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National Minimum Wage

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<strong>National</strong> <strong>Minimum</strong> <strong>Wage</strong><br />

62<br />

Figure 2.21: Productivity per Hour, by Selected Low-paying Industry, UK, 1998-2011<br />

Change on a year earlier (per cent)<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

-2<br />

-4<br />

-6<br />

-8<br />

1998 Q1<br />

1998 Q3<br />

1999 Q1<br />

1999 Q3<br />

2000 Q1<br />

2000 Q3<br />

2001 Q1<br />

2001 Q3<br />

2002 Q1<br />

2002 Q3<br />

2003 Q1<br />

2003 Q3<br />

2004 Q1<br />

2004 Q3<br />

2005 Q1<br />

2005 Q3<br />

2006 Q1<br />

2006 Q3<br />

2007 Q1<br />

2007 Q3<br />

2008 Q1<br />

2008 Q3<br />

2009 Q1<br />

2009 Q3<br />

2010 Q1<br />

2010 Q3<br />

2011 Q1<br />

2011 Q3<br />

Quarter<br />

Whole economy Wholesale and retail<br />

Food, drink and tobacco<br />

Hotels and restaurants<br />

Source: ONS, output per hour for the whole economy (LZVD); wholesale and retail (DJQ6); hotels and restaurants (DJR4); food, drink<br />

and tobacco (DJL3); quarterly, seasonally adjusted, UK, Q1 1998-Q3 2011.<br />

Research on Productivity<br />

2.110 In contrast to the availability of detailed information on individual earnings and employment,<br />

there is a lack of detailed datasets on individual firms. This has proved to be a substantial<br />

barrier for researchers wishing to investigate the impact of the minimum wage on<br />

productivity, prices and profits. Thus, the body of literature on the impact of the minimum<br />

wage on competitiveness is much thinner than on employment. However, a small number of<br />

studies have been able to investigate these issues using a variety of methods and data<br />

sources. Industry and plant-level data from the Annual Business Inquiry (ABI), the Annual<br />

Respondents Database (ARD) and Financial Analysis Made Easy (FAME) have generally been<br />

used. In addition, a couple of studies have generated their own data using a survey of care<br />

homes.<br />

2.111 For our last report we commissioned Croucher and Rizov (2011) who used FAME from<br />

1996-2009 and found that, in general, the NMW had a significant positive impact on<br />

aggregate productivity in the low-paying sectors. They found that the strongest positive<br />

productivity effects were in large firms while the smallest firms showed the weakest effects.<br />

Using the same data source but for an earlier period, Draca, Machin and Van Reenen (2005)<br />

had also found a positive association between the introduction of the minimum wage and<br />

productivity growth but it was not statistically significant.<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

-2<br />

-4<br />

-6<br />

-8

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