storm - Hrvatski memorijalno-dokumentacijski centar Domovinskog ...

storm - Hrvatski memorijalno-dokumentacijski centar Domovinskog ... storm - Hrvatski memorijalno-dokumentacijski centar Domovinskog ...

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tarian aid for the survivors. Th rough the Contact Group news about the imminent fall of Bihać spread from London and Paris all the way to Washington. In such a situation, taking advantage of UNPROFOR and the ceasefi re agreement in Croatia, Milan Martić, the leader of the rebel Serbs in Croatia, mobilized the rebel Croatian Serbs and called them into play. Th ey crossed the Croatian state border into neighbouring Bosnia&Herzegovina and participated in the onslaught on Bihać together with Milošević’s, Šešelj’s and Arkan’s volunteers. It was quite clear to us that aft er the fall of Bihać these forces would regroup and redeploy in the occupied Croatian areas, particularly along the line of disengagement at Karlovac. If that were to happen, many vital communications with the southern parts of Croatia would be within range of mortar fi re by the rebel Serbs. In such a case Croatia would face the most diffi cult situation since the start of the Homeland War. Th e Croatian Army could not just look on Serbian aggression against Bihać and had to react in order to prevent its fall and the subsequent military and political linkup of the occupied territories of the Republic of Croatia and Bosnia&Herzegovina into a single state entity of the rebel Serbs. Similarly, the rebel Serbs knew that the Bihać-Cazin area, totally surrounded by their forces for months and successfully defended at a high cost by the 5 th Corps of the BiH Army and the 101 st HVO regiment, represented the main obstacle to the complete military, political and economic linkup of the RSK and the RS. Because of that the fi nal destruction of the 5 th ARBiH Corps was the main military and political objective of the rebel Serbs on either side of the border. In November 1994 Bihać became the key, decisive issue determining the outcome of the war both in the Republic of Croatia and in Bosnia&Herzegovina. Th e destruction of the 5 th ARBiH Corps and the fall of Bihać would have had a direct eff ect on the line of disengagement between the Croatian Army and the rebel Serbs, and particularly on the vital logistic routes via Karlovac and Maslenica to southern Croatia. Th e Croatian Army would be faced with a very tough situation. As a matter of fact, with the fall of Bihać the Republic of Croatia would fi nd itself in a totally lost military position, and negotiations at the Contact Group level would simply become meaningless. Of course, there would have been no Flash or Storm in 1995 without the successful termination of the fi rst Bihać crisis and the prevented fall of Bihać in 1994. Because of all this, Operation Winter ’94 was without any exaggeration the turning point in the operations in this theatre, and Operations Summer ’95 and Storm its logical conclusions. In a nutshell, the Croatian Army was forced to a vigorous active defence, which started with Operation Winter ’94 in the harshest winter conditions. At the same time Croatia’s political leaders very intensively sought diplomatic avenues for resolving the crisis aff ecting the Republic of Croatia and Bosnia&Herzegovina. Aft er the signing of the Washington Agreement (18 March 1994) the United States became more strongly involved in the resolution of this, the most complex and most serious international crisis. Th at was a major challenge for the US administration, which endeavoured once again to demonstrate and prove its pivotal role on the global political scene. However, that only took place one year later, in Dayton. But at the time Dayton was far, very far away. At the time many serious international military analysts claimed, for very pragmatic reasons, that objective and realistic political solutions must take into account realities on 240

the ground, meaning, as they emphasized, the actual balance of the military forces of the warring sides. Due account needs to be taken of the fact that at the time under consideration the rebel Serbs still controlled about 25% of territory of the Republic of Croatia and almost 70% of the territory of Bosnia&Herzegovina. In such circumstances no realistic or objective international politician believed in political solutions acceptable to both belligerent sides. We knew that Karadžić, Mladić and Martić would never agree to political concessions found satisfactory by the Croats and Bosniaks until forced to do it by military force. Th erefore, everything was clear! Only a new balance of military forces on the ground could lead to new, acceptable political solutions. In this context the Serbian positions were stated most clearly by Lord Owen, Chairman of the Contact Group, who oft en pointed out: Don’t hope that you’ll get at the green table what you have not been able to win by military means. However, Lord Owen forgot that the Serbs, initially with the help of the JNA, had disarmed already in 1990 all the other republics and peoples in the former common states, and only then, together with the JNA, waged war on Slovenia, Croatia and Bosnia&Herzegovina in order to demonstrate their military power and “gallantry”. Unfortunately, just as Lord Owen did, the international community forgot all that. Th is applies in particular to the Contact Group, which was very inclined to accept the right of the stronger party to impose political solutions. And everything was clear! In the war-time conditions of the early nineteen-nineties, that was the will of the international community, and the political position of the warring sides was proportional only and exclusively to their military might and convincing performance on the ground. In keeping with this, having inherited from the JNA all the occupied parts of the Republic of Croatia and Bosnia&Herzegovina, Martić and Karadžić held - very long and too long - a highly important role in all negotiations with the international community, and particularly during the negotiations in Geneva. Th is lasted until their brutality, arrogance and intolerance was reduced to the proper political scale and position by the operations of the Croatian Army and the BiH Army in 1994 and 1995. Aware of such rules of the game, Karadžić, Mladić and Martić did their best to obtain fresh forces for the fi nal assault on Bihać through follow-on mobilization of rebel Serbs. Tension and danger of escalation and spreading of the confl ict - not only at Bihać but also along almost every front line - grew daily and hourly. Th e gravity of the situation was also confi rmed by the report of the US Ambassador in the UN, Mrs. Madeleine Albright, presented to the Security Council on 29 November 1994 at the height of the fi rst Bihać crisis: Th e Bosnian Serbs started the war, and they are the only ones to reject the Contact Group Plan on the cessation of hostilities. Karadžić’s and Mladić’s aggression on the UN safe area at Bihać is also supported by the Serbs from the so-called Krajina, who freely attack the sovereign territory of Bosnia&Herzegovina ignoring the internationally recognized border bwtween the Republic of Croatia and Bosnia&Herzegovina. Such conduct, focused on linking and uniting the areas held by the Serbs from the so-called Krajina with the areas controlled by the Bosnian Serbs could also ignite a broader Balkan war. In the same report, Mrs. Albright stressed in particular: It is a fact that the attacks on the UN safe area at Bihać originate from the Udbina air base in Croatia controlled by the rebel Croatian Serbs. All this poses a great security threat to the 241

