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June 2004: Frankfurt Amsterdam Paris Madrid Milan Zurich London Edinburgh


<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group:<br />

2003 Highlights and Strategy<br />

Diethelm Sack<br />

Chief Financial Officer


DB Group<br />

Group portfolio overview<br />

DB Group<br />

DB <strong>AG</strong> acts as<br />

management holding<br />

Vertically integrated<br />

Group structure<br />

Rating: Aa1 / AA<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong><br />

(€ mn)<br />

Op. Income aft.<br />

Interest (€ mn)<br />

EBITDA (€ mn)<br />

Gross Capex<br />

(€ mn)<br />

Total Assets<br />

(€ mn)<br />

Employees<br />

(Dec 31, 2003)<br />

28,228<br />

-172<br />

3,092<br />

9,121<br />

47,647<br />

242,759<br />

Passenger Transport Transport & Logistics<br />

# 1 in European rail<br />

passenger transport<br />

# 1 in European<br />

public urban transp.<br />

# 1 in German bus<br />

transport<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong><br />

(€ mn)<br />

Op. Income aft.<br />

Interest (€ mn)<br />

EBITDA (€ mn)<br />

Gross Capex<br />

(€ mn)<br />

ICE-Fleet ICE fleet<br />

Locomotives<br />

11,157<br />

# 1 in European rail<br />

freight transport<br />

# 1 in European land<br />

transport<br />

# 3 in sea freight<br />

# 5 in airfreight<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong><br />

(€ mn)<br />

Op. Income aft.<br />

Interest (€ mn)<br />

EBITDA (€ mn)<br />

Gross Capex<br />

(€ mn)<br />

Freight cars<br />

Locomotives<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

-34<br />

997<br />

1,304<br />

215<br />

2,400<br />

10,804<br />

288<br />

694<br />

537<br />

109,000<br />

3,200<br />

Infrastructure Services<br />

Largest rail track<br />

infrastructure in<br />

Europe<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong><br />

(€ mn)<br />

Op. Income aft.<br />

Interest (€ mn)<br />

EBITDA (€ mn)<br />

Gross Capex<br />

(€ mn)<br />

Length of lines<br />

operated (km)<br />

Passenger<br />

Stations<br />

522<br />

-269<br />

921<br />

6,884<br />

35,593<br />

5,665<br />

Supporting service<br />

functions<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong><br />

(€ mn)<br />

Op. Income aft.<br />

Interest (€ mn)<br />

EBITDA (€ mn)<br />

Gross Capex<br />

(€ mn)<br />

259<br />

119<br />

384<br />

245<br />

Data as of Financial Year 2003<br />

3


DB Group<br />

2003 highlights<br />

Operational Improvements vs. 2002<br />

Productivity: +3.5%<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong> (comparable): +2.0%<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong>: +51.1%<br />

EBITDA before special burden<br />

compensation: € +1,071 mn<br />

Operating income<br />

after interest: € +282 mn<br />

Successful integration of Stinnes<br />

Continued high-level capital<br />

expenditure activities<br />

Roll-out of traveler information<br />

system started<br />

Launch of RhineNeckar S-<strong>Bahn</strong> (metro)<br />

and Rodgau S-<strong>Bahn</strong> (metro)<br />

First -<br />

rate<br />

railway<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Market and Competition<br />

Passenger transport<br />

Market share gains in shrinking market<br />

Transport performance below previous year (-0.4%)<br />

Logistics (Schenker):<br />

further growth<br />

Rail freight • Wachstumschancen transport (Railion) durch<br />

Slight market<br />

Geschäftsausweitung<br />

share gains<br />

Focus on<br />

Transport<br />

insbesondere<br />

performance<br />

im<br />

increase<br />

Personen-<br />

(+2.4%)<br />

value<br />

generation<br />

verkehr sowie Logistik<br />

Further portfolio consolidation<br />

(sale of Brenntag, Stinnes-Interfer)<br />

Refocusing of real estate activities (sale<br />

of major real estate portfolio to Aurelis)<br />

Reorganization of Group Passenger Transport<br />

division and new Group divisions Transport and<br />

Logistics and Services<br />

Major Events Group Portfolio<br />

4


DB Group<br />

Progress since start of German Rail Reform<br />

EBITDA before compensation payments<br />

(€ million)<br />

2003 vs. 2002: € +1.1 bn<br />

since 1994: € +5.1 bn<br />

Gross capital expenditures (€ million)<br />

35<br />

427<br />

1,264<br />

1,433<br />

- 445<br />

- 910<br />

-1,520<br />

-2,014<br />

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

2003 vs. 2002: -8.7%<br />

7,128<br />

7,329<br />

7,771<br />

7,136<br />

7,660<br />

8,372<br />

6,892<br />

7,110<br />

2,021<br />

9,994<br />

3,092<br />

9,121<br />

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Productivity - rail (thousand ptkm per employee)<br />

