Volume II - The Northern Cape Provincial Spatial Development ...

Northern Cape PSDF
Volume 2
Office of the Premier &
Department of Rural Development & Land Reform
78
December 2011
65‐69 8 179 9 881 8 778 11 655 10 352 13 256
70‐79 3 767 5 597 3 650 5 606 4 706 7 921
80+ 3 108 7 417 3 434 6 725 4 082 7 460
Unspecified 5 562 4 848 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
TOTAL 491 601 520 263 479 793 512 126 519 402 538 659
COMBINED
TOTAL
1 011 864 991 919 1 058 060
During 2001, approximately 32.1% of the provincial population fell into the age group of 0 to 14
years. This has since decreased to 28.7%. In 2001, most people fell into the age group of 15 to 64
years, and it has increased to 65.1% in 2007. This holds significant implications for future
development planning as this age group of 0 to 14 years will become economically active within
the next 5 to 10 years. A consistent economic growth rate and the creation of sufficient job
opportunities are therefore of importance. Approximately 5.4% of the province’s total population
is older than 65 years, and it is envisaged that this Percentage will increase over time.
The population estimates and figures of the PGDS and the SA Census confirms that the province is
a demographically ‘young’ province since 39.89% of its population is estimated to be younger than
19 years, representing a less developed area, as at least one of every 3 people were under the age
of 15 years – 29.34% of the Northern Cape’s population fell into this age category (i.e. younger
than 15 years).
The PGDS states that the Northern Cape suggests characteristics of a less developed area (as it is
estimated that one out of 3 people were younger than 15 years in 2009), and the age‐gender
composition indicates a decline in fertility in the province which in turn is indicative that this
population has recently entered the demographic transition (i.e. population growth is very rapid
as a decline in mortality occurs before a decline in fertility – ultimately low levels of fertility and
mortality will exist). Furthermore, StatsSA estimates, that fertility rates will decline in all the
provinces with the Northern Cape declining from 3.03 per 1000 live births over the period 2001‐
2006 to 2.58 per live births for the period 2006‐2011. In the Northern Cape life expectancy at
birth is estimated at 56.3 years for males and 59.7 for females compared to South African’
averages of 53.5 years for males and 57.2 years for females.
Table E.5: Population Structure of the district municipalities of Northern Cape Province (2005)
(Source: SA Census, 2005)
AGE JOHN TAOLO
GAETSEWE
NAMAQUA PIXLEY KA SEME SIYANDA FRANCES BAARD
MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
0‐4 11 460 11 380 5 118 4 871 8 529 8 583 10 665 10 475 15 376 15 574
5‐9 12 434 12 101 5 494 5 199 8 867 9 004 10 447 10 371 16 253 16 165
10‐14 12 787 12 778 5 595 5 437 9 255 9 491 10 149 10 233 16 879 17 335
15‐19 11 254 11 311 4 939 4 867 8 973 8 660 10 233 10 577 17 495 17 537
20‐24 7 804 8 903 4 224 3 988 6 439 6 363 9 194 9 284 14 081 14 947
25‐29 5 856 7 448 4 278 4 090 6 018 5 950 8 712 8 895 12 843 14 208
30‐34 5 292 6 436 4 271 4 382 5 832 6 030 7 910 8 000 11 837 12 929
35‐39 4 887 6 155 3 943 4 139 5 279 5 723 6 985 7 387 10 998 12 041
40‐44 4 921 5 449 3 371 3 626 4 565 5 094 6 059 6 496 10 117 10 741
45‐49 3 803 4 453 3 066 3 318 4 106 4 653 4 887 5 376 8 182 9 208
50‐54 2 943 3 394 2 453 2 513 3 384 3 702 3 843 4 295 6 697 7 123
55‐59 2 380 2 635 2 018 2 216 2 599 2 980 2 858 3 271 5 047 5 759
60‐64 1 714 2 346 1 603 1 835 2 093 2 633 2 496 2 816 3 950 4 782
65‐69 1 360 2 036 1 192 1 486 1 556 2 179 1 867 2 185 2 806 3 770
Dennis Moss Partnership