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Predicting Weather By The Moon - Xavier University Libraries

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What Causes <strong>Weather</strong><br />

ple died. All told, the damage estimates ranged from $8<br />

billion to $13 billion. Between 1983 and 1992, and probably<br />

at other ‘El Nino’ times, the east coasts of the North<br />

Island (New Zealand) were subjected to a ‘bloom’ on the<br />

sea floor preventing bottom feeding fish to receive sufficient<br />

food and dying, due to insufficient tidal or current<br />

movement to clear the ‘bloom’ away.<br />

El Niño is correlated with droughts in Australia,<br />

Ethiopia, Indonesia and Zimbabwe, stronger hurricanes in<br />

the Eastern Pacific and weaker ones in the Atlantic. Scientists<br />

have been enthusiastically rushing into print since<br />

1997 was identified as the beginning of the latest El Nino<br />

cycle. But are the words ‘El Nino’ a cure-all explanation<br />

for every weather pattern that occurs?<br />

LA NINA?<br />

After the summer of 1988/89 a new weather term<br />

was on the lips of meteorologists:La Nina. This was said<br />

to be the ‘positive phase of the Southern Oscillation, the<br />

opposite of El Nino, or El Nino’s cooler sister. La Nina<br />

was immediately stated to be the reason for a drought in<br />

New Zealand in the South Island. It also happened to be the<br />

beginning of decline of the 28° declination of the <strong>Moon</strong>.<br />

<strong>The</strong> previous dry spells had been in 1969, 1950, 1932 and<br />

1914; all years of the <strong>Moon</strong> in 28° declination.<br />

On Jan 29 th 1999 (NZ Herald), a spokesman for the<br />

National Climate Centre said<br />

“..we are looking at significant problems in the decades<br />

ahead and incredibly depressing problems in the next century<br />

or two”<br />

133

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