2003 vs. 2002: +3.5%<br />

since 1993: +163%<br />

328<br />

413 468 533 603 656 699<br />

Transport<br />

and Logistics<br />

4%<br />

Passenger<br />

Transport<br />

19%<br />

Passenger<br />

Stations<br />

5%<br />

Other<br />

9%<br />

798<br />

840 833 862<br />

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

Capital expenditure structure 1994 - 2003 (%)<br />

since 1994:<br />

approx. € 79 bn<br />

Track<br />

Infrastructure<br />

63%<br />

5


DB Group<br />

Strategic goals and value management<br />

Strategic Goals<br />

„DB Campaign“<br />

Restructuring<br />

Performance<br />

Growth<br />

+<br />

Intensive capex and modernization<br />

programs in FY 2001-03<br />

Completion of German Rail Reform<br />

in FY 2004<br />

Readiness for IPO<br />

Operating loss due to<br />

modernization program in<br />

FY 2001-03<br />

Return to positive figures in FY<br />

2004<br />

Operating income after interest:<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Profitability Value Management<br />

232 247 327<br />

273<br />

171<br />

-87<br />

199<br />

-204<br />

-454<br />

-172<br />

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005ff<br />

Value management system (ROCE)<br />

and target ratios implemented in FY<br />

1999<br />

Low ROCE in FYs 2001-03<br />

Mid-term goal: 10%<br />

1.6% 1.5%<br />

0.4% 0.1%<br />

WACC (9%)<br />

Target rate (10%)<br />

10%<br />

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Midterm<br />

6


DB Group<br />

Internationalization strategy driven by business characteristics<br />

Current position of Group divisions (GD)<br />

Global / international<br />

business<br />

GD Transport and Logistics<br />

Schenker<br />

Freight Logistics<br />

Intermodal<br />

Railion<br />

Mainly domestic business GD Passenger Transport<br />

Long-Distance<br />

Regional<br />

Urban<br />

Domestic business GD Passenger Stations<br />

GD Track Infrastructure<br />

GD Services<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Further potential for internationalization<br />

Focus: further strengthening of network and<br />

logistics competence<br />

Selective additions in core business<br />

segments (mainly acquisitions)<br />

JV Railion as open platform for additional<br />

partners; further supplements through<br />

international cooperations<br />

Focus: business optimization + defending<br />

our dominant domestic market position<br />

Selective internationalization in longdistance,<br />

regional and urban transport<br />

Focus: optimization of domestic business<br />

Increasing attractiveness of stations<br />

Elimination of bottlenecks and<br />

modernization of command and control<br />

technology<br />

Cost reductions in GD Services<br />

7


Group Passenger Transport Division<br />

Overview<br />

#1 in European rail passenger<br />

transport (2003 / most recent, € bn)<br />

DB Group<br />

SNCF (F)<br />

FS (I)*<br />

SBB (CH)<br />

NS Group (NL)<br />

Highlights<br />

1.6<br />

1.2<br />

2.0<br />

11.2<br />

10.9<br />

*as of FY 2000<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Air<br />

Rail<br />

Public<br />

transp.<br />

Car<br />

1%<br />

8%<br />

9%<br />

82%<br />

DB<br />

97 %<br />

=70 bn<br />

pkm<br />

Other 3%<br />

Dominant position in domestic rail passenger market - major player in Europe<br />

Full-range services with 3 business units:<br />

Market share, domestic<br />

(2003, %, pkm)<br />

long-distance transport<br />

regional transport<br />

urban transport<br />

Market share growth from 7.1% to 8.1% since 1993<br />

Defending our dominant market position in long-distance / regional transport,<br />

growth opportunities in urban transport sector<br />

Growth of transport market in<br />

Germany since 1993 (%, pkm)<br />

Air<br />

Rail (DB)<br />

Car<br />

Public<br />

transp.<br />

-6%<br />

-5%<br />

€ 11,157 million<br />

Regional +<br />

Urban<br />

73%<br />

+11%<br />

+38%<br />

Market: -4.1%<br />

Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />

Long-distance<br />

27%<br />

8


Group Passenger Transport Division<br />

Long-distance transport unit<br />

Key characteristics<br />

Mainly domestic business - cross-border services through cooperations;<br />

dominant market position in Germany (intramodal >95%)<br />

Targets: organic growth + defending our market position<br />

FY 2003: net loss due to weak economy and tough competition from market<br />

entries of low-cost airlines<br />

Integration into mobility chains; special value-added services, such as lounges<br />

and CityTicket<br />

Improved services, yield management / selective price adjustments<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

