Documentation of the Evaluation of CALPUFF and Other Long ...
Documentation of the Evaluation of CALPUFF and Other Long ... Documentation of the Evaluation of CALPUFF and Other Long ...
Figure C‐ ‐6. Global model m perforrmance statistics for ninne HYSPLIT INITD sensitivity tests foor CAPTEX RRelease 5. The final panel in Fig gure C‐6 (botttom right) ddisplays the overall RANK statistic. TThe RANK statistics orders the model m perfoormance of tthe HYSPLIT INITD configgurations aree as follows: : 1. INNITD4 (1.82) ) 2. INNITD104 (1.8 80) 3. INNITD3 (1.79) ) 4. INNITD130 (1.7 78) 5. INNITD140 (1.7 76) 6. INNITD0 (1.75) ) 7. INNITD103 (1.6 68) 8. INNITD1 (0.94) ) 9. INNITD2 (0.88) ) 8
C.3 CAMX SENSITIVITY TESTS Following the general design of the study for the ETEX tracer database, CAMx sensitivity tests described in Section 6.4.3, thirty‐two CAMx sensitivity tests were conducted to investigate the effects of vertical diffusion, horizontal advection solvers and use of the sub‐grid scale Plume‐in‐ Grid (PiG) module on the model performance for the CAPTEX tracer experiment releases 3 and 5. In addition to the sixteen sensitivities conducted for ETEX, a similar set of sensitivity analyses were conducted using the newer ACM2 vertical diffusion scheme (Pleim, 2007; ENVIRON, 2010) introduced into CAMx as of Version 5.20 as an alternative to the more traditional fully K‐theory vertical diffusion schemes that were the only options available in previous versions of CAMx. C.3.1 SPATIAL PERFORMANCE FOR CTEX3 NOPIG EXPERIMENTS Figure C‐7 displays the CAMx spatial model performance statistics for the sensitivity tests that were run without using the PiG subgrid‐scale puff module. For the FMS statistic, the ACM2, TKE, and CMAQ Kz exhibit very similar performance (40.9%, 40.9%, and 39.4% respectively). OB70 exhibits the poorest performance with 33.5% for FMS. For the FAR statistic, ACM2/Bott has the best score (55.6%) followed by TKE/PPM and ACM2/PPM (tied at 58.5%). Overall ACM2 is the best performing vertical diffusion formulation and PPM performs better than BOTT for horizontal advection using the FAR statistic. For the POD and TS spatial statistics, the CMAQ, TKE, and ACM2 vertical diffusion algorithms perform similarly, and all are substantially better than the OB70 approach (15% lower than other vertical diffusion schemes). ACM2/BOTT has the best TS score with 28.6% followed by ACM2/PPM and TKE/PPM (tied at 28.33%). CMAQ/PPM exhibits the best POD score with 52.8% followed by CMAQ/BOTT, ACM2/PPM, and TKE/PPM (tied at 47.2%). Consistent with the ETEX spatial results, there are much smaller differences in the model performance using the two advection solvers for the POD and TS statistics compared to differences between Kz options. In summary, based on the spatial statistics, the ACM2, CMAQ, and TKE Kz algorithms appear to be performing similarly, with the older OB70 option exhibiting much poorer overall performance. The differences in vertical diffusion algorithms have a greater effect on CAMx model performance than the differences in horizontal advection solvers. 9
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C.3 CAMX SENSITIVITY TESTS<br />
Following <strong>the</strong> general design <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> study for <strong>the</strong> ETEX tracer database, CAMx sensitivity tests<br />
described in Section 6.4.3, thirty‐two CAMx sensitivity tests were conducted to investigate <strong>the</strong><br />
effects <strong>of</strong> vertical diffusion, horizontal advection solvers <strong>and</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> sub‐grid scale Plume‐in‐<br />
Grid (PiG) module on <strong>the</strong> model performance for <strong>the</strong> CAPTEX tracer experiment releases 3 <strong>and</strong><br />
5. In addition to <strong>the</strong> sixteen sensitivities conducted for ETEX, a similar set <strong>of</strong> sensitivity analyses<br />
were conducted using <strong>the</strong> newer ACM2 vertical diffusion scheme (Pleim, 2007; ENVIRON, 2010)<br />
introduced into CAMx as <strong>of</strong> Version 5.20 as an alternative to <strong>the</strong> more traditional fully K‐<strong>the</strong>ory<br />
vertical diffusion schemes that were <strong>the</strong> only options available in previous versions <strong>of</strong> CAMx.<br />
C.3.1 SPATIAL PERFORMANCE FOR CTEX3 NOPIG EXPERIMENTS<br />
Figure C‐7 displays <strong>the</strong> CAMx spatial model performance statistics for <strong>the</strong> sensitivity tests that<br />
were run without using <strong>the</strong> PiG subgrid‐scale puff module. For <strong>the</strong> FMS statistic, <strong>the</strong> ACM2,<br />
TKE, <strong>and</strong> CMAQ Kz exhibit very similar performance (40.9%, 40.9%, <strong>and</strong> 39.4% respectively).<br />
OB70 exhibits <strong>the</strong> poorest performance with 33.5% for FMS.<br />
For <strong>the</strong> FAR statistic, ACM2/Bott has <strong>the</strong> best score (55.6%) followed by TKE/PPM <strong>and</strong><br />
ACM2/PPM (tied at 58.5%). Overall ACM2 is <strong>the</strong> best performing vertical diffusion formulation<br />
<strong>and</strong> PPM performs better than BOTT for horizontal advection using <strong>the</strong> FAR statistic.<br />
For <strong>the</strong> POD <strong>and</strong> TS spatial statistics, <strong>the</strong> CMAQ, TKE, <strong>and</strong> ACM2 vertical diffusion algorithms<br />
perform similarly, <strong>and</strong> all are substantially better than <strong>the</strong> OB70 approach (15% lower than<br />
o<strong>the</strong>r vertical diffusion schemes). ACM2/BOTT has <strong>the</strong> best TS score with 28.6% followed by<br />
ACM2/PPM <strong>and</strong> TKE/PPM (tied at 28.33%). CMAQ/PPM exhibits <strong>the</strong> best POD score with 52.8%<br />
followed by CMAQ/BOTT, ACM2/PPM, <strong>and</strong> TKE/PPM (tied at 47.2%). Consistent with <strong>the</strong> ETEX<br />
spatial results, <strong>the</strong>re are much smaller differences in <strong>the</strong> model performance using <strong>the</strong> two<br />
advection solvers for <strong>the</strong> POD <strong>and</strong> TS statistics compared to differences between Kz options.<br />
In summary, based on <strong>the</strong> spatial statistics, <strong>the</strong> ACM2, CMAQ, <strong>and</strong> TKE Kz algorithms appear to<br />
be performing similarly, with <strong>the</strong> older OB70 option exhibiting much poorer overall<br />
performance. The differences in vertical diffusion algorithms have a greater effect on CAMx<br />
model performance than <strong>the</strong> differences in horizontal advection solvers.<br />
9