity of the labour<br />

force is often not reflected in measures of labour inputs.<br />

Human capital is as an additional factor of production,<br />

which helps to explain differences in economic growth<br />

between countries. The purpose of this section is to present<br />

an indicator of human capital at sectoral level related<br />

to education, which, in modern economies, is a crucial<br />

component of the production process.<br />

To the extent that human capital consists of the stock of<br />

knowledge, skills and experience embodied in the labour<br />

force, a commonly used proxy for accumulated knowledge<br />

71


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

is formal educational attainment. This has the advantage<br />

of being easily available information, although it is a rough<br />

approximation of human capital that does not take<br />

account of the post‑schooling accumulation from training<br />

at the workplace and experience (learning by doing). 47<br />

In this section the indicator used is the distribution of<br />

47 For a discussion of proxies for human capital in empirical studies,<br />

see Greiner, Semmler, and Gong (2005). On different ways of<br />

measuring the stock of human capital, including a discussion on<br />

the limitations of educational attainment as a proxy for human<br />

capital, see OECD (1998).<br />

72<br />

employment in each sector by educational attainment.<br />

The International Standard Classification of Education<br />

(ISCED) classification identifies levels of education<br />

from 0 to 6 and was used to measure, in each sector, the<br />

proportion of low‑skilled, medium‑skilled and high‑skilled<br />

people, cf. Box III.4.<br />

box III.4: Using International Standard Classification of Education to<br />

define skill categories<br />

The International Standard Classification of Education (ISCED) differentiates seven levels of education.<br />

‑ Level 0: pre‑primary<br />

‑ Level 1: primary education<br />

‑ Level 2: lower secondary<br />

‑ Level 3: upper secondary<br />

‑ Level 4: post‑secondary non‑tertiary<br />

‑ Level 5: first stage of tertiary education<br />

‑ Level 6: second stage of tertiary education.<br />

The publication has aggregated the levels in three categories so that total employment in each sector can be broken<br />

down in three skill categories instead of seven:<br />

‑ Low skilled: Level 0, Level 1 and level 2<br />

‑ Medium skilled: Level 3 and level 4<br />

‑ High‑skilled: Level 5 and level 6.<br />

The skill intensity of sectors in the <strong>EU</strong>‑27, according to NACE<br />

Rev. 2, reveals a contrasting picture as far as manufacturing<br />

sectors are concerned. The pharmaceutical industry is the<br />

manufacturing sector that stands out most in the <strong>EU</strong>, with<br />

about half the employed having a tertiary level of education<br />

(high skill). The educational sector has the highest proportion<br />

of highly qualified staff. Two thirds of people working in<br />

this sector are highly qualified. This sector is followed by<br />

the professional, scientific and technical activities (60 % of<br />

high skilled) and the information and communication sector<br />

(54 % of high skilled). It is closely followed by certain services<br />

industries: the financial and insurance activities, human health<br />

and social work as well as art and entertainment and creation.<br />

Financial and insurance activities is also the sector where the<br />

proportion of low‑skilled is the smallest compared to any other.<br />

Coke and refined petroleum, computer, electronic and optical<br />

products, other transport equipment, the chemical and the<br />

machinery industry all have at least one quarter highly skilled<br />

employees. At the other end of the scale are the sectors where<br />

low levels of education prevail, defined as more than 30 % of<br />

the workforce: leather, textiles, wood, and wearing apparel.<br />

Other sectors — from other transport equipment to paper<br />

products — are in an intermediate position, with a similar<br />

share of high and low education attainment. In interpreting<br />

these figures the meaningful indicator should be the flow of<br />

services from the human capital stock, which is related to the<br />

utilisation rate of the human capital stock, rather than the<br />

capital stock itself, cf. Figure III.15.


FIgURE III.15: Employment by educational attainment in the <strong>EU</strong>-27 in 2009<br />

Agriculture and forestry<br />

Leather and footwear<br />

Clothing<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Furniture<br />

Accomodation & food<br />

Textiles<br />

Food<br />

Metal products<br />

Construction<br />

Transportation & storage<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Paper<br />

Basic metals<br />

Rubber and plasticss<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Printing<br />

Administration<br />

Repair of machinery<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Electrical eq.<br />

Tobacco<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Beverages<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Other services activities<br />

Chemicals and chemical products<br />

Other transport eq<br />

Real Estate activities<br />

Electricity and gas<br />

Cmputer, electronic and optical<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Arts & entertainment<br />

Human health and social work<br />

Financial & insurance activities<br />

Pharmaceuticals<br />

Information<br />

Extraterritorial organisations and bodies<br />

Professional, Scientic and Technical activities<br />

Education<br />

Source: calculated using Eurostat’s labour force survey data.<br />

Apart from the relevance of human capital when analysing<br />

growth and growth‑related issues, the educational level of<br />

the labour force is important for assessing competitiveness,<br />

particularly in an international context. By encouraging the<br />

adoption and development of technology and ideas,<br />

human capital makes enterprises and sectors competitive<br />

labour‑intensive sectors, characterised by low‑education<br />

employment, may be particularly sensitive to competition<br />

from low‑wage developing countries Examples of<br />

manufacturing sectors in this situation are wearing apparel,<br />

textiles, furniture and other manufacturing, and fabricated<br />

Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

High Medium Low<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70<br />

metal products, which also exhibit poor performance<br />

in external trade in terms of the revealed comparative<br />

advantage index (see Chapter V). In contrast, chemicals,<br />

the manufacturing sector with the highest component of<br />

high‑education employment (33 %), and also characterised<br />

as capital‑intensive, ranks highly in revealed comparative<br />

advantage. It is worth emphasising that unit labour costs,<br />

and not merely wage differences, is the relevant indicator for<br />

assessing cost competitiveness, and that gains from trade,<br />

for both high‑ and low‑wage countries, are determined by<br />

comparative, rather than absolute, advantages.<br />

73


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

iii33 gross fixed capital formation<br />

Capital formation increases production capacity and can<br />

contribute to the competitiveness of firms and sectors<br />

by increasing labour productivity. Capital goods inject<br />

technology, innovation and intangibles (e.g. software)<br />

into the production process, and facilitate change and<br />

reorganisation. In addition, investment decisions are<br />

forward‑looking and, therefore, closely linked to the<br />

medium‑ and long‑term expectations of the sector. This<br />

section presents three indicators related to investment. The<br />

first is an indicator which relates investment to value added,<br />

the second refers to investment growth, and the third is<br />

a proxy for capital intensity based on investment flows.<br />

TAbLE III.4: <strong>EU</strong>-22 investment ratios in 2005-2009<br />

74<br />

The investment ratio is defined as the ratio of gross<br />

fixed capital formation (GFCF) to value added. 48 There is<br />

a relationship between the sectors where large companies<br />

dominate (Figure II.7) and the sectors with the largest<br />

investment ratios. Apart from the real estate and business<br />

activities sectors, those with the highest investment<br />

intensities are also the top sectors as far as large companies<br />

are concerned (above 250 employees): electricity, gas and<br />

water supply, transport and communication, mining and<br />

quarrying and refined petroleum. With the exception of<br />

a few sectors, the investment ratios have been quite stable<br />

over time. The crisis is evident as investment ratios drop in<br />

almost all sectors during 2009, cf. Table III.4.<br />

code sector 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />

a Agriculture and forestry 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.40 0.35<br />

B Fishing 0.14 0.15 0.18 0.18 0.17<br />

c Mining and quarrying 0.24 0.31 0.36 0.35 0.31<br />

d Manufacturing 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.16 0.14<br />

da Food, drinks and tobacco 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.15<br />

dB Textiles and clothing 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.10<br />

dc Leather and footwear 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.08<br />

dd Wood and wood products 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.16<br />

dE Pulp, paper and publishing 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.14 0.12<br />

dF Refined petroleum 0.24 0.27 0.35 0.30 0.39<br />

dg Chemicals 0.15 0.16 0.18 0.18 0.16<br />

dh Rubber and plastics 0.16 0.16 0.18 0.17 0.12<br />

di Non‑metallic mineral products 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.24<br />

dJ Basic metals and metal products 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16<br />

dK Machinery n.e.c. 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.11<br />

dl Electrical and optical equipment 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.12 0.11<br />

dm Transport equipment 0.22 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19<br />

dn Other manufacturing 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.12 0.08<br />

E Electricity, gas and water supply 0.32 0.35 0.37 0.36 0.32<br />

F Construction 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.07<br />

>>><br />

48 The aggregate consists of BE, CZ, DK, DE, IE, ES, FR, IT, CY, LT, LU,<br />

MT, HU, NL, AT, PL, PT, SI, SK, FI, SE and UK. Netherlands is not<br />

included in the manufacturing sector DC: Textiles and Lithuania<br />

is not included in DF: Refined petroleum.


Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

code sector 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />

g Wholesale and retail trade 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.10<br />

h Hotels and restaurants 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.09<br />

i Transport and communication 0.34 0.35 0.37 0.38 0.34<br />

J Financial intermediation 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.12 0.10<br />

K Real estate and business activities 0.42 0.43 0.44 0.40 0.33<br />

l Public administration 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.27 0.26<br />

m Education 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08<br />

n Health and social work 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.08<br />

O Other services 0.25 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.25<br />

total 023 023 024 024 024<br />

Note: The investment ratio is defined as the ratio of gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) to value added.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

The second investment indicator is growth in gross fixed<br />

capital formation (GFCF). When analysing the development<br />

over time, it should be kept in mind that capital intensive<br />

sectors need to invest more than other sectors to maintain<br />

production and that significant investments are necessary<br />

FIgURE III.16: <strong>EU</strong> gFCF growth rates based on selected countries in 1995-2009<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Construction<br />

Real estate and business activities<br />

Transport and communication<br />

Other services<br />

Health and social work<br />

All Branches<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Basic metals and metal products<br />

Public administration<br />

Hotels and restaurants<br />

Education<br />

Agriculture and forestry<br />

Chemicals<br />

Electrical and optical equipment<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Transport equipment<br />

Rubber and plastics<br />

Electricity, gas and water supply<br />

Financial intermediation<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Food, drinks and tobacco<br />

Fishing<br />

Pulp, paper and publishing<br />

Leather and footwear<br />

Textiles and clothing<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

to replace old buildings, machinery and equipment. The<br />

evolution between 1995 and 2009 shows that services<br />

sectors in general have invested more than manufacturing<br />

sectors, cf. Figure III.16.<br />

-4 -2 0 2 4 6 8<br />

75


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

The ranking of the sectors above may differ considerably<br />

from year to year due to the highly cyclical behaviour of<br />

GFCF. This can be illustrated for the manufacturing sector<br />

transport equipment. Annual growth rates of GFCF in fixed<br />

76<br />

prices are shown for France, Germany, Italy and Spain;<br />

especially volatile is the French series. The effect of the crisis<br />

on the investments is obvious, cf. Figure III.17.<br />

FIgURE III.17: Annual growth rates of gFCF in manufacture of transport equipment in France, germany,<br />

Italy and Spain 1995-2009<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

-30<br />

-40<br />

Spain<br />

Germany<br />

Italy<br />

France<br />

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Capital intensity is an indicator that can be used to characterise<br />

the technology of sectors. It is useful not only for descriptive<br />

purposes, but also as determinant of industry conditions<br />

and behaviour. High levels of investment can operate as<br />

a barrier to entry, imply a higher degree of risk, and influence<br />

cost <strong>structure</strong>s and price strategies of firms. Though capital<br />

intensity should be measured as the stock of capital per<br />

person employed, a proxy is used in this section, namely<br />

the ratio of investment in tangible assets to the number of<br />

persons employed. The calculation of the indicator is based<br />

on 2005, 2006 and 2007 data. The values presented correspond<br />

to the average of these three years. The data refer to <strong>EU</strong>‑27 and<br />

the coverage by industry, which goes up to three digits of<br />

NACE Rev. 1, encompassing a range of sectors from mining<br />

and quarrying to market services. In a few cases, due to lack of<br />

observations, estimations were needed to complete the table.<br />

This is not a strict indicator of capital stock per person<br />

employed but of the investment flow per person<br />

employed. A drawback is that investment is highly cyclical<br />

and therefore the results must be interpreted as an<br />

approximation, although the cyclical effect is partially offset<br />

by taking average values over three years.<br />

The sectors that operate with relatively high levels of capital<br />

intensity are a mix of utilities, manufacturing and services<br />

sectors. Conversely, apart from wholesale and retail, all<br />

medium investment intensity sectors are in manufacturing.<br />

And, logically, the manufacturing sectors with the lowest<br />

investment intensity (leather, textiles) are labour intensive<br />

and face the strongest competition from low cost countries,<br />

cf. Table III.5.<br />

TAbLE III.5: <strong>EU</strong> investment intensity. Average 2005-07<br />

code sector million € / 1 000 persons<br />

E Electricity, gas and water supply 49.0<br />

dF Refined petroleum 43.1<br />

c Mining and quarrying 29.1<br />

i Transport and communication 14.3<br />

dg Chemicals 14.2<br />

K Real estate and business activities 13.3<br />

>>>


Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

code sector million € / 1 000 persons<br />

dm Transport equipment 10.2<br />

di Non‑metallic mineral products 9.5<br />

da Food, drinks and tobacco 7.5<br />

dh Rubber and plastics 7.0<br />

dE Pulp, paper and publishing 6.9<br />

dJ Basic metals and metal products 6.5<br />

dl Electrical and optical equipment 5.7<br />

dd Wood and wood products 5.4<br />

dK Machinery n.e.c. 4.8<br />

g Wholesale and retail trade 4.7<br />

dn Other manufacturing 4.0<br />

F Construction 3.8<br />

h Hotels and restaurants 3.8<br />

dB Textiles and clothing 2.5<br />

dc Leather and footwear 2.1<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

iii34 Energy intensity<br />

Energy intensity is defined as the value of the purchases<br />

of energy products used as fuel in the production process<br />

of the sector relative to the value of production and value<br />

added respectively. More precisely, this excludes the energy<br />

products used as intermediate inputs to be transformed<br />

into final products, such as crude oil used to produce<br />

refined oil products in the coke and oil refining sector.<br />

TAbLE III.6: <strong>EU</strong> energy intensity. Average 2005-07<br />

Quite a few sectors in which the <strong>EU</strong> has become less<br />

competitive — textiles, leather or clothing — are relatively<br />

energy intensive. But also, some sectors where the <strong>EU</strong><br />

is performing well compared to the rest of the world<br />

(Chapter V) are more energy intensive, namely pulp and<br />

paper, non‑metallic mineral products and chemicals,<br />

cf. Table III.6.<br />

code sector Energy/production (%) Energy/va (%)<br />

E Electricity, gas and water supply 12.0 43.8<br />

dJ27 Basic metals 5.6 24.6<br />

dE21 Pulp and paper 5.9 21.7<br />

dF23 Refined petroleum 1.6 19.2<br />

di26 Non‑metallic mineral products 6.1 17.3<br />

dg24 Chemicals 3.1 10.7<br />

dB17 Textiles 3.2 10.5<br />

dn37 Recycling 2.3 9.6<br />

dd20 Wood and wood products 2.4 8.0<br />

dh25 Rubber and plastics 2.5 7.7<br />

da15 Food and drink 1.9 7.6<br />

c Mining and quarrying 2.4 5.8<br />

dc19 Leather and footwear 1.4 5.3<br />

dB18 Clothing 1.4 4.8<br />

dJ28 Metal products 1.6 4.5<br />

F Construction 1.3 3.9<br />

dn36 Furniture; other manufacturing 1.2 3.7<br />

dm34 Motor vehicles 0.7 3.5<br />

dK29 Machinery n.e.c. 0.9 2.8<br />

dl31 Electrical machinery 0.9 2.8<br />

dm35 Other transport eq. 0.7 2.6<br />

dl32 Radio, TV & communic. eq. 0.7 2.5<br />

dE22 Printing and publishing 0.9 2.2<br />

dl33 Scientific and other instruments 0.7 1.7<br />

dl30 Office machinery 0.3 1.6<br />

da16 Tobacco 0.3 1.6<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

77


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

iii35 technology<br />

This section presents indicators describing the technology<br />

in <strong>EU</strong> industries from different aspects. The indicators<br />

R&D expenditures, patenting and developing of new<br />

or improved products represent different stages of the<br />

R&D&I process. While there is a relationship between<br />

these indicators, there is no one‑to‑one correspondence.<br />

78<br />

Expenditures on R&D are indicators on inputs in knowledge<br />

production. Patent statistics are used to calculate output<br />

indicators of knowledge production. Having a patent does<br />

not, however, necessarily mean that the patenting firm<br />

will be able to market a product. Nor does a new product<br />

necessarily mean that there is a patent preceding its<br />

commercialisation. Indicators reflecting the different stages<br />

from R&D to new products are covered in Box III.5 below. 49<br />

box III.5: Using indicators to assess innovation performance across<br />

sectors<br />

In this publication, the approach is specifically sectoral and therefore uses only the indicators linked to <strong>EU</strong> policies<br />

that will provide a cross‑sector view of innovation inputs and outputs. The indicators chosen are R&D expenditure<br />

and number of patents; they are the most commonly used, but present certain biases that are discussed later in this<br />

box. They tend to estimate manufacturing better than services research activities.<br />

In brief, innovation corresponds to four different categories of progress:<br />

‑ product innovation<br />

‑ process innovation<br />

‑ market innovation<br />

‑ organisational innovation<br />

There are different types of indicators that can be used to capture innovation. Some will typically quantify inputs<br />

while others will measure results of innovation. The various types of indicators are each better suited to measuring<br />

certain types of innovation (product, process, market, and organisation).<br />

input indicators for innovation performance<br />

Research and development (R&D) is one among many activities that may be carried out in an innovation<br />

process. R&D comprises basic research, applied research and experimental development. The indicators are<br />

usually either R&D expenditure spending or number R&D personnel. In a knowledge‑driven economy, R&D<br />

expenditure is not the only sign of innovation. Other types of measure can represent inputs that are supposed<br />

to lead to progress. Expenditures on software, training, organisation, etc. also quantify the innovation effort.<br />

The R&D indicator does not capture innovations in service activities very well. Services innovations often involve software<br />

applications and research in social sciences that are not properly accounted for in R&D expenditure surveys. Such<br />

surveys50 focus more on technological R&D than on social science R&D. 51 As this publication focuses on R&D expenditures,<br />

it reflects the measurement of innovation in manufacturing better than innovation in services. Countries follow different<br />

practices in their national surveys when it comes to allocating R&D expenditures of large, multi‑sector enterprises to the<br />

different economic sectors. Similar R&D expenditure can be categorised in different industries across countries.<br />

Output indicators for innovation performance<br />

There are different ways to mark the outcome of innovation, for example by submitting a patent, creating a new<br />

trademark, publishing an article or delivering new products to the market.<br />

49 See OECD (2007) for a more detailed discussion of different indicators of R&D and innovation.<br />

50 To understand the methodology behind R&D surveys, see OECD (2002).<br />

51 For more information on innovation in services see Miles (2007). For an alternative source of sectoral company-based survey see the<br />

‘2008 <strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> R&D investment’ European Commission (2008).


Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

‑ Patent statistics are relevant to the extent that innovations can benefit from patents. The first drawback of<br />

this indicator is that certain types of innovation cannot be patented. For example, the patenting of software<br />

innovations is not the same in the <strong>EU</strong> and in the US. Therefore industry comparison between <strong>EU</strong> and extra‑<strong>EU</strong><br />

countries is not always straightforward. Second, the quality of patents is not assessed. Many companies<br />

may apply for patents for strategic reasons, without bringing actual innovations onto the market or into<br />

production.<br />

‑ Trademark data, as the results of innovation, are a better proxy for organisational and marketing innovations.<br />

‑ The number of publications in a research domain can be a good proxy to represent ideas creation. Nonetheless,<br />

there are difficulties in comparing this type of output across sectors.<br />

‑ New or significantly improved products on the market<br />

On the whole, there are certain innovations, such as organisational ones, that will be very difficult to assess ex‑post<br />

from a qualitative and quantitative point of view.<br />

the link between input and output<br />

Eventually, research and development efforts will lead to an increase in the stock of knowledge. This knowledge<br />

will turn into new applications and new products. An output to input ratio provides a concrete measure of R&D<br />

performance. The ratio of patents to employment in different sectors is used below. The measure is denoted<br />

by PAT1.<br />

Countries follow different practices in their national surveys when it comes to allocating R&D expenditures of large,<br />

multi‑sector enterprises to the different economic sectors. Similar R&D expenditure can be categorised in different<br />

industries across countries.<br />

Output indicators for innovation performance<br />

There are different ways to mark the outcome of innovation, for example by submitting a patent, creating a new<br />

trademark, publishing an article or delivering new products to the market.<br />

‑ Patent statistics are relevant to the extent that innovations can benefit from patents. The first drawback of<br />

this indicator is that certain types of innovation cannot be patented. For example, the patenting of software<br />

innovations is not the same in the <strong>EU</strong> and in the US. Therefore industry comparison between <strong>EU</strong> and extra‑<strong>EU</strong><br />

countries is not always straightforward. Second, the quality of patents is not assessed. Many companies<br />

may apply for patents for strategic reasons, without bringing actual innovations onto the market or into<br />

production.<br />

‑ Trademark data, as the results of innovation, are a better proxy for organisational and marketing innovations.<br />

‑ The number of publications in a research domain can be a good proxy to represent ideas creation. Nonetheless,<br />

there are difficulties in comparing this type of output across sectors.<br />

‑ New or significantly improved products on the market<br />

On the whole, there are certain innovations, such as organisational ones, that will be very difficult to assess ex‑post<br />

from a qualitative and quantitative point of view.<br />

the link between input and output<br />

Eventually, research and development efforts will lead to an increase in the stock of knowledge. This knowledge<br />

will turn into new applications and new products. An output to input ratio provides a concrete measure of R&D<br />

performance. The ratio of patents to employment in different sectors is used below. The measure is denoted<br />

by PAT1.<br />

79


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

III.3.5.1 R&D<br />

In 2007, R&D represented 1.85 % of <strong>EU</strong> GDP in comparison<br />

with 2.67 % in the US, the gap mainly explained by private<br />

investment in R&D. Looking at the sectoral allocation<br />

and not only at the overall amount of R&D injected in the<br />

respective economies brings additional insight into R&D<br />

intensity differences.<br />

To analyse R&D expenditure, an aggregate was formed (an<br />

<strong>EU</strong> sample of 17 countries) representing more than 80 % of<br />

total R&D expenditure in the <strong>EU</strong>. The different graphs focus<br />

on the gross domestic expenditure on R&D (GERD) financed<br />

by industry; they do not reflect the sectoral R&D effort by<br />

80<br />

governments. In order to estimate and compare the intensity<br />

of innovation efforts in different sectors, R&D expenditures<br />

were divided by value added generated in the sector. Among<br />

the more R&D intensive sectors, there is only one sector<br />

where the <strong>EU</strong> significantly outperforms the US: chemicals.<br />

Certain sectors may contribute to a lesser extent to the<br />

overall innovation effort because of their small size.<br />

Nonetheless, they may still be very R&D intensive compared<br />

to the output generated in the sector. One illustration is the<br />

office, accounting and computing machinery sector, which<br />

represents less than 1 % of total value added in the <strong>EU</strong><br />

in 2006 but has one of the highest R&D intensities, as high<br />

as 30 % of value added, cf. Figure III.18.<br />

Figure III.18: <strong>EU</strong> and US R&D expenditure as shares of value added in sectors in 2006 (%)<br />

Radio, TV & communic. eq.<br />

Pharmaceuticals<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Scientic and<br />

other instruments<br />

Oce machinery<br />

Chemicals<br />

Total manufacturing<br />

Machinery nec<br />

Electrical machinery<br />

Rubber and plastics<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Basic metals<br />

Non-metallic mineral<br />

products<br />

Food, beverages<br />

and tobacco<br />

Textiles, leather<br />

and footwear<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Metal products<br />

Wood, paper, printing,<br />

publishing<br />

Electricity, gas<br />

and water supply<br />

Total services<br />

Construction<br />

<strong>EU</strong> US<br />

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50<br />

Note: The <strong>EU</strong> is represented by 17 countries: Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary,<br />

Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden and the UK. The industries are classified according to ISIC Rev. 3.1.<br />

Source: own calculations using OECD data.