€ 2,993 million<br />

Programs / Measures to improve profitability Value drivers<br />

New pricing system („EconomyPrices“, „<strong>Bahn</strong>Card“) + programs, e.g.<br />

“Surf&Rail“<br />

Optimization of marketing / distribution system<br />

Ongoing efficiency improvements and overhead optimization<br />

Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />

ICE<br />

50%<br />

Transport performance,<br />

specific revenues<br />

Transport performance,<br />

utilization rate<br />

Cost of operations<br />

IC/EC/IR/D<br />

27%<br />

Other<br />

23%<br />

Multiple ways to access ticketing,<br />

cost of distribution systems<br />

9


Group Passenger Transport Division<br />

Regional transport unit<br />

Key characteristics<br />

Mainly domestic business - #1 in Europe (revenues, pkm)<br />

Dominant position in domestic market (intramodal >90%)<br />

Target: maintain intra- / intermodal market position<br />

Protecting market position by long-term ordered-services agreements (federal<br />

states with “Public interest obligations”) and superior quality of services<br />

Stable revenue base through ordered-service agreements<br />

Further fleet modernization<br />

Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />

Optimization of service offerings and yield management<br />

Modernization and standardization of fleet<br />

Gaining of new long-term ordered-services agreements<br />

Ongoing efficiency improvements + further overhead optimization<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />

€ 6,427 million<br />

Orderedservice<br />

agreements<br />

66%<br />

Value drivers<br />

Passenger fares<br />

34%<br />

Passenger fare level, transport<br />

performance, utilization rate<br />

Cost of operations<br />

Reliability of capex decisions,<br />

optimization of production<br />

Cost of operations,<br />

personnel expenses<br />

10


Group Passenger Transport Division<br />

Urban transport unit<br />

Key characteristics<br />

Mainly domestic business - Business unit established in Jan 2004 (bus<br />

companies + Berlin/Hamburg metro systems)<br />

# 1 position in regional bus and metro transport; market share of approx. 12%<br />

in highly fragmented (bus) market<br />

Target: gaining further market share during market consolidation phase<br />

Service offerings complementary to long-distance / regional transport services<br />

Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />

Further organic growth<br />

Optimization of local services (independent / with other local companies)<br />

Acquisitions to strengthen business portfolio<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Revenue structure (%)<br />

€ 1,737 million<br />

Orderedservice<br />

agreements<br />

17%<br />

Bus<br />

62%<br />

Value drivers<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong>, utilization rate<br />

Cost of operations<br />

Passenger<br />

fares metro<br />

21%<br />

11


Group Transport and Logistics Division<br />

Overview<br />

#1 in European land<br />

transport<br />

Schenker<br />

DHL<br />

Geodis<br />

DSV/DFDS<br />

Dachser<br />

Highlights<br />

1.1%<br />

1.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

2.3%<br />

2.1%<br />

(revenues,<br />

%, 2003)<br />

#1 in European rail<br />

freight transport<br />

Railion<br />

SNCF (F)<br />

PKP (PL)<br />

FS (I)<br />

ÖBB (A)<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

17<br />

23<br />

46<br />

50<br />

80<br />

(2002 / 2001,<br />

tkm bn)<br />

Integrated provider of transport and logistics services with global network<br />

Market-focused organizational structure with 4 business units:<br />

Schenker<br />

Freight Logistics<br />

Intermodal<br />

Railion<br />

Process optimization / further development of product portfolio / systematic<br />

