29.04.2013 Views

The Value of Performance - Lubrizol

The Value of Performance - Lubrizol

The Value of Performance - Lubrizol

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

<strong>The</strong> <strong>Value</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Performance</strong><br />

Engine Oils Marketing – October 2011<br />

UEIL<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved


<strong>The</strong> Year is 1994<br />

• Brazil win the Soccer World Cup<br />

• OJ Simpson is facing charges in<br />

the US court system<br />

• <strong>The</strong> Channel tunnel opens<br />

between France and England<br />

• ANC triumphs in first multiracial<br />

elections and Nelson Mandela<br />

becomes president <strong>of</strong> South<br />

Africa<br />

• Croatian born Goran<br />

Ivanisevic is runner up at the<br />

Wimbledon Tennis<br />

Championship<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved


<strong>The</strong> Year is 1994<br />

• Imagine that Goran Ivanisevec is driving from his home<br />

country to Wimbledon is a new diesel powered car<br />

meeting the newly adopted Euro 1 specification.<br />

• <strong>The</strong> distance is 2,385 kilometres. If the car was meeting<br />

the Euro 1 limits for particulate emissions, the total<br />

amount <strong>of</strong> particulate matter produced would be 334<br />

grams.<br />

2,385 x 0.14 = 334<br />

Distance<br />

Travelled / Km<br />

EURO 1 Limit<br />

g/Km<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved<br />

Total Mass <strong>of</strong><br />

Particulate / g<br />

2,385 Km


<strong>The</strong> Year is 2011<br />

• If that same journey <strong>of</strong> 2,385 kilometres were conducted<br />

today in a modern diesel powered vehicle meeting the<br />

latest Euro 5 emission standards, the total amount <strong>of</strong><br />

particulate matter produced would be 11.9 grams.<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved<br />

Particulate Matter Produced<br />

1994 2011<br />

96.4% Reduction<br />

Significant Progress has Been Achieved in Emissions Reduction


Particulate Matter<br />

<strong>The</strong> Progress in Passenger Car Diesel Emissions<br />

0.14<br />

0.10<br />

0.05<br />

0.025<br />

0.005<br />

EURO 4<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved<br />

EURO 3<br />

EURO 6 EURO 5<br />

0.08 0.18 0.25 0.5<br />

EURO 1<br />

EURO 2<br />

EURO Emissions Standards Represent Significant Reductions in Harmful Products <strong>of</strong> Combustion<br />

(No Nox limit for Euro 1 and Euro 2 for diesel car emissions)<br />

NOx


6<br />

<strong>The</strong> importance <strong>of</strong> Emissions Control<br />

• Studies by the EPA indicate exposure to particulate matter causes serious health<br />

problems.<br />

• Long term exposure problems include:<br />

– Reduced lung function<br />

– Chronic bronchitis<br />

– Premature death<br />

• Short term exposure problems:<br />

– Lung disease<br />

– Asthma<br />

– Acute bronchitis<br />

– Respiratory infection<br />

• Other problems include:<br />

– Heart attacks in patients with<br />

heart disease<br />

– Arrhythmias<br />

Up to 600,000 deaths per year are associated with airborne particulate matter*<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved<br />

* Source : World Health Organisation


7<br />

Passenger Car Vehicle Hardware Changes<br />

• <strong>The</strong> introduction <strong>of</strong> more sophisticated hardware to realize the improved<br />

emissions control will provide significant challenges for engine lubricants<br />

Gasoline<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved<br />

Euro 3<br />

2000<br />

Euro 4<br />

2005<br />

Euro 5<br />

2009<br />

Euro 6<br />

2014<br />

Engine design PFI PFI + GDI T-GDI T-GDI<br />

Aftertreatment TWC TWC TWC TWC +GPF<br />

Diesel<br />

Euro 3<br />

2000<br />

Euro 4<br />

2005<br />

Euro 5<br />

2009<br />

Euro 6<br />

2014<br />

Engine design IDI + DI DI DI DI<br />

Aftertreatment EGR EGR +DPF EGR +DPF EGR +DPF +SCR<br />

Source : <strong>Lubrizol</strong><br />

KEY Engine design types Aftertreatment system types<br />

PFI Port fuel injection gasoline TWC Three-way catalyst<br />

GDI Direct injection gasoline GPF Gasoline particular filter<br />

T-GDI Turbo charged GDI EGR Exhaust gas recirculation<br />

IDI Indirect injection diesel DPF Diesel particulate filter<br />

DI Direct injection diesel SCR Selective catalytic reduction<br />

A combination <strong>of</strong> engine design changes and after treatment devices are utilized


8<br />

<strong>The</strong> Demand for higher Quality Lubricants<br />

• Changes in vehicle hardware can increase severity<br />

Indirect<br />

injection<br />

Nonturbocharged<br />

No EGR<br />

Basic or no<br />

aftertreatment<br />

Maintaining Durability will Continue to Drive Increases in Engine Oil <strong>Performance</strong><br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved<br />