In certain sectors an increase in <strong>EU</strong> R&D expenditure over time<br />

may be a sign of catch‑up. Some manufacturing sectors that<br />

exhibit above average R&D intensity nonetheless saw their<br />

R&D intensity increase between 1997 and 2007. This is the case<br />

Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

for Radio, TV and communication equipment, pharmaceuticals<br />

and motor vehicles. Conversely, R&D intensity decreased<br />

during 1997‑2006 in other transport equipment and office,<br />

accounting and computers, cf. Figure III.19.<br />

Figure III.19: <strong>EU</strong> R&D expenditure as shares of value added in sectors in 1997 and 2006 (%)<br />

Radio, TV & communic. eq.<br />

Pharmaceuticals<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Motorvehicles<br />

Scientic and other instruments<br />

Oce machinery<br />

Chemicals<br />

Total manufacturing<br />

Machinery nec<br />

Electrical machinery<br />

Rubber and plastics<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Basic metals<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Food, beverages and tobacco<br />

Textiles, leather and footwear<br />

Manufacturing n.e.c.<br />

Metal products<br />

Wood, paper, printing, publishing<br />

Electricity, gas and water supply<br />

Total services<br />

Construction<br />

2006 1997<br />

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35<br />

Note: The <strong>EU</strong> is represented by 14 countries: Austria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands,<br />

Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain. The industries are classified according to ISIC Rev. 3.1.<br />

Source: own calculations using OECD data.<br />

III.3.5.2 PATEnTS<br />

Patent statistics are used to calculate indicators for the<br />

output side of knowledge production and, despite the<br />

drawbacks of this indicator, 52 the information is of interest.<br />

Various aspects make patents particularly useful as a proxy<br />

52 Griliches (1990) discusses a number of issues related to patents,<br />

including the advantages and drawbacks. See also Pavitt (1985),<br />

Silverman (2002) and Griliches (1984).<br />

81


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

for technology and technological developments. Patent<br />

statistics refer to the output of the research process<br />

undertaken by firms and sectors. They provide information<br />

on a large number of sectors and technologies and they<br />

permit good coverage of developments over time, which<br />

is particularly interesting. As these data are available for<br />

a large number of countries, it is possible to calculate the<br />

relative performance of the <strong>EU</strong>, or any other country or<br />

region relative to the world.<br />

Two sectoral indicators based on the number of patents<br />

are used in this section. The first indicator, PAT1, compares<br />

patent intensity across <strong>industrial</strong> sectors in the <strong>EU</strong>. It is<br />

computed as the ratio of patents to employment in a sector,<br />

relative to the same ratio for total manufacturing:<br />

where:<br />

PAT : patents filed by <strong>EU</strong> sector ‘i’<br />

i,<strong>EU</strong><br />

PAT : patents filed by <strong>EU</strong> ‘all sectors’<br />

T,<strong>EU</strong><br />

L : employment in <strong>EU</strong> sector ‘i’<br />

i,<strong>EU</strong><br />

L : total employment in the <strong>EU</strong><br />

T,<strong>EU</strong><br />

Values greater (lower) than 1 indicate that the sector is<br />

more (less) patent‑intensive than the whole economy (and<br />

therefore than all other sectors). The indicator is calculated<br />

82<br />

using data from both the European Patent Office (EPO) and<br />

the US Patent Office (USPO).<br />

The second indicator, PAT2, compares the number of<br />

patents in a given sector in the <strong>EU</strong> relative to total patents in<br />

the <strong>EU</strong> with the number of patents in the same sector in the<br />

world relative to total patents in the world. It is therefore,<br />

an indicator of the <strong>EU</strong> sector’s relative performance in<br />

patenting. It is defined by the following ratio:<br />

where:<br />

PAT : number of patents filed by <strong>EU</strong> sector ‘i’<br />

i,<strong>EU</strong><br />

PAT : number of patents filed by <strong>EU</strong> ‘all sectors’<br />

T,<strong>EU</strong><br />

PAT : number of patents filed by world sector ‘i’<br />

i,W<br />

PAT : number of patents filed by world ‘all sectors’<br />

T,W<br />

Values greater than 1 indicate that the sector has a ‘patent’<br />

specialisation relative to the rest of the world. 53<br />

As PAT1 reflects the number of patents in a sector relative<br />

to employment, it measures patenting intensity across<br />

sectors. 54 As was the case with R&D, this varies substantially<br />

across sectors, from the highest values in two ICT sectors<br />

(office machinery and telecommunications equipment)<br />

to the near‑negligible value for clothing, wood and wood<br />

products, and printing and publishing, cf. Figure III.20.<br />

53 Some studies normalise the specialisation indices such that the<br />

specialisation indices are bounded between -1 and 1. A figure<br />

with normalised indices looks identical as figure III.17 though<br />

re-scaled.<br />

54 The ranking is based on the data from EPO.


Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

FIgURE III.20: <strong>EU</strong>-27 sectors by patent intensity (averages in 2005-06 and 2006-07)<br />

Oce machinery<br />

Telecommunication equipment<br />

Watches and clocks<br />

Pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemicals and botanical prod.<br />

Basic chemicals<br />

Radio and TV receivers<br />

Electronic valves and tubes<br />

Optical instruments, photographic equipment<br />

Soap and det., cleaning and pol. prep., perfumes and toilet prep.<br />

Other chemical products<br />

Industrial process control equipment<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Medical and surgical equipment<br />

Pesticides and other agrochemical products<br />

Lighting equipment and electric lamps<br />

Man-made bres<br />

Domestic appliances n.e.c.<br />

Other special purpose machinery<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Agricultural and forestry machinery<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Instruments for measuring, testing and navigating<br />

Machine tools<br />

Accumulators and batteries<br />

Mchinery for the production and use of mech. power<br />

Tobacco<br />

Other general purpose machinery<br />

Electricity distr. and control app., insulated wire and cable<br />

Basic metals<br />

Paints, varn. and similar coat., printing ink and mastics<br />

Weapons and ammunition<br />

Pulp and paper<br />

Rubber and plastics<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Furniture; other manufacturing<br />

Electric motors, generators and transformers<br />

Metal products<br />

Electrical equipment n.e.c.<br />

Food and drink<br />

Textiles<br />

Leather and footwear<br />

Printing and publishing<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Clothing<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

The second indicator, PAT2 compares the performance<br />

of <strong>EU</strong> sectors with the same sectors in the world. The<br />

indicator measures specialisation in the patenting process<br />

in the country under analysis. The results for this indicator<br />

show that the <strong>EU</strong> performs slightly better than the world<br />

USPTO 2005-06 EPO 2005-2006<br />

0 5 10 15 20 25<br />

in a number of sectors. However, the <strong>EU</strong> specialisation<br />

in patenting is lower than the world average in a range<br />

of R&D‑intensive sectors such as ICT industries and<br />

pharmaceuticals cf. Figure III.21.<br />

83


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE III.21: <strong>EU</strong> sectors by patent performance relative to the rest of the world in 2004-06<br />

84<br />

Agricultural and forestry machinery<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Metal products<br />

Machine tools<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Leather and footwear<br />

Machinery for the production and use of mech. power<br />

Rubber and plastics<br />

Other special purpose machinery<br />

Domestic appliances n.e.c.<br />

Clothing<br />

Other general purpose machinery<br />

Furniture; other manufacturing<br />

Weapons and ammunition<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Tobacco<br />

Industrial process control equipment<br />

Electric motors, generators and transformers<br />

Basic metals<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Paints, varn. and similar coat., printing ink and mastics<br />

Electricity distr. and control app., insulated wire and cable<br />

Pulp and paper<br />

Textiles<br />

Lighting equipment and electric lamps<br />

Food and drink<br />

Mineral oil rening and nuclear fuel<br />

Other chemical products<br />

Man-made bres<br />

Basic chemicals<br />

Soap and det., cleaning and pol. prep., perfumes and toilet prep.<br />

Instruments for measuring, testing and navigating<br />

Pesticides and other agrochemical products<br />

Printing and publishing<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemicals and botanical prod.<br />

Optical instruments, photographic equipment<br />

Electronic valves and tubes<br />

Telecommunication equipment<br />

Oce machinery<br />

Medical and surgical equipment<br />

Radio and TV receivers<br />

Watches and clocks<br />

Accumulators and batteries<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

III.3.5.3 InnOVATIOn<br />

Innovation activities aim to produce new products. By<br />

engaging in such and activities firms try to commercialise<br />

products bringing something new and/or improved<br />

to customers. Success often provides the firm with an<br />

advantage in that the product is different from other<br />

existing products. This differentiation of the product<br />

reduces the demand elasticity the firm faces and makes it<br />

less reliable on costs and prices to compete.<br />

Manufacturing industries engage relatively more in<br />

innovating activities than services. Firms in industries<br />

USPTO EPO<br />

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5<br />

producing pharmaceuticals, computers and electronic<br />

products, coke and petroleum and chemicals engage<br />

more in innovation than firms in other industries. 55 Services<br />

industries where innovating enterprises are relatively<br />

common are information and communication and financial<br />

and insurance activities, cf. Figure III.22.<br />

55 The figures, calculated as averages for different sectors in the<br />

Member States, should be taken with some caution. The dataset<br />

suffers from lack of observations for a number of countries<br />

and industries. The average for Accommodation is based<br />

on 6 observations, real estate activities and administrative and<br />

support service activities on 7 observations, tobacco is based<br />

on 10 observations, construction on 11 observations coke and<br />

refined petroleum on 13 observations.


Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

FIgURE III.22: Innovative enterprises as a percentage of all enterprises in the <strong>EU</strong>-27 in 2008 (%)<br />

Pharmaceuticals<br />

Computer, electronic and optical<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Chemicals<br />

Tobacco<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Beverages<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Information & communication<br />

Basic metals<br />

Rubber and plastics<br />

Financial & insurance activities<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Electricity and gas<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Metal products<br />

Water supply<br />

Food<br />

Textiles<br />

Paper<br />

Printing<br />

Furniture<br />

Repair of machinery<br />

Professional, Scientic and Technical activities<br />

Leather and footware<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Clothing<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Transportation & storage<br />

Real estate activities<br />

Construction<br />

Administration<br />

Accomodation & food<br />

Source: own calculations based on Eurostat data.<br />

Successful outputs of innovating activities are new or<br />

improved products brought to the market. ICT related<br />

manufacturing and services industries seem to be more<br />

successful in developing new and/or improved products<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80<br />

than other industries. On the whole, manufacturing<br />

firms seem more successful than services firms. There are<br />

only two services industries among the top 20 sectors,<br />

cf. Figure III.23. 56<br />

56 The figures should be taken with some caution for the reasons<br />

mentioned in the previous footnote. It should be noted that<br />

there are no observations for the UK.<br />

85


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE III.23: Enterprises which introduced new or improved products to the market as a share of all<br />

enterprises engaged in innovation activity in the <strong>EU</strong>-27 in 2008 (%)<br />

Computer, electronic & optical<br />

Information and communication<br />

Chemicals<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Textiles<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Pharmaceuticals<br />

Rubber and plastic<br />

Tobacco<br />

Beverages<br />

Professional, scientic and technical activities<br />

Food<br />

Leather and footwear<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Furniture<br />

Repair of machinery<br />

Clothing<br />

Wholesale and retail trade<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Basic metals<br />

Paper<br />

Metal products<br />

Financial and insurance activities<br />

Wood and wood products<br />

Administration<br />

Water supply<br />

Printing<br />

Construction<br />

Transportation & storage<br />

Accommodation and food<br />

Electricity and gas<br />

Real estate activities<br />

Source: own calculations based on Eurostat data.<br />

III.4 Demand-side drivers:<br />

a sectoral picture<br />

Fluctuations in demand differ among sectors in both size<br />

and timing of fluctuations. Some sectors produce products<br />

which are relatively insensitive to variations in income and<br />

prices while others are more affected by the variations. The<br />

latter were also impacted earlier by both slowdowns and<br />

recoveries. Analyses of fluctuations in consumption and<br />

investment demand can provide useful information about<br />

sectoral performance.<br />

iii41 private consumption<br />

Consumption fluctuates over time for different reasons:<br />

demographic changes, changes in preferences for services<br />

and goods, fluctuations in income and relative prices. While<br />

consumption patterns are extremely stable for certain<br />

goods and services, they appear less so for others.<br />

86<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60<br />

Private consumption of services has continued to increase<br />

at the expense of private consumption of goods since 1980.<br />

The share of services consumption was 30 percentage<br />

points larger than the share of goods consumption<br />

in 1980 in constant terms; and the difference in the shares<br />

increased to 48 percentage points in 2009. In spite of<br />

the increase in relative prices in services, this trend can<br />

be explained by changes in preferences and by income<br />

elasticities of demand. Increasing living standards and<br />

incomes lead to higher consumption of products with<br />

high income elasticities at the expense of products whose<br />

income elasticities are lower, cf. Figure III.24. 57<br />

57 The previous publication <strong>EU</strong> Industrial Structure 2007 — Challenges<br />

and opportunities (‘IV.3 Private consumption’) indicated that<br />

income elasticities of demand are much higher for services<br />

sectors than for goods.


Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

FIgURE III.24: Shares of goods and services in private consumption in constant and current prices in<br />

seven <strong>EU</strong> countries from 1980 to 2009<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

1980<br />

1981<br />

1982<br />

1983<br />

1984<br />

1985<br />

1986<br />

1987<br />

1988<br />

1989<br />

1990<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

Services (Constant)<br />

Services (Current)<br />

Goods (Constant)<br />

Goods (Current)<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

Note: The seven countries presented are Austria, Denmark, Finland, France, Italy, Netherlands and United Kingdom. Goods sectors include<br />

food and non‑alcoholic beverages, alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics, clothing and footwear, furnishings, household equipment<br />

and routine maintenance of the house. Services sectors include health, transport, communications, recreation and culture, education,<br />

restaurants and hotels, miscellaneous goods and services, housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels.<br />

Source: calculated using Eurostat data.<br />

A substitution of consumption of goods for services has<br />

taken place between 1980 and 2008. Breaking down<br />

private consumption into large categories in seven<br />

countries shows that food and non‑alcoholic beverages<br />

have fallen to a much lower share of total consumption,<br />

from 19 % to 12 %, while the share of housing and<br />

utilities in total private consumption has risen from 17 %<br />

to 24 % between 1980 and 2009. Changes in the shares of<br />

consumption expenditures across categories may reflect<br />

changes in the level of income (income effects), changes<br />

in relative prices (substitution effects) or government<br />

interventions. First, over long periods of time income<br />

typically increases significantly so that the preference over<br />

different categories changes because households tend to<br />

shift consumption from basic to luxury categories. As an<br />

example, the increase in the share of expenditures in health<br />

services or housing is very likely reflecting an increasing<br />

consumption of services that can be seen as relatively<br />

luxurious; the kind of commodities households tend to<br />

consume more of the richer they are. Second, relative<br />

changes in technology and/or trade patterns can change<br />

relative prices, rendering some commodities cheaper than<br />

others. What will happen with the share in consumption<br />

expenditures will depend on whether the induce changes<br />

in quantities are more or less than proportional to the<br />

price change. For example, the increase in the share<br />

communication services is probably to a large extent<br />

reflecting a drop in the price of communications driving<br />

a more than proportional increase in consumption. In<br />

contrast, large increases in productivity are probably behind<br />

the drop in the relative price of food, and hence the drop<br />

in its share in consumption expenditures compared to, say,<br />

services where productivity grows more slowly. Similarly,<br />

trade probably explains the drop in the relative price of<br />

clothes and its subsequent drop in the share of expenditures<br />

because the eventual increase in consumption does not<br />

compensate for the drop in prices. Finally, cultural changes<br />

due to public awareness campaigns, legal constraints and<br />

taxes may explain other changes like the drop in the share of<br />

alcoholic beverages and tobacco cf. Figure III.25.<br />

87


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE III.25: Private consumption shares (current prices) in seven <strong>EU</strong> countries in 1980 and 2008<br />

88<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Alcoholic<br />

beverages,<br />

tobacco and<br />

narcotics<br />

Clothing<br />

and footwear<br />

Communications<br />

Education<br />

Food and<br />

non-alcoholic<br />

beverages<br />

Furnishings, household<br />

equipment and routine<br />

maintenance of the house<br />

Health<br />

Housing, water, electricity,<br />

gas and other fuels<br />

Miscellaneous goods<br />

and services<br />

Recreation and culture<br />

Restaurants and hotels<br />

1980<br />

2008<br />

Transport<br />

Note: The seven countries presented are Austria, Denmark, Finland, France, Italy, Netherlands and United Kingdom. Final consumption<br />

expenditure of households is classified according to consumption purpose (COICOP) for different goods and services.<br />

Source: calculated using Eurostat data.<br />

A detailed overview of the consumption breakdown<br />

in <strong>EU</strong>‑27 in 2008 offers insight into consumption<br />

patterns. Necessity goods account for the highest<br />

shares of total private consumption, with food, housing,<br />

catering services, clothing and electricity gas and<br />

fuels representing in total more than 50 % of total<br />

consumption. 58 Recreational and cultural services and<br />

financial services only rank eighth and ninth respectively,<br />

cf. Figure III.26.<br />

58 Basic needs are the goods and services that are essential to<br />

achieve a certain minimum standard of living.


Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

FIgURE III.26: <strong>EU</strong>-27 sectoral shares of private consumption in 2008 (% of total consumption)<br />

Food<br />

Imputed rentals for housing<br />

Catering services<br />

Operation of personal transport equipment<br />

Clothing<br />

Electricity, gas and other fuels<br />

Actual rentals for housing<br />

Purchase of vehicles<br />

Recreational and cultural services<br />

Financial services n.e.c.<br />

Insurance<br />

Transport services<br />

Telephone and telefax services<br />

Personal care<br />

Furniture and furnishings, carpets and other oor coverings<br />

Tobacco<br />

Other recreational items and equipment, gardens and pets<br />

Audio-visual, photographic and information processing equipment<br />

Water supply and miscellaneous services relating to the dwelling<br />

Goods and services for routine household maintenance<br />

Accommodation services<br />

Alcoholic beverages<br />

Newspapers, books and stationery<br />

Medical products, appliances and equipment<br />

Out-patient services<br />

Maintenance and repair of the dwelling<br />

Non-alcoholic beverages<br />

Other services n.e.c.<br />

Education<br />

Social protection<br />

Footwear including repair<br />

Household appliances<br />

Personal eects n.e.c.<br />

Hospital services<br />

Package holidays<br />

Household textiles<br />

Glassware, tableware and household utensils<br />

Tools and equipment for house and garden<br />

Other major durables for recreation and culture<br />

Telephone and telefax equipment<br />

Postal services<br />

0 2 4 6 8 10 12<br />

Note: Final consumption expenditure of households is classified according to consumption purpose (COICOP) for different goods and<br />

services.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

As <strong>EU</strong> standards of living are constantly improving,<br />

demand for goods and services with relatively high income<br />

elasticities have been growing faster than demand for<br />

necessity goods. <strong>EU</strong> average annual growth in constant<br />

prices has increased significantly in communication,<br />

recreation and culture and health. Telephone and telefax<br />

equipment increased by 17.4 % on average, followed by<br />

audio‑visual, photographic and information processing<br />

equipment, telephone and telefax services and financial<br />

services n.e.c. which increased by between 4.5 % and 10 %.<br />

The differences between the <strong>EU</strong>‑15 and the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 were<br />

largest in areas where consumption grew much faster in the<br />

<strong>EU</strong>‑15 than in the rest of the <strong>EU</strong>. Consumption of package<br />

holidays in the <strong>EU</strong>‑15 grew by 50 % more than in the <strong>EU</strong>‑<br />

27 and consumption of alcoholic beverages and electricity,<br />

gas and other fuels grew in the <strong>EU</strong>‑15 by +0.5 % while it<br />

decreased in the whole of the <strong>EU</strong>, cf. Figure III.27. 59<br />

59 Figure III.27 includes more categories of goods than Figure III.23.<br />

Some categories are also further broken down in Figure III.24 in<br />

order to provide more information. Figure III.23 shows for<br />

examples that while consumption of alcoholic beverages,<br />

tobacco and narcotics decreased both for <strong>EU</strong>-15 and <strong>EU</strong>-27, the<br />

consumption of alcoholic beverages increased in <strong>EU</strong>-15.<br />

89


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE III.27: Private consumption in <strong>EU</strong>-15 and in <strong>EU</strong>-27 in 1996 and 2008 (average annual percentage<br />

growth rates in constant prices)<br />

90<br />

Telephone and telefax equipment<br />

Audio-visual, photographic and information processing equipment<br />

Communications<br />

Telephone and telefax services<br />

Financial services n.e.c.<br />

Other major durables for recreation and culture<br />

Recreation and culture<br />

Other recreational items and equipment, gardens and pets<br />

Tools and equipment for house and garden<br />

Package holidays<br />

Medical products, appliances and equipment<br />

Health<br />

Miscellaneous goods and services<br />

Out-patient services<br />

Household appliances<br />

Recreational and cultural services<br />

Imputed rentals for housing<br />

Transport services<br />

Personal care<br />

TOTAL<br />

Hospital services<br />

Goods and services for routine household maintenance<br />

Non-alcoholic beverages<br />

Accommodation services<br />

Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels<br />

Restaurants and hotels<br />

Catering services<br />

Education<br />

Other services n.e.c.<br />

Social protection<br />

Maintenance and repair of the dwelling<br />

Water supply and miscellaneous services relating to the dwelling<br />

Furnishings, household equipment and routine maintenance of the house<br />

Actual rentals for housing<br />

Transport<br />

Purchase of vehicles<br />

Clothing<br />

Clothing and footwear<br />

Household textiles<br />

Operation of personal transport equipment<br />

Insurance<br />

Glassware, tableware and household utensils<br />

Footwear including repair<br />

Furniture and furnishings, carpets and other oor coverings<br />

Food and non-alcoholic beverages<br />

Food<br />

Personal eects n.e.c.<br />

Newspapers, books and stationery<br />

Electricity, gas and other fuels<br />

Alcoholic beverages<br />

Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics<br />

Postal services<br />

Tobacco<br />

<strong>EU</strong> 27 <strong>EU</strong> 15<br />

-2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18<br />

Note: Final consumption expenditure of households is classified according to consumption purpose (COICOP) for different goods and<br />

services.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.


iii42 investment demand<br />

Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) is a measure of the<br />

net new investment by enterprises, government and<br />

households in the domestic economy in fixed capital<br />

assets, during an accounting period. GFCF is not a measure<br />

of total investment, as financial assets are not included.<br />

For that reason, this indicator gives a good insight into<br />

investment growth in the real economy. It represents a list<br />

of five product categories: metal products and machinery,<br />

transport equipment, construction work related to housing,<br />

construction work related to construction other than<br />

housing, and other products.<br />

FIgURE III.28: <strong>EU</strong>-27 investment breakdown in 2010 (% of total current price)<br />

31 %<br />

Construction work:<br />

other constructions<br />

Other products<br />

9 %<br />

Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

Some assets have an impact on the amount and quality<br />

of production facilities in an economy. This is the case for<br />

metal products and machinery, for construction other than<br />

housing and for transport equipment investments. Others,<br />

such as housing construction work, increase consumer<br />

welfare but do not add substantially to the productive<br />

stock of assets of the private sector. The overall <strong>EU</strong> picture<br />

in 2010 shows that most of the investments that have taken<br />

place benefit the production facilities of the <strong>EU</strong>. The three<br />

categories, metal products and machinery, construction<br />

other than housing and transport equipment investments,<br />

represent in total two‑thirds of total investment,<br />

cf. Figure III.28.<br />

25 %<br />

Construction work: housing<br />

Note: The graph intentionally does not include products of agriculture, forestry, fisheries and aquaculture.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Total investment in the <strong>EU</strong> grew on average by 1.1 % in the<br />