expansion of networks / further strengthening of logistics operations<br />

#3 in global sea transport #5 in global air freight<br />

K&N<br />

DPWN<br />

Schenker<br />

Panalpina<br />

Exel<br />

1.9%<br />

2.7%<br />

2.6%<br />

3.7%<br />

4.7%<br />

(TEU,<br />

%, 2003)<br />

€ 10.8 bn<br />

Schenker<br />

63%<br />

DPWN<br />

Panalpina<br />

Exel<br />

K&N<br />

Schenker<br />

2.9%<br />

2.5%<br />

3.9%<br />

Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />

Railion<br />

28%<br />

5.4%<br />

Freight<br />

Logistics<br />

8%<br />

6.6%<br />

(freight volume,<br />

%, 2002)<br />

Intermodal +<br />

Other<br />

1%<br />

12


Group Transport and Logistics Division<br />

Business units<br />

bulk goods<br />

Freight Logistics unit Schenker unit<br />

Intermodal unit Railion unit<br />

NCS 2)<br />

1) net of capital goods<br />

2) existing investment<br />

Coal and steel<br />

Construction<br />

materials<br />

Chemicals / BTT<br />

Commodities 1)<br />

Retail business<br />

packaged goods<br />

Land Operations/<br />

Logistics<br />

Air & Sea /<br />

Logistics<br />

Railog 2)<br />

Schenker Automotive<br />

RailNet GmbH<br />

ATG 2)<br />

STINNES <strong>AG</strong><br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Sales<br />

combined rail/road<br />

transport operator<br />

Combined rail/road<br />

transport<br />

Sales Railion<br />

Rail freight transport<br />

Railion Deutschland<br />

Railion Nederland<br />

Railion Danmark<br />

13


Group Transport and Logistics Division<br />

Schenker unit<br />

Key characteristics<br />

Global business<br />

Market leader in European land transport, strong position in global air and<br />

sea freight<br />

In addition warehousing, value added services and special-purpose logistics,<br />

industrial fair and Olympic Games logistics<br />

Targets: maintain and strengthen market position / continued enhancement of<br />

product and network quality as well as extension of logistics competence<br />

Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />

€ 6,856 million<br />

Air + Sea<br />

Freight<br />

national<br />

9%<br />

Air + Sea<br />

Freight<br />

international<br />

33%<br />

Value drivers<br />

Further organic growth <strong>Revenues</strong>, transport volume<br />

Land<br />

Transport<br />

international<br />

45%<br />

Land Transport<br />

national<br />

13%<br />

Network extension and acquisitions in key markets Market share, economies of scale<br />

Restructuring of processes and IT systems Productivity, cost structure<br />

14


Group Transport and Logistics Division<br />

Railion unit<br />

Key characteristics<br />

Growing European business; international<br />

expansion based on domestic strength<br />

#1 in European rail freight transport<br />

Railion as an open platform; cooperations<br />

with other railways<br />

Refocused on carrier function<br />

Participation in market growth/ongoing<br />

liberalization in Europe<br />

Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />

Growth of transport market in<br />

Germany since 1993 (%, tkm)<br />

Trucking<br />

Rail (DB)<br />

Ship<br />

Railion<br />

(total)<br />

+24%<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

+1%<br />

+15%<br />

Restructuring / optimization of production processes, in particular restructuring<br />

of single freight car business (e.g. Project PRP)<br />

Improved cooperation among Railion subsidiaries in different countries<br />

Continuation of cost cutting measures (operative and overheads)<br />

+83%<br />

Market:<br />

+54.7%<br />

Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />

€ 2,987 million<br />

Railion<br />

Nederland<br />

5%<br />

Railion<br />

Danmark<br />

2%<br />

Value driver<br />

Productivity, cost structure,<br />

utilization rate<br />

Traffic points served,<br />

cost structure, productivity<br />

Product campaign in unit train transport and in single freight car business Production processes<br />

Railion<br />

Deutschland<br />

93%<br />

15


Group Track Infrastructure Division<br />

Overview<br />

Key characteristics<br />

Domestic business<br />

Non-discriminatory access since 1994<br />

Europe-wide synchronized timetables;<br />

mutual activities of European railways to<br />

improve interoperability<br />

Modernization/optimization of infrastructure<br />

Capex focus on existing network/<br />

command and control technology<br />

Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />

Network size<br />

(2002, thousand km)<br />

Efficiency improvements incl. headcount adjustments resulting from<br />

modernization programs<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Revenue structure incl.<br />

intra-Group revenues 2003 (%)<br />

€ 3,774 million<br />

Regional +<br />

Urban<br />

57%<br />

Railion<br />

17%<br />

Other<br />

1%<br />

Third-party<br />

railways<br />

7%<br />

Long-distance<br />

18%<br />

Cost structure, in particular,<br />

personnel expenses<br />

Optimization of track infrastructure for future transport needs Maintenance expenses<br />

Continuation of cost-cutting efforts (operating and overhead costs)<br />

Value drivers<br />

Implementation of GSM-R (Global Standard of Mobile Communication, Rail) Cost of operations<br />

