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Clinical assessment of the child with fever<br />

significant difference in the odds of serious bacterial infection when comparing children who had had<br />

fever for longer than 48 hours with those who had had fever for less than 24 hours; however, a fever<br />

duration of 72 hours or longer was significantly associated with serious illness.<br />

As shown in Table 5.23, there were mixed results when comparing the duration of fever in children<br />

with and without serious illness. Some studies reported that children with serious illness had had fever<br />

for significantly longer than those without, whilst other studies reported that there was no significant<br />

difference in the duration of fever.<br />

Temperature of 38°C or higher at age 0–3 months, temperature of 39°C or higher at age 3–6<br />

months (in 2007 traffic light table)<br />

Thirty-six studies reported on the height of fever in children aged less than 5 years. As shown in Table<br />

5.25, various cut-offs were reported, including 37.4°C or higher, 37.5°C or higher, higher than 37.5°C,<br />

38°C or higher, 38.4°C or higher, 38.5°C or higher, higher than 38.5°C, 39°C or higher, higher than<br />

39°C, 39.1°C or higher, higher than 39.3°C, 39.4°C or higher, 39.5°C or higher, higher than 39.5°C,<br />

40°C or higher, higher than 40°C, 40.1°C or higher, and 41.1°C or higher. These were used to try to<br />

detect urinary tract infection, serious bacterial infection, malaria or meningitis, serious illness, severe<br />

illness requiring hospitalisation, bacteraemia, bacterial meningitis, bacterial infection, pneumonia,<br />

sepsis and serious disease. Sensitivity and specificity ranged from high to low but were not correlated<br />

with temperature. All of the positive predictive values were low. The negative predictive values ranged<br />

from high to low, although also not in the expected pattern. Positive likelihood ratios were strong for<br />

40°C or higher and for higher than 40°C, but were not strong for any other cutoffs. Negative likelihood<br />

ratios were not strong for any cutoffs. As shown in Table 5.26, when comparing the mean or median<br />

height of fever in those with and without serious illness, there were mixed results as to whether the<br />

difference was significant or not.<br />

Six of the 36 studies reported on the height of fever exclusively in children aged less than 3 months,<br />

including 38°C or higher, higher than 39°C, 39.5°C or higher, 40°C or higher, and higher than 40°C for<br />

detecting serious bacterial infection, urinary tract infection, occult bacteraemia, bacteraemia,<br />

meningitis, bacterial meningitis, salmonella enteritis, sepsis and serious bacterial illness. Sensitivity<br />

was high for 38°C or higher and low for all other cutoffs. Specificity was low for 38°C or higher,<br />

moderate for higher than 39°C, moderate to high for 39.5°C or higher, and high for 40°C or higher and<br />

higher than 40°C. Positive predictive values were low for all cutoffs, and negative predictive values<br />

were high for all cutoffs. Positive likelihood ratios were not strong for 38°C or higher, higher than 39°C<br />

and 39.5°C or higher. They were strong for 40°C or higher and higher than 40°C. Negative likelihood<br />

ratios were not reported for 38°C or higher and were not strong for the other cutoffs.<br />

No studies reported on the height of fever solely in children aged from 3 to 6 months.<br />

Swelling of a limb or joint (in 2007 traffic light table)<br />

No evidence was reported on the use of swelling of a limb or joint to detect serious illness.<br />

Non-weight bearing limb/not using an extremity (in 2007 traffic light table)<br />

No evidence was reported on the use of non-weight bearing limb or not using an extremity to detect<br />

serious illness.<br />

Non-blanching rash (in 2007 traffic light table)<br />

Non-blanching rash was reported in seven studies, including ‘rash’, purpura, petechiae, purpura with<br />

petechiae, more than 20 haemorrhages, haemorrhages greater than 1 mm in diameter, and<br />

haemorrhages greater than 2 mm in diameter. The sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive<br />

values ranged from high to low for detecting pneumonia, urinary tract infection, bacteraemia, serious<br />

disease, serious bacterial infection, invasive disease, bacterial meningitis or meningococcal disease.<br />

The negative predictive values ranged from high to moderate. The positive and negative likelihood<br />

ratios ranged from not strong to convincing.<br />

Bulging fontanelle (in 2007 traffic light table)<br />

Bulging fontanelle was reported in three studies. The sensitivity was low for detecting serious<br />

bacterial illness, bacterial meningitis, pneumonia, urinary tract infection or bacteraemia. The<br />

specificity was high. The positive and negative predictive values ranged from high to low. The<br />

likelihood ratios were not strong.<br />

95<br />

2013 Update

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