<strong>EU</strong>‑27 and 1.6 % in the <strong>EU</strong>‑15 in 1997‑2010: ‘other products’<br />

was the category with the highest annual growth rate<br />

Metal products<br />

and machinery<br />

26 %<br />

9 %<br />

Transport<br />

equipment<br />

of 4 %. Transport equipment and the metal products and<br />

machinery sector also witnessed substantial growth,<br />

cf. Figure III.29.<br />

91


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE III.29: Investment average annual growth rate in the <strong>EU</strong>-27 and <strong>EU</strong>-15: 1997-2010 (%)<br />

Construction work: other constructions<br />

92<br />

Other products<br />

Metal products and machinery<br />

Transport equipment<br />

Total<br />

Construction work: housing<br />

<strong>EU</strong> 27 <strong>EU</strong> 15<br />

-1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4%<br />

Note: Calculated from data expressed in constant terms (reference year 2000). The graph intentionally does not include products of<br />

agriculture, forestry, fisheries and aquaculture.<br />

Source: calculated using Eurostat data.<br />

Investment growth in ‘other products’, a heterogeneous<br />

category, displayed the strongest growth. Investment<br />

growth for the other fast growing assets, transport<br />

equipment and metal products and machinery, also show<br />

large variations between Member States. While average<br />

growth in transport equipment is around or above 5 % in<br />

Estonia and Sweden, it is decreasing in the Netherlands and<br />

Portugal. Metals products and machinery investments are<br />

only decreasing in Slovakia while developments in Cyprus<br />

Estonia, and Slovenia were strong. Similarly, investment in<br />

housing construction is very buoyant in Estonia, Lithuania,<br />

Luxembourg, Slovakia and Sweden with growth rates<br />

between 4.5 % and 8 %, cf. Table III.7.<br />

TAbLE III.7: growth in investment levels, average annual growth rates: 1997-2009 (%)<br />

total<br />

metal<br />

products and<br />

machinery<br />

transport<br />

equipment<br />

construction<br />

work: housing<br />

construction<br />

work: other<br />

constructions<br />

Other<br />

products<br />

Belgium 2.0 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.<br />

Bulgaria 12.2 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.<br />

czech republic 1.8 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.<br />

denmark 1.0 1.5 3.5 0.7 ‑2.3 6.2<br />

germany 0.9 n.a. n.a. ‑1.2 ‑1.0 6.4<br />

Estonia 3.6 4.9 5.1 7.0 0.8 19.2<br />

ireland ‑1.5 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.<br />

spain 2.6 2.8 3.2 1.2 3.5 2.8<br />

France 2.6 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.<br />

italy 1.0 1.1 1.9 0.9 0.5 1.3<br />

cyprus 3.7 4.4 4.4 2.6 4.5 n.a.<br />

latvia 5.3 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.<br />

lithuania 3.6 4.3 2.0 4.4 2.2 13.5<br />

luxembourg 3.8 3.8 ‑0.3 4.6 5.2 2.4<br />

hungary 3.2 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.<br />

netherlands 0.8 2.8 ‑1.1 ‑0.5 0.8 1.9<br />

austria 0.7 1.3 1.5 ‑2.2 0.8 7.2<br />

poland 4.2 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.<br />

portugal ‑0.4 3.4 ‑1.9 n.a. ‑4.8 4.4<br />

slovenia 3.2 6.1 3.2 0.3 1.8 5.7<br />

>>>


total<br />

metal<br />

products and<br />

machinery<br />

transport<br />

equipment<br />

Chapter III — Drivers of Sector Growth and Competitiveness<br />

construction<br />

work: housing<br />

construction<br />

work: other<br />

constructions<br />

Other<br />

products<br />

slovakia 0.9 ‑0.2 0.4 8.1 1.1 6.7<br />

Finland 2.1 0.8 1.0 3.2 1.8 5.1<br />

sweden 3.4 3.3 4.8 5.8 1.2 4.9<br />

united Kingdom 2.2 3.5 0.3 ‑0.1 1.8 3.5<br />

Eu‑27 1.7 2.7 2.6 0.2 1.1 3.9<br />

Eu‑25 1.7 2.7 2.5 0.2 1.1 3.9<br />

Eu‑15 1.6 2.7 2.4 0.0 1.0 3.8<br />

Note: Greece, Malta and Romania missing. Calculated from data expressed in volumes (reference year 2000). The table intentionally does<br />

not include products of agriculture, forestry, fisheries and aquaculture.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

93


Chapter IV<br />

International competitiveness<br />

of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

This chapter analyses the international competitiveness of<br />

<strong>EU</strong> industries. The analyses are performed using trade flows<br />

to calculate indicators of competitiveness and other aspects<br />

of international trade. An analysis of international trade is<br />

important for at least two reasons. First, exports of goods<br />

and services accounted for 13.4 % 60 of <strong>EU</strong> GDP in 2009;<br />

the figure is substantially higher for some industries,<br />

which shows the importance of international markets for<br />

domestic production. Second, performance in external<br />

trade provides insight into various factors which determine<br />

trade patterns and the competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industries.<br />

This chapter covers trade in both goods and services<br />

and also contains a section on foreign direct investment<br />

(FDI), which is important for understanding the effect of<br />

internationalisation on European industries.<br />

The chapter is organised as follows. Section IV.1 presents an<br />

overall picture of <strong>EU</strong> relative weight in world trade flows.<br />

Section IV.2 is dedicated to an analysis of competitiveness<br />

from various angles. The competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industries<br />

is analysed using three indicators: share in world markets,<br />

relative trade balance, and revealed comparative advantage.<br />

<strong>EU</strong> Intra‑industry trade is examined in section IV.3. The<br />

role of technology in international trade is analysed in<br />

section IV.4. Section IV.5 analyses <strong>EU</strong> trade in intermediate<br />

goods from two perspectives, beginning with, the import<br />

dependence of foreign imports for <strong>EU</strong> exports. This is<br />

followed by analyses of <strong>EU</strong> competitiveness in intermediate<br />

goods according to a broad categorisation of goods. Finally,<br />

foreign direct investment by sector is analysed in Section<br />

IV.6 together with indicators of internationalisation of R&D.<br />

IV.1 <strong>EU</strong> importance in world trade<br />

This section provides a general framework for the analysis<br />

of <strong>EU</strong> competitiveness in external markets by presenting the<br />

60 Eurostat globalisation indicators.<br />

share of the <strong>EU</strong> and other regions in cross‑border flows of<br />

goods and services<br />

iv11 goods<br />

The <strong>EU</strong>‑27 constitutes a large share of world trade in<br />

manufactured goods: exports originating in <strong>EU</strong>‑27 countries,<br />

including intra‑Eu‑27 trade, accounted for 40.8 % of total<br />

world exports in 2009. The importance of the <strong>EU</strong> single<br />

market is illustrated by the fact that more than a quarter<br />

of total cross‑border supplies of goods took place within<br />

the <strong>EU</strong>‑27. Asia and North America are the two other main<br />

trade players and, together with the <strong>EU</strong>‑27, accounted for<br />

about 84 % of total world export flows, cf. Table IV.1. 61<br />

61 The regions are as follows. Other Western Europe: Iceland,<br />

Norway, Switzerland. Central and Eastern Europe: Albania,<br />

Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bosnia Herzegovina, Croatia,<br />

Georgia, Kazakhstan, Montenegro, Rep. of Moldova, Russian<br />

Federation, Serbia, TFYR of Macedonia, Turkey, Ukraine. North<br />

America: Canada, USA. Latin America: Argentina, Bahamas,<br />

Belize, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominican<br />

Rep., Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Jamaica,<br />

Mexico, Neth. Antilles, Nicaragua, Panama, Paraguay, Peru,<br />

Suriname, Trinidad and Tobago, Uruguay, Venezuela. Middle<br />

East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Occ.<br />

Palestinian Terr., Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, United Arab<br />

Emirates, Yemen. Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Brunei<br />

Darussalam, Cambodia, China, China, Hong Kong SAR, China,<br />

Macao SAR, Dem. People’s Rep. of Korea, India, Indonesia, Japan,<br />

Kyrgyzstan, Lao People’s Dem. Rep., Malaysia, Maldives, Mongolia,<br />

Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan, Philippines, Rep. of Korea, Singapore,<br />

Sri Lanka, Tajikistan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Uzbekistan, Viet Nam.<br />

Oceania: Australia, New Zealand. Africa: Algeria, Angola, Benin,<br />

Botswana, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Cape Verde, Central<br />

African Rep., Chad, Comoros, Congo, Côte d’Ivoire, Dem. Rep. of<br />

the Congo, Djibouti, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia,<br />

Gabon, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Kenya, Lesotho,<br />

Liberia Libya, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mauritius,<br />

Morocco, Mozambique, Namibia, Niger, Nigeria, Rwanda, Senegal,<br />

Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Africa, Sudan, Swaziland, Togo,<br />

Tunisia, Uganda, United Rep. of Tanzania, Zambia, Zimbabwe.<br />

95


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

TAbLE IV.1: Manufactured products — export world trade matrix in 2009. Shares of total world<br />

exports (%)<br />

Origin<br />

96<br />

Eu‑27<br />

Other<br />

western<br />

Europe<br />

central<br />

and<br />

Eastern<br />

Europe<br />

north<br />

america<br />

latin<br />

america<br />

middle<br />

East<br />

asia china india Oceania africa world<br />

<strong>EU</strong>‑27 27.0 1.7 2.1 3.0 0.9 1.2 3.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 1.4 40.8<br />

Other Western<br />

Europe<br />

Central and<br />

Eastern Europe<br />

1.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8<br />

2.2 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 4.2<br />

North America 2.3 0.2 0.1 4.0 2.3 0.5 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.3 12.4<br />

Latin America 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 5.4<br />

Middle East 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6<br />

Asia 4.9 0.2 0.6 5.0 1.3 1.5 15.2 4.2 0.7 0.8 1.0 30.4<br />

China 2.3 0.1 0.4 2.3 0.5 0.5 4.6 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 11.4<br />

India 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6<br />

Oceania 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3<br />

Africa 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.1<br />

World 40.0 2.5 3.7 15.5 5.7 3.8 24.0 7.3 1.6 1.5 3.3 100.0<br />

Note: The matrix is calculated from export data. It refers exclusively to manufactured products, so it does not include crude oil and other<br />

products from mining and quarrying. The values in each cell are percentage shares of total world trade. The main diagonal in the matrix<br />

(shaded cells) represents intra‑region trade (e.g. exports from <strong>EU</strong> countries to <strong>EU</strong> countries). The matrix shows two countries separately,<br />

China (China and Hong Kong; intra‑China trade set to zero) and India, which are also included in Asia. Each cell shows the share of total<br />

world exports which are exported from an exporter to a certain destination. For example, Asian exports to <strong>EU</strong>‑27 accounts for 4.9 % of<br />

total world exports and total Asian exports accounts for 30.4 % of total world exports.<br />

Source: own calculations using Comtrade database.<br />

In 2009, the main destination of <strong>EU</strong>‑27 exports to non‑<strong>EU</strong><br />

countries were Asia, North America, and Central and Eastern<br />

Europe, which together amounted to more than 60 % of<br />

total <strong>EU</strong>‑27 exports. While China was a large destination for<br />

Asian, exports, the Chinese market only accounted for 7.8 %<br />

of <strong>EU</strong>‑27 exports, cf. Table IV.2. 62<br />

62 The Chinese market is also an important market for exporters<br />

in the Middle East. However, exports from this region only<br />

constitute 1.4 % of total world exports.


Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

TAbLE IV.2: Manufactured products — world trade matrix, export destination in 2009 (%)<br />

Eu‑27<br />

Other<br />

western<br />

Europe<br />

central<br />

and<br />

Eastern<br />

Europe<br />

north<br />

america<br />

latin<br />

america<br />

middle<br />

East<br />

partner<br />

asia china india Oceania africa world<br />

<strong>EU</strong>‑27 0.0 12.0 15.2 22.0 6.3 8.9 23.2 7.8 2.6 2.3 10.1 100.0<br />

Other Western<br />

Europe<br />

Central and<br />

Eastern Europe<br />

69.4 0.0 2.2 9.8 1.9 2.9 11.7 2.6 0.9 0.8 1.3 100.0<br />

62.8 4.0 0.0 4.5 1.3 7.4 15.7 6.4 1.7 0.1 4.1 100.0<br />

North America 27.7 2.6 1.8 0.0 27.0 5.4 30.0 9.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 100.0<br />

Latin America 15.9 2.3 0.8 57.0 0.0 1.9 19.1 10.2 1.6 0.5 2.6 100.0<br />

reporter Middle East 22.6 3.5 4.2 33.7 3.2 0.0 26.9 5.1 7.3 1.0 4.8 100.0<br />

Asia 32.0 1.6 4.0 32.5 8.5 10.0 0.0 27.6 4.5 5.0 6.4 100.0<br />

China 20.1 0.5 3.4 20.4 4.8 4.4 40.4 0.0 2.5 1.9 4.1 100.0<br />

India 21.8 0.6 1.7 12.2 3.1 22.5 29.3 6.4 0.0 1.0 8.0 100.0<br />

Oceania 10.8 0.3 0.3 5.2 1.5 2.7 77.8 26.5 9.2 0.0 1.4 100.0<br />

Africa 40.6 4.1 2.3 21.2 4.6 4.9 21.7 8.8 5.5 0.6 0.0 100.0<br />

Note: The matrix is calculated from export data. It refers exclusively to manufactured products, so it does not include crude oil and other<br />

products from mining and quarrying. Exporters are shown in rows and destination markets in columns. Each cell shows the share of total<br />

exports from an exporter to a certain destination. For example, 32% of Asian exports are destined for <strong>EU</strong>‑27. The main diagonal in the<br />

matrix (shaded cells) shows that intra‑regional trade (e.g. exports from <strong>EU</strong> countries to <strong>EU</strong> countries) is excluded in this table. The matrix<br />

shows two countries separately, China (China and Hong Kong) and India, which are also included in Asia.<br />

Source: own calculations using Comtrade database.<br />

When intra‑regional trade is not taken into account,<br />

<strong>EU</strong>‑27 imports came mainly from Asia (28 %) and North<br />

America (25 %). Along with Asia, the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 occupy almost<br />

two thirds of North American imports, cf. Table IV.3.<br />

97


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

TAbLE IV.3: Manufactured products — world import <strong>structure</strong>s by origin of imports in 2009 (%)<br />

reporter<br />

98<br />

Eu‑27<br />

Other<br />

western<br />

Europe<br />

central<br />

and<br />

Eastern<br />

Europe<br />

north<br />

america<br />

latin<br />

america<br />

partner<br />

middle<br />

East<br />

asia china india Oceania africa<br />

<strong>EU</strong>‑27 0.0 65.0 65.4 32.3 17.3 12.9 37.1 23.0 27.9 8.5 43.6<br />

Other Western<br />

Europe<br />

Central and<br />

Eastern Europe<br />

13.3 0.0 1.2 1.9 0.6 0.3 1.4 0.7 0.8 0.3 1.2<br />

13.8 2.5 0.0 2.5 1.2 2.0 4.8 3.2 3.0 0.8 2.2<br />

North America 24.7 9.9 8.4 0.0 55.7 12.4 36.6 24.3 17.7 6.3 21.9<br />

Latin America 6.9 2.1 1.4 23.6 0.0 0.9 8.6 5.4 4.1 1.6 3.7<br />

Middle East 3.3 2.2 1.9 2.0 0.7 0.0 2.1 0.8 3.1 1.5 1.1<br />

Asia 28.3 16.3 17.3 32.8 22.1 66.2 0.0 38.0 34.4 79.4 25.8<br />

China 10.2 3.2 8.2 10.5 12.5 11.0 26.5 0.0 10.5 28.2 13.2<br />

India 3.0 4.0 1.9 2.0 1.6 13.6 4.3 2.1 0.0 8.4 6.3<br />

Oceania 2.8 0.9 0.3 2.6 0.5 0.9 5.2 2.3 1.3 0.0 0.4<br />

Africa 6.9 1.1 4.1 2.2 1.9 4.3 4.1 2.3 7.7 1.7 0.0<br />

World 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0<br />

Note: The matrix is calculated from import data. It refers exclusively to manufactured products, so it does not include crude oil and other<br />

products from mining and quarrying. Detailed import data from India were not available for 2008 in the chosen trade classification<br />

(HS2007). The first column for instance shows a breakdown of <strong>EU</strong> imports from the RoW by origin: Asia has the highest share in <strong>EU</strong> imports<br />

from the RoW (28.3) followed by North America (24.7) The first row show that e.g. 32.3 % of North American imports originate in the <strong>EU</strong>‑27.<br />

Source: own calculations using Comtrade database.<br />

iv12 services<br />

No data are available on multilateral trade flows for services<br />

and the information presented is limited to exports and<br />

imports by region, shown in graphical format. 63<br />

63 The regions are as follows, based on data availability that differed<br />

from data availability in manufacturing trade. Other Western<br />

Europe: Iceland, Norway, Switzerland. Central and Eastern Europe:<br />

Albania, Armenia, Rep. of Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bosnia & Herzegovina,<br />

Croatia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Macedonia, Moldova, Montenegro,<br />

Serbia, Turkey, Ukraine. North America: Canada, USA. Latin<br />

America: Argentina, Aruba, Bermuda, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Costa<br />

Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Panama, Paraguay, Peru,<br />

Uruguay. Middle East: Israel, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia. Asia: Bangladesh,<br />

Cambodia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Republic<br />

of Korea, Kyrgyz Republic, Macao, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines,<br />

Russian Federation, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Thailand. Oceania:<br />

Australia, New Zealand. Africa: Botswana, Cameroon, Cape Verde,<br />

Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, The Gambia, Guinea, Kenya, Mali, Mauritius,<br />

Morocco, Mozambique, Namibia, Seychelles, South Africa, Sudan,<br />

Tanzania, Togo, Tunisia, Uganda, Zambia.<br />

The <strong>EU</strong> accounts for about half of world exports of services<br />

when intra‑regional trade is included. When intra‑regional<br />

trade is excluded, Asia’s share of world exports is almost as<br />

large as the <strong>EU</strong> share, cf. Figure IV.1.


FIgURE IV.1: <strong>EU</strong> accounts for almost half of world exports of services (%)<br />

<strong>EU</strong>-27<br />

Other Western Europe<br />

Central and Eastern Europe<br />

North America<br />

Latin America<br />

Middle East<br />

Asia excluding China and India<br />

China<br />

India<br />

Oceania<br />

Africa<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

Excluding intra-regional trade<br />

Including intra-regional trade<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60<br />

Note: The regions corrected for intra‑regional trade are <strong>EU</strong>‑27 and North America.<br />

Source: IMF balance of payments statistics (BOPS), UN services trade statistics, Eurostat.<br />

The <strong>EU</strong> also accounts for the largest share of total world<br />

imports of services when intra‑<strong>EU</strong>‑27 is included. Asia and<br />

FIgURE IV.2: <strong>EU</strong> accounts for most of world imports of services (%)<br />

<strong>EU</strong>-27<br />

Other Western Europe<br />

Central and Eastern Europe<br />

North America<br />

Latin America<br />

Middle East<br />

Asia excluding China and India<br />

China<br />

India<br />

Oceania<br />

Africa<br />

Excluding intra-regional trade<br />

Including intra-regional trade<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50<br />

Note: The regions corrected for intra‑regional trade are <strong>EU</strong>‑27 and North America.<br />

Source: IMF balance of payments statistics (BOPS), UN services trade statistics, Eurostat.<br />

the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 are on par when intra‑regional trade for the<br />

<strong>EU</strong>‑27 and North America is excluded, cf. Figure IV.2.<br />

99


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

IV.2 <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing and services<br />

competitiveness by sector<br />

While the previous section looked at overall trade flows, this<br />

section looks at <strong>EU</strong> sectoral performance. It analyses first<br />

the destination and origin of manufacturing exports and<br />

imports. Then it discusses the <strong>EU</strong>’s trade competitiveness<br />

with the aid of three indicators: the share of the <strong>EU</strong> in the<br />

world market, the relative trade balance (RTB), and an<br />

index of revealed comparative advantage (RCA). 64 These<br />

indicators are used to describe <strong>EU</strong> competitiveness in<br />

external trade in goods. 65 Only the revealed comparative<br />

advantage (RCA) is presented for services. The indices are<br />

calculated from trade flows, and are assumed to reveal the<br />

strongest sectors in each of the countries and regions for<br />

which they are calculated, measuring their comparative<br />

advantage. The indices are applied to various sectoral<br />

classifications to clarify the nature of the comparative<br />

advantage in each case. In this section the indicators are<br />

presented for a breakdown of manufacturing into 23 groups<br />

of products. 66 By way of comparison, section IV.4 analyses<br />

trade in manufacturing for products grouped into<br />

technology categories.<br />

iv21 Eu trade in manufactures by<br />

destination<br />

The <strong>EU</strong> mainly trades with partners of similar level of<br />

development, but there are noticeable variations across<br />

sectors. It is worth underlining that the analyses below only<br />

refer to manufactured goods, so agriculture and mining<br />

(including energy) products are not included. This has<br />

a significant effect on the shares of some trade partners,<br />

as in the case of Russia and the oil‑producing countries.<br />

In 2009, Russia represented more than a third of <strong>EU</strong> imports<br />

in refined petroleum. The shares of the main trade partners<br />

64 See Balassa (1965) for a discussion of the RCA-index.<br />

65 They were calculated for different time periods (to test for the<br />

sensitivity to the financial crisis) and the crisis appeared to have<br />

no significant impact on the data.<br />

66 The sectors considered are manufacturing industries at the<br />

two-digit level in the Classification of Products by Activity (CPA).<br />

100<br />

in <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing trade are concentrated in high income<br />

and upper medium income partners. 67<br />

In all manufacturing sectors except textiles, paper,<br />

machinery, electrical equipment and basic metals, about<br />

half or more of <strong>EU</strong>‑27 exports were destined for high<br />

income countries in 2009, cf. Table IV.4.<br />

The picture differs for imports. The <strong>EU</strong> imports more<br />

than half of its textiles, clothing, footwear, non metallic<br />

mineral products and furniture from low medium income<br />

countries. Low income countries exports to the <strong>EU</strong> reach<br />

a level above 10 % only in textiles, clothing and leather<br />

and footwear. US exports to the <strong>EU</strong> are significant in<br />

other transport equipments and pharmaceuticals,<br />

representing 53 % and 47 % respectively of <strong>EU</strong> imports. Japan<br />

is a large source of <strong>EU</strong> imports for motor vehicles (32 %)<br />

and machinery (18 %). Finally, the BRIC group is presented<br />

both as an aggregate and in terms of its separate members,<br />

Brazil, Russia India and China. Overall, Russia, Brazil and India<br />

count much less than China as far as <strong>EU</strong> trade is concerned.<br />

More than 40 % of <strong>EU</strong> imports in furniture (54 %), leather<br />

and footwear (52 %), clothing (45 %), electrical equipment<br />

(44 %), non‑metallic mineral products (43 %), metal products<br />

(41 %) come from China. Brazil captures 14 % and 12 % of <strong>EU</strong><br />

imports of paper and food, cf. Table IV.5.<br />

67 The classification by income level is the one from the World<br />

Bank. The country groups are as follow: High non‑<strong>EU</strong>: Australia,<br />

Bahamas, Bahrain, Brunei Darussalam, Canada, Croatia, China<br />

Hong Kong SAR, Iceland, Israel, Japan, Rep. of Korea, Kuwait,<br />

China Macao SAR, Oman, Neth. Antilles, New Zealand, Norway,<br />

Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Switzerland, United Arab Emirates,<br />

USA. Upper‑medium: Algeria, Argentina, Bosnia Herzegovina,<br />

Botswana, Brazil, Belarus, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba,<br />

Dominican Rep., Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Jamaica, Kazakhstan,<br />

Lebanon, Libya, Malaysia, Mauritius, Mexico, Montenegro,<br />

Namibia, Panama, Russian Federation, Serbia, South Africa,<br />

Suriname, Trinidad and Tobago, Turkey, TFYR of Macedonia,<br />

Uruguay, Venezuela. Low‑medium: Albania, Angola, Azerbaijan,<br />

Armenia, Bolivia, Belize, Cameroon, Cape Verde, Sri Lanka, China,<br />

Ecuador, El Salvador, Djibouti, Georgia, Guatemala, Honduras,<br />

Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Côte d’Ivoire, Jordan, Lesotho, Maldives,<br />

Mongolia, Rep. of Moldova, Morocco, Nicaragua, Nigeria,<br />

Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Timor-Leste, India, Swaziland, Syria,<br />

Thailand, Tunisia, Ukraine, Egypt. Low: Afghanistan, Bangladesh,<br />

Bhutan, Myanmar, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Rep.,<br />

Chad, Comoros, Congo, Dem. Rep. of the Congo, Benin, Ethiopia,<br />

Eritrea, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Haiti, Kenya, Dem. People’s Rep.<br />

of Korea, Kyrgyzstan, Lao People’s Dem. Rep., Liberia, Madagascar,<br />

Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Nepal, Niger, Pakistan,<br />

Guinea-Bissau, Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Viet Nam, Somalia,<br />

Zimbabwe, Sudan, Tajikistan, Togo, Uganda, United Rep. of<br />

Tanzania, Burkina Faso, Uzbekistan, Yemen, Zambia.


