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Feverish illness in children children with Streptococcus pneumoniae occult bacteraemia. Fewer cases of SBIs but not bacterial meningitis were observed to develop in those children treated with antibiotics, compared with those who were not (P = 0.003). Furthermore, both oral and parenteral antibiotics were found to be equally effective in preventing SBI, which resulted in extremely low rates of complications observed in both groups (pooled OR = 1.48 in each group). Similarly, in another EL 1+ RCT 157 which looked at the effect of antibiotic treatment (amoxicillin) for acute otitis media in children between 6 months and 2 years, there was a reduced risk of 13% in the persistence of symptoms on day 4 in the amoxicillin group compared with the group which did not take amoxicillin (risk difference 13%, 95% CI 1% to 25%). In addition, median duration of fever was 2 days in the amoxicillin group versus 3 days in the placebo group (P = 0.004). Analgesic consumption was also higher in the group that went without antibiotics during the first 10 days (4.1 versus 2.3 doses, P = 0.004). However, no significant difference was observed in duration of pain or crying. No otoscopic differences were observed at days 4 and 11, and hearing tests findings were similar in both groups at 6 weeks The researchers concluded that, since seven to eight children aged 6–24 months with acute otitis media needed to be treated with antibiotics to improve symptomatic outcome on day 4 in one child, the modest effect does not justify the prescription of antibiotics at first visit. Decreasing inappropriate antibiotic prescribing for children may also help decrease antibiotic resistance. In Finland, after nationwide reductions in the use of macrolide antibiotics for outpatient therapy, there was a significant decline in the frequency of erythromycin resistance among group A streptococci. 158 Evidence summary There is some evidence that oral antibiotics may decrease the risk of developing complications in children with Streptococcus pneumoniae occult bactaeremia, but insufficient evidence to conclude that it prevents bacterial meningitis. There was no significant difference between children who were treated with oral or parenteral antibiotics. However, over 1000 children at risk of occult pneumococcal bacteraemia would need to be treated to possibly reduce one case of meningitis. 159 There is evidence that campaigns to reduce the prescription of oral antibiotics are associated with a reduction in antimicrobial resistance. 158 Health economics There are very wide variations at both local and national levels in both rates and costs of antibiotic prescribing, with little evidence of associated variations in morbidity from infections. A decrease in inappropriate prescribing might also reduce antibiotic resistance. A decrease in inappropriate antibiotic prescribing would provide a saving in the overall NHS prescribing costs and delay antibiotic resistence. It is also possible that reduced antibiotic prescribing might increase the need or demand for reassessment and hospital admission of a febrile child either during surgery hours or by out-ofhours service providers, but while it would be possible to undertake research to assess the impact on healthcare demand (and costs and savings) of changes in antibiotic prescribing for children with suspected SBI, the GDG did not identify relevant data on this for the guideline. GDG translation The vast majority of well-appearing children (97%) with fever without cause do not have occult bacteraemia, and they will therefore not benefit from empirical oral antibiotics. Occult pneumococccal bacteraemia is likely to be reduced markedly after conjugate pneumococcal vaccine was introduced in the routine UK immunisation schedule in September 2006. Even for infections such as otitis media, the modest effect does not justify the prescription of antibiotics at first visit (number needed to treat [NNT] = 7–8). The GDG also recognised the risks of the unnecessary prescribing of antibiotics such as adverse side effects and the development of antimicrobial resistance. The GDG also acknowledged the possibility of cost savings. 150

