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Source: Study Team<br />

Truck Traffic/day<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

Truck<br />

y = 0.0057x - 311.22<br />

R 2 = 0.7813<br />

0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000<br />

3-16<br />

GDP<br />

Figure 3-12 Regressi<strong>on</strong> Analysis between GDP and Traffic Demand (Trucks)<br />

(e) Traffic Assignment Simulati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

(i) Forecast System<br />

The traffic demand <strong>on</strong> the Sec<strong>on</strong>d My Thuan Bridge was forecasted based <strong>on</strong> the road<br />

network simulati<strong>on</strong>, which includes road links such as NH1, NH80, other related road secti<strong>on</strong>s,<br />

expressway with interchanges and new bridges. Necessary informati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> road c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s (secti<strong>on</strong><br />

length, design speed, capacity and Q-V formula showing the relati<strong>on</strong>ship between traffic volume<br />

and travel speed) is assigned to each road secti<strong>on</strong>. JICA STRADA developed by JICA was the<br />

applied system and user equilibrium was the traffic assignment model.<br />

(ii) Toll Fares<br />

The toll rates are c<strong>on</strong>trolled by the MOF (Circular No 90/2004/TT-BTC). The rate applied<br />

to cars in the Southern Expressway Study was USD 0.08/km (VND 1,280/km). The same toll rate<br />

was also applied to cars in this <str<strong>on</strong>g>study</str<strong>on</strong>g> while toll rates for other vehicle types were decided referring<br />

to the passenger car unit (PCU) equivalent. Such toll rates are shown in Table 3-5<br />

Table 3-5 Toll Rates <strong>on</strong> the Expressway<br />

Vehicle Type Toll Rate<br />

Car 1,280<br />

Light Bus 1,920<br />

Medium & Heavy Bus 3,200<br />

2-axle Truck 2,560<br />

3-axle Truck 3,200<br />

4 and more axle Truck 3,840<br />

Source: Calculated in this <str<strong>on</strong>g>study</str<strong>on</strong>g> based <strong>on</strong> SAPROF <str<strong>on</strong>g>study</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> Southern Vietnam Expressway, 2007, JBIC<br />

Unit: VND/km

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