TAbLE IV.4: <strong>EU</strong> exports of manufactured goods in 2009 by destination (%)<br />

usa Japan Bric Brazil china india russia<br />

low<br />

income<br />

low<br />

medium<br />

upper<br />

medium<br />

high<br />

income<br />

nacE cOdE<br />

income<br />

income<br />

non Eu‑27<br />

c10 Food 50.2 28.6 18.3 5.1 11.0 5.7 17.1 1.3 3.9 0.3 11.7<br />

c11 Beverages 71.7 16.8 9.4 2.7 35.4 6.4 9.0 1.6 3.0 0.3 4.1<br />

c12 Tobacco 55.5 24.0 19.7 3.8 1.2 22.4 3.1 0.2 0.9 0.0 1.9<br />

c13 Textiles 39.6 27.1 33.7 3.6 10.1 2.8 12.4 1.1 5.5 1.1 4.7<br />

c14 Clothing 56.8 30.1 12.4 2.4 8.9 6.2 17.8 0.3 1.9 0.2 15.4<br />

c15 Leather & footwear 65.7 20.3 14.0 1.2 13.4 10.0 14.1 0.2 4.4 1.0 8.5<br />

c16 Wood & wood products 56.7 22.5 20.0 1.6 8.7 8.9 8.8 0.2 2.3 0.6 5.7<br />

c17 Paper 41.6 33.4 23.8 2.4 9.2 2.3 21.4 2.0 5.7 2.7 11.1<br />

c18 Printing 55.9 30.4 13.2 1.2 12.1 6.6 16.3 3.2 3.4 1.0 8.7<br />

c19 Refined petroleum 52.7 22.9 19.9 5.7 27.5 0.5 3.5 0.8 0.5 0.6 1.7<br />

c20 Chemicals 53.8 25.7 19.2 2.0 23.9 4.7 18.8 3.2 7.1 2.4 6.0<br />

c21 Pharmaceuticals 69.2 19.4 9.6 2.3 36.3 5.7 11.4 2.4 3.0 0.6 5.4<br />

c22 Rubber & plastics 50.8 29.6 19.7 1.8 13.9 2.3 18.1 2.2 6.2 1.6 8.2<br />

c23 Non‑metalic mineral products 55.1 25.2 18.6 2.3 16.8 2.5 14.9 1.5 4.1 1.7 7.6<br />

c24 Basic metals 47.2 25.3 26.3 2.0 12.6 1.4 19.1 2.2 9.5 4.5 3.0<br />

c25 Metal products 49.6 27.7 21.0 2.8 13.2 2.2 18.2 2.1 6.2 2.5 7.3<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

c26 Computers, electronic & optical 54.4 23.9 19.8 2.7 18.8 3.6 18.5 1.5 7.6 3.0 6.4<br />

c27 Electrical equipment 46.1 25.6 26.2 3.1 13.2 1.8 23.5 2.2 11.4 2.6 7.2<br />

c28 Machinery n.e.c. 43.7 25.7 28.4 2.9 14.3 2.1 26.0 2.8 12.8 3.6 6.8<br />

c29 Motor vehicles 50.2 28.4 20.0 1.9 21.0 4.4 20.2 2.6 10.5 0.8 6.3<br />

c30 Other transport eq. 62.4 18.9 16.9 2.0 27.9 1.4 17.4 2.0 8.5 3.0 3.9<br />

c31 Furniture 64.5 22.1 12.9 1.5 15.2 2.4 16.1 0.5 3.0 0.7 11.9<br />

c32 Other manufacturing 70.3 15.7 13.0 1.5 24.5 5.7 10.8 1.2 3.4 2.2 3.9<br />

Note: Intra‑<strong>EU</strong> regional trade is excluded. The shares do not add up to 100 since the US, Japan and the BRIC countries are included in the aggregates by income.<br />

Source: own calculations using Comtrade database.<br />

101


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

TAbLE IV.5: <strong>EU</strong> imports of manufactured goods by origin (2009 in %)<br />

102<br />

usa Japan Bric Brazil china india russia<br />

low<br />

income<br />

low<br />

medium<br />

upper<br />

medium<br />

high<br />

income<br />

nacE cOdE<br />

income<br />

income<br />

non Eu‑27<br />

c10 Food 21.5 41.3 33.0 5.3 4.9 0.2 22.7 12.2 6.7 2.5 1.4<br />

c11 Beverages 51.6 45.4 3.8 0.2 20.1 0.4 3.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 1.7<br />

c12 Tobacco 19.5 58.2 17.4 6.5 7.9 0.2 19.4 10.0 4.6 1.7 3.1<br />

c13 Textiles 14.4 20.2 54.7 11.8 3.7 1.5 47.3 0.3 35.2 11.6 0.3<br />

c14 Clothing 3.5 16.1 67.2 14.8 0.6 0.1 52.6 0.0 45.1 7.5 0.0<br />

c15 Leather & footwear 5.3 8.7 72.0 14.7 1.0 0.1 62.9 3.2 52.2 7.1 0.3<br />

c16 Wood & wood products 20.3 32.3 44.4 3.6 7.3 0.1 46.3 7.4 27.0 0.6 11.4<br />

c17 Paper 52.6 30.1 17.5 0.2 20.0 1.4 31.0 13.7 12.1 0.6 4.5<br />

c18 Printing 71.3 5.5 23.4 0.0 6.4 13.6 23.3 0.9 21.1 0.4 0.9<br />

c19 Refined petroleum 35.7 55.0 9.5 0.1 11.9 1.0 43.1 0.6 0.7 4.4 37.4<br />

c20 Chemicals 66.5 16.5 17.0 0.4 26.8 8.4 19.7 2.3 8.8 3.1 5.5<br />

c21 Pharmaceuticals 91.3 2.0 6.9 0.0 47.3 3.3 7.2 0.6 4.6 1.9 0.0<br />

c22 Rubber & plastics 44.9 15.3 39.1 1.3 15.2 7.8 33.8 0.9 29.7 2.4 0.9<br />

c23 Non‑metalic mineral products 29.0 18.7 52.6 1.7 11.7 4.6 49.5 1.5 42.9 4.1 1.1<br />

c24 Basic metals 41.9 40.9 16.2 3.1 7.1 3.3 24.8 2.3 6.4 2.2 13.9<br />

c25 Metal products 40.0 11.5 48.1 1.1 11.4 5.3 46.1 0.6 41.1 3.7 0.7<br />

c26 Computers, electronic & optical 44.1 7.9 47.7 0.4 12.4 11.0 41.9 0.1 41.1 0.6 0.1<br />

c27 Electrical equipment 37.8 10.9 51.8 0.2 11.1 7.8 46.6 0.6 44.1 1.6 0.3<br />

c28 Machinery n.e.c. 64.9 9.5 25.9 0.3 24.5 18.4 24.6 1.3 21.3 1.6 0.4<br />

c29 Motor vehicles 56.6 27.6 16.3 0.1 11.4 32.2 12.4 1.9 5.3 4.9 0.3<br />

c30 Other transport eq. 83.4 5.7 9.5 1.6 52.9 2.8 10.9 2.0 8.0 0.3 0.6<br />

c31 Furniture 11.6 16.0 66.1 7.2 2.3 0.4 59.0 2.4 53.6 2.1 0.9<br />

c32 Other manufacturing 46.5 5.5 47.0 1.2 23.7 5.2 41.7 0.2 37.3 3.8 0.4<br />

Note: Intra‑<strong>EU</strong> regional trade is excluded. The shares do not add up to 100 since the US, Japan and the BRIC countries are included in the aggregates by income.<br />

Source: own calculations using Comtrade database


iv22 Export market shares<br />

Export market shares provide insight into the position<br />

relative to international competitors. Gains or loss of<br />

market share indicates whether an <strong>EU</strong> industry is gaining<br />

competitiveness, or not, on the world market, cf. Box IV.1.<br />

box IV.1: Share in world markets<br />

The share of sector ‘i’in world markets is defined as:<br />

Share of sector ‘i’ = <strong>EU</strong> exports to world market in sector ‘i’/ Total world exports in sector ‘i’<br />

where, ‘world’ is defined as <strong>EU</strong>‑27 + US, Japan, and a selected group of countries.<br />

For the <strong>EU</strong> the share is calculated including and excluding intra‑<strong>EU</strong> trade.<br />

Largest <strong>EU</strong> export shares in 2009, when intra‑regional trade<br />

is included) were recorded for printing and reproduction<br />

of recorded media, beverages, tobacco products,<br />

pharmaceuticals, paper and paper products and furniture.<br />

When intra‑regional trade in the <strong>EU</strong> is excluded, US<br />

industries hold larger shares than the <strong>EU</strong> of world exports<br />

of computer, electronic and optical products and other<br />

manufacturing. Japanese industries held large shares of<br />

world exports of motor vehicles, trailers and semi‑trailers<br />

and machinery and equipment; however, <strong>EU</strong> industries<br />

(excluding intra‑regional trade) had even larger shares of<br />

world exports. China, besides having the largest shares of<br />

clothing, leather and footwear and textiles, holds relatively<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

large market shares in computer, electronic and optical<br />

products, furniture, and electrical equipment and fabricated<br />

metal products, cf. Table IV.6. 68<br />

68 The market share approach favours large countries; therefore, it is<br />

more relevant to compare the <strong>EU</strong> as a whole with the US, Japan,<br />

China, India, Brazil and Russia. The initial size of an economy may<br />

matter in its ability to seek foreign markets. Larger countries may<br />

benefit from more resources as far as capital, labour or other factors<br />

of production are concerned. Large countries may also benefit from<br />

economies of scale as they have larger domestic markets.<br />

103


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

TAbLE IV.6: Share of <strong>EU</strong> and main trade partners in world markets by sectors in 2009<br />

104<br />

Japan usa Bric Brazil china russia india<br />

Eu‑without<br />

intra‑regional trade<br />

commodity description Eu‑27<br />

c10 Food 46.8 14.8 0.5 8.2 12.7 5.5 4.7 0.8 1.7<br />

c11 Beverages 69.0 48.4 0.3 6.0 1.9 0.1 1.2 0.5 0.2<br />

c12 Tobacco 68.3 30.3 0.4 2.6 5.5 0.7 1.9 2.1 0.8<br />

c13 Textiles 29.5 11.4 2.7 4.8 37.2 0.5 32.0 0.1 4.6<br />

c14 Clothing 32.5 10.3 0.1 1.4 39.3 0.1 35.2 0.0 4.0<br />

c15 Leather & footwear 38.6 16.2 0.2 1.9 37.0 2.1 32.5 0.1 2.2<br />

c16 Wood & wood products 50.1 21.4 0.1 5.2 19.4 2.2 12.1 4.8 0.2<br />

c17 Paper 57.2 25.1 1.5 10.7 9.3 3.0 4.7 1.4 0.3<br />

c18 Printing 76.0 49.4 1.1 6.1 4.0 0.3 1.9 0.1 1.7<br />

c19 Refined petroleum 32.8 14.8 2.4 9.4 20.6 0.7 3.3 11.4 5.2<br />

c20 Chemicals 49.5 24.8 5.7 13.1 9.9 1.1 5.6 1.7 1.5<br />

c21 Pharmaceuticals 65.5 41.9 1.0 10.1 4.3 0.3 2.6 0.1 1.4<br />

c22 Rubber & plastics 50.2 19.2 6.1 9.3 13.6 0.8 11.5 0.4 0.9<br />

c23 Non‑metallic mineral products 50.2 24.0 5.3 6.3 20.7 1.2 17.4 0.8 1.3<br />

c24 Basic metals 35.0 14.2 7.1 6.4 14.6 2.1 5.8 4.9 1.8<br />

c25 Metal products 49.3 23.3 3.8 8.2 18.9 0.9 16.2 0.5 1.3<br />

c26 Computers, electronic & optical 24.3 9.7 6.7 9.3 24.5 0.2 23.8 0.1 0.4<br />

c27 Electrical equipment 41.7 21.3 6.4 8.0 19.6 0.6 18.0 0.3 0.7<br />

c28 Machinery n.e.c. 50.3 32.9 9.4 12.3 10.9 0.7 9.1 0.3 0.7<br />

c29 Motor vehicles 55.5 24.8 12.1 8.7 4.5 1.0 2.8 0.2 0.6<br />

c30 Other transport eq. 49.0 34.8 8.6 4.5 13.4 1.5 9.6 0.7 1.6<br />

c31 Furniture 50.9 21.5 0.8 4.2 27.0 0.8 25.5 0.3 0.5<br />

c32 Other manufacturing 32.0 16.3 2.6 14.3 23.9 0.2 14.1 0.1 9.5<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.


iv23 sectoral trade balance<br />

The relative trade balance (RTB), measures the trade<br />

balance relative to total trade in the sector. This indicator<br />

box IV.2: Relative trade balance (RTb) indicator<br />

The RTB indicator for product ‘i’ is defined as follows:<br />

where X=value of exports and M=value of imports.<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

is calculated for the <strong>EU</strong> relative to the rest of the world. It is<br />

used to rank <strong>EU</strong> sectors according to their competitiveness<br />

vis‑à‑vis the rest of the world and to measure gains and<br />

losses in competitiveness over time, cf. Box IV.2.<br />

This indicator is based on <strong>EU</strong>‑25 trade with the rest of the world. The source of the data is the UN database<br />

COMTRADE.<br />

A negative trade balance is not necessarily a bad sign.<br />

Imports can contribute to the country’s economy and<br />

may stimulate production in other sectors. Also, trade<br />

balances are dependant on domestic and foreign demand.<br />

This means that this indicator does not exclusively reflect<br />

external competitive strength; it also indicates a difference<br />

between domestic and international demand.<br />

TAbLE IV.7: <strong>EU</strong> RTb indicators in manufacturing sectors from 2007 to 2009<br />

<strong>EU</strong> industries recorded their highest RTB values in 2009 for<br />

beverages, machinery and equipment, other transport<br />

equipment and fabricated metal products. <strong>EU</strong> RTBs<br />

increased between 2009 and 2008 in basic metals,<br />

machinery and equipment, paper and chemical products.<br />

<strong>EU</strong> RTBs were notably negative for wearing apparel and<br />

computer, electronic and optical products, cf. Table IV.7.<br />

nacE code 2007 2008 2009<br />

c10 Manufacture of food products ‑0.03 ‑0.03 ‑0.03<br />

c11 Manufacture of beverages 0.21 0.20 0.20<br />

c12 Manufacture of tobacco products 0.03 0.06 0.06<br />

c13 Manufacture of textiles ‑0.01 ‑0.01 ‑0.02<br />

c14 Manufacture of wearing apparel ‑0.19 ‑0.19 ‑0.21<br />

c15 Manufacture of leather and related products ‑0.07 ‑0.07 ‑0.08<br />

c16<br />

Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles<br />

of straw and plaiting materials<br />

0.00 0.02 0.04<br />

c17 Manufacture of paper and paper products 0.04 0.04 0.06<br />

c18 Printing and reproduction of recorded media 0.08 0.05 0.04<br />

c19 Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products ‑0.03 ‑0.01 ‑0.05<br />

c20 Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products 0.03 0.03 0.05<br />

c21 Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations 0.07 0.08 0.08<br />

c22 Manufacture of rubber and plastic products 0.04 0.04 0.04<br />

c23 Manufacture of other non‑metallic mineral products 0.08 0.08 0.09<br />

c24 Manufacture of basic metals ‑0.06 ‑0.03 0.01<br />

c25 Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment 0.09 0.09 0.10<br />

c26 Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products ‑0.11 ‑0.11 ‑0.11<br />

c27 Manufacture of electrical equipment 0.07 0.08 0.08<br />

c28 Manufacture of machineryand equipment n.e.c. 0.16 0.17 0.20<br />

c29 Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi‑trailers 0.06 0.08 0.08<br />

c30 Manufacture of other transport equipment 0.13 0.11 0.11<br />

c31 Manufacture of furniture 0.04 0.04 0.03<br />

c32 Other manufacturing ‑0.04 ‑0.04 ‑0.04<br />

Note: Due to the transition from NACE Rev. 1 to NACE Rev. 2, the data are not completely comparable with the previous edition.<br />

Data according to NACE Rev. 2 are only available from 2007.<br />

Source: own calculations using Comtrade data.<br />

105


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

iv24 revealed comparative advantage<br />

The third indicator of competitiveness is the index of<br />

revealed comparative advantage (RCA), which compares<br />

the share of a given sector’s exports in the <strong>EU</strong>’s total<br />

manufacturing exports with the share of the same sector’s<br />

106<br />

exports in the total manufacturing exports of a group of<br />

reference countries. Values higher (lower) than 1 mean that<br />

a given industry performs better (worse) than the reference<br />

group, and are interpreted as a sign of comparative<br />

advantage. The RCA indicator is thus used to rank <strong>EU</strong><br />

products by comparative advantage, cf. Box IV.3.<br />

box IV.3: Revealed comparative advantage (RCA) indicator<br />

The RCA indicator for product ‘i’ is defined as follows:<br />

where: X=value of exports; the reference group (‘W’) is the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 plus 142 other countries (as listed in Section<br />

IV.1.1 Goods); the source used is the UN COMTRADE database. In the calculation of RCA, X<strong>EU</strong> stands for exports to<br />

the rest of the world (excluding intra‑<strong>EU</strong> trade) and XW measures exports to the rest of the world by the countries<br />

in the reference group.<br />

IV.2.4.1 RCA In MAnUFACTURES<br />

In 2009, the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 recorded RCAs above 1.6 for industries<br />

producing printing, beverages, and tobacco products.<br />

At the bottom of the graph, computer, electronic and<br />

optical products, textiles, other manufacturing, clothing<br />

and refined petroleum have an index lower than 0.8.<br />

When interpreting the results some considerations<br />

should be taken into account: first, the level of sectoral<br />

aggregation may mask differing performance in various<br />

categories of goods within the same group of products.<br />

This is particularly relevant for industries which have<br />

a large variety of brands and quality levels for the same<br />

type of goods. Another consideration concerns country<br />

heterogeneity within the <strong>EU</strong>, as the performance of the <strong>EU</strong><br />

as a whole is explained in some cases by the performance<br />

of a few <strong>EU</strong> countries. Finally, the weight of each sector and<br />

country in the export <strong>structure</strong> of the <strong>EU</strong> should be borne<br />

in mind to get to a balanced assessment of the <strong>EU</strong>’s sectoral<br />

performance in external trade, cf. Figure IV.3.


FIgURE IV.3: <strong>EU</strong>-27 RCA index in 2009<br />

Printing<br />

Beverages<br />

Tobacco<br />

Pharmaceuticals<br />

Paper<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Furniture<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Rubber & plastics<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Wood & wood products<br />

Chemicals<br />

Metal products<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Food<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Leather & footwear<br />

Basic metals<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Clothing<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Textiles<br />

Computers, electronic & optical<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.<br />

Cyprus, Greece, Lithuania, Luxembourg, the Netherlands,<br />

Portugal and Romania, all appeared to be highly specialised in<br />

tobacco products in 2009. Wood and wood products is another<br />

category of goods where many <strong>EU</strong> countries recurrently exhibit<br />

high revealed comparative advantages. The high RCAs in<br />

wood and wood products of Austria, Estonia, Finland, Latvia<br />

and Portugal are in line with the specialisation patterns that<br />

could be observed in Section II.1 (Table II.2). Interestingly, only<br />

Finland and Sweden are the only countries which are highly<br />

specialised in paper and paper products. Cyprus and Ireland,<br />

followed by Belgium appear to be significant players in basic<br />

pharmaceutical products. In Ireland, this is also coupled with<br />

high RCAs in chemical products. Bulgaria and Romania are<br />

the only <strong>EU</strong> remnants that still had high revealed comparative<br />

advantages in trade of wearing apparel while Portugal,<br />

Italy and Romania have important revealed comparative<br />

advantages in leather and related products.<br />

In reference to Section II.1.2, and as illustrated in Figure II.6,<br />

smaller countries tend to have stronger specialisation<br />

patterns. This also applies to sectoral trade characteristics.<br />

A problem with the RCA measure is that countries with<br />

a relatively small manufacturing industry can turn out to<br />

have high RCAs even though the industry with the high<br />

RCA only consists of a few firms but accounts for a large<br />

share of total manufacturing exports in the country. Natural<br />

examples in the <strong>EU</strong> are Cyprus, Luxemburg and Malta where<br />

some industries display very high RCAs.<br />

Compared to the <strong>EU</strong>, the US seemed to have high<br />

revealed comparative advantages in the following groups<br />

of products in 2009: other manufacturing, computer,<br />

electronic and optical products, chemicals, refined<br />

petroleum products and machinery, and equipment.<br />

Japan had high RCAs in capital equipment, particularly<br />

motor vehicles and machinery. In China, the trade<br />

specialisation profile is strongly oriented towards textiles,<br />

clothing, leather and furniture; although China also<br />

has a high RCA in sectors such as office machinery and<br />

computers, cf. Table IV.8.<br />

107


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

TAbLE IV.8: RCA in manufacturing in 2009: <strong>EU</strong> countries, US, Japan and brazil, China and Russia<br />

108<br />

c10 c11 c12 c13 c14 c15 c16 c17 c18 c19 c20 c21 c22 c23 c24 c25 c26 c27 c28 c29 c30 c31 c32<br />

Non‑<br />

Comput‑ Electri‑<br />

Wood<br />

Refined<br />

Rubber<br />

Metal<br />

Ma‑<br />

Other<br />

Other<br />

Leather &<br />

Chemi‑ Pharma‑ metallic Basic ers, elec‑ cal<br />

Motor<br />

Furni‑<br />

Food Beverages Tobacco Textiles Clothing & wood Paper Printing petro‑<br />

& plas‑<br />

prod‑<br />

chinery<br />

trans‑<br />

manu‑<br />

footwear<br />

cals ceuticals mineral metals tronic & equip‑ vehicles<br />

ture<br />

products<br />

leum<br />

tics<br />

ucts<br />

n.e.c.<br />

port eq. facturing<br />

products<br />

optical ment<br />

Austria 0.92 2.06 0.85 0.71 0.55 0.75 4.45 2.23 1.30 0.26 0.50 1.33 1.36 1.40 1.24 1.98 0.41 1.34 1.47 1.27 0.71 1.42 0.78<br />

Belgium 1.35 1.08 0.98 0.87 0.78 1.02 0.83 0.96 7.21 1.06 2.10 3.40 1.06 1.13 1.04 0.72 0.22 0.43 0.68 1.16 0.24 0.60 1.12<br />

Bulgaria 1.45 0.94 3.10 1.37 3.73 1.31 1.56 0.42 0.29 2.61 0.56 0.69 0.82 2.18 2.83 0.66 0.30 1.11 0.72 0.29 0.34 1.39 0.33<br />

Cyprus 2.06 1.43 34.64 0.11 0.55 0.42 0.24 0.40 0.23 0.00 0.53 4.53 0.37 0.39 0.37 0.63 0.92 0.30 0.55 0.33 1.52 0.80 2.69<br />

