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Documentation of the Evaluation of CALPUFF and Other Long ...

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3.4.3 SLUG <strong>and</strong> Puff Splitting Sensitivity Tests for <strong>the</strong> 600 km Arc<br />

One issue <strong>of</strong> concern with <strong>the</strong> initial <strong>CALPUFF</strong> sensitivity tests was <strong>the</strong> large differences<br />

between <strong>the</strong> estimated residence time <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> tracer on <strong>the</strong> 600 km receptor arc in <strong>the</strong> EPA 1998<br />

<strong>and</strong> current <strong>CALPUFF</strong> simulations using <strong>the</strong> <strong>CALPUFF</strong> (CAL) turbulence dispersion options when<br />

<strong>the</strong> same meteorological observations are used as input into <strong>CALPUFF</strong>. The 1998EPA_CAL<br />

<strong>CALPUFF</strong> sensitivity simulation estimated that <strong>the</strong> tracer would remain on <strong>the</strong> 600 km receptor<br />

arc for 13 hours, which compares favorably with what was observed (12 hours) but is almost<br />

double what <strong>the</strong> BASEA_CAL simulation estimated (7 hours). In addition to updates to <strong>the</strong><br />

CALMET <strong>and</strong> <strong>CALPUFF</strong> models that have occurred over <strong>the</strong> last decade, a major difference in<br />

<strong>the</strong> 1998 EPA <strong>and</strong> current <strong>CALPUFF</strong> 600 km arc simulations was that <strong>the</strong> 1998 EPA <strong>CALPUFF</strong><br />

modeling used <strong>the</strong> near‐source slug option, whereas <strong>the</strong> current analysis did not. Ano<strong>the</strong>r<br />

major difference between <strong>the</strong> version <strong>of</strong> <strong>CALPUFF</strong> used in <strong>the</strong> 1998 EPA <strong>and</strong> current study was<br />

that <strong>CALPUFF</strong> now has <strong>the</strong> ability to perform puff splitting. In fact, it was <strong>the</strong> presence <strong>of</strong> puff<br />

splitting in <strong>CALPUFF</strong> that caused EPA to comment that <strong>CALPUFF</strong> may be applicable to distances<br />

fur<strong>the</strong>r downwind than 300 km in <strong>the</strong> 2003 air quality modeling guideline revision that led to<br />

<strong>CALPUFF</strong> being <strong>the</strong> recommended long‐range transport model for chemically inert pollutants<br />

(EPA, 2003).<br />

To investigate this issue, a series <strong>of</strong> slug <strong>and</strong> puff splitting sensitivity tests were carried out<br />

using <strong>the</strong> BASEA_CAL <strong>CALPUFF</strong>/CALMET configuration by incrementally adding <strong>the</strong> near‐source<br />

slug option (MSLUG = 1) <strong>and</strong> puff splitting option (MSPLIT = 1) to <strong>the</strong> BASEA_CAL model<br />

configuration. <strong>CALPUFF</strong> slug <strong>and</strong> puff splitting sensitivity tests were also carried out using <strong>the</strong><br />

MMIF12_CAL <strong>and</strong> MMIF12_PG model configurations. Two types <strong>of</strong> puff splitting sensitivity<br />

tests were carried out:<br />

• Default Puff Splitting (DPS) whereby <strong>the</strong> vertical puff splitting flag was turned on for just<br />

hour 17 (i.e., IRESPLIT is equal to 1 for just hour 17 <strong>and</strong> is 0 <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hours); <strong>and</strong><br />

• All hours Puff Splitting (APS) that turned on <strong>the</strong> vertical puff splitting flag for all hours <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> day (i.e., IRESPLIT has 24 values <strong>of</strong> 1).<br />

Table 3‐16 displays <strong>the</strong> tracer residence time statistic on <strong>the</strong> 600 km receptor arc for <strong>the</strong> slug<br />

<strong>and</strong> puff splitting sensitivity tests. Using <strong>the</strong> puff model formulation <strong>and</strong> no puff splitting<br />

(BASEA_CAL), <strong>CALPUFF</strong> estimates that <strong>the</strong> tracer resides on <strong>the</strong> 600 km arc for 7 hours, which is<br />

‐42% less than observed (12 hours). Using all hours puff splitting in <strong>CALPUFF</strong>, but still using <strong>the</strong><br />

puff model formation (BASEA_APS_CAL), does not affect <strong>the</strong> estimated plume residence time<br />

statistic (7 hours). However, when <strong>the</strong> slug option is used (BASEA_SLUG_CAL) <strong>the</strong> residence<br />

time <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> estimate tracer on <strong>the</strong> 600 km receptor arc more than doubles increasing from 7 to<br />

15 hours. And adding puff splitting (APS) to <strong>the</strong> slug model formulation increases <strong>the</strong> estimated<br />

tracer duration on <strong>the</strong> arc by ano<strong>the</strong>r hour (16 hours).<br />

The sensitivity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>CALPUFF</strong>/MMIF model configuration 600 km receptor arc tracer residence<br />

time statistic to <strong>the</strong> specification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> slug <strong>and</strong> puff splitting options is a little different than<br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>CALPUFF</strong>/CALMET BASEA model configuration. Whereas <strong>the</strong> <strong>CALPUFF</strong>/CALMET BASEA<br />

model configuration saw little sensitivity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> estimated tracer concentration residence time<br />

on <strong>the</strong> arc due to puff splitting, <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> default puff splitting increases <strong>the</strong> tracer<br />

residence time from 6 to 8 hours (CAL dispersion) <strong>and</strong> from 7 to 11 hours (PG dispersion) with<br />

all hours puff splitting increasing <strong>the</strong> residence time even more. The effect <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> slug option<br />

using <strong>the</strong> <strong>CALPUFF</strong>/MMIF modeling platform has a very different effect on <strong>the</strong> tracer duration<br />

time on <strong>the</strong> arc using <strong>the</strong> CAL <strong>and</strong> PG dispersion algorithms. Using <strong>the</strong> CAL dispersion option<br />

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