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Facts and Arguments about the Introduction of Initiative and ...

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Main-Post newspaper prophesied: “After <strong>the</strong> successful ‘Mehr<br />

Demokratie in Bayern’ initiative, <strong>the</strong> CSU will use its wellknown<br />

tactics: <strong>the</strong>y will adopt <strong>the</strong> citizens’ initiative proposals<br />

as <strong>the</strong>ir own motto, but will come up with a counter proposal<br />

that in practice doesn’t do any damage to <strong>the</strong> ruling party”.<br />

Ruling by fear<br />

In 1991, a previous citizens’ initiative in Bavaria, ‘Das bessere<br />

Müllkonzept’, which proposed a reform <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> waste disposal<br />

policy, actually managed <strong>the</strong> 10% threshold, but none<strong>the</strong>less<br />

narrowly lost <strong>the</strong> battle against <strong>the</strong> CSU in <strong>the</strong> resulting<br />

referendum. Now that <strong>the</strong> signature threshold had been<br />

achieved, ‘Mehr Demokratie’ began to examine how <strong>the</strong> previous<br />

citizens’ initiative was brought down by <strong>the</strong> CSU.<br />

One <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> conclusions was that <strong>the</strong> CSU ultimately achieved<br />

<strong>the</strong> result thanks to its grassroots support in <strong>the</strong> rural areas.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> towns <strong>and</strong> cities where <strong>the</strong> citizens’ initiative campaign<br />

was active, it <strong>of</strong>ten achieved a majority; but in <strong>the</strong> rural areas<br />

<strong>the</strong>re was frequently no counterbalance against <strong>the</strong> CSU<br />

propag<strong>and</strong>a. The most important conclusion, however, was<br />

that <strong>the</strong> CSU systematically played on fear. Prepared speeches<br />

were part <strong>of</strong> a campaign package distributed by <strong>the</strong> CSU<br />

to <strong>the</strong>ir municipal council groups that held ruling majorities<br />

in all <strong>the</strong> 2,000 municipalities, towns <strong>and</strong> cities in Bavaria.<br />

In <strong>the</strong>se speeches, statements such as <strong>the</strong> following could be<br />

found: “... if your small kitchen has no room for six dustbins,<br />

you can start knocking down half <strong>the</strong> walls right away”, while<br />

<strong>the</strong> segregated refuse collection was portrayed as making it<br />

essential that <strong>the</strong> municipalities set up intermediate storage<br />

areas, which were depicted as “... a fine stinking mess with<br />

fires, poisonous effluent <strong>and</strong> thous<strong>and</strong>s <strong>of</strong> rats”.<br />

Bavarian legislation provides that, if a citizens’ initiative<br />

achieves <strong>the</strong> 10% threshold, <strong>the</strong> Bavarian parliament may<br />

submit a counterproposal, which will <strong>the</strong>n be put to <strong>the</strong> vote<br />

toge<strong>the</strong>r with <strong>the</strong> citizens’ initiative. The CSU had, <strong>and</strong> still<br />

has, an absolute majority in <strong>the</strong> state parliament <strong>and</strong> is <strong>the</strong>refore<br />

able to submit a counterproposal that effectively waters<br />

down <strong>the</strong> citizens’ initiative <strong>and</strong> around which <strong>the</strong> party<br />

propag<strong>and</strong>a is <strong>the</strong>n organised. In this way, <strong>the</strong> CSU was ultimately<br />

able to torpedo <strong>the</strong> new waste disposal initiative. The<br />

Christian Democrats launched a seriously watered-down<br />

counterproposal, steered it through <strong>the</strong> parliament <strong>and</strong>, after<br />

a cunning campaign, obtained a majority <strong>of</strong> 51% in <strong>the</strong> referendum<br />

(against 44% for <strong>the</strong> original proposal from <strong>the</strong> ‘Das<br />

bessere Müllkonzept’ initiative).<br />

The CSU now used <strong>the</strong> same tactics against ‘Mehr Demokratie’.<br />

Once again, <strong>the</strong> CSU launched a counterproposal. This<br />

counterproposal excluded numerous issues from citizens’<br />

decisions (for example, no municipal citizens’ initiatives concerning<br />

construction projects would be possible); <strong>the</strong> CSU<br />

proposal required a 25% participation quorum for <strong>the</strong> citizens’<br />

referendums (with a lower than 25% turnout, <strong>the</strong> referendum<br />

result would be void; see chapter 2 <strong>about</strong> <strong>the</strong> negative<br />

effects <strong>of</strong> participation quorums); <strong>the</strong> signatures could<br />

not be ga<strong>the</strong>red freely in <strong>the</strong> CSU proposal, but <strong>the</strong> citizens<br />

would have to go to <strong>the</strong> local government <strong>of</strong>fices to sign, etc.<br />

The intention was clear: by introducing as many hurdles <strong>and</strong><br />

limitations as possible, <strong>the</strong>y wanted to make it as difficult as<br />

possible for direct citizens’ decisions to be achieved.<br />

At <strong>the</strong> same time, <strong>the</strong> CSU started to fan <strong>the</strong> flames <strong>of</strong> fear.<br />