DB<br />

SNCF /<br />

RFF (F)<br />

FS (I)<br />

RENFE (E)<br />

CD (CZ)<br />

9.5<br />

12.3<br />

16.0<br />

29.4<br />

35.8<br />

16


Group Passenger Stations Division<br />

Overview<br />

Key characteristics<br />

Domestic business<br />

Open non-discriminatory access for non-Group railroads since 1994<br />

Target: increasing attractiveness and profitability of passenger stations<br />

Capex / Modernization initiative in cooperation with federal government and<br />

federal states<br />

Immediate action program: cleanliness, safety and customer satisfaction<br />

Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />

Increasing rental income from existing portfolio and additional income from<br />

completion of newly-built / modernized stations<br />

Overall efficiency programs / optimized energy management<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Revenue structure incl.<br />

intra-Group revenues 2003 (%)<br />

€ 852 million<br />

Long-distance<br />

11%<br />

Rental<br />

30%<br />

Value drivers<br />

Other<br />

2%<br />

Rental income,<br />

reduction of vacancies<br />

Portfolio-management for optimization of concourse buildings Maintenance expenses<br />

Regional +<br />

Urban<br />

52%<br />

Third-party<br />

5%<br />

17


Outlook<br />

DB Group - on track for IPO<br />

German Rail Reform 1 st stage:<br />

incorporation of DB <strong>AG</strong><br />

1994 1999<br />

Establishing entrepreneurial<br />

structures, roll-out<br />

Achievements:<br />

Sustainable participation in<br />

market growth<br />

Significant efficiency<br />

improvements (since 1994 a<br />

total of € 5.1 billion)<br />

Benefit to German taxpayers<br />

compared to structures prior to<br />

German Rail Reform > € 108<br />

billion<br />

German Rail Reform 2 nd stage:<br />

transparent structures<br />

“DB 2001 Campaign” - Restructuring,<br />

Performance, Growth<br />

Strategic direction:<br />

“DB Campaign” - restructuring,<br />

performance, growth: improved<br />

competitiveness and portfolio<br />

focus on profitable business<br />

segments<br />

Increased capital expenditures<br />

and enhanced modernization<br />

efforts<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

2004<br />

Completion of<br />

German Rail Reform<br />

2004<br />

2005/2006<br />

Readiness for IPO<br />

Leading international mobility,<br />

transport and logistics provider<br />

Generating further growth:<br />

Sound growth prospects for<br />

relevant market segments<br />

Strengthening of Stinnes´ position<br />

as a leading global transport and<br />

logistics player<br />

Positioning as a leading<br />

European player in passenger<br />

transport<br />

18


<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group:<br />

Financial Situation and Capital Markets Activities<br />

Wolfgang Reuter<br />

Group Treasurer


Financial Year 2003<br />

General remarks<br />

Economic<br />

environment<br />

Third-party<br />

infrastructure<br />

utilization<br />

Comparability<br />

to previous<br />

financial year<br />

Ongoing economic slow-down in domestic core market,<br />

Germany as well as in Euro zone<br />

Postponement of trucking toll until beginning of<br />

2005/2006<br />

Increasing third-party utilization of DB infrastructure<br />

First-time full-year inclusion of Stinnes<br />

Reporting of non core activities: Brenntag / Interfer FY 2003 under segment Other,<br />

divestiture in FY 2004<br />

Transfer of non-core real estate assets to Aurelis<br />

In 2002 expiration of federal compensation payments (last payment in 2002, € 443 mn)<br />

Segment reporting reflects current corporate structure<br />

Group Transport and Logistics division: consolidation of former Group division<br />

Freight Transport with Stinnes / Schenker<br />

Group Services division: bundling of all major service companies / business units<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

D GDP 2002 2003<br />

Germany 0.2% -0.1%<br />

Euro zone 0.9% 0.4%<br />

TOCs*<br />

Number 260 280<br />

Train-path km (mn) 50.2 70.4<br />

* train operating companies (third-party)<br />

20


Financial Year 2003<br />

Development of transport performance<br />

Growth rates, passenger transport in Germany<br />

(%)<br />

Rail (DB)<br />

Air<br />

(domestic)<br />

Car<br />

Public<br />

transport<br />

Rail passenger transport (pkm billion)<br />

69.8<br />

-3.0<br />

-0.4<br />

69.5<br />

2002 2003<br />

+0.5<br />

Total market<br />

2003 vs. 2002: -2.4%<br />

2003 vs. 2002: -0.4%<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

+5.0<br />

DB market share intermodal: 8%<br />

DB market share intramodal: >95%<br />

Growth rates, freight transport in Germany (%)<br />

Rail (DB)<br />

Trucking<br />

Ship<br />

Rail freight tansport (tkm billion)<br />

78.0<br />

-9.0<br />

79.9<br />

2002 2003<br />

+2.1<br />

+2.0<br />

Total market<br />

2003 vs. 2002: +1.0%<br />

2003 vs. 2002: +2.4%<br />

DB market share intermodal: 16%<br />

DB market share intramodal:~93%<br />

21


Financial Year 2003<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong><br />

