Ársskýrsla Landsbankans - Landsbankinn
Ársskýrsla Landsbankans - Landsbankinn Ársskýrsla Landsbankans - Landsbankinn
Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements 74. Sensitivity analysis for non-trading portfolios The management of interest rate risk against interest rate gap limits is supplemented by monitoring the sensitivity of financial assets and liabilities to various interest rate scenarios. The Group employs a monthly stress test of the interest rate risk in the Group's overall non-trading net on-balance sheet position. In this test, the interest rate curve is shifted for every currency. The following table shows how the Group’s profit before tax would have been affected by a parallel shift in all yield curves, with all other variables kept constant, as related to risk exposure at year-end 2010 and 2009 and cash flows for the next 12 months after that, assuming a constant financial position. Currency (ISK million) Parallel shift in yield curve in basis points 2010 2009 Effect of downward shift on profit Effect of upward shift on profit Parallel shift in yield curve in basis points Effect of downward shift on profit Effect of upward shift on profit ISK, unindexed 100 (108) 108 100 44 (44) ISK, CPI indexed 50 (17) 17 50 (28) 28 EUR 20 (9) 9 20 (10) 10 USD 10 (7) 7 10 (7) 7 GBP 20 1 (1) 20 2 (2) CAD 10 - - 10 (1) 1 JPY 5 (1) 1 5 (4) 4 CHF 5 - - 5 (5) 5 Other 10 (1) 1 10 (3) 3 Total (142) 142 (12) 12 The Group's equity would have been affected to the same extent as the income statement, but net of income tax. This is because the increase (decrease) in profit before tax would have affected retained earnings. NBI hf. Consolidated Financial Statements 2010 70 All amounts are in ISK million 170 Ársreikningur 2010 Allar upphæðir eru í milljónum króna
Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements 75. CPI indexation risk (all portfolios) The consumer price index (CPI) indexation risk is the risk that the fair value or future cash flows of CPI-indexed financial instruments may fluctuate due to changes in the Icelandic CPI index. The Group has a considerable imbalance in its CPI-indexed assets and liabilities. The majority of the Group’s mortgage loans and consumer loans are indexed to the CPI. Going forward, however, the asset side will increase, since it is expected that loans in foreign currency will be converted to CPI-indexed loans and that overall lending will increase. At 31 December 2010 the CPI imbalance, calculated as the difference between CPI-indexed financial assets and liabilities, was ISK 94,641 million (31 December 2009: 71,812 million). Carrying amount 2010 2009 Assets Bonds and debt instruments 8,119 5,438 Loans and advances to customers 171,017 154,823 Total 179,136 160,261 Liabilities Due to financial institutions and Central Bank (421) (441) Deposits from customers (82,215) (84,725) Short positions (595) (1,917) Total (83,231) (87,083) Total on-balance sheet position 95,905 73,178 Total off-balance sheet position (1,264) (1,366) Total CPI indexation balance 94,641 71,812 Management of the Group’s CPI indexation risk is supplemented by monitoring the sensitivity of the Group's overall position in CPI-indexed financial assets and liabilities net on-balance sheet to various inflation/deflation scenarios. As an example, a 10% inflation applied to the inflation risk exposures in existence at 31 December 2010, with no change in other variables, would have increased net interest income by ISK 9,591 million (2009: 7,318 million). Group equity would have been affected by the same amount as the income statement, but net of income tax. This is because the increase/decrease in net interest income would have affected retained earnings. 76. Currency risk (all portfolios) Currency risk is the risk that the fair value or future cash flows of financial instruments will fluctuate due to changes in foreign exchange rates. Currency risk is managed centrally within the Group by the Treasury Department, and monitored by the The Asset, Liability and Market Risk Unit of the Risk Management Division. Group limits for foreign exchange risk are reviewed and monitored by the Risk and Finance Committee. The Group follows the Rules No. 950/2010 on Foreign Exchange Balances, as set by the Central Bank of Iceland. The rules stipulate that an institution’s foreign exchange balance (whether long or short) must always be within certain limits in each currency. The Group submits daily reports to the Central Bank with information on its foreign exchange balance. The Central Bank has granted the Group a temporary dispensation from these rules until the end of December 2011, raising the required limits. 77. FX-delta The inherent risk in the foreign exchange imbalance is limited by the FX-delta. The FX-delta is calculated as the average elasticity of loans in foreign currency towards foreign exchange movements. This is because some of the Bank's customers have pledged collateral or have full or partial income in foreign currency, while others have limited or no income in foreign currency. As a result, depreciation of the ISK impacts customers with limited or no income in foreign currency more than those with full or partial income in foreign currency, and vice versa when ISK appreciates. NBI hf. Consolidated Financial Statements 2010 71 All amounts are in ISK million Allar upphæðir eru í milljónum króna Ársreikningur 2010 171
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Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements<br />
74. Sensitivity analysis for non-trading portfolios<br />
The management of interest rate risk against interest rate gap limits is supplemented by monitoring the sensitivity of financial assets and liabilities<br />
to various interest rate scenarios. The Group employs a monthly stress test of the interest rate risk in the Group's overall non-trading net on-balance<br />
sheet position. In this test, the interest rate curve is shifted for every currency. The following table shows how the Group’s profit before tax would<br />
have been affected by a parallel shift in all yield curves, with all other variables kept constant, as related to risk exposure at year-end 2010 and 2009<br />
and cash flows for the next 12 months after that, assuming a constant financial position.<br />
Currency (ISK million)<br />
Parallel<br />
shift in yield<br />
curve in<br />
basis points<br />
2010 2009<br />
Effect of<br />
downward<br />
shift on<br />
profit<br />
Effect of<br />
upward<br />
shift on<br />
profit<br />
Parallel<br />
shift in yield<br />
curve in<br />
basis points<br />
Effect of<br />
downward<br />
shift on<br />
profit<br />
Effect of<br />
upward<br />
shift on<br />
profit<br />
ISK, unindexed 100 (108) 108 100 44 (44)<br />
ISK, CPI indexed 50 (17) 17 50 (28) 28<br />
EUR 20 (9) 9 20 (10) 10<br />
USD 10 (7) 7 10 (7) 7<br />
GBP 20 1 (1) 20 2 (2)<br />
CAD 10 - - 10 (1) 1<br />
JPY 5 (1) 1 5 (4) 4<br />
CHF 5 - - 5 (5) 5<br />
Other 10 (1) 1 10 (3) 3<br />
Total (142) 142 (12) 12<br />
The Group's equity would have been affected to the same extent as the income statement, but net of income tax. This is because the increase<br />
(decrease) in profit before tax would have affected retained earnings.<br />
NBI hf. Consolidated Financial Statements 2010 70<br />
All amounts are in ISK million<br />
170 Ársreikningur 2010 Allar upphæðir eru í milljónum króna
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