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Feverish illness in children<br />

300<br />

factors. See also prognostic marker.<br />

Prognostic marker A prognostic factor used to assign patients to categories for a specified<br />

purpose – for example for treatment, or as part of a clinical trial – according to<br />

the likely progression of the disease. For example, the purpose of<br />

randomisation in a clinical trial is to produce similar treatment groups with<br />

respect to important prognostic factors. This can often be achieved more<br />

efficiently if randomisation takes place within subgroups defined by the most<br />

important prognostic factors. Thus if age was very much related to patient<br />

outcome then separate randomisation schemes would be used for different age<br />

groups. This process is known as stratified random allocation.<br />

Prospective study A study in which people are entered into the research and then followed up<br />

over a period of time with future events recorded as they happen. This<br />

contrasts with studies that are retrospective.<br />

Protocol A plan or set of steps that defines appropriate action. A research protocol sets<br />

out, in advance of carrying out the study, what question is to be answered and<br />

how information will be collected and analysed. Guideline implementation<br />

protocols set out how guideline recommendations will be used in practice by<br />

the NHS, both at national and local levels.<br />

Publication bias Studies with statistically significant results are more likely to get published than<br />

those with non-significant results. Meta-analyses that are exclusively based on<br />

published literature may therefore produce biased results. This type of bias can<br />

be assessed by a funnel plot.<br />

Qualitative research Qualitative research is used to explore and understand people’s beliefs,<br />

experiences, attitudes, behaviour and interactions. It generates non-numerical<br />

data, for example a patient’s description of their pain rather than a measure of<br />

pain. In health care, qualitative techniques have been commonly used in<br />

research documenting the experience of chronic illness and in studies about<br />

the functioning of organisations. Qualitative research techniques such as focus<br />

groups and in-depth interviews have been used in one-off projects<br />

commissioned by guideline development groups to find out more about the<br />

views and experiences of patients and carers.<br />

Quality-adjusted life years<br />

(QALYs)<br />

A measure of health outcome that looks at both length of life and quality of life.<br />

QALYs are calculated by estimating the years of life remaining for a patient<br />

following a particular care pathway and weighting each year with a quality of<br />

life score (on a zero to one scale). One QALY is equal to 1 year of life in perfect<br />

health, or 2 years at 50% health, and so on.<br />

Quantitative research Research that generates numerical data or data that can be converted into<br />

numbers, for example clinical trials or the national Census that counts people<br />

and households.<br />

Quasi-experimental study A study designed to test whether a treatment or intervention has an effect on<br />

the course or outcome of disease. It differs from a controlled clinical trial and a<br />

randomised controlled trial in that:<br />

Random allocation or<br />

randomisation<br />

the assignment of patients to treatment and comparison groups is not<br />

done randomly, or patients are not given equal probabilities of selection,<br />

or<br />

the investigator does not have full control over the allocation and/or timing<br />

of the intervention, but nonetheless conducts the study as if it were an<br />

experiment, allocating subjects to treatment and comparison groups.<br />

A method that uses the play of chance to assign participants to comparison<br />

groups in a research study, for example, by using a random numbers table or a<br />

computer-generated random sequence. Random allocation implies that each<br />

individual (or each unit in the case of cluster randomisation) being entered into

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