<strong>Revenues</strong> (€ million)<br />

18,685<br />

15,575 15,890<br />

2002 2003<br />

total<br />

comparable<br />

28,228<br />

total<br />

comparable<br />

Change: +51.1%<br />

Comparable: +2.0%<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />

( ) previous year<br />

Passenger<br />

Transport<br />

40%<br />

(60%)<br />

Other*<br />

19%<br />

(8%)<br />

Services<br />

1%<br />

(1%)<br />

Transport<br />

and<br />

Logistics<br />

38%<br />

(29%)<br />

Passenger<br />

Stations<br />

1%<br />

(1%)<br />

Track Infrastructure<br />

1%<br />

(1%)<br />

* other activities including Benntag/Interfer and consolidation: € 5,486 million<br />

22


Financial Year 2003<br />

Gross capital expenditures<br />

Gross capital expenditures<br />

(€ million)<br />

9,994<br />

9,054*<br />

9,121<br />

2002 2003<br />

total<br />

comparable<br />

total<br />

* in 2002 non-recurring item, repurchase of<br />

telecommunication assets of Arcor (€ 940 million)<br />

Change: -8.7%<br />

Comparable: +0.7%<br />

Gross capex / revenues: 32.3%<br />

Break down (%)<br />

( ) previous year<br />

Other<br />

1%<br />

(


Financial Year 2003<br />

Operating income after interest<br />

Operating income after interest<br />

(€ million)<br />

-454<br />

-172<br />

2002 2003<br />

Change: € +282 million<br />

-34<br />

Passenger<br />

Transport<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Performance of Group divisions* (€ million)<br />

= change year on year<br />

- 259 +222 +256 +222<br />

288<br />

Transport<br />

and<br />

Logistics<br />

38<br />

Passenger<br />

Stations<br />

-307<br />

Track Infrastructure<br />

* other activities including Benntag / Interfer and consolidation: € -276 million (previous<br />

