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Feverish illness in children<br />

Number<br />

of<br />

studies<br />

84<br />

Number<br />

of<br />

children<br />

Increased vomiting<br />

Sensitivity<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

For detecting urinary tract infection<br />

1<br />

(Newma<br />

n, 2002)<br />

1666 15 (9 to 20)<br />

a<br />

Diarrhoea and vomiting<br />

For detecting serious bacterial infection<br />

1<br />

(Nijman,<br />

2011)<br />

Specificity<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

82 (80 to 84)<br />

a<br />

1255 6 (2 to 10) a 91 (89 to 92)<br />

a<br />

Mild gastrointestinal symptoms<br />

For detecting serious bacterial infection<br />

1 (Shin,<br />

2009)<br />

221<br />

15 (4 to 25)<br />

a<br />

89 (84 to 94)<br />

a<br />

Positive<br />

predictive<br />

value<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

8 (5 to 11) a<br />

Negative<br />

predictive<br />

value<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

90 (88 to<br />

92) a<br />

7 (2 to 12) a 89 (87 to<br />

91) a<br />

24 (7 to 41)<br />

a<br />

81 (76 to<br />

87) a<br />

Positive<br />

likelihood<br />

ratio<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

0.8 (0.6 to<br />

1.2) a<br />

0.6 (0.3 to<br />

1.3) a<br />

1.3 (0.6 to<br />

3.1) a<br />

Ci confidence interval, NR not reported, odds ratio<br />

a Calculated by a member of the technical team at the NCC-WCH based on results reported in the study<br />

b The paper reported: OR 0.76 (95% CI 0.26 to 2.18)<br />

c The text in the paper stated that vomiting is not predictive of urinary tract infection<br />

Table 5.33 GRADE profile for evaluation of abdominal pain<br />

Number<br />

of<br />

studies<br />

Number<br />

of<br />

children<br />

Abdominal pain<br />

Sensitivity<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

For detecting serious illness<br />

1<br />

(Nijman,<br />

2011)<br />

Specificity<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

1255 5 (1 to 8) a 97 (95 to 98)<br />

a<br />

For detecting urinary tract infection<br />

1<br />

(Morris,<br />

2007)<br />

Positive<br />

predictive<br />

value<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

13 (3 to 23)<br />

a<br />

Negative<br />

predictive<br />

value<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

90 (88 to<br />

91) a<br />

Positive<br />

likelihood<br />

ratio<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

1.3 (0.6 to<br />

3.1) a<br />

Negative<br />

likelihood<br />

ratio<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

1.0 (1.0 to<br />

1.1) a<br />

1.0 (1.0 to<br />

1.1) a<br />

1.0 (0.8 to<br />

1.1) a<br />

Negative<br />

likelihood<br />

ratio<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

1.0 (1.0 to<br />

1.0) a<br />

98 NR b NR b NR b NR b NR b NR b Low<br />

NR Not reported<br />

a Calculated by the NCC-WCH based on data reported in the study<br />

b The text in the paper stated that abdominal pain is not predictive or urinary tract infection<br />

Quality<br />

Low<br />

Very<br />

low<br />

Low<br />

Quality<br />

Very<br />

low

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