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Documentation of the Evaluation of CALPUFF and Other Long ...

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Based on this analysis <strong>the</strong> puff‐particle <strong>and</strong> particle‐puff hybrid configurations <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> HYSPLIT<br />

system are clearly <strong>the</strong> best performing, indicating a distinct operational advantage over pure<br />

puff or particle configurations.<br />

6.5 CONCLUSIONS OF THE MODEL PERFORMANCE EVALUATION OF THE LRT DISPERSION<br />

MODELS USING THE ETEX TRACER EXPERIMENT FIELD STUDY DATA<br />

The evaluation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> five LRT dispersion models using a common MM5 dataset <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> ETEX<br />

database has provided interesting results about <strong>the</strong> current capability <strong>of</strong> LRT models to<br />

reproduced observed tracer concentrations. Four <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> five LRT models were able to<br />

reproduce <strong>the</strong> observed tracer bifurcation at <strong>the</strong> far<strong>the</strong>r downwind distances. The <strong>CALPUFF</strong><br />

model was unable reproduce <strong>the</strong> observed bifurcation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> tracer cloud <strong>and</strong> kept <strong>the</strong><br />

estimated tracer cloud in a circular Gaussian distribution that was advected too far north.<br />

<strong>CALPUFF</strong> puff splitting sensitivity tests were performed to determine whe<strong>the</strong>r it would help<br />

simulate <strong>the</strong> bifurcation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> tracer cloud but puff splitting had little effect on <strong>the</strong> <strong>CALPUFF</strong><br />

predictions.<br />

CAMx sensitivity tests were conducted to examine vertical mixing <strong>and</strong> horizontal advection<br />

solvers <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> best performing CAMx model configuration was <strong>the</strong> one that is most frequently<br />

used in applications, which includes using <strong>the</strong> CMAQ‐like vertical diffusion coefficients in<br />

MM5CAMx <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> PPM advection solver. The vertical diffusion algorithm had a much bigger<br />

effect on CAMx model performance than <strong>the</strong> choice <strong>of</strong> horizontal advection solver.<br />

The HYSPLIT sensitivity tests with different particle‐puff variations resulted in a wide range <strong>of</strong><br />

model performance with RANK scores that varied from 1.01 to 2.09.<br />

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