Czech Rep. 0.47 0.74 1.54 0.93 0.38 0.39 1.53 1.04 1.32 0.17 0.50 0.28 1.70 1.83 0.67 2.01 0.98 1.51 1.15 2.17 0.51 1.49 0.78<br />

Denmark 3.08 0.77 1.86 0.73 1.53 0.79 1.31 0.69 0.99 0.73 0.62 1.28 1.18 1.50 0.35 1.57 0.49 1.18 1.53 0.33 0.61 2.75 0.86<br />

Estonia 1.23 2.08 0.45 1.49 1.13 0.65 8.16 0.78 0.01 3.48 0.68 0.10 1.31 1.60 0.42 1.90 0.39 1.42 0.65 1.13 0.29 3.00 0.54<br />

Finland 0.33 0.51 0.02 0.23 0.16 0.26 4.79 8.57 0.75 1.49 0.58 0.44 0.86 0.78 1.19 0.97 0.78 1.51 1.57 0.36 1.30 0.29 0.49<br />

France 1.18 3.94 0.59 0.60 0.73 1.05 0.66 1.05 1.15 0.58 1.33 1.69 1.12 0.98 0.76 0.92 0.43 0.92 0.88 1.22 3.23 0.66 0.76<br />

Germany 0.78 0.66 1.80 0.54 0.51 0.38 0.87 1.24 2.43 0.29 1.05 1.33 1.29 1.03 0.77 1.24 0.54 1.17 1.62 1.77 1.35 0.85 0.64<br />

Greece 2.70 1.81 5.69 1.75 2.14 0.71 0.56 0.73 1.47 2.10 0.90 1.65 1.25 2.57 1.96 1.01 0.25 0.78 0.40 0.11 1.18 0.36 0.39<br />

Hungary 0.84 0.40 0.02 0.33 0.31 0.52 0.82 0.87 0.15 0.36 0.52 0.85 1.22 1.17 0.31 0.76 1.75 1.72 0.79 1.87 0.16 0.98 0.26<br />

Ireland 1.25 1.62 0.40 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.35 0.10 0.00 0.15 3.38 6.26 0.28 0.22 0.05 0.20 0.88 0.22 0.29 0.04 0.39 0.09 1.44<br />

Italy 0.93 2.13 0.02 1.37 1.60 3.01 0.53 1.01 1.25 0.72 0.68 0.91 1.36 2.02 0.98 1.73 0.20 1.13 1.90 0.74 0.95 2.55 0.95<br />

Latvia 1.61 4.16 3.35 1.15 1.25 0.37 18.34 0.78 0.65 0.70 0.60 1.12 0.87 1.59 1.43 1.43 0.43 0.59 0.60 0.75 0.50 2.76 0.55<br />

Lithuania 2.02 1.17 5.65 1.14 1.43 0.33 3.36 0.85 1.00 4.93 1.35 0.37 1.18 0.77 0.23 1.00 0.23 0.51 0.52 0.68 0.50 6.01 0.38<br />

Luxembourg 0.92 0.88 6.33 2.05 0.38 0.44 2.13 2.37 0.21 0.02 0.52 0.16 3.72 2.56 4.05 1.10 0.33 0.67 0.84 0.73 1.18 0.11 0.25<br />

Malta 0.63 0.21 1.32 1.19 0.36 0.16 0.05 0.02 1.74 0.09 0.33 2.10 1.46 0.42 0.04 0.40 2.55 1.69 0.39 0.04 0.81 0.35 1.97<br />

Netherlands 2.11 1.44 5.36 0.49 0.57 0.66 0.31 0.92 0.73 2.02 1.63 0.83 0.82 0.48 0.58 0.75 1.14 0.54 1.00 0.36 0.41 0.40 0.83<br />

Poland 1.40 0.47 4.77 0.62 0.73 0.36 2.40 1.55 0.48 0.43 0.65 0.27 1.68 1.54 0.86 1.70 0.66 1.29 0.56 2.03 1.09 4.97 0.30<br />

Portugal 1.17 3.76 5.30 1.98 2.26 3.30 4.51 2.61 0.99 0.63 0.62 0.34 1.83 3.55 0.60 2.02 0.31 0.98 0.52 1.45 0.14 2.62 0.30<br />

Romania 0.33 0.23 5.93 1.13 2.55 2.81 3.98 0.29 0.04 1.29 0.44 0.30 1.38 0.53 0.88 0.96 0.50 1.40 0.76 1.99 1.54 3.90 0.30<br />

Slovakia 0.46 0.51 0.00 0.40 0.49 1.22 1.79 1.33 0.63 0.89 0.39 0.15 1.28 1.15 1.14 1.57 1.40 0.98 0.61 2.35 0.27 1.72 0.29<br />

Slovenia 0.59 0.60 0.00 0.69 0.45 0.64 3.19 1.85 0.19 0.34 0.81 2.04 1.64 1.54 0.90 1.88 0.23 2.05 0.99 1.84 0.33 3.09 0.49<br />

Spain 1.60 2.22 0.33 0.84 1.23 1.35 0.88 1.29 0.46 0.53 1.06 1.21 1.21 2.21 1.02 1.16 0.21 0.89 0.70 2.43 1.04 0.85 0.38<br />

Sweden 0.53 0.91 0.24 0.33 0.32 0.21 3.98 5.68 0.14 1.30 0.73 1.53 0.91 0.64 1.04 1.01 0.76 1.12 1.27 0.97 0.40 1.62 0.54<br />

United<br />

0.70 3.32 0.93 0.53 0.60 0.46 0.19 0.76 1.10 1.30 1.36 2.33 0.92 0.73 0.74 0.79 0.70 0.71 1.08 1.15 1.49 0.38 1.09<br />

Kingdom<br />

<strong>EU</strong>‑27 1.10 1.62 1.60 0.69 0.76 0.91 1.18 1.34 1.79 0.77 1.16 1.54 1.18 1.18 0.82 1.16 0.57 0.98 1.18 1.30 1.15 1.20 0.75<br />

USA 0.91 0.66 0.29 0.53 0.16 0.21 0.58 1.19 0.67 1.04 1.46 1.13 1.03 0.70 0.71 0.91 1.03 0.89 1.37 0.96 0.50 0.46 1.59<br />

Japan 0.09 0.06 0.08 0.48 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.26 0.20 0.41 1.00 0.18 1.08 0.94 1.25 0.67 1.18 1.12 1.65 2.12 1.51 0.14 0.46<br />

Brazil 5.09 0.12 0.61 0.45 0.05 1.96 2.05 2.77 0.24 0.69 0.97 0.32 0.74 1.10 1.91 0.83 0.14 0.56 0.67 0.95 1.38 0.69 0.19<br />

China 0.37 0.09 0.15 2.52 2.77 2.56 0.96 0.37 0.15 0.26 0.44 0.20 0.91 1.37 0.46 1.27 1.87 1.42 0.72 0.22 0.76 2.01 1.11<br />

India 1.03 0.09 0.50 2.86 2.48 1.36 0.12 0.21 1.05 3.18 0.93 0.84 0.54 0.79 1.10 0.82 0.25 0.42 0.43 0.34 1.00 0.28 5.88<br />

Russia 0.66 0.37 1.69 0.08 0.02 0.11 3.82 1.08 0.09 9.03 1.33 0.06 0.31 0.64 3.89 0.37 0.12 0.24 0.24 0.15 0.52 0.22 0.05<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.


RCA‑indices for individual manufacturing industries are<br />

presented in graphs to aid comparison of <strong>EU</strong>‑27 with<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

the US, Japan, China, Russia and Brazil, cf. Figures IV.4<br />

to IV.10.<br />

FIgURE IV.4: <strong>EU</strong>-27 trade in manufactured products — RCA index in 2009<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Computers, electronic & optical<br />

Metal products<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Furniture<br />

Basic metals<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Food<br />

1.8<br />

1.6<br />

1.4<br />

1.2<br />

1.0<br />

0.8<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

Rubber & plastics Pharmaceuticals<br />

Beverages<br />

Tobacco<br />

Chemicals<br />

Textiles<br />

Clothing<br />

Paper<br />

Printing<br />

Refined petroleum<br />

Leather & footwear<br />

Wood & wood products<br />

Note: The ‘radius 1’ circle is highlighted to aid identification of those sectors with a comparative advantage, which are located outside<br />

the circle.<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.<br />

FIgURE IV.5: US trade in manufactured products — RCA index in 2009<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Computers, electronic & optical<br />

Metal products<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Furniture<br />

Basic metals<br />

Food<br />

1.6<br />

1.4<br />

1.2<br />

1.0<br />

0.8<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

Beverages<br />

Tobacco<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Chemicals<br />

Rubber & plastics Pharmaceuticals<br />

Textiles<br />

Clothing<br />

Paper<br />

Printing<br />

Refined petroleum<br />

Leather & footwear<br />

Wood & wood products<br />

Note: The ‘radius 1’ circle is highlighted to aid identification of those sectors with a comparative advantage, which are located outside<br />

the circle.<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.<br />

109


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE IV.6: Japan trade in manufactured products — RCA index in 2009<br />

110<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Computers, electronic & optical<br />

Metal products<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Furniture<br />

Basic metals<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Food<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

Beverages<br />

Rubber & plastics Pharmaceuticals<br />

Tobacco<br />

Chemicals<br />

Textiles<br />

Clothing<br />

Printing<br />

Paper<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Leather & footwear<br />

Wood & wood products<br />

Note: The ‘radius 1’ circle is highlighted to aid identification of those sectors with a comparative advantage, which are located outside<br />

the circle.<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.<br />

FIgURE IV.7: brazil trade in manufactured products — RCA index in 2009<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Computers, electronic & optical<br />

Metal products<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Furniture<br />

Basic metals<br />

Food<br />

5<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Chemicals<br />

Rubber & plastics Pharmaceuticals<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

Beverages<br />

Tobacco<br />

Textiles<br />

Clothing<br />

Printing<br />

Paper<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Leather & footwear<br />

Wood & wood products<br />

Note: The ‘radius 1’ circle is highlighted to aid identification of those sectors with a comparative advantage, which are located outside<br />

the circle.<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.


FIgURE IV.8: China trade in manufactured products — RCA index in 2009<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Computers, electronic & optical<br />

Metal products<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Furniture<br />

Basic metals<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Food<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

Rubber & plastics Pharmaceuticals<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

Beverages<br />

Tobacco<br />

Chemicals<br />

Textiles<br />

Clothing<br />

Printing<br />

Paper<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Leather & footwear<br />

Wood & wood products<br />

Note: The ‘radius 1’ circle is highlighted to aid identification of those sectors with a comparative advantage, which are located outside<br />

the circle.<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.<br />

FIgURE IV.9: India trade in manufactured products — RCA index in 2009<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Computers, electronic & optical<br />

Metal products<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Furniture<br />

Basic metals<br />

Food<br />

6<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Chemicals<br />

Rubber & plastics Pharmaceuticals<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

Beverages<br />

Tobacco<br />

Textiles<br />

Clothing<br />

Printing<br />

Paper<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Leather & footwear<br />

Wood & wood products<br />

Note: The ‘radius 1’ circle is highlighted to aid identification of those sectors with a comparative advantage, which are located outside<br />

the circle.<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.<br />

111


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE IV.10: Russia trade in manufactured products — RCA index in 2009<br />

112<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Machinery n.e.c.<br />

Electrical equipment<br />

Computers, electronic & optical<br />

Metal products<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Furniture<br />

Basic metals<br />

Non-metallic mineral products<br />

Food<br />

10<br />

Rubber & plastics Pharmaceuticals<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

Beverages<br />

Tobacco<br />

Chemicals<br />

Textiles<br />

Clothing<br />

Paper<br />

Printing<br />

Rened petroleum<br />

Leather & footwear<br />

Wood & wood products<br />

Note: The ‘radius 1’ circle is highlighted to aid identification of those sectors with a comparative advantage, which are located outside<br />

the circle.<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.<br />

IV.2.4.2 RCA In SERVICES<br />

Service industries account for about three quarters of<br />

the <strong>EU</strong> value added in 2009 but significantly less of their<br />

output is traded compared to manufacturing which<br />

represents 15 % of <strong>EU</strong> value added. World services exports<br />

represented about 2 300 billion euro in 2009 (WTO, 2011).<br />

In absolute terms, this amounts to slightly more than<br />

a quarter of the 8 200 billion euro in merchandise and<br />

agricultural trade in 2009 (WTO, 2011). The analyses of<br />

trade in services in this section are based on a sample<br />

of 102 countries (see section IV.1.2 Services), accounting<br />

for 99 % of services trade in the world. This sample was<br />

used to estimate total world trade for all services and total<br />

word trade by type of service.<br />

Trade in services differs substantially from manufacturing<br />

trade, for example in transactions of products between<br />

different countries. A definition of trade in services<br />

and presentation of the different services industries<br />

participating in international trade is provided below,<br />

cf. Box IV.4. 69<br />

69 It should also be noted that the service ‘Royalties and licence fees’<br />

is not included in this report as it is not related to a special service<br />

activity.


Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

box IV.4: trade in services: definition, sectoral breakdown and<br />

measurement 70<br />

International trade in services involves transactions between residents and non‑residents of an economy. Services<br />

are less tradable than goods. As they are immediately consumed, they cannot be resold. For many services, the<br />

consumer and provider of the service have to be located at the same place.<br />

From a sectoral perspective, the main components of services activities are generally broken down into three<br />

categories grouping together 11 types of services sectors:<br />

1. Transportation<br />

2. Travel.<br />

3. Other services, including: communication services, construction services, insurance services, financial services,<br />

computer and information services, royalties and licence fees, other business services, personal, cultural and<br />

recreational services and government services<br />

There are four modes for the supply of services:<br />

‑ Mode 1 is cross‑border supply, where only the service crosses the border. The change of country can, for<br />

example, be via electronic communication (Internet, telephone, facsimile, etc.). The sectors characterised by<br />

cross‑border supply are: most of transportation, communication services, financial and insurance services,<br />

royalties and licence fees. Parts of certain sectors can involve cross‑border supply: part of computer and<br />

information services, part of other business services, and part of personal, cultural and recreational services.<br />

‑ Mode 2 is consumption abroad, when consumers cross the border. This is the case principally for tourism or<br />

business travel, when individuals go to hotels and restaurants. Part of transportation can also be counted as<br />

consumption abroad (supporting and auxiliary services for carriers in foreign ports).<br />

‑ Mode 3 is commercial presence, when suppliers (firms) cross the border to supply services. A foreign<br />

company will, for example, open branches or subsidiaries in the destination country. Some construction services<br />

involve commercial presence.<br />

‑ Mode 4 is the presence of natural persons when suppliers (natural persons) cross the border to supply<br />

services. An individual who is self‑employed (for example a consultant or a health worker) or an employee (for<br />

instance a construction worker) moves temporarily to the country of the consumer to supply services. This form<br />

of trade is found in the following sectors: part of the computer and information services sector, part of ‘other<br />

business services’, part of the personal, cultural and recreational services sector, and part of the construction<br />

services sector.<br />

In this report, there is a gap between the conceptual classification of trade in services and the data that were used<br />

from the balance of payments statistics. Data on trade in services are more deficient than data on trade in goods.<br />

There are practical difficulties that arise when capturing trade in services. It is complicated to separate goods and<br />

services in the balance of payments. As a result, the latter may be under‑recorded. Moreover, certain transactions<br />

falling under the four modes of supply are not accounted for in the balance of payments estimates of services trade.<br />

Cross‑border trade (Mode 1) is the mode of supply best covered by the balance of payments statistics. Mode 2 —<br />

consumption abroad — is generally well covered as it is represented by expenditures in tourism and business travel.<br />

Trade through commercial presence (mode 3) is accounted for through company surveys (foreign affiliates trade in<br />

services surveys), which are a different type of statistics. The balance of payments takes into account residency rather<br />

than nationality: a service is considered as traded if it takes place between residents and non‑residents. In the case<br />

of trade through commercial presence (mode 3), there are only residents of the country who are involved. Mode 4 —<br />

presence of natural persons — is also badly covered.<br />

70 For more background, see European Commission, United Nations, International Monetary Fund, Organisation for Economic Cooperation<br />

and Development, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, World Trade Organisation (2002) and WTO (2007).<br />

113


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

Before the results of analyses are presented it should be<br />

noted that the RCA measure for services trade cannot be<br />

114<br />

compared directly with the RCA measure for goods trade,<br />

cf. Box IV.5.<br />

box IV.5: differing interpretation of rca in manufacturing and services 71<br />

i Unlike manufacturing goods, services are not only supplied through cross‑border trade. There are other modes of<br />

supply, such as movements of consumers to producers, commercial presence abroad or movement of physical persons.<br />

ii Domestic polices rather than trade policies are more likely to have an impact on trade in services.<br />

iii Services supplied via factor movements are traded between residents and non‑residents in the same country<br />

and not between countries.<br />

As was discussed in section III.2, specialisation in services<br />

industries differs markedly between the Member States.<br />

Cyprus, Luxembourg and the UK have very strong revealed<br />

comparative advantages in financial services. Ireland,<br />

Luxembourg and the UK have high RCAs in insurance<br />

services. Ireland also has a high RCA in computer and<br />

information services together with Finland. As with<br />

manufacturing, the RCA measure is sensitive to the relative<br />

distribution of services industries in a country. In relatively<br />

small economies relatively large service industries which<br />

account for a large share of exports can give rise to high<br />

RCAs. This is the case for Cyprus and Malta with regard to<br />

financial services and personal, cultural and recreational<br />

services respectively, cf. Table IV.9. 72 71 72<br />

TAbLE IV.9: RCA in services activities in 2009: <strong>EU</strong> countries, US, Japan and brazil, China and Russia<br />

communi‑<br />

cation<br />

computer<br />

and infor‑<br />

mation<br />

construc‑<br />

tion<br />

Finance insurance<br />

Other<br />

business<br />

services<br />

personal,<br />

cultural<br />

and rec‑<br />

reational<br />

transpor‑<br />

tation<br />

Austria 1.17 0.63 0.88 0.26 0.94 1.08 0.45 0.80 1.52<br />

Belgium 2.00 0.91 0.63 0.52 0.68 1.61 0.67 0.97 0.54<br />

Bulgaria 1.30 0.40 2.02 0.07 0.82 0.37 0.70 0.73 2.31<br />

Cyprus 0.40 0.26 0.34 2.79 0.35 0.71 0.40 1.34 0.77<br />

Czech Republic 0.82 0.84 0.58 0.03 0.26 0.86 0.46 1.51 1.07<br />

Denmark 0.47 0.56 0.24 0.16 0.35 0.77 0.73 2.17 0.47<br />

travel<br />

>>><br />

71 See Langhammer (2004) for a detailed presentation.<br />

72 Personal, cultural and recreational services involve transactions<br />

in (i) audiovisual and related services and (ii) other personal,<br />

cultural and recreational services. Other personal, cultural and<br />

recreational services comprise services such as those associated<br />

with museums, libraries, archives, and other cultural, sporting,<br />

and recreational activities. Also included are fees for services,<br />

including provision of correspondence courses, rendered abroad<br />

by teachers or doctors. Construction services cover work performed<br />

on construction projects and installations by employees of an<br />

enterprise in locations outside the economic territory of the<br />

enterprise. Goods imported by the enterprise for use in the<br />

projects are included in the value of these services rather than<br />

under goods. Projects carried out by foreign subsidiaries or<br />

branches of enterprises (direct investors) and certain site offices<br />

are excluded because such projects are part of the production<br />

of the host economy. See http://stats.oecd.org/OECDStat_<br />

Metadata/ShowMetadata.ashx?Dataset=TIS&Coords=[SER].<br />

[287]&ShowOnWeb=true&Lang=en


communi‑<br />

cation<br />

computer<br />

and infor‑<br />

mation<br />

construc‑<br />

tion<br />

The <strong>EU</strong> has a relative comparative advantage in almost all the<br />

sectors analysed except personal, cultural and recreational,<br />

construction and travel. 73 The previous edition of <strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong><br />

<strong>structure</strong>, which based its findings on 2006 data, showed<br />

that the <strong>EU</strong> had the highest RCA in financial services of all<br />

countries. 2009 data shows that even though the <strong>EU</strong> still has<br />

73 As mentioned previously, trade deficits and indications that<br />

country does not have comparative advantages in a sector does<br />

not necessarily mean that it constitutes a problem. The RCA<br />

values below 1.0 for personal, cultural and recreational and travel<br />

services industries indicate that citizens in the <strong>EU</strong>-27 on average<br />

spend more money in third countries than third country tourists<br />

spend in the <strong>EU</strong>. The conclusion is that a relatively high standard<br />

of living allows people in the <strong>EU</strong>-27 to travel to third countries<br />

and spend money.<br />

Finance insurance<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

Other<br />

business<br />

services<br />

personal,<br />

cultural<br />

and rec‑<br />

reational<br />

transpor‑<br />

tation<br />

Estonia 1.30 0.51 1.17 0.15 0.08 0.62 0.21 1.93 0.77<br />

Finland 0.57 4.92 1.75 0.21 0.31 1.93 0.03 0.00 0.52<br />

France 1.12 0.16 1.41 0.17 0.20 0.80 1.01 1.37 1.26<br />

Germany 0.73 0.92 1.62 0.59 0.80 1.12 0.41 1.39 0.55<br />

Greece 0.30 0.12 0.23 0.04 0.33 0.14 0.33 2.36 1.10<br />

Hungary 0.91 0.93 0.66 0.12 0.04 0.95 4.49 1.16 1.15<br />

Ireland 0.33 6.54 0.00 1.21 5.15 1.30 0.00 0.00 0.24<br />

Italy 0.61 0.12 0.85 0.87 0.50 1.06 0.93 0.85 1.49<br />

Latvia 1.06 0.55 0.32 0.86 0.30 0.61 0.22 1.81 0.80<br />

Lithuania 1.11 0.18 0.59 0.14 0.00 0.30 0.37 1.97 1.25<br />

Luxembourg 2.22 0.30 0.26 7.86 2.26 0.51 1.60 0.19 0.29<br />

Malta 0.58 0.33 0.00 0.83 0.60 1.11 18.12 0.47 1.14<br />

Netherlands 2.08 1.20 1.14 0.20 0.28 1.48 0.83 1.02 0.61<br />

Poland 0.90 0.52 1.74 0.19 0.04 1.01 0.44 1.07 1.32<br />

Portugal 1.20 0.27 1.05 0.12 0.28 0.79 1.24 0.91 1.83<br />

Romania 3.62 1.73 1.77 0.24 0.22 1.14 0.72 1.07 0.54<br />

Slovak<br />

Republic<br />

1.40 0.78 0.67 0.67 0.50 0.56 0.77 1.08 1.60<br />

Slovenia 1.85 0.44 1.53 0.08 0.63 0.72 0.75 0.88 1.78<br />

Spain 0.69 0.84 1.15 0.50 0.65 0.95 1.24 0.52 1.86<br />

Sweden 1.46 2.11 0.32 0.32 0.81 1.60 0.86 0.63 0.80<br />

United<br />

Kingdom<br />

travel<br />

1.36 0.85 0.36 3.15 2.21 1.26 1.26 0.51 0.57<br />

<strong>EU</strong>‑27 1.07 1.09 0.90 1.12 1.07 1.07 0.88 0.97 0.90<br />

United States 0.99 0.58 0.58 1.89 1.60 0.91 3.17 0.57 1.32<br />

Japan 0.20 0.11 3.03 0.47 0.27 1.23 0.11 1.65 0.32<br />

Brazil 0.55 0.14 0.02 0.80 0.61 2.11 0.28 0.55 0.87<br />

China,P.R.:<br />

Mainland<br />

0.32 0.72 2.06 0.04 0.44 1.18 0.06 1.10 1.10<br />

India 0.56 7.74 0.27 0.45 0.64 0.53 0.44 0.77 0.47<br />

Russian<br />

Federation<br />

1.32 0.53 2.65 0.34 0.46 1.08 0.76 1.08 0.97<br />

Source: own calculations using IMF bops and OECD.<br />

a comparative advantage in financial services, the US now has<br />

the highest RCA in these services. US RCAs are even higher<br />

compared with the <strong>EU</strong> in personal, cultural and recreational<br />

services. Both the <strong>EU</strong> and the US appear to be quite diversified<br />

in their services trade. Japan appears to be highly specialised<br />

in trade of construction services as do China and Russia. India<br />

is highly specialised in computer and information services,<br />

an area where China differs radically. While China has strong<br />

comparative advantages in manufacturing radio, television<br />

and telecommunication equipment, it does not have any<br />

advantage in the services related to those manufacturing<br />

goods. Brazil exhibits high RCA values in other business<br />

services, cf. Figures IV.11 to IV.17.<br />

115


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE IV.11: <strong>EU</strong>-27 trade in services — RCA index in 2009<br />

116<br />

Transportation<br />

Personal, cultural and recreational<br />

Travel<br />

Communication<br />

1.2<br />

1.0<br />

0.8<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

Other business services Insurance<br />

Computer and information<br />

Finance<br />

Construction<br />

Note: The ‘radius 1’ circle is highlighted to aid identification of those sectors with a comparative advantage, which are located outside<br />

the circle.<br />

Source: own calculations using IMF bops.<br />

FIgURE IV.12: US trade in services — RCA index in 2009<br />

Transportation<br />

Personal, cultural and recreational<br />

Travel<br />

Communication<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

Other business services Insurance<br />

Computer and information<br />

Finance<br />

Construction<br />

Note: The ‘radius 1’ circle is highlighted to aid identification of those sectors with a comparative advantage, which are located outside<br />

the circle.<br />

Source: own calculations using IMF bops.