Recommendations Number Recommendation Oral antibiotics Management by the non-paediatric practitioner 45 Do not prescribe oral antibiotics to children with fever without apparent source. [2007] Empirical treatment with parenteral antibiotics Review question When should children in primary care be treated with empirical parenteral antibiotics in an attempt to decrease mortality or morbidity? Narrative evidence Two studies 159,160 that reported on the effect of empirical antibiotics on reducing mortality and morbidity were identified. An EL 2++ SR 159 comprising 14 studies evaluated the effectiveness of such antibiotics in reducing case fatality in meningococcal disease in patients of all ages. Twelve of the papers contained information on parenteral antibiotics given before admission and outcome, of which eight showed that there was a beneficial effect in giving parenteral antibiotics before admission and four reported an adverse effect. Risk ratios for mortality in these studies ranged from 0.16 (95% CI 0.01 to 2.63) to 2.36 (95% CI 0.25 to 22.54). Only one study reported a statistically significant result (risk ratio 0.35, 95% CI 0.16 to 0.80). 161 Since the proportion of cases treated differed among the reported studies (differences ranged from 15% to 59%, chi-squared for heterogeneity was 11.02 (P = 0.09), I2 = 46% [95% uncertainty interval 0% to 77%]), studies were reported and examined on an individual basis. The reviewers could not conclude whether or not antibiotics given before admission had an effect on case fatality. However, they stated that the data are consistent with benefit when a substantial proportion of cases are treated. A recent EL 2++ 160 case–control study that was not included in the SR was also found. The study looked at the use of parenteral penicillin by GPs who had made the diagnosis of meningococcal disease in 26 children who died from the condition, and 132 survivors. Administration of parenteral penicillin was associated with increased risk of death (OR 7.4, 95% CI 1.5 to 37.7). Children who received penicillin had more severe disease on admission (median Glasgow meningococcal septicaemia prognostic score 6.5 versus 4.0, P = 0.002). The association between parenteral penicillin and poor outcome may be because children who were more severely ill were given penicillin before admission. Evidence summary In meningococcal disease, the evidence cannot conclude whether or not parenteral antibiotics given before admission have an effect on case fatality. However, the data are consistent with benefit when a substantial proportion of cases are treated. Health economics Since the evidence of effectiveness is equivocal, the cost-effectiveness of parenteral antibiotics cannot be established. GDG translation The GDG noted that all good-quality evidence referred to meningococcal disease and therefore looked at meningococcal disease in great detail compared with the other SBIs. Meningococcal disease is the leading infectious cause of mortality among children in the UK. No evidence on empirical treatment with parenteral antibiotics was found for other conditions, including meningitis, and therefore these conditions do not appear in the evidence tables. However, the GDG noted that current advice on immediate treatment in primary care refers to meningitis as well as meningococcal disease. Children with meningococcal disease may benefit from pre-admission parenteral antibiotics, especially if most children with meningococcal disease are treated. 151

Recommendations<br />

Number Recommendation<br />

Oral antibiotics<br />

Management by the non-paediatric practitioner<br />

45 Do not prescribe oral antibiotics to children with fever without apparent source.<br />

[2007]<br />

Empirical treatment with parenteral antibiotics<br />

Review question<br />

When should children in primary care be treated with empirical parenteral antibiotics in an attempt to<br />

decrease mortality or morbidity?<br />

Narrative evidence<br />

Two studies 159,160 that reported on the effect of empirical antibiotics on reducing mortality and<br />

morbidity were identified. An EL 2++ SR 159 comprising 14 studies evaluated the effectiveness of such<br />

antibiotics in reducing case fatality in meningococcal disease in patients of all ages. Twelve of the<br />

papers contained information on parenteral antibiotics given before admission and outcome, of which<br />

eight showed that there was a beneficial effect in giving parenteral antibiotics before admission and<br />

four reported an adverse effect. Risk ratios for mortality in these studies ranged from 0.16 (95% CI<br />

0.01 to 2.63) to 2.36 (95% CI 0.25 to 22.54). Only one study reported a statistically significant result<br />

(risk ratio 0.35, 95% CI 0.16 to 0.80). 161 Since the proportion of cases treated differed among the<br />

reported studies (differences ranged from 15% to 59%, chi-squared for heterogeneity was 11.02<br />

(P = 0.09), I2 = 46% [95% uncertainty interval 0% to 77%]), studies were reported and examined on<br />

an individual basis. The reviewers could not conclude whether or not antibiotics given before<br />

admission had an effect on case fatality. However, they stated that the data are consistent with<br />

benefit when a substantial proportion of cases are treated.<br />

A recent EL 2++ 160 case–control study that was not included in the SR was also found. The study<br />

looked at the use of parenteral penicillin by GPs who had made the diagnosis of meningococcal<br />

disease in 26 children who died from the condition, and 132 survivors. Administration of parenteral<br />

penicillin was associated with increased risk of death (OR 7.4, 95% CI 1.5 to 37.7). Children who<br />

received penicillin had more severe disease on admission (median Glasgow meningococcal<br />

septicaemia prognostic score 6.5 versus 4.0, P = 0.002). The association between parenteral<br />

penicillin and poor outcome may be because children who were more severely ill were given penicillin<br />

before admission.<br />

Evidence summary<br />

In meningococcal disease, the evidence cannot conclude whether or not parenteral antibiotics given<br />

before admission have an effect on case fatality. However, the data are consistent with benefit when<br />

a substantial proportion of cases are treated.<br />

Health economics<br />

Since the evidence of effectiveness is equivocal, the cost-effectiveness of parenteral antibiotics<br />

cannot be established.<br />

GDG translation<br />

The GDG noted that all good-quality evidence referred to meningococcal disease and therefore<br />

looked at meningococcal disease in great detail compared with the other SBIs. Meningococcal<br />

disease is the leading infectious cause of mortality among children in the UK. No evidence on<br />

empirical treatment with parenteral antibiotics was found for other conditions, including meningitis,<br />

and therefore these conditions do not appear in the evidence tables. However, the GDG noted that<br />

current advice on immediate treatment in primary care refers to meningitis as well as meningococcal<br />

disease.<br />

Children with meningococcal disease may benefit from pre-admission parenteral antibiotics,<br />

especially if most children with meningococcal disease are treated.<br />

151

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