year: € -139 million)<br />

- 22<br />

119<br />

Services<br />

24


Financial Year 2003<br />

Balance sheet structure<br />

Balance sheet structure (as of Dec 31, 2003)<br />

Assets Equity and Liabilities<br />

Fixed<br />

assets<br />

(+4.0%)<br />

86.8%<br />

41.4<br />

Current<br />

assets (-0.0%) 12.9% 6.1<br />

Prepay./Acc. Inc.* (+38.3%) 0.3% 0.1<br />

Total<br />

(± 2002)<br />

(+3.5%)<br />

(±%) = relative change to previous year<br />

share<br />

100.0%<br />

€ billion<br />

47.6<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Equity 5.1<br />

Interest-free<br />

loans<br />

Provisions<br />

Interest-bearing<br />

debt<br />

Other<br />

liabilities<br />

Acc./Def. Inc.*<br />

Total<br />

*incl. rounding differences<br />

(± 2002)<br />

(-11.1%)<br />

(-1.0%)<br />

(+3.5%)<br />

share<br />

30.8%<br />

1.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

€ billion<br />

(-2.8%) 15.8% 7.5<br />

14.7<br />

(+15.2%) 26.7% 12.7<br />

(+17.1%)<br />

(-4.7%)<br />

10.7%<br />

14.2%<br />

6.8<br />

0.8<br />

47.6<br />

25


Financial Year 2003<br />

Equity and interest-bearing debt<br />

Equity (€ million)<br />

5,708<br />

5,076<br />

2002 2003<br />

Change:<br />

Ziel-ROCE Kapitalkosten<br />

-11.1%<br />

in % of total assets 2003: 10.7%<br />

Interest-bearing debt (€ million)<br />

11,051<br />

2002 2003<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

12,731<br />

Change:<br />

Ziel-ROCE Kapitalkosten<br />

+15.2%<br />

in % of total assets 2003 : 26.7%<br />

Notes<br />

Change in equity:<br />

Decline through negative<br />

net income and offset of<br />

goodwill<br />

Interest-bearing debt:<br />

Capital market activities,<br />

fund raising € 2.1 bn<br />

Development as scheduled:<br />

Current performance in<br />

accordance with plan<br />

announced in 2001<br />

Target: Improvement of ratios in<br />

upcoming years<br />

26


Financial Year 2003<br />

Value management<br />

ROCE (%)<br />

0.1%<br />

1.5%<br />

10%<br />

2002 2003 Target<br />

Redemption coverage (%)<br />

11.0%<br />

12.6%<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

30%<br />

2002 2003 Target<br />

Gearing (%)<br />

Ziel-ROCE<br />

EBIT<br />

Kapitalkosten<br />

Operating cash flow<br />

Ziel-Tilgungsdeckung<br />

Net financial debt<br />

Ziel für Gearing<br />

Capital Employed<br />

Net financial debt incl. leasing Book value equity<br />

257%<br />

320%<br />

100%<br />

2002 2003 Target<br />

27


Development Since Start of German Rail Reform<br />

Productivity<br />

Productivity - rail (thousand ptkm / employee)<br />

328<br />

127<br />

388<br />

413<br />

135<br />

327<br />

299<br />

603<br />

261<br />

533 239<br />

468<br />

140<br />

139<br />

144<br />

145<br />

656<br />

221<br />

+ 163%<br />

699<br />

144<br />

206<br />

798<br />

155<br />

194<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

840 833<br />

862<br />

184 177 173<br />

155 148 149<br />

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

ptkm (billion) Employees - rail (thousand, annual average) Productivity<br />

Notes<br />

163% productivity<br />

increase since<br />

beginning of German<br />

Rail Reform<br />

Transport<br />

performance:<br />

pkm: +11%<br />

tkm: +24%<br />

Employees rail:<br />

-215,000 (-55%)<br />

28


Development Since Start of German Rail Reform<br />

EBITDA before compensation payments<br />

EBITDA (€ million)<br />

1,248<br />

-2,014<br />

1,401<br />

-1,520<br />

1,658<br />

-910<br />

1,920<br />

-445<br />

1,997<br />

3,262 2,921 2,568 2,365 1,962<br />

427<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

35<br />

€ +5.1 bn<br />

2,036<br />

2,492<br />

1,264<br />

2,271<br />

1,433<br />

2,464<br />

2,021<br />

3,092<br />

1,609 1,228 838 443 0<br />

EBITDA before compensation payments<br />

Compensation payments<br />

EBITDA after compensation payments<br />

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

Notes<br />

Reduction of<br />

government<br />

compensation<br />

payments in the<br />

amount of € 3.3 bn<br />

Increase of EBITDA<br />

before compensation<br />

payments of<br />

€ 5.1 bn or<br />

approx. € 0.6 bn p.a.<br />

EBITDA margin<br />

improved from<br />

-13.6% to +11.0%<br />

Increase of EBIT of<br />

€ 3.5 bn or<br />

€ 385 million p.a.<br />

29


Financial Year 2004 / 1 st Quarter<br />

General remarks<br />

Economic<br />

environment<br />

Regulatory<br />

environment<br />

Activities<br />

Slight recovery in German home market<br />

Competitive environment in mobility, transport and<br />

logistics markets<br />

Further increase in transport performance of thirdparty<br />

TOCs on DB infrastructure expected for 2004<br />

Close focus on core business<br />

Brenntag / Stinnes-Interfer: sale to Bain Capital (Jan 1, 2004)<br />

MITROPA <strong>AG</strong>: sale to Compass Group (April 1, 2004)<br />

Service and Quality as main focus in FY 2004, in particular increasing punctuality<br />

Efficient capital allocation through refocusing capital expenditures<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

D GDP Q1 04*<br />

Germany 0.4%<br />

* vs. previous year<br />

TOCs**<br />

Train-path km (mn) 21<br />

** train operating companies (third-party)<br />

Decline of federal infrastructure funding in the amount of € 0.6 billion in FY 2004<br />

and further decline until 2008<br />

Premature repayment of interest-free loans of approx. € 2 billion (nominal value) planned<br />

30


Financial Year 2004 / 1 st Quarter<br />

Key data<br />

Transport performance (ptkm bn)<br />

35.6<br />

19.2<br />

16.4<br />

21.0<br />

16.6<br />

1Q 2003 1Q 2004<br />

Gross capital expenditures (€ million)<br />

1,327<br />

37.6<br />

1,280<br />

1Q 2003 1Q 2004<br />

Passenger transport: +1.2%<br />

Rail freight transport: +9.4%<br />

Rail freight transport<br />

Passenger transport<br />

Change: -3.5%<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong> (€ million)<br />

