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Feverish illness in children<br />

Table 5.31 GRADE profile for evaluation of diarrhoea<br />

Number<br />

of<br />

studies<br />

Diarrhoea<br />

82<br />

Number<br />

of<br />

children<br />

Sensitivity<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

For detecting serious bacterial infection<br />

1 (Craig,<br />

2010)<br />

1<br />

(Berger,<br />

1996)<br />

15781 21 (19 to<br />

24) a<br />

138 55 (38 to<br />

72) a<br />

For detecting urinary tract infection<br />

1<br />

(Morris,<br />

2007)<br />

Specificity<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

74 (73 to<br />

75) a<br />

20 (12 to<br />

28) a<br />

Positive<br />

predictive<br />

value<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

6 (5 to 7) a<br />

18 (10 to<br />

25) a<br />

Negative<br />

predictive<br />

value<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

92 (92 to<br />

93) a<br />

58 (42 to<br />

74) a<br />

Positive<br />

likelihood<br />

ratio<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

0.8 (0.7 to<br />

0.9) a<br />

0.7 (0.5 to<br />

0.9) a<br />

Negative<br />

likelihood<br />

ratio<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

1.1 (1.0 to<br />

1.1) a<br />

2.3 (1.3 to<br />

3.9) a<br />

98 NC b NC b NC b NC b NC b NC b Low<br />

For detecting bacterial illness<br />

1<br />

(Trautne<br />

r, 2006)<br />

103 NC c NC c NC c NC c NC c NC c Very<br />

low<br />

Diarrhoea and vomiting<br />

For detecting serious bacterial infection<br />

1<br />

(Nijman,<br />

2011)<br />

1255 6 (2 to 10) a 91 (89 to<br />

92) a<br />

Mild gastrointestinal symptoms<br />

For detecting serious bacterial infection<br />

1 (Shin,<br />

2009)<br />

221<br />

15 (4 to 25)<br />

a<br />

89 (84 to<br />

94) a<br />

7 (2 to 12) a 89 (87 to<br />

91) a<br />

24 (7 to 41)<br />

a<br />

81 (76 to<br />

87) a<br />

0.6 (0.3 to<br />

1.3) a<br />

1.3 (0.6 to<br />

3.1) a<br />

CI confidence interval, NC non-calculable, OR odds ratio<br />

a Calculated by a member of the technical team at the NCC-WCH based on results reported in the study.<br />

b Text in the paper stated that diarrhoea is not predictive of urinary tract infection<br />

c The paper reported: OR 3.93 (95% CI 1.27 to 12.19)<br />

1.0 (1.0 to<br />

1.1) a<br />

1.0 (0.8 to<br />

1.1) a<br />

Quality<br />

Low<br />

Low<br />

Very<br />

low<br />

Low

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