Their slogan was: “Don’t let a minority block everything’”. According<br />

to <strong>the</strong> CSU, <strong>the</strong> ‘Mehr Demokratie’ proposal would<br />

open <strong>the</strong> door to <strong>the</strong> rule <strong>of</strong> demagogues <strong>and</strong> vociferous<br />

minority groups. The CSU even suggested that <strong>the</strong> ‘Mehr<br />

Demokratie’ proposal would pose a threat to <strong>the</strong> ringing <strong>of</strong><br />

church bells or to <strong>the</strong> popular ‘Oktoberfests’. The CSU predicted<br />

permanent electoral conflict <strong>and</strong> continuous uncertainty,<br />

making it impossible for <strong>the</strong> authorities to carry out long-term<br />

planning (with job losses as a result) <strong>and</strong> introduce ‘unpopular’<br />

measures, etc.; all this would be <strong>the</strong> result <strong>of</strong> allowing <strong>the</strong><br />

‘Mehr Demokratie’ proposal to be upheld. At local level, <strong>the</strong><br />

power <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> party machine came into play (e.g. by refusing to<br />

make municipal premises available for meetings).<br />

In essence, ‘Mehr Demokratie’ was able to neutralise <strong>the</strong> CSU<br />

campaign because it knew what <strong>the</strong> CSU was up to. The<br />

most significant factor in <strong>the</strong>ir counter-<strong>of</strong>fensive was that<br />

<strong>the</strong>y were able to find all sorts <strong>of</strong> organisations (political parties,<br />

social organisations, youth groups, even CSU members<br />

in favour <strong>of</strong> Mehr Demokratie), which were trusted by large<br />

groups <strong>of</strong> citizens <strong>and</strong> which were prepared to speak out<br />

publicly in favour <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> citizens’ initiative <strong>and</strong> against <strong>the</strong><br />

CSU counterproposal.<br />

An important lesson from <strong>the</strong> ‘Das bessere Müllkonzept’ defeat<br />

was that <strong>the</strong>y must not allow <strong>the</strong> CSU to take <strong>the</strong> initiative in<br />

<strong>the</strong> debate. One <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> CSU tactics consisted <strong>of</strong> constantly harassing<br />

<strong>the</strong> opponent with allegations which had to be disproved<br />

time <strong>and</strong> time again, so that <strong>the</strong>y could never speak <strong>about</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

real reason for <strong>the</strong> referendum. The CSU attempted, for instance,<br />

to accuse ‘Mehr Demokratie’ <strong>of</strong> financial fraud. This occurred<br />

at a strategically selected moment: just two weeks before<br />

<strong>the</strong> referendum. If, during <strong>the</strong>se last two weeks, <strong>the</strong> CSU<br />

had succeeded in focusing <strong>the</strong> public debate on <strong>the</strong> finances<br />

<strong>of</strong> ‘Mehr Demokratie’, this could have been fatal to <strong>the</strong> citizens’<br />

initiative. Citizens’ donations to ‘Mehr Demokratie’ were paid<br />

into an account in Munich, from which, because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> internal<br />

organisation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank concerned, <strong>the</strong> money was <strong>the</strong>n<br />

transferred to Cologne. ‘Mehr Demokratie’ had nothing to do<br />

with this, but <strong>the</strong> CSU suggested in <strong>the</strong> press that <strong>the</strong> funds<br />

were being drained out <strong>of</strong> Bavaria <strong>and</strong> were <strong>the</strong>refore being<br />

used for o<strong>the</strong>r purposes. The citizens’ initiative countered this<br />

attack by immediately opening all its books to inspection. As<br />

<strong>the</strong>y were completely in order, <strong>the</strong> CSU allegations backfired.<br />

The press <strong>the</strong>n goaded <strong>the</strong> CSU to come up with ra<strong>the</strong>r more<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>essional arguments before voting day.<br />

The referendum vote took place on 1 st October 1995. The<br />

‘Mehr Demokratie’ proposal gained 57.8% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> votes,<br />

against 38.7% for <strong>the</strong> CSU counter-proposal. That victory is<br />

what made it possible to organise citizens’ initiative referendums<br />

at <strong>the</strong> local level.<br />

Flourishing democracy<br />

In <strong>the</strong> 10 years that followed, a flourishing system <strong>of</strong> direct-democracy<br />

emerged in Bavaria (Rehmet <strong>and</strong> Wenisch, 2005). In<br />

<strong>the</strong> municipalities, 1371 citizens’ initiatives were registered up<br />

to September 2005, which in 835 cases (60.9%) led to a referendum.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> remaining cases, <strong>the</strong> citizens’ initiative was not<br />

allowed for a variety <strong>of</strong> reasons (14.2%), was adopted by <strong>the</strong><br />

municipal council (12.5%), was withdrawn by <strong>the</strong> citizens, or<br />

not submitted (10.1%). The highest number <strong>of</strong> citizens’ initiatives<br />

was launched in <strong>the</strong> Bavarian capital Munich (15), with<br />

Augsburg (12) in second place. The annual number <strong>of</strong> citizens’<br />

initiatives peaked at 318 in 1996, gradually decreasing to<br />

settle at a stable average <strong>of</strong> around 100 per year between 1999<br />

<strong>and</strong> 2005. There was obviously some overdue maintenance<br />

required that caused <strong>the</strong> enormous wave <strong>of</strong> citizens’ initia-

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