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162<br />

<strong>of</strong>f low - responsible inter alia for the laingsburg floods <strong>of</strong> 1981); and forecasting <strong>of</strong> the<br />

movement, duration and intensity <strong>of</strong> the severe weather system. These forecasts are<br />

specifically prepared to warn the civil protection authorities that a given system is<br />

imminent, thereby providing information on the type and extent <strong>of</strong> damage which can be<br />

expected. Regular updated warnings are issued for the civil protection authorities and the<br />

public.<br />

The Weather Bureau recently introduced a coding system for severe weather conditions.<br />

A "green day" indicates that no severe system (based on forecasting data as well as<br />

models), is anticipated during the next 24 hours. There is however, a possibility <strong>of</strong> severe<br />

conditions developing on a "yellow day". An orange warning is issued once a severe<br />

weather system has been identified, and is being watched. A red warning implies that the<br />

system will take effect within 2 - 3 hours. Depending on the speed with which the system<br />

develops, it is possible (in extreme situations) to change status from a yellow day to a red<br />

warning, within a short period <strong>of</strong> time.<br />

10.20.2 The flood relief scheme for flood disaster areas<br />

Severe flood damage is an infrequent, although recurring event in South Africa. With the<br />

exception <strong>of</strong> the January 1981 laingsburg floods which were locality-specific, the first<br />

major widespread flooding resulting in serious damage and the loss <strong>of</strong> life (in very recent<br />

times), occurred in September 1987 in Natal/KwaZulu. A flood relief scheme was drawn<br />

up in response to the latter floods. It is instructive to briefly examine the scheme as a<br />

benchmark case study. (The scheme was used in !Q!Q for example, with regard to the<br />

October 1991 floods in the Calvinia Magisterial District)·. The flood relief scheme was<br />

established by Government Regulation Notice GN R47/88 (in terms <strong>of</strong> Section 8 read with<br />

Section 9 <strong>of</strong> the Conservation <strong>of</strong> Agricultural Resources Act No. 43 <strong>of</strong> 1983)··,<br />

Whereby white-owned agricultural land in Natal per se, was declared a flood disaster area.<br />

Flood damage was defined as damage to the natural agricultural resources as well as soil<br />

conservation works. The objective <strong>of</strong>the flood relief scheme was to repair flood damage<br />

using subsidies approved by Parliament. The scheme was not intended to recreate (at all<br />

•<br />

**<br />

See Government Regulation Notice GN R2771192. published in the Republic <strong>of</strong> South Africa<br />

Government Gazette No. 14304 <strong>of</strong> the 2nd October 1992.<br />

See Anonymous. 1988. Republic <strong>of</strong> South Africa Government Gazette No. 11097 <strong>of</strong> the 15th<br />

January 1988. Government Printer. Pretoria. 28 p.

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