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Volume II - The Northern Cape Provincial Spatial Development ...

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the population numbers and economic base of the <strong>Northern</strong> <strong>Cape</strong> Province can support more<br />

than six leader towns.<br />

5.3 Salient research results<br />

In meeting the aims of the study in section 1.2, significant observations and results were<br />

recorded. Synoptically, the salient conclusions are:<br />

• <strong>The</strong> 115 individual town and 32 municipal profiles exhibit distinct spatial inequalities<br />

on the various <strong>Development</strong> Potential and Human Needs indices, as well as the<br />

Capital Investment categories (Figures 3.3 - 3.22).<br />

• 17 (15%) of the towns score positive (High/Very High) <strong>Development</strong> Potential values.<br />

Conversely, 34 (30%) of the towns register a negative (Low) value. <strong>The</strong> remaining 64<br />

Medium ranked towns hold an intermediate position in line with the provincial mean.<br />

• Significant for future development strategies, centres with a proven development<br />

record are of paramount importance as potential ‘growth engine’ nodes for their<br />

respective regions (Table 3.6 and Figure 3.3). <strong>The</strong>y should be priority targets for<br />

Infrastructural Capital Investment from government in order to enhance sustainable<br />

and balanced economic development throughout the province (Table 3.7, Figure 3.9<br />

and Table 5.1).<br />

• Relative to the provincial mean, the <strong>Northern</strong> <strong>Cape</strong> has 37 (32%) of its towns<br />

experiencing High or Very High Human Needs index levels (Table 3.7 and Figure<br />

3.4). <strong>The</strong>se towns should especially be targeted for Social Capital Investment from<br />

government (Table 3.7 and Figure 3.19).<br />

• Only 17 towns registered a substantial loss in absolute population numbers between<br />

the 1996 and 2001 census dates and even then some of these shifts may be due to<br />

urban boundary changes. But positive population growth is not necessarily an<br />

indicator of urban development. On the contrary, a large population (or high growth<br />

rate) may burden development resources and for that reason some smaller towns<br />

displayed a higher development potential than several larger towns.<br />

• Various reasons for the relatively slow/negative growth obtained in certain towns and<br />

municipalities - versus strong/positive growth experienced in others - can be<br />

advanced. <strong>The</strong>se causes, linked to the multi-dimensional set of growth criteria<br />

described in section 2.13, erode the towns’ economic bases. Each settlement<br />

demonstrates a unique town profile in accordance with the quantitative indicators<br />

(Addendum 1.1 and 1.2) on which they scored positive and negative values. From<br />

104

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