the ground, meaning, as they emphasized, the actual balance of the military forces of the<br />

warring sides. Due account needs to be taken of the fact that at the time under consideration<br />

the rebel Serbs still controlled about 25% of territory of the Republic of Croatia and<br />

almost 70% of the territory of Bosnia&Herzegovina. In such circumstances no realistic<br />

or objective international politician believed in political solutions acceptable to both<br />

belligerent sides. We knew that Karadžić, Mladić and Martić would never agree to political<br />

concessions found satisfactory by the Croats and Bosniaks until forced to do it by<br />

military force. Th erefore, everything was clear! Only a new balance of military forces on<br />

the ground could lead to new, acceptable political solutions. In this context the Serbian<br />

positions were stated most clearly by Lord Owen, Chairman of the Contact Group, who<br />

oft en pointed out: Don’t hope that you’ll get at the green table what you have not been able<br />

to win by military means. However, Lord Owen forgot that the Serbs, initially with the<br />

help of the JNA, had disarmed already in 1990 all the other republics and peoples in the<br />

former common states, and only then, together with the JNA, waged war on Slovenia,<br />

Croatia and Bosnia&Herzegovina in order to demonstrate their military power and “gallantry”.<br />

Unfortunately, just as Lord Owen did, the international community forgot all<br />

that. Th is applies in particular to the Contact Group, which was very inclined to accept<br />

the right of the stronger party to impose political solutions. And everything was clear! In<br />

the war-time conditions of the early nineteen-nineties, that was the will of the international<br />

community, and the political position of the warring sides was proportional only<br />

and exclusively to their military might and convincing performance on the ground. In<br />

keeping with this, having inherited from the JNA all the occupied parts of the Republic<br />

of Croatia and Bosnia&Herzegovina, Martić and Karadžić held - very long and too long<br />

- a highly important role in all negotiations with the international community, and particularly<br />

during the negotiations in Geneva. Th is lasted until their brutality, arrogance<br />

and intolerance was reduced to the proper political scale and position by the operations<br />

of the Croatian Army and the BiH Army in 1994 and 1995.<br />

Aware of such rules of the game, Karadžić, Mladić and Martić did their best to obtain<br />

fresh forces for the fi nal assault on Bihać through follow-on mobilization of rebel Serbs.<br />

Tension and danger of escalation and spreading of the confl ict - not only at Bihać but<br />

also along almost every front line - grew daily and hourly.<br />

Th e gravity of the situation was also confi rmed by the report of the US Ambassador<br />

in the UN, Mrs. Madeleine Albright, presented to the Security Council on 29 November<br />

1994 at the height of the fi rst Bihać crisis: Th e Bosnian Serbs started the war, and they<br />

are the only ones to reject the Contact Group Plan on the cessation of hostilities. Karadžić’s<br />

and Mladić’s aggression on the UN safe area at Bihać is also supported by the Serbs from<br />

the so-called Krajina, who freely attack the sovereign territory of Bosnia&Herzegovina<br />

ignoring the internationally recognized border bwtween the Republic of Croatia and<br />

Bosnia&Herzegovina. Such conduct, focused on linking and uniting the areas held by the<br />

Serbs from the so-called Krajina with the areas controlled by the Bosnian Serbs could also<br />

ignite a broader Balkan war. In the same report, Mrs. Albright stressed in particular: It is<br />

a fact that the attacks on the UN safe area at Bihać originate from the Udbina air base in<br />

Croatia controlled by the rebel Croatian Serbs. All this poses a great security threat to the<br />

241

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