6,919<br />

5,513<br />

Operating income after interest (€ million)<br />

-120<br />

5,727<br />

1Q 2003 1Q 2004<br />

-82<br />

1Q 2003 1Q 2004<br />

Change: -17.2%<br />

Comparable: +3.9%<br />

total<br />

comparable<br />

Change: € +38 million<br />

31


Future Capex and Financing<br />

Financing requirements<br />

Financing requirements and cash flow 2004 - 08 (€ bn)<br />

1.3<br />

1.1<br />

0.2<br />

-1.1<br />

1.0<br />

1.6<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

0.7<br />

1.9<br />

1.5<br />

2004 P 2005 P 2006 P 2007 P 2008 P<br />

1.2<br />

Redemption of interest-free federal loans<br />

(present value)<br />

Financing requirements<br />

Expiring debt instruments<br />

Cash flow after capex<br />

* Cash flow after capex = income before taxes + depreciation + change in pension provisions - capex funded by DB<br />

Notes<br />

Capital markets<br />

activities<br />

2004<br />

supplement to<br />

self-financing and<br />

redemption of interestfree<br />

federal loans<br />

2006 - 2008<br />

partial refinancing of<br />

bonds, depending on<br />

dividend and earnings<br />

retention policy<br />

DB will continue to tap<br />

the capital markets<br />

32


Financing 2004 - 08<br />

Rating and refinancing structure<br />

Current rating<br />

Excellent rating:<br />

Moody´s: Aa1 / stable<br />

S&P: AA / stable<br />

Interest bearing debt<br />

(as of 31 Dec, 2003)<br />

€ 12.7 bn<br />

Bonds MTN<br />

40%<br />

Other<br />

16%<br />

Other bonds<br />

29%<br />

EUROFIMA<br />

15%<br />

Major refinancing activities in 2003 / 2004<br />

Duplication of debt issuance and CP program to € 10 bn and € 2 bn, respectively<br />

Issue 2003: 12 year bond: initial offering € 500 mn / € 200 mn increase<br />

Issue 2003: 15 year bond: initial offering € 500 mn / € 200 mn increase<br />

€ 400 m EIB loan to DB Netz <strong>AG</strong><br />

Issue 2004: 7 year bond: $ 250 mn and 10 year bond: ¥ 5 bn<br />

Maturity profile bonds / EUROFIMA (€ billion)<br />

as of Dec 31, 2003<br />

in 2004<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

< 0.1<br />

0.7<br />

1.6<br />

1.2<br />

2.0<br />

1.0<br />

0.3<br />

as of Dec 31, 2003 bonds<br />

and EUROFIMA with<br />

together € 10.6 bn represent<br />

83.5 % of total interestbearing<br />

debt<br />

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018<br />

1.1<br />

0.8<br />

0.5<br />

0.7<br />

1.0<br />

Currency structure of<br />

MTN program (%)<br />

€ 5.3 bn<br />

as of May 31, 2004<br />

Other<br />

4%<br />

JPY<br />

2%<br />

EUR<br />

59%<br />

USD<br />

15%<br />

CHF<br />

20%<br />

33


DB Group<br />

Focus on preserving our rating<br />

Very good<br />

rating<br />

Obligations of<br />

federal and<br />

state<br />

governments<br />

No. 1 mobility<br />

service<br />

provider<br />

Operating<br />

performance<br />

Rating: Moody´s (Aa1) / S&P (AA)<br />

Intention to maintain strong business and financial profile<br />

Obligations of the federal Republic of Germany as defined under Art. 87e of the Basic Law<br />

„Infrastructure obligations“: Funding of infrastructure capex, approx. € 3 bn p.a.<br />

„Public interest obligations“: supply of funds to federal states for ordering local<br />

passenger transport services, approx. € 6.7 bn p.a.<br />

Privatization hurdle of 49.9% shares (majority shareholding)<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> is the principal provider of mobility in Germany and the largest transport<br />

and logistics company in Europe with extensive global transport activities<br />

Stable cash flows due to long-term service contracts with federal states (revenue share in<br />

2003: 16%)<br />

Vertical integration a major business success factor<br />

Productivity increased by 163%, EBITDA before special burden compensation<br />

payments increased by € 5.1 bn and EBIT increased by € 3.5 bn since beginning of<br />

German Rail Reform<br />

Sound financing structure and conservative funding strategy<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

34

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