FIgURE IV.13: Japan trade in services — RCA index in 2009<br />

Transportation<br />

Personal, cultural and recreational<br />

Travel<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

Communication<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

Other business services Insurance<br />

Computer and information<br />

Finance<br />

Construction<br />

Note: The ‘radius 1’ circle is highlighted to aid identification of those sectors with a comparative advantage, which are located outside<br />

the circle.<br />

Source: own calculations using IMF bops.<br />

FIgURE IV.14: brazil trade in services — RCA index in 2009<br />

Transportation<br />

Personal, cultural and recreational<br />

Travel<br />

Communication<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

Other business services Insurance<br />

Computer and information<br />

Finance<br />

Construction<br />

Note: The ‘radius 1’ circle is highlighted to aid identification of those sectors with a comparative advantage, which are located outside<br />

the circle.<br />

Source: own calculations using IMF bops.<br />

117


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE IV.15: China trade in services — RCA index in 2009<br />

118<br />

Transportation<br />

Personal, cultural and recreational<br />

Travel<br />

Communication<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

Other business services Insurance<br />

Computer and information<br />

Finance<br />

Construction<br />

Note: The ‘radius 1’ circle is highlighted to aid identification of those sectors with a comparative advantage, which are located outside<br />

the circle.<br />

Source: own calculations using IMF bops.<br />

FIgURE IV.16: India trade in services — RCA index in 2009<br />

Transportation<br />

Personal, cultural and recreational<br />

Travel<br />

Communication<br />

8<br />

Other business services Insurance<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

Computer and information<br />

Finance<br />

Construction<br />

Note: The ‘radius 1’ circle is highlighted to aid identification of those sectors with a comparative advantage, which are located outside<br />

the circle.<br />

Source: own calculations using IMF bops


FIgURE IV.17: Russia trade in services — RCA index in 2009<br />

Transportation<br />

Personal, cultural and recreational<br />

Travel<br />

Communication<br />

3.0<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

Other business services Insurance<br />

Computer and information<br />

Finance<br />

Construction<br />

Note: The ‘radius 1’ circle is highlighted to aid identification of those sectors with a comparative advantage, which are located outside<br />

the circle.<br />

Source: own calculations using IMF bops.<br />

IV.3 Intra-industry trade<br />

Trade was analysed for broad categories of products in<br />

the previous section. Part of international trade consists<br />

in countries exchanging products (inter‑industry trade)<br />

reflecting relative different factor (labour and capital)<br />

endowments and technology. Countries which are relatively<br />

endowed with capital tend to trade capital intensive goods<br />

in exchange for labour intensive goods from countries<br />

which are relatively well endowed with labour: for example,<br />

pharmaceuticals for textiles or motor cars for food. In<br />

section IV.1, the international trade network was presented<br />

in terms of trade flows between geographic regions.<br />

However, a large proportion of trade comprises exchange<br />

of similar goods between countries which have comparable<br />

levels of income, such as different brands of cars and clothes.<br />

This type of trade, intra‑industry trade (IIT) is explained<br />

by factors such as economies of scale and demand for<br />

differentiated products, rather than by relative factor<br />

endowments. As demand for differentiated products and<br />

varieties of different qualities tend to rise with income,<br />

per capita incomes of countries play an important role in<br />

determining trade patterns.<br />

About 53 % of world trade occurs between countries in<br />

the groups composed of the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 and other high‑income<br />

countries. If upper‑medium countries are included, this share<br />

rises to almost 70 %. While trade between different types of<br />

countries (e.g. high and upper‑medium income countries on<br />

the one hand and low and low‑medium income countries<br />

on the other) can be expected to involve goods produced<br />

with differences in factor intensities, the exchange of<br />

goods between high‑income countries suggests a different<br />

pattern of trade. However, IIT also involves trade between<br />

high‑income and lower‑income countries as well as between<br />

the lower‑income countries themselves, cf. Table IV.10. 74<br />

74 The classification by income level that was used is the one from<br />

the World Bank. The country groups are: High non‑<strong>EU</strong>: Australia,<br />

Bahamas, Bahrain, Brunei Darussalam, Canada, Croatia, China,<br />

Hong Kong SAR, Iceland, Israel, Japan, Rep. of Korea, Kuwait, China,<br />

Macao SAR, Oman, Neth. Antilles, New Zealand, Norway, Qatar,<br />

Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Switzerland, United Arab Emirates, USA.<br />

Upper‑medium: Algeria, Argentina, Bosnia Herzegovina, Botswana,<br />

Brazil, Belarus, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominican Rep.,<br />

Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Jamaica, Kazakhstan, Lebanon, Libya,<br />

Malaysia, Mauritius, Mexico, Montenegro, Namibia, Panama, Russian<br />

Federation, Serbia, South Africa, Suriname, Trinidad and Tobago,<br />

Turkey, TFYR of Macedonia, Uruguay, Venezuela. Low‑medium:<br />

Albania, Angola, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Bolivia, Belize, Cameroon,<br />

Cape Verde, Sri Lanka, China, Ecuador, El Salvador, Djibouti,<br />

Georgia, Guatemala, Honduras, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Côte d’Ivoire,<br />

Jordan, Lesotho, Maldives, Mongolia, Rep. of Moldova, Morocco,<br />

Nicaragua, Nigeria, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Timor-Leste, India,<br />

Swaziland, Syria, Thailand, Tunisia, Ukraine, Egypt. Low: Afghanistan,<br />

Bangladesh, Bhutan, Myanmar, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African<br />

Rep., Chad, Comoros, Congo, Dem. Rep. of the Congo, Benin,<br />

Ethiopia, Eritrea, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Haiti, Kenya, Dem.<br />

People’s Rep. of Korea, Kyrgyzstan, Lao People’s Dem. Rep., Liberia,<br />

Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Nepal, Niger,<br />

Pakistan, Guinea-Bissau, Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Viet Nam,<br />

Somalia, Zimbabwe, Sudan, Tajikistan, Togo, Uganda, United Rep. of<br />

Tanzania, Burkina Faso, Uzbekistan, Yemen, Zambia.<br />

119


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

TAbLE IV.10: Manufactured products - World trade matrix, income level: exports in 2009 (%)<br />

Export Eu‑27<br />

120<br />

high<br />

income<br />

non Eu‑27<br />

upper<br />

medium<br />

income<br />

destination<br />

low<br />

medium<br />

income<br />

low<br />

income<br />

Origin <strong>EU</strong>‑27 26.9 7.3 3.3 2.9 0.4 40.6<br />

High income non <strong>EU</strong>‑27 6.3 12.8 3.9 7.5 0.6 31.1<br />

Upper medium income 3.4 4.3 1.5 2.1 0.3 11.5<br />

Low medium income 3.3 8.2 1.7 1.9 0.9 16.0<br />

Low income 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.0<br />

world<br />

World 39.8 33.1 10.4 14.6 2.2 100.0<br />

Note: Due to rounding, certain columns or rows do not add up to 100 %. The matrix is calculated from export data. It refers exclusively<br />

to manufactured products, so it does not include crude oil and other products from mining and quarrying. The values in each cell are<br />

percentage shares of total world trade. The main diagonal in the matrix (shaded cells) represents intra‑region trade (e.g. exports from <strong>EU</strong><br />

countries to <strong>EU</strong> countries). Each cell shows the share of total world exports which are exported from an exporter to a certain destination.<br />

For example, Upper medium income countries’ exports to <strong>EU</strong>‑27 accounts for 3.4 % of total world exports and total Upper median income<br />

countries’ exports accounts for 11.5 % of total world exports.<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.<br />

When intra‑regional <strong>EU</strong> trade is excluded from the data,<br />

the largest share of <strong>EU</strong>‑27 trade (both exports and imports)<br />

takes place with high income countries. Some 53 % of<br />

extra‑<strong>EU</strong> exports go to other high‑income countries,<br />

and 56 % of imports originate from high‑income countries<br />

towards the <strong>EU</strong>. However, 21 % of extra‑<strong>EU</strong> exports go to<br />

low‑medium income countries, and 18% of <strong>EU</strong> imports also<br />

originate from these countries, cf. Tables IV.11 and IV.12.<br />

TAbLE IV.11: Manufactured products - World trade matrix income level: destination of exports in 2009 (%)<br />

Export Eu‑27<br />

high<br />

income non<br />

Eu‑27<br />

upper<br />

medium<br />

income<br />

destination<br />

low<br />

medium<br />

income<br />

low income world<br />

Origin <strong>EU</strong>‑27 0.0 52.8 23.9 20.8 2.6 100.0<br />

High income non <strong>EU</strong>‑27 34.5 0.0 21.1 41.0 3.4 100.0<br />

Upper medium income 33.7 43.0 0.0 20.6 3.1 100.0<br />

Low medium income 23.2 58.5 12.3 0.0 6.1 100.0<br />

Low income 15.8 47.3 8.9 28.0 0.0 100.0<br />

Note: Due to rounding, certain columns or rows do not add up to 100 %. The matrix is calculated from export data. It refers exclusively to<br />

manufactured products, so it does not include crude oil and other products from mining and quarrying. The main diagonal in the matrix<br />

(shaded cells) shows that intra‑regional trade (e.g. exports from <strong>EU</strong> countries to <strong>EU</strong> countries) is excluded in this table. Exporters are<br />

shown in rows and destination markets in columns. Each cell shows the share of total exports from an exporter to a certain destination.<br />

For example, 33.7 % of Upper medium income countries’ exports are destined for <strong>EU</strong>‑27.<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.


Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

TAbLE IV.12: Manufactured products - World trade matrix — income level: import destination in 2009 (%)<br />

import Eu‑27<br />

high income<br />

non Eu‑27<br />

destination<br />

upper medium<br />

income<br />

low medium<br />

income<br />

low<br />

income<br />

Origin <strong>EU</strong>‑27 0.0 38.0 36.1 27.4 26.8<br />

High income non <strong>EU</strong>‑27 55.7 0.0 43.7 57.1 39.8<br />

Upper medium income 24.2 21.1 0.0 12.8 9.1<br />

Low medium income 18.3 37.5 18.9 0.0 24.3<br />

Low income 1.8 3.5 1.9 2.8 0.0<br />

World 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0<br />

Note: Due to rounding, certain columns or rows do not add up to 100 %. The matrix is calculated from import data. It refers exclusively to<br />

manufactured products, so it does not include crude oil and other products from mining and quarrying. Detailed export data from India<br />

were not available for 2008 in the chosen trade classification (HS2007). Exporters are shown in rows and destination markets in columns.<br />

Each cell shows the share of total imports for a certain country from an exporting country. For example, 36.1 % of Upper medium income<br />

countries’ imports origin in the <strong>EU</strong>‑27. The last row sums up each exporting country’s share for every importing country.<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.<br />

The most widely used measure of intra‑industry trade (IIT)<br />

is the Grubel‑Lloyd (GL) index. The GL index is sensitive<br />

to the level of aggregation of industries or products: the<br />

higher the level of aggregation of industries, the higher<br />

the GL index. 75 The reason for this property of the GL index<br />

is that the absolute value of net trade when the industries<br />

are defined on a higher level of aggregation, e.g. 4‑digit,<br />

box IV.6: Intra-industry trade<br />

75 Put differently, the higher the number of industries (products),<br />

the lower the value of the GL index.<br />

is equal to or less than the sum of the absolute values<br />

of net trade when the industries are defined on a lower<br />

level of aggregation, e.g. 6‑digit. For example, net trade<br />

with different signs on the lower level of aggregation can<br />

cancel out at the higher level of aggregation. The index<br />

ranges from 0 (no IIT) to 1 (all trade is intra‑industry),<br />

cf. Box IV.6.<br />

The GL index for product ‘i’ (where X and M stand for exports and imports, respectively) is defined as follows:<br />

The GL index can be defined across products as follows:<br />

121


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

Applying the GL index for <strong>EU</strong>‑27 trade in manufactured<br />

products with four groups of countries, classified by<br />

income level, shows that the value of the GL index increases<br />

with the level of income of the trade partner. 76 The GL<br />

index is 0.09 for trade with low‑income countries, 0.26 for<br />

trade with low‑medium income countries, 0.30 for trade<br />

76 The classification by income level that was used is the one from<br />

the World Bank. The country groups are: High non‑<strong>EU</strong>: Australia,<br />

Bahamas, Bahrain, Brunei Darussalam, Canada, Croatia, China,<br />

Hong Kong SAR, Iceland, Israel, Japan, Rep. of Korea, Kuwait,<br />

China, Macao SAR, Oman, Neth. Antilles, New Zealand, Norway,<br />

Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Switzerland, United Arab Emirates,<br />

USA. Upper‑medium: Algeria, Argentina, Bosnia Herzegovina,<br />

Botswana, Brazil, Belarus, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba,<br />

Dominican Rep., Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Jamaica, Kazakhstan,<br />

Lebanon, Libya, Malaysia, Mauritius, Mexico, Montenegro,<br />

Namibia, Panama, Russian Federation, Serbia, South Africa,<br />

Suriname, Trinidad and Tobago, Turkey, TFYR of Macedonia,<br />

Uruguay, Venezuela. Low‑medium: Albania, Angola, Azerbaijan,<br />

Armenia, Bolivia, Belize, Cameroon, Cape Verde, Sri Lanka, China,<br />

Ecuador, El Salvador, Djibouti, Georgia, Guatemala, Honduras,<br />

Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Côte d’Ivoire, Jordan, Lesotho, Maldives,<br />

Mongolia, Rep. of Moldova, Morocco, Nicaragua, Nigeria,<br />

Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Timor-Leste, India, Swaziland, Syria,<br />

Thailand, Tunisia, Ukraine, Egypt. Low: Afghanistan, Bangladesh,<br />

Bhutan, Myanmar, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Rep.,<br />

Chad, Comoros, Congo, Dem. Rep. of the Congo, Benin, Ethiopia,<br />

Eritrea, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Haiti, Kenya, Dem. People’s Rep.<br />

of Korea, Kyrgyzstan, Lao People’s Dem. Rep., Liberia, Madagascar,<br />

Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Nepal, Niger, Pakistan,<br />

Guinea-Bissau, Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Viet Nam, Somalia,<br />

Zimbabwe, Sudan, Tajikistan, Togo, Uganda, United Rep. of<br />

Tanzania, Burkina Faso, Uzbekistan, Yemen, Zambia.<br />

122<br />

with upper‑medium income countries, and 0.61 for<br />

trade with high‑income countries. This shows that trade<br />

with <strong>industrial</strong>ised countries has a large component<br />

of intra‑industry trade, while trade with lower‑income<br />

countries has a large component of inter‑industry trade,<br />

cf. Figure IV.18.<br />

FIgURE IV.18: grubel-Lloyd index by income level of <strong>EU</strong>-27 trade partner in 2009<br />

Grybel-Lloyd index in 2009<br />

0.7<br />

0.6<br />

0.5<br />

0.4<br />

0.3<br />

0.2<br />

0.1<br />

0.0<br />

Low income<br />

Low medium income<br />

Trade partners country groups<br />

Upper medium income<br />

Note: calculations based on a sample of 5 050 6‑digit products from HS2007 classification.<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.<br />

High income non <strong>EU</strong>-27


IV.4 The role of technology in <strong>EU</strong><br />

sectoral trade<br />

Analysing trade performance in the four technology categories<br />

for individual MS shows that Cyprus, Hungary, Ireland and<br />

Malta have the highest revealed comparative advantages<br />

in high technology products. 77 Conversely, Greece, Latvia<br />

and Portugal exhibit high RCA’s in low technology products.<br />

Caution is needed when studying RCA’s for individual countries<br />

as small countries with small manufacturing industries can<br />

have high RCA’s due to a few relatively large firms which export<br />

large shares of their production.<br />

77 The taxonomy used in section III.2.2 was adapted to trade<br />

product categories.<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

The RCA’s for different technology categories do not<br />

differ significantly for the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 which has a slightly<br />

higher RCA in trade with medium‑high technology<br />

products. Notwithstanding the high RCAs of certain<br />

individual <strong>EU</strong> countries, the US has the highest RCA<br />

index in high and medium‑high technology products in<br />

comparison with the <strong>EU</strong> as a whole and Japan or the BRIC<br />

countries. Japan’s comparative advantage is particularly<br />

strong in medium‑high technology products. China<br />

has a dual <strong>structure</strong>, with a high RCA in both high‑ and<br />

low‑technology products while Russia only has a RCA<br />

larger than one in trade with medium‑low technology<br />

products, cf. Table IV.13.<br />

TAbLE IV.13: RCA by technology category in 2009: <strong>EU</strong> countries, US, Japan and brazil, China, India and<br />

Russia<br />

high tech medium high tech medium low tech low tech<br />

Austria 0.54 1.14 1.02 1.20<br />

Belgium 0.97 1.06 0.92 1.02<br />

Bulgaria 0.36 0.59 1.75 1.65<br />

Cyprus 1.70 0.73 0.51 1.43<br />

Czech Rep. 0.85 1.22 0.95 0.75<br />

Denmark 0.52 0.97 0.93 1.75<br />

Estonia 0.30 0.82 1.48 1.58<br />

Finland 0.69 0.97 1.07 1.35<br />

France 1.07 1.07 0.78 1.08<br />

Germany 0.76 1.39 0.77 0.75<br />

Greece 0.66 0.50 1.45 1.90<br />

Hungary 1.60 1.11 0.56 0.62<br />

Ireland 2.05 1.11 0.14 0.66<br />

Italy 0.38 1.12 1.14 1.28<br />

Latvia 0.60 0.58 1.13 2.22<br />

Lithuania 0.23 0.74 1.67 1.57<br />

Luxembourg 0.41 0.68 1.86 1.23<br />

Malta 2.66 0.50 0.50 0.80<br />

Netherlands 1.08 0.89 0.92 1.27<br />

Poland 0.57 1.03 1.22 1.14<br />

Portugal 0.33 0.84 1.09 2.06<br />

Romania 0.46 1.04 1.22 1.26<br />

Slovakia 1.07 1.03 1.09 0.72<br />

Slovenia 0.62 1.25 1.04 0.86<br />

Spain 0.49 1.18 0.93 1.31<br />

Sweden 0.86 1.01 0.97 1.19<br />

United<br />

Kingdom<br />

1.10 1.10 0.88 0.82<br />

<strong>EU</strong>‑27 0.84 1.14 0.89 1.03<br />

Japan 0.81 1.49 0.97 0.18<br />

USA 0.93 1.25 0.89 0.68<br />

Brazil 0.39 0.71 0.95 2.45<br />

China 1.49 0.67 0.88 1.30<br />

India 0.41 0.51 2.06 1.33<br />

Russia 0.08 0.46 2.97 0.60<br />

Source: own calculations using Comtrade data.<br />

123


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

IV.5 Trade in intermediate goods<br />

This section aims at providing information about how the<br />

globalisation process and increased trade in intermediate<br />

goods have impacted on the trade performance of <strong>EU</strong><br />

industries. This is analysed in two ways. First, the extent<br />

of imported intermediates in exports for countries and<br />

industries is analysed. This is followed by analysis of the<br />

competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing in intermediate trade.<br />

The <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing industry is compared with those of<br />

the BRIC countries, Japan and the USA.<br />

A distinct feature of the increased globalisation is the<br />

fragmentation of firms’ value chains and establishment of<br />

cross‑border networks by an increasing number of firms.<br />

This implies that imports and exports move together, since<br />

companies’ production process are increasingly characterised<br />

124<br />

box IV.7: Vertical specialisation<br />

by sequential production in different locations depending on<br />

the comparative advantages of the locations. An increasing<br />

share of firms’ exports is composed of imports: for example,<br />

it is no longer valid to label a product which is exported from<br />

the UK as ‘Made in UK’ since the production of components<br />

and services needed to produce the product has taken place<br />

in many locations across the world. The concept ‘vertical<br />

specialisation’ [Hummels et al. (2001)] which is a measure of<br />

the import content of exports, has been proposed to gauge<br />

this feature of trade with intermediate goods.<br />

The concept of vertical specialisation concerns both imports<br />

and exports of goods between at least three countries.<br />

Intermediates are imported in one country from a source<br />

country and used in the production of further intermediate<br />

goods or final goods which are exported to a destination<br />

country, cf. Box IV.7.<br />

When an industry i in country k uses imported inputs to produce an exported good, vertical specialisation VS is ki<br />

defined as: 78<br />

Vertical specialisation for a country k equals the sum of VS for all i, VS = Σ VS . Relating it to exports yields vertical<br />

k i ki<br />

specialisation share of total exports for a country: 79<br />

VS share of total exports for country k =<br />

where X denotes exports. 80<br />

78 Hummels et. at. (2001) p. 78.<br />

79 The concept ‘import content of exports’ is sometimes used to describe the same phenomena, OECD (2010).<br />

80 See Hummels et. al. (2001) p. 79 for details. It is shown that vertical specialisation for a country k is an export-weighed average of the sector<br />

vertical specialisation export shares. The equivalent matrix notation of the expression above is uAM[I — AD] -1 X/X k, where u is a vector of 1’s,<br />

AM is the n x n imported coefficient matrix, I is the identity matrix, AD is the n x n domestic coefficient matrix, X is n x 1 vector of exports,<br />

Xk is total country exports and n is the number of sectors. In order to calculate the shares for sectors, X is replaced by a n x n vector with<br />

sector exports in the diagonal and zeros elsewhere. See OECD (2010) for details.