Direct<br />

injection<br />

Turbo<br />

charging<br />

Exhaust gas<br />

recirculation<br />

Advanced<br />

aftertreatment<br />

=<br />

=<br />

=<br />

=<br />

Greater deposit protection<br />

and soot handling<br />

Greater protection against<br />

thermal degradation<br />

Greater soot handling and<br />

corrosion protection<br />

Aftertreatment compatible<br />

additive technology


9<br />

<strong>The</strong> Emergence <strong>of</strong> Low SAPS Lubricants<br />

• <strong>The</strong> changes in engine design and the introduction <strong>of</strong> after treatment devices<br />

has led to the introduction <strong>of</strong> a specific family <strong>of</strong> high quality engine lubricants.<br />

• In 2004 ACEA formally introduced the ‘C’ category <strong>of</strong> passenger car lubricants.<br />

Specifically designed for vehicles fitted with after treatment devices where<br />

traditional ‘higher SAPS’ lubricants can potentially damage vehicle components.<br />

≥ 3.5 HTHS<br />

≥ 2.9 HTHS<br />

A Specific Family <strong>of</strong> Passenger Car Lubricants has Emerged<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved<br />

≤0.8%<br />

Sulphated ash<br />

ACEA C3<br />

ACEA C2<br />

≤0.5%<br />

Sulphated ash<br />

ACEA C4<br />

ACEA C1


10<br />

Associated OEM Requirements<br />

• <strong>The</strong> ACEA categories form the framework for several OEM requirements.<br />

• Many OEMS have several specifications within a particular category, mirroring<br />

the engine design platform and after treat device complexity.<br />

≥ 3.5 HTHS<br />

≥ 2.9 HTHS<br />

Many OEM’s have Specifications that Require LOW SAPS Lubricants<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved<br />

≤0.8%<br />

Sulphated ash<br />

BMW LL-04<br />

MB229.31 / MB229.51<br />

Porsche C30 / A40<br />

VW50400/50700<br />

VW 50200/50500/50501<br />

GM dexos 2<br />

PSA B712290<br />

≤0.5%<br />

Sulphated ash<br />

Ford 913-C<br />

Renault RN0720<br />

Ford 934-B


<strong>The</strong> High Cost <strong>of</strong> Lubricant<br />

Development<br />

<strong>The</strong> high cost <strong>of</strong> engine test programs<br />

is well published. An ACEA C3,<br />

VW504:507 test program can<br />

typically cost 1.5 million dollars.<br />

However, this is by no means the<br />

complete picture. Before an additive even<br />

reaches a test engine, there are significant<br />

costs associated. In the case <strong>of</strong> top tier engine<br />

lubricant additives these can typically be in<br />

excess <strong>of</strong> 5 million dollars!<br />

A further consideration is the time it takes to<br />

progress an additive from conception to reality.<br />

<strong>The</strong> total time span can typically be 5-6 years.<br />

<strong>The</strong>re are a Lot <strong>of</strong> Hidden Costs in Bringing Top Tier Lubricants to Market<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved


Finished Passenger Car Lubricant Pricing Analysis<br />

Finished lubricant pricing has<br />

been obtained in the following<br />

countries:<br />

UK<br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

<strong>The</strong> following channels to<br />

market were used for the<br />

analysis:<br />

Garage Forecourts<br />

Workshops<br />

Vehicle Dealers<br />

Retail Outlets<br />

Independent Pricing Analysis Conducted in 3 Geographical Markets<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved


Finished Lubricant Pricing by Quality Level<br />

Results <strong>of</strong> a European Survey conducted by a Third Party Independent Research Group<br />

VW 504:507<br />

Low SAPS 5W-xx<br />

Upper Mainline 0W-XX<br />

Upper Mainline5W-XX<br />

Mainline 10W-40<br />

Mainline 15W-40<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved<br />

€6.7<br />

€12.09<br />

€11.02<br />

0 5 10 15 20 25<br />

Price/cost per litre (Euro)<br />

Lubricants were categorised into 6 different quality levels. <strong>The</strong> results above reflect the<br />

average pricing reported within the following channels to market:<br />

Retail : Workshop : Forecourt : Dealer<br />

AVERAGE PRICING<br />

€18.39<br />

€17.93<br />

€19.87<br />

Top Tier Lubricants are Retailing for Over 3 Times the Price <strong>of</strong> Mainline 15W-40


Finished Lubricant Pricing by Quality Level<br />

Results <strong>of</strong> a European Survey conducted by a Third Party Independent Research Group<br />

