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Management by the paediatric specialist<br />

retrospective (Olaciregui et al., 2009; Gomez et al., 2010). All the studies investigated populations<br />

with suspected bacterial illness.<br />

Six studies (Guen et al., 2007; Olaciregui et al., 2009; Isaacman et al, 2002; Pratt et al, 2007; Pulliam<br />

et al, 2001; Gomez et al, 2010) investigated the same infection (bacteremia); the rest assessed a<br />

range of infections. Five studies carried out subgroup analyses. Andreola (2007) performed a<br />

subgroup analysis by duration of evolution of fever. Lacour (2001) split the results by age (younger<br />

than12 months and 12 months or older). Manzano (2011) reported separate results for children who<br />

had normal urine analysis. Pratt (2007) examined differences between children who presented less<br />

than 12 hours after becoming febrile and those who presented more than 12 hours after becoming<br />

febrile. Luaces-Cubells (2012) examined result for children who presented 8 hour or less after fever<br />

had started. Two studies reported results of combined tests of PCT and CRP (Guen et al., 2007;<br />

Lacour et al., 2001).<br />

A range of gold standard tests were then undertaken to confirm diagnosis in each child. Prevalence of<br />

bacterial illness ranged from 0.6% to 29% across studies. Reported average age ranged from 4 days<br />

to 36 months.<br />

Further information is shown in the evidence tables.<br />

Evidence profile<br />

The GRADE profiles presented show results of included studies for the review question.<br />

Table 8.1 – GRADE findings for comparison of different procalcitonin thresholds<br />

Table 8.2 – GRADE findings for comparison of different C-reactive protein thresholds<br />

Table 8.3 – GRADE findings for comparison of combined procalcitonin and C-reactive<br />

protein thresholds<br />

Table 8.1 GRADE findings for comparison of different procalcitonin thresholds<br />

Number<br />

of<br />

studies<br />

Number<br />

of<br />

children<br />

Sensitivity<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

Specificity<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

Positive<br />

predictive<br />

value<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

Negative<br />

predictive<br />

value (95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

Positive<br />

likelihood<br />

ratio<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

Negative<br />

likelihood<br />

ratio<br />

(95%<br />

confidence<br />

interval)<br />

Quality<br />

Bacteremia, pyelonephriitis, pneumonia, bacterial meningitis, sepsis, bone infections. Prevalence = 23%<br />

0.5 ng/ml<br />

1<br />

(Andreol<br />

a et al,<br />

2007)<br />

1 ng/ml<br />

1<br />

(Andreol<br />

a et al,<br />

2007)<br />

2 ng/ml<br />

1<br />

(Andreol<br />

a et al,<br />

2007)<br />

N = 408 73.4 (63 to<br />

82)<br />

N = 408 64 (53 to<br />

74)<br />

N = 408 48 (38 to<br />

58)<br />

76 (71 to<br />

81)<br />

90 (86 to<br />

93)<br />

97 (94 to<br />

98)<br />

48 (40 to<br />

56) a<br />

65 (55 to<br />

75) a<br />

80 (70 to<br />

91) a<br />

91 (87, 94) a 3.1 (2.5,<br />

3.9) b<br />

89 (85, 93) a 6.2 (4.4,<br />

9.0) b<br />

86 (82 to<br />

90) a<br />

13.6 (7.4 to<br />

25.3) b<br />

0.4 (0.2,<br />

0.5) b<br />

0.4 (0.3,<br />

0.5) b<br />

0.5 (0.4 to<br />

0.7) b<br />

Very<br />

Low<br />

Very<br />

Low<br />

Very<br />

Low<br />

159<br />

2013 Update

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