The import dependence of exports, vertical specialisation<br />

share of total exports, increased in almost all OECD<br />

countries between 1995 and 2005. Vertical specialisation is<br />

most pronounced in small countries depending on imports<br />

for intermediate goods and countries hosting a large<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

number of multinational firms. Relatively small <strong>EU</strong> countries<br />

such as Estonia, Hungary and Ireland show high import<br />

dependencies of exports compared to France, Germany and<br />

the UK, cf. Figure IV.19.<br />

FIgURE IV.19: Vertical specialisation of exports by country in 1995 and 2005 (%)<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Luxembourg<br />

Hungary<br />

Estonia<br />

Ireland<br />

Slovak Republic<br />

Czech Republic<br />

Slovenia<br />

Belgium<br />

Portugal<br />

Korea<br />

Mexico<br />

Finland<br />

Netherlands<br />

Denmark<br />

Austria<br />

Spain<br />

Sweden<br />

Source: OECD (2010). OECD Economic Globalisation Indicators.<br />

Vertical specialisation as share of total industry<br />

exports increased in almost all <strong>EU</strong> industries<br />

between 1995 and 2005. Vertical specialisation is more<br />

pronounced in basic <strong>EU</strong> industries which use a relatively<br />

large share of primary goods such as coke and refined<br />

petroleum, basic metals and chemicals. Also more<br />

knowledge‑intensive industries, such as motor vehicles,<br />

radio, television and communication equipment industries,<br />

where parts and components are produced before they are<br />

exported to another country for assembly into final goods,<br />

show high degrees of vertical specialisation. The extent of<br />

Poland<br />

Italy<br />

Romania<br />

China<br />

Canada<br />

Germany<br />

Greece<br />

France<br />

OECD<br />

Turkey<br />

Chile<br />

United Kingdom<br />

New Zealand<br />

Israel<br />

Indonesia<br />

South Africa<br />

Norway<br />

Japan<br />

Brazil<br />

Australia<br />

Russian<br />

Federation<br />

India<br />

United States<br />

vertical specialisation is considerably lower in <strong>EU</strong> service<br />

industries, cf. Figure IV.20. 81<br />

81 Due to data constraints it was not possible to calculate<br />

vertical specialisation for the same years for all countries.<br />

Input-output tables for 1995 and 2005 were used for Austria,<br />

Belgium, Italy, Portugal, Spain and Sweden. Input-output<br />

tables for 1995 and 2007 were used for Denmark, Finland,<br />

France, Germany and Netherlands. Input-output tables<br />

for 1996 and 2005 were used for Slovenia. Input-output tables<br />

for 1997 and 2005 were used for Estonia. Input-output tables<br />

for 1998 and 2005 were used for Hungary and Ireland.<br />

125


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE IV.20: Import content of exports for 15 <strong>EU</strong> countries in 1995 and 2005 (%)<br />

126<br />

Education services<br />

Real estate services<br />

Membership organisation services n.e.c.<br />

Collected and puried water<br />

Other services<br />

Retail trade services<br />

Public administration and defence services<br />

Health and social work services<br />

Services auxiliary to nancial intermediation<br />

Sewage and refuse disposal services<br />

Financial intermediation services<br />

Insurance and pension funding services<br />

Hotel and restaurant services<br />

Other business services<br />

Recreational, cultural and sporting services<br />

Crude petroleum and natural gas<br />

Forestry<br />

Renting services of machinery and equipment<br />

Wholesale trade<br />

Computer and related services<br />

Post and telecommunication services<br />

Research and development services<br />

Construction work<br />

Trade, maintenance and repair services of motor vehicles and motorcycles<br />

Land transport<br />

Secondary raw materials<br />

Fishing products<br />

Agriculture and hunting<br />

Other mining and quarrying products<br />

Metal ores<br />

Supporting and auxiliary transport services<br />

Electrical energy, gas, steam and hot water<br />

Coal and lignite<br />

Printed matter and recorded media<br />

Other non-metallic mineral products<br />

Tobacco products<br />

Wood and products of wood and cork<br />

Food products and beverages<br />

Other manufactured goods n.e.c.<br />

Medical, precision and optical instruments<br />

Fabricated metal products<br />

Machinery and equipment n.e.c.<br />

Pulp, paper and paper products<br />

Water transport<br />

Other transport equipment<br />

Textiles<br />

Leather and leather products<br />

Air transport<br />

Rubber and plastic products<br />

Wearing apparel<br />

Chemicals<br />

Electrical machinery and apparatus n.e.c.<br />

Basic metals<br />

Oce machinery and computers<br />

Radio, television and communication equipment<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Coke, rened petroleum products and nuclear fuels<br />

Vertical specialisation 1995<br />

Vertical specialisation 2005<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60<br />

Note: due to lack of data is was only possible to calculate vertical specialisation between 1995 and 2005 for 15 <strong>EU</strong> countries. The 15 <strong>EU</strong><br />

countries are: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Ireland, Netherlands, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain<br />

and Sweden. The calculations are based on input‑output tables.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.


The calculations of vertical specialisation assume that all<br />

imports originate in other countries and do not take into<br />

account that parts of imports may consist of products that<br />

originally are domestic. If, for example, Spain imports an<br />

electronic good and a component in that good previously<br />

was produced and exported from Spain, Spanish imports of<br />

TAbLE IV.14: Indicators of RCA for manufactured goods in 2000 and 2009<br />

that good appear as larger than they actually are. This then<br />

overestimates the vertical specialisation for Spain. 82<br />

Considering that an industry’s exports may include a large<br />

proportion of imports, the validity of the traditional way to<br />

measure the external competitiveness of industries must be<br />

in doubt. The RCA‑indices presented above do not take into<br />

account that a large part of the exports can be produced in<br />

another location.<br />

Competitiveness is assessed below using an adjusted<br />

measure of revealed comparative advantages (RCA). The<br />

adjusted RCA measures are calculated for different types<br />

of goods defined according to the basic classes of goods<br />

in the system of national accounts (SNA): intermediate<br />

goods, capital goods, consumer goods and goods not<br />

else classified (goods n.e.c.). 83 The adjusted RCA measures<br />

are calculated for both exports and imports. Especially<br />

interesting is the measure for imports of intermediates<br />

which shows whether a country has comparative advantage<br />

of assembly. 84<br />

82 Kommerskollegium (2010). See also Hummels et. al. (2001) for<br />

a more detailed discussion.<br />

83 The categories of goods in SNA consist of aggregation of the<br />

goods classified according to the Broad Economic Category (BEC)<br />

classification. BEC consists of seven types of goods: consumer<br />

goods, capital goods, <strong>industrial</strong> supplies, fuels, transport<br />

equipment, food and beverages and goods not elsewhere<br />

specified.<br />

84 See OECD (2010) and Ng and Yeats (1999) for discussions of these<br />

RCA measures.<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

Beginning with the very broad categories of manufactured<br />

goods, China is the only country without comparative<br />

advantage in intermediate exports. Chinese and<br />

Indian industries seem to be dependent on imports of<br />

intermediate goods which are indicated by the high RCA<br />

indicator for intermediate imports, cf. Table IV.14.<br />

intermediate goods consumption goods capital goods goods nec<br />

Exports imports Exports imports Exports imports Exports imports<br />

2000 2009 2000 2009 2000 2009 2000 2009 2000 2009 2000 2009 2000 2009 2000 2009<br />

Eu‑27 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.7 1.7 1.0 0.9 1.8 1.6 1.1 1.2<br />

Brazil 1.5 1.7 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.2 0.7 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.6<br />

china 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.1 1.2 2.3 1.0 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3<br />

india 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 0. 5 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.3<br />

Japan 1.4 1.5 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.2 2.3 2.0 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4<br />

russia 2.3 2.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 1.3 1.6 0.3 0.2 1.2 1.5 0.1 0.8 0.2 1.0<br />

usa 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 1.2 1.3 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 2.4 1.8 1.3<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.<br />

In the table above, very broad categories of manufactured<br />

goods were analysed. While these aggregates provide<br />

some useful information regarding specialisation patterns<br />

across countries, the aggregates necessarily mean that<br />

industry differences are hidden. Looking more closely<br />

at a disaggregation of intermediate goods allows for<br />

separation of manufactured goods into a classification<br />

according to technological intensity. Of the BRIC countries,<br />

only China seems to have comparative advantages in<br />

exports of high‑tech intermediate exports. The high RCAs<br />

for imports indicate that China also has comparative<br />

advantages in the assembly of intermediate goods in<br />

medium high‑tech and high‑tech industries. 85 However,<br />

the <strong>EU</strong>, Japan and the US also have comparative advantages<br />

in assembling high‑tech goods, although not to the same<br />

extent. The results in the table below are therefore not<br />

conclusive on this point, cf. Table IV.15.<br />

85<br />

where int denotes intermediate goods, i industry and c country.<br />

See Ng and Yeats (1999) and OECD (2010) for a discussion of this<br />

indicator.<br />

127


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

TAbLE IV.15: Indicators of RCA for intermediate goods according to technological intensity in 2009<br />

Exports imports<br />

low medium medium high low medium medium high<br />

tech low tech high tech tech tech low tech high tech tech<br />

Brazil 2.4 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.0<br />

china 1.5 0.7 0.7 1.6 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.4<br />

Eu‑27 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.8 1.1<br />

india 1.1 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.6 1.4 1.0 0.8<br />

Japan 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.0 1.6 0.8 0.8 1.0<br />

russia 0.2 2.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 0.7 1.2 0.8<br />

usa 0.7 1.0 1.3 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.2<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.<br />

Even though the results in the table above are based on less<br />

aggregated data than in table IV.14, these aggregates also<br />

mask industry differences. There are differences even within<br />

industries, as different firms produce different varieties of<br />

goods. These varieties may not be substitutes if they differ<br />

in terms of quality: one way to analyse this is by looking<br />

at unit values. Unit values, trade values divided by trade<br />

volumes, are often used as indicators of price and qualities<br />

of different goods. The rationale is that countries exporting<br />

at higher unit values offer higher quality products. Unit<br />

values should, however, be used with caution. Unit values<br />

are imprecise measures of quality since high values could<br />

be the results of higher prices for similar products, higher<br />

quality or merely a larger share of products with higher unit<br />

values. The imprecise nature of this measure increases with<br />

the level of aggregation that unit values are calculated for. 86<br />

86 See OECD (2011) for a more detailed discussion.<br />

128<br />

Relative unit values for each country have been calculated by<br />

division of the countries’ unit values for industries in different<br />

technological intensities by unit values for world exports and<br />

imports for corresponding industries. Unit values above one<br />

indicate a relatively high quality of products. <strong>EU</strong>‑27, Japan<br />

and US exports seem to be of higher quality than BRIC<br />

country exports: Chinese exports of medium low‑tech goods<br />

and Indian low‑tech goods are exceptions. The very high unit<br />

values of Chinese imports of high‑tech goods stand out in<br />

the table. Chinese imports of high tech goods are apparently<br />

relatively expensive and of high quality. The result confirms<br />

the findings from the table above, indicating that China has<br />

a comparative advantage in assembly of high‑tech goods,<br />

cf. Table IV.16.<br />

TAbLE IV.16: Export and import unit values of intermediates according to technological intensity in 2009<br />

Exports imports<br />

low medium medium high low medium medium high<br />

tech low tech high tech tech tech low tech high tech tech<br />

Brazil 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.9<br />

china 0.4 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.9 0.8 3.5<br />

Eu‑27 2.3 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.5 0.9 1.2 1.4<br />

india 2.9 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.3 0.7<br />

Japan 2.5 1.3 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.0 1.6 1.5<br />

russia 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.5 1.3 0.9<br />

usa 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.6 2.0 0.9 1.6 2.0<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.<br />

The OECD (2011) presents more detailed analyses which<br />

confirm this picture. Half of the exports of high income<br />

countries such as the US, Japan, Germany and France are<br />

exports in the high quality range while some 20 % to 30 %<br />

of the exports of China and other emerging countries are in<br />

the high quality range. This latter group of countries export<br />

relatively more of lower quality exports. 87<br />

87 See OECD (2011).


IV.6 International movement of<br />

factors of production<br />

iv61 Fdi<br />

The globalisation of economic activity shows itself not<br />

only in increased trade but also in increased foreign direct<br />

investment (FDI) which displayed a higher growth than<br />

trade for at least the last 15 years. 88 FDI is undertaken by<br />

multinational enterprises (MNEs which can be said to<br />

be either vertically or horizontally integrated. Vertically<br />

integrated MNEs undertake FDI in order to acquire<br />

a supplier or raw materials (backwards integration) or<br />

distributors of the product (forwards integration). The main<br />

motive for vertical integration is to reap the benefits of<br />

comparative advantages of different locations for parts of<br />

the MNE production processes. Horizontal integration often<br />

88 OECD (2010). OECD Globalisation indicators.<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

implies duplication of the firms’ activities, i.e. localisation<br />

of the same parts of the production process in different<br />

countries. For the host country, FDI is a source of foreign<br />

capital. The local economy often also benefits from the<br />

import of knowledge transfer, such as new management<br />

techniques and more sophisticated technologies, as well<br />

as easier access to international financial markets and<br />

products. 89<br />

FIgURE IV.21: Outward <strong>EU</strong> foreign direct investment stock in 2007<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

The stocks of both inward and outward <strong>EU</strong> FDI are<br />

concentrated in the financial and real estate sectors.<br />

The high share of FDI in the financial sector in 2007 is<br />

the result of the internationalisation of financial firms. In<br />

absolute terms, financial intermediation, real estate and<br />

business activities represent almost two thirds of overall<br />

outward <strong>EU</strong> FDI stock and more than two thirds of inward<br />

<strong>EU</strong> stock of foreign direct investment, cf. Figures IV.21<br />

and IV.22.<br />

89 Eurostat (2007b).<br />

Financial intermediation<br />

Real estate and business activities<br />

Telecommunications<br />

Manufacture of chemicals and chemicals products<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Wholesale trade<br />

Extraction of petroleum and gas<br />

Other<br />

129


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

FIgURE IV.22: Inward <strong>EU</strong> Foreign direct investment stock in 2007<br />

130<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Source: own calculations using COMTRADE data.<br />

Intra‑<strong>EU</strong> FDI illustrates the achievements of the single<br />

market in the <strong>EU</strong>. Overall, about 62 % of inward <strong>EU</strong> FDI stock<br />

originates from other MS. More than two thirds of inward <strong>EU</strong><br />

FDI is owned by MNEs in the following sectors: real estate,<br />

FIgURE IV.23: Share of the inward <strong>EU</strong> FDI stock owned by <strong>EU</strong> firms in 2007<br />

Real estate<br />

Hotels and restaurants<br />

Trade and repair of motor vehicles<br />

Telecommunications<br />

Retail trade<br />

Rubber and plastic products<br />

Other business activities<br />

Supporting and auxiliary transport activities; activities of travel agencies<br />

Financial intermediation<br />

Wholesale trade<br />

Total<br />

Textiles and wearing apparel<br />

Oce machinery and computers<br />

Recreational, cultural and sporting activities<br />

Research and development<br />

Computer activities<br />

Air transport<br />

Agriculture and shing<br />

Electricity, gas and water<br />

Food products<br />

Construction<br />

Radio, television, communication equipments<br />

Wood, publishing and printing<br />

Mechanical products<br />

Renting of machinery and equipment without operator and of personal and household goods<br />

Land transport<br />

Rened petroleum products and other treatments<br />

Metal products<br />

Water transport<br />

Manufacture of chemicals and chemicals products<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Extraction of petroleum and gas<br />

Post and courier activities<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

Financial intermediation<br />

Real estate and business activities<br />

Wholesale trade<br />

Manufacture of chemicals and chemicals products<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Extraction of petroleum and gas<br />

Other<br />

hotels and restaurants, trade and repair of motor vehicles,<br />

telecommunications, retail trade, rubber and plastic<br />

products and other business activities, cf. Figure IV.23.<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80


In many sectors, outward <strong>EU</strong>‑27 FDI stock is greater than<br />

total inward <strong>EU</strong>‑27 FDI stock. Vertical backward integration<br />

by <strong>EU</strong>‑27 MNEs seems to be the dominant motive, judging<br />

from the sectoral distribution of the relative outward and<br />

inward stocks. This is illustrated by the ‘resource‑driven’<br />

sectors: refined petroleum products, mining and quarrying,<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

extraction of petroleum and gas and metal products.<br />

Horizontal integration, in order to gain access to new markets<br />

or create localised, market‑oriented knowledge which helps<br />

firms to adapt existing technologies and products to foreign<br />

markets, may explain the relatively large outward <strong>EU</strong>‑27 stock<br />

in telecommunication markets, cf. Figure IV.24.<br />

FIgURE IV.24: <strong>EU</strong>-27 outward FDI stock to the rest of the world/<strong>EU</strong>-27 inward FDI stock from the rest of<br />

the world in 2007 (ratio)<br />

Telecommunications<br />

Rened petroleum products and other treatments<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Electricity, gas and water<br />

Extraction of petroleum and gas<br />

Metal products<br />

Post and courier activities<br />

Mechanical products<br />

Water transport<br />

Land transport<br />

Manufacture of chemicals and chemicals products<br />

Radio, television, communication equipments<br />

Construction<br />

Food products<br />

TOTAL<br />

Hotels and restaurants<br />

Oce machinery and computers<br />

Rubber and plastic products<br />

Financial intermediation<br />

Air transport<br />

Renting of machinery and equipment without operator<br />

and of personal and household goods<br />

Retail trade<br />

Agriculture and shing<br />

Computer activities<br />

Other business activities<br />

Wood, publishing and printing<br />

Wholesale trade<br />

Supporting and auxiliary transport activities;<br />

activities of travel agencies<br />

Research and development<br />

Recreational, cultural and sporting activities<br />

Trade and repair of motor vehicles<br />

Real estate<br />

Textiles and wearing apparel<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6<br />

131


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

The most FDI‑intensive sector in the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 is financial<br />

intermediation. It is highly internationalised, as both<br />

outward and inward FDI in the <strong>EU</strong> are relatively important.<br />

Other sectors in which <strong>EU</strong> firms largely invest outside the<br />

<strong>EU</strong> are resource‑rich sectors (refined petroleum, extraction<br />

of petroleum and gas and mining and quarrying) or<br />

132<br />

sectors characterised by market‑seeking opportunities —<br />

telecommunications. There is a balance between inward<br />

and outward FDI in the relative FDI intensive sectors<br />

chemicals, other business activities, office machinery<br />

and computers and post and telecommunication,<br />

cf. Figure IV.25.<br />

FIgURE IV.25: Sectoral share in FDI stock relative to share in value added <strong>EU</strong>-27 in 2007<br />

Financial intermediation<br />

Rened petroleum products and other treatments<br />

Extraction of petroleum and gas<br />

Mining and quarrying<br />

Manufacture of chemicals and chemicals products<br />

Other business activities<br />

Post and telecommunications<br />

Oce machinery and computers<br />

Food products<br />

Water transport<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Radio, television, communication equipments<br />

Electricity, gas and water<br />

Real estate<br />

Mechanical products<br />

Rubber and plastic products<br />

Metal products<br />

Wholesale trade<br />

Wood, publishing and printing<br />

Renting of machinery and equipment without<br />

operator and of personal and household goods<br />

Computer activities<br />

Hotels and restaurants<br />

Retail trade<br />

Trade and repair of motor vehicles<br />

Supporting and auxiliary transport activities;<br />

activities of travel agencies<br />

Air transport<br />

Textiles and wearing apparel<br />

Land transport<br />

Construction<br />

Share of FDI in the country relative to share in total VA<br />

Share of FDI abroad relative to share in total VA<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9<br />

Note: FDI intensity is measured as the ratio between the share of a sector’s FDI in total FDI to the share of the sector’s value added to total<br />

value added.<br />

Source: own calculations using Eurostat data.


iv62 internationalisation of r&d<br />

Another feature of increased globalisation is the<br />

internationalisation of corporate research, development<br />

and innovation (R&D&I) activities. 90 Establishing R&D&I<br />

activities abroad is an opportunity to access knowledge,<br />

box IV.8: Measuring the internationalisation of R&D<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

which is not necessarily available in the home country. It is<br />

also a way to customise the products and services offered<br />

to local markets abroad. Locating R&D&I abroad is often<br />

a natural extension of the establishment of production<br />

activities. Patent data allows for quantifying this trend.<br />

The indicator provides a sectoral overview, cf. Box IV.8.<br />

There are various ways to measure the internationalisation of R&D&I activities: through patent data; through surveys<br />

such as the Community innovation survey and the European Manufacturing survey; and by using data on R&D<br />

expenditures of foreign affiliates (published by national statistical offices). As this publication focuses on information<br />

at sectoral level, the first type of indicator — patents — was the most suitable. The other two approaches are not<br />

used in this publication because they lack detailed sectoral perspectives.<br />

A patent provides both the location of the inventor and the location of the applicant. Based on these two pieces of<br />

information, one can determine whether the patent is domestic or foreign‑owned. Moreover, patent data is available for<br />

many years, countries and sectors. There are also intrinsic limits in using a patent indicator: not all inventions can be patented,<br />

not all patents lead to a concrete application, and in certain sectors there are more incentives to patent than in others.<br />

Source: European Competitiveness Report 2010.<br />

Internationalisation of R&D has increased considerably in<br />

the <strong>EU</strong>. The share of foreign owned patent applications in<br />

the <strong>EU</strong> at the EPO increased from some 10 % in 1990 to 17 %<br />

in 2007. The largest increase has been recorded by intra‑<strong>EU</strong><br />

patent applications, cf. Figure IV.26.<br />

FIgURE IV.26: Share of foreign-owned patents in <strong>EU</strong>-27 patent applications 1990-2007 (%)<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

1990<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

Note: Patents applications at the EPO.<br />

1994<br />

Source: OECD FATS database US Department of Commerce, ZEW/AIT calculations. 90<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

Non-european countries<br />

Other European countries<br />

Intra-<strong>EU</strong><br />

90 See chapter 3 ‘Foreign corporate R&D and innovation in the European union’ in the European competitiveness report 2010 for more detailed<br />

analyses.<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

133


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

The most internationalised manufacturing industries<br />

in terms of foreign‑owned patents in the <strong>EU</strong>‑27 are<br />

manufacture of radio, TV & communication equipment,<br />

134<br />

food products and beverages, office machinery, chemicals<br />

and pharmaceuticals, cf. Figure IV.27.<br />

FIgURE IV.27: Share of foreign-owned patents in <strong>EU</strong> manufacturing industries 2003-07 (%)<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Radio, TV &<br />

communications eq.<br />

Food and drink<br />

Office machinery<br />

Chemicals<br />

Electronic valves<br />

and tubes<br />

Pharmaceuticals<br />

Note: Patents are in absolute numbers.<br />

Source: EPO, ZEW/AIT calculations.<br />

Scientific and<br />

other instruments<br />

Printing and<br />

publishing<br />

Coke and refined<br />

petroleum<br />

Pulp and paper<br />

Electrical<br />

machinery<br />

Outward patenting and R&D outside the own country<br />

is still relatively modest. On average, only 10 % of all <strong>EU</strong>‑<br />

27 patents were granted abroad between 2003 and 2007;<br />

Rubber and plastics<br />

Textiles<br />

Motor vehicles<br />

Basic metals<br />

Clothing<br />

Non-metallic<br />

mineral products<br />

Machinery nec.<br />

Other transport eq.<br />

Leather and footware<br />

Metal products<br />

Other manufacturing<br />

Wood and<br />

wood products<br />

this is the same level as US patents while BRIC countries<br />

showed a somewhat larger share of outward patenting,<br />

cf. Figure IV.28.<br />

FIgURE IV.28: Share of overseas patents of total patents applications 1991-95 and 2003-07 (%)<br />

16<br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

<strong>EU</strong><br />

Source: OECD Triadic patent database, ZEW/AIT calculations.<br />

US<br />

JP<br />

2003-2007<br />

1991-1995<br />

BRICs<br />

Tobacco


The US is the most important location for <strong>EU</strong> outward R&D,<br />

accounting for 60 % of overseas patents applied by <strong>EU</strong><br />

entities at the EPO. The BRIC share is still small but rising fast<br />

Chapter IV — International competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry<br />

and is now larger than the Japanese share of <strong>EU</strong> outward<br />

patenting, cf. figure IV.29.<br />

FIgURE IV.29: Location of overseas patents applied by the <strong>EU</strong>-27 at EPO 1990-2006 (%)<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

1990<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

Source: European Patent Office, ZEW/AIT calculations.<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

