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Feverish illness in children<br />

Nasal symptoms (identified in 2013 review)<br />

Nasal symptoms were reported in three studies, with definitions including purulent nasal discharge,<br />

upper respiratory tract infection or runny nose, and symptoms of mild upper respiratory tract infection.<br />

The sensitivity was not high for detecting serious bacterial illness or urinary tract infection. The<br />

specificity ranged from high to low. The positive predictive value was not high and the negative<br />

predictive value ranged from high to low. The likelihood ratios were not strong.<br />

Wheeze (identified in 2013 review)<br />

Wheeze was reported in one study, including audible wheeze and stridor. The sensitivity was low for<br />

detecting pneumonia, urinary tract infection or bacteraemia. The specificity was high. The positive<br />

predictive values were low and the negative predictive values were high. The likelihood ratios were<br />

not strong.<br />

Chest findings/abnormal chest sounds (identified in 2013 review)<br />

Chest findings/abnormal chest sounds were reported in two studies. The sensitivity was low for<br />

detecting pneumonia, urinary tract infection or bacteraemia. The specificity was high. The positive<br />

predictive values were low and the negative predictive values were high. The likelihood ratios were<br />

not strong.<br />

Cough (identified in 2013 review)<br />

Cough was reported in three studies. The sensitivity was low for detecting pneumonia, urinary tract<br />

infection, bacteraemia or meningococcal disease. The specificity ranged from high to low. The<br />

positive predictive values were low and the negative predictive values ranged from high to moderate.<br />

The likelihood ratios were not strong.<br />

Hydration<br />

Dry mucous membranes (in 2007 traffic light table)<br />

No evidence was reported on the use of dry mucous membranes for detecting serious illness.<br />

Reduced skin turgor (in 2007 traffic light table)<br />

No evidence was reported on the use of reduced skin turgor for detecting serious illness.<br />

Poor feeding (in 2007 traffic light table)<br />

Poor feeding was reported in four studies; definitions used included poor intake and decreased<br />

feeding. The sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive values ranged from moderate to low for<br />

detecting serious bacterial infection, serious illness or urinary tract infection. The negative predictive<br />

values ranged from high to low. The positive and negative likelihood ratios were not strong.<br />

Capillary refill time of 3 seconds or more (in 2007 traffic light table)<br />

Capillary refill time was reported in one study, using a time of 2 to 3 seconds or more than 3 seconds.<br />

The sensitivity was low for detecting pneumonia, urinary tract infection or bacteraemia. The specificity<br />

was high. The positive predictive value was low. The negative predictive value was high. The positive<br />

likelihood ratio ranged from not strong to strong. The negative likelihood ratios were not strong.<br />

Reduced urine output (in 2007 traffic light table)<br />

Reduced urine output was reported by two studies, including poor micturition. The sensitivity was low<br />

and the specificity was moderate for detecting urinary tract infection or serious bacterial infection. The<br />

positive predictive value ranged from moderate to low and the negative predictive value ranged from<br />

high to low. The likelihood ratios were not strong.<br />

Other<br />

Fever for 5 days or more (in 2007 traffic light table)<br />

As shown in Table 5.22, duration of fever was reported in 17 studies, at the following time points: 12<br />

hours, 24 hours, 48 hours, 2 days and 72 hours for detecting serious bacterial infection, bacteraemia,<br />

meningococcal disease and urinary tract infection. All of the time points resulted in a low sensitivity.<br />

The specificities ranged from high to low; however, the expected correlation between increasing<br />

specificities and increasing fever duration was not found. Positive predictive values were mainly low.<br />

Negative predictive values ranged from high to low, although again this was not in the expected<br />

pattern. The positive and negative likelihood ratios were not strong for any cutoffs. There was no<br />

94<br />

2013 Update

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