Predicting Weather By The Moon - Xavier University Libraries

Predicting Weather By The Moon - Xavier University Libraries Predicting Weather By The Moon - Xavier University Libraries

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Weather By The Moon ern Hemisphere and began occurring over the Northern Hemisphere. It featured there for about four years, placing a greater strain on the tectonic plates over the Southern Hemisphere while there. In G. A. Elby’s book “Earthquakes”(Heinemann 1980), 209 earthquakes dating back to 1505 were recorded with their dates. We can check each quake against Moon phases. 96%. of those quakes recorded which were above 6 on the Richter Scale, occurred exactly on or within a day of one extreme feature of Moon cycle, that is, New Moon, Full Moon, Apogee or Perigee. 75% involved two factors; when the say, the Perigee plus Full or New moon were on the same day. It is interesting that Apogee (Moon fiurthest away in the month)keeps popping up as a factor too. One can imagine a tent held by tight guy ropes. If one extra guy rope is added(viz. Perigee)the tension will be swung more in one direction. If one guy rope is removed (viz. Apogee), the whole system will tend to swing in the other direction. Also Apogeal Moons covers a wider area because the precession angles combine with the further distance. The Moon could have a greater ‘swing’ between declination points, adding up to an extra trajectorial increment. Any plates ‘due to go’ so to speak, at the edge of the Moon’s orbital influence, may receive a final push. Precession angle? Declination points? We are getting ahead of ourselves. We should look first at Perigees more closely. 92

PERIGEES AND APOGEES The rising or setting Moon looks large on the horizon due to an illusion of perspective playing tricks on the eye. Apart from that, most assume the Full Moon high in the sky is always the same. A spectacular phenomena escapes notice by the vast majority of people simply because the eye and brain can’t compare the size and brightness of objects observed on separate occasions. The Full Moon varies dramatically in size and intensity, and hardly anybody notices. As the Moon travels anti-clockwise around the Earth, orbiting the same way as the Earth as both go around the Sun, it’s orbit is not a perfect circle. That would indeed be a marvel. It does not remain a constant distance from the Earth. This was discovered or rediscovered by Hipparchus, the 2 nd Century Greek astronomer, so it is by no means news. He realised that the Moon wanders in and out, towards the Earth and away again, as if the Moon is on a fixed spring, for the outer limit is relatively fixed and varies much less than the inner. This cycle is called the Apogee/Perigee, or the Apsidal Cycle, and we say that the Moon’s orbit around the Earth is elliptical, that is to say, off-centre, like a circus-clown’s bicycle wheel. It has a substantial eccentricity, as major Solar System bodies go, of 5.49%. In addition, the tidal effect of the Sun’s gravitational field increases this eccentricity when the orbit’s major axis lines up with the Sun- Earth vector or, in other words, the Moon is Full or New. 93

PERIGEES AND APOGEES<br />

<strong>The</strong> rising or setting <strong>Moon</strong> looks large on the horizon<br />

due to an illusion of perspective playing tricks on the eye.<br />

Apart from that, most assume the Full <strong>Moon</strong> high in the<br />

sky is always the same. A spectacular phenomena escapes<br />

notice by the vast majority of people simply because the<br />

eye and brain can’t compare the size and brightness of objects<br />

observed on separate occasions. <strong>The</strong> Full <strong>Moon</strong> varies<br />

dramatically in size and intensity, and hardly anybody<br />

notices.<br />

As the <strong>Moon</strong> travels anti-clockwise around the Earth,<br />

orbiting the same way as the Earth as both go around the<br />

Sun, it’s orbit is not a perfect circle. That would indeed be<br />

a marvel. It does not remain a constant distance from the<br />

Earth. This was discovered or rediscovered by Hipparchus,<br />

the 2 nd Century Greek astronomer, so it is by no means<br />

news. He realised that the <strong>Moon</strong> wanders in and out, towards<br />

the Earth and away again, as if the <strong>Moon</strong> is on a fixed<br />

spring, for the outer limit is relatively fixed and varies much<br />

less than the inner.<br />

This cycle is called the Apogee/Perigee, or the Apsidal<br />

Cycle, and we say that the <strong>Moon</strong>’s orbit around the Earth is<br />

elliptical, that is to say, off-centre, like a circus-clown’s<br />

bicycle wheel. It has a substantial eccentricity, as major<br />

Solar System bodies go, of 5.49%. In addition, the tidal<br />

effect of the Sun’s gravitational field increases this eccentricity<br />

when the orbit’s major axis lines up with the Sun-<br />

Earth vector or, in other words, the <strong>Moon</strong> is Full or New.<br />

93

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