ROW<br />

Korea<br />

BRICs<br />

Japan<br />

Canada<br />

Other European Countries<br />

US<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

135


Annexes<br />

A.1 Statistical nomenclature<br />

Table A.1.1 and Table A.1.2 summarise, in the first<br />

two columns, the codes and names of sectors in the<br />

nomenclature of economic activities, NACE Rev. 1 and NACE<br />

TAbLE A.1.1: Sectoral nomenclature for economic activities — nACE rev. 1.1<br />

Rev. 2. The third column contains the abridged versions of<br />

sector names used in the figures and tables. The acronyms<br />

in the fourth column are those used in the scatter plots.<br />

code nacE rev 11 nacE rev 11 (short) acronym<br />

a Agriculture, hunting and forestry Agriculture and forestry agri<br />

b Fishing Fishing fish<br />

c Mining and quarrying Mining and quarrying mine<br />

ca Mining and quarrying of energy producing materials Mining of energy products<br />

cb Mining and quarrying except energy producing materials Other mining othmin<br />

d Manufacturing Manufacturing manuf<br />

da Manufacture of food products; beverages and tobacco Food, drinks and tobacco foodtob<br />

da15 Manufacture of food products and beverages Food and drink food<br />

da16 Manufacture of tobacco products Tobacco tobac<br />

db Manufacture of textiles and textile products Textiles and clothing textcloth<br />

db17 Manufacture of textiles Textiles text<br />

db18 Manufacture of wearing apparel; dressing; dyeing of fur Clothing cloth<br />

dc Manufacture of leather and leather products Leather and footwear foot<br />

dc19 Tanning, dressing of leather; manufacture of luggage Leather and footwear foot<br />

dd Manufacture of wood and wood products Wood and wood products wood<br />

dd20<br />

Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except<br />

furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials<br />

Wood and wood products wood<br />

de<br />

Manufacture of pulp, paper and paper products; publishing and<br />

printing<br />

Pulp, paper and publishing paper<br />

de21 Manufacture of pulp, paper and paper products Pulp and paper paper<br />

de22 Publishing, printing, reproduction of recorded media Printing and publishing print<br />

df Manufacture of coke, refined petroleum products and nuclear fuel Refined petroleum refin<br />

>>><br />

137


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

code nacE rev 11 nacE rev 11 (short) acronym<br />

df23 Manufacture of coke, refined petroleum products and nuclear fuel Refined petroleum refin<br />

dg Manufacture of chemicals, chemical products and man‑made fibres Chemicals chem<br />

dg24 Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products Chemicals chem<br />

dh Manufacture of rubber and plastic products Rubber and plastics plas<br />

dh25 Manufacture of rubber and plastic products Rubber and plastics plas<br />

di Manufacture of other non‑metallic mineral products Non‑metallic mineral products miner<br />

di26 Manufacture of other non‑metallic mineral products Non‑metallic mineral products miner<br />

dj Manufacture of basic metals and fabricated metal products Basic metals and metal products metal<br />

dj27 Manufacture of basic metals Basic metals metal<br />

dj28<br />

Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and<br />

equipment<br />

Metal products metpr<br />

dk Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. Machinery n.e.c. machin<br />

dk29 Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. Machinery n.e.c. machin<br />

dl Manufacture of electrical and optical equipment Electrical and optical equipment elecopt<br />

dl30 Manufacture of office machinery and computers Office machinery offmac<br />

dl31 Manufacture of electrical machinery and apparatus n.e.c. Electrical machinery elecmac<br />

dl32<br />

Manufacture of radio, television and communication equipment and<br />

apparatus<br />

Radio, TV & communic. eq. telecom<br />

dl33<br />

Manufacture of medical, precision and optical instruments, watches<br />

and clocks<br />

Scientific and other instruments instr<br />

dm Manufacture of transport equipment Transport equipment transeqpt<br />

dm34 Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi‑trailers Motor vehicles motor<br />

dm35 Manufacture of other transport equipment Other transport eq. trans<br />

dn Manufacturing n.e.c. Other manufacturing othman<br />

dn36 Manufacture of furniture; manufacturing n.e.c. Furniture; other manufacturing furnit<br />

dn37 Recycling Recycling recyc<br />

e Electricity, gas and water supply Electricity, gas and water supply electr<br />

e40 Electricity, gas, steam and hot water supply Electricity and hot water supply<br />

e41 Collection, purification and distribution of water Collection and distribution of water<br />

f Construction Construction const<br />

f45 Construction Construction<br />

g<br />

Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles, motorcycles and<br />

personal and household goods<br />

Wholesale and retail trade wholretra<br />

g50 Sale, maintenance and repair of motor vehicles Sale and repair of motor vehicles salemot<br />

g51<br />

Wholesale trade and commission trade, except of motor vehicles and<br />

motorcycles<br />

Wholesale trade wholtr<br />

g52<br />

Retail trade, except of motor vehicles, motorcycles; repair of personal<br />

and household goods<br />

Retail trade retra<br />

h Hotels and restaurants Hotels and restaurants hotel<br />

h55 Hotels and restaurants Hotels and restaurants hotel<br />

i Transport, storage and communication Transport and communication transcom<br />

i60 Land transport; transport via pipelines Inland transport inltran<br />

i61 Water transport Water transport watran<br />

i62 Air transport Air transport airtran<br />

i63<br />

Supporting and auxiliary transport activities; activities of travel<br />

agencies<br />

Supporting transport activities suptran<br />

i64 Post and telecommunications Communications comm<br />

j Financial intermediation Financial intermediation fin<br />

j65 Financial intermediation, except insurance and pension funding Financial intermediation finint<br />

j66 Insurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security Insurance and pension funding insur<br />

j67 Activities auxiliary to financial intermediation<br />

Activities auxiliary to financial<br />

intermediation<br />

auxfin<br />

>>><br />

138


Annexes<br />

code nacE rev 11 nacE rev 11 (short) acronym<br />

k Real estate, renting and business activities Real estate and business activities realbus<br />

k70 Real estate activities Real estate activities reest<br />

k71<br />

Renting of machinery and equipment without operator and of personal<br />

and household goods<br />

Renting of machinery and<br />

equipment<br />

k72 Computer and related activities Computer and related activities compu<br />

k73 Research and development Research and development r&d<br />

k74 Other business activities Other business activities<br />

l Public administration and defence; compulsory social security Public administration pubadmin<br />

m Education Education educ<br />

n Health and social work Health and social work health<br />

o Other community, social, personal service activities Other services othser<br />

TAbLE A.1.2: Sectoral nomenclature for economic activities — nACE rev. 2<br />

code nacE rev 2 nacE rev 2 (short) acronym<br />

a Agriculture, forestryand fishing Agriculture and forestry agri<br />

B Mining and quarrying Mining and quarrying mine<br />

c Manufacturing Manufacturing manuf<br />

c10 Manufacture of food products Food food<br />

c11 Manufacture of beverages Beverages beverag<br />

c12 Manufacture of tobacco products Tobacco tobac<br />

c13 Manufacture of textiles Textiles text<br />

c14 Manufacture of wearing apparel Clothing cloth<br />

c15 Manufacture of leather and related products Leather & footwear foot<br />

c16<br />

Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except<br />

furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials<br />

Wood & wood products wood<br />

c17 Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard Paper paper<br />

c18<br />

Printing and reproduction<br />

of recorded media<br />

Printing print<br />

c19 Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products Refined petroleum refin<br />

c20 Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products Chemicals chem<br />

c21<br />

Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical<br />

preparations<br />

Pharmaceuticals pharma<br />

c22 Manufacture of rubber and plastic products Rubber & plastics plas<br />

c23<br />

Manufacture of<br />

other non‑metallic mineral products<br />

Non‑metallic mineral products miner<br />

c24 Manufacture of basic metals Basic metals metal<br />

c25<br />

Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and<br />

equipment<br />

Metal products metpr<br />

c26 Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products<br />

Computers, electronic &<br />

optical<br />

comput<br />

c27 Manufacture of electrical equipment Electrical equipment electreq<br />

c28 Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. Machinery n.e.c. machin<br />

c29 Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi‑trailers Motor vehicles motor<br />

c30 Manufacture of other transport equipment Other transport eq. trans<br />

c31 Manufacture of furniture Furniture furnit<br />

c32 Other manufacturing Other manufacturing othmanuf<br />

c33 Repair and installation of machinery and equipment Repair of machinery repair<br />

d Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply Electricity and gas electr<br />

d35 Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply Electricity and gas electr<br />

>>><br />

rentm<br />

139


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

code nacE rev 2 nacE rev 2 (short) acronym<br />

E Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities Water supply water<br />

E36 Water collection, treatment and supply Water collection Watercol<br />

E37 Sewerage Sewerage Sewer<br />

E38 Waste collection, treatment and disposal activities; materials recovery Waste collection wastcol<br />

E39 Remediation activities and other waste management services Remediation activities othwast<br />

F Construction Construction const<br />

F 41 Construction of buildings Construction buildings build<br />

F42 Civil engineering Civil engineering civeng<br />

F43 Specialised construction activities Specialised construction Specconstr<br />

g45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles Wholesale and retail trade wholretra<br />

g46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles Wholesale trade wholtr<br />

g47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles Retail trade retra<br />

h Transportation and storage Transportation & storage trans<br />

h49 Land transport and transport via pipelines Inland transport inltran<br />

h50 Water transport Water transport watran<br />

h51 Air transport Air transport airtran<br />

h52 Warehousing and support activities for transportation<br />

Wharehousing & support<br />

activities for transportation<br />

wharehous<br />

h53 Postal and courier activities Postal & courier postal<br />

i Accomodation and food service activities Accomodation & food accomodfood<br />

i55 Accommodation Accommodation accomod<br />

i56 Food and beverage service activities Food & beverage foodbev<br />

J Information and Communication Information & Communication infocom<br />

J58 Publishing activities Publishing publish<br />

J59<br />

Motion picture, video and television programme production, sound<br />

recording and music publishing activities<br />

Motion picture, TV & Music tvmusic<br />

J60 Programming and broadcasting activities<br />

Programming & broadcasting<br />

activities<br />

broadcast<br />

J61 Telecommunications Telecommunications telecom<br />

J62 Computer programming, consultancy and related activities<br />

Computer programming &<br />

consultancy activities<br />

compu<br />

J63 Information service activities Information infocom<br />

K Financial and insurance activities Financial & insurance activities financinsur<br />

K64 Financial service activities, except insurance and pension funding Financial activities financ<br />

K65<br />

Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding, except compulsory social<br />

security<br />

Insurance activities insur<br />

K66 Activities auxiliary to financial services and insurance activities<br />

Activities auxiliary to financial<br />

and insurance activities<br />

auxfinancinsur<br />

l Real Estate activities Real Estate activities reest<br />

l68 Real estate activities Real Estate activities reest<br />

m Professional, Scientific and Technical activities<br />

Professional, Scientific and<br />

Technical activities<br />

scientech<br />

m69 Legal and accounting activities Legal and accounting activities legaccount<br />

m70 Activities of head offices Activities of head offices headof<br />

m71 Architectural and engineering activities Architecture & Engineering archiengin<br />

m72 Scientific research and development<br />

Scientific research and<br />

development<br />

scienc<br />

m73 Advertising and market research Advertising & market research advert<br />

m74 Other professional, scientific and technical activities<br />

Other professional, scientific<br />

and technical activities<br />

othscienc<br />

m75 Veterinary activities Veterinary activities veteri<br />

n Administrative and support service activities Administration admin<br />

n77 Rental and leasing activities Rental & leasing activities rental<br />

>>><br />

140


code nacE rev 2 nacE rev 2 (short) acronym<br />

n78 Employment activities Employment activities empl<br />

Annexes<br />

n79<br />

Travel agency, tour operator and other reservation service and related<br />

activities<br />

Supporting transport activities suptran<br />

n80 Security and investigation activities<br />

Security & investigation<br />

activities<br />

secur<br />

n81 Services to buildings and landscape activities Services to buildings servbuild<br />

n82 Office administrative, office support and other business support activities Office support officesup<br />

O Public Administration and Defence Public Administration pubadmin<br />

O84 Public administration and defence Public Administration pubadmin<br />

p Education Education educ<br />

Q Human health and social work activities Human health and social work health<br />

Q86 Human health activities Human health activities health<br />

Q87 Residential care activities Residential care activities residcare<br />

Q88 Social work activities without accommodation Social work activities socwork<br />

r Arts, entertainment and recreation Arts & entertainment artentertain<br />

r90 Creative, arts and entertainment activities Creative activities creative<br />

r91 Libraries, archives, museums and other cultural activities Cultural activities cultu<br />

r92 Gambling and betting activities Gamble gambl<br />

r93 Sports activities and amusement and recreation activities Leisure leis<br />

s Other services activities Other services activities othser<br />

s94 Activities of membership organisations Membership organisations memberorg<br />

s95 Repair of computers and personal and household goods<br />

Computer and related<br />

activities<br />

compu<br />

s96 Other personal service activities<br />

Other personal service<br />

activities<br />

othpersser<br />

t Activities of households as employers Households as employers househol<br />

t97 Activities of households as employers of domestic personnel<br />

Households as employers of<br />

domestic personnel<br />

househol<br />

t98<br />

Undifferentiated goods‑ and services‑producing activities<br />

of private households for own use<br />

Private households for own<br />

use<br />

privhousehol<br />

u Activities of extraterritorial organisations and bodies<br />

Extraterritorial organisations<br />

and bodies<br />

extraorg<br />

u99 Activities of extraterritorial organisations and bodies<br />

Extraterritorial organisations<br />

and bodies<br />

extraorg<br />

Table A.1.3 presents final consumption expenditure of households by consumption purpose (COICOP) on a 3‑digit level for<br />

different goods and services.<br />

TAbLE A.1.3: Sectoral nomenclature for consumption activities (COICOP)<br />

total total<br />

cp01 Food and non‑alcoholic beverages<br />

cp011 Food<br />

cp012 Non‑alcoholic beverages<br />

cp02 Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics<br />

cp021 Alcoholic beverages<br />

cp022 Tobacco<br />

cp023 Narcotics<br />

cp03 Clothing and footwear<br />

cp031 Clothing<br />

cp032 Footwear including repair<br />

cp04 Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels<br />

cp041 Actual rentals for housing<br />

>>><br />

total total<br />

cp042 Imputed rentals for housing<br />

cp043 Maintenance and repair of the dwelling<br />

cp044<br />

Water supply and miscellaneous services relating<br />

to the dwelling<br />

cp045 Electricity, gas and other fuels<br />

cp05<br />

Furnishings, household equipment and routine<br />

maintenance of the house<br />

cp051 Furniture and furnishings, carpets and other floor coverings<br />

cp052 Household textiles<br />

cp053 Household appliances<br />

cp054 Glassware, tableware and household utensils<br />

cp055 Tools and equipment for house and garden<br />

>>><br />

141


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

142<br />

total total<br />

cp056<br />

Goods and services for routine household<br />

maintenance<br />

cp06 Health<br />

cp061 Medical products, appliances and equipment<br />

cp062 Out‑patient services<br />

cp063 Hospital services<br />

cp07 Transport<br />

cp071 Purchase of vehicles<br />

cp072 Operation of personal transport equipment<br />

cp073 Transport services<br />

cp08 Communications<br />

cp081 Postal services<br />

cp082 Telephone and telefax equipment<br />

cp083 Telephone and telefax services<br />

cp09 Recreation and culture<br />

cp091<br />

Audio‑visual, photographic and information<br />

processing equipment<br />

cp092 Other major durables for recreation and culture<br />

cp093<br />

Other recreational items and equipment, gardens and<br />

pets<br />

>>><br />

Table A.1.4 presents the extended balance of payments<br />

services classification used in this publication. Royalties and<br />

TAbLE A.1.4: Sectoral nomenclature for trade in services activities 91<br />

1. Transportation<br />

2. Travel<br />

3. Communications services<br />

4. Construction services<br />

5. Insurance services<br />

6. Financial services<br />

7. Computer and information services<br />

8. Royalties and license fees<br />

9. Other business services<br />

10. Personal, cultural, and recreational services<br />

11. Government services<br />

91 For a more detailed description, see European Central Bank<br />

(2007).<br />

total total<br />

cp094 Recreational and cultural services<br />

cp095 Newspapers, books and stationery<br />

cp096 Package holidays<br />

cp10 Education<br />

cp101 Pre‑primary and primary education<br />

cp102 Secondary education<br />

cp103 Post‑secondary non‑tertiary education<br />

cp104 Tertiary education<br />

cp105 Education not definable by level<br />

cp11 Restaurants and hotels<br />

cp111 Catering services<br />

cp112 Accommodation services<br />

cp12 Miscellaneous goods and services<br />

cp121 Personal care<br />

cp122 Prostitution<br />

cp123 Personal effects n.e.c.<br />

cp124 Social protection<br />

cp125 Insurance<br />

cp126 Financial services n.e.c.<br />

cp127 Other services n.e.c.<br />

license fees were not included as it is not related to a special<br />

service activity.


TAbLE A.1.5: Classification of products by activities (CPA)<br />

code description<br />

Annexes<br />

01 Crop and animal production, hunting and related service activities<br />

02 Forestry and logging<br />

03 Fishing and aquaculture<br />

05 Mining of coal and lignite<br />

06 Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas<br />

07 Mining of metal ores<br />

08 Other mining and quarrying<br />

09 Mining support service activities<br />

10 Manufacture of food products<br />

11 Manufacture of beverages<br />

12 Manufacture of tobacco products<br />

13 Manufacture of textiles<br />

14 Manufacture of wearing apparel<br />

15 Manufacture of leather and related products<br />

16 Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials<br />

17 Manufacture of paper and paper products<br />

18 Printing and reproduction of recorded media<br />

19 Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products<br />

20 Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products<br />

21 Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations<br />

22 Manufacture of rubber and plastic products<br />

23 Manufacture of other non‑metallic mineral products<br />

24 Manufacture of basic metals<br />

25 Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment<br />

26 Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products<br />

27 Manufacture of electrical equipment<br />

28 Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c.<br />

29 Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi‑trailers<br />

30 Manufacture of other transport equipment<br />

31 Manufacture of furniture<br />

32 Other manufacturing<br />

33 Repair and installation of machinery and equipment<br />

35 Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply<br />

36 Water collection, treatment and supply<br />

37 Sewerage<br />

38 Waste collection, treatment and disposal activities; materials recovery<br />

39 Remediation activities and other waste management services<br />

41 Construction of buildings<br />

42 Civil engineering<br />

43 Specialised construction activities<br />

45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles<br />

46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles<br />

47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles<br />

49 Land transport and transport via pipelines<br />

50 Water transport<br />

51 Air transport<br />

52 Warehousing and support activities for transportation<br />

53 Postal and courier activities<br />

55 Accommodation<br />

56 Food and beverage service activities<br />

58 Publishing activities<br />

59 Motion picture, video and television programme production, sound recording and music publishing activities<br />

60 Programming and broadcasting activities<br />

61 Telecommunications<br />

62 Computer programming, consultancy and related activities<br />

63 Information service activities<br />

>>><br />

143


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

code description<br />

64 Financial service activities, except insurance and pension funding<br />

65 Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security<br />

66 Activities auxiliary to financial services and insurance activities<br />

68 Real estate activities<br />

69 Legal and accounting activities<br />

70 Activities of head offices; management consultancy activities<br />

71 Architectural and engineering activities; technical testing and analysis<br />

72 Scientific research and development<br />

73 Advertising and market research<br />

74 Other professional, scientific and technical activities<br />

75 Veterinary activities<br />

77 Rental and leasing activities<br />

78 Employment activities<br />

79 Travel agency, tour operator and other reservation service and related activities<br />

80 Security and investigation activities<br />

81 Services to buildings and landscape activities<br />

82 Office administrative, office support and other business support activities<br />

84 Public administration and defence; compulsory social security<br />

85 Education<br />

86 Human health activities<br />

87 Residential care activities<br />

88 Social work activities without accommodation<br />

90 Creative, arts and entertainment activities<br />

91 Libraries, archives, museums and other cultural activities<br />

92 Gambling and betting activities<br />

93 Sports activities and amusement and recreation activities<br />

94 Activities of membership organisations<br />

95 Repair of computers and personal and household goods<br />

96 Other personal service activities<br />

97 Activities of households as employers of domestic personnel<br />

98 Undifferentiated goods‑ and services‑producing activities of private households for own use<br />

99 Activities of extraterritorial organisations and bodies<br />

144


A.2 List of abbreviations<br />

BEC Broad economic classification<br />

BRIC Brazil, Russia, India and China<br />

CPA Classification of products by activity<br />

COICOP Classification of individual consumption by<br />

purpose<br />

COMEXT Statistical database from and between<br />

European Union countries<br />

COMTRADE Commodity Trade Statistics Database<br />

EPO European Patent Office<br />

FDI Foreign direct investment<br />

IIT Intra‑industry trade<br />

GDP Gross domestic product<br />

GFCF Gross fixed capital formation<br />

GL Grubel‑Loyd<br />

ICT Information and communication technologies<br />

IMF International Monetary Fund<br />

IO Input‑ouput<br />

M Imports<br />

AT Austria<br />

BE Belgium<br />

BG Bulgaria<br />

CY Cyprus<br />

CZ Czech Republic<br />

DE Germany<br />

DK Denmark<br />

EE Estonia<br />

ES Spain<br />

<strong>EU</strong> European Union<br />

<strong>EU</strong>‑27 27 Member States of the European Union<br />

FI Finland<br />

FR France<br />

GR Greece<br />

HU Hungary<br />

abbreviations<br />

The following symbols are used in this publication:<br />

na not available<br />

0 figure is zero or became zero due to rounding<br />

‑ not applicable<br />

Small discrepancies between constituent figures and totals are due to rounding.<br />

Closing date 30/06/2011<br />

NACE Nomenclature Générale des Activités<br />

Annexes<br />

OECD<br />

Économiques dans les Communautés<br />

Européennes (French, <strong>EU</strong> classification system)<br />

Organisation for Economic Cooperation and<br />

Development<br />

PAT Patent<br />

RCA Revealed comparative advantage<br />

R&D Research and development<br />

RTB Relative trade balance<br />

SBS Structural Business Statistics from Eurostat<br />

Si Specialisation index<br />

ULC Unit labour cost<br />

UN United Nations<br />

UNIDO United Nations <strong>industrial</strong> development<br />

organisation<br />

USPO The United States Patent and Trademark Office<br />

WTO World Trade Organisation<br />

X Exports<br />

IE Ireland<br />

IT Italy<br />

LT Lithuania<br />

LU Luxembourg<br />

LV Latvia<br />

MT Malta<br />

NL Netherlands<br />

PL Poland<br />

PT Portugal<br />

RO Romania<br />

SE Sweden<br />

SI Slovenia<br />

SK Slovakia<br />

UK United Kingdom<br />

US United States<br />

145


<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — Trends and Performance<br />

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148


European Commission<br />

Eu <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011 — trends and performance<br />

Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union<br />

2011 — 148 pp. — 21 x 29.7 cm<br />

ISBN 978‑92‑79‑20733‑4<br />

doi:10.2769/28487


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<strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2011<br />

Trends and Performance<br />

The production of <strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> is a response to the increasing interest in analysing<br />

the competitiveness of the <strong>EU</strong> economy from a sectoral perspective. This publication<br />

provides insight into the relative performance of individual industries, and contributes to<br />

explaining the competitiveness of the <strong>EU</strong> economy at large. The publication covers market<br />

sectors, from mining to market services, although, wherever necessary, it refers to the whole<br />

economy, including primary sectors and non-market services.<br />

The work is empirical and data oriented and consists of the creation and analysis of a system<br />

of statistical indicators on various facets of sectoral performance and competitiveness. The<br />

indicators cover fi elds of relevance to gain insight into the economics and policy issues<br />

of <strong>EU</strong> sectors. The publication applies the same set of indicators to all sectors and uses<br />

input–output data to go beyond the analysis of individual sectors separately buy capturing<br />

sectoral interrelations, such as those between manufacturing and services sectors. From<br />

a geographical point of view the publication covers the <strong>EU</strong>-27 as a whole and individual<br />

Member States and it also makes comparisons with other countries, such as the US, Japan<br />

and BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China), wherever possible.<br />

The 2011 edition of <strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> covers the following topics: the recent economic<br />

downturn and its fragile recovery, <strong>EU</strong> sectoral <strong>structure</strong>, <strong>EU</strong> sectoral growth and the<br />

international competitiveness of <strong>EU</strong> industry. This publication follows the path laid by <strong>EU</strong><br />

sectoral competitiveness indicators (2005) and <strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong> <strong>structure</strong> 2007 and <strong>EU</strong> <strong>industrial</strong><br />

<strong>structure</strong> 2009.<br />

NB-BL-11-001-EN-C

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