VW 504:507<br />

Low SAPS 5W-xx<br />

Upper Mainline 0W-XX<br />

Upper Mainline5W-XX<br />

Mainline 10W-40<br />

Mainline 15W-40<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved<br />

€6.7<br />

€12.09<br />

€11.02<br />

0 5 10 15 20 25<br />

Price/cost per litre (Euro)<br />

€18.39<br />

€17.93<br />

€19.87<br />

Two distinct pricing levels can be seen with mainline and upper mainline 5W-xx HI SAPS<br />

oils forming one tier and upper mainline 0W-xx and LOW SAPS oils forming the higher<br />

value tier.<br />

Higher Quality Lubricants Command Higher <strong>Value</strong> in the Market


What About the Future?<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved


What about Future Trends?<br />

• So far we have seen that the drive towards lower<br />

emissions, with the emphasis on NOx and Particulate<br />

reduction has resulted in a new range <strong>of</strong> high quality<br />

engine oils being introduced. <strong>The</strong>se top tier oils<br />

command a higher price level in the finished oil<br />

marketplace compared to previous generation market<br />

general engine oils. This trend will continue as we face<br />

the challenges <strong>of</strong> EURO 6 and beyond.<br />

• We are now seeing a big emphasis on fuel economy.<br />

This is driven on several fronts, namely :<br />

– Reducing the Cost <strong>of</strong> Ownership<br />

– Reducing CO2 Emissions<br />

– Reducing Fossil Fuel Consumption<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved


© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved


Environmental Drivers for Fuel Economy<br />

End User economics is not the only<br />

driver for improved fuel economy.<br />

Legislators have determined that<br />

carbon dioxide is a key contributor to<br />

global warming and that man made<br />

emissions <strong>of</strong> this gas need to be<br />

reduced.<br />

Take an average family car weighing<br />

1600kg with a fuel tank <strong>of</strong> 60 litres<br />

capacity. By the time the tank is filled<br />

10 times with gasoline, the amount <strong>of</strong><br />

CO 2 produced is equivalent to the<br />

weight <strong>of</strong> the car!*<br />

O2 C8H18 8CO2 + 9H2O Clearly Something Needs to be Done to Reduce CO 2 Vehicle Emissions<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved<br />

* Assumes SG <strong>of</strong> 0.88


19<br />

OEM status against EU CO 2 limits (2009 figures)<br />

g CO 2 / km on NEDC cycle<br />

200<br />

190<br />

180<br />

170<br />

160<br />

150<br />

140<br />

130<br />

120<br />

110<br />

Fiat<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved<br />

Suzuki<br />

Source; http://ec.europa.eu/clima/documentation/transport/vehicles/cars_en.htm<br />

Toyota<br />

Mazda<br />

Renault<br />

GM<br />

PSA<br />

Honda<br />

Ford<br />

Volkswagen<br />

Hyundai<br />

Daimler<br />

BMW<br />

100<br />

1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300<br />

Vehicle Mass (kg)<br />

1,400 1,500 1,600<br />

• Automakers will have to reduce CO2 emissions from new cars to 130 grams per Km<br />

by 2012 / 2015. With an additional 10grams coming from complimentary measures<br />

such as the use <strong>of</strong> bi<strong>of</strong>uel.<br />

• 65% <strong>of</strong> new vehicles will have to comply by 2012, 75% by 2013, 80% by 2014 and<br />

100% by 2015.<br />

• A new objective <strong>of</strong> just 95 grams per Km was fixed for 2020.<br />

• Penalties will be imposed on a sliding scale. Manufacturers that exceed their target<br />

by more than 3 grams will pay 95 euro per excess gram. Lesser transgressions will<br />

be charged between 5 and 25 Euros.


Once Again.. <strong>The</strong> Demand for Higher Quality Lubricants<br />

20<br />

• Improvements in Fuel Economy can lead to a more severe<br />

operating environment for the engine oil.<br />

Heavier<br />

viscosity<br />

Grades<br />

Conventional<br />

Fuels<br />

Standard Oil<br />

Sump Sizes<br />

Normally<br />

Aspirated<br />

Engines<br />

Improved Fuel Economy whilst Maintaining Engine Durability is Key<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved<br />

Lighter<br />

Viscosity<br />

Grades<br />

=<br />

Bio Fuels =<br />

Smaller Oil<br />

Sumps =<br />

Turbo-<br />

Charged<br />

Engines<br />

=<br />

Greater wear protection to<br />

address durability concerns<br />

Higher protection against<br />

sludge and piston deposits<br />

Higher temperature and<br />

associated oxidation control<br />

Higher temperature and<br />

associated oxidation control


Summary<br />

• <strong>The</strong> move towards lower SAPS, high performance oils will continue.<br />

This will continue to increase both the cost <strong>of</strong> development but also<br />

the potential for higher finished lubricant costs and greater<br />

differentiation in the marketplace.<br />

• <strong>The</strong> push for greater fuel economy will place huge technical<br />

challenges on the engine oil. We will require oils that provide fuel<br />

economy, not just for the ‘in warranty period’, but with potential<br />

legislation ensuring fuel economy over the life time <strong>of</strong> the vehicle, it<br />

is important to have fuel economy maintained even when the<br />

engines are older.<br />

• Even today, some OEM’s are exploring the possibilities <strong>of</strong> 0W-10<br />

oils with a 2.3 HTHS. If such oils are to become commonplace, it is<br />

essential we provide the necessary engine durability.<br />

• Delivering fuel economy whilst maintaining engine durability will<br />

prove to be a major challenge in the coming years. <strong>The</strong> demand on<br />

tomorrows engine oils will be greater than ever.<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved


22<br />

© <strong>The</strong> <strong>Lubrizol</strong> Corporation 2011, all rights reserved

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!